© 2015 electric power research institute, inc. all rights reserved. ben kaun sr project manager...
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© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Ben KaunSr Project Manager
Energy Storage Program
7/28/15
Energy Storage Benefit-Cost Analysis
Publicly Available Software Development
2© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Electric Power Research Institute
Independent
Objective and scientifically based
Non-profit
Chartered to serve the public benefit
Collaborative
Bring together researchers, industry experts, and policy makers
Independent
Collaborative
Nonprofit
Together… Shaping the Future of Electricity
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Today’s Agenda
Explain the vision Introduce the new software projectHow you can helpQ&A
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The Vision
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The Issue: Where and When Does Energy Storage Make Sense?
It Depends Who You Ask…
Behind the Meter
T&
D D
eferrals
Frequency Response
Regulation Energy Management
Renewables IntegrationP
eake
r R
epla
cem
ent
Demand Charge Management
Solar B
ackup
FR
AC
MO
O2(
…?)
Real time Energy
Microgrids
Generation-sited
EV Charging
Transactive Energy
FlexiRamp
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Vision for Desired Outcomes
Publicly available tools and methods to fairly, transparently, and consistently estimate the benefits and costs of energy storage projects across all cases– Grid Services– Technologies and Sizes– Locations
Ability to identify and characterize high value locations to deploy energy storage, so that early successes in energy storage maximize value to all stakeholders
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The Upshot…
Discussion needs to evolve to be about real situations
Not about the “modeling process”
Bounding ranges of costs and benefits is more important
than the “exact answer”, which doesn’t exist…
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The Project
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An Opportunity: Publicly Available Energy Storage Valuation Software funded by California Energy Commission
What is it?– Cloud-Hosted Energy Storage Valuation Software– Customized for California Needs– Available in 2016
Goals– A software platform for transparent, validated estimation of energy
storage project benefits and cost– Include all CPUC use cases and storage technologies under
consideration – Achieve broad stakeholder buy-in on approach and support highest
value uses
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Project Description (Continued)
Resources– $1.9M Budget = $1M CEC + $0.9M Cost Share from EPRI + Partners– Leverage the technical community of the Energy Storage Integration
Council (ESIC)
Project Team– EPRI – Energy and Environmental Economics (E3)– Lumina Decision Systems– Customized Energy Solutions– Udi Helman (consultant)– Strategen Consulting (organizer of CESA)
Build off Prior Efforts with Energy Storage Valuation Tool (ESVT)
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Forum for Input: Energy Storage Integration Council (ESIC)
To advance the integration of energy storage systems through open, technical collaboration: guided by the vision of universally accessible safe, secure, reliable, affordable, environmentally-responsible electricity
Mission Statement:
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ESIC Working Groups: Analysis Working Group will be the Venue for Technical Input / Review of the Model
ESICWG1
Applications
WG2
Performance
(Testing)
WG3
System Development
(Products) WG4
Grid Integration
WG5
Analysis
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Participation in ESIC
Over 150 participating organizations, including:– Electric Utilities– ISOs– Energy Storage Vendors– System Integrators / Project Developers– Researchers and Universities– Regulators
Contact E-mail: [email protected]– Send full contact info (name,title, e-mail, phone, company address)– No cost to participate
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Model Background Work: Energy Storage Valuation Tool (ESVT) – What it is
Focus on energy storage project benefit-cost techno-economic analysis
Highly customizable input fields
Price taker type model
Diverse energy storage technologies
Grid services covering generation, transmission, distribution, and behind-the-meter value propositions
Evaluation of individual and “stacked benefits”
ESVT will serve as technology and knowledge starting point
for this project
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Quick Recap: Energy Storage Valuation Tool (ESVT)
INPUTS MODEL OUTPUTSDefine Grid Services
Define Storage Capability
Define Financial Perspective
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2410K
11K
12K
13K
14K
10.5K
11.5K
12.5K
13.5K
Hours in a Day
Dis
trib
uti
on
Lo
ad
Be
fore
an
d A
fte
r S
tora
ge
Dis
pa
tch
(k
W)
Storage Operation
Cost Benefit
Cost / BenefitSimulate
Storage Operation
Detailed Financials
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A prior version ESVT was used in the 2013 Energy Storage Proceeding R.10-12-007
Available for Download: http://www.epri.com/abstracts/Pages/ProductAbst
ract.aspx?ProductId=000000003002001162
Report Describes the Model in Detail and Provides Assumptions and Results of Over 30 Model Runs
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How You Can Help
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We Need Input and Review on Multiple Topics to Define Software Functional Requirements and Interface Specs
Functional Use Cases: Who Will Use This Tool and How Will they Use It
Energy Storage Use Cases: What Are All the Circumstances Where Storage May be Deployed
Grid Services
Locations
Technologies
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First Step: Define the Highest Priority Functions for each Stakeholder – What are you trying to answer for what purpose?
Functional Use Cases: Who Will Use This Tool and How Will they Use It
New Storage Valuation Tool
Data Sets
Inputs
Outputs
New Storage Valuation
ToolAnother Tool
As a Stand-alone Analysis Tool…
...or as a Stage in Another Analysis Methodology
Inputs
Data Sets
Outputs
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Functional Use Cases Starting Point for ConsiderationSource: Initial EPRI Brainstorming and SocializationStakeholder Group
Possible applications of the tool for storage cost-benefit analysis
Utilities • Resource planning / Transmission planning functions• Distribution planning functions• Storage procurement – offer ranking• Customer facing program execution (e.g. SGIP, DR, etc)• Real-time uses to forecast storage operations in the wholesale market
Regulators • Analysis of storage in oversight of utility procurement planning• Evaluation and benchmarking of utility storage procurement decisions• Assessment of storage as Resource Adequacy capacity resources• Assessment of integrated renewable and storage projects (RPS procurement)
Regional System Operators
• Evaluation of storage benefits in transmission planning• Assessment of how storage operations could affect wholesale market design• Calculation of benchmark storage market value, for various uses, e.g., in annual
“State of the Market” reports
Project Developers
• Valuation and pricing of projects for utilities and regulators; determination of optimal size and technology for projects
• Locational value of energy storage projects, or aggregate distributed resources• Optimization of new product capabilities to maximize value
Electricity Customers
• Understanding of cost-effectiveness potential of storage at different customers• Determination of appropriate storage/DER products under particular rate structures• Effect of storage on value/utilization of other DER
Researchers • Common platform for storage model extensions; repository of models and datasets
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Next Step: Energy Storage Use Cases are Considered within Context of Functional Use Cases
Functional Use Cases: Who Will Use This Tool and How Will they Use It
Energy Storage Use Cases: What Are All the Circumstances Where Storage May be Deployed
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Energy Storage Use Cases Starting Point
From CPUC Decision D. 13-
10-040
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Energy Storage Use Cases are Converted to Feasible Combinations of Grid Services, Locations, Technologies
Functional Use Cases: Who Will Use This Tool and How Will they Use It
Energy Storage Use Cases: What Are All the Circumstances Where Storage May be Deployed
Grid Services: What Storage Does to Produce Value
Locations: Requirements and
Adjustment Factors
Technologies: Generic Models that can be Customized
for Specific Projects
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Grid Services Starting Point: CPUC CEP “Applicable End Uses”
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Grid Services Starting Point: CPUC CEP “Applicable End Uses”
Strong consistency with ESVT to start from…
Detailed socialization required and some new development
Services currently
modeled in ESVT
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Locations Starting Point
Initial Siting Locations to Consider– Fossil Generation– Renewable Generation– Transmission Substation– Distribution Substation– Along Feeder– Service Transformer– Behind the Meter (industrial)– Behind the Meter (commercial)– Behind the Meter (residential)
Locations are important for..– Solving problems– Not creating problems– Loss factors– Voltage impacts– Etc.
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Technology Starting Point: Generic Technology Classes Currently Represented in ESVT Model
Batteries / Flywheel
CAES
Pumped hydro
Gas Turbine
Requires close look from storage technology community
to ensure accurate representation
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Summary of Input Needs from the Stakeholders
Functional Use Cases– What Questions Do you Need to Answer? How would you like to use it?
DEVELOP USE CASES
Energy Storage Use Cases– Ensure all the likely storage deployment scenarios are compatible with the tool
Grid Services– Ensure services are modeled in a credible way -> Requirements + Benefit/Cost
calculation approach
Technologies– Ensure all applicable storage technologies are considered with socialized inputs
from the developer community – Not the performance per se, only the critical parameters to define
Locations– Consider the locational requirements and adjustment factors that are important
for the modelWe envision a working subgroup to advance each of these topics
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Planned Project Schedule
2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4
Stakeholder Interviews & Software Use Case
Development
Model Architecture Development
Model Development
Software Delivery & Tech Transfer
Alpha Model Review (Testing
Features)
Beta Model Review (Debugging &
Feature Freeze)
Functional & Interface
Requirements
30© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Planned Project Schedule
2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4
Stakeholder Interviews & Software Use Case
Development
Model Architecture Development
Model Development
Software Delivery & Tech Transfer
Alpha Model Review (Testing
Features)
Beta Model Review (Debugging &
Feature Freeze)
Functional & Interface
Requirements
Tell Us if We Need to Adapt Schedule to Maximize Value
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Planned Project Schedule
2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4
Stakeholder Interviews & Software Use Case
Development
Model Architecture Development
Model Development
Software Delivery & Tech Transfer
Alpha Model Review (Testing
Features)
Beta Model Review (Debugging &
Feature Freeze)
Functional & Interface
Requirements
NEXT STEP: DEVELOP A DETAILED
MODELING AGENDA FROM YOUR
INPUTS
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Opportunities to Engage
Participate in the Energy Storage Integration Council – Analysis Working Group – No Cost– Working group meetings monthly and topic subgroups meet more
regularly– Next webcast: August 14, 10am Pacific time– For meeting invites, send full contact info to: [email protected]
Use Case Workshop September 1st all-day @ EPRI in Palo Alto (by invitation)– E-mail [email protected] and [email protected] for invite request and
justification (Need a small, balanced group of ~30 people to be successful)
Separate Interviews with Key Stakeholders:– E-mail Ben Kaun at [email protected]
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Questions and Comments?
Contact Information:
Ben Kaun
E-mail: [email protected]
Office Phone: 650-855-2208
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Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity