gary taylor - ote birmingham - digital advertising – where is it going?

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Where Is It Going? Digital Advertising Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

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Topic: Digital advertising – where is it going? The changes and new trends on digital marketing and what they mean to businesses Key takeaways: Identifying and monitoring trends Managing data effectively The next big things for digital advertising Technology recommendations

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Page 1: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Where Is It Going?

Digital Advertising

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 2: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Contents

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

• Who am I?

• The Search Market• How The Landscape Has Changed• The Effects Of ATL To Web

• Identifying And Monitoring Digital Trends

• Managing Data Effectively• “Big Data”• Econometric Modelling• Attribution Modelling

• The Next Big Things For Digital Advertising• Audience Profiling• Content Marketing• Social Listening And Verification

• Technology Recommendations

Page 3: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

TMW Overview

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

TMW are an independently-owned media buying agency with offices in Stratford Upon Avon and London, we specialise in the planning, booking and implementation of TV, Press, Radio, Out of Home and Digital media.

Our team manages large-scale integrated marketing and consultancy services for a number of top UK companies, including:

• Major furniture retailer• Leading vitamins company• Global power tools company• Global insurance company• National house builder

And a number of other top retail, leisure and travel clients

Page 4: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Who Am I?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

• Ten years online marketing experience

• Core skills in digital solutions, SEO and analytics

• Midlands Young Entrepreneur of the Year in 2008

• Guest speaker at numerous digital conferences in the UK and Europe including SMX, SAScon and Think Visibility

• Significant experience within lead generation, retail and ROI driven campaigns

• Nominated As European SEO Personality Of The Year 2012…

Gary Taylor

Head Of Digital – TMW Ltd.

Page 5: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

The Landscape Has Changed

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 6: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

89.11%

6.35%3.22%

UK Market Share

Google

Bing

Yahoo

Other

Data Source: TheWord.co.uk July 2013

Google Still Dominating UK Search

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 7: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Paid Results

Organic Results

Paid Results

Traditionally, Google only showed paid and organic results

Page 8: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Paid Results

Google Finder

Organic Results

Local Results

Google Maps / Local Results

Paid Results

Local Results

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Now there are numerous ways to gain valuable search engine “real estate”

Page 9: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Nestlé finds horse meat in beef pasta

mealsAndroid Kit Kat

unveiled by Google and Nestlé

Search is extremely sensitive to positive and negative economic factors

Page 10: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

A comprehensive search strategy now joins forces with social media and PR, helping you to understand your online reputation and how to protect it

Page 11: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Search Market

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Search is extremely sensitive to positive and negative economic factorsAnd the effects of TV to web are unequivocal

Page 12: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

The Effects Of ATL To Web

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Above the line advertising (TV, Press, Display Advertising, Social etc.) drives customers into the funnel, where we can harvest them with other channels like PPC, Organic Search, Email and Display Retargeting

Multiple “touch points” along user

journey

Page 13: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

The need to make your brand synonymous with your products and integrate all marketing channels is more important than ever

The Effects Of ATL To Web

Page 14: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

In a nutshell: If you aren’t visible when your campaigns need it most…your competitors WILL steal your customers

Own YOUR space

The Effects Of ATL To Web

Page 15: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Digital Trends

Identifying And Monitoring

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 16: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 17: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 18: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 19: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 20: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 21: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Today there is a plethora of buzz words, sayings and clichés in the digital universe but what should you be focusing your efforts on?

Digital “Buzz” Words

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 22: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Managing It Effectively

Data

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 23: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Big data is only useful when you can understand it, interpret it and make informed business decisions based upon it.

If you have hundreds, thousands or millions of lines of data, how can you manage it effectively?

Big Data

London Olympics Campaign

115m impressions served

188 creative formats tested

537k lines of user journey data

Page 24: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

How can I find users with a higher propensity to CONVERT?

The BIG Question

Page 25: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Review current paths to conversion against spend and revenue

Attribution Modelling

Path to purchase example:

1st Impression

Last Click

• The Times• Mex Ad• Amazon etc.

Banner

Page 26: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Analyse % weighting of spend using analytics solutions e.g DC Storm, Bright Analytics etc.

Attribution Modelling

Banner PPC Re-targeting Organic/Direct

15

50

2015

Cost vs. Rev

Page 27: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Monitor Cost vs. Revenue across all marketing channels

Attribution Modelling

Page 28: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Revise % of spend to make it as efficient as possible based on new weighted results…reducing cost vs. revenue

Attribution Modelling

Cost vs. Rev

Banner PPC Re-targeting Organic/Direct

35

25

30

10

Page 29: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Understanding your baseline activity (intercept) is vital so that you can determine uplift by channel and amend advertising spend to the most efficient mix

Big Data

5/14/2

012

5/15/2

012

5/16/2

012

5/17/2

012

5/18/2

012

5/19/2

012

5/20/2

012

5/21/2

012

5/22/2

012

5/23/2

012

5/24/2

012

5/25/2

012

5/26/2

012

5/27/2

012

5/28/2

012

5/29/2

012

5/30/2

012

5/31/2

012

6/1/2

012

6/2/2

012

6/3/2

012

6/4/2

012

6/5/2

012

6/6/2

012

6/7/2

012

6/8/2

012

6/9/2

012

6/10/2

012

6/11/2

012

6/12/2

012

6/13/2

012

6/14/2

012

6/15/2

012

6/16/2

012

6/17/2

012

6/18/2

012

6/19/2

012

6/20/2

012

6/21/2

012

6/22/2

012

6/23/2

012

6/24/2

0120

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Web VisitsATL and Digital Activity

Page 30: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

To achieve this most efficient mix data can be analysed using a statistical method called regression analysis which allows us to “predict” an output based on various inputs and variables

Econometric Modelling

Y ≈ ƒ( X, β) Breakdown:

Y = The dependent variable ƒ = The function X = Independent variablesβ= “Beta” unknown parameters (represents a “Scalar” - a quantity described by a singular number)

Page 31: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

The correlation coefficient ranges from −1 to 1, with anything over 0.7 considered to be a positive correlation.

A value of 1 describes a perfect relationship between Y and X.

Econometric Modelling

Our aim is to find a media mix which correlates as closely as possible to 1

Page 32: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

So, back to that BIG question…and those 537,426 lines of data…

Logistic Regression

Page 33: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

How can I find users with a higher propensity to CONVERT?

The BIG Question

Page 34: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Logistic Regression can be used in marketing to “predict” a customer's propensity to purchase a product or cancel a service

The most straightforward interpretation of this is where the outcome is coded as a "0" or "1”

Examples:

Did a user who viewed a display ad, followed by clicking on a PPC ad convert?

Did a Telegraph reader convert?

Do existing customers who view 2 display ads, followed by an organic search, then 3 days later click on a PPC ad, finally returning 4 days later via a direct visit to our website convert?

Logistic Regression

Page 35: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

The good news is that we don’t have to do this in our heads…there are numerous software providers with attribution solutions from entry level to enterprise

Phew!...I’m Glad That’s Over…

Page 36: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

So What Next?

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 37: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

So What Next?

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 38: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

So What Next?

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 39: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

So What Next?

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 40: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

The Next Big Things…

Attribution Modelling

Econometric Modelling

Augmented Reality

So-Lo-Mo

QR CodesNFC

Apps

Content Marketing Inbound

Marketing

RTB Display

Audience Profiling

Big Data

Page 41: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

For Digital Advertising

The Next Big Things

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 42: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Audience Profiling

So we know which of our user journeys have a higher propensity to convert, so let’s describe them as customers and create ways to attract more of these users…

You may have multiple customer personas applicable to your product(s)…ASK your

customers!

Page 43: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Audience Profiling

We can then form audience profiles and understand more about their browsing habits…but more importantly…how we reach them, and where we can find them online!

Page 44: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Content Marketing…It’s Nothing New

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Content marketing is nothing new…But moving forward we can back it up with REAL data

Page 45: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Audience (000’s) Responses Index

  Total 7,737 3,427 147

1 People.co.uk (TMG) 375 159 231.5

2 HelloMagazine.com 131 54 226.7

3 GardenersWorld.com 509 238 198.5

4 RoyalCentral.co.uk 215 118 193.4

5 HolidayWatchdog.com 296 138 139.4

6 Trusted Reviews 356 151 127.8

7 Express.co.uk 585 268 113.8

8 BBC Good Food 2,155 862 113.7

9 Mail Online Femail 1,098 522 111.9

10 MSN News & Weather 2,017 917 109.8

Content Marketing

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

For purposes of this example we have used dummy pro-royalist data

Our users are almost twice as likely to browse

RoyalCentral.co.uk

Page 46: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Content Marketing At It’s Best

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Relevant and well researched content

on leading pro-Royalist website

Helps with contextual targeting on display

activity for truly integrated approach

Page 47: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Own YOUR space

And This Brings Us Full Circle

Page 48: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Verifying Your Efforts

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Using various social monitoring/listening tools we can monitor the results

The social impact created by your marketing

campaigns is extremely valuable data.

Page 49: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Verifying Your Efforts

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Determine if your marketing message has reached the right audience. Have you said the right things to the right people?

Time of day is important to know, particularly when

understanding when’s best to uplift or down weight

activity

Page 50: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

And Finally…

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

“ Success comes from doing the simple things brilliantly…

Page 51: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Recommendations

Technology

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 52: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Technology Recommendations

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 53: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

Recommended Reads

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Page 54: Gary Taylor - OTE Birmingham - Digital advertising – where is it going?

The End

Copyright 2013 TMW Ltd.

Thank You

Feel free to follow me on Twitter @garyptaylor