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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
March 28, 2019
Executive Briefing
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview
March Hogs and Pigs
Data Collection Period February 28 – March 15
Sample Size 5,154
Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview
Primary Data ItemsTotal Inventory: by class, weight group;
Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter
March 28, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions
Survey Item
Initial
Estimate(1,000 head)
Previous
Revisions(1,000 head)
Current
Revision(1,000 head)
Net
Revision(1,000 head)
Current
Estimate(1,000 head)
September 1, 2018All Hogs
and Pigs75,486
-545
-0.7%
+195
+0.3%
-350
-0.5%75,136
Pig Crop 34,159-4
-0.01%
+165
+0.5%
+161
+0.5%34,320
March 28, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1
March 28, 2019
Item 2018 2019 % PY
1,000 head
All Hogs and Pigs 72,748 74,296 102
Breeding Hogs 6,210 6,349 102
Market Hogs 66,538 67,948 102
less than 50 lbs 20,942 21,456 102
50-119 lbs 18,212 18,639 102
120-179 lbs 14,996 15,268 102
180 lbs & over 12,387 12,585 102
Sows Farrowed 3,034 3,084 102
Pig Crop 32,101 32,999 103
number
Pigs per Litter 10.58 10.70 101
1,000 head
Mar-May Farrowings 3,100 3,119 101
Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,200 3,191 100
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs2010 - 2019
March 28, 2019
74.6
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mil
lion h
ead
March 1 December 1
72.7
74.3
March 1, 2019
Hogs and Pigs InventoryHead (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year
March 28, 2019
Inventory DownUp No Change
Other States
3,086
98
Top Five States Inv.State Head (1,000)
Iowa 23,500
North Carolina 8,900
Minnesota 8,700
Illinois 5,200
Indiana 4,150
Trade Expectations Compared
to NASS Estimates Percent of Previous Year
March 28, 2019
101.1
101.6
102.8
102.1
101.9
102.0
99.7
100.6
102.8
102.1
102.2
102.1
99.0 99.5 100.0 100.5 101.0 101.5 102.0 102.5 103.0 103.5
Jun-Aug Farrowings
Mar-May Farrowings
Dec-Feb Pig Crop
Market Hogs
Breeding Hogs
All Hogs and Pigs
Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
59
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
79
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mil
lion h
ead
ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range
All Hogs and PigsFirst Estimate Versus Final Estimate
2010 - 2019
March 28, 2019
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed2010 - 2019
3.08
3.12
3.19
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mil
lion h
ead
Dec-Feb Estimates Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions
March 28, 2019
Breeding Herd InventoryDisposition and Utilization
March 28, 2019
Year
Dec 1
Estimate(1,000 head)
Slaughter(1,000 head)
Additions(1,000 head)
Mar 1
Estimate(1,000 head)
Sow
Utilization(Percent)
2010 5,850 846 756 5,760 49
2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 49
2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 48
2013 5,819 805 822 5,836 48
2014 5,757 779 873 5,851 48
2015 5,939 792 835 5,982 49
2016 6,002 782 760 5,980 49
2017 6,110 802 790 6,098 49
2018 6,179 834 865 6,210 49
2019 6,326 829 852 6,349 49
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter2010 - 2019
March 28, 2019
10.76
10.58
10.70
9.40
9.70
10.00
10.30
10.60
10.90
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Pig
s per
Lit
ter
Dec-Feb Sep-Nov
Canadian Imports by QuarterFeeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Thousa
nd h
ead
Feeder Slaughter
March 28, 2019
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers
for Hogs and Corn
March 28, 2019
$1.50
$2.50
$3.50
$4.50
$5.50
$6.50
$7.50
$8.50
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Corn
$/b
u
Hogs
$/c
wt
Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports
Release Date Report Title
March 29 Prospective Plantings
April 9 Crop Production
April 11 2017 Census of Agriculture
April 18 Cattle on Feed
Farms and Land in Farms
April 22 Cold Storage
Milk Production
April 24 Livestock Slaughter Annual
April 30 Agricultural Prices
March 28, 2019
March 28, 2019
All Reports Available At
www.nass.usda.gov
For Questions
(202) 720-3570
(800) 727-9540
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
March 28, 2019