russia copper market

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Russia: Copper

Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

August 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Copper Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian copper market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report contains information on the following commodity groups:

Refined copper;

Copper rod;

Bronze;

Brass.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian copper market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 220 pages, 80 tables, and 49 figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian copper market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of copper

4. Characteristics of the raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of copper

6. Characteristics of the Russian copper market

6.1. Review of the world copper market

6.2. Volume and dynamics of the Russian copper market in 2008 - July 2012. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

6.3. Structure of the copper market: production, exports, imports, consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of copper in 2005 - July 2012

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of copper in 2005 - July 2012

7.2. Structure of the production of copper by regions of the Russian Federation

7.3. Manufacturing capacities and their level of loading

7.4. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on the

market

7.5. Main manufacturers of copper and their corresponding market shares

7.5.1. OJSC “GMK “Norilskiy Nikel”

7.5.2. OJSC “Uralelektromed”

7.5.3. CJSC “KMEZ”

7.5.4. CJSC “NMZ”

7.5.5. CJSC “Russian Copper Company”

7.5.6. “Metalloinvest”

7.6. Investment projects in the industry

8. Characteristics of the prices of copper

8.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of copper

9. Characteristics of the imports of copper to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of copper ore and copper concentrate

9.2. Volume and dynamics of the imports of copper refined and unwrought copper

alloys

9.3. Characteristics of the imports of copper rod

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of copper

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of copper ore and copper

concentrate

10.2. Characteristics of the Russian exports of refined copper and unwrought copper

alloys

10.3. Characteristics of the Russian exports of copper rod

11. Factors, influencing the development of the copper market

11.1. State of the energy industry

11.2. Electrical machinery building and radio technics

11.2.1. Electrical machinery building




11.2.2. Radio technics

11.3. State of the automobile assembly industry

12. Characteristics of the consumption of copper

12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of copper in 2008 - July 2012.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

12.2. Balance between production and consumption of copper in 2005 - July 2012

13. Forecast for the development of the copper market in 2012 - 2017

13.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of copper in 2012 - 2017

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

• OJSC "URALELEKTROMED"

• OJSC "GORNO-METALLURGY COMPANY “NORILSKIY NIKEL”

• CJSC "RUSSIAN COPPER COMPANY"




List of Tables

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the copper market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast until 2017,

in thousands of tons

Table 2. Shares of the main manufacturers of copper in the world production of refined

copper in 2008 - 2011

Table 3. Production of cables by the weight of copper in them in the Russian Federation, in

thousands of tons

Table 4. Shares of the manufacturers in the Russian production of refined copper in 2005 -

2011

Table 5. Results of carrying out the manufacturing program of the OJSC “Uralelektromed” in

2009 - 2011

Table 6. Results of the usage of production capacities of the OJSC “Uralelektromed” in 2009

- 2011, in %

Table 7. Usage of the main technological equipment in time by the OJSC “Uralelektromed”

in 2011

Table 8. Volume of sold production of the OJSC “Uralelektromed” in 2011

Table 9. Cost of goods sold by the OJSC “Uralelektromed” in 2011

Table 10. Dynamics of copper prices in 2006 - 2011

Table 11. Dynamics of copper prices in 2010 - June 2012

Table 12. Countries of origin of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to the

Russian Federation in 2011

Table 13. Manufacturing companies of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to

the Russian Federation in 2011

Table 14. Countries of origin of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to the

Russian Federation in January - June 2012

Table 15. Manufacturing companies of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to

the Russian Federation in January - June 2012

Table 16. Characteristics of the imports of copper matte in the Russian Federation in 2011

Table 17. Characteristics of the imports of copper matte in the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012

Table 18. Characteristics of the imports of copper products (code 7402) in the Russian

Federation in 2011

Table 19. Characteristics of the imports of copper products (code 7402) in the Russian

Federation in 2011

Table 20. Characteristics of the imports of refined copper in the Russian Federation in 2011

Table 21. Characteristics of the imports of refined copper in the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012

Table 22. Characteristics of the imports of brass in 2011

Table 23. Characteristics of the imports of brass in January-June 2012

Table 24. Characteristics of the imports of bronze in 2011

Table 25. Characteristics of the imports of bronze in January-June 2012

Table 26. Characteristics of the imports of other copper-based alloys in 2011

Table 27. Characteristics of the imports of other copper-based alloys in January-June 2012




Table 28. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in 2011, in tons

Table 29. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in tons

Table 30. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 31. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 32. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Table 33. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 34. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2010, in

thousands of USD

Table 35. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 36. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 37. Volume of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 38. Recipient countries of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to the


Table 39. Recipient companies of the copper ore and copper concentrate, imported to the


Table 40. Characteristics of the Russian exports of copper ore and copper concentrate in

2011

Table 41. Recipient countries of the copper ore and copper concentrate, exported from the

Russian Federation in January-June 2012

Table 42. Recipient companies of the copper ore and copper concentrate, exported from the

Russian Federation in January-June 2012

Table 43. Characteristics of the Russian exports of copper products (code 7402) in January-

June 2012

Table 44. Volume of the imports of refined copper and unwrought copper alloys in 2011, in

tons

Table 45. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper and unwrought copper alloys by

recipient countries in 2011, in tons

Table 46. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 47. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper by recipient countries in January-

June 2012, in kilograms

Table 48. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper by recipient countries in January-

June 2012, in USD

Table 49. Exports of copper-based alloys by recipient companies in 2011

Table 50. Volume of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Table 51. Volume of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 52. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper by manufacturing companies in

January-June 2012, in tons




Table 53. Volume of the Russian exports of refined copper by manufacturing companies in

January-June 2012, in USD.

Table 54. Manufacturing companies, supplying copper-based alloys for exports

Table 55. Structure of the Russian exports of copper-based alloys by recipient companies in

January-June 2012

Table 56. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in 2011, in tons

Table 57. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in January - June 2012, in tons

Table 58. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in 2011, in thousands of USD and in %

Table 59. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 60. Volume of the Russian exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in

January-June 2012, in tons

Table 61. Volume of the Russian exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in

January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 62. Volume of the Russian exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in

January-September 2011, in tons


2011, in tons


January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 65. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

value terms

Table 66. Need of energy capacity in the construction industry

Table 67. Passport of the strategy for development of energy machinery building in the

Russian Federation until 2030

Table 68. FGP “Development of the Electrical Components’ Base in the Radio Electronics”

until 2015

Table 69. Number of cars per 1000 people in 2005 - 2009, in units

Table 70. Production of automobiles, buses, trolleybuses, and wagons in 2005 - May 2010,

in units

Table 71. Strategy of development of the automobile industry in the Russian Federation

until 2020

Table 72. Largest consumers of copper among the cable manufacturers in 2009 - 2010

Table 73. Balance between supply and demand on the copper market in 2008 - 2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 74. Forecast for the development of the copper market in 2012-2017, in thousands of

tons

Table 75. Revenues (net) from the sales of goods or services (minus VAT, excise duties and

other analogical obligatory payments), for the production of copper by regions of the

Russian Federation, in thousands of RUR

Table 76. Revenues (net) from the sales of goods or services (minus VAT, excise duties and

other analogical obligatory payments) for the production of copper by the size of

organizations, in thousands of RUR

Table 77. Commercial expenses for the production of copper by the size of organizations, in

thousands of RUR




Table 78. Managerial expenses for the production of copper by the size of organizations, in

thousands of RUR

Table 79. Profit (net) from the sales of copper by the size of organizations, in thousands of

RUR

Table 80. Average number of employees in the production of copper




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of consumption of copper in 2008 - 2011 and forecast for 2012 - 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the copper market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast until 2017,

in thousands of tons

Fig. 4. Production of copper sulfate in the Russian Federation in 2005-2011

Fig. 5. Shares of the manufacturers in the Russian production of refined copper in 2005 -

2010

Fig. 6. Production of copper by the GMK “Norilskiy Nikel”ГМК “Норильский никель” in 2005

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 7. Dynamics of production of refined copper by the OJSC “Uralelektromed” in 2005 -

2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 8. Volume of production of refined copper by the CJSC “RMK” in 2005 - 2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 9. Dynamics of copper prices in 2006 - 2011, in USD/ton

Fig. 10. Indexes of the average prices of copper in the Russian Federation in January-June

2012

Fig. 11. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in 2011, in tons

Fig. 12. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in tons

Fig. 13. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 14. Dynamics of the imports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Fig. 15. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 16. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012, in physical terms

Fig. 17. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2011 in value

terms

Fig. 18. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012 in value terms

Fig. 19. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June


Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June

2012, in value terms

Fig. 21. Dynamics of the Russian exports of refined copper in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 22. Dynamics of the Russian exports of refined copper and unwrought copper alloys in

2011, in tons

Fig. 23. Dynamics of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 26. Structure of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by recipient

countries in 2011 in physical terms

Fig. 27. Structure of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by recipient

countries in 2011 in value terms




Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Fig. 30. Structure of the Russian exports of copper and unwrought copper alloys by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms

Fig. 31. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in 2011, in tons

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in 2011, in thousands of USD and in %

Fig. 33. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in tons and in %

Fig. 34. Dynamics of the exports of copper rod in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

and in %

Fig. 35. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June


Fig. 36. Volume of the Russian exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 37. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012 in value terms

Fig. 38. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing countries in 2011 in value

terms

Fig. 39. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June


Fig. 40. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 41. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in January-June

2012, in value terms

Fig. 42. Structure of the exports of copper rod by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

value terms

Fig. 43. Dynamics of the energy consumption in the Russian Federation in 2007 – 2011 and

forecast for 2012 - 2017 (in billions of kWh)

Fig. 44. Number of cars per 1000 people in 2007-2009, in %, to the previous year

Fig. 45. Structure of the transport vehicle park of Russia on 1 January 2011, in %

Fig. 46. Structure of the consumption of copper by countries

Fig. 47. Structure of the world consumption of copper by industries

Fig. 49. Balance between supply and demand on the copper market in 2008 - 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian copper market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the copper market was …%.

The volume of production of copper in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all copper manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012

belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of copper in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and

to … thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of copper was … tons, which was equal to …

thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian

copper market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian copper market in

2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian copper market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the copper market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the copper market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for

2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the copper market in Russia: production,

exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of copper in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total

market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the copper market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the copper market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of copper in Russia in 2007

- 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of copper production in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Copper production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Copper production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to the

previous year




7.6 The main manufacturers of copper and their corresponding

market shares

The main manufacturers of copper in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B, and

Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by Company

D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of copper,

in tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of copper prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of copper

Manufacturers’ prices of copper have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in 2009 to

… RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their highest

value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of copper in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

copper to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of

copper

…

The volume of Russian imports of copper in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of copper

was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

copper on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of copper (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of copper in 2011. The second place

was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of copper (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.





Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the copper, imported

to the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of copper (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of copper in 2011. The second

place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of copper (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS





Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Table 26. Volume of the imports of copper in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of copper 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

copper

…

The volume of Russian exports of copper in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of copper

was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of copper in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of copper in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of copper

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of copper was Country A. Its

share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C

(…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined

share of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of copper by recipient countries in 2011

in physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of copper by recipient countries in 2011,

in tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




12. Characteristics of consumption

of copper 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of copper in

2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of copper in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more, compared

to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of copper in recent years -

a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years was observed in 2009,

when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012, the consumption of

copper almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yet possible to reach the

pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of copper increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually. Thus,

by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for copper in the country

will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …% of the

market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of copper in the Russian Federation in 2008

– 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




12.2. Structure of consumption of copper by industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of copper are taken by Industry A (…%)

and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry D

consumes about …% of the copper in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of copper by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.3. Balance between production and consumption of copper

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of copper and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the

copper market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands

of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the copper market

in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




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