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POLAND KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS FOR THE LONG-TERM DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES WOJCIECH MISIĄG VICEPRESIDENT POLAND – SUPREME AUDIT OFFICE

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POLAND KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS FOR THE LONG-TERM DEVELOPMENT

STRATEGIES

WOJCIECH MISIĄGVICEPRESIDENTPOLAND – SUPREME AUDIT OFFICE

RIGA, 2012 2

2006 Act of 6 December on rules of conducting development policy, defining the legalframework for the long-term programming of development policy

New Budgetary Law, implementing the performance-based state budget as an auxiliarytool of budgetaary planning

2009 Plan of putting in order development strategies accepted by the Council of Ministers

Draft of the long-term development plan Poland 2030 published by the strategic advisers to the Prime Minister

2010 First integrated strategy – National Strategy of Regional Development 2010-2020: Regions, Urban Areas, Rural Areas accepted by the Council of Ministers

2011 Central Statistical Office publishes first edition of the Sustainable Development Indicators for Poland

History

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RIGA, 2012 3

System of the medium and long-term strategies

Source: An Integrated Approach to Development in Poland, Ministry of Regional Development, 2011

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RIGA, 2012 4

Poland 2030 – structure of performance indicators

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1. Demographic, macroeconomic and institutional foundations for development

Growth and competitiveness

Demographic situation

Labour market

Performing state

2. Productivity, mobility, and adaptiveness of economy

Infrastructure potential

Knowledge-based economy and intellectual capital development

3. Social dimension of development and the conditions for its diffusion

Regional solidarity and cohesion

Social cohesion

Social capital

RIGA, 2012 5

Poland 2030 – selected performance indicators (1)

Performance indicatorCurrent

valueTarget value

for 2030

GROWTH AND COMPETITIVENESS

Long-term GDP growth rate 4.3 5.0

Long-term investment rate 18.0 25.0

Share of machinery and equipment in the investment outlays 17.0

Share ratio of the high-tech products in exports 40.0

Share of the IT-based economy sectors in the GDP 25.0

General government deficit (% of GDP) 0.0

Inflation rate (% per year) 1.0 – 4.0

Fertility rate (children per one women aged 15-45) 1.6

Gap between retirement age for women and men 0.0

Retirement age 65.0/60.0 67.0

Number of professionally active people aged 15 and above against the number of professionally passive ones

1.1 – 1.2

Total life span being lived in good health (%) 86.0/84.0 90.0

Overmortality of men aged 30–59

Average unemployment rate per one business cycle (%) 5.0

Employment rate of adults in actual productive age (15-64) 60.0 75.0

Employment rate of disabled persons in actual productive age (15-64) 40.0

Involvement of adult population in lifelong learning (%) 20.0

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RIGA, 2012 6

Poland 2030 – selected performance indicators (2)

Performance indicatorCurrent

valueTarget value

for 2030PERFORMING STATE

Average duration time of court proceedings

Positive evaluation rate for the judiciary 9.0 50.0INFRASTRUCTURE POTENTIAL

Share of high-speed passenger rail traffic (above 121 km/h) 3.0 20.0Share of high-speed passenger rail traffic (above 121 km/h) 0.0 8.0Average speed of the inter-agglomeration trains (km/h) 85.0 130.0Highway density ratio (km/1,000 km2) 2.4 6.4Expressway density ratio (km/1,000 km2) 3.8 23.0Share of the citizens having access to the broadband services 100.0

IT infrastructure penetration allowing for data transmission that meets the globally binding standards 7.0SOCIAL COHESION

Decrease of the relative poverty level (%) 8.0

Decrease of the relative poverty level in the families with 3 or more children (%) 15.0

Increase of the employment of the disabled persons 20.0 – 30.0

Increase of the social transfers directed to 10% of the poorest households 10.0 – 30.0

SOCIAL CAPITALIncrease in the interpersonal trust level (%, CBOS methodology) 35.0 – 40.0

Civic activity index 26.0 – 30.0

Number of NGOs (per 10,000 of inhabitants) 20

Percentage of citizens excluded from cultural activities 60.0 30.0Culture sector input (% of GDP) 5.0 – 6.0

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RIGA, 2012 7

Poland 2030 – selected performance indicators (3)

Performance indicatorCurrent

valueTarget value

for 2030POWER NAD CLIMATE SAFETY

Share of renewable energy sources in the structure of power generation (%) 20.0Reduction of CO2 emission (%) 50.0

Increase in electric power exchange (% of domestic consumption) 15.0 25.0Decreasing in the domestic transmission system failure frequency 50.0Natural gas storage capacity (billion m3) 3.8 12.0Nuclear power plants operating 0 2

KNOWLEDGE-BASED ECONOMY AND INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL DEVELOPMENTRanking of Polish pupils in PISA program 10Students from technology, engineering, mathematics and IT faculties (% of the total number of students) 13.5 20.0Spendings for R&D per year, (% of GDP) 4.0Percentage of scientists employed in the public sector 92.0 60.0

Number of patents granted to Polish citizens by the European Patent Office (per 1 million of inhabitants) 4.0 60.0Increase in the share of Poland in the global volume of so called triad’s patents (%) 0.02 0.40

Number of Polish authors in the group of 4,000 the most frequently cited researchers 2 10REGIONAL SOLIDARITY AND COHESION

GDP per capita in the poorest Polish regions (% of EU average) 40.0 60.0Urbanization rate 61.0 70.0People who live in regions where the travel to the voivod city using roads shall take less than 1 h (%) 60.0 100.0People who live in regions where the travel to the voivod city using roads shall take less than 1 h (%) 70.0 100.0Preschool care in rural areas (% of children aged from 3 to 5) 20.0 100.0Number of people employed in the agricultural sector (% of total employment) 15.0 5.0Rural households' incomes generated by employment in non-agricultural sector (%) 50.0

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RIGA, 2012 8

Performance indicators for integrated strategies

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Innovation and effectiveness of the economy strategy – 66 indicatorsSustainable development of rural areas, agriculture and fisheries strategy – 27 indicatorsHuman capital development strategy – 32 indicatorsGood governance (an effective state) strategy – 27 indicatorsTransport development strategy – to be definedNational security system strategy – noneEnergy and environmental security strategy – 23 indicatorsSocial capital development strategy – 23 indicatorsNational Strategy of Regional Development – 74 indicators

TOTAL – 272 indicators

RIGA, 2012 9

Gross National Product (2010 = 100)

Gross National Product per capita

Households’ Income

Deficit of the General Government Sector

Demographic burden

Human Development Index

Global Competitiveness Index

Medium-term development strategy – key indicators

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RIGA, 2012 10

Sustainable development indicators for Poland (SDIfP)

Published in 2011 by the Central Statistical Office (CSO)

Contains descriptions and data for 76 indicators classified in 4 domains: – Social Indicators – Economic Indicators – Environmental Indicators – Institutional and Political Indicators

Development indicators are taken from the Polish development strategies (see slide No. 4)

The next editions will be published

Full text (in English) is available in: http://www.stat.gov.pl/gus/5840_12144_ENG_HTML.htm

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RIGA, 2012 11

Economic development Innovativeness

• Growth of gross domestic product per capita • Innovative products

• Gross fixed capital formation in relation to GDP• Human resources in science and technology

• Dispersion of regional GDP per capita (NUTS 3) • Labor productivity

• Public debt in relation to GDP • Expenditure on R&D activity in relation to GDP

• Energy intensity of the economy

• Water intensity of the economy Transport

• Transport intensity of GDP • Intermodal freight transport by standard gauge

• Energy consumption of transport in relation to GDP railway transport

Employment Sustainable production patterns

• Employment rate of persons aged 20-64 • Resource productivity

• Average exit age from the labor force • Area under organic farming

• Employment rate of persons aged 55-64 • Organizations with Eco-Management and Audit Scheme

SDIfP – Economic Indicators

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RIGA, 2012 12

Sustainable development indicators for Poland – example

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RIGA, 2012 13

Development indicators (and other performance measures of strategic plans)are used by Supreme Audit Office as a data for risk analysis in the process ofaudit planning

Development indicators are used in the macroeconomic part of the document „Analysis of the State Budget Execution”, prepared each year for the Parliament

Selected perfomance measures can be used as the audit determinants in the performance audits carried out by the Supreme Audit Office

Poland 2030 vs. Central Statistical Office indicators

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RIGA, 2012 14

Development indicators (and other performance measures of strategic plans) are used by Supreme Audit Office as a data for risk analysis in the process of audit planning

Development indicators are used in the macroeconomic part of the document „Analysis of the State Budget Execution”, prepared each year for the Parliament

Selected perfomance measures can be used as the audit determinants in the performance audits carried out by the Supreme Audit Office

Can Supreme Audit Office use development indicators?

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RIGA, 2012 15

1. Poland has well-designed system of strategic documents defining

the development policy

Summary

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RIGA, 2012 16

1. Poland has well-designed system of strategic documents defining

the development policy

2. The performance indicators for the long-term and medium-term

development strategies can be treated as the KNI

Summary

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RIGA, 2012 17

1. Poland has well-designed system of strategic documents defining

the development policy

2. The performance indicators for the long-term and medium-term

development strategies can be treated as the KNI

3. The performance indicators for the long- and medium-term development strategies are the good tool for monitoring the

results of implementing the strategies

Summary

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RIGA, 2012 18

1. Poland has well-designed system of strategic documents defining

the development policy

2. The performance indicators for the long-term and medium-term

development strategies can be treated as the KNI

3. The performance indicators for the long- and medium-term development strategies are the good tool for monitoring the

results of implementing the strategies

4. There are some inconsistencies between the performance indicators

for the general development strategies, and the performance

indicators for so called integrated strategies

Summary

18

RIGA, 2012 19

1. Poland has well-designed system of strategic documents defining

the development policy

2. The performance indicators for the long-term and medium-term

development strategies can be treated as the KNI

3. The performance indicators for the long- and medium-term development strategies are the good tool for monitoring the

results of implementing the strategies

4. There are some inconsistencies between the performance indicators

for the general development strategies, and the performance

indicators for so called integrated strategies

5. The KNI selected as the performance indicators for strategic

documents can be useful for Supreme Audit Office as: – analytical tool, – determinant for performance audits

Summary

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RIGA, 2012 20

Thank you for your attention

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