session 1 - project risk management

Upload: shahzad-sultan-ali

Post on 04-Apr-2018

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    1/21

    Project Risk Management

    SZABISTMPM II A

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    2/21

    Teaching Pattern:

    No Course BOOK

    Course MaterialRegularin Class, Assignments &Slides

    Each Class we have 2 Quizzes (Only one is marked)

    Anytime between the class.

    Class participationBonus Marks

    Mid Term Exam *

    Project & Presentation

    Field Based

    Research Based

    All Slides & Assignments are available on e-Group

    Need Your Participation Productive

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    3/21

    Introduction

    Your Name & Select Object thatreflects your personality.

    2 Min

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    4/21

    What is Risk?

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    5/21

    What is Risk?

    A probability or threat ofdamage, injury,liability,loss, or any other negative occurrence that is

    caused by external or internal vulnerabilities, and

    that may be avoided through preemptive action.

    Services/ goods not provided within budget

    Political change

    Change in interest rates

    Loss of customer loyalty/ revenue Fraud

    Project budget over-runs

    Terrorist attack/ Bomb threat etc.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    6/21

    What is Project Risk?

    A risk is something that may happen and if it does,will have a positive ornegative impact on theproject.

    A risk must also have a probability something above0%. It must be a chance to happen or it is not a risk.

    Being late

    Over Budget

    Communication Breakdown

    Employee turnover

    Not Knowing What's Going On

    Un-productivity

    User Commitment

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    7/21

    Difference b/w RISK & ISSUE

    Risk is an event offuture, if it occurs, may impactproject objectives in positive ornegative manner.

    The key point is that the risk event has not happenedyet.

    An issue is a result of an event that is happeningright now orhas already happened.

    The key point is that issue event has alreadyhappened.

    Risk is a future event that may have an impact ontriple constraint (Budget, scope and schedule).

    A risk can become an issue, but issue is not risk - ithas already happened.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    8/21

    RISK, Project RISK or ISSUE ???

    We may not be able to complete the project on timeif the server we need does not arrive on time.

    The system we are building is designed for 1000concurrent users, but if we get more than that itmight run slow or even crash.

    Not recruiting a senior consultant for the project bythe second week could delay the project by a month.

    If a staff member leaves the project, we have to actnow to replace her.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    9/21

    RISK, Project RISK or ISSUE ???

    We may not be able to complete the project on time if theserver we need does not arrive on time. Project Risk

    The system we are building is designed for 1000

    concurrent users, but if we get more than that it might runslow or even crash. RISK Non-Project Risk

    Not recruiting a senior consultant for the project by the

    second week could delay the project by a month. ProjectRisk

    If a staff member leaves the project, we have to act now

    to replace her. Issue

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    10/21

    What Is Risk Management?

    Risk Management is the process ofidentifying,analyzing and responding to risk factors throughout

    the life of a project and in the best interests of its

    objectives.

    Proper risk management implies control ofpossible

    future events and is proactive rather than reactive.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    11/21

    What Is Risk Management?

    Risk Management is the process ofidentifying,analyzing and responding to risk factors throughout

    the life of a project and in the best interests of its

    objectives.

    Proper risk management implies control ofpossible

    future events and is proactive rather than reactive.

    Case: An activity in a network requires that a newtechnology be developed. The schedule indicates six

    months for this activity, but the technical employees

    think that nine months is closer to the truth. What

    you do?

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    12/21

    Case Study: Risk Management

    An activity in a network requires that a new technologybe developed. The schedule indicates six months for thisactivity, but the technical employees think that ninemonths is closer to the truth.

    If the project manager is proactive, the project team willdevelop a contingency plan right now. They will developsolutions to the problem of time before the project duedate.

    However, if the project manager is reactive, then theteam will do nothing until the problem actually occurs.The project will approach its six month deadline, manytasks will still be uncompleted and the project managerwill react rapidly to the crisis, causing the team to losevaluable time.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    13/21

    Why do Risk Management?

    The purpose of risk management is to: Identify possible risks.

    Reduce or allocate risks.

    Provide a rational basis for better decision making in regards toall risks.

    Plan

    Ensure that high priority risks are aggressively managed and thatall risks are cost-effectively managed throughout the project.

    Provide management at all levels with the information required tomake informed decisions on issues critical to project success.

    If you don't actively attack risks, they will actively attackyou!!

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    14/21

    Risk Classification

    Grouping of different risks according to theirestimated cost orlikely impact, likelihood of

    occurrence, countermeasures required, etc.

    Risks are normally classified:

    Time (schedule) Cost (budget)

    Scope

    E:g; Credit risk, is classified according to the

    likelihood of the collection of accounts receivable. Technological risks, is classified according to the

    likelihood of the technology.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    15/21

    Benefits of Risk Management

    Risk management provides a clear and structured

    approach to identifying risks.

    Having a clear understanding of all risks allows an

    organization to measure and prioritize them.

    Take the appropriate actions to reduce losses. Other benefits for an organization:

    Saving resources

    Protecting the reputation and public image of the organization

    Preventing or reducing legal liability and increasing the stability of

    operations. Protecting people from harm.

    Protecting the environment.

    Enhancing the ability to prepare for various circumstances.

    Reducing liabilities.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    16/21

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    17/21

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    18/21

    Case Study: Positive Risk!

    You have a software development project that isscheduled to take 90 days to complete.

    Your business client would rather the project be

    delivered earlier, and would get more value if it were

    delivered earlier.

    Positive Risk:

    One of your team members has an idea: If you utilize

    a new software-testing tool, its possible that you candeliver the project in 60 days instead of 90. If this

    were a guaranteed solution, you would jump on it.

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    19/21

    Case Study: Negative Risk!

    Negative Risk: There is negative risk:

    It will be the first time youve used the tool.

    You have to deal with a lack of expertise and alearning curve.

    Its possible that if the tool doesnt work out, the

    project could end up taking 110 days to deliver.

    Your Decision???

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    20/21

    Conclusion:

    What is Risk? What is Project Risk?

    Difference b/w Risk & Issues?

    How we identify?Is it Project Risk, Risk orIssue!!

    Nature of Risk ManagementProactive-Reactive

    Why do Risk Management?

    Risk Classification

    Benefits of Risk Management Positive & Negative Risk

    Class Assignment ???

  • 7/29/2019 Session 1 - Project Risk Management

    21/21

    Class Assignment

    Question No.1: List down 12 Risks

    8 Becomes Project Risk

    5 Becomes Issues

    Questions No. II:

    Make a Case Study:

    Positive Risk

    Negative Risk