problems chapter 6-7 international parity conditions.pptx
TRANSCRIPT
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Question 1
If expected inflation is 7.55 percent and the requiredreal return is 5.25 percent, what will the nominal
interest rate be according to the Fischer effect?
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Question 2
From base price levels of 100 in 2000, Japanese and USprice levels in 2003 stood at 112.55 and 116.75,
respectively. If the 2000 USD/ exchange rate was
USD 0.007692, what should the exchange rate be in
2003?
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Question 3
In early 1996, the short-term interest rate in Francewas 3.7%, and forecast French inflation was 1.8%. At
the same time, the short-term German interest rate was
2.6% and forecast German inflation was 1.6%. Based on
those figures, what were the real interest rates in
France and Germany?
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Question 4
In July, the one-year interest rate is 12% on GBP and 9%on USD. If the current exchange rate is USD 1.63/GBP,
what is the expected future exchange rate in one year
from now?
Suppose a change in expectation regarding future US
inflation causes the expected future spot rate todecline to USD 1.52/GBP. What should happen to the US
interest rate?
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Question 5
Chase Econometrics has just published projected inflation
rates for United States and Germany for the next five
years. US inflation is expected to be 10 percent per year,
and Germand inflation is expected to be 4 percent per
year. If the current exchange rate is USD 0.95/, what
should the exchange rates for the next five years be?
Suppose the US inflation over the next five years turns
out to be 3.2%, German inflation averages 1.5%, and the
exchange in five years is USD 0.99/. What has happened tothe real value of the euro over this five year period?
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Question 6
During 1995, the Mexican peso exchange rate rose from Mex
$ 5.33/USD ti Mex $ 7.64/USD. At the same time, US
inflation was approximately 3% in contrast to Mexican
inflaction of about 48.7%.
By how much did the nominal value of the peso change
during 1995?
By how much did the nominal value of the peso change over
this period?
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Question 7
Suppose 3-year deposit rate on Eurodollars and Eurofrancs
(Swiss) are 12 percent and 7 percent, respectively. If the
current spot rate for the Swiss fran is USD 0.3985, what
is the spot rate implied by these interest rates for the
franc three year from now?
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Question 8
Assuming the following quotes, calculate how a market
trader at Citybank with $ 1 million can make an arbitrage
profit. Explain your calculations.
Citibank quotes U.S. dollar per pound: $1.71/ National Westimenter quotes euro per pound: 1.77/
Deutsche Bank quotes dollar per euro: $1.07/
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Question 9
Assuming the following quotes, calculate how a market
trader at Citybank with $ 5 million can make an arbitrage
profit. Explain your calculations.
Citibank quotes U.S. dollar per pound: $1.94/ National Westimenter quotes euro per pound: 2.02/
Deutsche Bank quotes dollar per euro: $1.22/
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Question 10
Use the data in the table below to complete the calculation of the implied PPP
value fo the currency against the US dollar and the calculation as to whether that
currency is undervalued or overvalued against the US dollar. Explain your
calculations.
Countr y/Currency Big Mag
Prices in
Local
Currency
Current
Exchange
Rate(Direct
Quotat ion)
Big Mag
Prices in
US Dollars
Implied
PPP of the
Dollar
Local
Currency
Under)/Over
Valuation
United States (dollar) 4.50
Argentina (Peso) 5.75 3.25
Brazil (Reals) 9.50 4.5
Chile (Peso) 1750.00 675.00
Mexico (Peso) 32.00 15.8
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Question 11
Lehman is a foreign exchange dealer for a bank in New York.He has $ 10 million (or its Swiss franc equivalent) for ashort term money market investment and wonders if he shouldinvest in US dollars for the 3 months or make an arbitrageinvestment in the Swiss franc. He faces the rates show in thetable:
Spot exchange rate SFr 1.35/$
3-month Swiss franc forward rate SFr 1.33/$
USD interest rate 5% per year
Swiss franc interest rate 4% per year
a) Where do you recommend Lehman to invest, and why?
b) What is Lehmans rate of return, on annual basis, on thisinvestment?
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Question 12
Use the cross-rate table shown below to determine the
following rates:
a) US dollars per Japanese Yen
b) Euros per US dollar
c) Euros per Japanese Yen
d) US dollars per Canadian dollar
e) US dollars per Australian dollar
f) US dollars per British poundg) Swiss francs per US dollar