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  • 8/11/2019 Lecture_slides_DDC WSE First Lecture 2013

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    Williams S. Ettouati, Pharm. D.Director, Industrial Relations & DevelopmentHealth Sciences Associate Clinical Professor, N.S.

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    Lecture Objectives

    Course Introduction

    Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology IndustryLandscape

    Global Outlook: What Will the FuturePotentially Look Like?

    Patient Centric Discovery

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    DDC Course Objectives

    Drug Discovery Process From target to Investigational New Drug Application (IND)

    Pharmaceutics & Life Cycle Strategic Plan

    Clinical Development

    - IND to New Drug Application (NDA) submission

    -

    Clinical study design

    Regulatory Requirements to File an IND and an NDA

    Intellectual Property Strategy

    Commercialization Strategies Marketing strategy; Managed markets

    Strategic partnership and business development

    Work in Multifunctional Teams

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    Pharmaceutical & Biotechnology

    Industry Landscape

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    Pharmaceutical Market 2011

    955 billion US $

    Source: IMS Health

    NorthAmerica

    36%

    Europe

    25%

    Japan12%

    China7%

    Africa, Asia& Australia

    13%

    LatinAmerica

    7%

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    CEO Short-Term Confidence in the Economy

    1,258 CEOs from 60 countries shared their view with PwC in 2012

    Q: How confident are you about your companys prospects forrevenue growth over the next 12 months?

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP 15th Annual Global CEO Survey 2012www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-survey/.../15th-global-pwc-ceo-survey.pdf

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    Fundamental Changes

    Capacity to innovate is at the forefront of priorities for CEOs

    Patent expirations and low R&D productivity are leaving manypharma with uncertain revenue streams

    Major Changes to R&D: 1/3 of CEOs in pharmaceutical and lifesciences, chemicals and technology industries

    Pharma is shifting research resources to Asia

    R&D spending in Asia has surpassed EU levels

    A financial institution predicts R&D spending in Asia likely toovertake US levels before 2020

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP 15th Annual Global CEO Survey 2012www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-survey/.../15th-global-pwc-ceo-survey.pdf

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    Pressure for Process & Radical Innovation

    Q: To what degree are you changing the emphasis of your companysoverall innovation portfolio in the following areas?

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP 15th Annual Global CEO Survey 2012www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-survey/.../15th-global-pwc-ceo-survey.pdf

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    New Molecular Entities Launched in

    US 2002-2011

    The Use of Medicines in the United States: Review of 2011Source: IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics

    34 New Molecular Entities launched in US, most in last 10 years

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    FDA Approved

    39*New Molecular Entities in 2012

    Source: Bioassociate Consulting2012: The Winners and Losers of the Pharmaceutical Industry

    FDA approved 39new drug in 2012

    Almost twice the

    number approvedin 2010

    Highest numbersince mid 90s

    Source: FDA

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    Few Breakthrough Drugs Available

    For First Time in 2012

    Ivacaftor

    First treatment that targets underlying mechanism of Cystic Fibrosis

    Tofacitinib

    First Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) treatment in the new class of Januskinase inhibitors, and the first new oral disease-modifying anti-rheumaticdrug for RA in more than 10 years

    Lorcaserin

    First weight loss prescription drug to reach market in 13 years, aninnovative molecule, Lorcaserin, a serotonin receptor agonist

    Source: Bioassociate Consulting2012: The Winners and Losers of the Pharmaceutical Industry

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    80% Prescriptions Dispensed as a

    Generic in 2011 Generics dispensed 94% of

    time where a generic form isavailable

    Patent expiries thatoccurred in late 2011; notyet impacted utilization or

    spending by end of year

    Majority of increase drivenby expiries in 2010 andearly 2011, including

    Lovenox, AriceptandEffexor XR.

    The Use of Medicines in the United States: Review of 2011Report by the IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics

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    Spending in Leading Therapy Areas

    The Use of Medicines in the United States: Review of 2011

    Report by the IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics

    Absolute spendinggrowth gains highest forantipsychotics,antidiabetes, respiratoryagents, autoimmunediseases and lipidregulators

    Many generics in

    leading traditionalclasses including lipidregulators andantipsychotics

    Specialty classspending up > 10% in

    multiple sclerosis,autoimmune diseasesand HIV antivirals,

    < 5% in oncology

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    Top Medicines by Prescriptions

    Leading active-ingredients oringredient fixed-combinations, includesboth branded &

    generics

    Includes all

    prescriptionsdispensed through allretail pharmacies

    90-day & 30-dayprescriptions both

    counted as oneprescription

    The Use of Medicines in the United States: Review of 2011Report by the IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics

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    Global Outlook

    What Will the Future

    Potentially Look Like?

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    Opportunities & Threats

    Opportunities

    Strengthening scientific base

    A lot more to learn about thehuman body

    Escalating demand for medicines

    Trade liberalization Wireless health

    Threats

    Poor scientific productivity

    Tighter regulation More difficult market conditions

    Stronger price controls

    Soaring healthcare costs

    Patent cliff

    Note: Figures for 2012 cover period up to 18 July 2012

    Pharmas Financial Penalties in US

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLChttp://www.pwc.com

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    Challenges: Patent Expiration

    Exposure & Impact - $127Bn

    U.S.: $103Bn (44%) of 2011

    Canada: 42% of spending

    will be exposed

    Other Developed markets23%

    Patent expiration impact

    - 13 of top 20 products

    - 7 of the top 10 current

    leading medicines such asLipitor, Plavix, AdvairDiskus, CrestorandNexium

    Brand Spending Shift to Generics

    Medicines Outlook Through 2016 IMS HealthSource: IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics, May 2012

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    2016 Global Spending Reach $1.2 Trillion

    From 2006 to 2016 drug spending

    Developed markets: 73% to 57%

    U.S.: 41% to 31%

    - Patent expiries & slower brandgrowth

    EU5: 19% to 13%

    - Slower economic growth

    - Aggressive cost containmentmeasures

    Pharmerging markets: 14% to 30%

    - Millions of people gain access tobasic medicines

    Japan: 10% flat

    - Biennial price cuts expected in2014 and 2016

    Medicines Outlook Through 2016 IMS HealthSource: IMS Market Prognosis, May 2012

    Spending by Geography

    *Pharmerging markets include China, Brazil, India, Russia, Mexico, Turkey, Poland, Venezuela,Argentina, Indonesia, South Africa, Thailand, Romania, Egypt, Ukraine, Pakistan and Vietnam.

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    Spending Growth Driven By Innovation

    Only anti-epileptics,contraceptives andantivirals (except HIVdrugs) grow fasterthan in the past 5

    years

    Specialty medicines

    experience continuedgrowth in the mid-term, driven by:

    Novel mechanisms

    Improved efficacy

    Relatively larger

    patient populationsleading to increaseduptake

    Medicines Outlook Through 2016 IMS HealthSource: IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics, May 2012

    Compounded Annual Growth rate (CAGR): business and investing specific term for thesmoothed annualized gain of an investment over a given time period

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    By 2020, Pharma Will be Making

    Much More Diverse Range of Products

    New product types

    More complex manufacturing & distribution processes

    Different supply chains for different product types

    Shorter product lifecycles

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLChttp://www.pwc.com/gx/en/pharma-life-sciences/pharma2020/vision-to-decision.jhtml

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    What is Pharma & Biotech Innovation?

    A new drug

    Researcher identifies scientific potential of a particular target and molecule

    Investor backs belief with $$$$$

    Company commits resources development and production of treatment

    Regulator approves label

    New innovative drug reaches the market, company commits promotionresources

    Healthcare payer, provider and patient, respectively decide on the new druginnovativeness:

    Healthcare payer by paying a premium price for it

    Provider by choosing it over other therapies

    Patient by taking it as instructed or even pressing for a prescription

    T t t T f d b N d

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    Treatments Transformed by New and

    Existing Mechanisms

    32-37 drugs expected to be

    launched per year over the nextfive years

    New mechanisms of action inAlzheimer's, autoimmune

    diseases and various cancer,have the potential to transformdisease treatment

    Not every therapy will becomeavailable or achieve its ultimate

    clinical aims

    Further developments in areas of

    research where some therapiesalready exist like:

    -

    Hepatitis C- Multiple sclerosis

    -

    Prostate cancer

    Have a potential to deliver better

    efficacy, safety or convenientadministration

    Medicines Outlook Through 2016 IMS HealthSource: IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics, May 2012

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    Patient Centric Drug Discovery &

    Development

    Tomorrows challenge to develop new medicines that can

    Prevent

    orCure currently incurable diseases

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    Challenges in Drug Discovery & Development

    R&D productivity has not improved drug approvals have not increased significantly,

    while development costs have escalated

    Linear: Drug R&D is conducted in a stepwise manner

    Slow: Taking a compound or molecule from early research to approved producttakes over 10 years

    Inflexible:Drug development process is also very rigid and highly regulated byFDA, EMEA and others

    Expensive:On average, companies spend well over US$1 billion to bring anapproved drug to market (a number that includes the cost of products that fail

    along the way)

    Siloed: R&D process is highly fragmented. Driven by the need to protect theirintellectual property, companies fail to learn from experiences and the mistakesof others

    Source: Beyond borders Global biotechnology Report 2012, Ernst & Young

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    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLCPharma 2020: Marketing the future: Which path will you take?

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    Value Chains

    Pharmaceutical and Biotech

    Healthcare Provider

    Healthcare Payer

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLCPharma 2020: Marketing the future: Which path will you take?

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    New Drug Development ParadigmInstead of a linear, slow, inflexible, expensive and siloed drug development paradigm

    Pharma need one that is iterative, fast, adaptive, cost efficient and open/networked

    HOLNet approach represents a vastly different and inclusive approach to R&D

    HOLISTIC: Boundaries between drug development, product commercialization andhealth care delivery are blurred; Share data and connect dots across the entire valuechain of companies

    OPEN: openness members pool their strengths and assets. Involve sharing anyresulting output e.g., creating open standards, making insights available to allmembers and often to nonmembers as well

    LEARNING: Learning rapidly, in real time, by connecting data from across theecosystem. Allows constituents to quickly adjust their approaches from clinical trials

    to standards of care saving time and money and potentially increasing success rates

    NETWORK: Radically reinventing R&D and unleashing the transformative potential ofbig data requires the participation of diverse players from across the ecosystem

    Source: Beyond borders Global biotechnology Report 2012, Ernst & Young

    C f V l Ch i

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    Convergence of Value Chain

    Single Circular Value Chain: The Patient

    Value Providers generatedepends on the revenuespayers raise and themedicines Pharma makes

    Value Pharma generatesdepends on getting access tothe patients whom providers

    serve and income from thepayers who fund thoseproviders

    Relationship betweendifferent players is often quiteantagonistic and, while they

    continue to clash, they arestruggling to retain theirrespective goals

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLChttp://www.pwc.com/gx/en/pharma-life-sciences/pharma2020/vision-to-decision.jhtml

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    Innovation!

    Disruptive innovation

    CURE a disease or PREVENT the disease and reduce mortality or morbidity

    Incremental innovation

    Reduce the cost of care

    Improve the quality of life

    Safer or easier to use

    Improve patient compliance

    Issue ME TOO drugs

    Pharma race to develop new products, which all have the same mode of action

    Maybe the third or fourth market entrant may be superior!

    Payers are not going to pay a premium unless

    Drug shows disruptive innovation

    Demonstrate clear superiority in comparative trials with pharmacoeconomicbenefits

    Breast Cancer

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    Breast CancerUnderstanding Being Transformed

    Every patient experience now generates rivers of data which, if pooled intelligently,can trace a detailed portrait of a patients health and, when aggregated with otherpatient data streams, can coalesce into deep reservoirs of knowledge about entiredisease states and patient populations. an industry marketer

    Source:PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC: From vision to decision, Pharma 2020www.pwc.com/pharma2020

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    Which Stakeholders Decide if a New

    Product is Truly Innovative?

    The Payer

    Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLCPharma 2020: Marketing the future: Which path will you take?

    B ildi C ll ti I t t C N t k

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    Building Collective Intent Care Networks

    to Change Health Care Delivery

    Source: Beyond borders Global biotechnology Report 2012, Ernst & Young

    Create disease networks leveraging the creativemodels that many health care systems are nowpiloting

    From accountable care organizations andpatient-centered medical homes in the US toprimary care trusts in the UK.

    Focusing on outcomes, patient-centricapproaches and preventive care, such programsalready provide some of the key building blocksof a HOLNet approach

    HOLNets could supplement such modelsby bringing a broader spectrum of constituents

    from across the ecosystem

    Potentially bring disease-specific focus and,create collective intent to cure or radicallyimprove outcomes within that disease

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    FDA Approves Computer Chip for Humans

    Implantable computer chip approved in 2004 for implantation in a patientsarm for medical purposes

    Can speed vital information about patients medical history to doctors andhospitals

    Inserted under the skin

    Silently and invisibly, dormant chip stores a code that releases patient-specific information when a scanner passes over it

    Chip contains no medical records, just codes that can be scanned, andrevealed, in a doctors office or hospital

    With the code health providers can unlock that portion of a secure databasethat holds that persons medical information, including allergies and priortreatment

    June 2007, the American Medical Association declared that "implantableradio frequency identification devices may help to identify patients

    Source: FDA approved VeriChip for medical applications 2004

    VeriChip

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    Thank you

    Williams S. Ettouati, Pharm. D.Director, Industrial Relations & DevelopmentHealth Sciences Associate Clinical Professor, N.S.