ppt presentation w audit_trend shift
TRANSCRIPT
Grantor Trust Model
Delta AirlinesNovember 1, 2010
Our Solution
The Main Benefits Are:
• Predictable Spending On Healthcare Liabilities For 3 Years
• Prepaid Healthcare For 3 Years
• Surplus Fund Moving Forward
2
33
Future Claims Compatibility Model
$210,220,866
$240,984,895
$235,857,557
$240,984,895
$230,730,218
$225,602,880
$217,911,873
$199,966,189
$192,275,182$197,402,520
$182,020,506$189,711,513
$150,000,000
$160,000,000
$170,000,000
$180,000,000
$190,000,000
$200,000,000
$210,000,000
$220,000,000
$230,000,000
$240,000,000
$250,000,000
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
11
Q2
11
Q3
11
Q4
11
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
Future 36 month (2010 to 2013) spend projected $2.563 Billion
Trend for the period = 8%
Total Spending Projection $2.563 Billion
Flow of Funds DiagramTrust Certificates
Flow of Funds Diagram-Trust Certificates Cash Out
Trust Agreement“Trust”
•All cash invested in accordance with established investment policy
•No cash disbursed for claim payments or administrative fees unless coverage ratio adequate
Debt Service
Claim Payments
AdministrativeFees
Cash ProceedsFrom Loan
Employer Monthly
RemittancePayments
Cash In
4
Interest Income
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Advanced Funding Model Self Insured
Employer’s ObligationRemittance = $ 68,096,486
Fixed for 36 Months36-Month Spend$2,451,473,512
Fully Collateralized‘Aaa’ Rated Grantor Trust
Issues Debt
Trust Pays
Principal& Interest
VariableCosts
FixedCosts
Variable Costs = 85 to 95%Fixed Cost = 5 to 15%Surplus = 0 to 25%
FIXED Financing Rate FIXED Investment Rate
2.00% 2.50%
InvestmentSurplus = $196 Million
Risk Trend +$108 Million
$304 Million
Years 4-6Tax-Free
Rolling Surplus
Budgetability / PredictabilityArbitrage (Investment Opportunity)Non-Balance Sheet – Footnoted on P & LCurrent IBNR removed from Balance Sheet
$2,563 Billion
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Remittance PaymentCompatibility Model
$235,857,557
$240,984,895
$230,730,218
$225,602,880
$210,220,866
$217,911,873
$199,966,189
$192,275,182
$197,402,520
$182,020,506$189,711,513
$150,000,000
$160,000,000
$170,000,000
$180,000,000
$190,000,000
$200,000,000
$210,000,000
$220,000,000
$230,000,000
$240,000,000
$250,000,000
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
11
Q2
11
Q3
11
Q4
11
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
Using the One Global Model the "Remittance Payment" is Year 1 = $186M QT / $62M MOYear 2 = $204M QT / $68M MOYear 3 = $222M QT / $74M MO
36 Month Difference of $112 Million
Total Spending Projection $2.451 Billion
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Adjusted Remittance with Arbitrage Compatibility Model
$182,020,506
$230,730,218
$197,402,520
$189,711,513 $192,275,182
$199,966,189
$210,220,866
$225,602,880
$240,984,895 $240,984,895
$235,857,557
$150,000,000
$160,000,000
$170,000,000
$180,000,000
$190,000,000
$200,000,000
$210,000,000
$220,000,000
$230,000,000
$240,000,000
$250,000,000
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
11
Q2
11
Q3
11
Q4
11
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
With a Lending Rate of 2% and the Investment Return to the Trust at 2.50%
Income generated to the trust is $196 Million.
Total Spending Projection $2.255 Billion - $196 Million Returned to the Trust
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Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
Data Analytics & Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
OGR’s partners have run Analytics against a big part of our Trillion Dollars of Healthcare Claims Data Base
With Oversight From:
Dr. Mark Percival, Managing Partner of the Trend Shift ® Resources, (a PFR Company).
Erik Watts, Chairman of Health Data Resources (a PFR Company).
Potential to Reduce the $460 Million spend at Delta by over $200 Million dollars.
Health Data Resources and LifeStrive® have products that achieve this result.
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Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
Phase 1: Data Analytics
It’s all about the important data you have----Claims Data,
"The Data you have is Important, the Data you don't have is Vital".
Companies like Delta are paying approximately 22% of their claims cost for
Physician VisitsLabs Pathology
This could equate to $460 Million over 36 months for Delta Airlines.
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Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
Phase 2: Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
The Milken Institute provides some interesting statistics
Approximately 70% of all physician office visits are unnecessary – with phone access
The Data Directed Healthcare Trend Management Process of One Global is:
CollectProtectUtilize
Potential to Reduce the $460 Million spend at Delta by over $200 Million dollars.
OGR uses “Data Directed Trend Shift® Management", to work toward Reverse Trend
Goal: Achieve Risk Trend Reversal in future years.
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Data Directed Healthcare Trend Shift® Management
Phase 3: Trend Shift® Results
$182,020,506
$225,602,880
$230,730,218
$210,220,866
$197,402,520
$240,984,895
$235,857,557
$240,984,895
$189,711,513
$199,966,189
$192,275,182
$150,000,000
$160,000,000
$170,000,000
$180,000,000
$190,000,000
$200,000,000
$210,000,000
$220,000,000
$230,000,000
$240,000,000
$250,000,000
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Data Directed Trend Shift System
Data Analytics Combined with Our Health and Risk Trend Data Management System can bring additional dollars to the Trust.
Projection = $108 Million
Total Spending Projection $2.147 Billion Million - $108 Million Returned to the Trust
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Surplus Growth
$19,092,186
$39,257,720
$60,528,425
$82,936,870
$106,280,560
$130,823,914
$156,601,706
$183,649,520
$211,746,087
$241,180,356
$271,990,306
$304,214,793
$-
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$250,000,000
$300,000,000
$350,000,000
Surplus Growth
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Trend Expectations Compared to One Global Model
Prior 36 Month Spend ($1,700,000,000) *Assumption Medical Inflation Factor % 8.00% 3 YR Projection Total ($2,563,669,094) OGPFR 3 YR Total (Remittance Payments) ($2,451,473,512) Difference +$112,195,582
Surplus +$196,075,125
Claim Audit & Data Analytics +$5,526,780 Health and Risk Trend Data Management System +$102,612,890
Total Returned to the Trust +$304,214,793 Net 36 Month Spending ($2,147,258,719) Prior Period 36 Month Spending ($1,700,000,000) *Assumption Increase/(Decrease) Over Prior Period +$447,258,719 Percentage Increase Over Prior Period 20.83% Net Trend 6.25%
Banking Relationships
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Next Steps
• Phase I: Actuarial Analysis, Assessment and Report • Phase II: Vendor Negotiation, Funding and Implementation• Phase III: Implementation• Phase IV: Operational Cost Reduction/Surplus Management
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Phase II – Next Steps
• Develop and Review Implementation Plan (Week 5)
• Client Internal Approvals (Week 5)
• Negotiate Discounts With Carriers (Week 5)
• Solicit and Secure Financing (Weeks 5 – 8)
• Prepare Trust and Other Documents (Weeks 5 – 8)
• Establish Trust and Appoint Trustee (Weeks 5 – 8)
• Close Transaction (Week 8)
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Phase III
• Ongoing Management– Quarterly Reviews
• Trustee• Healthcare Administrator• Lender• Client• Surplus Management
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Summary
The One Global Funding Model is strategically designed to address the liabilities found in• Fully Insured Benefit Plans• Self Funded Employers (private and public)• Worker’s Comp Programs• Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB)
Benefits of the OGR Funding Model:• Establishes predictable spending for three years...not thirty days• Measured savings in both the variable and fixed cost environments• We establish a level monthly remittance/premium equivalent that best fits your cash flow needs• Use of the capital market to pre-fund healthcare and workers' compensation
expenditures in three-year increments• Unlike "letters or lines of credit" the OGR Funding Model does not put your assets at risk• Investment income earned inside of Trust
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