connectivity models in the adriatic sea to support the...

25
Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the design of EFH Donata CANU, Celia LAURENT, Stefano QUERIN, Cosimo SOLIDORO FAIRSEA Primo incontro dei portatori d’interesse del mondo della pesca | Venice| 21 February 2019

Upload: others

Post on 05-Jan-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

Connectivity models in the AdriaticSea to support the design of EFH

Donata CANU, Celia LAURENT,Stefano QUERIN, Cosimo SOLIDORO

FAIRSEA

Primo incontro dei portatori d’interesse del mondo della pesca| Venice| 21 February 2019

Page 2: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

2

Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support

the design of EFH

Two target speciesSolea solea and Nephrops norvegicus

Connectivity assessmentin the Adriatic Sea.

Page 3: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

3

Aim of connectvity modelling tasks

Assessing biological connectivity among subpopulations is a fundamental information for sustainable fisheriesmanagement, for:

• Identification connections between larval release area and nursery area Essential Fish Habitats (EFH)

• Identify nursery areas of greater retention

• Identify release areas wich have a greater successfull settling

• Contribute to SMART spatial explicit bioeconomic model integratingconnectivity and recruitment and simulate the potential effects of selective spatial fishery closures

Page 4: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

4

NUMERICAL TOOLS

2. Lagrangian particles tracking model

LTRANS-v.Zlev: Lagrangian particle

tracking model:

used to track the trajectories of particles

released from specific areas and driven by

ocean currents in the GSA17 and GSA18

1. Hydrodynamic model

MITgcm hydrodynamic 3D current

data for the 2006-2012 period, with

1/64° horizontal resolution, 60

vertical levels.

3. Larval behaviour model, species dependent:

⚫ Temporal dependeny: temperature dependence, diel vertical

migration

⚫ Critical survival conditions (sediment and temperature)

MITgcm

Page 5: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

5

MITgcm hydrodynamic model

• Adriatic-Ionian system

• Spatial resolution 1/64°(~1 nm)

• 70 vertical levels

• Simulation (2006-2012)

• Time step 200 s

Querin et al., 2016, Querin et al., 2011

Page 6: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

6

North Adriatic hydrodYnamic model set up• Reanalysis RegCM (12 km – Adriatic-Ionian)

• Operational ALADIN (ARSO - SLO, 4.4 km – North Adriatic)

✓ Wind ( 10 m)

✓ Air temperature(2 m)

✓ Pressure (s.m.m.)

✓ Relative humidity (e/o specifica; 2 m)

✓ Precipitatione

✓ Long wave solar radiation

✓ Short wave solar radiation

✓ Rivers discharge from main rivers

Page 7: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

7

Nephrops n. growth and behaviour model

Larvae released in December, January and February (E.B. Morello, C. Froglia )

Gr=0.02*T+0.04 larval growth TEMPERATURE limitation: death when T> 18°C

STAGE1: lenght: 6 mm where: bottom movement: passive +vertical (Smith et al., 1987)

STAGE2: diel vertical migration (2phases)

STAGE3: downward migration (14 mm size)

STAGE4: bottom, search of a suitable sediment site for max 5 days (OR death)

(SENSITIVITY run for temperature and searching time)

Page 8: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

8

Setup of larval dispersal scenario

Nephrops scenarios

Larval dispersalLarval growthTemperature limitationSediment type

630 simulations one for each day between the

1st of December to the 28th of February, for each

year between 2006 and 2012, releasing one

particle from each cells of the domain,

corresponding to the area shown below

Page 9: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

9

Setup of larval dispersal scenario

Nephrops scenarios

Larval dispersalLarval growthTemperature limitationSediment type

630 simulations one for each day between the

1st of December to the 28th of February, for each

year between 2006 and 2012, releasing one

particle from each cells of the domain,

corresponding to the area shown below

Release areas (sources of larvae) of Nephrops plotted in agreement with MEDITS data Nephrops assessment (1996-2017).

Grain size for suitability

Page 10: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

10

Results: nephrops connectivity

Settling density (retentionrate at each grid point)

Settling density variability

(whole suitable areas)

Page 11: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

11

Results: nephrops connectivity

Success rate per grid point(how much) Dispersion rate

(how large is thespreading area)

(compute only for the area identified in MEDITS map)

Page 12: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

12

Results: nephrops connectivity

1

2

34

5

6

7

8 9

10

Connectivity between Release area 1-10Dimension proportional to Retention rateLines → fluxes between two areasLine thickness → flux intensity

Page 13: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

13

Results: nephrops connectivity

1

2

34

5

6

7

8 9

10

Connectivity between Release area 1-10Dimension proportional to Retention rateLines → fluxes between two areasLine thickness → flux intensity

1

2

34

5

6

7

8 9

10

Connectivity between Release area 1-10Dimension proportional to SURFACELines → fluxes between two areasLine thickness → flux intensity

Page 14: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

14

Solea solea larval dispersal scenario

Solea solea scenarios

Growth temperature dependentDiel vertical migration

6 years of simulations,

420 simulations (one for each day

between the 1st of December to

the 31 of January)

releasing one particle from each

cells of the domain

(Scarcella et al., 2014, Grati et al.,

2013)

Page 15: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

15

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Averaged arrival density of S. soleareleased from the area shown in the small map in the down/left panel.

Averaged arrival density of S. soleareleased from the area shown in the small map in the down/left panel (Fabionsky sanctuary)

Page 16: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

16

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 17: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

17

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 18: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

18

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 19: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

19

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 20: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

20

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 21: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

21

Results Solea solea larval connectivity

Page 22: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

22

EFH design (searching recruitment sites )

Page 23: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

23

Future Needs

• Discuss results with experts

• Potential abundance maps to weight larval production from

different zones;

• Information on larval behaviour and growth parameters (now

addressed by sensitivity analysis);

Page 24: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

24

Conclusion

Nephrops norvegicus:

Results highlighted the existence of isolated subpopulations of

N. norvegicus and the area of greater retention, and of greater

dispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation

which is connected with the other Adriatic subpopulations.

Solea solea:

Results evidenced the connectivity between spawning and

recruitment sites.

Assuming a uniform density of larval release, an efficient design

of recruitment sites can be discussed and proposed.

Page 25: Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support the ...jadran.izor.hr/mantis/pdf/fairsea_ogs_nephrops_en.pdfdispersion. The Pomo-Jabuka Pit area hosst a subpopulation which is connected

25

Via Beirut 2, Trieste

[email protected]

+39 040 2140632

www.italy-croatia.eu/acronym

OGS, National Institute of Oceanography and Applied GeophysicsDonata MELAKU CANU

Connectivity models in the Adriatic Sea to support

the design of EFH