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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released December 28, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Down Slightly United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2012 was 66.3 million head. This was down slightly from December 1, 2011, and down 2 percent from September 1, 2012. Breeding inventory, at 5.82 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.5 million head, was down slightly from last year, and down 2 percent from last quarter. The September-November 2012 pig crop, at 29.4 million head, was up slightly from 2011. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.90 million head, down 1 percent from 2011. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.15 for the September-November period, compared to 10.02 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Million head Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory United States: December 1

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Page 1: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released December 28, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States

Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Down Slightly United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2012 was 66.3 million head. This was down slightly from

December 1, 2011, and down 2 percent from September 1, 2012.

Breeding inventory, at 5.82 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 60.5 million head, was down slightly from last year, and down 2 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2012 pig crop, at 29.4 million head, was up slightly from 2011. Sows farrowing during this

period totaled 2.90 million head, down 1 percent from 2011. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent

of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.15 for the September-November period,

compared to 10.02 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and

pigs to 10.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States: December 1

Page 2: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 2.86 million sows farrow during the December 2012-February 2013 quarter,

up slightly from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2012, and up 1 percent from 2011. Intended farrowings

for March-May 2013, at 2.93 million sows, are down 2 percent from 2012, but up slightly from 2011.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 47 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 45 percent last year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2011 through September 2012 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of less than

one and one half percent was made to the June 2012 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one half of one percent

was made to the September 2012 total inventory. An adjustment of more than two percent was made to the March-May

2012 pig crop.

This report was approved on December 28, 2012.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Carol A. Goodloe

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Hubert Hamer

Page 3: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2011 and 2012 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2011-2013 .......................................................................... 5

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2011 and 2012 .................................................................................... 5

Quarterly Litter Rate – United States ...................................................................................................................................... 6

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2012 ................................................................ 6

Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States .............................................................................................................................. 7

Quarterly Pig Crop – United States ......................................................................................................................................... 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 ......................................... 8

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 ...................... 9

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2011 and 2012 ............................................. 10

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2011 and 2012 .......................... 10

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2011 and 2012 ................................................ 11

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2011 and 2012 ............................. 11

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2011 and 2012 ...................................... 12

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2011 and 2012 ................... 12

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

December-November 2011 and 2012 ................................................................................................................................... 13

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2011-2013 ..................... 14

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:March-May 2011-2013 ................................... 14

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2011 and 2012 ........................... 15

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

September-November 2011 and 2012 ................................................................................................................................... 15

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States:

December-November 2011 and 2012 ................................................................................................................................... 16

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 17

Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates ............................................................................................................................. 17

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 18

Page 4: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2011 and 2012

Item 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

63,684 5,788

57,896

18,863 16,060 12,361 10,612

65,320 5,803

59,517

19,543 17,321 12,174 10,479

67,234 5,806

61,428

19,761 17,884 12,822 10,961

66,361 5,803

60,558

19,524 16,643 12,473 11,918

64,937

5,820 59,117

19,235 16,409 12,780 10,693

66,659 5,862

60,797

19,871 18,119 12,203 10,604

67,702 5,788

61,914

19,656 17,673 13,090 11,495

66,348 5,817

60,531

19,448 16,643 12,479 11,961

102 101 102

102 102 103 101

102 101 102

102 105 100 101

101 100 101

99 99

102 105

100 100 100

100 100 100 100

1 May not add due to rounding.

Page 5: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2011-2013 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2011 2012 2013 2012 as percent of 2011

2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing ........................................ December-February 1 2 ........................ March-May 2 ........................................ December-May 1 3 ................................ June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 3 ................................. Pig crop ................................................... December-February 1 .......................... March-May ........................................... December-May 1 3 ................................ June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 3 .................................

2,843 2,917 5,760

2,927 2,929 5,857

27,866 29,252 57,118

29,355 29,365 58,720

2,864 2,982 5,847

2,890 2,900 5,791

28,550 30,077 58,627

29,269 29,443 58,712

2,865 2,925 5,790

101 102 102

99 99 99

102 103 103

100 100 100

100 98 99

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter ........................................... December-February 1 .......................... March-May ........................................... December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November ...................................

9.80

10.03 9.92

10.03 10.02 10.03

9.97

10.09 10.03

10.13 10.15 10.14

102 101 101

101 101 101

1 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 2013. 3 May not add due to rounding.

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2011 and 2012

Pig crop

Pigs per litter on operations having 1

1-99 head

100-499 head

500-999 head

1,000-1,999 head

2,000-4,999 head

5,000+ head

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

2011 December-February 2 .................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November .................... 2012 December-February 2 .................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November ....................

7.50 7.50 7.50 7.40

7.30 7.50 7.60 7.60

8.30 8.30 8.30 8.30

8.20 8.40 8.40 8.40

8.80 8.90 8.90 8.90

8.80 9.00 9.00 9.00

9.30 9.30 9.30 9.30

9.20 9.40 9.40 9.50

9.70 9.90 9.90 9.90

9.80 10.00 10.00 10.00

9.90

10.10 10.10 10.10

10.00 10.20 10.20 10.20

1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2 December preceding year.

Page 6: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Number head

Quarterly Litter Rate – United States

10.15

7.60

8.40

9.00

9.50

10.00 10.20

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Number head

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2012

Page 7: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million head

Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million head

Quarterly Pig Crop – United States

Page 8: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012

State

Breeding Market Total

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ................. Alaska ..................... Arizona ................... Arkansas ................. California ................ Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. Delaware ................ Florida ..................... Georgia ................... Hawaii ..................... Idaho ....................... Illinois ...................... Indiana .................... Iowa ........................ Kansas .................... Kentucky ................. Louisiana ................ Maine ...................... Maryland ................. Massachusetts ........ Michigan ................. Minnesota ............... Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Montana .................. Nebraska ................ Nevada ................... New Hampshire ...... New Jersey ............. New Mexico ............ New York ................ North Carolina ......... North Dakota ........... Ohio ........................ Oklahoma ............... Oregon .................... Pennsylvania .......... Rhode Island ........... South Carolina ........ South Dakota .......... Tennessee .............. Texas ...................... Utah ........................ Vermont .................. Virginia .................... Washington ............. West Virginia ........... Wisconsin ............... Wyoming ................. Idaho and ................ Washington ........... United States 1 ........

19 0.2

20 60 6

150 0.5 1.0 4.0

27

2.5 (D) 480 300

1,010 170 35 2.0 1.1 2.0

1.5 110 560 33

355 22

385 0.1 0.5 0.7

0.3 11

850 40

170 410

3.0 100

0.6 10

170 16 90 80 0.6 5

(D) 1.5

43 33

11.0

5,803

17 0.2

20 63 5

145 0.5 0.8 3.5

23

2.5 (D) 490 280

1,030 170

36 2.0 1.0 2.5

1.0 110 560

52 350

22 380

0.3 0.7 1.0

0.4 6

860 35

165 420

3.0 100

0.7 10

165

16 85 80 0.6 5

(D) 2.0

47 35

12.0

5,817

89 100 100 105 83 97

100 80 88 85

100 (D) 102 93

102 100 103 100 91

125

67 100 100 158 99

100 99

300 140 143

133 55

101 88 97

102 100 100 117 100

97

100 94

100 100 100 (D) 133 109 106

109

100

131 0.7

160 47 99

570 2.0 4.0

12.0 128

9.0

(D) 4,170 3,500

18,990 1,720

285 5.0 3.9

21.0

10.5 940

7,240 322

2,395 158

2,765 2.2 2.4 8.3

0.9 80

8,050 111

2,030 1,890

10.0 1,030

1.3 200

1,230

154 730 680

3.0 240 (D)

3.5 297 69

47.0

60,558

123 0.8

150 47

100 565

1.7 3.2

11.5 132

9.0

(D) 4,110 3,520

19,570 1,740

279 5.0 3.5

17.5

10.0 970

7,090 363

2,400 153

2,620 2.4 2.6 7.0

0.9 60

8,140 100

1,880 1,900

9.5 1,030

1.2 230

1,035

134 735 660

3.3 225 (D)

4.0 273 51

53.0

60,531

94 114 94

100 101 99 85 80 96

103

100 (D) 99

101 103 101 98

100 90 83

95

103 98

113 100 97 95

109 108 84

100 75

101 90 93

101 95

100 92

115

84 87

101 97

110 94

(D) 114 92 74

113

100

150 0.9

180 107 105 720

2.5 5.0

16.0 155

11.5

(D) 4,650 3,800

20,000 1,890

320 7.0 5.0

23.0

12.0 1,050 7,800

355 2,750

180 3,150

2.3 2.9 9.0

1.2 91

8,900 151

2,200 2,300

13.0 1,130

1.9 210

1,400

170 820 760

3.6 245 (D)

5.0 340 102

58.0

66,361

140 1.0

170 110 105 710

2.2 4.0

15.0 155

11.5

(D) 4,600 3,800

20,600 1,910

315 7.0 4.5

20.0

11.0 1,080 7,650

415 2,750

175 3,000

2.7 3.3 8.0

1.3 66

9,000 135

2,045 2,320

12.5 1,130

1.9 240

1,200

150 820 740

3.9 230 (D)

6.0 320 86

65.0

66,348

93 111 94

103 100 99 88 80 94

100

100 (D) 99

100 103 101 98

100 90 87

92

103 98

117 100 97 95

117 114 89

108 73

101 89 93

101 96

100 100 114

86 88

100 97

108 94

(D) 120 94 84

112

100

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 May not add due to rounding.

Page 9: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Alabama ............................ Alaska ............................... Arizona .............................. Arkansas ........................... California ........................... Colorado ............................ Connecticut ....................... Delaware ........................... Florida ............................... Georgia ............................. Hawaii ............................... Idaho ................................. Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa ................................... Kansas .............................. Kentucky ............................ Louisiana ........................... Maine ................................ Maryland ............................ Massachusetts ................... Michigan ............................ Minnesota .......................... Mississippi ......................... Missouri ............................. Montana ............................ Nebraska ........................... Nevada .............................. New Hampshire ................. New Jersey ........................ New Mexico ....................... New York ........................... North Carolina ................... North Dakota ..................... Ohio ................................... Oklahoma .......................... Oregon .............................. Pennsylvania ..................... Rhode Island ..................... South Carolina ................... South Dakota ..................... Tennessee ......................... Texas ................................ Utah ................................... Vermont ............................. Virginia .............................. Washington ....................... West Virginia ..................... Wisconsin .......................... Wyoming ........................... Idaho and .......................... Washington ..................... United States 1 ...................

45 0.2

64 25 26

265 0.8 1.9 4.0

54

4.3 (D)

1,290 1,160 5,100

510 71 1.0 1.5 8.0

3.7 300

2,450 124

1,000 59

900 0.6 0.5 2.5

0.3 29

3,050 45

710 780

3.3 245

0.6 47

385 37

200 280

1.4 65

(D) 0.5

115 38

19.5

19,524

53 0.3

60 25 28

270 0.8 1.8 4.0

61

3.6 (D)

1,310 1,050 5,150

510 74 1.0 1.5 7.0

3.9 300

2,450 161

1,065 56

870 0.8 0.7 1.9

0.1 20

3,020 41

660 810

3.0 250

0.4 50

350 31

190 275

1.0 65

(D) 0.5

108 29

23.5

19,448

32 0.2

32 7

26 105

0.4 1.0 4.0

21

2.3 (D)

1,330 990

5,750 350 76 2.0 1.3 5.0

3.4 200

2,180 85

540 38

800 0.6 0.6 2.4

0.1 19

1,870 25

575 360

2.7 350

0.4 52

330 40

160 130

0.6 55

(D) 0.5

60 15

12.5

16,643

20 0.2

30 7

25 85 0.3 0.7 3.5

18

2.4 (D)

1,180 1,000 6,000

410 73 2.0 1.2 4.0

2.7 210

2,130 87

540 38

720 0.6 0.5 2.0

0.5 13

1,960 25

545 350

2.6 355

0.3 60

290 34

155 130

0.7 55

(D) 1.0

55 5

13.0

16,643

22 0.1

31 7

22 65 0.4 0.8 2.0

31

1.5 (D) 750 630

4,540 290 65 1.0 0.8 5.0

1.8 220

1,440 58

415 31

595 0.5 0.6 1.1

0.2 17

1,560 20

445 240

2.0 210

0.2 51

265 27

145 130

0.5 50

(D) 0.5

60 11

11.0

12,473

24 0.1

30 4

23 75 0.4 0.5 2.0

26

1.2 (D) 750 700

4,700 290 60 1.0 0.5 4.0

1.7

220 1,430

59 370 31

540 0.5 0.5 1.0

0.1

13 1,590

15 405 230

2.0 195

0.3 59

190 24

155 125

0.8 50

(D) 1.0

60 7

11.5

12,479

32 0.2

33 8

25 135

0.4 0.3 2.0

22

0.9 (D) 800 720

3,600 570 73 1.0 0.3 3.0

1.6 220

1,170 55

440 30

470 0.5 0.7 2.3

0.3 15

1,570 21

300 510

2.0 225

0.1 50

250 50

225 140

0.5 70

(D) 2.0

62 5

4.0

11,918

26 0.2

30 11 24

135 0.2 0.2 2.0

27

1.8 (D) 870 770

3,720 530 72 1.0 0.3 2.5

1.7 240

1,080 56

425 28

490 0.5 0.9 2.1

0.2 14

1,570 19

270 510

1.9 230

0.2 61

205 45

235 130

0.8 55

(D) 1.5

50 10

5.0

11,961

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

Page 10: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 470 290

1,030 170 110 560 360 370 850

170 410 95

175 65 75

438

5,788

150 510 290

1,010 170 110 550 360 390 860

165 410 100 175 90 75

405

5,820

100 109 100 98

100 100 98

100 105 101

97

100 105 100 138 100

92

101

580 3,930 3,260

17,870 1,640

920 7,040 2,490 2,730 7,650

1,840 1,900 1,005 1,135

565 635

2,706

57,896

580 4,140 3,410

18,690 1,650

900 7,050 2,290 2,710 7,740

1,965 1,930

990 1,115

730 645

2,582

59,117

100 105 105 105 101 98

100 92 99

101

107 102 99 98

129 102

95

102

730 4,400 3,550

18,900 1,810 1,030 7,600 2,850 3,100 8,500

2,010 2,310 1,100 1,310

630 710

3,144

63,684

730 4,650 3,700

19,700 1,820 1,010 7,600 2,650 3,100 8,600

2,130 2,340 1,090 1,290

820 720

2,987

64,937

100 106 104 104 101 98

100 93

100 101

106 101 99 98

130 101

95

102

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2011 and 2012 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,290 1,080 4,630

490 300

2,440 1,080

910 2,820

675 810 240 390 150 285

983

18,863

275 1,380 1,100 4,930

500 290

2,360 1,000

880 3,030

690 790 250 360 225 270

905

19,235

105 1,190

870 5,630

365 230

2,150 580 800

1,760

515 350 360 300 110 120

625

16,060

100 1,260

910 5,820

355 200

2,180 530 790

1,810

550 380 340 300 145 125

614

16,409

70 760 610

4,490 280 200

1,430 410 595

1,620

415 260 200 230 125 110

556

12,361

95 800 700

4,640 275 215

1,570 370 605

1,560

435 260 200 250 135 130

540

12,780

115 690 700

3,120 505 190

1,020 420 425

1,450

235 480 205 215 180 120

542

10,612

110 700 700

3,300 520 195 940 390 435

1,340

290 500 200 205 225 120

523

10,693

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 11: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 480 300

1,030 180 110 560 355 380 850

165 410 95

175 70 75

418

5,803

150 500 280

1,020 170 110 560 365 385 870

170 410 100 180 100 80

412

5,862

100 104 93 99 94

100 100 103 101 102

103 100 105 103 143 107

99

101

580 4,120 3,450

18,670 1,690

930 7,240 2,495 2,770 7,750

1,885 1,910 1,015 1,125

600 585

2,702

59,517

570 4,200 3,520

19,380 1,620

910 7,340 2,435 2,765 8,030

1,990 1,880 1,010 1,130

780 630

2,607

60,797

98 102 102 104 96 98

101 98

100 104

106 98

100 100 130 108

96

102

730 4,600 3,750

19,700 1,870 1,040 7,800 2,850 3,150 8,600

2,050 2,320 1,110 1,300

670 660

3,120

65,320

720 4,700 3,800

20,400 1,790 1,020 7,900 2,800 3,150 8,900

2,160 2,290 1,110 1,310

880 710

3,019

66,659

99 102 101 104 96 98

101 98

100 103

105 99

100 101 131 108

97

102

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2011 and 2012 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

285 1,360 1,090 4,950

525 300

2,560 1,045

940 2,950

700 800 235 390 160 290

963

19,543

290 1,340 1,100 5,140

500 280

2,520 1,055

900 3,210

690 800 250 385 200 290

921

19,871

100 1,310 1,040 6,100

390 250

2,220 615 860

1,910

565 400 375 305 130 105

646

17,321

95 1,290 1,090 6,370

400 220

2,410 625 870

2,080

605 390 385 335 180 120

654

18,119

80 770 670

4,500 260 190

1,440 430 550

1,490

390 220 200 220 120 95

549

12,174

80 770 680

4,630 250 205

1,380 390 555

1,480

410 210 175 215 150 110

513

12,203

115 680 650

3,120 515 190

1,020 405 420

1,400

230 490 205 210 190 95

544

10,479

105 800 650

3,240 470 205

1,030 365 440

1,260

285 480 200 195 250 110

519

10,604

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 12: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 490 300

1,020 180 110 560 360 380 850

170 400 90

170 80 75

421

5,806

150 490 280

1,000 170 110 560 360 380 870

165 410 95

175 90 80

403

5,788

100 100 93 98 94

100 100 100 100 102

97

103 106 103 113 107

96

100

610 4,210 3,500

19,080 1,720

990 7,340 2,540 2,870 8,350

2,020 1,940 1,030 1,150

710 685

2,683

61,428

590 4,160 3,520

19,700 1,720

910 7,540 2,540 2,770 8,430

1,955 1,910 1,015 1,115

760 650

2,629

61,914

97 99

101 103 100 92

103 100 97

101

97 98 99 97

107 95

98

101

760 4,700 3,800

20,100 1,900 1,100 7,900 2,900 3,250 9,200

2,190 2,340 1,120 1,320

790 760

3,104

67,234

740 4,650 3,800

20,700 1,890 1,020 8,100 2,900 3,150 9,300

2,120 2,320 1,110 1,290

850 730

3,032

67,702

97 99

100 103 99 93

103 100 97

101

97 99 99 98

108 96

98

101

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2011 and 2012 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

300 1,390 1,140 4,970

520 300

2,540 1,020

950 3,100

730 800 235 375 200 290

901

19,761

290 1,370 1,070 5,050

520 280

2,500 1,085

880 3,140

660 800 230 380 225 285

891

19,656

110 1,310 1,060 6,200

375 260

2,290 615 890

2,130

590 390 380 335 170 135

644

17,884

90 1,220 1,080 6,280

380 220

2,290 625 800

2,140

585 380 375 300 165 125

618

17,673

75 770 660

4,610 305 215

1,480 475 580

1,680

435 250 205 235 145 130

572

12,822

90 750 660

4,800 310 215

1,600 390 600

1,700

445 260 200 225 150 125

570

13,090

125 740 640

3,300 520 215

1,030 430 450

1,440

265 500 210 205 195 130

566

10,961

120 820 710

3,570 510 195

1,150 440 490

1,450

265 470 210 210 220 115

550

11,495

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 13: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-November 2011 and 2012 [December preceding year]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ........................... Alaska .............................. Arizona ............................. Arkansas .......................... California .......................... Colorado ........................... Connecticut ...................... Delaware .......................... Florida .............................. Georgia ............................ Hawaii .............................. Idaho ................................ Illinois ............................... Indiana ............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas ............................. Kentucky ........................... Louisiana .......................... Maine ............................... Maryland ........................... Massachusetts .................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Mississippi ........................ Missouri ............................ Montana ........................... Nebraska .......................... Nevada ............................. New Hampshire ................ New Jersey ....................... New Mexico ...................... New York .......................... North Carolina .................. North Dakota .................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Oregon ............................. Pennsylvania .................... Rhode Island .................... South Carolina .................. South Dakota .................... Tennessee ........................ Texas ............................... Utah .................................. Vermont ............................ Virginia ............................. Washington ...................... West Virginia .................... Wisconsin ......................... Wyoming .......................... Idaho and ......................... Washington .................... United States 1 ..................

32.0 0.23

37.0 119.0 11.0

286 0.40 3.10 4.00

54.5

2.50 (D)

1,015 595

1,945 340 71.0 2.10 1.70 7.00

2.10 208

1,170 74.5

735 42.5

720 0.10 0.40 0.80

0.20 16.0

1,800 75.0

363 755

3.50 191

0.60 23.5

360 35.0

146 164

0.70 25.0

(D) 1.00

88.0 72.0

17.2

11,617

32.0 0.12

36.0 125.0

8.0 275

0.40 1.80 4.00

56.0

2.64 (D)

1,010 580

1,960 336 70.0 1.00 1.40 5.00

1.20 205

1,190 76.0

745 43.5

700 0.27 0.50 1.00

0.20 12.0

1,810 73.5

360 760

2.70 199

0.50 20.5

368 34.0

178 166

0.70 7.0

(D) 1.30

85.0 72.0

19.9

11,637

100 52 97

105 73 96

100 58

100 103

106 (D) 100 97

101 99 99 48 82 71

57 99

102 102 101 102 97

270 125 125

100 75

101 98 99

101 77

104 83 87

102 97

122 101 100 28

(D) 130 97

100

116

100

8.25 8.26

10.51 10.31 9.00 9.83 8.50 7.74 7.00 9.80

7.40 (D)

9.84 9.52

10.20 9.28 9.77 9.62 7.41 9.14

8.00 9.95

10.26 10.03 10.37 10.28 10.33 6.00 8.00 6.50

8.00

10.00 9.83

10.83 9.57 9.69 8.57

10.07 8.67 9.02

10.33 10.09 8.67

10.17 8.00

10.72 (D)

7.00 9.34

10.81

8.79

9.97

8.84 9.17 9.75

10.26 8.00 9.85 9.00 9.00 6.00

10.38

7.01 (D)

10.03 9.73

10.36 9.59 9.46 7.00 7.57 9.20

8.67

10.08 10.25 10.03 10.41 10.39 10.49 5.19 8.40 7.00

8.50

10.00 9.95

10.73 9.88 9.91 7.78 9.97 9.00

10.34

10.28 9.26 8.60

10.19 7.43

10.57 (D)

7.46 9.41

10.64

8.84

10.08

264.0 1.9

389.0 1,227.0

99.0 2,811.0

3.4 24.0 28.0

534.0

18.5 (D)

9,987.0 5,662.0

19,843.0 3,154.0

694.0 20.2 12.6 64.0

16.8

2,070.0 12,009.0

747.0 7,621.0

437.0 7,436.0

0.6 3.2 5.2

1.6

160.0 17,687.0

812.0 3,473.0 7,315.0

30.0 1,923.0

5.2 212.0

3,717.0

353.0 1,266.0 1,668.0

5.6 268.0

(D) 7.0

822.0 778.0

151.2

115,837.0

283.0 1.1

351.0 1,282.0

64.0 2,708.0

3.6 16.2 24.0

581.0

18.5 (D)

10,126.0 5,641.0

20,311.0 3,221.0

662.0 7.0

10.6 46.0

10.4

2,066.0 12,199.0

762.0 7,757.0

452.0 7,342.0

1.4 4.2 7.0

1.7

120.0 18,009.0

789.0 3,556.0 7,533.0

21.0 1,985.0

4.5 212.0

3,782.0

315.0 1,531.0 1,691.0

5.2 74.0 (D) 9.7

800.0 766.0

176.0

117,339.1

107 58 90

104 65 96

106 68 86

109

100 (D) 101 100 102 102 95 35 84 72

62

100 102 102 102 103 99

233 131 135

106 75

102 97

102 103 70

103 87

100

102 89

121 101 93 28

(D) 139 97 98

116

101

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 May not add due to rounding.

Page 14: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

14 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2011-2013 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2011 2012 2013 2 2013 as percent of 2012

2011 2012 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

70 250 145 480 80 51

285 175 175 445

89

185 47 88 32 40

206

2,843

70 255 145 475 83 50

290 185 175 440

88

190 49 88 42 41

198

2,864

73 245 140 500 81 54

285 185 170 445

87

185 48 83 35 44

205

2,865

104 96 97

105 98

108 98

100 97

101

99 97 98 94 83

107

103

100

9.90 9.60 9.50 9.80 9.25 9.80

10.15 10.10 10.10 9.70

9.40 9.65

10.00 10.30 8.70 9.80

9.88

9.80

9.95 9.90 9.50

10.30 9.30 9.90

10.00 10.40 10.40 9.90

9.70 9.75 9.80

10.20 8.60 9.90

9.78

9.97

693 2,400 1,378 4,704

740 500

2,893 1,768 1,768 4,317

837

1,785 470 906 278 392

2,037

27,866

697 2,525 1,378 4,893

772 495

2,900 1,924 1,820 4,356

854

1,853 480 898 361 406

1,938

28,550

101 105 100 104 104 99

100 109 103 101

102 104 102 99

130 104

95

102

1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2011-2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2011 2012 2013 2 2013 as percent of 2012

2011 2012 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

72 255 150 485 85 53

295 185 185 450

91

190 46 92 36 41

206

2,917

72 255 150 495 88 51

305 190 180 470

93

195 50 95 49 42

202

2,982

73 250 140 520 85 54

295 185 175 450

85

190 50 86 40 43

204

2,925

101 98 93

105 97

106 97 97 97 96

91 97

100 91 82

102

101

98

9.80 9.95 9.55

10.30 9.40

10.00 10.35 10.30 10.30 9.85

9.45 9.75

10.20 10.40 8.80

10.40

10.05

10.03

9.95 10.10 9.75

10.40 9.45

10.10 10.25 10.30 10.55 9.90

9.85 9.80 9.90

10.40 8.70

10.25

10.01

10.09

706 2,537 1,433 4,996

799 530

3,053 1,906 1,906 4,433

860

1,853 469 957 317 426

2,071

29,252

716 2,576 1,463 5,148

832 515

3,126 1,957 1,899 4,653

916

1,911 495 988 426 431

2,025

30,077

101 102 102 103 104 97

102 103 100 105

107 103 106 103 134 101

98

103

1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 15: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado .................................. Illinois ...................................... Indiana .................................... Iowa ......................................... Kansas .................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Missouri ................................... Nebraska ................................. North Carolina ......................... Ohio ......................................... Oklahoma ................................ Pennsylvania ........................... South Dakota ........................... Texas ...................................... Utah ......................................... Other States 2 .......................... United States ...........................

73 255 150 490 88 52

295 190 180 455

91

190 47 90 37 41

203

2,927

64 250 145 485 85 51

300 185 170 450

88

190 49 95 46 42

195

2,890

88 98 97 99 97 98

102 97 94 99

97

100 104 106 124 102

96

99

10.00 9.90 9.55

10.30 9.45

10.00 10.25 10.50 10.50 9.85

9.60 9.65

10.20 10.20 8.60

10.40

9.98

10.03

9.50 10.10 9.70

10.45 9.80

10.10 10.35 10.60 10.50 9.90

9.95 9.95

10.10 10.10 8.50

10.20

10.06

10.13

730 2,525 1,433 5,047

832 520

3,024 1,995 1,890 4,482

874

1,834 479 918 318 426

2,028

29,355

608 2,525 1,407 5,068

833 515

3,105 1,961 1,785 4,455

876

1,891 495 960 391 428

1,966

29,269

83 100 98

100 100 99

103 98 94 99

100 103 103 105 123 100

97

100

1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

2011 2012 2011 2012 2012 as percent of 2011

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado .................................. Illinois ...................................... Indiana .................................... Iowa ......................................... Kansas .................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Missouri ................................... Nebraska ................................. North Carolina ......................... Ohio ......................................... Oklahoma ................................ Pennsylvania ........................... South Dakota ........................... Texas ...................................... Utah ......................................... Other States 2 .......................... United States ...........................

71 255 150 490 87 52

295 185 180 450

92

190 51 90 41 42

208

2,929

69 250 140 505 80 53

295 185 175 450

91

185 51 90 41 41

199

2,900

97 98 93

103 92

102 100 100 97

100

99 97

100 100 100 98

96

99

9.60 9.90 9.45

10.40 9.00

10.00 10.30 10.55 10.40 9.90

9.80 9.70 9.90

10.40 8.60

10.10

9.88

10.02

9.95 10.00 9.95

10.30 9.80

10.20 10.40 10.35 10.50 10.10

10.00 10.15 10.10 10.40 8.60

10.40

9.80

10.15

682 2,525 1,418 5,096

783 520

3,039 1,952 1,872 4,455

902

1,843 505 936 353 424

2,060

29,365

687 2,500 1,393 5,202

784 541

3,068 1,915 1,838 4,545

910

1,878 515 936 353 426

1,952

29,443

101 99 98

102 100 104 101 98 98

102

101 102 102 100 100 100

95

100

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 16: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

16 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2011 and 2012

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December 2 ..................... January ........................... February ......................... March .............................. April ................................ May ................................. June ................................ July ................................. August ............................ September ...................... October ........................... November ....................... Total ...............................

953 954 936 986 961 970 988 966 974 996 975 959

11,617

951 961 952

1,006 983 993 968 960 963 989 965 946

11,637

9.81 9.76 9.83

10.02 10.02 10.04 10.04 10.00 10.04 10.03 10.03 10.01

9.97

9.97 9.95 9.99

10.04 10.10 10.12 10.14 10.11 10.12 10.13 10.17 10.16

10.08

9,345 9,312 9,210 9,880 9,633 9,739 9,917 9,662 9,776 9,985 9,779 9,601

115,837

9,473 9,562 9,516

10,100 9,929

10,048 9,815 9,707 9,748

10,016 9,811 9,615

117,339

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2 December preceding year.

Page 17: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,400 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2012, data

were collected from about 8,100 operations, 78 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic

data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded,

they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2012.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate

for reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 66.3 million head by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 2.3 percent.

Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Years

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop .......................................... Expected farrowings Next quarter ................................ Following quarter ........................

1.3

1.7

2.2

2.3

2.3

2.9

3.8

4.0

637

370

48

52

65

11

0

6

3,067

1,514

216

220

15

12

14

13

5

8

6

7

Page 18: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/28/2012 - Cornell University · 12/28/2012  · 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2012) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]

Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch .......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ............................................................................................................. (202) 690-2424

Travis Averill – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ..................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (515) 284-4340

Doug Bounds – Hogs and Pigs ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 690-3236

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Alissa Cowell-Mytar – Sheep and Goats .................................................................................................. (202) 720-4751

Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov

Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free

subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the “Follow NASS” box under “Receive reports by Email,”

click on “National” or “State” to select the reports you would like to receive.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the

basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental

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disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.)

should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Assistant Secretary for Civil Rights, Office of the Assistant

Secretary for Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Stop 9410, Washington, DC 20250-9410, or call toll-free at

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