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Registered charity number 210252 Climate Change: the threat to civilisation; the challenge to engineers; the role of Professional Institutions Gordon Masterton, Immediate Past President, ICE 31 st May 2007 Slide 2 Global Temperature Rise Predictions Slide 3 European Summer temperatures Slide 4 ICE/ASCE/ CSCE - Engineering a Sustainable Future Our current approach to development is unsustainable Transparent procurement Informed citizenship Appropriate social, technical and economic tools Continuing development Engineers can bridge the gap between aspiration and practicality Action plans to deliver sustainable development including Millennium Development Goals We must respond to greatest risk Climate Change Signed July, 2006 at ICE London. Gordon Masterton ICE Dennis Martensen ASCE Alistair Mackenzie CSCE Slide 5 Slide 6 Slide 7 Energy efficiency and security of supply Slide 8 Sustainable Flood Management Slide 9 Global poverty Slide 10 Urbanisation Slide 11 Transportation Slide 12 Integrated solutions Slide 13 WIndfarm 5gCO2eq/kWh Slide 14 Nuclear 5gCo2eq/kWh Slide 15 80% worlds energy from fossil fuel Energy sustains growth and social wellbeing Deep energy cuts could lead to massive reduction in what we now define as quality of life 2004 - 26 billion tons CO2 worldwide 2030 40 billion tons CO2 worldwide China overtakes USA as largest producer of CO2 by 2009? Renewables wont bridge this energy gap Nuclear power is the only green solution? Slide 16 Taxing the bads not the goods! Road-charging Landfill tax Eco-taxation Road tax based on fuel efficiency Water metering Environmental rating tax for households Tax deductions for energy efficiency Tax credits for sustainable construction Low carbon technologies made freely available Slide 17 The Energy Hierarchy 1.Energy conservation 2.Energy efficiency 3.Use of renewable, sustainable resources 4.Use of non-sustainable resources using best available technologies consistent with cost 5.Legacy resources and technologies Slide 18 Collaboration the Key Climb out of the silos Inter-disciplinary exchange Cross-cultural collaboration New ways to look at old problems Pan-engineering; pan-scientific; pan-cultural groupings Far-sighted politicians Slide 19 Slide 20 Joseph Bazalgette Slide 21 Schrodingers Illustration of the Quantum Jump 1 - isomeric level 1 (State 1) 2 - isomeric level 2 (State 2) 3 - Energy threshhold Slide 22 Sunset technology or sunrise technology? Slide 23 ICE/ IMechE Collaboration Waste as a Resource Slide 24 Waste and resource management Slide 25 Royal Academy of Engineering/ The Engineering Institutions Engineering Led Response to Climate Change Response to the Stern Report proposing detailed study A sound evidence base An optimal approach Identification of pinch-points Professional Skills Public acceptability Decarbonising existing buildings Decarbonising power supply Transport Technologies required in near term Advice to government Slide 26 Our time is short Slide 27 Climate Change The only thing necessary for evil to flourish is for good men to do nothing The only thing necessary for global catastrophe to occur is for well-informed engineers to do nothing.