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    Knowledge, networks and nationsGlobal scientific collaboration in the 21st century

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    Cover photo: Strain in graphene opens up apseudomagnetic gap. Generated by the CondensedMatter Physics Group at the University ofManchester, this image is a representation of thework at Manchester lead by Professor Andre Geim

    FRS, a Royal Society Research Professor, andProfessor Konstantin Novoselov, a Royal SocietyUniversity Research Fellow. Professors Geim andNovoselov were awarded the Nobel Prize for Physicsin 2010 for their groundbreaking experimentsregarding graphene, a form of carbon, which is thethinnest and strongest material ever isolated. Both

    men have been cited since their award as global

    scientists; both were born and studied in Russia,spent time in the Netherlands, and are now basedhere in the UK, attracting funding and accoladesfrom UK, European, and international sources. Paco Guinea 2010.

    Knowledge, Networks andNations: Global scientificcollaboration in the 21st century

    RS Policy document 03/11

    Issued: March 2011 DES2096

    ISBN: 978-0-85403-890-9

    The Royal Society, 2011

    Requests to reproduce all or part of this

    document should be submitted to:

    The Royal Society

    69 Carlton House Terrace

    London SW1Y 5AG

    T +44 (0)20 7451 2500

    F +44 (0)20 7930 2170

    E [email protected]

    W royalsociety.org

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 3

    Executive summary .................................... 5

    Recommendations ...................................... 8

    The Advisory Group .................................. 10

    Conduct of the study .................................11

    Introduction: going global ........................ 14

    Part 1: Scientific landscape in 2011 ......... 151.1Trendsanddevelopmentsinglobalscience...16 1.1.1 Emergingscientificnations.........................19 1.1.2Assessingresearchqualityandimpact.....24 1.1.3 Globalscientists...........................................26 1.1.4 Braingain,drainandcirculation.................26 1.1.5 Disciplinaryshifts?........................................28 1.1.6 Readingtheresearch...................................29 1.1.7 Openingaccess............................................301.2Applyingscience................................................31 1.2.1BusinessR&D...............................................31 Is business R&D recession proof?...............32 Location of business R&D............................32 1.2.2Patentgrowth...............................................331.3Driversofresearch.............................................34 1.3.1Securingprosperityand stayingcompetitive......................................35

    1.3.2Addressingglobalchallenges.....................36 1.3.3Nationalscienceinaglobalage.................361.4Centresforscience............................................37 1.4.1Centresofresearchandinfrastructure......391.5Anewworldorder?........................................... 411.6Theworldbeyond2011.....................................42

    Part 2: International collaboration............452.1Patternsofcollaboration....................................46 2.1.1 Collaborationinanationalcontext.............47 2.1.2Whoiscollaboratingwithwhom?.............492.2Regionalcollaboration.......................................54 2.2.1SouthSouthcollaboration: agrowingtrend............................................542.3Whycollaborate?...............................................57

    2.3.1Seekingexcellence......................................57 2.3.2Thebenefitsofjointauthorship..................59 2.3.3Capacitybuildingthroughcollaboration....61 2.3.4Thegeopoliticalpotentialof scientificcollaboration.................................622.4Underlyingnetworks.........................................62 2.4.1Tappingintotheglobalnetworks ofscience......................................................632.5Enablingcollaborationtopromote excellentscience................................................64 2.5.1Technology....................................................64 2.5.2Fundingmechanisms..................................672.6Harnessingcollaboration...................................70

    Contents

    Designsofvasesandteapotsthat

    wouldbefoundinahouseofamerchantinCanton,fromDesignsof Chinese buildings,byWilliamChambers,1757.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

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    4 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Part 3: Global approachesto global problems .................................... 713.1Scientificsolutions.............................................733.2Globalresearchgovernance.............................74 3.2.1Challenge-ledresearchinitiatives...............75 3.2.2Integratingchallengesand maximisingresources..................................77 3.2.3Buildingcapacityandresilience.................78

    3.3Casestudies.......................................................79 3.3.1Theworldslargestwarningsystem: theIntergovernmentalPanelon ClimateChange(IPCC)................................80 3.3.2Centresofexcellenceinagriculture: theConsultativeGrouponInternational AgriculturalResearch(CGIAR)....................83 3.3.3Atransformativeimpactonglobalhealth: theBillandMelindaGatesFoundation......86 3.3.4Towardssustainableenergy: theInternationalTokamak ExperimentalReactor(ITER).......................90 3.3.5CapturingtheinitiativeonCO

    2:

    theglobaleffortstodeploycarbon captureandstorage(CCS)technology......933.4Co-ordinatedeffortstotackle globalproblems..................................................97

    Conclusions and recommendations:Cultivating the globalscientific landscape................................. 103

    Glossary of acronyms ............................. 108

    Acknowledgments ...................................110

    MapofChina,fromAn embassy fromthe East-India Company of the UnitedProvinces to the Grand Tartar Cham,byJohnNieuhoff,1669.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 5

    Scienceisaglobalenterprise.Todaythereareover7millionresearchersaroundtheworld,drawingonacombinedinternationalR&DspendofoverUS$1000billion(a45%increasesince2002),andreadingandpublishinginaround25,000separatescientificjournalsperyear.Theseresearcherscollaboratewitheachother,motivatedbywishingtoworkwiththeverybestpeopleandfacilitiesinthe

    world,andbycuriosity,seekingnewknowledgetoadvancetheirfieldortotacklespecificproblems.

    Knowledge, Networks and Nationsreviews,basedonavailabledata,thechangingpatternsofscience,andscientificcollaboration,inordertoprovideabasisforunderstandingsuchongoingchanges.Itaimstoidentifytheopportunitiesandbenefitsofinternationalcollaboration,toconsiderhowtheycanbestberealised,andtoinitiateadebateonhowinternationalscientificcollaborationcanbeharnessedtotackleglobalproblemsmoreeffectively.FromSingaporetoSouthAfrica,newresearchers

    andresearchcommunitiesarereshapingthelandscapeforscienceandinnovation,solongdominatedbytheUSA,JapanandEurope.Thisreportexploresthischanginggeographyofscienceandinnovation.InPart1,itmapsandinvestigateswhereandhowscienceisbeingcarriedoutaroundtheworldandthewaysinwhichthispictureis

    changing. Science in 2011 is increasingly global,occurringinmoreandmoreplacesthaneverbefore.Scienceisaddressingquestionsofglobalsignificance.Itissupportedbygovernments,business,philanthropistsandcharities.

    Thereareparticularcountrieswherethisincreasedactivityisespeciallystriking,withinvestmentandscientificproductivityoutstrippinggeneraltrendsofgrowth.TheriseofChinahasbeenespeciallynotable,overtakingJapanandEuropeintermsofitspublicationoutputinrecentyears.BeyondChina,rapiddevelopmentshavealsotakenplaceinIndia, Brazilandnew emergent scientific

    nationsintheMiddleEast,South-EastAsiaandNorthAfrica,aswellasastrengtheningofthesmallerEuropeannations.

    However,the traditional scientificsuperpowers still lead the field.TheUSA,WesternEuropeandJapanallinvestheavilyinresearchandreceiveasubstantialreturnintermsofperformance,withlargenumbersofresearcharticles,thelionsshareofcitationsonthosearticles,andsuccessfultranslation,asseenthroughtheratesofpatentregistration.

    Thecontinuedstrengthofthetraditionalcentresofscientificexcellenceandtheemergenceofnewplayersandleaderspointtowardsanincreasinglymultipolar scientific world,inwhichthedistributionofscientificactivityisconcentratedinanumberofwidelydispersedhubs.

    Beyond these hubs, science is alsoflourishing.Therecognitionoftherole

    thatsciencecanplayindrivingeconomicdevelopment,andinaddressinglocalandglobalissuesofsustainability,hasledtoincreasedresearchactivityandtheapplicationofscientificmethodandresultswithinlessdevelopedcountries.

    Executive summary

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    6 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Part2revealstheshiftingpatternsofinternationalcollaboration.Internationalscienceislargelyconductedthroughbottom-up,informalconnections,asscientistsbecomemoremobileandaslargeandoftencomplexdataaresharedattheclickofabutton.Buttop-down,solutions-orientedinitiativesarealsohelpingtoshapetheresearchlandscape,asscientistsorganisethemselves,orarebeing

    organised,totacklesharedconcerns. The scientific world is becoming increasinglyinterconnected,with internationalcollaboration on the rise.Todayover35%ofarticlespublishedininternationaljournalsareinternationallycollaborative,upfrom25%15yearsago.

    Collaboration is growing for a variety ofreasons.Developmentsincommunicationtechnologiesandcheapertravelmakeiteasierthaneverbeforeforresearcherstoworktogether;thescaleofresearchquestions,andtheequipmentrequiredtostudydemandsthatresearchersaremobileandresponsive.Collaborationenhances the qualityofscientificresearch,improves the efficiencyand effectivenessofthatresearch,andisincreasingly necessary,asthescaleofbothbudgetsandresearchchallengesgrow.

    However,the primary driver of mostcollaboration is the scientists themselves.Indevelopingtheirresearchandfindinganswers,scientistsareseekingtoworkwiththebestpeople,institutionsandequipmentwhichcomplementtheirresearch,wherevertheymaybe.

    Theconnectionsofpeople,throughformalandinformalchannels,diasporacommunities,virtualglobalnetworksandprofessionalcommunitiesofsharedinterestsareimportantdriversofinternationalcollaboration.These networksspan the globe. Motivated by the bottom-up

    exchange of scientific insight, knowledge

    and skills, they are changing the focus of

    science from the national to the global level.Yetlittleisunderstoodaboutthedynamicsofnetworkingandthemobilityofscientists,howtheseaffectglobalscienceandhowbesttoharnessthesenetworkstocatalyseinternationalcollaboration.

    Collaboration brings significant benefits,bothmeasurable(suchasincreasedcitationimpactandaccesstonewmarkets),andlesseasilyquantifiableoutputs,suchasbroadeningresearchhorizons.Thefacilitationofcollaboration,therefore,hasapositiveimpactnotonlyonthescienceconducted,butonthebroaderobjectivesforanysciencesystem(bethatenhancingdomesticprosperityoraddressingspecificchallenges).

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 7

    Part3ofthisreportexplorestheroleofinternationalscientificcollaborationinaddressingsomeofthemostpressingglobalchallengesofourtime.Thereportconcentratesonfivecasestudies,andconsidersthestrengthsandshortcomingsofexistingmechanismswhichbringscientificcommunitiestogethertoaddressglobalchallenges.IPCC, CGIAR, the Gates Foundation, ITER and

    efforts to deploy carbon capture and storagetechnologydemonstratehowscienceisalreadybeingusedtorespondtothesechallenges,andprovidemodelsandlessonsforhowitmightbebetterdeployedinthefuture. Theglobalscientificcommunityisincreasinglychargedwithordrivenbytheneedtofindsolutionstoarangeofissuesthatthreatensustainability.These global challenges havereceived much attention in recent years, and

    are now a key component of national and

    multinational science strategies and many

    funding mechanisms. Global challenges are interdependent and

    interrelated:climatechange,water,foodandenergysecurity,populationchange,andlossofbiodiversityareallinterconnected.Thedynamicbetweentheseissuesiscomplex,yetmanyglobalassessmentandresearchprogrammes

    aremanagedseparately,oftenreflectingalackofco-ordinationinthepolicysphere.Governments,civilsocietyandtheprivatesectorneedtotakeabroaderperspectiveonglobalchallengesinordertoappreciatehowtheyareinterrelated.

    Globalchallengesarebeingaddressedviaanumberofdifferentorganisationalmechanisms:throughintergovernmentalorinternationalbodies,throughnationalsystems,andbyprivateindividualsandcorporations.Thesemechanismsoftendeploynovelandinnovativeformsofpartnership,someofwhichworkwell,otherslessso.Valuable lessons can be drawn from

    existing models in designing, participatingin and benefiting from global challenge

    research. Science is essential for addressing global

    challenges, but it cannot do so in isolation.Awiderangeofapproacheswillberequired,includingtheappropriateuseoffinancialincentives,incorporatingnon-traditionalformsofknowledge,andworkingwiththesocialsciencesandwiderdisciplines.Scienceiscrucialbutitisunlikelytoproducealltheanswersbyitself:thescienceinfrastructureworksbestwhenitissupportedby,andenables,othersystems.

    All countries have a role in the global effortto tackle these challenges,bothindefiningandprioritisingthemandinusingglobalresearchoutputtoinformlocal,nationalandregionalresponses.Thisneedisincreasinglybeingacknowledgedforinclusivityandcapacitybuilding

    acrossregionsandcontinents,inhelpingtomeet(national)needs,andindevelopingaglobalinfrastructurethatisresilienttonewchallenges.

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    8 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Knowledge, Networks and Nations

    concludes with a set of recommendations

    to further strengthen global science.Thisreportcallsformorecreative,flexibleandbetter-resourcedmechanismstoco-ordinateresearchacrossinternationalnetworksandtoensurethatscientistsandsciencecanfulfiltheirpotential.Italsocallsformorecomprehensiveandinclusiveways

    ofmeasuringandevaluatingthesciencewhichisdeliveredandappliedinallitsformsaroundtheworld.Finally,thereporthighlightstheimportanceofscienceandthewiderevidencebaseinunderpinningrobustpolicymaking,especiallyaroundsharedglobalchallenges.Understandingglobalsciencesystems,their

    mechanismsandmotivations,isessentialifwearetoharnesstheverybestsciencetoaddressglobalchallengesandtosecurethefutureofourspeciesandourplanet.

    Recommendations1. Support for international science should be

    maintained and strengthened

    Evenindifficulteconomictimes,nationalgovernments need to maintain investment

    in their science basetosecureeconomicprosperity,tapintonewsourcesofinnovationand

    growth,andsustainvitalconnectionsacrosstheglobalresearchlandscape.Sustainedinvestmentbuildsanationscapacitytoassimilateexcellentscience,whereveritmayhavebeenconducted,forthatcountrysbenefit.

    International activities and collaborationshould be embedded in national science

    and innovation strategiessothatthedomesticsciencebaseisbestplacedtobenefitfromthe

    intellectualandfinancialleverageofinternationalpartnerships.

    Commitments to multinational researchefforts and infrastructures should not be

    seen as easy targets for cuts during a period

    of economic turbulence.Tocutsubscriptionstojointresearchendeavours,withoutduediligenceandassessment,isafalseeconomy.Bydisengagingfromtheseefforts,countriesruntheriskofisolatingtheirnationalscienceandlosing

    relevance,qualityandimpact.

    2. Internationally collaborative science should be

    encouraged, supported and facilitated

    Research funders should provide greatersupport for international research

    collaborationthroughresearchandmobilitygrants,andothermechanismsthatsupportresearchnetworks.

    National border agencies should minimisebarriers to the flow of talented people,ensuringthatmigrationandvisaregulationsarenottoobureaucratic,anddonotimpedeaccessforresearcherstothebestscienceandresearchacrosstheworld.

    National research policies should be flexibleand adaptiveinordertoensurethatinternationalcollaborationbetweentalentedscientistsisnotstifledbybureaucracy.

    3. National and international strategies for

    science are required to address global

    challenges

    Recognisingtheinterconnectednessofglobalchallenges,funders of global challengeprogrammes should devise ways to better

    co-ordinate their efforts, share good practice,

    minimise duplication and maximise impact.

    Wherepossible,theseshoulddrawonexistinginfrastructureorsharedtechnology.

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 9

    National research funding should beadaptive and responsive to global challenges,supportingtheinterdisciplinaryandcollaborativenatureofthesciencerequiredtoaddresstheseissues.

    In devising responses to global challenges,governments worldwide need to rely on

    robust evidence-based policy making,and

    bringexcellentscientistsintothepolicyadvisoryprocess.

    4. International capacity building is crucial to

    ensure that the impacts of scientific research

    are shared globally

    Researchers and funders should commit tobuilding scientific capacity in less developed

    countriestohelpimprovetheirabilitytoconduct,access,verifyandusethebestscience,andtoensurethattheycancontributetoglobalscientificdebatesanddeveloplocalsolutionstoglobalproblems.

    Scientific capacity building must involvefinancial support for authors in developing

    countries to publish in open access journals.Openaccesspublishinghasmadeawealthofscientificliteratureavailabletothedevelopingworld,butconverselyhasmadeitharderfor

    theirscientiststopublishundertheauthorpaysmodel.

    National academies, learned societies andother similar institutions should actively

    promote public and wider stakeholder

    dialogue to help identify, shape and

    respond to global challenges and their local

    manifestations.

    5. Better indicators are required in order to

    properly evaluate global science

    UNESCO (and other agencies such as theOECD) should investigate new ways in which

    trends in global science can be captured,

    quantified and benchmarked,inordertohelpimprovetheaccuracyofassessmentsofthequality,useandwiderimpactofscience,

    aswellastogaugethevitalityoftheresearchenvironment. There is a specific lack of data on the flow

    and migration of talented scientists and

    their diaspora networks.UNESCO,OECDandothersshouldinvestigatewaysofcapturingthisinformationasapriority,whichwouldenablepolicymakerstobetterunderstand,nurtureandoverseeglobalscienceforthebenefitofsocietyasawhole.

    Instructivememoireonthenewchronologicaltableofthehistory

    ofChina,bytheViceroyofCanton,1724.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

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    10 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Advisory GroupProfessorSirChrisLlewellynSmithFRS(Chair),DirectorofEnergyResearch,UniversityofOxfordProfessorSirLeszekBorysiewiczKBEFRS,ViceChancellor,UniversityofCambridgeProfessorLornaCasseltonFRS,ForeignSecretaryandVicePresident,TheRoyalSocietyProfessorSirGordonConwayKCMGDLFRSFRGS,

    ProfessorofInternationalDevelopment,ImperialCollegeLondonProfessorMohamedHassan,Co-Chair,InterAcademyPanel(IAP);ExecutiveDirectoroftheAcademyofSciencesfortheDevelopingWorld(TWAS)(untilMarch2011)ProfessorMelissaLeach,Director,STEPSCentre,InstituteofDevelopmentStudies,UniversityofSussexProfessorAngelaMcLeanFRS,AllSoulsSeniorResearchFellow,DepartmentofZoology,UniversityofOxfordProfessorGoverdhanMehtaFRS,CSIRBhatnagarFellowandHonoraryProfessor,DepartmentofOrganicChemistry,IndianInstituteofScienceProfessorJohnMitchellOBEFRS,DirectorofClimateScience,MetOfficeDrColinOsborne,RoyalSocietyUniversityResearchFellow,DepartmentofAnimalandPlantSciences,

    UniversityofSheffieldProfessorMartynPoliakoffCBEFRS,ResearchProfessorinChemistry,TheUniversityofNottinghamDrPhilRufflesCBEFREngFRS,FormerDirector,EngineeringandTechnology,RollsRoyceplcProfessorCarolineWagner,SchoolofInternationalAffairs,PennsylvaniaStateUniversity

    Royal Society Science Policy CentreLukeClarke,PolicyAdviserLauraDawson,SeniorPolicyAdviserNatalieDay,SeniorPolicyAdviserDrTraceyElliott,HeadofInternationalHarrietHarden-Davies,InternTonyMcBride,HeadofStrategyJamesMeadway,SeniorPolicyAdviser

    SarahMee,PolicyAdviserIanThornton,PolicyAdviserDrJamesWilsdon,DirectorofSciencePolicyRapelaZaman,SeniorPolicyAdviser

    Review PanelTheRoyalSocietygratefullyacknowledgesthecontributionofthereviewers.TheReviewPanelwasnotaskedtoendorsetheconclusionsorrecommendationsofthereport,nordidtheyseethefinaldraftofthereportbeforeitsrelease.

    ProfessorJohnPethicaFRS(Chair),PhysicalSecretary,RoyalSocietyProfessorBruceAlbertsForMemRS,DepartmentofBiochemistryandBiophysics,UniversityofCaliforniaSanFranciscoProfessorJuanAsenjo,President,ChileanAcademyofSciences

    DrMatthewFreemanFRS,Head,DivisionofCellBiology,MRCLaboratoryofMolecularBiologyProfessorSirBrianHeapCBEFRS,FormerDirector,InstituteofAnimalPhysiologyandGeneticsResearchProfessorGeoffreyOldhamCBE,HonoraryProfessor,SPRUScienceandTechnologyPolicyResearch,UniversityofSussex

    The Advisory Group

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 11

    ThestudyleadingtothisreportwasoverseenbyanAdvisoryGroupofFellowsoftheRoyalSocietyandotherdistinguishedexperts,supportedbythestaffoftheRoyalSocietySciencePolicyCentre.Elsevierhasprovidedfinancialsupport,andfullaccesstotheirpublicationdatabasesandanalyticalservicesthroughoutthestudy.Thedraftingofthereport,itsconclusionsandrecommendationsarethoseofthe

    RoyalSocietyalone.Knowledge, Networks and Nations: Global scientificcollaboration in the 21st centuryhasbeenapprovedbytheCounciloftheRoyalSociety.

    Advisory Group and terms of referenceTheRoyalSocietyestablishedanAdvisoryGroupmadeupofinternationallyrenownedscientistsandsciencepolicyexpertsfromaroundtheworld,chairedbySirChrisLlewellynSmithFRS.Theaimofthestudy,asoutlinedintheTermsofReference,wastoprovideananalysisoftheglobalscientificlandscapein2011foraglobalaudienceofscientists,governments,business,internationalorganisationsandNGOs.Itsspecificgoalswereto: Provideanoverviewofhow,where,whyandbywhomscientificresearchisbeingcarriedoutacrosstheworld,andthewaysinwhichthispictureischanging.

    CompilebothquantitativeandqualitativeevidencetoofferanoverviewofthesedevelopmentsthroughtheuseofElseviersandotherdatabasessuchasUNESCOandOECD,andbymakinguseoftheSocietysextensiveinternationalnetworks,includingitsglobalFellowshipofover1,400outstandingindividualsfromallareasofscience,mathematicsandengineering.

    Identifyandassessillustrativeexamplesofopportunitiesandchallengesthesechangespresentforpolicymakers,scientists,intergovernmentalagenciesandbusiness.

    Examineanddiscusshowinternationalscientificcollaborationcanbebetterutilisedtoaddressglobalproblemssuchasclimatechange,foodandwatersecurity,andinfectiousdiseases.

    Drawconclusionsaboutthecollaborativenatureofresearchinthe21stcentury,andconsiderthepotentialimplicationsforpolicymakers.

    ThestudywasformallylaunchedinJanuary2010.

    Collection of evidenceEvidencegatheringfortheprojecttookplaceinfiveways: aformalprocess,throughadetailedCallforEvidence;

    aspecialdiscussionsessionformembersoftheInterAcademyPanel,heldtocoincidewithitsGeneralAssemblyattheRoyalSocietyinJanuary2010;

    face-to-faceandtelephoneinterviewswithkeyfiguresininternationalscienceandsciencepolicyfromaroundtheworld;

    extensivedeskresearch;

    dataanalysis,includingworkwithElsevier.

    Conduct of the study

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    12 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Call for evidenceTheCallforEvidencewassentouton27April2010toFellowsoftheRoyalSociety,RoyalSocietyResearchFellowsandtheworldsscienceacademies,throughtheInterAcademyPanel(IAP),theAcademyofSciencesfortheDevelopingWorld(TWAS),andtheUKGovernmentsScienceandInnovationNetwork(SIN).

    Wereceived80responsesfromindividuals,academies,researchinstitutions,governmentdepartmentsandotherorganisationsfromaroundtheworld.Thesearelistedattheendofthereport.

    Elsevier methodologyUnlessotherwiseindicated,allofthedatarelatingtopublicationoutputandimpactinthisreporthavebeenprovidedbyElsevier.Wewouldliketoacknowledgetheanalysisandinsightsprovidedby

    thefollowingindividuals: DrAndrewPlume,AssociateDirector,Scientometrics&MarketAnalysisResearch&AcademicRelations

    MayurAmin,SeniorVicePresidentResearch&AcademicRelations

    DrHenkMoed,SeniorScientificAdvisorAcademic&GovernmentMarkets

    NielsWeertman,VicePresident,SciVal

    Academic&GovernmentMarketsPublicationdataarederivedfromScopus,the

    worldslargestabstractandcitationdatabaseofpeer-reviewedliterature.Scopuscontainsover41millionrecordsacross18,000journalsandcoversregionalaswellasinternationalliterature.Publicationoutputsinthisreportaredefinedasarticles,reviewsandconferencepaperspublishedinthesejournals.Whereweconsideroveralltotalsofpublications,

    theseincludeoutputsinalldisciplines.

    Defining global scienceTheRoyalSocietydefinesscienceasnaturalknowledge.Inpractice,thisincludesthenaturalsciences,mathematicsandengineering.Forthepurposesofthisreport,wherewediscussoveralltotalsofpublications,theseincludesocialsciences,theartsandhumanities(inpractice,theserepresentaverysmallproportionofpublicationoutput8.9%);

    thiscoverageisusedtomatchtheinputstatistics,whichallregisterresearchandresearchers,whicharedisciplineneutral.However,ourexamples,casestudiesandobservationsaredrawnfromthescientificcommunity.Throughoutthisreport,weuseanumber

    ofsourcestocharacteriseandquantifywhatishappeninggloballyinscience.Inthisweareconstrained,tocertainextents,bytheavailabledata.Inordertoachievethewidestinternationalcoverage,

    wehavemadeuseofUNESCOdataonthenumbersofresearchers,1andtheexpenditureonresearchanddevelopmentasindicatorsofexpenditureandmanpowerinscience(althoughalargeproportionofresearchanddevelopmentisspentonDratherthanRand,assuch,reachesbeyondstrictsciencespending).

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    Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century 13

    ThesestatisticsareavailablethroughtheUNESCOInstituteofStatistics,andhavebeencomprehensivelypresentedandanalysedintherecentUNESCOScienceReport,publishedinNovember2010.Publicationandpatentdataareincompleteproxies

    forscientificoutputandscientifictranslation,thefirstbeingpredominantlytheoutputofacademicscience,andtheotherrelatingtotheexploitationof

    ideasandconceptsratherthannecessarilybeingspecificallyscientific.However,theyarethetwomainquantifiable,globallycollated,andcommonlyusedsourcesofdataontheproductionandconsumptionofscience.Byusingthesedata,wearereflectingthecurrenttermsofreferencefordiscussionsofglobalscience.Itiswidelyacceptedthattheyareinadequatetofullyexploretherichnessof21stcenturyscience.Thepaucityofrichersourcesofdataoffersachallengetonational,multilateralandglobal

    bodiestoexplorewaysofbettermeasuringtheinputs,outputsandimpactsoftheglobalscientificlandscape.

    1 TheOECDdefinesresearchersasprofessionalsengagedintheconceptionorcreationofnewknowledge,products,processes,methodsandsystemsandalsointhemanagementoftheprojectsconcerned.SeeOECD(2002).Frascati manual: proposed standard

    practice for surveys on researchand experimental development.OrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment:Paris,France.

    PagefromanotebookonscientificexpeditionstoMatoGrosso,Brazil,1967to1969,byIainBishop.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

    http://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDFhttp://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9202081E.PDF
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    14 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Introduction: going globalWhenHenryOldenbergfoundedtheworldsfirstscientificpublicationin1665,2itdrewonemergingideasfromGermany,Italy,Hungary,FranceandeventheBermudas.Itenjoyedawideinternationalreadership.Oldenburg,andtheotherfoundingfellowsoftheRoyalSociety,dedicatedthisfirsteditionofPhilosophicalTransactionstosharingtheHappyinventionsofobligingMenallovertheworld,

    totheGeneralBenefitofMankind.ButOldenbergcouldneverhaveimaginedhowmanyobligingmenandwomenwouldbecontributingtoscientificknowledgeacrosstheworldin2011.Sciencehastransformedourlivesinwayswhichwouldhavebeeninconceivablein1665.Justhowitwillevolveoverthecomingcenturyisequallyinconceivable.Yetonethingseemscertain:scienceisinherentlyinternationalandwillonlybecomemoreso.AsLouisPasteuronceputit,Knowledgebelongs

    tohumanity,andthusscienceknowsnocountryandisthetorchthatilluminatestheworld.Largelyfundedatanationallevelandconductedprimarilyinnationalinstitutions,scienceisstillmoredeterminedbyplacethanPasteursdeclarationwouldsuggest.Andyet,itisaworldwideendeavour.In2008,218countriesproducedover1.5millionresearchpapers,fromTuvalusonepaper,totheUKs98,000,Chinas163,000,andtheUSAs320,000.3In2007,Sweden

    spentnearly3.7%ofitsgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)onresearchanddevelopment(R&D),Canadaspent2%,emergingIndiaspent0.8%,andoilrichSaudiArabia0.04%.4Researchinvestmentandoutputarefarfromevenlyspreadacrosstheworld,

    buttherearefewplaceswhicharenotinsomewaypartofthescientificlandscape.Scienceisconductedinmoreplacesthanever

    before,butitisalsomoreinterlinked.Overone-thirdofresearchpapersarethedirectresultofinternationalcollaboration,withauthorsaddressesfrommorethanonecountry.5Thenumberofinternationallyco-authoredpapershasmorethandoubledsince

    1990.

    6

    Researchersareincreasinglymobile,travellinglongdistancestoworkwiththebestcolleaguesintheirfield,toaccessresourcesandshareideasandfacilities.Andtheyarebeingsupportedinternationallythroughcross-borderfundingfrominternationalorganisations(charities,philanthropicfundingandbusiness),multilateralinitiativesbetweengovernmentsandresearchcouncils,multinationalfundingbodiesandsharedscientificinfrastructure.Thescientificcommunityisinfluencedby

    globalisation,andisalsodrivenbyitsowndynamics.Scientistshavebeenbothmotivatedandenabledtoworkacrossdisciplinaryandinternationalbordersbytechnologicaladvancesandshiftsingeopolitics.Butsciencehasalwayspushedboundaries,betheytechnologicalornationalandpolitical.Globalscienceisincreasing,butitisalsonothingnew.ThefoundingmembersoftheRoyalSociety350yearsagolookedbeyondnationalborderstoextendthefrontiersof

    naturalknowledge.Todaysscientificpioneerswillneedtoknowhowtonavigatethechangingglobalscientificlandscapeiftheyaretokeepextendingthosefrontiers.Thisreportisintendedtohelpthemunderstandthedynamicsofthiscomplexandfast-evolvingphenomenon.

    2 On6March1665,thefirstissueofPhilosophicalTransactionswas

    publishedundertheeditorshipofHenryOldenburg,whowasalsotheSecretaryoftheSociety.

    3 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    4 DatafromtheUNESCOInstitute

    forStatisticsDataCentre,Montral,Canada.

    5 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    6 LeydesdorffL&WagnerC(2005).Mapping global science using

    international co-authorships: acomparison of 1990 and 2000.InternationalJournalofTechnologyandGlobalization3.Foradiscussionofhowinternational

    collaborationhasgrownoverallandattheregionallevel,see

    WagnerC&LeydesdorffL(2005).Network structure, self-organizationand the growth of internationalcollaboration in science.ResearchPolicy34,10,16081618.

    http://rstl.royalsocietypublishing.org/http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/cwagner/collabnets.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://www.leydesdorff.net/sciencenets/mapping.pdfhttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://rstl.royalsocietypublishing.org/
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    AnewmanifestationofthecelebratedMollowtriplet,oneofthefundamentalspectralshapesoflight-matterinteraction,fromDrElenadelValle,RoyalSocietyNewtonInternationalFellow,SchoolofPhysicsandAstronomy,UniversityofSouthampton.ThetripletasfoundbyMollowemergesinthelightemittedbyanatomwhenexcitedbyalaser.Thedepictedtripletisthecounterpartemissionfromanatomwhenexcitedincoherentlyinsideacavity.DrElenadelValle,2010.

    PART 1

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    Scienceisgrowingglobally.Sincethebeginningofthe21stcentury,theglobalspendonresearchanddevelopmenthasnearlydoubled,publicationshavegrownbyathird,andthenumberofresearcherscontinuestorise(seeTable1.1).NorthAmerica,Japan,EuropeandAustralasiahaveallwitnessedgrowth,witheachincreasingspendingbyaroundone-thirdbetween2002and2007.Inthesameperiod,developingcountries,7includingtheemergingeconomiesofChina,IndiaandBrazil,morethandoubledtheirexpenditureonR&D,increasingtheircontributiontoworldR&Dspendingby7percentagepointsfrom17%to24%.8

    Table1.1.Global science by numbers.9

    Spend on researchand development

    Numbers ofresearchers

    Number ofpublications

    US$ %GDP

    2007 1145.7bn 1.7 7.1m 1.58m

    2002 790.3bn 1.7 5.7m 1.09m

    Thearchitectureofworldscienceisalsochanging,withtheexpansionofglobalnetworks.Theseinvolvenetworksofindividuals,mostlyself-organisedbutsometimesorchestrated(asintheHumanGenomeProject).Somenetworksarebasedoncollaborationsatinternationalorganisations(suchasCERN);others

    arefundedinternationally,bymultinationalbusinesses(whichfundtheirownlaboratoriesandworkinuniversitiesacrosstheglobe),bymajorfoundations(suchasGates),orbycross-nationalstructuressuchastheEU.Theseglobalnetworksincreasinglyexertasignificantinfluenceontheconductofscienceacrosstheworld.

    1.1 Trends and developments in globalscienceTheUSAleadstheworldinresearch,producing20%oftheworldsauthorshipofresearchpapers,10dominatingworlduniversityleaguetables,11andinvestingnearlyUS$400billionperyearinpublicandprivateresearchanddevelopment.12TheUK,Japan,GermanyandFranceeachalsocommandstrongpositionsinthegloballeaguetables,producinghighqualitypublicationsandattractingresearcherstotheirworldclassuniversitiesandresearchinstitutes.Thesefivecountriesaloneareresponsiblefor59%ofallspendingonscienceglobally.13

    However,thesecountriesdonotcompletelydominateglobalscience.Between1996and2008theUSAlostone-fifthofitsshareoftheworldsarticleauthorship,Japanlost22%andRussia24%.TheUK,GermanyandFrancealsofellbackinrelative

    terms.14Figure1.1showshowthenumberofarticleshasgrownandhowtheirdistributionacrosstheworldhaschangedinrecentyears,betweentheperiods1999to2003(Figure1.1a)and2004to2008(Figure1.1b).Thetraditionalscientificleadershavegradually

    losttheirshareofpublishedarticles.Meanwhile,Chinahasincreaseditspublicationstotheextentthatitisnowthesecondhighestproducerofresearch

    outputintheworld.IndiahasreplacedtheRussianFederationinthetopten,climbingfrom13thin1996totenthbetween2004and2008.FurtherdownthelistSouthKorea,Brazil,Turkey,SouthEastAsiannationssuchasSingapore,Thailand,andMalaysia,andEuropeannationssuchasAustria,GreeceandPortugalhaveallimprovedtheirstandingsintheglobalscientificleaguetables.15

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    Key

    United States

    Japan

    United Kingdom

    Germany

    France

    China

    Italy

    Canada

    Russian Federation

    India

    Spain

    Other

    Changesintherankingofnationswithintheleaguetablesareshiftingatthesametimeastotaloutputisincreasing.Forexample,Italymaintainedasteadyshareofpublicationsbetween1996and2008(3.5%ofworldproductioninbothyears,fluctuatingbetween3%and4%overthewholeperiod);butinordertoholdthispositionitincreaseditsnumberofarticlesby32%.Allovertheworld,somecountriesarerunningtostandstill16whileothersarebreakingintoasprint.

    Figure1.1. Proportion of global publicationauthorship by country17The top ten producing countries in each periodare shown. Fig a. 1999-2003. Fig b. 2004-2008

    26%

    8%

    7%

    7%5%4%

    4%3%

    3%

    3%

    30%

    21%

    6%

    7%

    6%4%

    10%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    34%

    Fig a Fig b

    7 BasedonthestandardUnitedNationsStatisticsDivisionclassification(compositionofmacrogeographical(continental)regions,geographicalsub-regions,andselectedeconomicandothergroupings).

    8 UNESCO(2010).UNESCO sciencereport 2010.DatafromUNESCOInstituteforStatistics,publishedinUNESCOScienceReport2010(p2,Table1).UNESCOPublishing:Paris,France.DataareprovidedinUS$peggedatcurrentprices(2007pricesin2007,2002pricesin2002)andreflectpurchasingpowerparity.

    9 Spendonresearchanddevelopment:datafromUNESCOInstituteforStatistics,publishedinUNESCOScienceReport2010(p2,Table1).Numberofresearchers:

    datafromUNESCOInstituteforStatisticsDataCentre,UNESCOInstituteforStatistics:Montral,Canada.Numberofpublications:datafromElseviersScopus.

    10 DatafromElseviersScopus.Ifanauthoronapapergivesacountryashisorheraddress,thatpaperisassignedtothatcountry.SoapaperwhichhasbeenwrittenbyauthorsintheUK,SpainandGermanywouldbeassignedasasinglepaperineachcountry(that

    paperthereforebeingaccountedforthreetimesasanationalpaper).Figure1.1showsthetotalnumberofindividualpaperswithoutanymultiplecounting.Thetotalnumberofnationalpapers(ie.withpaperscountedmultipletimesifthereareauthorsbasedinmorethanonecountry)in2007was1,580,501;in2002thiswas1,093,564.TheUSAproduced316,317nationalpapersin2008(221,707withtheUSAasthesoleauthors,and94,610incollaborationinternationally);this

    represents19.97%ofallnationalpapersglobally.

    11 TheQSrankingshavesixUSuniversitiesinthetop10

    (CambridgeintheUKisrankedfirst,andtheotherthreearealsointheUK).IntheTimesHigherEducationWorldUniversityRankingstheUSAholdsthetopfivepositions,sevenofthetop10placesand27ofthetop50(theremainingthreeinthetop

    tenareintheUK).IntheARWURankingsthefourtoppositionsand17ofthetop20areUSuniversities(theremainingthreeinthetop20aretheUniversitiesofCambridge,OxfordandTokyo).Source:AcademicRankingofWorldUniversities(2010)availableonlineathttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsp;QSTopUniversityRankings(2010)athttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/home;TimesHigherEducationWorldUniversity

    Rankings(2010)at http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.html,accessed29September2010.

    12 NationalScienceBoard(2010).Science and engineering indicators2010.NationalScienceFoundation:Arlington,VA,USA.

    13 DatafromUNESCOInstituteforStatistics,publishedinUNESCOScienceReport2010(p2,Table1).

    14 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    15 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    16 RoyalSociety(2010).The scienticcentury: securing our futureprosperity.RoyalSociety:London,UK.

    17 DatafromElseviersScopus.Thesechartsshowthetop10countriesbynumberofpublications,withallothercountriesincludedintheothersegment.Thepiechartsarescaledtorepresenttheincreasedvolumeofpublicationsinthe

    twotimeperiods.In19992003therewere5,493,483publicationsglobally,andin20042008therewere7,330,334.

    http://www.unesco.org/science/psd/publications/science_report2010.shtmlhttp://www.unesco.org/science/psd/publications/science_report2010.shtmlhttp://www.unesco.org/science/psd/publications/science_report2010.shtmlhttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsphttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsphttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsphttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind10/start.htmhttp://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind10/start.htmhttp://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://royalsociety.org/the-scientific-century/http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind10/start.htmhttp://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind10/start.htmhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/world-university-rankings/index.htmlhttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/homehttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsphttp://www.arwu.org/ARWU2010.jsphttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://www.unesco.org/science/psd/publications/science_report2010.shtmlhttp://www.unesco.org/science/psd/publications/science_report2010.shtml
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    18 Knowledge, networks and nations: Global scientific collaboration in the 21st century

    Box1.1.A note on the dataExpenditureonresearchanddevelopment(R&D)isusedthroughoutthisreportasaproxyforspendingonscience.Grossexpenditureonresearchanddevelopment(GERD),ascollatedbytheOECDandUNESCO,andusedinthisreport,includesinvestmentbygovernmentandbusinessenterprise,fundingfromoverseassources,andothersources,whichcanincludefundingbyprivatefoundationsandcharities.Inareasofthereportwedistinguishbetweentheproportionofthisgrossexpenditurespentbybusinessenterprise(BERD),andthatspentbygovernment(GOVERD).Thisisacommonlyused,yetlargelyunsatisfactoryproxyforscience(and/orresearch)spending.Alargeproportionofresearchand

    developmentisspentonDratherthanR(withthelargestproportionspentonproductdevelopment).Assuch,thisfiguregoesbeyondtheactualamountofmoneydedicatedtofundingresearch,

    inwhicheversector,butitisassumedthatthishassomerelationshiptotheupstreaminvestmentinsciencethatprecedesit.Unlessotherwisestated,wherechangesin

    expenditureovertimearediscussedinthereport,thefiguresusedarebasedoncurrentUS$prices(2004dollarsin2004,2008dollarsin2008)andpurchasingpowerparity,18ascalculatedbyeithertheOECDorUNESCO.Whenwerefertopapersinthereport,this

    referstopeer-reviewedarticleswhichhaveappearedininternationaljournals.Thesedatahavebeendrawn,unlessotherwisenoted,fromElseviersScopusdatabase.19Wherewediscussoveralltotalsofpublications,theseincludesocialsciences,theartsandhumanities(inpractice,theserepresentaverysmallproportionof

    publicationoutput8.9%);thiscoverageisusedsoastomatchtheinputstatistics,whichallregisterresearchandresearchers,whicharedisciplineneutral.

    Article:CroonianLecture:Ontheanatomicalstuctureoftheeye,byEverardHome,drawingsbyFranzBauer.PTvol112,1822,pp76-85.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

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    1.1.1EmergingscientificnationsChinasriseuptherankingshasbeenespeciallystriking.ChinahasheavilyincreaseditsinvestmentinR&D,withspendinggrowingby20%peryearsince1999toreachoverUS$100billionayeartoday(or1.44%ofGDPin2007),20inpursuitofitsgoalofspending2.5%ofGDPonR&Din2020.21Chinaisalsoturningouthugenumbersofscienceandengineeringgraduates,with1.5millionleavingitsuniversitiesin2006.22

    China,India,SouthKoreaandBrazilareoftencitedasrisingpowersinscience.23Indiaproducesroughly2.5millionscienceandengineeringgraduateseachyear.24In2008,India,theworldssecondmost

    populouscountry,succeededinsendingitsfirstunmannedflighttothemoon,becomingonlythefourthcountrytolandacraftonthelunarsurface.Brazil,inlinewithitsaspirationtobeanaturalknowledgeeconomy,buildingonitsnaturalandenvironmentalresources,isworkingtoincreaseresearchspendingto2.5%ofGDPby202225(fromjustover1.4%in2007).26SouthKoreahaspledgedthatR&Dspending,(3.2%ofGDPin2007),willreach5%ofGDPby2012.27

    Thesecountriesarenotaloneinrapidlygrowingtheirsciencebases.Overthelast15years,eachoftheG20countrieshasbeenincreasingitsresearchproductionandmosthavescaleduptheproportion

    18 Purchasingpowerparity(PPP)measurestheamountofagivencurrencyneededtobuythesamebasketofgoodsandservicesasoneunitofthereferencecurrencyinthisreport,theUSdollar.Itishelpfulwhencomparinglivingstandardsindifferentcountries,asitindicatestheappropriateexchangeratetousewhenexpressingincomesandpricesindifferentcountriesinacommoncurrency.

    19 ForfurtherinformationonthemethodologyusedbyElsevier,pleaseseetheConductofthe

    Studyonpage11.20 OECD(2006).China will become

    worlds second highest investor inR&D by end of 2006, nds OECD.Pressrelease,4December2006.OfficeforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment:Paris,France.

    21 TheStateCouncilofthePeoplesRepublicofChina(2006).Thenational medium- and long-termprogram for science and technologydevelopment (20062020): anoutline.Beijing,China.

    22 MinistryofScienceand

    TechnologyofthePeoplesRepublicofChina(2007).S&Tstatistics data book 2007.Beijing,China.Thisistheequivalentof

    0.66%oftheChinesepopulationagedbetween15and24,whichwasprojectedtobe228,663,000in2010accordingtotheUnitedNationsPopulationDivision.UNESCOstatisticsindicatethatthemostrecentfiguresoftotalscience,engineering,manufacturingandconstructiongraduates,expressedasapercentageoftheirprojectedpopulationof1524-year-oldsfor2010(aspertheUNstatisticsabove),wouldequal0.95%intheUSA(428,256graduatesinthesedisciplinesin2008againstaprojectedpopulationaged1524

    of44,880,000in2010),and1.73%intheUK(140,575graduatesinthesedisciplinesin2007againstaprojectedpopulationof8,147,000in2010).Thesearenotperfectcomparisons,asthemostrecentyearforwhichwehavegraduatedataavailablevariesbycountry,anditdoesnottakeintoaccountgraduatesabovethisagerange,ortheproportionofpeopleinthelowerendofthisagerangewhoareunlikelytograduateattheirage.Sources:PopulationDivisionoftheDepartmentofEconomicandSocialAffairsoftheUnitedNationsSecretariat(2008).Worldpopulation prospects: the 2008revision.Availableonlineathttp://esa.un.org/unpp,accessed7

    January2011;UNESCOInstituteforStatisticswebsite:http://www.uis.unesco.org/,accessed13January2011.

    23 SeeBoundK(2007).India: theuneven innovator;WebbM(2007).South Korea: mass innovationcomes of age;WilsdonJ&KeeleyJ.China: the next sciencesuperpower?;BoundK(2008).Brazil, the natural knowledgeeconomy.Demos:London,UK;AdamsJ&WilsdonJ(2006).The new geography of science:UK research and internationalcollaboration; AdamsJ&King

    C(2009).Global research report:Brazil;AdamsJ,KingC&SinghV(2009).Global research report:India;AdamsJ,KingC&MaN(2009).Global research report:China.Evidence,aThomsonReutersbusiness:Leeds,UK.Battelle(2009).2010 globalR&D fund-ing forecast.Battelle:Columbus,OH,USA.WilsdonJ(2008).The new geography ofscience.PhysicsWorld,October2008.GilmanD(2010).The newgeography of global innovation.GoldmanSachsGlobalMarketsInstitute:NewYork,NY,USA.

    24 BoundK(2007).India: the uneveninnovator.Demos:London,UK.Indiaspopulationagedbetween

    15and24wasprojectedtobejustunder234millionaccordingtotheUN.Ifallthose2.5milliongraduateswerewithinthatagerange,theywouldrepresent1.07%ofthepopulationinthatagerange.Source:UnitedNationswebsite.World population prospects: the2008 revision.PopulationDivisionoftheDepartmentofEconomicandSocialAffairsoftheUnitedNationsSecretariat.Availableonlineathttp://esa.un.org/unpp,accessed7January2011.

    25 KuglerH(2011).Brazil releasesscience blueprint.SciDev.Net,7

    January2011.Availableonlineathttp://www.scidev.net/en/news/brazil-releases-science-blueprint.html,accessed17January2011.

    26 PetherickA(2010).Science safein Brazil elections.Natureonline,29September2010.Availableonlineathttp://www.nature.com/news/2010/100929/full/467511b.html,accessed17January2011.

    27 StoneR(2008).SouthKorea aims to boost statusas science and technologypowerhouse. ScienceInsider,23December2008.Availableathttp://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2008/12/south-korea-aim.html.

    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    PART1

    Scientificlandscapein2011

    Argentina

    Australia

    Brazil

    China

    India

    Indonesia

    Mexico

    Re

    publicofKorea

    SaudiArabia

    SouthAfrica

    Turkey

    Canada

    France

    Germany

    Italy

    Japan

    Rus

    sianFederation

    U

    nitedKingdom

    UnitedStates

    10%

    8%

    6%

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    0%

    -2%

    2%

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    Argentin

    a

    Australi

    a

    Braz

    il

    Chin

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    Indi

    a

    Indonesi

    a

    Mexico

    SaudiArabi

    a

    Korea,Republico

    f

    SouthAfric

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    y

    Canad

    a

    Franc

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    German

    y

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    UnitedState

    s

    14%

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    Figure1.2. Science in the G20G8 labelled in red. Fig a. Annual growth in publications 1996-2008.28Fig b. Annual growth in GDP spending on R&D 1996-200729

    Fig a Fig b

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    oftheirGDPspentonR&D(seeFigure1.2).Increasedinvestmentandincreasedpublicationshavetakenplaceintandem.Thegrowthofcommitmenttoscienceinanumberofthenon-G8nationsisespeciallystriking.

    TurkeyhasimproveditsscientificperformanceataratealmostrivallingthatofChina.Havingdeclaredresearchapublicpriorityinthe1990s,theTurkishGovernmentincreaseditsspendingonR&Dnearlysix-foldbetween1995and2007,andnowspendsmoreannuallyincashtermsthaneitherDenmark,FinlandorNorway.30Overthisperiod,theproportionofTurkeysGDPspentonR&Drosefrom0.28%to0.72%,andthenumberofresearchersincreasedby43%.31Fourtimesasmanypaperswerepublishedin2008asin1996.32Thenumberofpublicationsfrom Iranhasgrown

    fromjust736in1996to13,238in2008makingit

    thefastestgrowingcountryintermsofnumbersofscientificpublicationsintheworld.33InAugust2009,Iranannouncedacomprehensiveplanforsciencefocusedonhighereducationandstrongerlinksbetweenindustryandacademia.TheestablishmentofaUS$2.5millioncentrefornanotechnologyresearchisoneoftheproductsofthisplan.OthercommitmentsincludeboostingR&Dinvestmentto

    4%ofGDP(0.59%ofGDPin2006),andincreasingeducationto7%ofGDPby2030(5.49%ofGDPin2007).34Since1996,R&DasapercentageofGDPin

    Tunisiahasgrownfrom0.03%to1.25%in2009.35Duringthesameperiod,asubstantialrestructuringofthenationalR&Dsystemsawthecreationof624researchunitsand139researchlaboratories,ofwhich72aredirectedtowardslifeandbiotechnologicalsciences.36Lifesciencesandpharmaceuticalsremainatoppriorityforthecountry,withthegovernmentannouncinginJanuary2010thatitwantedtoincreasepharmaceuticalsexportsfive-foldinthenextfiveyearswhilealsoaimingtohave60%oflocalmedicineneedscoveredbythecountrysownproduction.37

    In1996,Singaporeinvested1.37%ofGDPinR&D.By2007thishadreached2.61%ofGDP. 38Thenumberofscientificpublicationshasgrownfrom

    2,620in1996to8,506in2008,almosthalfofwhichwereco-authoredinternationally. 39TheAgencyforScience,TechnologyandResearch(A*STAR)iscentraltothegovernmentscommitmenttoinvestmentinworldclassresearchandinfrastructure,andoverseesSingapores14researchinstitutesandassociatedcentreswithinflagshipdevelopmentssuchasBiopolisandFusionopolis.40AtacostofoverUS$370million,

    28 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    29 DatafromUNESCOInstituteforStatisticsDataCentre,Montral,Canada.Notethatstatisticsforsomecountriesacrosstheperiodareincomplete.Theclosestaccountableyearsintheperiodareusedwherecompletestatisticsarenotavailable.

    30 OECD(2010).Main science andtechnology indicators (MSTI): 2010edition, version 1.Organisation

    forEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment:Paris,France.

    31 OECD(2009).Main science andtechnology indicators (MSTI): 2009

    edition.OrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment:Paris,France.

    32 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    33 Science-Metrix, Thirty years ofscience.Montreal:http://www.Science-Metrix.com,accessedNovember2010.

    34 SawahelW(2009).Iran: 20-yearplan for knowledge-basedeconomy.UniversityWorldNews.

    35 MadikizelaM(2005).The scienceand technology system of theRepublic of Tunisia.FromCountryStudies:ArabStates,UNESCO

    website.Availableonlineathttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/les/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdf.

    36 MadikizelaM(2005).The scienceand technology system of theRepublic of Tunisia.FromCountryStudies:ArabStates,UNESCOwebsite.Availableonlineathttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/les/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdf.

    37 GlobalArabNetwork(2010).Tunisia to boost pharmaceutical &biotechnological industry. GlobalArabNetwork,13January2010.

    Availableonlineathttp://www.english.globalarabnetwork.com/201001134357/Science-Health/tunisia-to-boost-pharmaceutical-a-biotechnological-industry.html .

    38 DatafromtheUNESCOInstituteforStatisticsDataCentre.Montral,Canada.

    39 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    40 Seehttp://www.a-star.edu.sg/AboutASTAR/Overview/tabid/140/Default.aspx,accessed29September2010.

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tp://www.english.globalarabnetwork.com/201001134357/Science-Health/tunisia-to-boost-pharmaceutical-a-biotechnological-industry.htmlhttp://www.english.globalarabnetwork.com/201001134357/Science-Health/tunisia-to-boost-pharmaceutical-a-biotechnological-industry.htmlhttp://www.english.globalarabnetwork.com/201001134357/Science-Health/tunisia-to-boost-pharmaceutical-a-biotechnological-industry.htmlhttp://www.english.globalarabnetwork.com/201001134357/Science-Health/tunisia-to-boost-pharmaceutical-a-biotechnological-industry.htmlhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://portal.unesco.org/education/en/files/55545/11998913265Tunisia.pdf/Tunisia.pdfhttp://www.universityworldnews.com/article.php?story=20090827175231370http://www.universityworldnews.com/article.php?story=20090827175231370http://www.universityworldnews.com/article.php?story=20090827175231370http://www.science-metrix.com/http://www.science-metrix.com/http://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/26/0,3343,en_2649_33703_1901082_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=enghttp://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=143&IF_Language=eng
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    Biopolisisahigh-techbiomedicalparkwhichthegovernmentlaunchedin2003.Sincethen,thecountrysbiotechexpertisehascontinuedtoexpandandisattractingsomebigplayerssuchasNovartis,GlaxoSmithKlineandRoche. 41Thepictureofscientificresearchisalsostarting

    tochangeacrosstheMiddleEast,wherethereareanumberofsignificantnewcommitmentstoscience.Gas-richQataraimstospend2.8%ofGDPonresearchby2015.Withapopulationofjustover1.4million(ofwhicharound85%areforeignworkers)andacurrentGDPofUS$128billion,thistarget,ifrealised,wouldcombinetogiveGERDpercapitaofUS$2,474.42Sincethemid-1990s,theQatariGovernmenthasintroducedanumberofeducationreformsandhasinvestedaroundUS$133billionininfrastructureandprojectsdesignedtocreateaknowledge-basedeconomy. 43TheUnited Arab

    EmiratesisattemptingtocreatetheworldsfirstfullysustainablecityandinnovationhubtheMasdarInitiative.Duetoopenin2011,Masdarwilleventually

    house50,000peopleand1,500businessesfocusedonrenewableenergyandsustainabletechnologies. 44GE,BP,Shell,MitsubishiandRolls-Royceareamongthosewhohavejoinedasstrategicpartners.45Elsewhere,manyoftheworldspoorestcountries

    haveplacedsciencebehindmoreimmediatepriorities,suchashealthcareandprimaryeducation.Thisisnottosaythatscienceandresearcharenothavinganimpactinthelessdevelopedworldatall,orthattherearenosignsofgrowth.Cambodiaproducedonlysevenarticlesin1996,butincreasedthisto114by2008.BothUgandaandPeru,inthesameperiod,increasedtheiroutputsfour-fold,albeitfromlowbases(Ugandafrom116to477papers,Perufrom153to600).46Inthesecountries,aselsewhere,thereisoftenalsoawealthofinformalinnovationcarriedoutbyfarmers,47localhealthpractitionersandsmallfirmsfrequentlydrawingonlocalknowledge

    andlargelyunacknowledgedinformalmetrics,letalonepublishedinresearchpapers.48

    TheKingofTonkinandretinueontheirwaytoaceremonialblessingoftheground.AnillustrationforSamuelBaronsA description of the kingdomof Tonqueen,1685.FromtheRoyalSocietylibraryandarchive.

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    Somegovernmentsanddevelopmentpartnersareembracingthefactthatscienceisnotaluxurywhichisthepreserveofdevelopedcountries.Theyrecognisethattechnologyandinnovationarekeytoachievinglong-termeconomicandsocialdevelopment,49andthatscienceandscientificadvicearevitalassetsingovernance.50PaulKagame,PresidentofRwanda,hasbeenastrongadvocateforsciencefordevelopment,sayingWeinAfricamust

    eitherbegintobuildourscientificandtechnologicaltrainingcapabilitiesorremainanimpoverishedappendagetotheglobaleconomy.51AfricanscienceministersresolvedinMarch2010that2011wouldbethestartofanAfricandecadeforscience,promisingincreasedresearchbudgetsandattemptstousescienceandtechnologytodrivedevelopment.52Althoughencouraging,politicalcommitmentstoinvestinsciencearegreetedcautiouslybymany

    scientistsacrossAfricaandinotherpoorcountries.Itwasin1980thatAfricanpresidentsagreedtoincreaseresearchspendingto1%ofGDP,aspartoftheLagosPlanofAction,53butby2007Sub-SaharanAfricancountriesstillspentanaverageofjust0.5%oftheirGDPonscienceandtechnology.54Africanleadersreiteratedtheir1%target,thistimeagreeingtoreachitby2010,55butSouthAfricaistheonlysub-Saharancountrythatisclose,spending0.92%inthe

    2008to2009financialyear.56

    1.1.2AssessingresearchqualityandimpactAsresearchoutputhasgrown,sohavethelevelsatwhichresearchersciteoneanotherswork.Citationsareoftenusedasameansofevaluatingthequalityofpublicationsrecognitionbyanauthorspeersindicatesthatthescientificcommunityvaluestheworkthathasbeenpublished.Theyare,however,alaggingindicator,aswellasasometimescrudeone.Lookingattheglobalpictureinrecentyears,we

    canseethatcitationsareincreasingatagreaterrate

    thanpublicationsbetweentheperiods1999to2003and2004to2008publicationsgrewby33%andcitationsby55%(seeFigure1.3).57However,whenexaminingcitationpatterns,themovementinnationalperformancehasnotbeenasdramaticaswithpublicationnumbers.SwitzerlandandAustraliafelldowntherankings,tobereplacedbyChinaandSpaininthelatterperiod,buttheperformanceofChina,forexample,doesnotmirrorthatnations

    growthininvestmentorpublicationoutput.Citationscontinuetobemuchmoreconcentratedthanthejournalarticlesthemselves.Itwilltakesometimefortheabsoluteoutputof

    emergingnationstochallengetherateatwhichthisresearchisreferencedbytheinternationalscientificcommunity.Thereisalsodiversificationwithsomecountriesshowingleadershipinspecificfields,suchasChinainnanotechnology,58andBrazilinbiofuels,59

    butthescientificallyadvancednationscontinuetodominatethecitationcounts.Citationsare,however,onlyonemeansof

    benchmarkingtheexcellenceofresearchoutput.WithoverUS$1,000billioneachyearbeingspentonR&D,itisunsurprisingthatfundersandgovernmentswanttoknowwhatvaluetheyaregettingfortheirmoney.IntheUK,theimpactandexcellenceagenda

    hasdevelopedrapidlyinrecentyears.TheResearchAssessmentExercise,apeerreviewbasedbenchmarkingexercisewhichmeasuredtherelativeresearchstrengthsofuniversitydepartments,60isduetobereplacedwithanewResearchExcellenceFramework,whichwillbecompletedin2014.61TheUKResearchCouncilsnow(somewhatcontroversially)askallapplicantstodescribethepotentialeconomicandsocietalimpactsoftheirresearch.TheExcellenceinResearchforAustralia(ERA)initiativeassessesresearchqualitywithinAustraliashighereducationinstitutionsusinga

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    combinationofindicatorsandexpertreviewbycommitteescomprisingexperienced,internationallyrecognisedexperts.Theimpactagendaisincreasinglyimportantfor

    nationalandinternationalscience(inEurope,theCommissionerforResearch,InnovationandSciencehasspokenabouttheneedforaEurope-wideinnovationindicator).63Thechallengeofmeasuringthevalueofscienceinanumberofwaysfacesall

    ofthescientificcommunity.Achievingthiswilloffernewinsightsintohowweappraisethequalityofscience,andtheimpactsofitsglobalisation.

    China

    Spain

    Other

    Key

    United States

    Japan

    United Kingdom

    Germany

    France

    Australia

    Italy

    Canada

    Netherlands

    Switzerland

    36%

    9%

    8%7%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    2%2%

    21%

    30%

    8%

    7%

    5%5%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    27%

    Fig a Fig b

    Figure1.3. Comparative proportionof global citations by country62

    The top ten cited countries in each period are shown.Fig a. 1999-2003. Fig b. 2004-2008

    49 ConwayG&WaageJ(2010).Science and innovation for

    development.UKCollaborativeonDevelopmentSciences:London,UK.

    50 RoyalSociety(2010).Science: anundervalued asset in governancefor development.RoyalSociety:London,UK.

    51 KagameP(2006).SpeechbyRwandanPresident,PaulKagame,attheRoyalSocietyon18September2006.

    52 NordlingL(2010).African nationsvow to support science.Nature465,994995.

    53 OrganizationofAfricanUnity(1980).Lagos plan of action for theeconomic development of Africa

    19802000.TheOrganizationofAfricanUnitywasdisbandedin

    2002andreplacedbytheAfricanUnion.

    54 DatafromUNESCOInstituteforStatistics,publishedinUNESCOScienceReport2010(p2,Table1).

    55 AfricanUnion(2007).Assembly ofthe African Union, eighth ordinarysession, 2930 January 2007,Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: decisionsand declarations.Assembly/AU/Dec.161(VIII).AfricanUnion:AddisAbaba,Ethiopia.

    56 DepartmentofScienceandTechnology,South Africa (2010).

    South Africa maintains steadygrowth in R and D expenditure.Pressrelease,9September2010.DepartmentofScienceand

    Technology:CapeTown,SouthAfrica.

    57 DatafromElseviersScopus.

    58 RoyalSociety(2010).The scienticcentury: securing our futureprosperity.RoyalSociety:London,UK.

    59 BoundK(2008).Brazil, the naturalknowledge economy.Demos:London,UK.

    60 Seehttp://www.delni.gov.uk/index/further-and-higher-education/higher-education/role-structure-he-division/he-research-policy/research-assessment-exercise.htm.

    61 Seehttp://www.hefce.ac.uk/research/ref/,accessed7January2011.

    62 DatafromElseviersScopus.Thesechartsshowthetopten

    countriesbynumberofcitations,withallothercountriesincludedintheothersegment.Thepiechartsarescaledtorepresenttheincreasedvolumeofpublicationsinthetwotimeperiods.In19992003therewere23,639,885citationsglobally,andin20042008therewere36,562,135.

    63 FinneganG(2010).Geoghegan-Quinn: we must communicate ourR&D.Euractiv.com(EuropeanUnionInformationWebsite),5May2010.Availableonlineathttp://www.euractiv.com/en/

    innovation/geoghegan-quinn-we-must-communicate-our-rd-interview-493702.

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