hogs and pigs to 9.80 for operations with more than 5,000 ... · u.s. inventory of all hogs and...

24
Mt An 4 (12-09) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Washington, D.C. Released December 30, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory down 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2009 was 65.8 million head. This was down 2 percent from December 1, 2008 and down 2 percent from September 1, 2009. Breeding inventory, at 5.85 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.0 million head, was down 2 percent from last year and down 2 percent from last quarter. The September-November 2009 pig crop, at 28.8 million head, was up slightly from 2008 but down 2 percent from 2007. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.97 million head, down 2 percent from 2008 and down 6 percent from 2007. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 51 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.70 for the September-November 2009 period, compared to 9.50 last year. The litter rate equaled the record for pigs saved per litter set during the June- August 2009 period. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.80 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory December 1 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Million Head

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Mt An 4 (12-09)

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Washington, D.C.

Released December 30, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department

of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

U.S. Hog Inventory down 2 Percent

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2009 was 65.8 million head. This was down 2 percent

from December 1, 2008 and down 2 percent from September 1, 2009.

Breeding inventory, at 5.85 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down slightly from the

previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.0 million head, was down 2 percent from last year and down

2 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2009 pig crop, at 28.8 million head, was up slightly from 2008 but down

2 percent from 2007. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.97 million head, down 2 percent from

2008 and down 6 percent from 2007. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 51 percent of the

breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.70 for the September-November 2009 period,

compared to 9.50 last year. The litter rate equaled the record for pigs saved per litter set during the June-

August 2009 period. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99

hogs and pigs to 9.80 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

December 1

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 NASS, USDA

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.95 million sows farrow during the December 2009-February 2010

quarter, down 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2009 and down 4 percent from

2008. Intended farrowings for March-May 2010, at 2.94 million sows, are down 3 percent from 2009 and

down 4 percent from 2008.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by

contractees, accounted for 44 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 43 percent last year.

Revisions

All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2008 through September 2009 were reviewed using

slaughter, death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one

half of one percent were made to the December-February 2009 pig crop and September 2009 total inventory.

An adjustment of less than one percent was made to the June 2009 total inventory while an adjustment of

less than two percent was made to the March-May 2009 pig crop.

Special Note

The market hogs and pigs weight groups have changed. The market weight group under 60 pounds has been

changed to under 50 pounds. The market weight group 60-119 pounds has been changed to 50-119 pounds.

The 120-179 pounds and 180 pounds and over weight groups remain the same. The changes align NASS

market hogs and pigs weight groups more closely with international trade data and allow for a more uniform

analysis of the North American hog inventory.

Estimates have been made for these new weight groups dating back to March of 2008 at the U.S. and State

level using slaughter data and current import and export data.

The quarterly estimating States will now include Utah but will exclude Arkansas and Wisconsin. This

change was due to increased production in Utah and decreased production in Arkansas and Wisconsin. Data

from March 2008 forward will reflect this change to provide the user with comparable data for 2008 and

2009.

This report was approved on December 30, 2009.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Michael T. Scuse

Agricultural Statistics Board

Acting Chairperson

Joseph J. Prusacki

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 i NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2008-2009 ............................................................ 1

Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2008-2010 ................................................ 2

Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operations, 2008-2009 ................................................................ 2

Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2008-2009

December 1 .................................................................................................................................... 5

March 1 .......................................................................................................................................... 7

June 1 ............................................................................................................................................. 9

September 1 .................................................................................................................................. 11

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2008-2010

December-November ................................................................................................................... 13

December-February ...................................................................................................................... 14

March-May ................................................................................................................................... 15

June-August .................................................................................................................................. 16

September-November ................................................................................................................... 17

Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2008-2009 ................................................................... 18

Reliability Statement ................................................................................................................................. 19

Information Contacts ................................................................................................................................. 20

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 1 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group,

and Quarter, United States, 2008-2009

Item 2008 2009

2009

as a %

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

March 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

June 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

September 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

December 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

67,218

6,200

61,018

20,277

16,350

13,193

11,199

67,400

6,131

61,269

19,807

17,711

12,892

10,860

68,196

6,061

62,135

20,643

17,437

12,855

11,201

67,148

6,062

61,087

19,428

17,396

12,731

11,533

65,819

5,992

59,828

19,809

16,426

12,732

10,862

66,809

5,968

60,842

19,554

17,838

12,604

10,847

66,826

5,875

60,952

19,838

17,178

12,684

11,253

65,807

5,850

59,957

19,085

17,062

12,529

11,282

98

97

98

98

100

97

97

99

97

99

99

101

98

100

98

97

98

96

99

99

100

98

97

98

98

98

98

98 1 May not add due to rounding.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 2 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter,

United States, 2008-2010

Item 2008 2009 2010

2009

as % of

2008

2010

as % of

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Percent

Sows Farrowing

Dec-Feb 1 2

Mar-May 2

Dec-May 1 3

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

Jun-Nov 3

Pig Crop

Dec-Feb 1

Mar-May

Dec-May 1 3

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

Jun-Nov 3

3,071

3,052

6,123

3,075

3,028

6,103

28,388

28,631

57,019

29,240

28,771

58,011

3,011

3,018

6,029

2,965

2,974

5,939

28,552

29,012

57,564

28,777

28,833

57,610

2,954

2,935

5,890

98

99

98

96

98

97

101

101

101

98

100

99

98

97

98

Number Number Number Percent Percent

Pigs per Litter

Dec-Feb 1

Mar-May

Dec-May 1

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

Jun-Nov

9.24

9.38

9.31

9.51

9.50

9.51

9.48

9.61

9.55

9.70

9.70

9.70

103

102

103

102

102

102

1 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 2010. 3 May not add due to rounding.

Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2008-2009

Pig Crop

Pigs per Litter on Operations Having 1

1-99

Head

100-499

Head

500-999

Head

1,000-1,999

Head

2,000-4,999

Head

5,000+

Head

Number Number Number Number Number Number

2008

Dec-Feb 2

Mar-May

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

2009

Dec-Feb 2

Mar-May

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

7.50

7.70

7.80

7.50

7.30

7.40

7.40

7.40

8.20

8.20

8.30

8.20

8.10

8.10

8.20

8.10

8.40

8.40

8.40

8.30

8.40

8.50

8.60

8.50

8.80

9.00

9.00

9.00

9.00

9.10

9.10

9.20

9.20

9.40

9.50

9.40

9.40

9.60

9.60

9.60

9.30

9.40

9.60

9.60

9.50

9.70

9.80

9.80 1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2 December preceding year.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 3 NASS, USDA

U.S. Quarterly Litter Rate

September-November

8.60

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Number Head

U.S. Pigs per Litter

By Size of Operation, September-November 2009

9.70

7.40

8.50

9.20

9.609.80

8.10

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Number Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 4 NASS, USDA

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

September-November

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

U.S. Quarterly Pig Crop

September-November

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 5 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, December 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US 1

17

0.2

17

90

10

150

0.6

2.5

5.0

37

2.8

6.0

490

280

1,070

165

40

2.0

1.0

4.0

1.5

110

580

36

370

22

380

0.5

0.5

1.0

0.5

13.0

980

39

170

400

4.0

90

0.5

18

155

20

100

75

0.6

30

4.0

1.5

40

29

6,062

16

0.3

20

65

7

150

0.6

2.0

5.0

32

2.9

7.0

480

280

1,020

180

35

2.0

1.1

4.0

1.0

110

560

35

360

23

370

0.6

0.4

1.0

0.4

11.0

930

38

165

410

3.0

100

0.4

14

145

17

60

75

0.6

25

5.0

1.5

50

28

5,850

94

150

118

72

70

100

100

80

100

86

104

117

98

100

95

109

88

100

110

100

67

100

97

97

97

105

97

120

80

100

80

85

95

97

97

103

75

111

80

78

94

85

60

100

100

83

125

100

125

97

97

158

0.7

148

190

70

580

2.5

6.5

15.0

198

10.2

27.0

3,860

3,270

18,830

1,575

315

9.0

3.4

27.0

8.5

920

6,920

339

2,780

153

2,970

3.0

2.3

7.0

1.5

82.0

8,720

112

1,770

2,000

16.0

1,030

1.3

227

1,125

185

1,020

665

2.2

325

21.0

5.5

320

60

61,087

124

1.1

147

135

93

570

2.3

5.5

15.0

178

10.1

29.0

3,870

3,370

18,280

1,630

315

8.0

3.8

26.0

10.0

970

6,840

330

2,740

152

2,780

2.3

2.0

7.0

1.1

66.0

8,770

122

1,855

1,900

14.0

1,080

1.3

211

1,025

168

710

655

2.4

340

18.0

3.5

310

59

59,957

78

157

99

71

133

98

92

85

100

90

99

107

100

103

97

103

100

89

112

96

118

105

99

97

99

99

94

77

87

100

73

80

101

109

105

95

88

105

100

93

91

91

70

98

109

105

86

64

97

98

98

175

0.9

165

280

80

730

3.1

9.0

20.0

235

13.0

33.0

4,350

3,550

19,900

1,740

355

11.0

4.4

31.0

10.0

1,030

7,500

375

3,150

175

3,350

3.5

2.8

8.0

2.0

95.0

9,700

151

1,940

2,400

20.0

1,120

1.8

245

1,280

205

1,120

740

2.8

355

25.0

7.0

360

89

67,148

140

1.4

167

200

100

720

2.9

7.5

20.0

210

13.0

36.0

4,350

3,650

19,300

1,810

350

10.0

4.9

30.0

11.0

1,080

7,400

365

3,100

175

3,150

2.9

2.4

8.0

1.5

77.0

9,700

160

2,020

2,310

17.0

1,180

1.7

225

1,170

185

770

730

3.0

365

23.0

5.0

360

87

65,807

80

156

101

71

125

99

94

83

100

89

100

109

100

103

97

104

99

91

111

97

110

105

99

97

98

100

94

83

86

100

75

81

100

106

104

96

85

105

94

92

91

90

69

99

107

103

92

71

100

98

98 1 May not add due to rounding.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 6 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, December 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US 1

63

0.2

50

130

23

285

1.1

2.5

6.0

74

3.8

11.0

1,270

1,090

4,730

475

85

3.0

1.2

8.0

2.5

290

2,420

117

1,200

49

1,010

1.2

0.4

2.0

0.5

26.0

3,020

44

600

830

4.5

285

0.6

27

390

48

285

235

1.0

90

6.0

1.0

105

25

19,428

57

0.3

54

85

26

270

1.1

2.5

6.0

74

3.9

12.0

1,230

1,100

4,530

480

85

3.0

1.7

7.0

3.7

335

2,410

120

1,160

55

930

0.6

0.3

2.5

0.2

25.0

3,150

61

650

790

4.0

290

0.6

29

335

44

145

260

1.2

100

6.0

0.5

120

28

19,085

44

0.2

37

30

17

100

0.8

1.5

6.0

50

3.3

8.0

1,140

960

5,880

360

90

2.0

1.3

7.0

2.4

270

2,050

94

700

42

880

0.8

0.8

2.0

0.4

21.0

2,290

29

515

420

4.5

335

0.4

71

270

50

235

170

0.4

85

7.0

1.0

100

11

17,396

23

0.3

31

25

18

115

0.6

1.0

5.0

43

3.2

8.0

1,190

1,000

5,800

335

85

2.0

1.3

6.0

3.0

270

2,080

80

655

38

850

0.6

0.5

2.0

0.3

16.0

2,200

24

535

390

4.0

345

0.4

61

275

44

170

135

0.4

90

5.0

0.5

80

15

17,062

23

0.2

31

15

20

70

0.3

1.5

2.0

40

1.9

6.0

800

610

4,500

245

70

2.0

0.2

8.0

1.7

175

1,360

64

490

33

630

0.6

0.4

1.5

0.4

17.0

1,770

23

400

260

3.5

215

0.2

67

240

35

205

140

0.4

75

5.0

1.0

55

16

12,731

23

0.3

31

10

19

55

0.3

1.0

3.0

30

1.7

7.0

760

640

4,530

305

70

2.0

0.5

7.0

1.7

165

1,300

65

465

32

590

0.2

0.4

1.0

0.4

13.0

1,770

20

395

240

3.0

230

0.2

61

215

29

165

130

0.4

70

4.0

0.5

55

11

12,529

28

0.1

30

15

10

125

0.3

1.0

1.0

34

1.2

2.0

650

610

3,720

495

70

2.0

0.7

4.0

1.9

185

1,090

64

390

29

450

0.4

0.7

1.5

0.2

18.0

1,640

16

255

490

3.5

195

0.1

62

225

52

295

120

0.4

75

3.0

2.5

60

8

11,533

21

0.2

31

15

30

130

0.3

1.0

1.0

31

1.3

2.0

690

630

3,420

510

75

1.0

0.3

6.0

1.6

200

1,050

65

460

27

410

0.9

0.8

1.5

0.2

12.0

1,650

17

275

480

3.0

215

0.1

60

200

51

230

130

0.4

80

3.0

2.0

55

5

11,282 1 Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 7 NASS, USDA

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

December 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, March 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

155

490

310

1,080

170

100

590

380

370

1,010

165

400

100

160

105

105

510

6,200

150

480

270

1,040

165

110

580

365

385

980

170

400

90

150

95

75

487

5,992

97

98

87

96

97

110

98

96

104

97

103

100

90

94

90

71

96

97

625

3,960

3,340

18,020

1,710

880

6,910

2,720

2,930

9,090

1,685

1,950

1,050

1,310

985

675

3,178

61,018

590

3,820

3,280

18,460

1,655

930

6,820

2,585

2,815

8,420

1,810

1,940

1,020

1,160

995

625

2,903

59,828

94

96

98

102

97

106

99

95

96

93

107

99

97

89

101

93

91

98

780

4,450

3,650

19,100

1,880

980

7,500

3,100

3,300

10,100

1,850

2,350

1,150

1,470

1,090

780

3,688

67,218

740

4,300

3,550

19,500

1,820

1,040

7,400

2,950

3,200

9,400

1,980

2,340

1,110

1,310

1,090

700

3,389

65,819

95

97

97

102

97

106

99

95

97

93

107

100

97

89

100

90

92

98 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 May not add due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 8 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, March 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

295

1,320

1,100

4,990

525

290

2,460

1,140

990

3,280

580

880

295

445

300

255

1,132

20,277

290

1,350

1,140

4,840

520

315

2,460

1,135

960

3,080

650

810

320

410

280

250

999

19,809

110

1,020

940

5,140

420

245

1,880

625

850

2,400

465

380

325

320

230

165

835

16,350

105

1,100

940

5,560

320

265

1,930

585

820

2,160

500

420

305

290

230

145

751

16,426

80

900

680

4,440

295

170

1,460

530

660

1,890

390

220

230

280

210

142

616

13,193

70

770

620

4,690

290

160

1,390

465

610

1,710

390

210

200

245

200

120

592

12,732

140

720

620

3,450

470

175

1,110

425

430

1,520

250

470

200

265

245

113

596

11,199

125

600

580

3,370

525

190

1,040

400

425

1,470

270

500

195

215

285

110

562

10,862 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

March 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 9 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, June 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

150

460

290

1,080

170

100

580

380

380

1,020

165

400

95

150

105

90

516

6,131

150

480

270

1,020

170

110

580

345

390

990

170

400

90

155

95

75

478

5,968

100

104

93

94

100

110

100

91

103

97

103

100

95

103

90

83

93

97

610

3,890

3,360

18,320

1,610

930

6,920

2,720

3,020

9,080

1,725

1,960

1,085

1,280

965

680

3,114

61,269

590

3,870

3,330

18,780

1,620

950

6,920

2,705

2,910

8,710

1,840

1,890

1,060

1,135

925

645

2,962

60,842

97

99

99

103

101

102

100

99

96

96

107

96

98

89

96

95

95

99

760

4,350

3,650

19,400

1,780

1,030

7,500

3,100

3,400

10,100

1,890

2,360

1,180

1,430

1,070

770

3,630

67,400

740

4,350

3,600

19,800

1,790

1,060

7,500

3,050

3,300

9,700

2,010

2,290

1,150

1,290

1,020

720

3,439

66,809

97

100

99

102

101

103

100

98

97

96

106

97

97

90

95

94

95

99 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 May not add due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

June 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 10 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, June 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

275

1,250

1,050

4,850

480

290

2,370

1,155

1,000

3,300

560

880

285

430

280

260

1,092

19,807

280

1,220

1,100

4,850

465

325

2,370

1,205

980

3,090

640

770

320

390

265

250

1,034

19,554

150

1,140

1,030

5,640

390

265

2,050

685

930

2,550

505

410

355

355

260

164

832

17,711

125

1,220

1,040

5,980

380

285

2,140

630

880

2,350

535

400

350

305

255

155

808

17,838

70

850

670

4,450

260

185

1,470

475

650

1,760

400

220

235

255

205

137

600

12,892

70

790

630

4,530

285

160

1,380

455

630

1,740

395

210

205

225

205

120

574

12,604

115

650

610

3,380

480

190

1,030

405

440

1,470

260

450

210

240

220

119

591

10,860

115

640

560

3,420

490

180

1,030

415

420

1,530

270

510

185

215

200

120

547

10,847 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 11 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, September 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

150

470

280

1,070

170

100

570

375

375

1,000

165

400

85

150

105

85

511

6,061

150

470

280

1,010

160

110

560

350

380

980

160

410

90

150

70

80

465

5,875

100

100

100

94

94

110

98

93

101

98

97

103

106

100

67

94

91

97

600

3,930

3,320

18,730

1,640

950

7,030

2,775

2,925

9,300

1,755

2,060

1,035

1,210

1,015

715

3,145

62,135

580

3,830

3,320

18,690

1,600

950

6,740

2,700

2,970

9,020

1,890

1,950

1,030

1,130

940

680

2,932

60,952

97

97

100

100

98

100

96

97

102

97

108

95

100

93

93

95

93

98

750

4,400

3,600

19,800

1,810

1,050

7,600

3,150

3,300

10,300

1,920

2,460

1,120

1,360

1,120

800

3,656

68,196

730

4,300

3,600

19,700

1,760

1,060

7,300

3,050

3,350

10,000

2,050

2,360

1,120

1,280

1,010

760

3,396

66,826

97

98

100

99

97

101

96

97

102

97

107

96

100

94

90

95

93

98 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 May not add due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

September 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 12 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, September 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2 3

280

1,290

1,090

5,110

520

325

2,570

1,230

990

3,370

595

890

290

415

295

270

1,113

20,643

285

1,270

1,140

4,840

505

330

2,420

1,150

1,000

3,200

675

830

285

370

270

265

1,003

19,838

135

1,140

1,000

5,680

350

270

2,070

685

880

2,380

515

410

335

325

280

170

812

17,437

120

1,150

970

5,760

330

265

2,010

635

870

2,390

540

380

310

300

230

155

763

17,178

70

840

620

4,460

275

185

1,400

495

610

1,860

400

240

215

240

205

145

595

12,855

55

770

600

4,600

290

160

1,280

470

650

1,790

410

250

210

230

200

130

589

12,684

115

660

610

3,480

495

170

990

365

445

1,690

245

520

195

230

235

130

626

11,201

120

640

610

3,490

475

195

1,030

445

450

1,640

265

490

225

230

240

130

578

11,253 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 3 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 13 NASS, USDA

Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, December-November 2008-2009

State

Sows Farrowing 1 Pigs

per Litter 1

Pig Crop 1

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US 2

27.0

0.18

32.0

185

21.00

312

0.50

6.00

8.00

71.0

2.80

7.80

965

580

2,050

323

73.0

3.30

1.30

8.50

1.80

211

1,140

75.0

775

37.0

745

0.40

0.40

1.00

0.40

18.00

2,180

67.5

356

745

5.00

162

0.70

49.0

339

43.0

207

163

0.60

56.0

5.40

1.40

99

63.5

12,225

32.0

0.38

32.0

168

14.00

289

0.50

4.00

7.00

67.0

2.60

9.30

1,005

545

1,970

327

74.0

1.70

1.10

8.00

1.40

220

1,130

76.0

750

42.5

740

0.96

0.40

1.20

0.40

14.00

2,130

74.5

349

755

4.40

170

0.50

30.0

332

36.0

171

167

0.70

52.0

5.90

1.10

93

62.0

11,969

119

211

100

91

67

93

100

67

88

94

93

119

104

94

96

101

101

52

85

94

78

104

99

101

97

115

99

240

100

120

100

78

98

110

98

101

88

105

71

61

98

84

83

102

117

93

109

79

94

98

98

8.93

8.89

9.78

9.72

9.33

8.90

8.00

9.33

7.00

9.08

7.14

8.85

9.36

9.14

9.36

9.18

9.18

6.79

7.31

8.00

7.78

9.51

9.60

9.63

9.49

10.16

9.65

6.50

8.00

6.90

8.00

9.39

9.44

9.87

9.26

9.34

9.00

9.48

7.43

9.16

9.73

9.21

8.93

9.90

8.00

9.43

9.07

7.43

9.03

9.84

9.41

8.47

7.11

9.66

9.73

8.43

9.14

8.20

9.00

7.71

9.30

7.23

8.71

9.49

9.44

9.70

9.29

9.11

8.29

7.27

8.00

8.00

9.69

9.94

9.68

9.76

10.14

9.92

6.67

8.50

7.33

8.00

10.00

9.64

10.24

9.48

9.23

8.64

9.85

7.00

8.53

10.02

9.00

9.44

9.85

8.00

9.38

8.47

6.55

9.05

9.56

9.62

241.0

1.6

313.0

1,799.0

196.0

2,778.0

4.0

56.0

56.0

645.0

20.0

69.0

9,036.0

5,299.0

19,193.0

2,966.0

670.0

22.4

9.5

68.0

14.0

2,007.0

10,944.0

722.0

7,356.0

376.0

7,189.0

2.6

3.2

6.9

3.2

169.0

20,573.0

666.0

3,298.0

6,956.0

45.0

1,536.0

5.2

449.0

3,297.0

396.0

1,848.0

1,614.0

4.8

528.0

49.0

10.4

894.0

625.0

115,030

271.0

2.7

309.0

1,634.0

118.0

2,642.0

4.1

36.0

54.0

623.0

18.8

81.0

9,535.0

5,143.0

19,108.0

3,037.0

674.0

14.1

8.0

64.0

11.2

2,131.0

11,229.0

736.0

7,321.0

431.0

7,344.0

6.4

3.4

8.8

3.2

140.0

20,530.0

763.0

3,307.0

6,966.0

38.0

1,675.0

3.5

256.0

3,325.0

324.0

1,614.0

1,645.0

5.6

488.0

50.0

7.2

842.0

593.0

115,174

112

169

99

91

60

95

103

64

96

97

94

117

106

97

100

102

101

63

84

94

80

106

103

102

100

115

102

246

106

128

100

83

100

115

100

100

84

109

67

57

101

82

87

102

117

92

102

69

94

95

100 1 December preceding year. 2 May not add due to rounding.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 14 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, December-February 2008-2010

State

Sows Farrowing 1 Pigs

Per Litter 1

Pig Crop 1 2

2008 2009

2010 3

2008

2009

Number as % of

2009 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 4

US 5 6

84

240

150

510

86

52

285

190

190

550

89

180

43

88

54

39

241

3,071

75

250

140

500

81

53

285

190

185

530

88

190

40

83

46

42

233

3,011

74

255

140

500

91

60

290

190

175

500

87

185

48

74

28

41

216

2,954

99

102

100

100

112

113

102

100

95

94

99

97

120

89

61

98

93

98

9.05

9.25

9.00

9.20

9.10

9.45

9.25

9.20

9.50

9.20

9.15

9.35

9.50

9.60

9.00

9.70

9.25

9.24

8.60

9.50

9.30

9.60

9.10

9.70

9.75

9.35

9.75

9.55

9.40

8.90

9.75

9.85

9.65

9.70

9.36

9.48

760

2,220

1,350

4,692

783

491

2,636

1,748

1,805

5,060

814

1,683

409

845

486

378

2,228

28,388

645

2,375

1,302

4,800

737

514

2,779

1,777

1,804

5,062

827

1,691

390

818

444

407

2,180

28,552

85

107

96

102

94

105

105

102

100

100

102

100

95

97

91

108

98

101 1 December preceding year. 2 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 3 Intentions. 4 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 5 May not add due to rounding. 6 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 15 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, March-May 2008-2010

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2008 2009

2010 2

2008

2009

Number as % of

2009 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 3

US 4 5

81

230

145

520

80

53

285

190

185

550

89

185

41

85

51

41

241

3,052

72

250

135

495

81

54

285

185

190

540

88

185

42

86

48

43

239

3,018

75

260

140

500

90

55

295

190

180

470

88

190

47

76

28

40

211

2,935

104

104

104

101

111

102

104

103

95

87

100

103

112

88

58

93

88

97

8.85

9.35

9.10

9.35

9.10

9.70

9.50

9.40

9.60

9.35

9.40

9.45

9.45

9.70

8.60

10.00

9.47

9.38

9.00

9.50

9.40

9.65

9.40

9.65

9.95

9.80

9.90

9.70

9.50

9.00

9.75

10.10

9.70

9.90

9.28

9.61

717

2,151

1,320

4,862

728

514

2,708

1,786

1,776

5,143

837

1,748

388

825

439

410

2,279

28,631

648

2,375

1,269

4,777

761

521

2,836

1,813

1,881

5,238

836

1,665

410

869

466

426

2,221

29,012

90

110

96

98

105

101

105

102

106

102

100

95

106

105

106

104

97

101 1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 4 May not add due to rounding. 5 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 16 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, June-August 2008-2009

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 2

US 3 4

76

240

145

510

81

53

285

195

185

560

89

195

38

82

52

43

246

3,075

72

245

135

475

80

57

275

185

185

540

86

190

42

83

46

42

227

2,965

95

102

93

93

99

108

96

95

100

96

97

97

111

101

88

98

92

96

8.90

9.45

9.25

9.40

9.15

9.25

9.80

9.70

9.70

9.65

9.50

9.35

9.60

9.80

8.55

9.90

9.50

9.51

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.75

9.30

9.60

10.00

10.00

10.05

9.70

9.60

9.50

10.00

10.00

9.00

10.00

9.44

9.70

676

2,268

1,341

4,794

741

490

2,793

1,892

1,795

5,404

846

1,823

365

804

445

426

2,337

29,240

684

2,328

1,283

4,631

744

547

2,750

1,850

1,859

5,238

826

1,805

420

830

414

420

2,148

28,777

101

103

96

97

100

112

98

98

104

97

98

99

115

103

93

99

92

98 1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3 May not add due to rounding. 4 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 17 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, September-November 2008-2009

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 2

US 3 4

71

255

140

510

76

53

285

200

185

520

89

185

40

84

50

40

245

3,028

70

260

135

500

85

56

285

190

180

520

87

190

46

80

31

40

219

2,974

99

102

96

98

112

106

100

95

97

100

98

103

115

95

62

100

89

98

8.80

9.40

9.20

9.50

9.40

9.65

9.85

9.65

9.80

9.55

9.00

9.20

9.35

9.80

9.55

10.00

9.37

9.50

9.50

9.45

9.55

9.80

9.35

9.80

10.05

9.90

10.00

9.60

9.40

9.50

9.90

10.10

9.35

9.80

9.47

9.70

625

2,397

1,288

4,845

714

512

2,807

1,930

1,813

4,966

801

1,702

374

823

478

400

2,296

28,771

665

2,457

1,289

4,900

795

549

2,864

1,881

1,800

4,992

818

1,805

455

808

290

392

2,073

28,833

106

103

100

101

111

107

102

97

99

101

102

106

122

98

61

98

90

100 1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3 May not add due to rounding. 4 Utah is now a published state. Arkansas and Wisconsin are included in Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 18 NASS, USDA

Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop,

United States, December-November 2008-2009

Month Sows Farrowing 1 Pigs per Litter Pig Crop 1

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

Dec 2

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Total

1,017

1,028

1,026

1,049

998

1,004

1,046

1,020

1,009

1,047

1,005

976

12,225

997

1,013

1,001

1,009

1,003

1,006

998

988

980

1,009

987

978

11,969

9.22

9.24

9.26

9.35

9.38

9.41

9.48

9.52

9.53

9.50

9.48

9.52

9.41

9.50

9.45

9.49

9.56

9.61

9.66

9.71

9.70

9.69

9.71

9.70

9.68

9.62

9,381

9,502

9,505

9,811

9,370

9,450

9,917

9,712

9,611

9,951

9,529

9,292

115,030

9,475

9,576

9,501

9,650

9,644

9,718

9,693

9,589

9,495

9,794

9,574

9,465

115,174 1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2 December preceding year.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 19 NASS, USDA

Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 11,700 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for

these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance

to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the

first half of December 2009, data were collected from about 9,500 operations, 81 percent of the total sample.

The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face

personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of

December 1, 2009.

Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after

reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data

were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet.

The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and

subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared

to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships.

Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In

December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are

primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the

Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after

that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to

sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication,

and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured

directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a

careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is

shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based

on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root

Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.6 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.8 million

head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.7 percent.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2009 20 NASS, USDA

Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates

Item

Root

Mean

Square

Error

90%

Confidence

Level

Difference Between

First and Latest

Estimates

Quarters

First

Above

Latest

First

Below

Latest Average Smallest Largest

Percent Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number

All Hogs &

Pigs

Pig Crop

Expected

Farrowings

Next

Quarter

Following

Quarter

1.6

2.0

2.4

2.6

2.7

3.5

4.1

4.5

1,777

1,009

121

132

722

385

46

52

67

5

3

3

3,067

1,644

216

220

4

4

4

4

16

16

16

16

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ............................................................................... (202) 720-3570

Livestock Section

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section .................................................................................. (202) 690-2424

Jim Collom - Dairy Products ................................................................................... (202) 690-3236

Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices ........................................................................ (202) 690-2168

Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................ (202) 720-3040

Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ............................................................... (515) 284-4340

Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats ............................................................................ (202) 720-4751

Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows ...................................................... (202) 720-3278

Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs ..................................................................................... (202) 720-3106

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