an in-depth combinatorial hand analysis in cash games

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Screenshots of Pokerstars copy PokerStarscom All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

Donrsquot bet so small that your opponent has odds to call with

everything but donrsquot bet so big so that yoursquore risking too much when yoursquore bluffing

ndash

Bet a bit bigger when yoursquore out of position

isnrsquot out

pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff

pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot

We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Donrsquot bet so small that your opponent has odds to call with

everything but donrsquot bet so big so that yoursquore risking too much when yoursquore bluffing

ndash

Bet a bit bigger when yoursquore out of position

isnrsquot out

pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff

pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot

We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

isnrsquot out

pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff

pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot

We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff

pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot

We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet

Letrsquos review the factors of when a player

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Yoursquore betting for more value

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos

wersquore likely to bet

So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo

Poker is among the things where itrsquos

ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot

Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively

Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality

ndash

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

holdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

ndashholdrsquoem

ndash

ndash

ndash

ndash

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than

Controlling ldquotiltrdquo

mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms

MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu

15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016

For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms