New Paradigm of Innovation

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New Paradigm of Innovation

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  • International Symposium The Economic Crisis: Time For A Paradigm Shift ~ . Towards a Systems Approach

    January 24-25, 2013 Universitat de Valncia - Facultat d'Economia

    This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

    New Paradigm of Innovation Management

    based on Synergetic and Multifractal

    Approaches

    Rashid Zaynetdinov

    Professor of Innovative Technology, ScD, PhD

    Moscow State University of Railway Engineering (MIIT), Russia.

    e-mail: zri7755@gmail.com

    ABSTRACT

    The new paradigm of innovation management is based on the exploration, analysis and modeling

    the features and states (such as non-equilibrium, instable, nonstationary) of innovative

    technological and socio-economic system as well as concomitant transient processes taking into

    account their development in time. Among the features of the system and concomitant innovation

    and investment processes which were explored, it is possible to notice such features as openness,

    irreversibility, nondifferentiability, long term feedbacks, discontinuity, complexity, ability to self-

    organization, self-similarity, nonlinear nature, etc.

    Until a profound understanding the features and states of the complex system and transient

    processes is achieved, and until they can be reliably modeled, there is clearly no hope of

    effectively controlling it, except of course through empiricism.

    For increasing the efficiency of innovation management in technologies and society we

    investigate the innovation processes from point of view of synergetics. We consider the

    innovation in the complex socio-economic system as open, non-equilibrium, dissipative, active

    system, capable for self-organization. For analysis of evolution, associated with the

    technological innovations, we present a synergetic model that links the dynamics of

    informational entropy with the self-organization process in the system. We analyze the local

    element's behavior in different modes of being (the old, transient and new). Formulas for dynamics of the entropy flow and its rate are obtained with respect to innovation process and

    investment flow in the system.

    It is shown that an open innovative system responds to a strong change of being conditions by

    steep growth of the entropy flow up to a maximum value at the critical point. The self-

    organization process is destruction of the dissipative structures at the previous hierarchical

    level, exhausting its possibilities, and emergence of new more complicated and more advanced

    dissipative structures, corresponding to the changed being conditions. A system comes back to a

    steady state due to inflow of the information from the outside or redistribution of the

    informational entropy between the hierarchical levels of the system.

    Obtained mathematical expressions make it possible to predict the moment when the critical

    point (that is stochastic analogue of bifurcation point) will be reached. That is the moment of

    crisis, in other words the moment of maximum uncertainty and instability in the complex system

    when small fluctuations become amplified up to a macroscopic scale. In such a system the new

  • International Symposium

    The Economic Crisis: Time For A Paradigm Shift ~ . Towards a Systems Approach

    January 24-25, 2013 - Universitat de Valncia

    2

    attractors of technological and socio-economic development can emerge spontaneously. Some

    typical trajectories of transition to attractors of technological development were selected. The

    bifurcation point may drive the system into a completely new state and thus become the driving

    force of the systems development. The transition to a new level of development goes from the disorder to the order, through the phenomenon of instability in points of bifurcation.

    The bifurcation moments functional dependence of the distribution function for stochastic process of external influences on system is revealed. By means of changing the parameters of

    input flows from external sources into the system (for example, investment and information

    flows), we have possibility to effect the moment when the bifurcation point will be reached.

    We can try to influence on system before and at the bifurcation point. We cannot predict, which

    trajectory the innovative system will go after the bifurcation point. But we can try to create

    optimum conditions for successful passage through the bifurcation point in a desirable

    direction, and also to take appropriate measures to direct innovative system on a favorable

    way of development.

    Self-organization process in complex system results in self-affine sequence of meaningful events,

    associated with innovations. We do not know whether some temporal pattern is hidden in an

    apparently disordered set of the innovation events. The multifractal theory is a good basis for

    revealing such an order and for describing a flow of the multiscale events in the course of time.

    The multifractal approach provides a deeper understanding the nature of the innovative event

    flow and evidence for the existence of a multiplicative process hidden in a temporal pattern of

    the innovation event sequence. In order to verify the fractality of data sets a wavelet analysis was

    carried out. We used the continuous wavelet transform for revealing the intrinsic temporal

    structure of the datasets about innovation processes.

    Deeper insight into process of innovations, their prediction and management is to be gained by

    using the synergetical and multifractal approaches to the self-organization processes in the

    complex innovative socio-economic systems.

    RaulSticky NoteThis is an interesting abstract; it links entropy and negantropy to dynamic systems and the edge of chaos. The attractors for the system after the crisis can be influenced and therefore move in the direction of a better future

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