Technology Trends - Electronic Systems

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Invest Northern Ireland. A lightly-technical presentation on the nature of Electronic Systems and the Business Opportunities that exist within them.

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<ul><li>1.1 Title: Technology Trends Electronic Systems Abstract The practical application of a couple of centuries of scientific study has brought huge advances to almost everything we value; but none more so than those touched by Electronic Systems whose power to transform and animate is truly phenomenal. Surely with such powerful magic at our fingertips anything is within our power: Mend climates, solve energy problems and cure society's ills?! Alas; our tricks are not magic, but the results of painstaking global endeavour, of immense scale, detail and precision. And whilst these technologies are evolving at a prodigious rate; they are only capable of achieving so-much at any given time. ... The consumers insatiable appetite spurs us endlessly on. Perceive the reality of Electronic Systems and we can capitalising the many and varied, business and economic opportunities they present ... as they deliver our 21st century. Context Technology at Work 2013 (TAW2013). Waterfront Hall, Belfast. 19feb13 Keynote: 14:30-15:30 (45min, 15min Q&amp;A) Audience: About 200. Mixed academic and industrial experts; large and small companies; politicians and other. Pdf and Tube available at http://ianp24.blogspot.co.uk/ </li></ul><p>2. 2 Prof. Ian Phillips Principal Staff Engr, ARM Ltd ian.phillips@arm.com Visiting Prof. at ... Contribution to Industry Award 2008 Technology at Work 2013 Waterfront Hall, Belfast 19feb13 1v1 Pdf and Tube available at http://ianp24.blogspot.co.uk/ 3. 3 Electronic Systems are Everywhere ... Entertainment, Amusement, Social ... Important but not Vital Very Personal; so greatly valued 4. 4 Electronic Systems are Everywhere ... 5. 5 Source: Adapted from Morgan Stanley, Nov 2009 Electronic Systems Will Define Our Future We and our Economies, will Depend On Them 100%... Time to Understand - where they come from! Time to Understand - our Businesses Involved in them! Time to Minimise - our Vulnerability to Globalisation! 6. 6 The Science That Lets Us to Do ... Electronics is the pinnacle of mankinds ingenuity in the manipulation of matter ... Enables us all to do such wonderful things! Dependent on Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry The measure of what humans can achieve by reusing the ingenuity of our predecessors ... Standing on the shoulders of giants (Isaac Newton) Though it is very-very clever ... It is not Magic! It is not nearly as Magical as the Nature that surrounds us! Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from Magic! (A.C.Clarke) 7. 7 The Science That Lets Us to Do ... Electronics is the pinnacle of mankinds ingenuity in the manipulation of matter ... Enables us all to do such wonderful things! Dependent on Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry The measure of what humans can achieve by reusing the ingenuity of our predecessors ... Standing on the shoulders of giants (Isaac Newton) Though it is very-very clever ... It is not Magic! It is not nearly as Magical as the Nature that surrounds us! Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from Magic! (A.C.Clarke) 8. 8 What Engineers Do ... ... Beyond most peoples 1 1: http://www.engineeringuk.com/ 9. 9 The Pre-Engineered World (2,500 BC - 800 AD.) World Stats ... Population ~100K -&gt;1M Growth rate ~0.1%pa Life expectancy 30-40yr ... Mission: Survive and Grow Technology ... Low dry-stone walls Wooden poles and sticks Thatch, turf, plants, mud and hide Timber split using wedges Sharp stones for cutting ... 3,500yrs of: If it was good enough for my fathers, fathers, fathers, ... father; its good enough for me! 10. 10 Chronology of Science / Engineering Cro-Magnon Man (Us!) 35,000 yr ago Developed out of Homo-Sapien (Wise Human) &gt;100,000 yr Mission: Survive Nature (1,000 generations) The Philosophers 2,500-1,000 yr ago Pythagoras, Socrates, Plato, Aristotle, Archimedes, ... Mission: Understanding Nature The Scientists 1,000-500 yrs ago Galileo, Descartes, (1000 ad) Electricity - William Gilbert (1600ad) Mission: Manipulation of Nature The Engineers 260 yrs ago Industrial Revolution (1750: 8 genn) Mission: Exploitation of Nature Year 0: Science Meets Exploitation ... Economic (and Population) Explosion Universe 13.6Byr Earth 4.5Byr Thomas Telfords Iron Bridge (1778), Ironbridge, UK 11. 11 The Industrial Revolution (1750) Exploitation of Nature Unleashing the Power of Science, by delivering it in ways that satisfied a Volume Need ... We now call this Business. Emergence of the Consumer and personal Money It began in the United Kingdom, then spread throughout Europe, North America, and eventually the world. Major changes in agriculture, manufacturing, mining, transportation, and technology Mechanisation of the textile industries, Development of iron-making techniques Transportation expansion through canals, improved roads and railways.[5] Steam power, water wheels and powered machinery Profound effect on socio-economic and cultural conditions ... For the first time in human history (35kyr), the living standards of the masses of ordinary people underwent sustained growth 12. 12 Exploitation of the Atom Electronic Technology is ... ...The Most Exciting thing mankind has Ever created! ... And it has all happened within the span of one life-time! Early Electronics The First Transistor (1947) Integrated Transistor ~70 yrs 13. 13 Moores Law ... 10nm 100nm 1um 10um 100um ApproximateProcessGeometry ITRS99 Transistors/Chip(M) Transistor/PM(K) X ... x More Functionality on a Si Chip in 20 yrs! Gordon Moore. Founder of Intel. (1965) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moores_law 14. 14 The Transistor Today... Asen Assenov a.asenov@elec.gla.ac.uk Modelled views of a 30 x 30 nm transistor 3,000 transistors sit side-by-side in the thickness of a bank-note! A Few Hundred Billion on a chip! 2x that in 18 months time !!!1Mbyte Atoms! 15. 15 The Steel-Bound Obsidian iCon ... 16. 16 ... Cool Design at Many Levels ... 17. 17 There is an Inside! iPhone 4's vibrator motor. rear-facing 5 MP camera with 720p video at 30 FPS, tap to focus feature, and LED flash. http://www.ifixit.com Down 1-Level: Modules ... Stuff that doesnt grow on trees! (ie: It also has to be Created) 18. 18 Inside the Modules... http://www.ifixit.com The Control Board. Down 1-Level: Modules 19. 19 Inside The Control Board (a-side) http://www.ifixit.com Down 2-Levels: Sub-Assemblies Visible Design-Team Members ... Samsung (flash memory) - (ARM Partner) Cirrus Logic (audio codec) - (ARM Partner) AKM (Magnetic Sensor) Texas Instruments (Touch Screen Controller and mobile DDR) - (ARM Partner) Invisible Design-Team Members ... Software Tools, OS &amp; Drivers, GSM Security; Graphics, Video and Sound ... Manufacturing, Assembly, Test, Certification ... 20. 20 Inside The Control Board (b-side) GPS Bluetooth, EDR &amp;FM http://www.ifixit.com Down 2-Levels: Sub-Assemblies Visible Design-Team Members... A4 Processor, specified by Apple, designed and manufactured by Samsung ... The central unit that provides the iPhone 4 with its GP computing power. Reported to contain ARM A8 600 MHz CPU (other ARM CPUs and IP) ST-Micro (3 axis gyroscope) - (ARM Partner) Broadcom (Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and GPS) - (ARM Partner) Skyworks (GSM) Triquint (GSM PA) Infineon (GSM Transceiver) - (ARM Partner) 21. 21 The A4 SIP Package (Cross-section) Down 3-Levels: IC Packaging The processor is the centre rectangle. The silver circles beneath it are solder balls. Two rectangles above are RAM die, offset to make room for the wirebonds. Putting the RAM close to the processor reduces latency, making RAM faster and cuts power. Unknown Mfr (Memory) Samsung (Processor) Unknown (System-In-Package Technology) http://www.ifixit.com Processor SOC Die 2 Memory Dies Glue Memory Package 4-Layer Platform Package 22. 22 nVidea Tegra 3 Processor (Around 1B transistors) 23. 23 Businesses in Apples Global Life-Cycle ... Apple identifies... 159 Tier-1 Suppliers ... Thousands of Design Engineers 10s of thousands of Engineers ... Globally Hundreds more Tier-2/3 Not Listed Including ARM ... The Child of a Global Network of Technology and Know-How Businesses http://www.apple.com/supplierresponsibility/ 24. 24 Making Money out of Tech. Knowledge 21c Businesses are (better be) Selling Stuff that People want; at a Price they can Afford With Business Models that are (sufficiently) Cash +ve Business needs End-Customers buy Functionality, not Technology Commoditisation is undesirable (to business) New Products are Design is a Cost/Risk to be Minimised (New) Technology ... Enables Product Options (Not all are good) Can Increases Cost/Risk, more than the Return! Competition, Suppliers and Investors are global But so are the Opportunities ... ... You must embrace your Opportunities to be successful! 25. 25 Doing Business In The Life-Cycle De- Commission UpgradeMaintainInstallReproduceQualifyIntegrateDesign Company A, Product-X De- Commission UpgradeMaintainInstallReproduceQualifyIntegrateDesign Company-B, Product-J,K,L De- Commission UpgradeMaintainInstallReproduceQualifyIntegrateDesign Company-C, Product-M,N,O Design Tools Training Education ICT Conferences Patents Know-How Tool-Libraries Models Software Research Methods Tools Technologies Prototypes FABs Components Know-How Methods Equipment Know-How Standards Procedures ICT Methods Training Big Finance Equipment Know-How Components Out-Sourcing JIT Factory Auton Methods TQM Training Equipment Know-How Standards Methods Supply Logistics Training Equipment Know-How Supply Logistics Training Equipment Know-How Supply Logistics Training Equipment Know-How Standards Logistics Training Companies B &amp; C Provide Their Valued Product(s) to Other Customers As Well (Efficiency of Reuse)... ... Enabled By Globalisation: ICT, WTO, English Language, Containers and Intl Contract Law ... IS servicing a Valued-Niche in many Global Life-Cycles 26. 26 The Internet of Things (IoT)... Communicating Electronic Systems - Everything Aware of Everything Else - Everything Aware of Context http://www.beechamresearch.com/ 27. 27 ... Layers of Invisible Techy Stuff! Trillions Billions Millions Thousands http://www.beechamresearch.com/ 28. 28 So What Does ARM Do? ARM designs processor technology that lies at the heart of advanced consumer products http://www.arm.com/ 29. 29 ARM Architecture for the Digital World 1998 2012 2020 40+billion chips to date 150+billion chips cumulative in 2020 http://www.arm.com/ 30. 30 Multiplier Instruction Decoder Address Incrementer nRESET ABORT nIRQ nFIQ WRITE SIZE[1:0] LOCK CPnCPI CPA CPB CLKEN CLK CPnOPC CFGBIGEND TRANS RDATA[31:0] Barrel Shifter 32 Bit ALU Write Data Register Address Register Register Bank ADDR[31:0] and Control Logic A B u s A L U B u s P C PC Update Decode Stage Instruction Decompression Incrementer Read Data Register WDATA[31:0] PROT Scan Debug Control B B u s The ARM RISC-Processor Core http://www.arm.com/ 31. 31 The Lego-Brick Chip-Design Concept ARM ARM ARM ARM ARM ARM nVidea Tegra3 32. 32 Today, users require a pocket Super-Computer ... Silicon Technology Provides a few-Billion transistors ... ARMs Technology makes it Practical to utilise them ... More and More Complex System Chips 10 Processors 4 x A9 Processors (2x2): 4 x MALI 400 Fragment Proc: 1 x MALI 400 Vertex Proc. 1 x MALI Video CoDec Software Stacks, OSs and Design Tools/ ARM Technology gives chip/system designers ... Improved Productivity Improved TTM Improved Quality/Certainty http://www.arm.com/ 33. 33 The Chip is the Core of the System ARM Technology drives efficient Electronic System solutions: Software increasing system efficiency with optimized software solutions Diverse components, including CPU and GPU processors designed for specific tasks Interconnect System IP delivering coherency and the quality of service required for lowest memory bandwidth Physical IP for a highly optimized processor implementation Backed by &gt;900 Global Partners ... &gt;800 Licences Millions of Developers http://www.arm.com/ 34. 34 1990 - "A barn in Cambridge" 12 engineers, in Cambridge No Revenue, No Patents Cash from Apple &amp; VLSI Spin-out of Acorn UK ... BBC Computers in Schools (1981) Roots in Uo.Cambridge (c1975) ... A Dream to become the Global Standard for Embedded CPUs 2013 - "The worlds leading IP Product" Powering &gt;90% of the Smart Electronic Systems in the world 75% of all the devices connected to the Internet 8.7B CPUs shipped (2012): +20%pa, 40B total (&gt;50x all PCs!) FTSE 100 (MarCap 12.8B): Revenue ~580M, PBT ~47%, R&amp;D ~30% (2012) Cambridge HQ: 25 offices/labs and 2,400 people ww (990 in the UK) &gt;95% revenue is foreign earnings The Worlds Favourite IP Provider http://www.arm.com/ 35. 35 Societies Challenges in the 21c Urbanisation (Smart Cities) Health (eHealth) Transport Energy (Smart Grid) Security Environment Electronic Systems will not fix any of these Challenges in themselves, but their Technology will Enable all of them! ... Electronic Systems Technologies are Key Enabling Technologies (KETs) Food/Water Ageing Society Sustainability Digital Inclusion Economics 36. 36 Expectations of Tomorrows Consumer Natural, Intuitive User Interfaces Ultra High Resolutions Displays Infinite Battery Life Continuous Connectivity Always On, Always Connected 37. 37 Conclusions: Electronic Systems Permeate our lives today ... Visibly and Invisibly, they have enabled the improved services and exciting new products in our lives! (IT and ICT are included in this) They are the Children of a Globalised Creative Industry ... And make a significant Direct and Indirect contribution to the UK Economy Further miniaturisation will take them to Ubiquity... They will keep us Amused, Entertained, Healthy, Fed and Warm They will enable us to do Business, and control Finance They will be central to future plans for Climate, Transportation, Energy, Health, Security and Urbanisation We and the Economy, will willingly become totally dependent on them ... They will be become Un-Noticed and could become Un-Valued! Have barely scratched the surface of their Potential ... The UK has a thriving, but largely invisible, ES Business Community 1 ... Value and Nurture them; ES is an excellent business opportunity! 1: http://www.esco-report.com 38. 38 Prof. Ian Phillips Principal Staff Engr, ARM Ltd ian.phillips@arm.com Visiting Prof. at ... Contribution to Industry Award 2008 Thank You For Listening Presentation available at: http://www.slideshare.net/IanPhillips1/presentations http://www.arm.com/ 39. 39 Notes: The title says little; "a Technology Conference: humanising technology", though the organisers "Invest Northern Ireland" says a little more. With this genesis I believe it to be primarily a Conference aimed at encouraging inward investment in technology and technology businesses in NI. And with that in mind the conference will be a technology business/opportunity shop window, to an...</p>