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Larrain Vial Conference Santiago de Chile March 2019 1

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Page 1: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Larrain VialConference

Santiago de Chile March 2019

1

Page 2: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

29.9%81.1%

VP 18.9% Dolphin 49.0%

HOTELS

SANTA MARÍA & OTHER

LANDBANKINTERNATIONAL

SHOPPINGSMALLS

OFFICEBUILDINGS

COMMERCIAL LANDBANK

98.7% 77.1%

63.74%

• Leading diversified real estate company with assets in Argentina, USA and Israel.

• Controlling shareholder of IRSA Propiedades Comerciales, leading commercial real estate company in Argentina with ~447,000 sqm of GLA located in premium locations.

• Landbank to develop ~ 3 million sqm of prime real estate

• 25 years listed both in Buenos Aires and NYSE

IRSA at a glance

2

Page 3: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Premium Portfolio of Shopping Malls

High income AreaMid Income AreaLow Income Area

USD 121 MN LTM EBITDAUSD 1.1 BN Book Value

BA City Argentina

3

Page 4: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Premium Portfolio of Office Buildings

Expanding Corporate North AreaBusiness CenterAAA LocationBack Office Center

USD 18 MM LTM EBITDAUSD 0.3 BN Book Value

BA City

200 Della Paolera(FY 2020)

Est. EBITDA~USD 8MMZetta Building

(2H FY2019)Est. EBITDA~USD 6MM

4

Page 5: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Rental properties’ resilient revenue model

Parking

Non Traditional Advertising

Stands Base rent50,2%

Percentage rent

21,7%

Admission rights11,5%

Other16,6%

• 3-year average term for office

lease contracts

• US Dollar based

• Rental rates for renewed

terms are negotiated at

market

Base Rent

% Sales

% Sales

% Sales

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

ARS linked to

inflation

Brokerage fee~5x monthly base rent

“Key money”

admission rights~8x monthly base rent

In advance

US$ US$ US$

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

Shopping Malls

OfficesRevenue from leases

Revenue from leases Other revenues Rent revenue breakdown

International75%

Local25%

Tenants breakdown

5

Page 6: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

77,252 84,361 83,213 83,213

115,213

32,000

30,000115,213

145,213

IIQ17 IIQ18 IIQ19 FY19E FY20E

Offices – Leases USD/sqm/month & OccupancyShopping Malls – Tenants’ Sales

(% Var i.a.)

Shopping Malls & OfficesOperating Figures

Offices – Stock (sqm GLA) Shopping Centers – Sqm GLA (Th.) & Occupancy (%)

+ 9.2% - 1.4%

21,3% 18,5% 19,6% 18,5%22,5% 22,7%

27,6% 28,6%24,1% 23,8%

-14,4% -14,0%

-2,8% -2,0%

2,9%

-0,1%

1,8% 1,2%

-8,4%

-16,1%

IQ 17 IIQ 17 IIIQ 17 IVQ 17 IQ 18 IIQ 18 IIIQ 18 IVQ 18 IQ 19 IIQ 19

Nominal terms Real terms

25,6 26,5 27,0

100%

94%90%*

IIQ17 IIQ18 IIQ19

337,401 340,111332,119

98% 99%

95%

IIQ17 IIQ18 IIQ19

Mainly due to 12,600 sqm vacancy generated by Walmart in DOT Baires

Shopping

end of concession

+74.5%

Zetta Building

200 Della Paolera

* Mainly explained by new vacant floors at Dot

building. Considering Zetta building fully

leased to open next quarter, the avge

occupancy would have been ~93%.

Excluding this effect, IIQ 19 occupancy would have been

98.7%

6

Page 7: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

-5%

40%

16%

39%

22%

44%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E

Inflation + GDP(%)

Shopping Malls historical figures evolution

Source: Indec

Occupancy (%)

Tenants sales growth(ARS/sqm)*

* Excluding DOT Baires

-18%

36%

11%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

7

Page 8: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

A+ Office sector BA City - historical evolution

Source: Indec

93,8%

78,0%

96,5%

91,0%

94,0%94,9%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

BA Market A+ Office Occupancy (%)

37,4

11,0

36,0

25,9

31,7

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

BA Market A+ Office rentUSD/sqm

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Page 9: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Our land reserve will allow us to significantly expand our commercial

real estate portfolio

We have a robust pipeline for shopping malls… …as well as for premium office properties

83 83

1382 138

221

Current New developments Current GLA &pipeline

2.7x

332 332

128 130 128

1181 118

580

Current Brownfield Greenfield Current GLA &pipeline

1.7x

~19,000 sqm currently under construction or

to start soon

~67,000 sqm currently under construction

In existing land reserve In existing land reserve9

Page 10: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Zetta building (Polo Dot 1st office building)

The first building of the Office Park developed in the north area of BA City

32,000 GLA sqm

IIIQ 2019 Est. opening

~ USD 9mm Est. EBITDA

99% Work Progress

ARS 1,425 mm Est. investment

Recent delivery of units to its tenants for conditioning

Fully Leased80%

20%

10

Page 11: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Polo Dot Project

Existing Shopping Mall

Zetta BuildingPolo Dot 1st stage

Polo Dot 2nd stage

Polo Dot 3rd stage

Philips BuildingFuture Recycling

Existing Office Building

Future Mall Expansion

11

Page 12: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

“200 Della Paolera” Office building (under development in Catalinas)

Price:(including remaining development)

USD 60.3 mm

14,213 sqm87%

13%

Current Ownership

Price/sqm:

~USD 4,200

35,000 GLA sqm

Total Project

FY 2020 Est. opening

USD 10-12mmEst. EBITDA

41% Work Progress*

12 floors

131 parking spaces

*As of January 31, 2018

Recent acquisition from IRSA

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Page 13: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Alto Palermo expansion

City of Buenos AiresHighest sales/sqm shopping mall

US$28.5mmestimated investment

FY2020opening date

3,900sqm GLA

13

Page 14: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Recent Approval: La Plata Mixed-use Project

Land Plot

78,000 sqm

Capacity to develop

100,000 sqm

La Plata

BA City

La Plata is the 5th

highly populated

city of Argentina

with no shopping

malls14

Page 15: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Recent Approval: Caballito Project

Land Plot of 23,000 sqmCapacity to develop

Residential: ~ 76,000 sqm Retail: ~ 11,000 sqm

15

Page 16: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Argentina Business Center - Hotels

Llao Llao

Bariloche – Río Negro

Intercontinental

BA City

Sheraton Libertador

BA City

201 195 205

69,1% 71,5% 68,5%

IIQ17 IIQ18 IIQ19

Rate & Occupancy evolution

Avg. Rate/room (USD) Occupancy

46

305

6M18 6M19

EBITDA (ARS MM)

+ 563%

5.9

25.4

8,204

35,610

Historical Adjusted for Inflation

Book Value as of Jun ‘18

BV (USD MM) USD / room

On Feb-19, IRSA acquired20% of the shares ofHoteles Argentinos S.A.,owner of the hotel knownas Sheraton Liberatdor

Current stake: 100%

+ 331%

16

Page 17: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Premium mixed-use Landbank for future developments

San Luis

Neuquén

Montevideo

(Uruguay)

Paraná

Tucumán

Pereiraola

Caballito

Pilar

Pontevedra

Mariano Acosta

Merlo

La Adela

Puerto Retiro

UOM LujanLa Plata

Coto Abasto

(espacio aéreo)Predio

San Martín

Maltería

Hudson

Argentina BA Province

USD 460 MN

Book Value

Santa María del Plata

BA City

~20 MN SQM

Land Surface

~ 700,000 sqm of Premium Real Estate to be developed in the best location of BA City (Approvals pending)17

Page 18: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Investment in IDB & DIC

Israel

100% 77.9%

Indirectly*

68.8%100% 25.3%**19.3% 43.9% 67.5% 59.5% 26.0%

45.4% 51.7%

* There is a non recourse intercompany loan between Dolphin (borrower) and IDB (lender) due to the transference of DIC shares. This loan is guaranteed with DIC shares sold.** 29.6% stake sold through local swap transactions, holding economic rights for 54.9%.

Energy Tourism InsuranceFinancial

InvestmentsTelecommunications

Agriculture Rental Properties

Real Estate Technology Supermarket

Working to reduce one more layer of public companies before December 2019, according to Concentration Law requirement

Largest and most well diversified conglomerates in Israel

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Page 19: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

PBC (67.5% DIC stake) & Gav Yam (51.7% PBC stake)

Leading Real Estate companies in Israel

Office & hi-tech parkCommercial & RetailIndustrial & LogisticsProperties under constructionResidentialLand reserves

HSBC Building - Manhattan

Matam Park - Haifa

Herzeliva North

Tivoli - Las Vegas

1,160,000 sqmin Israel

97%occupancy

670,000 sqmLand reserve

142,000 sqmin USA

Market CapUSD 523 MM

USD 1,010MM 19

Page 20: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Real Estate projects under development in Israel

The New Haifa Bay – Logistic CenterOpening during 2H FY 2019

TOHA: 95% already leased. Opening during 2H FY 2019

NEGEV: 3 of 4 buildings finished

MATAM-YAM: Recently finished Amazon main tenant

8 Projects

194,000 sqm

REHOVOT: 3 of 4 buildings finished

20

Page 21: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Shufersal (26.0% DIC stake): Israel’s Leading Food Retailer

Traded on TASE – Market cap USD 1,674 MM

Operates 338 stores nationwide

• Shufersal: 274 stores• New Pharm: 64 stores

Holds a real estate portfolio of ~ NIS 3 billion

Private Label - % of Total Sales

22,1%21,6%

22,1% 22,2%

24,0%

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q2 2018

Online Sales - % of Total Sales

11,8%10,5%

11,2%12,4%

13,5%

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q2 2018

New Pharm recent acquisition2nd largest pharmacy chain in Israel

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Page 22: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Largest Telecommunications Provider(43.9% DIC stake)

20 37

50

6374

87

99

111

124

137

154

170

184195

206

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Q3

2016

Q4

2016

Q1

2017

Q2

2017

Q3

2017

Q4

2017

Q1

2018

Q2

2018

Q3

2018

Cellcom TV Subscribers (Th.)

Fastest growing company in TV, internet & fixed line services:

• ISP Service for 685k households

• Over 195,000 pay TV subscribers

Israel’s largest cellular provider – 2.8 million subscribers26% market share

Competition:

•Operates in competitive environment -5 cellular providers.

•Cellular: ARPU NIS 51.8 vs ~ NIS 163 in the US.

Transition from cellular company to communication Group:

Market cap USD 603 MM 22

Page 23: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Other Assets

in Israel

• BrainsGate (30%) – Device for treating stroke:

Implement used to electrically stimulate the SPG nervous center behind the nose known to increase blood flow in the brain.

• Pocared (69%):

Real time automated microbiology lab system.

• CartiHeal (31%):

Cell-free cartilage regeneration.

• Elron is a leading Israeli investor in early stage ventures. Leader of several exits of more than USD 1.5 billion over the last 5 years

• Elron specializes in the fields of medical devices, cybersecurity and IT.

• Traded on TASE - Market cap USD 161 MM

• Revenues from agricultural Activity 1,392 Knis, Net profit of about 20 million.

• Real estate – leases of 13.6k dunamscomprising 27%

• Total revenues ~ NIS 1.46 billion

• One of the largest insurance company in Israel.

• Assets under management (AUM) over USD 55 billion.

• Operates with ~2,000 insurance agents and has ~4,000 employees

• Market share:• Health insurance: 17%• Pension, provident funds and financial products: 15%• General insurance: 11.3%• Life Insurance and long term savings: 20%

5.150,7

2.927,9

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

5.000

5.500

6.000

Equity Market cap

Market Cap vs. Book Value(NIS million)

57% BV

Market cap USD 79 MM

(25.3% IDB stake – 54.9% economic rights)

(59.5% DIC stake)

(59.5% DIC stake)

InsuranceCompanies

P / BV

CLAL 0.6x

Avg. Israel 0.8x

Avg. USA 1.4x

23

Page 24: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Financials

Page 25: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Adjustment for Inflation - Impact on IRSA

HOTELS LANDBANK INTERNATIONAL

SHOPPINGSMALLS

OFFICEBUILDINGS

COMMERCIAL LANDBANK

In ARS currency

Adjusted for inflation

Not adjusted for inflation

25

Page 26: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Balance Sheet Income

Statement

No impact Segregation of net

gain/loss between: (i)

real FV adjustment

gain/loss, and (ii)

inflation adjustment

Adjustment for Inflation - Impact on Assets

Shopping Malls Office Buildings Land Reserves

• Property, Plant & Equipment

Hotels(Sheraton, Intercontinental, Llao Llao)

• Properties for SaleIRCP Properties for saleCaballito plotCasona AbrilPereira Iraola lots

• IntangiblesGoodwillSoftwareRights of use (Distrito Arcos)Right to receive units (Barter agreements)

Valued at Fair value

Valued at historical cost adjusted for

inflation

Balance Sheet Income

Statement

Items are adjusted for

inflation since

incorporation or the

beginning of the period, if

later.

a. Annual inflation gain/loss reflected in a separate P&L item “Inflation Adjustment”

b. Increased depreciation charge for the year due to PP&E inflation adjustment

Investment Properties Other Assets

26

PP&E + Prop. For Sale + Intangibles

(Argentina)

1%Investment Prop.

(Argentina)

17%

Investment Prop.

(Israel)

31%Other Assets (Argentina)

5%

Other Assets

(Israel)

46%

Assets as of Dec-2018

Adjusted for inflation

Page 27: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Shopping Malls IIQ 2019 IIQ 2018 Var % 6M 2019 6M 2018 Var %

1 Revenues 1,398 1,508 -7.3% 2,741 2,939 -6.8%

2 Adjusted EBITDA 1,090 1,172 -7.0% 2,062 2,285 -9.8%

3 EBITDA Margin % 78.0% 77.8% 0.2pp 75.2% 77.8% -2.6pp

4 Net Operating Income (NOI) 1,250 1,302 -4.0% 2,399 2,538 -5.5%

Offices IIQ 2019 IIQ 2018 Var % 6M 2019 6M 2018 Var %

5 Revenues 295 175 68.7% 521 354 46.9%

6 Adjusted EBITDA 236 140 68.4% 414 287 44.0%

7 EBITDA Margin % 80.1% 80.3% -0.2pp 79.5% 81.1% -1.6pp

8 Net Operating Income (NOI) 267 152 75.2% 470 312 50.7%

Financial Overview by segment IIQ FY 2019 (ARS millions)

27

Page 28: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Main Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Dec 31, 2018

1 LTM Adjusted EBITDA (USD MM) 133.3

2 LTM NOI (USD MM) 153.2

3 LTM Adjusted FFO (USD MM) 82.9

Valuation Ratios

4 Cap Rate (LTM NOI / Market Cap) 17.3%

5 EV / EBITDA LTM 6.6x

6 P / FFO LTM 6.9x

7 P / NAV 0.4x

LTM Dec 31, 2018 Adjusted Avg. FX: $35.3

28

Page 29: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

3.0 5.4

149.8

10.8

368.1

FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023

IRSA Commercial Properties’ Financial SolvencyAs of December 31, 2018

USD 202 mm Cash

Debt Amortization Schedule

19% LTVNet Asset Value (USD mm)

1,785

1,450

1,084

327

270

2085

335

Shopping Malls Offices Land reserves &prop. under

development

Others JV & Investess Gross AssetValue

Net Debt Net AssetValue

29

Debt USD 537 MM

Net Debt USD 335 MM

Net Debt / EBITDA 2.5x

EBITDA / Interests 3.6x

Local Rating AA+

International Rating B+

Page 30: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Dividends received from IRCP(USD MM)

5854

48

28

48

30

12

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

Avg. 40

30

Page 31: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

89 78

197 197 197 197 197

118

dec-2019 dec-2020 dec-2021 dec-2022 dec-2023 dec-2024 dec-2025 dec-2026

13211466

951 954

740

966

673

dec-2012 dec-2013 dec-2014 dec-2015 dec-2016 dec-2017 dec-2018

1290 1312

923781 749 739 698

dec-2012 dec-2013 dec-2014 dec-2015 dec-2016 dec-2017 dec-2018

205

56 56

331

56 56 56

dec-2019 dec-2020 dec-2021 dec-2022 dec-2023 dec-2024 dec-2025

Israel Financial Figures(USD MM)

Stand alone

Stand alone

Net Debt evolution

Net Debt evolution

USD 187 mm Cash

Debt Amortization Schedule

Debt Amortization Schedule

USD 718 mm CashilBBB+Credit Rating

USD 520 mmNAV

58%LTV

ilBBB-Credit Rating

31

Page 32: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

5.9

205.5

83.2

8.8

FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022

IRSA Stand Alone Debt

USD 294.2 mmStand Alone Net Debt

Debt Amortization ScheduleAs of December 31, 2018

To be refinanced

32

Page 33: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

-2.6%

-4.9%

-3.7%

-1.5%-1.0%

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

Argentina Macroeconomic Forecast

BADLAR Rate (%)

36.1%

24.8%

48.2%

29.9%

20.0%

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

15.8 17.7

37.9

48.0

55.5

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

Nominal FX

-2.2%

2.9%

-2.7%

-1.0%

2.2%

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

GDP (%)

24.8%

19.9%

32.8% 32.0%

27.0%

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

Inflation (%)

Current Account (% of GDP)

-4.6%-3.9%

-2.6%

0.0%

1.0%

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E

Fiscal Account (% of GDP)

Sources: Central Bank REM, Econviews & Elypsis

33

Page 34: Larrain Vial Conference - irsacp.com.ar

Argentina Credit Market

Sovereign 10y bonds vs RatingsArgentina: High yield relative to rating

IRSA & IRCP bonds Higher yield despite lower leverage

Sources: Morgan Stanley & Bloomberg

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

OA

S A

dj.

Sp

read

to

Tsy

Total Debt to Assets

IRCP23

IRSA20

Best 25%

Comparison of 3-5 yrs duration and B-to B+ credit rating corporate bonds

11%

8.5%

9.0%

3,50%

5,50%

7,50%

9,50%

11,50%

13,50%

BONAR24 IRSA20 IRCP23

YTM bonds’ evolutionAvg. 10% Avg. 10%

Avg. 5%

34

Potential Compression