russia pork market

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Demo-Version

Russia: Pork Market Analysis and Forecast to 2017

June 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Pork Market. June 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian pork market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian pork market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 170 pages, 63 Tables, and 94 Figures.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

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completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian pork market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of pork

4. Characteristics of raw materials

4.1. Livestock of pigs

5. Technology of production of pork

6. Characteristics of the Russian pork market in 2005-2011. Forecast for 2012-

2017

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian pork market in 2005-2011. Forecast for

2012-2017

6.2. Structure of the pork market: production, exports, imports, consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of pork in 2005 - May 2012

7.1. Volume and dynamics of production of pork in 2005 - June 2012

7.1.1. Volume and dynamics of production of pork at the industrial enterprises

in 2005 - June 2012

7.1.2. Volume and dynamics of production of pork steamy, cooled, chilled in

2010 - June 2012

7.1.3. Volume and dynamics of production of pork steamy, cooled, chilled:

carcass and semi-carcass in 2010 - June 2012

7.1.4. Volume and dynamics of production of pork frostbitten, frozen, deep-

frozen and defrozen in 2010 - June 2012

7.2. Structure of production of pork by regions of the Russian Federation

7.3. Main manufacturers of pork and their corresponding market shares

7.3.1. APH "Miratorg"

7.3.2. LLC "Agro-Belgorye" Group

7.3.3. "CHERKIZOVO" GROUP

7.3.4. "PRODO" group

7.3.5. OJSC "Belgorodsky Bekon" Group

7.3.6. "Siberian Agrarian Group"

7.3.7. LLC "KoPITANIYA"

7.3.8. CJSC "Eksima"

7.3.9. LLC "KOMOS GROUP"

7.4. Investment projects in the industry

8. Characteristics of the prices of pork

8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of pork in 2005- June 2012

8.2. Comparison of the prices of producers by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

9. Characteristics of the imports of pork on the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of pork

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of pork to the territory

of the Russian Federation




9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of pork imported to the Russian Federation

9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of pork

9.5. Structure of deliveries of the imports of pork by regions of the Russian

Federation

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of pork

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of pork

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of pork

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying pork for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of pork

11. Distribution of pork at the Russian market

11.1. Sales structure of the market by sales channels

11.2. Structure of sales by formats of retail trade

11.3. Structure of sales on regions

11.4. Structure of sales by price segments

11.5. Value chain formation by sales channels

12. Factors, influencing the development of the pork market

12.1. Level of welfare of the population

12.2. Condition of food supply

12.2.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of compound feeds

12.2.2. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of proteinaceous and vitamin

additives

12.2.3. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of premixes

12.3. State control of import deliveries

12.4. Industry program "Pig-breeding development in the Russian Federation for

2010-2012"

13. Characteristics of the consumption of pork

13.1. Dynamics and volume of consumption of pork in 2005-2011. Forecast for

2012-2017

13.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of pork by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005-2017

13.3. Balance between production and consumption of pork in 2005-2017

14. Forecast for development of the pork market for 2012-2017

14.1. Assessment of potential volume of the pork offer for 2012-2017

14.2. Assessment of development of the pork market if Russia's accession to the

World Trade Organization

Appendix 1. Financial and economic performance of the branch

• Revenue (net) from production sale, in 2006-2010, in billions of RUR

• Business and management expenses in 2006-2010, in billions of RUR

• Product cost in 2006-2010, in billions of RUR

• Gross profit from production sale in 2006-2010, in billions of RUR

• Investments into the branch in 2006-2010, in thousands of RUR

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading producers

• Contacts of the enterprises




• Registration data of the enterprises

• Management of the enterprises

• Affiliated organizations

• Main shareholders

• Balance sheet of the enterprises

• Profit and loss report of the enterprises

• Main financial performance of activity




List of Tables

Table 1. Ratio of tissue in pork (% to the mass of gutted carcass)

Table 2. Categories of pigs for slaughter depending on live weight, thickness of sowbellyand

gender and age signs

Table 3. Classes of pork from young growth, depending on output of muscular tissue

Table 4. Classes of pork from swine, hogs, sows, piglets milkmen and boars

Table 5. Technological parameters when cooling pork carcass

Table 6. Review of methods of cold treatment

Table 7. Volume and dynamics of the pork market in 2005-2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 8. Production of pork at the industrial enterprises in 2005 - June 2012, in thousands

of tons

Table 9. Production of pork at the industrial enterprises in 2005 - June 2012, in millions of

RUR

Table 10. Production of pork steamed, cooled, chilled at the industrial enterprises in 2010 -

June 2012, in millions of RUR/ in thousands of tons

Table 11. Production of pork steamed, cooled, chilled: carcass and semi-carcass at the

industrial enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in millions of RUR/ in thousands of tons

Table 12. Production of pork frostbitten, frozen, deep-frozen and defrozen in 2010 - June

2012, in millions of RUR/ in thousands of tons

Table 13. Production of pork in lethal weight by regions of the Russian Federation for 2011,

in thousands of tons

Table 14. The largest producers of pork in Russia and their corresponding market shares in

2011

Table 15. Average manufacturers’ prices of pork in the Russian Federation in January 2007-

September 2011

Table 16. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing countries in 2011, in thousands

of tons

Table 17. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing countries in 2011, in millions of

USD

Table 18. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing countries in January-March 2012,


Table 19. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing countries in January-March 2012,

in millions of USD

Table 20. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands

of tons

Table 21. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in millions of

USD

Table 22. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-March

2012, in thousands of tons

Table 23. Volume of the imports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-March

2012, in millions of USD

Table 24. Volume of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by recipient companies in








January-March 2012, in thousands of tons


January-March 2012, in millions of USD

Table 28. Volume of the imports of pork by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011., in

thousands of tons

Table 29. Volume of the imports of pork by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011, in

millions of USD

Table 30. Volume of the imports of pork by regions of the Russian Federation in January-

March 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 31. Volume of the imports of pork by regions of the Russian Federation in January-

March 2012, in millions of USD

Table 32. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011, in tons

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 34. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in January-March

2012, in tons

Table 35. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in January-March

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 36. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

tons

Table 37. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 38. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-

March 2012, in tons

Table 39. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-

March 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 40. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in 2011, in tons

Table 41. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in 2011, in thousands

of USD

Table 42. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in January-March 2012,

in tons

Table 43. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in January-March 2012,

in thousands of USD

Table 44. Segmentation of the Russian pork market by price

Table 45. Chain formation of pork’s value by sales channels

Table 46. Real incomes of the population in 2000-2009, in %, to the previous year

Table 47. Dynamics of the resources of households (per 100 people) in the Russian

Federation in 2000-2011, in thousands of RUR

Table 48. Differentiation of income in 2005-2010




Table 49. Deviation of income by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation from the

Russian average in 2004-2011

Table 50. Average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian Federation in January

2007 - June 2012

Table 51. Average manufacturers' prices of protein-vitamin supplements in the Russian

Federation in January 2007 - December 2011

Table 52. Average manufacturers' prices of premixes in the Russian Federation in January

2007 - December 2011

Table 53. Change in customs duties on the import of meat, in %

Table 54. Volume of the tariff quotas, in thousands of tons

Table 55. Plan to increase the production of pork in 2010-2012 and 2020, in thousands of

tons

Table 56. Consumption of pork in 2011, in thousands of tons

Table 57. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand of pork in 2005-2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 58. Revenues (net) from sales of goods and services (net of value added tax, excise

duties and similar charges) for the production of meat and edible offal of bovine animals,

swine, sheep, goats, equine animals

Table 59. Revenues (net) from sales of goods and services (net of value added tax, excise

duties and similar charges) for the production of meat and edible offal of bovine animals,

swine, sheep, goats, equine animals

Table 60. Commercial expenses for the production of meat and edible offal of bovine

animals, swine, sheep, goats, equine animals by organization size, in thousands of RUR

Table 61. Administrative expenses for the production of meat and edible offal of bovine

animals, swine, sheep, goats, equine animals the size of organizations, in thousands of RUR

Table 62. Costs of goods sold for the production of meat and edible offal of bovine animals,

swine, sheep, goats, equine animals the size of organizations, in thousands of RUR

Table 63. Profit (gross) from sales of meat and edible organs of cattle, pigs, sheep, goats,

equine animals, in thousands of RUR




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Scheme of cutting pork for retail trade

Fig. 2. Dynamics of the number of pigs in the Russian Federation in 2000-2011, in millions

of heads

Fig. 3. Structure of the number of pig by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011

Fig. 4. Scheme for cutting pig in carcasses

Fig. 5. Pig's head

Fig. 6. Neck pig carcasses

Fig. 7. Loin

Fig. 8. The middle of the loin and thick place pork carcass

Fig. 9. Leg of pork carcass

Fig. 10. Brisket and ribs pork carcass

Fig. 11. Front leg pork carcass

Fig. 12. Feet pig carcasses

Fig. 13. Volume of supply on the pork market in 2005-2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 14. Structure and dynamics of the pork market in 2005-2011 and forecast until 2017,


Fig. 15. Structure of the pork market by origin in physical terms in 2005-2011 and forecast

until 2017

Fig. 16. Production of pork in slaughter weight in farms of all categories in 2005 - 2011, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 17. Structure of production of pork in slaughter weight by categories of farms in 2005-

2011

Fig. 18. Production of pork in industrial enterprises in 2005-2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 19. Production of pork in industrial enterprises in January 2008 - June 2012, in %, to

the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 20. Production of pork in industrial enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in millions of RUR

Fig. 21. Production of pork in industrial enterprises in value terms in January 2009 - June

2012, in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 22. Production of pork in industrial enterprises in 2005 - June 2012, in millions of RUR

Fig. 23. Production of pork steamed, cooled, cooled in industrial enterprises in 2010 - June


Fig. 24. Production of pork steamed, cooled, cooled in industrial enterprises in 2010 - June

2012, in millions of RUR

Fig. 25. Production of pork steamed, cooled, chilled: carcasses and half carcasses in

industrial enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 26. Production of pork steamed, cooled, chilled: carcasses and half carcasses in

industrial enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in millions of RUR

Fig. 27. Production of pork frostbitten, frozen, deep-frozen and thawed in industrial

enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 28. Production of pork frostbitten, frozen, deep-frozen and thawed in industrial

enterprises in 2010 - June 2012, in millions of RUR




Fig. 29. Structure of production of pork by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

January - June 2012

Fig. 30. Structure of production of pork in the Russian Federation by producers in 2011

Fig. 31. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of pork in the Russian Federation in

2011

Fig. 32. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of pork in the Russian Federation in

January-March 2012

Fig. 33. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of pork in the Russian Federation in

January 2011 - September 2011, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous

year

Fig. 34. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of pork by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation, in September 2011

Fig. 35. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 36. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in 2011, in millions of

USD

Fig. 37. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in January-March 2012,


Fig. 38. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in January-March 2012,

in millions of USD

Fig. 39. Structure of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

countries in 2011, in thousands of tons


countries in 2011, in millions of USD


countries in January-March 2012, in thousands of tons


countries in January-March 2012, in millions of USD


companies in 2011, in thousands of tons


companies in 2011, in millions of USD


companies in January-March 2012, in thousands of tons


companies in January-March 2012, in millions of USD

Fig. 47. Structure of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by recipient companies in











Fig. 51. Structure of the imports of pork by recipient regions of the Russian Federation in








Fig. 55. Dynamics of the Russian exports of pork in 2011, in tons

Fig. 56. Dynamics of the Russian exports of pork in 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 57. Dynamics of the Russian exports of pork in January-March 2012, in tons

Fig. 58. Dynamics of the Russian exports of pork in January-March 2012, in thousands of

USD

Fig. 59. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011, in tons

Fig. 60. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 61. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in January-March

2012, in tons

Fig. 62. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in January-March

2012, in thousands of USD

Fig. 63. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

tons

Fig. 64. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 65. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-

March 2012, in tons

Fig. 66. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by manufacturing companies in January-

March 2012, in thousands of USD

Fig. 67. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in 2011, in tons

Fig. 68. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in 2011, in thousands

of USD

Fig. 69. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in January-March 2012,

in tons

Fig. 70. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by sending regions in January-March 2012,

in thousands of USD

Fig. 71. Sales structure of the pork market by producers by sales channels in 2011

Fig. 72. Structure of sales of pork by retail format in 2011

Fig. 73. Structure of sales of pork by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in physical

terms, in 2011

Fig. 74. Structure of the pork market in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 75. Structure of the pork market in value terms in 2011

Fig. 76. Changes in the level of income of the population in 2000-2011

Fig. 77. Distribution of the total income of the population in 2011 by groups




Fig. 78. Average deviation of the average per capita income by Federal Districts from the

natiaonal average across Russia in 2000-2011

Fig. 79. Shares of the volume of free funds by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation to

the national average in 2000-2011

Fig. 80. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed on in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011

Fig. 81. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed on in the Russian

Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 82. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 83. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of animal feed by Federal Districts

of the Russian Federation in June 2012

Fig. 84. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of on protein-vitamin supplements in

the Russian Federation in January-December 2011

Fig. 85. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of on protein-vitamin supplements in

the Russian Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 86. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of protein-vitamin supplements in

the Russian Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

Fig. 87. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of protein-vitamin supplements by

Federal Districts of the Russian Federation, in June 2012

Fig. 88. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of for premixes in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011

Fig. 89. Indexes of the average manufacturers' prices of for premixes in the Russian

Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 90. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of premixes in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 91. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of premixes by Federal Districts of

the Russian Federation, in June 2012

Fig. 92. Dynamics of the consumption of pork in the Russian Federation in 2005-2011 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 93. Consumption of pork by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011

Fig. 94. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand of pork in 2005-2017




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian pork market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%

higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported

products on the pork market was …%.

The volume of production of pork in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the volume

of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all pork manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012 belongs

to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of pork in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and to

… thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of pork was … tons, which was equal to …

thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian pork

market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian pork market in

2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian pork market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%

higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported

products on the pork market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the pork market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for

2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the pork market in Russia: production, exports,

imports, consumption

The volume of imports of pork in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total market

volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the pork market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the pork market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports



7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of pork in Russia in 2007 -

2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of pork production in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Pork production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Pork production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to the

previous year




7.3 The main manufacturers of pork and their corresponding

market shares

The main manufacturers of pork in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B, and

Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by Company

D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of pork, in

tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of pork prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of pork

Manufacturers’ prices of pork have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in 2009 to …

RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their highest value

in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of pork in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

pork to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of pork

…

The volume of Russian imports of pork in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of pork was

imported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

pork on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of pork (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of pork in 2011. The second place

was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of pork (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.





Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the pork, imported to

the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of pork (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of pork in 2011. The second place

was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of pork (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS





Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Table 26. Volume of the imports of pork in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of pork 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of pork

…

The volume of Russian exports of pork in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of pork was

exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of pork in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of pork in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of pork

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of pork was Country A. Its share

in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C (…%).

To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined share

of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 2. Structure of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011 in

physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of pork by recipient countries in 2011, in

tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




13. Characteristics of consumption

of pork 13.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of pork in 2008 -

2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of pork in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more, compared to

2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of pork in recent years - a

decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years was observed in 2009,

when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012, the consumption of

pork almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-

crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of pork increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually. Thus, by

2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for pork in the country will be

met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …% of the market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of pork in the Russian Federation in 2008 –

2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




13.2. Structure of consumption of pork by industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of pork are taken by Industry A (…%) and

Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry D

consumes about …% of the pork in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of pork by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




13.3. Balance between production and consumption of pork

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of pork and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the pork

market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the pork market in

Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




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