an in-depth combinatorial hand analysis in cash games
TRANSCRIPT
Screenshots of Pokerstars copy PokerStarscom All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
Donrsquot bet so small that your opponent has odds to call with
everything but donrsquot bet so big so that yoursquore risking too much when yoursquore bluffing
ndash
Bet a bit bigger when yoursquore out of position
isnrsquot out
pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff
pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot
We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Donrsquot bet so small that your opponent has odds to call with
everything but donrsquot bet so big so that yoursquore risking too much when yoursquore bluffing
ndash
Bet a bit bigger when yoursquore out of position
isnrsquot out
pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff
pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot
We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
isnrsquot out
pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff
pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot
We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
pair of 8rsquos so there may be no need to bluff
pair of 8rsquos that looked pretty good on the flop is a lot
We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
We will replay the hand from our opponentrsquos
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
What do we put him on Letrsquos look at what he would and wouldnrsquot continuation bet
Letrsquos review the factors of when a player
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Hands that he ldquobluffsrdquo
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Yoursquore betting for more value
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Hersquos already been showing plenty of aggression so itrsquos
wersquore likely to bet
So itrsquos unlikely that he has a nutty hand
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
(statistical ldquo95 confidence intervalrdquo
Poker is among the things where itrsquos
ldquoIf you canrsquot spot the fish at the table thenyou are the fishrdquo
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Selective memory (remember bad beats donrsquot
Hit lucky streak and consider it ldquoall skillrdquo blame
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
opponent if yoursquore playing exploitively
Confidence is necessary to trust yoursquove made
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
ldquopay $10 to see a movierdquo mentality
ndash
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Playing when yoursquore tired just to getldquounstuckrdquo (win back the money you lost)
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
holdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
ndashholdrsquoem
ndash
ndash
ndash
ndash
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
We talked about the ldquodecision mentalityrdquo in
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
Everyone thinks theyrsquore unluckier than
Controlling ldquotiltrdquo
mage of damaged desN (c) source unNnown All rights reserved This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license For more information see httpocwmiteduhelpfaq-fair-use
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms
ldquolife is luckrdquo ldquordquo ldquoOne long sessionrdquo
MIT OpenCourseWare httpsocwmitedu
15S50 How to Win at Texas Holdem IAP 2016
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use visit httpsocwmiteduterms