JACK FAUCETT ASSOCIATES4550 Montgomery Avenue Suite 300 N

Bethesda, Maryland 20814

Tel (301) 961-8800 Fax (301) 469-3001

www.Jfaucett.com

January 6, 2012

Joan Fisher

Burnet County Auditor

133 E.Jackson St.

Burnet, TX 78611

Subject: JFA's Response to the Economic Impact Study of the Drought Affecting the Levels ofthe Upper Highland Lakes RFQ

Dear Joan Fisher,

Jack Faucett Associates, Inc. (JFA) is pleased to submit this proposal to perform an economicimpact study of the drought affecting the levels of the Upper Highland Lakes in Burnet County andLlano County, Texas. We propose to team with Crespo Consulting Services, Inc. (Crespo) for thisproject. Crespo is an environmental engineering firm based in Austin, Texas.

JFA's experience in water resource economic impact studies and Crespo's knowledge of waterresource engineering and region's local water systems make us the perfect team for this study. JFA

has successfully completed more than 250 economic impact studies since its founding in 1963. Wehave completed more than 75 studies related to the economic impacts of droughts, flooding,

erosion, reservoir development, dam reconstruction, and waterway improvements. Our clients onthese studies have included the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, private engineering firms, waterconservation districts, and local and state governments.

Crespo has extensive experience in working on water resource systems in Texas. Crespo's clientshave included the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, City of Austin Water Utility,Lower Colorado River Authority, and Texas Water Development Board.

The proposed JFA Team for the Burnet County and Llano County economic impact study includes:

• Michael Lawrence, President and senior economist at JFA. He is the proposed Project

Director for this project and has 35 years of experience in economic impact studies of waterresources.

• Jonathan Skolnik, Vice President and senior economist at JFA. He led the Lake

Williamstown, Kentucky water level economic impact study, which involved a large tourismimpact analysis.

• Dr. Harry Chmelynski, statistician and economic impact modeler at JFA.

• Rami Chami, research analyst and economic impact analysis specialist at JFA

• Shanshan Zhang, research analyst and spreadsheet tool development specialist at JFA

• Stephen Stecher, President and principal engineer at Crespo. He possesses 25 years of

project management experience and 30 years of engineering experience in civil engineering

related to hydrologic, hydraulic and water quality studies and design in the Austin, Texasregion.

• Carissa Belsky, a water resource and GIS specialist at Crespo. She has 5 years of experience

with water quality analysis, watershed management, field assessments, and GIS.

JFA proposes to complete this study within five months of the contract award for $69,854. We areoffering a technical report, GIS maps, a PowerPoint slide show, and a handout brochure thatsummarize the study's findings. We will also support the Burnet County and Llano County instakeholder engagement meetings for the duration of the contract.

JFA and Crespo do not have any conflict of interests if we are awarded this project. I, MichaelLawrence, am the President of JFA, and I have full authority to authorize and executive this

submission as provided in Sector VIII.3.b. of the RFQ.

This proposal has been prepared without an extraneous packaging or binding to reduce our impacton the environment. If you have any questions or need additional information, please do not hesitate

to contact me at 301-961-8835 or Iawrence@jfaucett.com.

Michael F. Lawrence

President, JFA

JFA's Response to the Economic Impact

Study ofthe Drought Affecting the Levels of

the Upper Highland Lakes RFQ

Prepared For:

Burnet County and Llano County, Texas

Prepared By:

^ Fmucett

Associates

In Collaboration with:

Point of Contact:Michael Lawrence

President, Jack Faucett Associates, Inc.

4550 Montgomery Avenue, Suite 300N

Bethesda, Maryland 20814

Tel: (301) 961-8835

Email: lawrence@jfaucett.com

January 6, 2012

Page Intentionally Left Blank To Facilitate Duplex Printing

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary 1

2. Introduction 3

Introduction to the JFA Team 3

Project Team Organization 4

JFA's Ability to Complete the Project Successfully 4

JFA's Approach to Internal and Client Coordination 5

JFA Team's Expertise and Experiences 6

3. Selected Project Experience 7

JFA's Experience 7

Crespo's Experience 20

4. References and Testimonials 23

References 23

Testimonials from JFA Clients 25

5. Research Methodology 29

Study Goals 29

Study Approach 29

Task 1 - Meetings 30

Task 2 - Water Infrastructure Mapping 30

Task 3 - Data Collection 30

Task 4 - Economic Impact Modeling 35

Task 5 - Final Report and Information Dissemination Materials Development 36

Task 6 - Stakeholder Engagement Support 36

6. Time Projection 37

7. Budget 38

8. Resumes of Key Personnel 40

Appendix A: Sample Brochure 59

Page Intentionally Left Blank To Facilitate Duplex Printing

1. Executive Summary

Jack Faucett Associates, Inc. (JFA) is pleased to submit this proposal to perform an economic

impact study of the drought affecting the levels of the Upper Highland Lakes in Burnet County

and Llano County, Texas. We propose to team with Crespo Consulting Services, Inc. (Crespo)

for this project. Crespo is an environmental engineering firm based in Austin, Texas.

JFA's experience in water resource economic impact studies and Crespo's knowledge of water

resource engineering and region's local water systems make us the perfect team for this study.

JFA has successfully completed more than 250 economic impact studies since its founding in

1963. We have completed more than 75 studies related to the economic impacts of droughts,

flooding, erosion, reservoir development, dam reconstruction, and waterway improvements. Our

clients on these studies have included U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, private engineering firms,

water conservation districts, and local and state governments.

Crespo have extensive experience in working on water resource systems in Texas. Crespo's

clients have included the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, City of Austin Water

Utility, Lower Colorado River Authority, and Texas Water Development Board.

JFA will segment the project into six tasks. The First task includes a kickoff meeting and follow-

up meetings with the client and stakeholders to define and guide the research effort. The second

task is to map the region's water infrastructure using GIS and other mapping techniques. The

third task involves collecting data on the economic impacts of the drought on the Upper

Highland Lakes region. The fourth task involves using the collected data to perform an economic

impact analysis. The fifth task involves developing the project deliverables, such as a technical

report and information dissemination materials (e.g. fact sheet, slide show). JFA will develop

drafts of these deliverables for the client to review near the end of the project period and develop

the final set of deliverables that incorporates client comments and suggestions at the end of the

project period. The sixth task is to support the Counties in public forums, workshops, meetings,

and hearings.

JFA will use IMPLAN, a state of the art economic impact modeling tool, to identify some of the

economic impacts of the drought affecting the levels of the Upper Highland Lakes in Burnet

County and Llano County. The IMPLAN analysis will provide estimates for direct, indirect,

induced, tax, and employment benefits associated with the region's lakes from activities such as

real estate development and tourism.

The JFA team has extensive experience in performing economic impact analysis for water

resources and tourism. Members of the JFA team on this project include:

• Michael Lawrence, President and senior economist at JFA. He is the proposed Project

Director for this project and has 35 years of experience in economic impact studies of

water resources.

Jonathan Skolnik, Vice President and senior economist at JFA. He led the Lake

Williamstown, Kentucky economic impact study, which is similar to the proposed study.

Dr. Harry Chmelynski, statistician and economic impact modeler at JFA.

Rami Chami, research analyst and economic impact analysis specialist at JFA

Shanshan Zhang, research analyst and spreadsheet tool development specialist at JFA

Stephen Stecher, President and principal engineer at Crespo. He possesses 25 years of

project management experience and 30 years of engineering experience in civil

engineering related to hydrologic, hydraulic and water quality studies and design in the

Austin, Texas region.

Carissa Belsky, a water resource and GIS specialist at Crespo. She has 5 years of

experience with water quality analysis, watershed management, field assessments and

GIS.

2. Introduction

JFA is a leading economic consulting firm and has highly qualified professionals who are fully

capable of addressing the multifaceted aspects involved with an economic impact study of the

drought affecting the levels of the Upper Highland Lakes. This chapter introduces the JFA Team

and our approach to this project. The chapter includes the following sections:

• Introduction to the JFA Team

• Project Team organization

• JFA's ability to complete the project successfully

• JFA's approach to internal and client coordination

Introduction to the JFA Team

Jack Faucett Associates (JFA) is a veteran-owned small business established in 1963. In our

more than 40-year history, JFA has developed a strong reputation in the fields of public policy,

economics, modeling, regulatory support, and consulting. We have successfully completed more

than 750 contracts and 1,500 individual research task orders. Our consultants address a wide

variety of economic issues related to public policy, economic policy, transportation, energy, and

the environment.

JFA has a strong practice in economic impact analysis. Our consultants have successfully

completed more than 250 economic impact studies. Our relevant experience includes economic

impact studies of Lake Williamstown water levels in Kentucky, the Muskingum Watershed

Conservation District, the South Carolina Technical College System, ethanol manufacturing

industry in California, Greater Lynchburg Transit Company's bus system in central Virginia,

Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in Virginia, and Department of Energy's Sanford

Underground Research Laboratory in South Dakota.

Crespo Consulting Services, Inc. (Crespo) is a civil engineering firm located in Austin, Texas.

Crespo specialize in stormwater management, hydrology, hydraulics, wastewater modeling and

erosion control. The staff includes engineers, hydrologists, planners and GIS specialists that have

performed and directed numerous projects throughout the state.

Project Team Organization

JFA's President, Michael Lawrence, is the Project Director and the primary point of contact for

this study. Mr. Lawrence will maintain continual communication with representatives from

Burnet County and Llano County to provide updates on the team's progress. The team's

organizational hierarchy is provided in Exhibit 1.

Exhibit 1: Project Team's Organizational Chart

Burnet County and Llano County

Michael Lawrence, JFA

Project Director and Senior

Economist

Jonathan Skolnik, JFA

Senior Economist

Harry Chmelynski, JFA

Senior Statistican

i

Rami Chami, JFA

Research Analyst

Stephen Stecher, Crespo

Principal Engineer and Water

Resource Specialist

i

Carissa Belsky, Crespo

Water Resource and GIS

Specialist

Shanshan Zhang, JFA

Research Analyst

JFA's Ability to Complete the Project Successfully

Description of JFA's current and one-year out projected workload

JFA's consulting practice is focused on the analysis of public policy decisions. Our staff

conducts economic and financial analysis, develops models, prepares reports, and crafts

presentations. JFA's current work load includes:

• Evaluating Federal Transit Authority disbursements of American Recovery and

Reinvestment Act (ARRA) funds to seven transit agencies.

• Developing the Economic Analysis Tool Matrix, a dynamic searchable database that

provides a comprehensive overview of the range of current applications the U.S.

Department of Transportation has available to users, appropriate uses, comparison of

tools, conflicts between these tools, and gaps in applications related to economic analysis

of transportation investments.

• Measuring greenhouse gas emission factors for standard highway construction

procedures and infrastructures.

Our staff is committed to these projects with varying completion dates over the next four months

for about sixty percent of their time. Nevertheless, we are fully prepared with staff and other

resources to complete the Upper Highland Lakes economic impact study if we are selected for

this project.

Description of JFA's ability to complete projects on time and on budget

JFA is owned by officers of the company. The company has developed management methods

that are well suited to a small consulting firm with several contracts from different private and

public clients. The following paragraphs outline the components of our project management

approach.

Quality Control - JFA considers quality control to be an essential upper management

responsibility. Key to the technical quality of the proposed work effort will be an iterative review

of the deliverables before submission and use of client feedback to shape the final products.

Cost Control- Complete and final responsibility for all financial reports, accounting practice,

and cost control lies with Mr. Lawrence, JFA's President and the proposed Project Director. To

assure effective cost control, JFA has developed a computer based budget reporting system that

provides timely analytic data on project costs throughout all phases of a project.

JFA's Approach to Internal and Client Coordination

JFA's internal and client coordination efforts will be led by JFA's President, Michael Lawrence.

Mr. Lawrence is an experienced project director. Coordination within JFA will be facilitated by

the establishment and documentation of project goals, time and budget parameters, work

processes, detailed work assignments, and delineated responsibilities by consultant before the

start of the project. The guiding principles of JFA are to professionally and successfully execute

the contract in a manner that exceeds the specific requirements detailed in the RFQ on time and

on budget.

JFA will host weekly internal meetings with project team members to stay up-to-date on our

progress and address any challenges. We also propose biweekly conference calls with Burnet

County and Llano County representatives to share information on our progress and address

outstanding issues. JFA will compose the final report in consecutive phases and we encourage

County officials to review drafts of chapters as they are completed.

JFA Team's Expertise and Experiences

JFA Team's expertise and experience by firm are illustrated in the following graphic. The

expertise and experience of the JFA Team amply cover every aspect of work involved with this

project.

Exhibit 2: Expertise and Experience by Firm

*&&*&&*&&

3. Selected Project Experience

This chapter describes the JFA Team's ongoing and recently completed projects that demonstrate

our experience in economic impact analysis.

JFA's Experience

Project: Lake Williamstown Economic and Recreation Alternatives Analysis

Client: Grant County and Pendleton County, Kentucky

The City of Williamstown, the City of Corinth, Grant County, and Pendleton County, Kentucky

were evaluating options to enhance dam safety, water supply and recreational opportunities at

Lake Williamstown. The economic impacts of the associated dam construction, operation, and

maintenance, as well as expected new home construction, new resident spending, and new visitor

spending at the enlarged lake are significant and have several economic impacts on the local

region and national economy. JFA utilized the IMPLAN Model to produce the impact estimates.

Project: Preliminary Benefit Analysis of the MWCD Official Plan

Client: Muskingum Watershed Conservancy District

The Official Plan of the Muskingum Watershed Conservancy District (MWCD) was developed

in 1934 to carry out a comprehensive flood control and water conservation project in the

Muskingum River Watershed. JFA developed estimates of the benefits accruing to the MWCD

region from the Plan in the Muskingum River Watershed. The estimates included the

maintenance and improvement activities proposed in the Amendment and a cost-benefit analysis

of the projects. The analysis provided 1) a discussion of the issues-economic and legal -

shaping the cost-benefit analysis, 2) a review of the costs and the benefit categories developed

for each of the activities proposed in the Amendment (as well as the benefits accruing to date), 3)

an overview of the methodology followed in estimating the various types of benefits accruing to

the region as a result of the proposed activities, and 4) a summary of benefit-cost analysis results.

Project: Economic Effects of Delaware's Beach Nourishment Program

Client: Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control, State of

Delaware

JFA worked to update a prior report titled "the Economic Effects of a Five Year Nourishment

Program for the Ocean Beaches of Delaware." The major part of the update was to conduct the

hedonic model with updated data. The updates include the inventory and transactions data, beach

conditions, avoided damage information, the hedonic framework, The Hedonic model will then

be tested, adjusted, rerun, documented, and used to project the effect of changes in the shoreline

on property values over the next five years.

The inventory and transactions data were updated with new aerial photography, Multiple Listing

Service (MLS) and property assessment data in combination with work recently undertaken by

Jeffrey Wakefield. JFA conducted the hedonic model with the updated data. With the help of

Engineer Chris Jones, the beach conditions from 1997 to 2002 were characterized to correlate the

updated transactions data with beach conditions. The team reviewed any updates in the analysis

of the avoided damages estimated by the Corps in the Atlantic Coast of Delaware study and

utilized these data to the extent that the results could be projected to the analysis. After close

review of Wakefield's work and any other relevant hedonic efforts that could be identified by the

project team, the 1998 specification of the hedonic framework was updated and/or improved as

appropriate. The remaining steps represent the iterations to complete refinement and run the

model.

In addition to the Hedonic model, the project team also updated estimates of tourism

expenditures outside the 50 mile radius and number and expenditures of local visitors using the

data from U.S. Travel Data Center, willingness to pay, economic impacts from the tourist

expenditures on jobs, profits, gross state products, and tax.

The results were presented in the final report and brochure for the general public. Personal

presentations of the results were made to DNREC staff and in one public-forum meeting in

Delaware. The results were incorporated into a research paper that will be submitted for

presentation at a national conference, to be selected by the team and DNREC.

Project: La Crosse Port Planning

Client: Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse County and the City of La Crosse,

WI

The Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse County and the City of La Crosse, WI request the

assistance ofJJR and JFA to update their Port and Harbor Plan. This plan was last updated in

1999, and a number of important economic shocks have occurred in the intervening period,

including volatile oil prices and a major recession. Further, the County and City of La Crosse

have made a strong effort in this period to revitalize the downtown area and to reclaim some of

the downtown waterfront for recreational and residential purposes. The new updated Port and

Harbor Plan was meant to assess the effects of theses major economic shocks, while setting the

stage for the continued revitalization of the downtown area.

On the basis of data from the Army Corps of Engineers, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics

(BTS) Commodity Flow Survey (CFA), and detailed stakeholder interviews, JFA wrote a

comprehensive report on the economic trends affecting the port. This report described the multi-

modal infrastructure of La Crosse County, the major businesses involved in waterborne

commerce, the flow of commodities in and out of the port, employment generated by waterborne

commerce, and emerging trends likely to affect waterborne commerce in the near future.

Project: The Development of Stage-Damage Curves in the Atlantic Coast of Maryland

Hurricane Protection Study

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Baltimore District

In this assignment, Jack Faucett Associates collected topographic and building description data

in selected areas of Ocean City designated by random sampling. The field data was used as input

for estimating the depreciated replacement value of structures and their contents for the study

area.

The Army Corps of Engineers Atlantic Coast of Maryland study was authorized in June 1963

and begun in 1965, resulting in a completed benefit study in April 1970. The study

recommended that a Federal project for beach erosion control and hurricane protection at Ocean

City be adopted. Major coordination efforts throughout the study were with the Town of Ocean

City. The Town of Ocean City subsequently withdrew its support for the project.

In May 1978, local support was reinstated by the Secretary of the Maryland Department of

Natural Resources. In May 1980 an updated and revised study recommended a Federal Project

for beach erosion and hurricane protection. Spatial data management techniques were used to

estimate potential flood damages in the Town of Ocean City. Coordination between Maryland

Department of Natural Resources and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers continued. Because of

changes in Federal policy, it was decided that the State of Maryland would build the beach

erosion portion of the project and the U.S. Corps of Engineers would construct the hurricane

protection portion of the project. As part of the design efforts project benefits are being

reevaluated to reflect increased development through 1987.

The task effort included field work to determine the elevation and value of 120 randomly

selected structures spanning all types of development. These valuations were used to update the

Corps multivariable data file developed in 1980. The results of this task will be used to

determine benefits from the Federal government's expenses in flood protection in Ocean City,

Maryland.

Project: An Application of Hedonic Modeling in the Evaluation of the Effects of

Shoreline Erosion

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Baltimore District, Institute for Water

Resources

In this project, recently undertaken by JFA, the hedonic method was applied to derive

comparable market prices for shoreline erosion using a case study approach. The project was

divided into four tasks. In the first task a conceptual framework was developed. The hedonic

method was briefly described and its potential and appropriateness for evaluating the effects of

shoreline erosion was presented. The purpose of this task was to provide an overall

understanding of the approach, as well as its appropriateness for the subsequent case study

application.

In the second task a case study methodology was developed and described. This included, not

only how the general modeling technique is applied, but also the delineation of variables and the

identification of data needs. Some of the specific issues that were addressed are: data sources,

the derivation of comparable market prices for shoreline properties, methods for physically or

qualitatively measuring shoreline erosion, and methods for measuring and incorporating the

other factors that could affect market prices.

In the third task data identified in task two was collected and analyzed. This included both the

development of comparable market values for shoreline properties and the initial application of

the hedonic modeling effort.

The fourth task provided Findings and recommendations. The report submitted described the

efforts involved and findings from each of the above tasks, and provided recommendations as to

further research or applications needed to verify or expand on the findings of this effort.

Project: Inland Transportation and Import/Export Trade

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources

Import and export data were tabulated by origin and destination (O-D) in state and port detail,

i.e., state to port or port to state. The data were obtained from the Port Import and Export

Reporting System (PIERS). The O-D data were matched with similar O-D data from the

Waterborne Commerce and rail Waybill data in commodity detail to impute shares by transport

mode. One purpose was to develop a data base for measuring the impact of U.S. foreign trade on

waterway freight traffic and competing transportation modes. A further purpose was to facilitate

measurement of the economic impact of foreign trade on state economies, using a multiregional

economic input-output model.

Project: Transportation Benefits of the Proposed Wabash River Waterway

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

This study consisted of analyzing the transportation and market benefits of the proposed Wabash

River Waterway. For each of approximately 150 current or potential movements of coal, grain,

fertilizer and other commodities were forecast to or from the Wabash River Study Area. AH

analyses of movements via the Wabash Waterway were made for two alternatives: one assuming

the Waterway would be navigable only as far as Mount Carmel, Illinois; and the second

assuming it would be navigable all the way to Terre Haute, Indiana.

Project: Public Ports and Economic Feasibility Studies

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

JFA has completed more than 40 task orders in the port feasibility arena for the U.S. Army Corps

of Engineers. Those most relevant to the proposed project include:

• Preparation of West Virginia Inland Port Studies on the Kanawha River

• Preparation of Public Ports Studies for the Weirton Port and Industrial Center District

• Preparation of Public Ports Master Plan for the Cabell/Wayne Port District

• Preparation of Public Ports Master Plan for the Erickson/Wood County Port District

The port master planning studies have focused on the development of public port/industrial parkconcepts along the Ohio River with potential for economic development in the region. These

analyses are evaluating the competitive advantages for certain commodities associated with

access to river shipping. The evaluations include commodity forecasts including origin-

destination patterns, costs of transport by competing modes, and economic development benefits

10

for the region. The concept of an industrial park associated with the port facility focuses on

developing new business rather than competing with existing terminal operators. In addition, a

large facility with numerous tenants spreads the risk and costs of investments in piers, cranes and

other equipment. Similar economies of scale are generated in foreign trade zone creation,

environmental compliance, and selected site development and administrative costs. While trans-

loading facilities for coal or other commodities require very little acreage (5 or more), they

provide very little in the way of economic development benefits and as such should be of

minimal interest to the local area and the State. The potential selection of port site locations with

high development prospects are being supported with detailed information and analysis for a

number of candidate port sites by JFA.

Project: Analysis of Cross-Florida Barge Canal Studies

Client: Barge Canal Authority of Florida

JFA provided short-term technical assistance to the Barge Canal Authority of Florida, in

connection with the restudy of the Cross-Florida Barge Canal conducted by the Corps of

Engineers. A review was made of the overall project economic and benefit/cost analysis

developed by the Corps of Engineers, as well as a review of reports which attempted to estimate

monetary values to environmental consequences of the proposed canal. JFA, as a result of these

reviews, made recommendations to the Canal Authority for revisions to the Corps of Engineers

analysis. Also, recommendations were made as to an approach by which to assess regional

development benefits.

Project: La Crosse Port Planning

Client: Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse County and the City of La Crosse,

Wisconsin

JFA assisted the Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse County and the City of La Crosse, WI to

update their Port and Harbor Plan. This plan was last updated in 1999, and a number of

important economic shocks have occurred in the intervening period, including volatile oil prices

and a major recession. Further, the County and City of La Crosse have made a strong effort in

this period to revitalize the downtown area and to reclaim some of the downtown waterfront for

recreational and residential purposes. The new updated Port and Harbor Plan assessed the effects

of theses major economic shocks, while setting the stage for the continued revitalization of the

downtown area. On the basis of data from the Army Corps of Engineers, the Bureau of

Transportation Statistics (BTS) Commodity Flow Survey (CFA), and detailed stakeholder

interviews, JFA created a comprehensive report on the economic trends affecting the port. The

report described the multi-modal infrastructure of La Crosse County, the major businesses

involved in waterborne commerce, the flow of commodities in and out of the port, employment

generated by waterborne commerce, and emerging trends likely to affect waterborne commerce

in the near future.

11

Project: Navigation and Port Studies for the Great Lakes and Ohio River Division

Client: U.S. Army Corp of Engineers, Huntington District

JFA currently hold this indefinite delivery task order contract to provide navigation and port

studies for the Great Lakes and Ohio River Division. JFA developed a Public Port Master Plan

(Feasibility Study) for the Kanawha Valley Port District, which included description of the

existing site conditions including environmental baseline conditions, cultural resources data,

HTRW analysis, site analysis; description of anticipated commodity types and potential volumes

to be shipped to/from the port site; synopsis of permit requirement for the port site; site planning

and engineering documents including construction cost estimates and annual operation and

maintenance costs for the port site; financial feasibility analysis; and anticipated environmental

impacts of the proposed development. JFA also updated the contents of the Corp of Engineers'

Navigation Information Sharing Website, which provides access to data and information on

waterway movements. JFA created new profiles and updated existing profiles for the Great

Lakes Basin, Great Lakes States, Great Lakes Congressional Districts, and Great Lakes

Industries.

Project: Reconnaissance and Feasibility (Master Plan) Studies of Intermodal

Public Port Development

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

JFA completed a series of projects to develop reconnaissance and feasibility (Master Plan)

studies related to the potential development of inland intermodal public port/industrial park

facilities in a number of locations throughout West Virginia and Ohio. JFA completed four

reconnaissance which establish the general feasibility of intermodal inland port facilities in the

proposed region; identify the types of port facilities that would have the greatest benefit to the

area by improving transportation links for existing businesses and attracting new businesses;

determine general areas where sites exist that meet general engineering, environmental, and

economic criteria; and provide the basis for conducting more detailed, site-specific feasibility

assessments in the future. JFA also developed five Master Plans for port sites in the Parkersburg,

Huntington, and Weirton areas, and in Jackson and Putnam Counties, West Virginia. Each

Master Plan includes analysis of: economic and financial feasibility, site planning and

engineering, commodity markets, environmental reconnaissance, cultural resources, hazardous

toxic and radioactive waste, flood hazards, regulatory permit requirements, and a real estate

assessment.

Project: Nexus Ohio: Multimodal Opportunities for Economic Development

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District and Ohio Department of

Transportation

In this study, JFA identified the linkages and connections between industries, multi-modal

transportation facilities and economic development in Ohio. The study focused on:

• Bulk commodities that are transported by water or rail

• Developing multi-modal facilities that will lead to economic development

12

• The Ohio River and the Great Lakes with regards to creating strategies for the

development of multi-modal transportation centers leading to economic development

• Micro-level multi-modal transportation changes and their micro- and macro-level

economic development impacts

• The potential for economic development considering both potential and existing

infrastructure, markets, industries, commodities and links/connections

JFA assessed the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and challenges posed by trade

liberalization for selected regional industries and clusters, especially goods exports, market

access changes, transportation infrastructure improvements, and national security concerns. The

research assessed the export trade trends and prospects for key regional industry sectors in

foreign markets. The study also made general policy recommendations and suggests action plans

for state regional sectors to improve performance.

Project: State-to-State Commodity Freight Flows

Client: Institute for Water Resources, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Fort Belvoir,

Virginia

The project was performed in conjunction with the development of the 1977 Multiregional Input

Output Model with detail for all of the states. JFA reconciled the commodity flow data (in value

measures) with production and consumption data in each state. The commodity flow data were

converted to tonnage along with estimates of ton miles and carrier revenue for each state to state

aggregate of shipments for each commodity group (approximately 80 commodity groups). The

overall tonnages and ton miles were compared and reconciled as possible with national estimates

published by the Transportation Association of America. The results of this work are described

in "Commodity Flow Data, 1977," one of a series of reports on the development of the 1977

Multiregional Input Output Model Data Base (available through NTIS), and the data are

available on computer tape from the National Archives,

Project: Feasibility of Intertnodal Public Port Facilities

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

The objective of this study was to establish the general feasibility of intermodal inland port

facilities in West Virginia; to identify the types of port facilities which would have the greatest

benefit to the state by improving transportation links for existing businesses and attracting new

businesses; to determine general areas where sites exist which meet engineering, environmental,

and economic criteria; and to provide the basis for conducting more detailed, site-specific

feasibility assessments in the future.

Project: Waterway Traffic Forecasts for the Upper Mississippi River Basin

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources

JFA, in conjunction with Sparks Companies Inc. and the Criton Corporation, supported the Army

Corps of Engineers (ACE) in a study to examine the feasibility of navigation improvements on

the Upper Mississippi River and Illinois Waterway. The goal of the study was to determine the

13

location and sequencing of any needed lock improvements and to prioritize the required capital

investments for the first half of the next century.

Project: Multi-port Analysis of Container Traffic

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineer's Institute for Water Resources

JFA developed a model for simulating the selection of ports for containerized shipments in

export/import trade. The purpose of the model is to measure the impact on individual port

traffic, and diversion from other ports, of improvements in selected port container handling

facilities, increased storage capacity, and inland modal connections and transfer facilities.

Project: River Navigation Study

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineer's Institute for Water Resources

The purpose of this study was to identify the navigation potential of the Corps of Engineers

multi-purpose projects on the Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa (ACT) and Apalachicola-

Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) rivers. This study focused on interviewing past, present, and

potential users of the rivers for barge transportation. A specific part of this effort was to identify

impediments to transportation use of the rivers, and the measures used to cope with navigation

problems. Over 200 potential shippers, economic development officials, towboat operators and

terminal operators were contacted to obtain their views and estimates of the traffic potential if

the channels on the two systems were not constrained by shallow depths and low flow at

intermittent times over the year.

Project: Dredging Needs for Ports and Harbors

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineer's Institute for Water Resources

JFA completed a study to determine the channel depth and width requirements of U.S. ports and

harbors to efficiently accommodate emerging U.S. export/import trade. Data on U.S. inland

origin/destination and foreign port destination/origin of export/import trade in commodity detail

were entered in a large database along with port characteristics and vessel characteristics plying

world-wide trade routes. These data were analyzed to determine efficient vessel sizes for this

trade in view of foreign port characteristics (limitations). The results pointed out priority needs

for channel improvements in U.S. ports and harbors.

Project: Forecasts of Ohio River Coal Exports

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

In this report, JFA described the current world coal trade, its recent history, and short-term and

long-term trends. Previously-published forecasts of the world coal trade were analyzed and

compared. The tonnage of coal shipments for export from the Ohio River system were identified

by originating dock and receiving country. Major foreign coal markets to which Ohio River

waterborne shipments may be exported were examined and described, country by country. The

descriptions included each country's native energy resources, production and consumption

trends, export and import history, transportation infrastructure, and environmental policies.

14

Project: Waterway Traffic Forecasts for the Ohio River System

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

In this report, JFA developed waterway traffic projections for the Ohio River Navigation System

(ORS). The projections are an important tool for identifying future congestion points on the

ORS. These projections, therefore, help Corps planners to prioritize those areas of the ORS most

needing infrastructure improvement. The term of the projections is fifty years, which

corresponds to the design-life of most lock and dam projects.

Project: Development of Freight Movement Indicators

Client: Southern California Association of Governments

For this project, JFA developed recommended freight movement indicators for the SCAG region,

identifying the data sources necessary and available to monitor these indicators, and

recommended methods for maintaining these data and monitoring the freight movement

indicators on a regular basis. SCAG's Regional Mobility Element (RME) includes a number of

freight and goods movement policies and sub-regional actions and the freight indicators

developed in this project will be used to monitor how effectively these policies and programs are

implemented.

Project: Survey of Non-Utility Ohio River System Shippers

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

The detailed traffic demand projections prepared by the Navigation Center rely heavily on the

input of waterway shippers to assess the reasonableness of expansions or closures that would

affect waterway flows, either positively or negatively. Under this contract, JFA completed a

survey of Ohio River System (ORS) shippers, excluding the utility companies and coal exporting

companies, to be used as the basis for preparing detailed forecasts in the relevant commodity

categories. The survey determined if the traffic patterns reflected in the 1996 commodity flows

database were representative of traffic patterns for the facility. If not, a more "normal" pattern of

traffic (e.g. commodities moved and in what quantities) was established. The respondents were

also asked to provide an estimate traffic levels by commodity within 2 to 5 years. Documentation

of the interview process including a detailed call log was provided to the Navigation Center

along with the data gathered through survey in a Microsoft Access database format.

In addition to the survey, a literature search of waterway transportation publications to identify

any waterside plant openings, expansions, or closures that may affect the levels and continuity of

waterway traffic was conducted. The affected companies associated with any potential

waterway traffic gains or losses were contacted to determine the amount of traffic that will be

generated or lost.

15

Project: Promoting Economic Development by Improving Transportation

Infrastructure of Goods Movement

Client: U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration

JFA conducted work for the U.S. Economic Development Administration (USEDA) that

involved a literature review of the economic development impacts of transportation

infrastructure improvements, with an emphasis on those impacts that occur in the system of

goods movement. JFA prepared a publication-quality paper to make practitioners and public

leaders aware of issues and methods for promotion of economic development by improving the

efficiency and productivity of transportation infrastructure for goods movement associated with

inter-regional and international trade. Through this effort, JFA provided USEDA with

documentation of several projects in which JFA has played an active role that relate

transportation planning to economic development planning. These case studies included JFA

projects in Fresno County, Imperial County, the Coachella Valley, and the Monterey Bay Area.

Project: Development of Port Master Plans

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, State and Local Port Authorities

JFA developed master plans for seven public ports. These master plans include analysis of

market conditions, efficient port layouts, traffic forecasts, human resource management (HRM),

port financial feasibility, and real estate use. The ports and areas analyzed include:

• Kanawha Valley Port

• South Charleston Port

• Buffalo Putnam Port district

• Jackson County Port District

• Weirton Port and Industrial Center District

• Erickson/Wood County Port District

• Cabell/Wayne Port District

Project: Data Base Management Program for Port Mobilization Master Plan, Port of

Baltimore

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Baltimore District

The purpose of this study is to identify an appropriate data base management program for use in

compiling, monitoring and updating port resource capabilities as they may relate to the Port of

Baltimore Mobilization Master Plan.

The Mobilization Master Plan consists of a comprehensive identification of the agencies and

groups involved in the event of a mobilization at the Port of Baltimore. Organizational rules and

responsibilities will be delineated as well as the nature and extent of interactions among

participants.

In the data base identification phase, the research efforts focus on detailed data collection:

16

• Establishing contact with appropriate operating elements of the various port-related

agencies, departments, administrations, etc.

• Documenting the results of these interviews on an individual basis and preparing a

summary document containing findings and conclusions

• Using the findings as the basis for selecting a data base management system appropriate

for the purposed of mobilization master planning capability tabulation, readily useable by

the Corps of Engineers

• Developing the selected data base management system and testing the system using some

of the information provided by the various agencies

The information being collected for the Mobilization Master Plan include such items as docking

capability, loading-unloading capability, workforce, channel, anchorage and berthing depths,

profiles of vessel types arriving and departing the Port of Baltimore, staging areas, storage

warehouses, fuel, etc.

Project: Columbia River Deepening Feasibility Study

Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

The USACE Portland District hired JFA to prepare commodity projections for the Columbia

River Channel Deepening Feasibility Study. The commodity projections were made for the 50-

year project life (year 2004 to 2054) and were limited to the following commodities: wheat, corn,

barley, containers, and alumina. Wheat, corn, and barley are export commodities, alumina is an

import commodity, and containers are both imported and exported (mostly the latter). The

forecasts were port-specific for Portland and for the Washington state ports of Vancouver,

Kalama, and Longview. In excess of ninety percent of U.S. wheat exports to Japan, South

Korea, Taiwan, and The Philippines pass through Columbia River grain elevators. Columbia

River ports are also major suppliers of corn to northeast Asian nations.

Project: Economic Impacts of the Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex

Client: Olde Dominion Agricultural Foundation, Chatham, Virginia

The Olde Dominion Agricultural Foundation was requested by one of its donors to conduct an

economic impact analysis of its Agricultural Complex, and of its planned construction activities.

JFA worked with the Foundation to develop detailed estimates of the impact of the facility

associated with construction, operations and visitor spending. These estimates included both a

low and high scenario of future activities, based on whether funding became available to

complete the full level of investment planned for the facility. Estimates for the low and high

scenarios were developed on the basis of the level of activity held at similar facilities, as well as

discussions with potential and current users of the Agricultural Complex.

Project: Economic Impact Study of the Sanford Underground Research Laboratory

Client: South Dakota Department of Tourism and State Development

JFA performed an economic impact study of the Sanford Underground Research Laboratory in

South Dakota. This scientific laboratory is funded by the U.S. Department of Energy. It will

house a number of experiments in physics, geology, hydrology, geo-engineering, biology, and

17

biochemistry. Most of these experiments are not possible on or above the earth's surface due to

interference from cosmic rays, which are blocked by soil at great depths underground. This study

served to identify the economic benefits this laboratory will bring to South Dakota's economy

and help local officials plan for the expected economic growth in the region due to the

laboratory. The study also profiled a number of local industries that might benefit or emerge as a

result of the research activities undertaken at the laboratory.

Project: Economic Impact of a Proposed Ethanol Manufacturing Industry in

California

Client: California Energy Commission

JFA estimated the economic impacts associated with a state-subsidized ethanol production

industry. Four scenarios were considered. The analysis first estimated the direct impacts, which

were defined in terms of differences from the base case scenario. Direct impacts that occur over

the lives of the plants include reductions in the volumes of gasoline and ethanol imported into the

state, increases in feedstock collection activities, increases in expenditures on fuel distribution

and trade, changes in waste disposal costs and processing activities, growth in pentane output

levels, and plant operating expenditures. Short terms impacts include plant construction activities

and investments in truck fleets for feedstock collection and fuel distribution. Some ofthe

investments were assumed to displace investments that otherwise would have occurred in the

state. In all scenarios, the direct economic impacts were fed into an IMPLAN input-output model

of the California economy to estimate the indirect and induced effects. Impacts were estimated

for each year a plant was expected to be operating.

Project: Economic Impact of South Carolina's Technical College System

Client: South Carolina Technical College System (SCTCS)

JFA conducted an economic impact study of the South Carolina Technical College System

(SCTCS). The SCTCS is comprised of 16 technical colleges located strategically across the state.

As the largest higher education system in the state, the college system has 114,000 credit

students and 128,000 continuing education students. The study identified the economic benefits

provided to the local community and the state of South Carolina by the college system in the

form of estimated dollars spent in the community and full-time equivalent employment related to

the college system. The study also examined the economic impacts of employees, students, and

visitors who are annually attracted to the area.

Project: Economic Impact of Utah Valley University

Client: Utah Valley University (UVU) Office of Institutional Research

JFA undertook an economic impact study of Utah Valley University (UVU) for the2009-10

School Year. UVU is the second-largest four-year institution in the Utah System of Higher

Education, after the University of Utah. More than 32,000 students currently attend the

University. UVU offers master, bachelor, and associate degrees, as well as certificates and

diplomas. The study helped not only to quantify the direct, indirect and induced impacts of the

University during a period of expansion of the University. Further, the study estimated the

increased lifelong earnings ofUVU graduates, compared with a situation where the University

18

did not exist. Select qualitative economic impacts were also analyzed, and include UVLPs

extensive contribution to the economic development activities in the area, cultural event, and

sporting activities.

Project: Economic Impacts of the GLTC Transit System

Client: Greater Lynchburg Transit Company, Virginia

The Greater Lynchburg Transit Company (GLTC), a publicly funded city transit service in

Virginia, needed to market itself to local decision makers as a regional economic resource and

asset. JFA conducted a regional economic impact analysis of the operations of GLTC. The study

was based on demographic, financial, and statistical data on the Lynchburg region as well as

GLTC's ridership. JFA conducted three statistically valid stakeholder surveys and collected the

bulk of the data used in the study. These surveys targeted GLTC's Para-transit and fixed route

service riders, GLTC's employees, and regional businesses. Based on the surveys and other data,

JFA provided GLTC with 1) an estimate of the direct and indirect economic value of transit to

regional residents, businesses, schools, medical facilities, nonprofit organizations, and

municipalities; 2) a description of the direct and indirect economic value of supplies and services

purchased to maintain transit operations and services; 3) a measurement of the number ofjobs

created directly and indirectly by transit activities; and 4) an estimate of the impacts a cessation

of transit services would have due to reduced mobility and job opportunities for local residents.

Project: Interstate 81 NEPA TIER I Study

Client: Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc. for Virginia DOT

JFA identified the mechanisms through which the proposed 1-81 improvements affect modal cost

and mode split. Mode choice is based on a number of factors that affect direct transportation

costs, inventory carrying costs, or customer satisfaction. JFA collected and evaluated data and

current studies on freight diversion in the corridor. JFA also evaluated other data sources such as

the Department of Commerce Exporter Location Data/Exporter Data Base, and the USDOT

Commodity Flow Data, to determine the viability of the DRPT survey study results and to

confirm their assumptions.

JFA also conducted telephone, intercept and email surveys of freight haulers, large industrial

shippers/receivers and trucks that move freight through the corridor. This task provided insight

into what factors govern the mode choice decisions for freight and the potential impacts of tolls.

JFA also used an existing mode shift model to obtain the diversion estimates for the four rail

improvement concepts and several toll scenarios. The results of model runs were a detailed

estimate of the potential freight diversion onto the rail mode.

Project: Economic Impact Analysis of Transportation Infrastructure Investments

Client: Ohio Department of Transportation

JFA completed a major study of commodity flows and economic development opportunities in

Ohio addressing highway, railway, airway, and waterway freight movements. The project

included: 1) development of comprehensive freight movement statistics; 2) evaluation of

transportation infrastructure and the need for new investments; and 3) assessment of the potential

19

for future industrial growth resulting from transportation infrastructure investments. JFA used

the IMPLAN model to estimate the employment impacts of these proposed investments.

Crespo's Experience

Project: Colorado Water Availability Modeling

Client: Texas Commission on Environmental Quality

Crespo performed a wide range of engineering, hydrologic and GIS mapping services to develop

naturalized flows and a water availability model the Colorado River Basin for TCEQ. Crespo

analyzed drainage basin and stream networks using GIS, compiled reservoir and stream data,

simulated reservoirs, performed statistical analyses of gage data, developed reservoir

evaporations data, evaluated spring flow, estimated recharge and prepared model inputs. Crespo

developed WRAP model input, performed analyses with digital elevation models (DEMs) and

performed model simulations.

Project: City of Austin Water Resource Planning Study

Client: City of Austin Water Utility

Crespo provided engineering services to identify and evaluate surface water supply alternatives

for inclusion into the Integrated Water Resources Plan for the City of Austin. Crespo performed

a water availability modeling (WAM) analysis using the WRAP model and a water rights

permitting analysis to develop technically sound and environmentally feasible surface water

alternatives for the City. Analysis included the use of existing and future surface water

reservoirs and modeling of potential impacts. Hydrologic data and WAM models for the

appropriate tributaries of the Colorado River and adjacent River Basins were gathered along with

information on State water supply planning for Region K in order to evaluate further alternatives.

Finally, Crespo produced maps using GIS to illustrate the geographic location of the facilities

needed to implement the alternatives.

Project: LCRA Industrial Water Conservation Plans

Client: Lower Colorado River Authority (LCRA)

Crespo researched and compiled water use data for three LCRA power plants: Fayette Power

Project (La Grange), Thomas C. Ferguson Power Plant (Marble Falls) and Lost Pines Power Park

(Bastrop). Crespo evaluated the data and made recommendations pertaining to 5-year and 10-

year water conservation target goals and water use reductions.

Project: TWDB Reservoir Sedimentation Rates Study

Client: Texas Water Development Board (TWDB)

Crespo provided consulting services to evaluate impacts to water supply and water quality in

Texas' reservoirs due to sedimentation. Crespo collected sedimentation rates data for all (196

total) major reservoirs in Texas. Sedimentation rates were compiled from previous reports,

individual studies and hydrosurvey volumetric studies. Crespo assisted the project team in

developing an evaluation matrix in order to evaluate and rank the most at-risk reservoirs.

20

Ranking was determined by a number of factors, including: geographic location, soil type,

designated use of reservoirs, overall degradation of water quality, water demand versus water

yield of reservoir and sediment load versus volume ratio. The research identified reservoirs that

are most at-risk and ways they could be protected with Best Management Practices (BMPs).

Project: City of Huntsville Water System Capacity Study

Client: City of Huntsville

Crespo evaluated the water supply capacity for the City of Huntsville. There were three

components to the scope of work for this project. First, water supply needs were analyzed based

on historical water meter data and TCEQ defined equivalent connections. Second, the surface

water supply and water treatment capacity were evaluated, including as assessment of existing

water raw intakes and lake water levels during historically dry years. Lastly, Crespo completed

an evaluation of the groundwater supply and the short-term safe yield of the existing city wells.

Surface and groundwater capacities and safe yields were analyzed to develop a safe total system

yield. Equivalent Connection calculations (according to TCEQ Chapter 290 Rules) were

completed to determine accurate and realistic estimates of water connections for the City. The

connection equivalents were prepared based on 2010 Census data and historical water usage for

the City of Huntsville. Crespo evaluated the maximum and firm capacities of the water

treatment plant along with the groundwater yields to determine if the City's water supply

capacity was adequate to meet maximum daily demands. All calculations, analyses and

evaluations were presented to the City in a final comprehensive report; and, presented to City

Council.

Project: Austin Energy Water Rights Feasibility Study

Client: Austin Energy

Crespo provided environmental and water resources consulting to Austin Energy to determine

water availability for a proposed Chiller Plant in downtown Austin along Lady Bird Lake

(Colorado River). A thorough evaluation of applicable City of Austin water rights was

conducted to determine if the necessary water permit was available for the project. Crespo

estimated forced evaporation volumes from return flows to estimate any consumptive use of

water for the proposed project. Consumptive use calculations were estimated a number of ways

using different methods (Harbeck Diagram, Energy Balance Method) and variations on lake

water temperatures. Consumptive use estimates were made using conservative numbers from the

range of results. Lastly, Crespo produced a technical memorandum conveying the study's

results and findings.

Project: City of San Marcos Water Supply Master Plan

Client: City of San Marcos

Crespo developed a Water Supply Master Plan for the City of San Marcos to identify and

prioritize future water supply projects and utilized a matrix analysis to incorporate regulatory

factors and environmental constraints in the decision making process. These strategies were

evaluated based on methodical research of adopted water supply plans, water rights review using

GIS, incorporation of the applicable rules and permits of the Edwards Aquifer Authority

21

examining the effects of proportional reductions of permittees, water availability model

evaluation and study on downstream users, study of city ordinances, agreements, and knowledge

ofTexas water law. Particular emphasis was placed on the effect of the surface waters

downstream of the San Marcos Springs and along the stretch of the San Marcos River consideredcritical habitat for many endangered species. Crespo summarized their findings related to long-

term dependability issues and made recommendations to the City based on their findings. The

plan used standard engineering practices for quantitative assessments of existing and future water

supplies, performing cost-benefit analyses ofproposed water resource alternatives, and solicitingpublic input to identify the community's vision and goals.

22

4. References and Testimonials

References

The JFA team is proud of its past performance and encourages reviewers to contact our

references to learn more about the quality of work, professionalism, and commitment with which

we have served past clients and project partners. Our references are provided below:

JFA's References

John Montgomery, PE

Senior Principal

Stantec Consulting Services, Inc.

1409 North Forbes Road

Lexington, KY 40511

Email: john.montgomery@stantec.com

Tel: 859-422-3000

Relationship: Client for the Lake Williamstown economic impact study

Jim Pringle

Attorney

Kyler, Pringle, Lundholm & Durmann

405 Chauncey Avenue NW

New Philadelphia, OH 44663

Email: jpringle@kpldlaw.com

Tel: 330-343-5585

Relationship: Legal Counsel for our client's at the Muskingum Water Conversation District. JFA

evaluated the economic benefits of the Muskingum Water Conversation District's Master Plan.

Fred Wydner

Pittsylvania County Agriculture Development Director

19783 US Highway 29

Chatham, VA 24531

Phone: 434-432-7995

Email: fred.wydner@pittgov.org

Relationship: Client of the economic impact study for Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in

Pittsylvania County, Virginia

Dr. Robert Loveridge

Director of Institutional Research & Information

Utah Valley University

800 West University Parkway

Orem, UT 84058

Phone:801-863-8161

23

Email: loveriro@uvu.edu

Relationship: Client of the economic impact study for Utah Valley University

Dr. Philip Sheehy

Technical Specialist

ICF International

620 Folsom St Suite 200

San Francisco, CA 94107

Phone:415-677-7139

Email: psheehy@icfi.com

Relationship: Collaborator on an economic impact study of a California Energy Commission

renewable energy promotion program, which is officially called the Self Generation Incentive

Program

Dr. Donald Jones

Vice President and Senior Economist

RCF Economic & Financial Consulting, Inc.

333 North Michigan Ave, Suite 804

Chicago, IL 60601

Phone:312-431-1540

Email: info@rcfecon.com

Relationship: Collaborator on a project for the U.S. Department of Energy to assess the

employment effects of a transition to a hydrogen economy in the U.S.

Gloria Berkley

Director of Administration

Greater Lynchburg Transit Company

PO Box 797

Lynchburg, VA 24505-0797

Phone: 434-455-5082

Email: gloria.berkley@lynchburgva.gov

Relationship: Client (Project Manager) for the Greater Lynchburg Transit Company (GLTC)

Economic Impact Study

Richard Drum

Community Planner/RLA

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington District

502 Eighth Street

Huntington, West Virginia 25701-2070

Phone:304-399-5211

Email: richard.g.drum@usace.army.mil

Relationship: Client of the economic impact studies of port development in West Virginia

David Grier

Navigation Program Manager

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' Institute for Water Resources

24

7701 Telegraph Road

Alexandria, VA 22315-3868

Phone: 703-428-6438

Email: david.v.grier@usace.army.mil

Relationship: Client for economic impacts studies of inland waterway infrastructure in

Mississippi and Alabama

Crespo's References

Darryl Haba

Project Manager

City of Austin Public Works Department

505 Barton Springs Road, Suite 900

Austin, Texas 78704

Phone:512-974-7205

Email: darryl.haba@austintexas.gov

Relationship: Client (Project Manager) for the Ben White/IH-35 Bioretention/Extendcd

Detention Pond Design and Construction Services

David Harkins, Ph.D., PE

President

Espey Consultants

4801 Southwest Parkway

Parkway 2, Suite 150

Austin, Texas 78735

Phone: 512-326-5659

Email: dharkins@espeyconsultants.com

Relationship: Client for multiple projects: TWDB Reservoir Sedimentation Rates Study, City of

Austin Waller Creek Tunnel Project, Region C Alternative Water Supply Planning Study

Lann Bookout

Water Planning Project Manager

Texas Water Development Board

1700 North Congress Avenue

P.O.Box 13231

Austin, Texas 78711

Phone: 512-936-9439

Email: lann.bookout@twdb.state.tx.us

Relationship: Client (Project Manager) for all the TCEQ State River Basin Water Availability

Modeling (WAM) Projects

Testimonials from JFA Clients

JFA requests client evaluations of its work upon the completion of projects. Exhibit 3 on the

following page provides examples of comments the firm has received from past clients who

completed client evaluation forms.

25

Exhibit3:

TestimonialsfromJFA'sClients

"The

tool

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CrystalJones,Program

Manager,FreightPerformance

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Init

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OfficeofPlanning

FredWydner,Pittsylvania

CountyAgriculture

DevelopmentDirector

MartinWeiss,TeamLeader,

FHWA

OfficeofPlanning

DavidWalterscheid,Realty

Spec

iali

st,FederalHighway

Administration,OfficeofReal

EstateServices

Dr.RobertLoveridge,Director

ofIn

stit

utio

nalResearch&

Information,UtahValley

University

TerryBlount,CityofWest

Hollywood,CA

JohnMerris,PolicySection

Manager,

OregonDepartmentof

Transportation

MattLust,ProjectManager,LA

CountyCommunity

DevelopmentCommission

IntermodalConnector

AssessmentTool

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26

UIhaveworkedwithmany

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aretoday."

"The[KanawhaValleyLocalPortDi

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qualityoftheworkandmethodologyusedbyJackFaucett

Associates.Pleaseextendourthanks

toyour

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It's

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AllanElberfeld,DirectorOffice

ofPlanFormulation,Army

CorpsofEngineers

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District

JanetMathews,Co-Chair,

KanawhaValleyLocalPort

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27

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28

5. Research Methodology

This section describes JFA's goals and approach for the economic impact analysis of the drought

affecting the levels of the Upper Highland Lakes in Burnet County and Llano County. The study

goals will guide JFA's interactions, communication, data collection efforts, economic analysis,and development of the final deliverables.

Study Goals

JFA will professionally execute the contract on time and on budget in compliance with the

requirements detailed in the RFQ. Specific goals of JFA are to:

• Accurately measure the economic impacts of the drought affecting the Upper HighlandLakes region.

• Produce a set of simple-to-follow, yet sophisticated, deliverables (report, PowerPoint

slides, and handout brochure) that effectively communicate the findings of this study

• Support Burnet County and Llano County in their stakeholder outreach efforts by

preparing presentation materials and providing expert testimony

• Achieve seamless communication and coordination with the client (this goal will be

facilitated by proposed biweekly conference calls with the client)

Study Approach

The JFA Team will segment the project into the following six tasks:

1. Meetings

2. Water Infrastructure Mapping

3. Data Collection

4. Economic Impact Modeling

5. Final Report and Information Dissemination Materials Development

6. Stakeholder Engagement Support

The first task includes a kickoff meeting and follow-up meetings with the client and stakeholders

to define and guide the research effort. The second task is to map the region's water

infrastructure using GIS and other mapping techniques. The third task involves collecting data

on the economic impacts of the drought on the Upper Highland Lakes region. The fourth task

involves using the collected data to perform an economic impact analysis. The fifth task involves

developing the project deliverables, such as a technical report and information dissemination

materials (e.g. fact sheet, slide show). JFA will develop drafts of these deliverables for the client

to review near the end of the project period and develop a final set of deliverables that

incorporates client feedback at the end of the project period. The sixth task is to support the

Burnet County and Llano County in public forums, workshops, meetings, and hearings. Each of

these tasks is described in further detail below.

29

Task 1 - Meetings

Frequent communication with our clients is important to ensure we properly tailor our services

and deliverables to their needs. If we are successful, we will schedule a project kickoff meeting

shortly after the contract is awarded. After the kickoff meeting, we propose hosting biweekly

conference call meetings with Burnet County and Llano County officials to discuss our progress

until the project is complete. Conference calls can be scheduled more or less frequently if the

client prefers.

Task 2 - Water Infrastructure Mapping

The JFA Team will develop water infrastructure maps of the Upper Highland Lakes region using

GIS and other mapping techniques. These maps will highlight the region's significant water

resources, urban infrastructure, and transportation networks. Crespo will take the lead role in

developing the maps and will work closely with Burnet County and Llano County in this effort.

Task 3 - Data Collection

The collection of accurate and detailed data about the Upper Highland Lakes region will be

essential to developing a robust estimate of the drought's economic impacts. The primary

economic impacts of the drought will likely be (1) reductions in property values of structures

near the affected lakes, (2) decreases in consumer spending on housing and recreation, and (3)

increased local government water management and treatment costs.

The JFA Team will investigate the drought's effects on the following local concerns:

• Property values of structures near the affected lakes

• Consumer spending

o Construction activity near the affected lakes

o Local resident spending

o Tourism activity

■ In-state visitor recreational activity (e.g. boating, fishing, camping, etc.)

■ Out-of-state visitor tourism activities (e.g. travel, hotel accommodation,

entertainment, boating, fishing, camping, etc.)

• Local government water management and treatment costs (e.g. water filtration)

The JFA Team will collect information to estimate the economic impacts of each of these

concerns. The information needed to perform this analysis will be collected from a variety of

sources, including:

• Burnet County and Llano County records

• Local real estate agencies

• Online real estate databases (e.g. Zillow.com)

• Texas Water Development Board

• Office of the Governor, Economic Development and Tourism

• Local hotels, restaurants, entertainment venues, and recreation venues

30

• Other studies on the economic impact of drought affected lakes (e.g. The Lake Travis

Economic Impact Study)

• U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

• U.S. Census Bureau

• Other data sources recommended by the client

Our approach to collecting information about each of these concerns is discussed below.

Property values of structures near the affected lakes

The JFA Team will collect information about property values of structures near the affected

lakes from a number of sources. We will examine Burnet County and Llano County records,

contact local real estate agencies, and review online real estate databases such as Zillow.com.

We will examine if property values have changed as water levels in the affected lakes have

changed and we will investigate the historical trends of property values in the region. We will

also compare the housing prices in the affected region to housing prices in similar nearby regions

that have not been affected by changes in lake water levels.

Consumer spending

The primary types of consumer spending associated with the lakes in the region are (1) real

estate development, (2) local resident spending, and (3) tourism activity. The JFA Team will

collect information about the effects of the changing lake water levels on each of these types of

consumer spending. Data collected on consumer spending in this task will provide inputs for our

Economic Impact Modeling Task, which is Task 4.

Real Estate Development

Real estate development is affected by the drought if real estate development projects are

delayed or cancelled. The JFA Team will investigate the degree to which such delays or

cancelations have occurred or might occur.

Real estate development requires significant expenditure on various services and equipment.

Real estate development planning and work may involve business analysts, engineers, planners,

and construction workers. Equipment used in real estate development includes earth movers,

light trucks, paving equipment, and welding machines. The materials needed for construction

include wood, concrete, asphalt, pipes, wiring, and metals.

To estimate the impact of real estate development, the JFA Team will develop detailed cost

estimates for all real estate development affected by the drought. The cost information will be

assigned to sectors in IMPLAN, a state of the art economic impact estimation tool commonly

used by businesses, research institutes, and government agencies. After the cost information is

assigned to IMPLAN sectors, the model is run using region specific multipliers to estimate

economic impacts such as employment, income, value added to goods and services, and tax

generated.

31

Local resident spending

Local resident spending is affected by the drought if local residents reduce their spending on

various goods and services in the local community. This might occur for two reasons. One, local

residents may move out of the region because of the reduced water levels or they may have less

disposable income to pay for other goods and services due to increased costs of water treatment

associated with the low water levels of the affected lakes. The JFA Team will investigate the

degree to which local residents are leaving or spending less because of decreases in their

disposable income.

Local residents spend a significant portion of their income on goods and services in the region.

To measure the economic impact of local resident spending, the JFA Team will develop detailed

spending profiles of the local community. The economic impacts of local residents can be

measured using three major inputs:

• Estimated total annual expenditure per local resident

• Estimated spending on various goods and services per local resident

• Estimated number of local residents

To the extent possible, local or state level data will be used to create these estimates. If local or

state level data is not available, the JFA Team will estimate local resident spending based on

consumer expenditure data from the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics. For

example, Exhibit 4 provides 2010 data on national average annual expenditure by occupation.1

U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditure Survey, 2008. Available athttp://www.bls.gov/cex/

32

Exhibit 4: National Average Annual

Item

Income before taxes

Income after taxes

Average annual expenditures

Food

Alcoholic beverages

Housing

Apparel and services

Transportation

Healthcare

Entertainment

Personal care products & services

Reading

Education

Tobacco products

Miscellaneous

Cash contributions

Personal insurance and pensions

Total

wage

and

salary

earners

$74,147

$71,703

$53,218

$6,658

$488

$18,044

$1,821

$8,745

$2,882

$2,727

$631

$98

$1,333

$361

$882

$1,640

$6,907

Managers

and

professionals

$102,752

$98,472

$67,312

$7,862

$625

$22,613

$2,249

$10,283

$3,678

$3,534

$833

$144

$1,933

$244

$1,197

$2,248

$9,869

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, (

Expenditures by Occupation

Wage and

Technical

sales and

clerical

workers

$61,926

$60,351

$47,921

$6,175

$476

$16,294

$1,569

$8,486

$2,549

$2,548

$575

$84

$983

$405

$706

$1,357

$5,713

Consumer Exi

salary earners

Service

workers

$50,097

$49,211

$41,517

$5,732

$338

$14,647

$1,711

$7,042

$2,290

$1,802

$492

$55

$1,031

$385

$641

$1,029

$4,321

oendititre S

Construction

workers and

mechanics

$56,039

$54,654

$45,062

$6,206

$474

$14,943

$1,365

$7,736

$2,251

$2,722

$485

$52

$1,090

$649

$764

$1,564

$4,761

urvev. 2010.

Operators

fabricators

and

laborers

$47,197

$46,296

$37,676

$5,210

$275

$12,631

$1,292

$7,007

$2,045

$1,733

$335

$53

$602

$507

$618

$1,144

$4,225

Tourism

Tourism is affected by the drought if in-region and out-of-region visitors reduce their spending

on trips to the affected lakes. The economic impacts of lake related visits depend on the number

of visitors and their spending patterns during their trips. Trip spending patterns differ most

substantially between in-region and out-of-region visitors. Out-of-region visitors usually spend

more per trip than in-region visitors, especially on hotel accommodation.

Assessing the economic impacts of visitors to the Upper Highland Lakes is a multistep process.

First, the annual number of in-region and out-of-region tourists is estimated. This information

may be obtained from tourism associations, state and local governments, and other secondary

data sources. Second, an average spending profile per in-region and out-of-region tourist is

developed on a per trip basis. This profile can be developed with information from lake area

establishments and other secondary sources. Regional and national tourism data may be used to

supplement or corroborate data obtained from in-state sources. Third, the number of in-region

and out-of-region tourists is multiplied by their respective average spending profile to determine

total tourism related spending. Fourth, the total tourism related spending information is run

through the IMPLAN model to determine the economic impacts of tourists.

An example of tourist average spending per day is provided in Exhibit 5. This estimate was

developed by researchers at Michigan State University for their tourism impact model.

33

Exhibit 5: Average Spending per Tourist per Day

Motel, hotel cabin, B&B, campgrounds

Restaurants & bars

Groceries, take-out, food/drinks

Gas & oil

Wine

Souvenirs and other expenses

Total

$0.00

$9.52

$2.86

$6.32

$18.00

$2.00

$38.70

$0.00

$18.85

$5.31

$12.43

$18.00

$2.00

$56.59

$50.00

$34.80

$10.71

$15.34

$18.00

$2.00

$130.85

Source: Michigan State University. 2002. "Economic Impacts ofTourism in Michigan."

Local government water management and treatment costs

The JFA Team will work with Burnet County and Llano County officials to determine changes

in water management and treatment costs due the changes in lake water levels. This includes

collecting cost information about increasing water filtration, moving system intakes, drilling

wells, moving boat docks, etc.

Compliance with the RFQ

In accordance with the RFQ, the JFA Team's definition of economic activity will include:

• Spending by households, tourists, lake industries, and external support industries and

businesses

• Jobs from residential, commercial, construction, tourism, and industrial sectors that are

created or supported by the presence of the lakes

• Taxes, including but not limited to sales taxes, property taxes, franchise taxes, and

alcoholic beverage taxes

• Real estate transaction incomes/commissions

• Permanent and part-time residences, tourist destinations, commercial businesses

Also in accordance with the RFQ, the JFA Team will examine the following economic activity

and impacts:

Sales tax data from all lake adjacent counties and municipalities;

Property values from Burnet and Llano Counties, including pass-through lakes;

Foreclosures and building and septic permit data;

Tourism data from state of Texas, including impact of occupancy on lake rental

residences, lodges, and resorts;

School taxes from Texas Education Agency;

Interviews with key businesses, residents, small firm customers, and industry;

Interviews with LCRA, water utilities, county officials (Burnet and Llano), Central Texas

Water Coalition, community leaders (Chambers of Commerce), city managers, and others

as determined:

34

• Park data from all area parks, including Inks Lake State Park, Big Chief, Lake Buchanan

Conservation Commission;

• Event Festivals data, which includes Fishing Guide and Tournaments data

• Texas Parks and Wildlife Fishing Economic Impact

• Fire Departments impact from drought and water inaccessibility;

• Calculate the property values associated with properties adjacent and in immediate

proximity to the lakes. Then aggregate the data to determine the increase/decrease in

property taxes associated with the lakes;

• Obtain mixed beverage tax information for restaurants and other establishments that

either benefit from tourism activity or their proximity to the lakes;

• Obtain hotel occupancy tax data for hotels that either benefit from tourism activity ortheir proximity to the lakes;

• Use 2010 census demographics to include school and government employee data; and

• Others as determined by Consultant.

Task 4 - Economic Impact Modeling

Using information collected in the Data Collection Task (Task 3), the JFA Team will use the

IMPLAN economic impact model to estimate the economic impacts of changes in consumer

spending (i.e. real estate development, local resident spending, and tourism activity) caused by

the drought affecting the Upper Highland Lakes region. The IMPLAN analysis will provide

estimates of the direct, indirect, induced, tax, and employment economic impacts of the drought

on the region. The definition of each economic impact component is provided below:

• Direct impacts refer to impacts from the economic activities associated with the UpperHighland lakes

• Indirect impacts measure output (gross sales), jobs, and labor income associated with

companies and organizations that support direct activities.

• Induced impacts accrue when workers in the direct and indirect industries spend part of

their salaries on goods and services in the study region. These expenditures in turn

stimulate other sectors in the regional economy.

• Total impacts are the sum of direct, indirect, and induced impacts. These represent all

transactions attributable, either directly or indirectly, to the lakes.

The '-direct" impacts developed from the data collection effort will be assigned to different

economic sectors in IMPLAN and analyzed using the economic impact software tool to derive

"indirect" and "induced" impacts. The sum of direct, indirect, and induced economic impactsequals total economic impacts.

There are several commonly used economic impact models, including the Minnesota IMPLAN

Group, Inc. model (IMPLAN), the U.S. Department of Commerce RIMS II model (RIMS II),

and the Regional Economic Modeling, Inc. model (REMI). JFA believes IMPLAN is the most

suitable model for this project. The IMPLAN model allows for a nuanced application of

multipliers to measure the impacts of a wide range of economic activities associated grape and

wine production, and generates results that are easy to interpret by readers without a technical

background.

35

IMPLAN provides a broader set of multipliers than RIMS II, which makes IMPLAN a more

nuanced and accurate tool. In addition, IMPLAN automatically divides impacts into the

subcategories of direct, indirect, and induced effects. While using RIMS II, the user is

responsible for setting up a multiplier worksheet and physically updating the worksheet each

time a new variable is added. These additional steps increase the chance of user-induced error.

Additionally, IMPLAN provides tax revenue impacts to federal, state, and local governments,

whereas RIMS II does not provide any tax revenue impacts.

IMPLAN is more user-friendly and affordable than REMI. REMI software can be up to seven

times more costly than IMPLAN, depending on the complexity of the modeling effort. In

summary, IMPLAN is more sophisticated, user friendly, and affordable than most other major

economic impact software tools on the market.

JFA owns IMPLAN and is very familiar with its application. We have completed more than 200

research studies using the program to examine issues at the local, state, and national level.

Task 5 - Final Report and Information Dissemination Materials Development

The fourth phase of the project will be the development of a final report and various information

dissemination materials suitable for broad distribution. JFA will provide Burnet County and

Llano County a draft final report and request feedback on the draft prior to delivery of the final

report. In addition to the draft and final report, JFA will prepare a Microsoft PowerPoint slide

show and a handout brochure summarizing the study's findings.

In accordance with the RFQ, the JFA Team will also provide fifteen (15) bound color (if

appropriate) copies, one (1) unbound color (if appropriate) copy, five (5) sets of all maps

contained within the final study, and one (1) electronic version of the final plan in Microsoft

Word, Adobe Acrobat, Arc View shapefiles and map files (.mxd., .pdf., and jpg), and/or PDP

format as best suits the Counties1 compatibility. The JFA Team will also provide all geographic

information system (GIS) data used to create maps that are contained in the plan document.

Task 6 - Stakeholder Engagement Support

The JFA Team will support Burnet County and Llano County in preparing materials and

providing expert testimony for public forums, workshops, meetings, and hearings during the

projects five month duration.

After the completion of the project, the JFA Team is available to support the client in additional

analysis and stakeholder engagement. This service will be provided on a time plus materials

basis at the rate of $130 per hour.

36

6. Time Projection

JFA proposes to complete this economic impact study in five months. Exhibit 5 provides a

weekly schedule for the project over the five month period.

Exhibit 5: Pro

Talk

1

2

3

4

5

6

Description

Water Infrastructure Mapping

Data Collection

Economic Impact Modeling

Development of Final Report and Info Dissemination Materials

Support the Stakeholder Engagement Process

posed Schedule

■ Month 1 1 Month 2.,

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Client Participation

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37AssodstfS ».

7. Budget

JFA proposes to complete this study for $69,854. JFA's cost proposal includes all labor, travel,

overhead, and other general costs required to provide high quality analysis and a comprehensive

set of final deliverables.

The overall cost breakdown is as follows:

Direct Labor and Overhead: $53,683

Travel, Computer, and Assorted Costs: $4,074

General and Administrative Costs: $5,773

Fixed Fee: $6,350

Grand Total: $69,854

Exhibit 6 on the following page provides a detailed breakdown of these costs, including the

hourly rates for each consultant tasked to the project and the number of hours budgeted per

consultant.

38

Exhibit

6:CostProposalBreakdown

tfCf

tttg

orff

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Task3

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TotalBudgetby

CostCategory

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Ctessification(s):

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$140

$140

10

$700

$11

15

$84C

$11;

$161

10

$560

$1,960

$120

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$45C

24

$720

$60

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$90

74

30

$900

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$69

83

$1,901

$B0i

38

$874

StephenStecher

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$636

30

$4,770

18

$2,862

$636

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80

$12,71

S59

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$3,588

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$34i

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197

$6,119

88

$2,527

75

$2,14;

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osts:

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$148

$1,266

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istrative:

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10%

$309

$1,047

$2,031

$887

$799

$1,278

£3394

39

8. Resumes of Key Personnel

Brief descriptions of the key members of the Project Team are provided below. Resumes of these

consultants are provided afterward. The highly-skilled team presented here was selected to fulfill

the skill sets needed to undertake each task area identified from the RFQ.

Michael Lawrence, President and senior economist at JFA. He is the proposed Project Director

for this project and has 35 years of experience in economic impact studies of water resources.

Jonathan Skoinik, Vice President and senior economist at JFA. He led the economic impact

study for Lake Williamstown in Kentucky, which is similar to the proposed study.

Dr, Harry Chmelynski, statistician and economic impact modeler at JFA.

Rami Chami, research analyst and economic impact analysis specialist at JFA

Shanshan Zhang, research analyst and spreadsheet tool development specialist at JFA

Stephen Stecher, President and principal engineer at Crespo. He directs a locally-owned and

operated civil and environmental engineering firm in Austin, Texas. He possesses 25 years of

project management experience and 30 years of engineering experience in civil engineering

related to hydrologic, hydraulic, and water quality studies and design. Much of Mr. Stecher's

direct project experience involves drainage, flooding, water quality, and erosion in the Austin

area.

Carissa Belsky, water resource and GIS specialist at Crespo. She completed her bachelor's

degree in Environmental Geography from Texas State University with a concentration in water

resources and water quality. In addition, she earned a Water Policy Certificate that required

further study in the areas of water resources, environmental management, river basin

management, and water law. Her experience includes environmental and hydrogeologic

assessments, storm water pollution protection plans, floodplain mapping, water resource

studies/planning, and field investigations for both preliminary engineering and construction

phase services. She has 5 years of experience with water quality analysis, watershed

management, field assessments, and GIS. Her GIS experience includes terrain models, HEC-

geoRAS, and floodplain mapping.

40

Michael Lawrence

President / Senior Economist, JFA

Reasonfor Selection

Michael Lawrence has considerable experience evaluating

issues involving strategic asset valuation, land use planning,

infrastructure finance, economic impact analysis, and cost-

benefit analysis across the nation. He has directed over 100

economic impact studies for public sector clients.

Relevant Project Experience

Economic Impact Analysis of Droughts on Inland

Waterway Systems | Client: U.S. Army Corps of

Engineers. Estimated impacts on shipments, business

revenue, employment, production costs, and regional

economies from droughts on inland waterway systems.

Developed a simulation model that compared waterway

systems under normal and drought conditions.

Feasibility Studies of Inland Ports in West Virginia |

Clients: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington and

Pittsburgh Districts. Conducted feasibility studies for

various ports and developed port master plans. Conducted

analysis for several potential port sites along the Ohio and

Big Sandy Rivers near Huntington, near Parkersburg, in

Jackson County, near Weirton, and in Morgantown.

Economic Analysis of the Port of La Crosse, Wisconsin |

Client: The Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse

County and the City of La Crosse, Wisconsin. The Joint

Harbor Commission requested the assistance of JFA to

update their Port and Harbor Plan to assess the effects of recent major economic shocks, while setting the

stage for the continued revitalization of the downtown area. On the basis of data from the Army Corps of

Engineers, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Commodity Flow Survey (CFA), and detailed

stakeholder interviews, wrote a comprehensive report on the economic trends affecting the port. This

report described the multi-modal infrastructure of La Crosse County, the major businesses involved in

waterborne commerce, the flow of commodities in and out of the port, employment generated by

waterborne commerce, and emerging trends likely to affect waterborne commerce in the near future.

Williamstown Lake Dam Cost-Benefit Analysis | Client: Grant County, Kentucky. Performed cost-

benefit analysis on 32 construction project alternatives for a dam at Williamstown Lake in Grant County,

KY. The analysis involved using engineering estimates for the costs of dam construction and operation

over a 50 year time period. The report was used by Grant County officials to seek support for the project

from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Title XI Assistance, Benchmark Market Analysis | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation,

Maritime Administration (MARAD). Conducted research on the market for deep-water drill rigs,

41

shallow-water drill rigs, offshore service vessels, inland waterways cargo vessels, liquid cargo carriers,

and dry product carriers. Deliverabtes included a written report of detailed analysis of the capacity,

projected needs, likelihood of competing capital investment, existing and likely entry competition,

disinvestment factors, and macro-economic trends (global, national, regional, local) that would affect

projects proposed in the respective sectors.

Feasibility Assessment of Shuttle Tankers in the Gulf of Mexico | Client: U.S. Department of

Transportation, Maritime Administration. Assisted the U.S. Department of Transportation's Maritime

Administration in performing an economic feasibility analysis of introducing shuttle tankers to the Gulf

of Mexico. Shuttle tanker vessels had never been used in the U.S. to support deep-water oil extraction

prior to this study. The analysis involved an in-depth assessment of financial projects based on future

economic and policy scenarios.

Feasibility Studies for Intermodal Ports and Industrial Parks in West Virginia | Client: U.S. Army

Corps of Engineers, Huntington District. Directed the development of a feasibility study for intermodal

port industrial parks in West Virginia. The location of these port and industrial park facilities includes the

river banks of the:

• Kanawha River near South Charleston

• Ohio River near Weirton

• Ohio River near Parkersburg

• Ohio and Big Sandy Rivers near Huntington

• Ohio River near Parkersburg

The feasibility study included the formation of a detailed master plan that includes public involvement,

site mapping, port commodity marketing studies, environmental and cultural studies, site planning and

engineering, National Environmental Protection Act compliance documentation, construction cost

estimates, operation and maintenance cost estimates, economic, and financial feasibility analysis.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Vessel Traffic Systems | Clients: U.S. Coast Guard and U.S. Department of

Transportation, Volpe Center. Conducted analysis of potential costs and benefits for 23 major U.S.

ports. Analyses included development of data system, risk model, casualty analysis, safety impacts,

environmental damage, recreational losses and other information.

Feasibility Study of Inland Port Facilities in West Virginia | Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers,

Huntington District. Identified the types of port facilities which would have the greatest benefit to the

state by improving transportation links for existing businesses and attracting new businesses. Determined

general areas where sites exist which meet necessary engineering, environmental, and economic criteria.

Provided the basis for conducting more detailed and site-specific feasibility assessments in the future.

Analysis of Alternative Multimodal Facilities | Clients: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, West

Virginia Port Authority. Analyzed multi-modal facilities (rail, highway, water) located on the Ohio

River in West Virginia and potential alternatives sites. Conducted industry surveys and case studies.

Prepared preliminary designs for three separate facilities.

Economic Impact Study of Deep Underground Science and Engineering Laboratory (DUSEL) |

Client: South Dakota Office of the Governor. Developed an economic impact study for the large

underground research facility in South Dakota managed by the U.S. Department of Energy. The study

included an extensive assessment of the region's infrastructure, including roads, utilities, hospitals,

schools, and housing.

42

Employment Impact Analysis of a Hydrogen Economy | Client: U.S. Department of Energy.

Directed the development of an employment analysis tool to estimate the positive and negative

employment impacts of a hydrogen energy based economy by 2050. Combined the IMPLAN and REMI

models to measure the change in employment for a hydrogen verses a petroleum based economy.

Economic Impact Study of the South Carolina Technical College System | Client: South Carolina

Technical College System. Conducted an economic impact study ofthe South Carolina Technical

College System (SCTCS). The SCTCS is comprised of 16 technical colleges located strategically across

the state. As the largest higher education system in the state, the college system has 114,000 credit

students and 128,000 continuing education students.

Economic Impact of Large Attendance Events | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal

Highway Administration. Estimated the economic impacts of traffic congestion caused by large

attendance events throughout the U.S. in an average year. The study contributed to the Federal Highway

Administration understanding of the causes and impacts of congestion. The study involved the

development of the first ever estimate of the number of events in the U.S. in an average year with more

than 10,000 people in attendance.

Economic Impacts Analysis of Transportation Infrastructure Investments on Rural Economies |

Client: Federal Highway Administration. Directed a study of the economic development impacts of

interstate highway investments on rural economies in nine states including land values, business

development, job creation, local and state tax receipts and regional economic growth.

Economic Impact Analysis of International Trade and Transportation Infrastructure Investments |

Client: Appalachian Regional Commission. Directed a study of the economic benefits of international

trade and transportation infrastructure investments on the Appalachian region. The study included several

industry cluster studies, which identified the development investments that would be optimal for various

counties in the region.

Economic Impact Analysis of Commodity Flows | Clients: Ohio Department of Transportation,

Ohio Department of Development, Ohio Department of Railroad Development, and U.S. Army

Corps of Engineers. Directed a comprehensive study that assessed highway, railway, airway, and

waterway freight movements in Ohio. Tasks include: 1) development of comprehensive freight movement

statistics; 2) evaluation of transportation infrastructure and the need for new investments; and 3)

assessment of potential of state subregions for future industrial growth related to transportation

infrastructure investments.

Economic Impact Analysis of Transit | Client: Greater Lynchburg Transit Company. Performed a

cost-benefit analysis of a bus transit system that serves the city of Lynchburg, Virginia. The study

involved administering a bus rider survey to more than 1,000 bus riders and measuring the bus service's

environmental, congestion, and socio-economic impacts. The study was used by the bus service to

communicate to local municipal and county governments the importance of continued financial support

for the bus service.

Economic Impact of the Auto Industry | Client: U.S. Small Business Administration. Participated in

a study of the economic impact of electronic commerce on small auto dealers. A market analysis of the

retail auto industry was conducted. Secondary data from the National Automobile Dealers Association

was used to characterize the industry. A review of the literature on the economics of auto electronic

commerce and a small business policy report were also prepared.

43

Economic Impact Analysis of Energy and Greenhouse Gas Options | Client: California and New

Mexico Departments of Transportation. Assessed the economic impact of alternative energy futures

and how to incorporate energy considerations into the states' transportation planning process.

Flood Damage to Vehicles Analysis and Dataset Development | Client: Federal Emergency

Management Agency (FEMA). Developed estimates of potential flood damage to motor vehicles for

eight million Census Blocks nationwide using FEMA's Hazards Multi-Hazard (HAZUS-MH) dataset.

The analysis involved using data on parking patterns from the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE),

flood depth-vehicle damage estimates from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), and vehicle

fleet values from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The analysis performed for this project was

used by FEMA to estimate potential property damage from floods of varying depths across the U.S.

Flood Disaster Modeling and Analysis | Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water

Resources. Managed the tabulation, validation, analysis, and statistical packaging of a post flood survey

measuring evacuation behavior, damages and household inventories. Conducted statistical analyses to

measure residential and business reactions to flood watches and warnings and the economic impact of

actions taken to reduce damages.

Flood Damage Modeling and Analysis | Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water

Resources. Collected data about floods in Kentucky and Texas. The analysis was used to refine

floodplain inventory sampling procedures and the computation of depth-damage functions, structure

damage ratios, and flood warning response functions.

Benefit-Cost Analysis of Flood and Erosion Protection | Client: Federal Emergency Management

Agency. Developed the economic portions of the Federal Emergency Management Agency's HAZUS-

Flood model. This model allows flood plain planners to develop a benefit-cost analysis for the evaluation

of public expenditures to mitigate flood and erosion losses.

Emergency Industrial Capacity Analysis | Client: Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Developed the theory of emergency industrial capacity and directed the application of the theory to 150

industries. Estimated the potential for production of critical goods by noncritical goods manufacturers.

44

Jonathan Skolnik

Vice President / Senior Economist JFA

Reason for Selection

Mr. Skolnik, the Vice President of JFA, is a senior economist

with more than 30 years of experience in public policy

analysis at the national, state, and local level.

tt^^ijjjiii^, Relevant Project Experience

Economic Analysis of the Port of La Crosse, Wisconsin |

Client: The Joint Harbor Commission of La Crosse

County and the City of La Crosse, Wisconsin. The Joint

Harbor Commission requested the assistance of JFA to

update their Port and Harbor Plan to assess the effects of

recent major economic shocks, while setting the stage for the

continued revitaiization of the downtown area. On the basis

of data from the Army Corps of Engineers, the Bureau of

Transportation Statistics (BTS) Commodity Flow Survey

y^I^ji^^i^^ifc^A^jij]^|||j|g^y^yWMflmJJItetet V" (^FA), and detailed stakeholder interviews, wrote a^ *" T "N1 v * 'l ' ," x vn , v ' comprehensive report on the economic trends affecting the

port. This report described the multi-modal infrastructure of

La Crosse County, the major businesses involved in

waterborne commerce, the flow of commodities in and out of

the port, employment generated by waterborne commerce,

and emerging trends likely to affect waterborne commerce in

the near future.

Economic Impact Analysis of an Inland River Port in

Charleston, West Virginia | Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Performed a cost-benefit analysis

on two scenarios for an inland river port in Charleston, WV. The two scenarios considered the economic

and financial impacts of different development options for two sites on the Kanawha River, a major

tributary of the Mississippi River.

Williamstown Lake Dam Cost-Benefit Analysis | Client: Grant County, Kentucky. Performed cost-

benefit analysis on 32 construction project alternatives for a dam at Williamstovvn Lake in Grant County,

KY. The analysis involved using engineering estimates for the costs of dam construction and operation

over a 50 year time period. The report was used by Grant County officials to seek support for the project

from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Economic Benefits of the Wabash Waterway | Client: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Huntington

District Participated in a study of the likely transportation benefits of the proposed Wabash Waterway.

Developed costing models for truck, barge and rail movements. Analyzed the costs and benefits of a

representative sample of current and potential movements of coal, grain, fertilizer and other commodities.

Feasibility Studies for Intermodal Ports and Industrial Parks in West Virginia | Client: U.S. Army

Corps of Engineers, Huntington District. Managed the development of a feasibility study for

45

intermodal port industrial parks in West Virginia. The location of these port and industrial park facilities

includes the river banks of the:

• Kanawha River near South Charleston

• Ohio River near Weirton

• Ohio River near Parkersburg

• Ohio and Big Sandy Rivers near Huntington

• Ohio River near Parkersburg

The feasibility study included the formation of a detailed master plan that includes public involvement,

site mapping, port commodity marketing studies, environmental and cultural studies, site planning and

engineering, National Environmental Protection Act compliance documentation, construction cost

estimates, operation and maintenance cost estimates, economic, and financial feasibility analysis.

Economic Impact of Large Attendance Events | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal

Highway Administration. Estimated the economic impacts of traffic congestion caused by large

attendance events throughout the U.S. in an average year. The study contributed to the Federal Highway

Administration understanding of the causes and impacts of congestion. The study involved the

development ofthe first ever estimate of the number of events in the U.S. in an average year with more

than 10,000 people in attendance.

Deepwater Rig Market Analysis | Client: United States Department of Transportation, Maritime

Administration (MARAD). Conducted research on the market for deep-water drill rigs, shallow-water

drill rigs, offshore service vessels, inland waterways cargo vessels, liquid cargo carriers, and dry product

carriers. Deliverables included a written report of detailed analysis of the capacity, projected needs,

likelihood of competing capital investment, existing and likely entry competition, disinvestment factors,

and macro-economic trends (global, national, regional, local) that would affect projects proposed in the

respective sectors.

Feasibility Assessment of Shuttle Tankers in the Gulf of Mexico | Client: U.S. Department of

Transportation, Maritime Administration. Assisted the U.S. Department of Transportation's Maritime

Administration in performing an economic feasibility analysis of introducing shuttle tankers to the Gulf

of Mexico. Shuttle tanker vessels had never been used in the U.S. to support deep-water oil extraction

prior to this study. The analysis involved an in-depth assessment of financial projects based on future

economic and policy scenarios. I

Economic Impact Analysis of Transit | Client: Greater Lynchburg Transit Company. Performed a

cost-benefit analysis of a bus transit system that serves the city of Lynchburg, Virginia. The study

involved administering a bus rider survey to more than 1,000 bus riders and measuring the bus service's

environmental, congestion, and socio-economic impacts. The study was used by the bus service to

communicate to local municipal and county governments the importance of continued financial support

for the bus service.

Economic Impact of the Auto Industry | Client: U.S. Small Business Administration. Participated in

a study ofthe economic impact of electronic commerce on small auto dealers. A market analysis of the

retail auto industry was conducted. Secondary data from the National Automobile Dealers Association

was used to characterize the industry. A review of the literature on the economics of auto electronic

commerce and a small business policy report were also prepared.

46

I

Economic Impact Study of the South Carolina Technical College System | Client: South Carolina

Technical College System. Conducted an economic impact study ofthe South Carolina Technical

College System (SCTCS). The SCTCS is comprised of 16 technical colleges located strategically across

the state. As the largest higher education system in the state, the college system has 114,000 credit

students and 128,000 continuing education students.

Economic Impact of California's Renewable Energy Incentive Program | Client: California Energy

Commission. Developed benefit and cost estimates for the California Electrical Commission's renewable

energy incentive program. The program provided incentives for investors and businesses to generate

renewable energy from solar panels, wind turbines, and other renewable sources. Participants in the

program could sell the electricity they generated to local utility companies at guaranteed prices.

47

YIVRSOI

1 1H( ATION:

1*1 i.l). Snilisties. C;iniciiic Mell

I ni\L'isil>. IVS2

M.S. Siniislics. CnniiMjie

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Mellon

Harry Chmelynski, Ph.D.

Senior Statistician, JFA

Reasonfor Selection

Dr. Harry Chmelynski is a statistical analyst with extensive

experience working with economic data. He has provided

statistical and model development services to a variety of

government organizations such as U.S. Department of

Energy, U.S. Department of Commerce, and U.S.

Environmental Protection Agency.

Relevant Project Experience

Williamstown Lake Dam Cost-Benefit Analysis | Client:

Grant County, Kentucky. Performed cost-benefit analysis

on 32 construction project alternatives for a dam at

Williamstown Lake in Grant County, KY. The analysis

involved using engineering estimates for the costs ofdam

construction and operation over a 50 year time period. The

report was used by Grant County officials to seek support

for the project from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Economic Impact Analysis of Transit System | Client:

Greater Lynchburg Transit Company. Performed a cost-

benefit analysis of a bus transit system that serves the city

of Lynchburg, Virginia. The study involved administering a

bus rider survey to more than 1,000 bus riders and

measuring the bus service's environmental, congestion, and

socio-economic impacts. The study was used by the bus

service to communicate to local municipal and county

governments the importance of continued financial support

for the bus service.

Economic Impact Study of the South Carolina Technical College System | Client: South Carolina

Technical College System. Conducted an economic impact study of the South Carolina Technical

College System (SCTCS). The SCTCS is comprised of 16 technical colleges located strategically across

the state. As the largest higher education system in the state, the college system has 114,000 credit

students and 128,000 continuing education students.

Economic Impact of Utah Valley University | Client: Utah Valley University. Developed an estimate

of the economic impacts of Utah's largest public university. The findings of the study were used by the

university's president to request continued financial support to the university from the state government.

Employment Benefits of a Hydrogen Economy | Client: U.S. Department of Energy. Involved in the

development ofan employment analysis tool to estimate the positive and negative employment impacts of

a Hydrogen Economy by 2050. Model combined the IMPLAN and REMI models to measure the change

in employment for a hydrogen verses a petroleum economy.

ior Suiiisiieian. l()(>7 - I'resen

icn & Associates. Senior Stati:

£)S7 - 1090

rKOFKSSIONAL A<

Statistical hi'

Member. A

48

Economic Impacts of the Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in Virginia | Client: Olde Dominion

Agricultural Foundation. Estimated the socio-economic impacts of the complex based on cost data of

the facility's construction and operations. Developed a business analysis that projected the revenues and

costs associated with various events and programs to be held at the facility.

Economic Impacts of Sanford Underground Research Laboratory in South Dakota | Client: South

Dakota Office of the Governor. Estimated the socio-economic impacts of a proposed major national

research laboratory in Lead, South Dakota sponsored by Department of Energy. The study included an

extensive assessment of the region's infrastructure, including roads, utilities, hospitals, schools, andhousing.

Economic Impact of California's Renewable Energy Incentive Program | Client: California Energy

Commission. Developed benefit and cost estimates for the California Electrical Commission's

renewable energy incentive program. The program provided incentives for investors and businesses to

generate renewable energy from solar panels, wind turbines, and other renewable sources. Participants in

the program could sell the electricity they generated to local utility companies at guaranteed prices.

Economic Impact of Large Attendance Events | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal

Highway Administration. Estimated the economic impacts of traffic congestion caused by large

attendance events throughout the U.S. in an average year. The study contributed to the Federal Highway

Administration understanding of the causes and impacts of congestion. The study involved the

development of the first ever estimate of the number of events in the U.S. in an average year with more

than 10,000 people in attendance.

Economic Impact of the Auto Industry | Client: U.S. Small Business Administration. Participated in

a study of the economic impact of electronic commerce on small auto dealers. A market analysis of the

retail auto industry was conducted. Secondary data from the National Automobile Dealers Association

was used to characterize the industry. A review of the literature on the economics of auto electronic

commerce and a small business policy report were also prepared.

49

Rami Chami

Research Analyst, JFA

ARSOI EXPKRII \( \ : ?

I 1)1 CATION:

bachelor ol Art

AnaKsl. 200? - l»t

1 lousing

\nal\sl. 2(

PROFESSIONAL AC"

Munhci. Pi Alph;i Alpiui.

Socict\ lor Public Affairs

Reason for Selection

Rami Chami is a specialist in socio-economic and

quantitative analysis. His most recent assignments include:

developingjob development plans for five counties in

California, performing a cost-benefit analysis of a dam

construction project in Williamstown, Kentucky, and

examining equity issues in transportation finance policy for

the AARP.

Relevant Project Experience

Economic Impact Analysis of an Inland River Port in

Charleston, West Virginia | Client: U.S. Army Corps of

Engineers. Performed a cost-benefit analysis on two

scenarios for an inland river port in Charleston, WV. The

two scenarios considered the economic and financial impacts

of different development options for two sites on the

Kanawha River, a major tributary ofthe Mississippi River.

Williamstown Lake Dam Cost-Benefit Analysis | Client:

Grant County, Kentucky. Performed cost-benefit analysis

on 32 construction project alternatives for a dam at

Williamstown Lake in Grant County, KY. The analysis

involved using engineering estimates for the costs of dam construction and operation over a 50 year time

period. The report was used by Grant County officials to seek support for the project from the U.S. Army

Corps of Engineers.

Economic Impact of Utah Valley University | Client: Utah Valley University. Developed an estimate

of the economic impacts of Utah's largest public university. The findings of the study were used by the

university's president to request continued financial support to the university from the state government.

Economic Impacts of the Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in Virginia | Client: Olde Dominion

Agricultural Foundation. Estimated the socio-economic impacts ofthe complex based on cost data of

the facility's construction and operations. Developed a business analysis that projected the revenues and

costs associated with various events and programs to be held at the facility.

Economic Impacts of Sanford Underground Research Laboratory in South Dakota | Client: South

Dakota Office of the Governor. Estimated the socio-economic impacts of a proposed major national

research laboratory in Lead, South Dakota sponsored by Department of Energy. The study included an

extensive assessment of the region's infrastructure, including roads, utilities, hospitals, schools, and

housing.

Economic Impact Analysis of Transit | Client: Greater Lynchburg Transit Company, Performed a

cost-benefit analysis of a bus transit system that serves the city of Lynchburg, Virginia. The study

involved administering a bus rider survey to more than 1,000 bus riders and measuring the bus service's

50

environmental, congestion, and socio-economic impacts. The study was used by the bus service to

communicate to local municipal and county governments the importance of continued financial support

for the bus service.

Economic Impact of Large Attendance Events | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal

Highway Administration. Estimated the economic impacts of traffic congestion caused by large

attendance events throughout the U.S. in an average year. The study contributed to the Federal Highway

Administration understanding of the causes and impacts of congestion. The study involved the

development ofthe first ever estimate of the number of events in the U.S. in an average year with more

than 10,000 people in attendance.

Economic Impacts of Highway Corridor Development on Rural Communities | Client: U.S.

Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration. Examined changes in socio-

economic conditions near rural communities in California and Wisconsin over time following the

development of nearby highways. The study analyzed the impacts on businesses development, housing

values, and community populations. The study was commissioned by the Federal Highway

Administration.

Economic Impact of California's Renewable Energy Incentive Program | Client: California Energy

Commission. Developed benefit and cost estimates for the California Electrical Commission's renewable

energy incentive program. The program provided incentives for investors and businesses to generate

renewable energy from solar panels, wind turbines, and other renewable sources. Participants in the

program could sell the electricity they generated to local utility companies at guaranteed prices.

Macroeconomic Impacts of Oregon Low-Carbon Fuel Standard | Client: Oregon Department of

Environmental Quality. Developed inputs to macroeconomic modeling tools based on usage and cost

impact estimates for vehicles and fuels under various low-carbon fuel scenarios. Scenario impacts on

energy, emissions, and vehicle and fuel costs are expanded to measure effects on employment,

manufacturing, consumption, and other sectors of the economy.

Economic Impact of Truck Weight Restrictions on MTA Bridges | Client: Tilcon Trucking Inc.

Analyzed the economic impacts of changes to truck weight restrictions on New York City bridges created

by the city's Metropolitan Transportation Authority following the collapse of the Interstate 35W Bridge in

Minneapolis, MN.

Flood Damage to Vehicles Analysis and Dataset Development | Client: Federal Emergency

Management Agency (FEMA). Developed estimates of potential flood damage to motor vehicles for

eight million Census Blocks nationwide using FEMA's Hazards Multi-Hazard (HAZUS-MH) dataset.

The analysis involved using data on parking patterns from the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE),

flood depth-vehicle damage estimates from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), and vehicle

fleet values from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The analysis performed for this project was

used by FEMA to estimate potential property damage from floods of varying depths across the U.S.

Pipeline Safety Regulatory Analysis | Client: U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and

Hazardous Materials Safety Administration. Performed a regulatory analysis of new regulation

proposed by the Pipeline and Hazard Material Safety Administration. The regulation is intended to

increase pipeline safety by requiring additional safety features on specific types of pipelines. The

regulatory analysis involved developing the first ever estimate of the mileage of pipelines classified as

Low-Stress II lines that would be affected by the regulation.

51

Shanshan Zhang

Research Analyst, JFA

\ I AKSOI

I 1)1 CATION:

Masicrof Public Administration. (

Bachelor of" Arts. lima'

(/oiiiimmication ( ni\c

II A. Resea

eminent ol

201 I - 1'lVS*

PROFESSIONAL ACTP

Memhcr. Pi Mpha Alpha. Na

Nocicl\ for Public \(fairs an

Reasonfor Selection

Shanshan Zhang is a specialist in quantitative economic

analysis. Her most recent assignments include: an economic

impact study for Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in

Virginia, an economic impact study ofthe U.S. Department

of Energy's Sanford Underground Research Laboratory in

South Dakota, and the development of a bikeshare benefit-

cost analysis model for the Southern California Association

of Governments.

Relevant Project Experience

Bikeshare Benefit-Cost Analysis Tool | Client: Southern

California Association of Governments. Developed an

Excel-based tool that enables the user to analyze the benefits

and costs of a bikeshare program over a 20-year horizon. The

tool provides estimates for a comprehensive set of public and

private benefits associated with the program, such as

emission reductions, fuel cost savings, travel time savings,

and health benefits.

i.Hiaiititauvc l.cononiic Ai

Socio-economic Anahsi> Economic Impacts of Sanford Underground Research

Laboratory in South Dakota | Client: South Dakota

Office of the Governor. Developed an Excel-based tool that

enables the user to estimate the economic impacts of the multi-million dollar laboratory based on its

construction, operations, and labor costs. The tool uses IMPLAN multipliers for the local region and the

State to assess the laboratory's economic impacts over a 40-year horizon.

Economic Impacts of the Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex in Virginia | Client: Olde Dominion

Agricultural Foundation. Collected detailed cost estimates for the facility's construction and operations.

Projected the facility's revenues from a variety of activities, including wine tours, animal shows, and

educational programs. Estimated the socio-economic impacts ofthe facility and the associated tourism in

Virginia over 2012 to 2015.

Economic Impact of Utah Valley University | Client: Utah Valley University. Developed an estimate

of the economic impacts of Utah's largest public university. The findings of the study were used by the

university's president to request continued financial support to the university from the state government.

National Cooperative Freight Research Program 26: Freight Transportation Cost Data Needs |

Client: Transportation Research Board. Identified current government functions that are relevant to

freight transportation and assessed the relative importance of each cost element for each identified

function. Developed biweekly reports to communicate JFA's progress to the client and compiled JFA's

findings on freight transportation related government functions and freight cost data needs into one major

chapter for the final deliverable.

52

Climate Change Adaptation | Client: Federal Transit Administration. Collected and aggregated

transit data from National Transit Database. Categorized Urbanized Areas (UZAs) based on the number

of passenger trips and passenger miles traveled by transit agencies within the area.

Greenhouse Gas Emissions Impacts of Transit | Client: Los Angeles County Metropolitan

Transportation Authority. Supported the assessment of the community impacts of Transit Oriented

Development sites in Los Angeles County. Collected and analyzed transit data to assess the indirect

impact of transit investment and operations on land use and travel patterns in the local area.

53

Consulting Services, Inc. L. Stephen Stecher, P.E.Civil & Environmental Engineering Preskknt/PrittdpalEttgineer

L. Stephen Stecher, P.E., President ofCrespo Consulting

Services, directs a locally-owned and operated civil and

environmental engineering firm in Austin. He possesses 25

years of project management experience and 30 years of

engineering experience in civil engineering related to

hydrologic, hydraulic and water quality studies and design.

Much of Mr. Stecher's direct project experience involves

drainage, flooding, water quality and erosion in the Austin

area. Mr. Stecher has performed or directed numerous

engineering projects including drainage design; Storm Water

Pollution Protection Plans (SVV3P); NPDES/TPDES; TMDLs;

channel improvements for flood and erosion control; design

and permitting of innovative best management practices;

preparation and updating ofwatershed master plans; hydrologic

and hydraulic modeling; revising and updating ofFEMA maps;

and use and analysis ofGIS for watershed planning and

engineering.

Specific Relevant Experience:

4 TWDB Watershed Protection for Texas Reservoirs

Study: Throughout, Texas. Project Manager. Assisted in

identifying reservoirs at risk of losing water supply due to high

sedimentation volumes. Reservoirs were evaluated using a

scoring matrix. Assisted in development ofmatrix criteria.

Supervised staff in compilation ofWAM Report sedimentation

rates. Will assess TWDB hydrographic surveys to compile and

compare additional sedimentation rates.

* Region C Water Supply Plan Study: Dallas Area,

Texas. Project Manager. Managed the literature review and

evaluation of water supply alternatives for North Texas

Municipal Water Supply District. During Phase I, the work

focused primarily on the Toledo Bend Reservoir and Sabine

River watershed. Work included a data gap analysis to identify

and recommend further areas of study requisite for complex

decision-making from multiple potential water supply

alternatives with consideration ofsocio-economic impacts,

instream flows, and significant wildlife habitat.

4 Texas River Basins Water Availability Modeling:

Throughout Texas. Project Manager. Performed

subconsultant work for a number ofTCEQ Water Availability

Modeling (WAM) projects for the following river basins:

Sabine, Neches, Colorado, Canadian, Red, Sulphur, Brazos,

Guadalupe, San Antonio, Nueces and Rio Grande. The

watershed modeling work included utilization ofGIS to

develop watershed runoff parameters, locations ofwastewater discharges, water rights and reservoirs. Estimated

future water usage and wastewater flows based on population projections. Performed reservoir volume analyses

for existing and future conditions, including estimation of watershed sediment load. Developed rainfall, runoff

and evaporation characteristics throughout the basins and simulated reservoir inflow, discharge and content.

Areas of Expertise:

Civil Engineering

Drainage

Storm Water

Erosion/Sedimentation Control

Water Availability Modeling

Hydrologic Modeling

Hydraulic Modeling

Floodpfaln Studies

Water Supply Planning

Registration:Texas Professional Engineer, No. 55645

Education:M.S. Civil Engineering, University of Texas at

. Austin (1985)

B.S. Civil Engineering with Highest Honors,

University of Texas at Austin (1978)

Continuing Education/Training:

Floodptain Management Training

Streambank Stabilization

Sedimentation/Erosion Control

SWMM Short-Course

EPA Watershed Management

Storm Water Management/Stream

Restoration

Professional Affiliations:

American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)

Society of Hispanic Professional Engineers

Water Environment Federation/ Water

Environment Assoc of Texas

Texas Floodplain Managers Association

Employment History:1994-presenc Crespo Consulting Services,

Inc

1989-1994: COA- Environmental &

Conservation Service Department

1985-1989: R.J. Brandes Company

1977-1985: Camp Dresser & McKee Inc

1976: Radian Corporation

54

* Town Lake Study: Austin, Texas. Senior Engineer. Directed water quality study of reservoir for an EPA

Clean Lake Study, funded through the State, including estimation of sediment load and reservoir existing and

future volume. Projected changes in water quality and impacts on treatment were evaluated, includingparameters such as sediment, clarity, nutrients, algae, TOC and re-suspension ofcontaminated sediment. BMPswere evaluated and a pilot BMP study was developed.

4 Trinity San Jacinto BBEST Instream Flow Study: Trinity/San Jacinto River Basins, Texas. Project

Manager. Provided research, data evaluation, analysis and recommendations of methodology for Trinity/SanJacinto Basin and Bay Expert Science Team (BBEST) for development of environmental flow

recommendations. Analyzed historical flow data from selected gauges within the Trinity and San Jacinto River

Basins in order to identify pre- and post-impact conditions, relative contribution of return flows, and

historic/current 7Q2 flows. Pre and post-impact analysis included the change in flow as reservoirs wereimpounded and evaluation of channel forming flow before and after reservoirs. Daily mean flow records were

parsed into flow components and analyzed using the I lydrology-Based Environmental Flow Regime (HEFR)methodology.

A City of Austin Water Resource Planning Study: Austin, Texas. Project Manager. Provided engineering

services to identify and evaluate potential water supply alternatives. Performed water availability analysis using

WRAP model and water rights permitting assessment. Hydrologic data for tributaries of the Colorado River

were gathered along with State water planning information for Region K to evaluate additional alternatives.

* City of San Marcos Water Supply Study: San Marcos, Texas. Project Manager. Evaluated a variety of

surface water and groundwater strategies for the City of San Marcos Water Supply Master Plan which includes

developing a ranking system to compare various surface water, groundwater, and reclaimed water sources with

respect to dependability and affordability. These strategies were assessed based on methodical research of

adopted water supply plans, water rights review using GIS, water availability model evaluation, study of cityordinances, agreements, and knowledge of Texas water law.

* Austin Chiller Plant Water Rights Feasibility Study: Austin, Texas. Project Manager. Researched City ofAustin available water rights in the Colorado River at Town Lake to determine feasibility for raw water intakefor a proposed chiller plant in downtown Austin.

LCRA Industrial Water Conservation Plans: Central Texas. Project Manager. Researched and compiledwater use data for three power plants to evaluate and make recommendations for 5 and 10-year water

conservation target goals and water use reductions.

Arroyo Colorado Watershed Protection Plan: South Texas. Project Manager. Assisted with development of

a Watershed Protection Plan in the vicinity of the Arroyo Colorado for Texas Parks and Wildlife Department

(TPWD). Evaluated tidal impacts at the port of Harlingen and modeled the floodway and the Arroyo using the

IBWC model. Utilized existing studies and HSPF Model results to characterize the drainage areas to the Arroyo

project site including analysis of land use, impervious cover, SCS curve numbers, and pollutant loads of the

contributing area. Evaluated point source and dry weather nonpoint sources as well as storm nonpoint sources.

Assisted with the research into BMP prioritization for the area.

Stormwater and Drainage Master Plan: Fredericksburg, Texas. Project Manager. Prepared and

completed for the City of Fredericksburg a master drainage plan. Identified existing flooding problem areas and

developed appropriate mitigation measures. Developed regional storm water detention ponds and designed

storm drain systems and improved channels. Coordinated with city officials to develop appropriate storm water

detention and sedimentation control ordinances that can be utilized to better manage future development.

Developed preliminary cost estimates and project rankings for selection by the City. Directed the design of five

major storm sewer projects to alleviate significant flooding problems.

Barton Hills Retrofit: Austin, Texas. Project Manager and Project Engineer. Evaluated a number of

nonpoint source pollution controls to reduce the amount of pollution and sediment reaching Barton Creek and

Barton Springs Pool. Conducted geomorphic and sediment studies, hydraulic and hydrologic modeling, and

floodplain analyses in order to develop an integrated solution to managing the site's storm water. Directed and

performed the final project design including: erosion control measures, a sedimentation/infiltration pond, stormsewers, channel revegetation, and tree mitigation.

55

Ben White/IH-35 Bioretention Pond Design: Austin, Texas. Project Manager and Project Engineer.

Provided preliminary and final engineering services for a bioretention/extended detention pond to treat storm

water runoff from the lH-35/Hwy 71 corridor. Performed hydrologic, hydraulic, and water quality modeling

(with SWMM, HEC-1 and HEC-RAS), and supervised coordination efforts with Federal, State, and City

agencies. Pollutant removal rates were verified using the Adams & Papa model based on unit processes.

Designed an innovative pond that was effective at removing pollutants and cost efficient.

56

Consulting Services, Inc. Carissa BelskyCivil & Environmental Engineering

WaterResourcesandGISSpecialist

Areas of Expertise:Water Resources

Water Policy

Environmental/Field Assessments

Geographic Information Systems (GIS)

Data Management

Floodplain Mapping

Stormwater

Education:

B.S. Geography, Texas State University, 2006

Major: Resources & Environmental Studies

Minor: Geology

Water Policy Certificate

Continuing Education/Training:

ESRI Training for Hydrologic and Hydraulic

Analysis using ArcGIS, including HEC-

geoRAS and HEC-geoHMS extensions

AutoCAD Land Desktop 2008 Essentials

AutoCAD Land Desktop 2007 Essentials

Capital Area Erosion Control Network

Training Sessions

Professional Affiliations:San Marcos River Foundation, Board

Member, 2010-current

Water Environment Association of Texas,

Member 2009-2011

Professional Employment History:2007-presenc Crespo Consulting Services,

Inc.

2006-2007: River Systems Institute-Texas

Stream Team (formerly Texas Watch)

Carissa Belsky completed her bachelor's degree in Environmental

Geography from Texas State University with a concentration in

water resources and water quality. In addition, she earned a Water

Policy Certificate that required further study in the areas of water

resources, environmental management, river basin management

and water law. Her experience includes environmental and

hydrogeoiogic assessments, storm water pollution protection

plans, floodplain mapping, water resource studies/planning and

field investigations for both preliminary engineering and

construction phase services. She has knowledge of water policy at

the local, state and federal level and has applied it to a variety of

projects from municipal separate storm sewer systems (MS4) and

storm water pollution prevention plans (SW3P) to landfills and

floodplains. In 2007, Ms. Belsky completed both AutoCAD 2007

and AutoCAD Land Desktop 2008 Training. She has 4 years of

experience with water quality analysis, watershed management,

field assessments and GIS. Her GIS experience includes terrain

models, HEC-geoRAS and floodplain mapping. Ms. Belsky has

performed technical work including statistical analysis, field work

and database management.

Specific Relevant Experience:

* TWDB Watershed Protection for Texas Reservoirs:

Throughout, Texas. Project Coordinator. Performed project

coordination between staff, client and prime firm for this

sedimentation/water supply study. Compiled sedimentation rates

from TCEQ WAM Reports to determine which Texas major

reservoirs are most at-risk of filling with sedimentation and losing

water supply volumes. Will work with TWDB to compare

hydrographic survey sedimentation rates to existing rates from

WAM Reports. Worked with project team in developing criteria

and scoring system for a ranking matrix to identify at-risk

reservoirs.

* Region C Water Supply Study: Dallas Area, Texas. Water

Resources Specialist. Assisted in a literature review for

alternative water supply planning for Region C. Reviewed

existing studies and reports on water planning for Regions C, D

and I in order to complete a data gap analysis and determine socioeconomic impacts of additional proposed

alternative water supplies for the Dallas/Ft. Worth area.

Trinity/San Jacinto BBEST Instream Flow Study: Trinity and San Jacinto River Basins, Texas. Water-

Resources and GIS Specialist. Compiled naturalized flow, return flow and hydrologic data for the Texas Water

Development Board for analysis and recommendations of methodology for Trinity/San Jacinto Basin and Bay

Expert Science Team (BBEST) to support Senate Bill 3 mandates for development of environmental flow

recommendations.

City of Austin Water Resource Planning Study: Austin, Texas. Water Resources <£ GIS Specialist.

Provided GIS support services for water supply alternatives evaluations for City of Austin. Used ArcMap to

evaluate routes for large diameter pipes, impacts and feasibility of creek crossings, environmental constraints

and cost estimating. Produced maps using ArcMap to illustrate the project location and constraints.

57

4 Chiller Plant Water Rights Feasibility Study: Austin, Texas. Project Coordinator Researched City of

Austin available water rights in the Colorado River at Town Lake to determine feasibility for raw water intake

for a proposed chiller plant in downtown Austin. Evaluated series ofwater rights for Town (Lady Bird) Lake

along with water management agreements between LCRA, City of Austin and downstream water users to verify

that water needs for the project were obtainable. Held meetings with City staff, project team and project

sponsor.

4 Huntsville Water Supply and Water System Capacity Study: Huntsville, Texas. Water Resources and GIS

Specialist. Compiled data and existing literature on the water use, groundwater well yields and water treatment

plant (including intake) capacity to determine the overall capacity of the City's water supply system. The

ultimate analysis incorporated population projections and future water demands into the study. Completed an

equivalent connection analysis according to TCEQ rules to determine water needs for the City. The analysis was

completed to include up-to-date 2010 census data.

4 Stall Power Plant Water Quality Modeling Project: Shreveport, Louisiana. Water Resources Specialist.

Calculated cross-sectional areas for three surveyed reaches of Cross Bayou in Shreveport, Louisiana. The

calculated areas were used in an iterative process to coincide with equivalent cross-sectional areas oftrapezoidal

shape for the purpose of QUAL-2E modeling. Analyzed flow data to determine low-flow conditions at a 10%

probability rate (7Q10 event) for modeling purposes. Created conceptual diagrams of models for critical low-

flow conditions for the study report.

4 Ben White Bioretention/Extended Detention Pond: Austin, Texas. Water Resources & GIS Specialist

Assisted with many aspects of the Ben White/IH-35 Bioretention/Extended Detention Pond Project. Conducted

an environmental site assessment and wrote an environmental assessment (EA) report as part of the plan

submittal. Assisted in producing the report and figures for 404 permitting for permission to work in waters of the

U.S. Compiled standard specifications and wrote special provisions for the project manual and assisted with

producing and compiling the details for the construction drawings using AutoCAD Land Desktop 2004.

Produced a location map, site map and EA map for exhibits in the final environmental site plan submittal using

AutoCAD Land Desktop 2004. Made regular site inspections during construction phase services to examine

design components, erosion/sedimentation controls and revegetatton.

4 Barton Hills Retrofit Project: Austin, Texas. Water Resources Specialist. Completed preliminary

engineering designs and cost estimates for water quality and erosion controls including: a

sedimentation/filtration pond, an improved channel, sediment/debris removal, additional street inlets, and

supporting pipes. Assisted with site plan corrections for the construction drawings and performed a field visit to

investigate construction progress.

4 ABIA Stormwater Master Plan Update: Austin, Texas. Water Resources and GIS Specialist Reviewed

TPDES and WQ standards for discharge compliance. Developed shapefiles for ponds, vegetated swales, filter

strips, traps and outfalls. Used GIS to produce databases for water quality controls and to calculate impervious

cover for existing, near and future site conditions.

4 Airport Commerce Park Drainage Analysis: Austin, Texas. Water Resources and GIS Specialist. Provided

technical and drafting services related to the detention pond at Airport Commerce Park and Storm Sewer Line A.

Made design modifications to an earthen dam required to comply with state and city dam regulations. Drafted

design modifications using 2008 Civil 3D; geo-referenced 100-year floodplains and completed maps for design

analysis.

4 TCEQ Dam Breach Analyses and Flood Inundation Mapping: Throughout, Texas. Water Resources and

GIS Specialist Used GIS aided software for flood inundation mapping on 33 dams throughout Texas.

Generated terrain models using LIDAR elevation data and HEC-geoRAS databases for export into HEC-RAS

models to determine potential water surface elevations downstream of dams. Entered in bridge data and

interpolated cross-sections into HEC-RAS. Used RAS Mapping in GIS to create inundation maps for each dam.

58

Appendix A: Sample Brochure

Along with our technical reports, JFA develops information dissemination materials such as

brochures and slide shows for our clients. These materials are aimed at nontechnical audiences

and help our clients increase public awareness of the economic impacts they want to highlight.

We propose to develop a set of information dissemination materials for the proposed economic

impact study. An example of our brochures is provided on the next page and described below.

JFA developed a handout brochure summarizing the economic impacts of the Olde Dominion

Agricultural Complex (ODAC) in Pittsylvania County, Virginia. ODAC is a multi-million dollar

agriculture facility in southern Virginia. The purpose of the complex is to provide a central

location for regional farm-product sales, facilitate agricultural extension programs, and host

economic and agricultural events. Pittsylvania County needed to market ODAC as a regional

economic resource to attract funding to support the facility's infrastructure upgrade. JFA

developed a technical report about the economic impacts of the facility and designed a handout

brochure that summarizes the report's findings.

59

Page Intentionally Left Blank to Include Sample Brochure

60

OMINIONAGRICULTURAL FOUNDATION

ODAC creates $6.16 in economic impacts for every $ 1 in grant funding

Overview-The Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex

(ODAC), located in Chatham, VA is a new multi

purpose facility in Southern Virginia. This factsheet

provides an overview of the economic impacts of the

facility on the surrounding community. Economic

impact is measured in terms of changes in economic

growth (output or value added) and associated

changes in jobs (employment) and income (wages).

ODAC's impacts on the

surrounding counties

[Bedford, Henry, Franklin,

Halifax, Campbell, and

Pittsylvania Counties and

the City of Danville) will

be significantly larger

than the grant funding

provided by donors.

ODAC will provide $3.3 -

$3.8 million in value

added economic impact

to the region over the period 2010-14. ODAC has

received a total of $2.2 million in grant funding.

Over the next 10 years ODAC has an impact to cost

ratio of 6.16 to 1 in terms of output and 2.62 in terms of

value added, which means that every dollar in grant

funding creates $6.16 in additional output and $2.62 in

additional value added in the region

Background - The Olde Dominion Agriculture Complex i

a multi-million dollar facility located in Pittsylvania

County, Virginia. The purpose of the complex is to

provide a central location for regional farm-product

sales and to facilitate economic and agricultural events

The construction and operation of the complex is

supervised by Olde Dominion Agricultural Foundation,

which was formed in 2008.

The large-scale agriculture complex consists of several

facilities to accommodate a variety of events and

activities. Facilities mainly include a farmers1 market and

livestock center for farm-product sales, a 53,000-square-

foot indoor arena for horse and cattle shows, a 500-seat

conference center that can be divided into three

classrooms, and a 12,000-square-foot office complex for

local, state, and federal agencies responsible for

agricultural development.

Vision-The Olde Dominion Agricultural Foundation's

vision is that agriculture will be an economic driver for

the counties of Bedford, Henry, Franklin, Halifax,

Campbell and Pittsylvania, thus creating profits for local

producers and businesses, encouraging farmland

preservation, and ensuring the continued benefits of

open space in these counties.

ODAC's 5 Year Impacts \o Region - Over 2010-2014,

ODAC is expected to generate a significant impact

on the local community, including:

• 7\- 104jobs

• $8 - $12 million in direct expenditures

• $6 - $9 million in total output

• $3 - $4 million in total value added

Olde Dominion Agricultural Complex Economic Impact Fact Sheet

More than Just an Event Center - ODAC is

located in the heart of South Side Virginia, in

Pittsylvania County. While ODAC is situated in

Pittsylvania County, the potential beneficiaries of

the facility include residents of neighboring

counties and visitors attending events from

outside of the immediate area. The interest of

communities in neighboring counties in the

facility is reflected in the fact that ODAF's Board

includes members from 6 other counties,

including Bedford, Campbell, Franklin, Halifax,

Henry, and Pittsylvania and participants from the

City of Danville. Through its construction and

operation, ODAC will have significant economic

impacts on the local region.

However, ODAC is not just a venue for events; it

is a community gathering place and a conduit

for the exchange of knowledge and ideas.

ODAC makes an important contribution to the

community through the events hosted at the

Complex. In some cases, ODAC provide a high

quality venue to community groups or individuals

at an affordable rate. In other cases, ODA helps

promote and publicize locally produced goods,

such as at the farmers' market or wine events.

Further, ODAC creates opportunities for the

exchange of knowledge and information. This

information might be communicated through

formal training sessions, or more informally in

agricultural product demonstrations.

Finally, ODAC creates opportunities for

community building. Through hosting of blood

drives and 4H events, ODAC creates impacts in

the community beyond simple dollars and cents.

A Platform to Support Local Agriculture - ODAC has the

potential to become a center for the promotion of the

region's high quality agricultural products. A wide variety of

agricultural products are cultivated within Pittsylvania,

Bedford, Campbell, Halifax, Henry and Franklin Counties.

The mainstays of this region included tobacco, hay, silage,

beef and dairy operations. In recent years new ventures

have emerged in the equine, swine, sheep, horticulture and

viticulture sectors, creating promising new avenues for

growth in the region.

Regular ODAC farmers' markets and regional product

promotion events, such as wine festivals, create an

important opportunity for the region to showcase the high

quality products coming out of the region.

Additionally, educational events and agricultural

equipment expos hosted at the center will help local

farmers to be aware of new technologies or innovations

that will help them to improve the efficiency of their

production or the quality of their products.

Types of Events to be Hosted at ODAC:

Equine Events

Equine Clinics

Dog Shows and

Other Canine Events

Agricultural Events

Regional Product

Promotion Events

Livestock Events

4H Events

Agri-tourism Events

Farmers' Markets

Car Shows

Training Sessions

Educational

Programs

Blood Drives

Weddings

JROTC Events

Proms

For More Information,

To get more information, including a technical report,

contact:

FredP.Wydner, III

Pittsylvania County Ag Development Director

19783 US Hwy. 29 South, Suite B

Chatham, V'A 24531

Phone: 434-432-7993

AGRICULTURAL FOUNDATION

Prepared by Jack Faucett Associates

(www.jfaucett.com)