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TRANSCRIPT
4Q15 Earnings ReleaseConference CallFebruary, 19th 2016
2/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Highlights
Liquid balance sheet with a cash position of R$1.5 billion, equivalent to 53% of time deposits.
Excess capital, with a BIS ratio of 15.0%, being 14.1% in Tier I Capital.
Loan portfolio coverage ratio above 5% as a result of a significant increase in provisions.
Relevant improvement in the operating income results QoQ.
Retraction of 12.6% in personnel and administrative expenses, even in an inflationary scenario.
Deleverage of the loan portfolio given the continuous worsening of the economic scenario.
Continuous liability management with a diversified portfolio and adequate terms.
3/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
1,256 1,181 1,163
Dec-14 Sept-15 Dec-15
Shareholders' Equity
-1.5%
-7.4%
8,5007,409
6,859
Dec-14 Sept-15 Dec-15
Total Funding
-7.4%-19.3%
9,826 7,691 6,933
Dec-14 Sept-15 Dec-15
Total Loan Portfolio1
-9.9%-29.4%
7,409 6,859
Sept-15 Dec-15
Total Funding
-7.4%
7,691 6,933
Sept-15 Dec-15
Total Loan Portfolio1
-9.9%
1,181 1,163
Sept-15 Dec-15
Shareholders' Equity
-1.5%
3.5% 3.6%
3Q15 4Q15
ROAE
0.1 p.p
2.9% 3.2%
3Q15 4Q15
NIM Evolution
0.33 p.p.
10 10
3Q15 4Q15
Net Income
Financial Highlights
1 Includes Stand by LCs, Bank Guarantees, Credit Securities to be Received and Securities (bonds, CRIs, eurobonds and fund shares)
R$ million
The main performance indicators were within expectations in the period…
3Q15 4Q15
10 10
3Q15 4Q15
2.9% 3.2%
33 bps
3Q15 4Q15
3.5% 3.6%
11 bps
2014 2015
9441
-56.5
%
2014 2015
4.3%3.4%
-95 bps
2014 2015
7.5%
3.4%
-410 bps
4/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Credit61.4%
Bank Guarantees 17.7%
FICC14.5%
Pine Investimentos
3.8%
Treasury2.6%
2015
Credit63.2%Bank Guarantees
11.2%
FICC19.4%
Pine Investimentos
3.3%
Treasury2.9%
2014Revenue Mix
Participations by Business
Flat credit revenue, in line with the conservative strategy adopted by the Bank;
Lower volume of transactions in the FICC Business
Pine Investimentos remains active in structuring operations.
Product and Revenue Diversification...with contributions from all business lines.
5/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
R$ million4Q15 3Q15 4Q14 2015 2014
Financial MarginIncome from financial intermediation 73 1 83 207 380
Overhedge effect (15) 55 10 64 9 Income from financial intermediation 58 56 93 272 389
3Q15 4Q15
2.9% 3.2%
33 bps
2014 2015
4.3%3.4%
-95 bps
Net Interest Margin
NIM Evolution Main Impacts
NIM Breakdown
Lower revenue contribution from FICC;
Mark to market of securities and derivatives according
to 4.277 Resolution of the Central Bank of Brazil;
Pre-payment of the FIDC senior quotas; and
Higher level of cash as a proportion of assets during
the year.
6/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Expenses and Efficiency Ratio
Personnel and Administrative Expenses
Expenses and Efficiency Ratio
Rigorous cost control.
2722 2322 20 19
42.2%50.6%
60.0%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
00%
20%
40%
60%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
4Q14 3Q15 4Q15
978990
74
38.7%47.5%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
00%
20%
40%
60%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2014 2015
PersonnelExpenses
OtheradministrativeexpensesRecurringEfficiency Ratio(%)
R$ million4Q15 3Q15 QoQ 4Q14 YoY 2015 2014 YoY
Personnel expenses 23 22 7.5% 27 -12.1% 89 97 -7.4%Other administrative expenses 19 20 -5.7% 22 -14.1% 74 90 -18.1%Subtotal 42 42 1.2% 49 -13.0% 163 187 -12.6%Non-recurring expenses (4) (4) 6.5% (3) 37.4% (11) (12) -5.7%Total 38 38 0.7% 47 -18.0% 152 174 -12.5%Employees1 361 375 -3.7% 409 -11.7% 361 409 -11.7%1 Including outsourced ones
7/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
4,730 4,440 4,066 3,650 3,282
1,3021,118
1,074924
794
2,9693,191
2,896
2,4922,373
826 909
585
626
485
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
Trade finance: 7%
Bank Guarantees:34.2%
BNDES Onlending :11.4%
Working Capital: 47.3%
8,621
7,691
6,933
9,6579,826
7.0%
1 Includes Stand by LC2 Includes debentures, CRIs, Hedge Fund Shares, Eurobonds, Credit Portfolio acquired from financial institutions with recourse and Individuals
R$ million
Loan PortfolioThe portfolio amounted to R$6.9 billion...
1
2
-29.4%
-9.9%
8/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
36%40%40%39%
6%6%5%5%
10%8%9%7%
10%10%9%9%
12%12%14%12%
13%14%14%15%
13%10%9%13%
Dec-15Dec-14Dec-13Dec-12
Energy
Sugar andEthanol
Real Estate
Agriculture
Engineering
Transportationand Logistics
Others
Continuous Loan Portfolio Management
Sectors Rebalance...with improved sector diversification.
The composition of the portfolio of the 20 largest clients changed by over 25% in the past twelve months;
The share of wallet of the 20 largest clients remained at around 30%, in line with market peers.
Energy13%
Sugar and Ethanol13%
Real Estate12%
Agriculture10%Engineering
10%
Transportation and Logistics
6%
Telecom4%
Foreign Trade3%
Metallurgy3%
Retail3%
Vehicles and Parts3%
Chemicals3%
Specialized Services
3%
Construction Material
2%
Meatpacking2%
Food Industry1%
Other9%
9/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Wind Power72%
UTE1%
Distributors8%
Transmitting9%
Equip. Supplier
6%
SHPs UHEs4%
Guarantees62%
Working Capital
28%
BNDES Onlending
10%
Working Capital
80%
Guarantees20%
Residential Lots43%
Residential34%
Warehouse12%
Mall9%
Commercial2%
Main SectorsEnergy| Sugar and Ethanol | Real Estate
Energy (13%) Sugar and Ethanol(13%)
Real State (12%)
Exposure by Product Exposure by Segment Exposure by Product Exposure by State
Exposure by Product Exposure by Segment
Working Capital
51%
Guarantees32%
BNDES Onlending
11%
Trade Finance
7%SP
68%
MG22%
PR8%
GO2%
10/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Concession34%
Transporta-tion33%
Industrial27%
Oil and Gas5%
Energy2%
Working Capital
83%
Guarantees14%
BNDES Onlending
3%
Working Capital
74%
BNDES Onlending
13%
Trade Finance
11%
Guarantees1%
MT33%
SP31%
BA11%
PR9%
MG8%
Others8%
Main SectorsAgriculture| Engineering
Agriculture (10%) Engineering (10%)
Exposure by Product Exposure by Product
Exposure by Segment
Exposure by State
11/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
5.0%
7.7%
9.3%
2.9%4.1%
5.1%
00%
02%
04%
06%
08%
10%
12%
00%01%02%03%04%05%06%07%08%09%10%
Dec-14 Sept-15 Dec-15D-H Portfolio Coverage of Total Portfolio Coverage of D-H Overdue Portfolio
162% 127% 80%50.0%
250.0%
450.0%
650.0%
AA-A35.2% B
28.9%
C26.6%
D-E4.5%
F-H4.8%
Products Pledge40%
Receivables16%
Properties Pledge42%
Investments3%
December 31st, 2015
Contracts Overdue: total amount of the contracts overdue for more than 90 days / Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters of Credit.
1D-H Portfolio: D-H Portfolio / Loan Portfolio Res. 2,6822Coverage of Total Portfolio: Provisions / Loan Portfolio Res. 2,682 3Coverage D-H Overdue Portfolio: Provisions / D-H Overdue Portfolio
Loan Portfolio Quality90.7% of the loan portfolio is classified between AA-C ratings.Loan Portfolio Quality – Res. 2,682
Credit Coverage
Non Performing Loans > 90 days (Total Contract)
Collaterals
1 2 3
0.1%0.7% 0.3% 0.3%
0.1%2.1% 1.8% 1.2%
1.7%
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
12/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
7,703 7,482 7,948 3,270 4,941
221349 366
560479
(365 )
(103 )33
894
160
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
Notional AmountMtMStressed MtM
Commodities11%
Fixed Income8%
Currencies81%
December 31st, 2015
Fixed income: Fixed, Floating, Inflation, Libor
Currencies: Dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar
Commodities, Sugar, Soybean ( Grain, Meal and Oil), Corn, Cotton, Metals, Energy
R$ million
FICCSolid trackrecord.
Client Notional Derivatives by Market
Market Segments
Notional Value and MtM
Portfolio Profile
Scenario on December 31st, 2015:
Duration: 281 days
Mark-to-Market: R$479 million
Stress Scenario (Dollar: +31% and Commodities Prices: -30%):
Stressed MtM : R$160 million
13/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
R$25,000,000
October, 2015
Promissory note
Lead Coordinator
J uly, 2015
Project Finance
R$104,000,000
Coordinator
September, 2015
InfratructureDebentures
Lead Coordinator
R$10,300,000
5 1
3Q15 4Q15
14 12
2014 2015
R$ million
Pine Investimentos
Fee Generation
Selected Transactions
Capital Markets: Structuring and Distribution of
Fixed Income Transactions.
Financial Advisory: Project & Structured Finance,
M&A, and hybrid capital transactions.
Research: Macro and Commodities.
December, 2015
CRI
R$21,300,000
Lead Coordinator
December, 2015
Bridge Loan
R$18,000,000
Coordinator
Lead Coordinator
October, 2015
Project Finance
R$7,500,000
J uly, 2015
Project Finance
R$78,000,000
Coordinator
September, 2015
Debentures
Coordinator
R$500,000,000
R$20,000,000
J une, 2015
CRI
Lead Coordinator
14/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
1,7201,209 951 853 841
545
361291 343 324
1,122
1,2731,322 1,321 1,570
69157
197 359 336
2724
18 33 18
1,3331,161
1,091 952 806
635
509476 207 295
747
796787
764 751
347
338272
318 279
687
837819 1,022 1,029
430773
735 545 113
839 929
605 692497
8,367
7,5647,409
6,859
8,500
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept Dec-15
Trade Finance: 7.2%
Private Placements: 1.7%
Multilateral Lines: 15%
International Capital Markets:4.1%Financial Letter : 10.9%
Local Capital Markets: 4.3%
Onlending: 11.8%
Demand Deposits: 0.3%
Interbank Time Deposits: 4.9%
High Net Worth Individual TimeDeposits: 22.9%Corporate Time Deposits: 4.7%
Institutional Time Deposits:12.3%
R$ million
FundingDiversified sources of funding...
48%
47%
41%
48%
53% Cash over Deposits
-19.3% -7.4%
15/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
41% 36% 37% 39% 45%
59% 64% 63% 61% 55%
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
Total Deposits Others
80% 77% 76%70%
66%
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
7.8x 7.8x7.1x
6.5x6.0x
5.4x 5.2x4.7x 4.4x
3.9x
-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
Expanded loan Porfolio
Loan Portfolio excludingBank Guarantees
Leverage: Expanded Loan Portfolio / Shareholders’ Equity Expanded Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters of Credit / Shareholders’ Equity
Credit over Funding ratio: Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters ofCredit / Total Funding
Asset & Liability Management... matching assets’ and liabilities’ duration.
Leverage Credit over Funding Ratio
Total Deposits over Total FundingR$ millionmonths
6,8598,367 7,564 7,4098,500
Asset and Liability Management (ALM)
1.2 0.3
5.5
0.0 1.3
0.5 Obrigações por operações com compromisso de recompra (REPO)
Financiamento através de títulos e valores mobiliários
Depósitos à vista
Financiamento por depósitos, títulos emitidos, empréstimos e repasses
Outras Obrigações
PL
Assets0.1
0.9
4.1
2.7
0.5 0.6 Disponibilidades e Equivalentes
Ativos vinculados a compromissos de recompra (REPO)
Ativos Financeiros
Carteira de Crédito
Outros Ati vos
Ativos Ilíquidos
Liabilities
8.9 8.9
Equity
Demand deposits
REPO financing Secured funding
Unsecured funding
Other liabilities Other assets
Illiquid assets
Credit Portfolio
Trading portfolio assets
Assets financed through REPOs Cash and cash equivalents
Coverage of 134%
16/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
12.4% 12.2% 12.3% 12.2%14.1%
1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
0.9%13.9%13.0% 13.1% 13.1%
15.0%
Dec-14 Mar-15 J un-15 Sept-15 Dec-15
Tier II Tier I Minimum Regulatory Capital (11%)
Capital Adequacy Ratio (BIS), Basel III BIS ratio reached 15.0%, due to the deleveraging of the Loan Portfolio
17/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
2015 Performed
Expanded Loan Portfolio -15% to -5% -29.4% NIM 3.5% to 4.5% 3.4% Personnel and Administratve Expenses -15% to -10% -12.6% ROAE 5% to 8% 3.4%
Guidance 2015 Estimated versus Performed
Guidance 2015 based on GDP estimated of -1.5%
2015 real GDP of -3.5 to -4.0%
18/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
Guidance 2016Expanded Loan Portfolio -5% to 0% NIM 3% to 4% Personnel and Administratve Expenses -10% to -5% ROAE 4% to 8%
Guidance 2016 Pine GDP (E) 2016: -3.5%
19/19Investor Relations | 4Q15 |
This report may contain forward-looking statements concerning the business prospects, projections of operating and financial results and growth outlook of PINE. These are merely projections and as such are based solely on management’s expectations regarding the future of the business. These statements depend substantially on market conditions, the performance of the sector and the Brazilian economy (political and economic changes, volatility in interest and exchange rates, technological changes, inflation, financial disintermediation, competitive pressures on products and prices and changes in tax legislation) and therefore are subject to change without prior notice.
Noberto N. Pinheiro JuniorCEO
João BritoCFO
Raquel Varela BastosHead of Investor Relations, Funding & Distribution, Marketing & Press
Luiz MaximoInvestor Relations Coordinator
Gabriel NettoInvestor Relations Analyst
Phone: (55 11) 3372-5343
Investor Relations