russia beef market

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Russia: Beef Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

January 2013

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Beef Market. January 2013 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian beef market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian beef market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 191 pages, 68 tables, and 95 figures.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian beef market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of beef

4. Characteristics of the raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of bovine meat

6. Characteristics of the Russian beef market

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian beef market in 2005-2012. Forecast for 2012-

2017

6.2. Structure of the beef market: production, exports, imports, consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of beef in 2005-2012. Forecast for

2012-2017

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of beef in 2005 – September 2012

7.1.1 Production of frozen bovine meat

7.1.2 Production of chilled boveine meat

7.2. Structure of production of bovine meat by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

7.2.1. Central Federal District

7.2.2. Northwestern Federal District

7.2.3. Southern Federal District

7.2.4. Ural Federal District

7.2.5. Siberian Federal District

7.2.6. Far Eastern Federal District

7.3. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on the

market

7.4. Main manufacturers of bovine meat and their corresponding market shares

7.4.1. OJSC “Klinskiy Meat Factory”

7.4.2. “MPK “Penzenskiy”

7.4.3. OJSC “Meat Factory “Ulyanovskiy”

7.4.4. LLC “Meat Processing Factory Cherepanovskiy”

7.4.5. LLC “Pushkinskiy myasnoi dvor”

7.4.6. APH “Miratorg”

7.4.7. CJSC “Meat Factory Babaevskiy”

7.4.8. LLC “Mos-Et”

7.4.9. LLC “KRROS”

7.4.10. OJSC “Morozovskiy Meat Factory”

7.4.11. CJSC “Karasuskiy Meat Factory”

8. Characteristics of the prices of beef

8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of beef

9. Characteristics of the imports of beef to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of beef

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of beef to the territory of




the Russian Federation

9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the beef, imported to the Russian Federation

9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of beef

9.5. Structure of the imports of beef by regions of the Russian Federation

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of beef

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of beef

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of beef

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying beef for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of beef

11. Distribution of beef on the Russian market

11.1 Sales structure of the market by sales channels

11.2 Sales structure of the market by format of retail trade

11.3 Sales structure of the market by regions

11.4 Sales structure of the market by price segments

11.5 Chain of forming the value of beef by sales channels

12. Factors, influencing the development of the beef market

12.1. Level of welfare of the population

12.2. Characteristics of the animal feed base

13. Characteristics of the consumption of beef

13.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of beef in 2005-2012. Forecast for

2012-2017

13.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of beef by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005-2012

13.3. Balance between production and consumption of beef in 2005-2012

14. Forecast for the development of the beef market in 2012-2017

14.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of beef in 2012-2017

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers




List of Tables

Table 1. Distribution of cattle by types of farms in the Russian Federation in 2008-2011, in

thousands of heads

Table 2. Distribution of cattle by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2008-2011, in

thousands of heads

Table 3. Volume and dynamics of the beef market in 2005-2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 4. Volume of production of beef in the Russian Federation by types of farms in 2005-

2011, in thousands of tons

Table 5. Industrial production of beef in 2005 - September 2012, in tons

Table 6. Volume of production of beef by farms by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005-2011, in thousands of tons

Table 7. Industrial production of beef by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005-

2011, in tons

Table 8. Volume of production of beef in the Central Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 9. Volume of production of beef in the Northwestern Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 10. Volume of production of beef in the Southern Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 11. Volume of production of beef in the Ural Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 12. Volume of production of beef in the Siberian Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 13. Volume of production of beef in the Far Eastern Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 14. Average manufacturers' prices of beef in the Russian Federation in January 2007 -

October 2012, in RUR/ton

Table 15. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-December


Table 16. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-December

2011, in millions of USD

Table 17. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-September


Table 18. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-September


Table 19. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing countries in 2011, in thousands

of tons

Table 20. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing countries in 2011, in millions of

USD

Table 21. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing countries in January-September





Table 22. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing countries in January-September


Table 23. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands

of tons

Table 24. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011, in millions of

USD

Table 25. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-September


Table 26. Volume of the imports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-September


Table 27. Volume of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by importing companies

in 2011, in thousands of tons


in 2011, in millions of USD


in January-September 2012, in thousands of tons


in January-September 2012, in millions of USD

Table 31. Volume of the imports of beef by recipient regions of the Russian Federation in





January-September 2012, in thousands of tons


January-September 2012, in millions of USD

Table 35. Volume of the imports of beef in 2011, in kilograms

Table 36. Volume of the imports of beef in 2011, in USD

Table 37. Volume of the Russian exports of beef in January-September 2012, in kilograms

Table 38. Volume of the Russian exports of beef in January-September 2012, in USD

Table 39. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011, in kilograms

Table 40. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011, in USD

Table 41. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in January-

September 2012, in kilograms

Table 42. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in January-

September 2012, in USD

Table 43. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

kilograms

Table 44. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

USD

Table 45. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-

September 2012, in kilograms

Table 46. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-

September 2012, in USD




Table 47. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in 2011, in kilograms

Table 48. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in 2011, in USD

Table 49. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in January-September

2012, in kilograms

Table 50. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in January-September

2012, in USD

Table 51. Structure of beef sales by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011

Table 52. Structure of beef sales by price segment in the Russian Federation in November

2012

Table 53. Chain of forming the value of beef by sales channels

Table 54. Dynamics of the resources of households (per 100 people) in the Russian

Federation in 2000 – 2010, in thousands of RUR

Table 55. Differentiation of the incomes in 2005-2011

Table 56. Deviation of income by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation from the

national average in 2004-2009

Table 57. Production of animal feed in 2006 - 2011

Table 58. Average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian Federation in January

2007 - June 2012

Table 59. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of beef by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005 -2011, in thousands of tons

Table 60. Beef consumption in the Central Federal District in 2011

Table 61. Beef consumption in the Northwestern Federal District in 2011

Table 62. Beef consumption in thSouthern Federal District in 2011

Table 63. Beef consumption in the Volga Federal District in 2011

Table 64. Beef consumption in the Ural Federal District in 2011

Table 65. Beef consumption in the Siberian Federal District in 2011

Table 66. Beef consumption in the Far Eastern Federal District in 2011

Table 67. Balance between supply and demand on the beef market in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 68. Forecast for the development of the beef market in 2001-2017, in thousands of

tons




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Dynamics of the number of cattle in the Russian Federation in 2000-2011, in millions

of heads

Fig. 2. Dynamics of production of cattle for slaughter in live weight in the Russian

Federation in 2000-2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 3. Distribution of cattle by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011

Fig. 4. Volume of supply on the beef market in 2005-2011 and forecast for 2012-2017, in

tons

Fig. 5. Structure and dynamics of the beef market in 2009-2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 6. Structure of production of beef by type of product in the Russian Federation

Fig. 7. Production of beef in 2005 - 2011, for all types of farms, in thousands of tons

Fig. 8. Structure of production of beef in the Russian Federation in 2011 by farm types

Fig. 9. Structure of production of beef in the Russian Federation by types of farms in 2005-

2011

Fig. 10. Industrial production of beef in 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 11. Industrial production of beef in January 2008 - September 2012, in %, to the

analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 12. Industrial production of beef in 2005-2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 13. Structure of industrial production by type of beef freezing in the Russian Federation

in 2011

Fig. 14. Industrial production of frozen beef in 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 15. Industrial production of frozen beef in 2005 - September 2012, in tons

Fig. 16. Industrial production of chilled beef in 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 17. Industrial production of chilled beef in 2005 - September 2012, in tons

Fig. 18. Structure of production of beef by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2011, in all types of farms


2011 in all types of farms


2011, by agricultural organizations


2011, in peasant and individual farms


2011 in household/family farms

Fig. 23. Structure of industrial production of bovine meat by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2011

Fig. 24. Structure of industrial production of bovine meat by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005-2011

Fig. 25. Dynamics of production of beef in the Central Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 26. Dynamics of production of beef in the Northwestern Federal District in 2005-2011,

in thousands of tons




Fig. 27. Dynamics of production of beef in the Southern Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons (in 2011 with the North Caucasian Federal District)

Fig. 28. Dynamics of production of beef in the Ural Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 29. Dynamics of production of beef in the Siberian Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 30. Dynamics of production of beef in the Far Eastern Federal District in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 31. Dynamics of production of beef of the OJSC “Meat Factory Klinskiy" in 2005-2011,

in tons

Fig. 32. Dynamics of production of beef of the "MPK Penzenskiy " in 2005-2011 tons

Fig. 33. Dynamics of production of beef of the OJSC “Meat Factory Ulyanovskiy" in 2005-

2011, in tons

Fig. 34. Dynamics of production of beef of the LLC “Meat Factory Cherepanovskiy” in 2007-

2011, in tons

Fig. 35. Dynamics of production of beef of the LLC “Pushkinskiy Myasnoi Dvor” in 2008-

2011, in tons

Fig. 36. Dynamics of production of beef of the LLC “MOS-ET” in 2007-2011, in tons

Fig. 37. Dynamics of production of beef of the LLC “CROSS” in 2007-2011, in tons

Fig. 38. Dynamics of production of beef of the OJSC “Morozovskiy Meat Factory” in 2005-

2011, in tons

Fig. 39. Dynamics of production of beef of the CJSC “Karasukskiy Meat Factory” in 2005-

2011, in tons

Fig. 40. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of beef in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011

Fig. 41. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of beef in the Russian Federation in

January-October 2012

Fig. 42. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of beef in the Russian Federation in

January 2011 - October 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 43. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of beef by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation, in October 2012

Fig. 44. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-December


Fig. 45. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-December


Fig. 46. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-September


Fig. 47. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-September


Fig. 48. Structure of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

countries in 2011 in physical terms


countries in 2011 in value terms





countries in January-September 2012 in physical terms


countries in January-September 2012 in value terms


companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in 2011 in value terms


companies in January-September 2012 in physical terms


companies in January-September 2012 in value terms

Fig. 56. Structure of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by importing companies

in 2011 in physical terms


in 2011 in value terms


in January-September 2012 in physical terms


in January-September 2012 in value terms

Fig. 60. Structure of the imports of beef by recipient regions of the Russian Federation in

2011 in physical terms


2011 in value terms


January-September 2012 in physical terms


January-September 2012 in value terms

Fig. 64. Dynamics of the Russian exports of beef in 2011, in kilograms

Fig. 65. Dynamics of the Russian exports of beef in 2011, in USD

Fig. 66. Dynamics of the Russian exports of beef in January-September 2012, in kilograms

Fig. 67. Dynamics of the Russian exports of beef in January-September 2012, in USD

Fig. 68. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011 in physical

terms

Fig. 69. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011 in value

terms

Fig. 70. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in January-

September 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 71. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in January-

September 2012 in value terms

Fig. 72. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 73. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in 2011 in

value terms




Fig. 74. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-

September 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 75. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by manufacturing companies in January-

September 2012 in value terms

Fig. 76. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in 2011 in physical

terms

Fig. 77. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in 2011 in value terms

Fig. 78. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in January-September

2012 in physical terms

Fig. 79. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by sending regions in January-September

2012 in value terms

Fig. 80. Sales structure of the beef market by sales channels in 2011

Fig. 81. Structure of attendance of retail outlets in various formats in the Russian Federation

in 2004-2012

Fig. 82. Structure of beef sales by price segment in the Russian Federation in 2011

Fig. 83. Distribution of the total income of the population in 2011 by groups

Fig. 84. Average deviation of per capita income by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation from the national average average in 2000-2009

Fig. 85. Share of the amount of free cash by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

from the national average

Fig. 86. Production of animal feed in 2011 - May 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 87. Production of animal feed in January 2009 - May 2012, in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

Fig. 88. Production of animal feed in 2006-2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 89. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011

Fig. 90. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian

Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 91. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian

Federation in January 2011 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 92. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed by Federal Districts

of the Russian Federation, in June 2012

Fig. 93. Dynamics of consumption of beef in the Russian Federation in 2009-2020, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 94. Structure of consumption of beef by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2005 -2011

Fig. 95. Balance between supply and demand on the beef market in 2005-2011




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian beef market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%

higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported

products on the beef market was …%.

The volume of production of beef in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the volume

of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all beef manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012 belongs

to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of beef in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and to …

thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of beef was … tons, which was equal to …

thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian beef

market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian beef market in

2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian beef market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%

higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported

products on the beef market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the beef market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for

2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the beef market in Russia: production, exports,

imports, consumption

The volume of imports of beef in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total market

volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the beef market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the beef market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of beef in Russia in 2007 -

2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of beef production in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Beef production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Beef production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to the

previous year




7.6 The main manufacturers of beef and their corresponding

market shares

The main manufacturers of beef in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B, and

Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by Company

D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of beef, in

tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of beef prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of beef

Manufacturers’ prices of beef have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in 2009 to …

RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their highest value

in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of beef in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

beef to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of beef

…

The volume of Russian imports of beef in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of beef was

imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

beef on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of beef (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of beef in 2011. The second place

was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of beef (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.





Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the beef, imported to

the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of beef (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of beef in 2011. The second place

was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of beef (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS





Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Table 26. Volume of the imports of beef in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of beef 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of beef

…

The volume of Russian exports of beef in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of beef was

exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of beef in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of beef in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of beef

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of beef was Country A. Its share

in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C (…%).

To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined share

of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011 in

physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of beef by recipient countries in 2011, in

tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




12. Characteristics of consumption

of beef 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of beef in 2008 -

2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of beef in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more, compared to

2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of beef in recent years - a

decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years was observed in 2009,

when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012, the consumption of

beef almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-

crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of beef increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually. Thus, by

2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for beef in the country will be

met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …% of the market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of beef in the Russian Federation in 2008 –

2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




12.2. Structure of consumption of beef by industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of beef are taken by Industry A (…%) and

Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry D

consumes about …% of the beef in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of beef by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.3. Balance between production and consumption of beef

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of beef and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the beef

market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the beef market in

Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




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