copyright © 2009 pearson education, inc. publishing as prentice hall1 chapter 6: interest rate...

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Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California State University, Fullerton Mihaylo College of Business and Economics

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Page 1: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

1

Chapter 6: Interest Rate ParityChapter 6: Interest Rate Parity

Power Points created by:

Joseph F. Greco Ph. D.

California State University, Fullerton

Mihaylo College of Business and Economics

Page 2: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

2

Chapter 6: Interest Rate ParityChapter 6: Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.2 Covered Interest Rate Parity in Practice

6.3 Problems Related to Testing Interest Rate Parity

6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

6.5 The Term Structure of Forward Premiums and Discounts

Page 3: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

3

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity: Overview

• The Intuition Behind Interest Rate Parity

• Two Ways to Buy a Currency Forward

• Why There Must Be Interest Rate Parity

• Deriving Interest Rate Parity

Page 4: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

• The Intuition Behind Interest Rate Parity

• Two Ways to Buy a Currency Forward

• Why There Must Be Interest Rate Parity

• Deriving Interest Rate Parity

Page 5: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

5

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

• Two Ways to Buy a Currency Forward

• Buy a forward contract

Page 6: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

• Why There Must Be Interest Rate Parity

• Covered interest rate arbitrage

Page 7: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

7

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

6.1 The Theory of Covered Interest Rate Parity

• Deriving Interest Rate Parity

• A general expression for interest rate parity

• Interest rate parity and forward premiums and discounts

Page 8: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

8

Exhibit 6.1Diagram of Covered Interest Arbitrage

Exhibit 6.1Diagram of Covered Interest Arbitrage

Page 9: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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Exhibit 6.2Kevin Anthony’s Arbitrage

Exhibit 6.2Kevin Anthony’s Arbitrage

Page 10: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.2 Covered Interest Rate Parity in Practice

6.2 Covered Interest Rate Parity in Practice

• The External Currency Market

• Transaction costs in the external currency market

• How the external currency market affects other capital markets

• London interbank offer rate (LIBOR)

Page 11: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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Exhibit 6.3Interest Rates in the External Currency Market

Exhibit 6.3Interest Rates in the External Currency Market

Page 12: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

12

6.2 Covered Interest Rate Parity in Practice

6.2 Covered Interest Rate Parity in Practice

• Covered Interest Arbitrage with Transaction Costs– An empirical test

Page 13: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

13

Exhibit 6.4Covered Interest Rate Parity with Bid-Ask Rates

Exhibit 6.4Covered Interest Rate Parity with Bid-Ask Rates

Page 14: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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Exhibit 6.5 – Panel A$/£ Covered Interest Arbitrage into £

Exhibit 6.5 – Panel A$/£ Covered Interest Arbitrage into £

Page 15: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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Exhibit 6.5 – Panel B$/£ Covered Interest Arbitrage into £

Exhibit 6.5 – Panel B$/£ Covered Interest Arbitrage into £

Page 16: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.3 Problems Related to Testing Interest Rate Parity

6.3 Problems Related to Testing Interest Rate Parity

• Default Risks

• Exchange Controls

• Political Risk

• The Thrilla in Manila

Page 17: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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Exhibit 6.6External and Internal FRF Interest Rates and Difference

Exhibit 6.6External and Internal FRF Interest Rates and Difference

Page 18: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

Hedging Transaction Risk - Money Market: Overview

• Introduction

• Hedging a Foreign Currency Liability

• Hedging a Foreign Currency Receivable

Page 19: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

• Introduction

• Synthetic forward

• Money market hedge

Page 20: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

• Hedging a Foreign Currency Liability

Page 21: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

6.4 Hedging Transaction Risk in the Money Market

• Hedging a Foreign Currency Receivable

Page 22: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.5 The Term Structure of Forward Premiums and Discounts

6.5 The Term Structure of Forward Premiums and Discounts

• The Term Structure of Interest Rates– Spot Interest Rates– A Review of Bond Pricing– Yields to Maturity– Deriving Long-Term Spot Interest Rates

Page 23: Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1 Chapter 6: Interest Rate Parity Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D. California

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall

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6.5 The Term Structure of Forward Premiums and Discounts

6.5 The Term Structure of Forward Premiums and Discounts

• Long-Term Forward Rates and Premiums