ipsos poll shows liberals picking up momentum 2
DESCRIPTION
Read More: http://globalnews.ca/news/2209152/liberals-picking-up-momentum-in-ontario-b-c-according-to-latest-seat-projections/TRANSCRIPT
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
2 of 66
RVQUAL1. Are you eligible to vote in the upcoming Federal Election being held in October?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: All respondents
Unweighted Base 949 113 93 96 337 215 95 233 285 243 188 205 744 461 488 238 371 340 80 93 164
Weighted Base 949 127 101* 61* 364 228 68* 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76* 95* 193
Yes949 127 101 61 364 228 68 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76 95 193
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
13 of 66
RV1A. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: All respondents
Unweighted Base 949 113 93 96 337 215 95 233 285 243 188 205 744 461 488 238 371 340 80 93 164
Weighted Base 949 127 101* 61* 364 228 68* 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76* 95* 193
The Conservative Party208 27 31 22 99 25 4 37 57 66 48 59 149 120 88 47 77 84 12 29 57
22.0% 21.0% 31.0% 35.0% 27.0% 11.0% 5.0% 16.0% 20.0% 27.0% 26.0% 29.0% 20.0% 26.0% 18.0% 18.0% 22.0% 25.0% 16.0% 31.0% 30.0%EF EF AEF EF GH G L N O R R
The Liberal Party209 31 10 10 100 32 26 52 61 45 51 31 178 105 104 75 71 63 23 30 47
22.0% 24.0% 10.0% 16.0% 28.0% 14.0% 38.0% 22.0% 21.0% 19.0% 27.0% 15.0% 24.0% 23.0% 21.0% 29.0% 20.0% 19.0% 30.0% 32.0% 24.0%BE BCE ABCDE I K PQ
The New Democratic Party (NDP)240 37 27 9 73 81 13 66 66 65 43 48 192 114 126 79 82 79 20 15 37
25.0% 29.0% 27.0% 15.0% 20.0% 35.0% 19.0% 28.0% 23.0% 27.0% 23.0% 24.0% 26.0% 25.0% 26.0% 30.0% 23.0% 24.0% 27.0% 16.0% 19.0%CD C CDF
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)25 0 0 0 0 25 0 11 4 4 6 10 14 18 7 2 15 7 0 0 0
3.0% - - - - 11.0% - 4.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 4.0% 2.0% - - -ABCDF H L N O
Green Party17 3 2 2 1 5 3 6 7 2 3 1 16 10 7 2 4 11 0 0 1
2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 4.0% 0 2.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 3.0% - - 1.0%D D D D OP
Other1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 - - 2.0% - - - - 0 - - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - -DE
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot33 5 4 1 7 12 4 10 10 6 6 6 27 15 18 15 10 8 2 0 5
3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 5.0% 6.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 4.0% 6.0% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% - 2.0%D D Q
Don't Know/Not sure217 25 27 16 84 48 18 53 83 52 30 46 171 78 139 44 91 83 18 20 45
23.0% 20.0% 26.0% 26.0% 23.0% 21.0% 26.0% 22.0% 29.0% 22.0% 16.0% 23.0% 23.0% 17.0% 28.0% 17.0% 26.0% 25.0% 24.0% 21.0% 24.0%J M O O
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
14 of 66
RV1B. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: Undecided
Unweighted Base 225 23 25 26 79 46 26 54 84 53 34 50 175 81 144 39 100 86 20 20 39
Weighted Base 217 25** 27** 16** 84* 48* 18** 53* 83* 52* 30* 46* 171 78* 139 44* 91* 83* 18** 20** 45*
The Conservative Party22 4 5 1 7 3 1 2 9 8 3 4 18 5 16 3 8 11 2 3 3
10.0% 17.0% 20.0% 4.0% 9.0% 7.0% 4.0% 4.0% 11.0% 15.0% 10.0% 9.0% 10.0% 7.0% 12.0% 6.0% 9.0% 14.0% 10.0% 15.0% 6.0%
The Liberal Party29 3 4 2 10 6 3 6 9 8 6 7 21 9 20 6 11 12 1 2 7
13.0% 14.0% 17.0% 16.0% 11.0% 13.0% 16.0% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0% 20.0% 16.0% 13.0% 11.0% 14.0% 14.0% 12.0% 15.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%
The New Democratic Party (NDP)30 4 2 1 12 8 2 5 11 7 7 3 27 15 15 3 10 17 1 5 7
14.0% 16.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.0% 17.0% 11.0% 9.0% 13.0% 14.0% 23.0% 7.0% 16.0% 19.0% 11.0% 6.0% 11.0% 20.0% 5.0% 23.0% 15.0%O
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)2 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
1.0% - - - - 5.0% - 4.0% - - - - 1.0% 3.0% - 3.0% 1.0% - - - -N
Green Party4 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 0 3 0 0 0
2.0% 4.0% - 4.0% - 5.0% - 3.0% 3.0% - - - 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% - 3.0% - - -
Don't know130 12 15 11 54 26 12 36 52 28 14 31 99 46 85 30 61 40 15 10 29
60.0% 48.0% 56.0% 69.0% 65.0% 55.0% 69.0% 69.0% 63.0% 55.0% 47.0% 68.0% 58.0% 59.0% 61.0% 68.0% 67.0% 48.0% 80.0% 52.0% 64.0%J Q Q
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
15 of 66
RV1A/Q1B. ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: All respondents
Unweighted Base 949 113 93 96 337 215 95 233 285 243 188 205 744 461 488 238 371 340 80 93 164
Weighted Base 949 127 101* 61* 364 228 68* 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76* 95* 193
The Conservative Party229 31 37 22 106 29 4 39 66 73 51 63 166 125 104 49 85 95 14 32 60
24.0% 24.0% 36.0% 36.0% 29.0% 13.0% 6.0% 17.0% 23.0% 31.0% 27.0% 31.0% 22.0% 27.0% 21.0% 19.0% 24.0% 28.0% 19.0% 34.0% 31.0%EF EF EF EF GH G L N O R R
The Liberal Party238 34 14 12 110 38 29 58 70 53 57 39 199 114 124 82 82 75 24 32 54
25.0% 27.0% 14.0% 20.0% 30.0% 17.0% 43.0% 25.0% 24.0% 22.0% 30.0% 19.0% 27.0% 25.0% 25.0% 31.0% 23.0% 22.0% 31.0% 34.0% 28.0%BE BE ABCDE K PQ
The New Democratic Party (NDP)269 41 29 10 85 89 15 71 76 72 50 51 218 129 141 81 92 96 21 20 44
28.0% 32.0% 29.0% 17.0% 23.0% 39.0% 22.0% 30.0% 27.0% 30.0% 27.0% 25.0% 29.0% 28.0% 29.0% 31.0% 26.0% 29.0% 28.0% 21.0% 23.0%C CDF
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)27 0 0 0 0 27 0 13 4 4 6 10 17 20 7 4 16 7 0 0 0
3.0% - - - - 12.0% - 5.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 5.0% 2.0% - - -ABCDF HI L N O
Green Party21 4 2 3 1 8 3 8 9 2 3 1 20 11 10 3 4 14 0 0 1
2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 5.0% 0 3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 4.0% - - 1.0%D D D D OP
Other1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 - - 2.0% - - - - 0 - - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - -DE
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot33 5 4 1 7 12 4 10 10 6 6 6 27 15 18 15 10 8 2 0 5
3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 5.0% 6.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 4.0% 6.0% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% - 2.0%D D Q
Don't Know/Not sure130 12 15 11 54 26 12 36 52 28 14 31 99 46 85 30 61 40 15 10 29
14.0% 9.0% 15.0% 18.0% 15.0% 11.0% 18.0% 15.0% 18.0% 12.0% 7.0% 16.0% 13.0% 10.0% 17.0% 11.0% 17.0% 12.0% 19.0% 11.0% 15.0%J J M OQ
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
16 of 66
RV1A/Q1B. DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included
Unweighted Base 780 98 76 76 280 179 71 186 223 206 165 166 614 399 381 197 293 290 62 83 135
Weighted Base 786 111* 83* 49* 303 190 51* 189 226 204 167 164 622 399 387 219 280 287 60* 84* 159
The Conservative Party229 31 37 22 106 29 4 39 66 73 51 63 166 125 104 49 85 95 14 32 60
29.0% 28.0% 45.0% 46.0% 35.0% 15.0% 8.0% 21.0% 29.0% 36.0% 31.0% 39.0% 27.0% 31.0% 27.0% 22.0% 30.0% 33.0% 24.0% 38.0% 38.0%EF AEF AEF EF G G L O
The Liberal Party238 34 14 12 110 38 29 58 70 53 57 39 199 114 124 82 82 75 24 32 54
30.0% 31.0% 17.0% 25.0% 36.0% 20.0% 57.0% 31.0% 31.0% 26.0% 34.0% 24.0% 32.0% 28.0% 32.0% 37.0% 29.0% 26.0% 40.0% 38.0% 34.0%BE BE ABCDE K Q
The New Democratic Party (NDP)269 41 29 10 85 89 15 71 76 72 50 51 218 129 141 81 92 96 21 20 44
34.0% 37.0% 35.0% 21.0% 28.0% 47.0% 29.0% 38.0% 34.0% 35.0% 30.0% 31.0% 35.0% 32.0% 36.0% 37.0% 33.0% 33.0% 36.0% 23.0% 28.0%C CDF
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)27 0 0 0 0 27 0 13 4 4 6 10 17 20 7 4 16 7 0 0 0
3.0% - - - - 14.0% - 7.0% 2.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 3.0% 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 6.0% 2.0% - - -ABCDF HI L N OQ
Green Party21 4 2 3 1 8 3 8 9 2 3 1 20 11 10 3 4 14 0 0 1
3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 6.0% 0 4.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 5.0% - - 1.0%D D D D I I P
Other1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 - - 2.0% - - - - 0 - - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - -DE
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
17 of 66
RV2. How certain are you that this is the party that you will actually support on Election Day:
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Unweighted Base 789 100 77 78 283 179 72 189 226 209 165 168 621 406 383 200 295 294 64 83 136
Weighted Base 794 113* 84* 50* 306 190 52* 192 229 207 167 166 628 406 389 222 282 291 62* 84* 160
Absolutely certain349 45 34 29 134 84 22 89 94 91 74 66 283 198 151 79 131 139 25 30 79
44.0% 40.0% 41.0% 59.0% 44.0% 44.0% 43.0% 47.0% 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 40.0% 45.0% 49.0% 39.0% 36.0% 46.0% 48.0% 40.0% 36.0% 49.0%ABDE N O O
Fairly certain331 49 31 16 134 80 22 83 89 85 74 80 251 156 175 112 115 104 29 42 64
42.0% 43.0% 37.0% 31.0% 44.0% 42.0% 42.0% 43.0% 39.0% 41.0% 44.0% 48.0% 40.0% 39.0% 45.0% 51.0% 41.0% 36.0% 46.0% 49.0% 40.0%C PQ
Not very certain97 16 15 4 33 21 7 15 42 24 15 15 82 45 52 27 30 40 6 12 15
12.0% 14.0% 18.0% 8.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.0% 8.0% 18.0% 12.0% 9.0% 9.0% 13.0% 11.0% 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 14.0% 10.0% 14.0% 10.0%GIJ
Not at all certain18 3 3 1 4 5 1 4 3 7 4 4 13 7 11 4 6 8 2 1 1
2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.0% 1.0%
TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY
T2B680 94 65 45 268 164 44 172 184 176 148 146 534 354 326 191 246 243 53 72 143
86.0% 83.0% 78.0% 90.0% 88.0% 86.0% 84.0% 90.0% 80.0% 85.0% 89.0% 88.0% 85.0% 87.0% 84.0% 86.0% 87.0% 84.0% 87.0% 85.0% 90.0%B H H
L2B114 19 19 5 37 26 8 20 45 31 19 20 95 52 63 30 37 47 8 12 17
14.0% 17.0% 22.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 10.0% 20.0% 15.0% 11.0% 12.0% 15.0% 13.0% 16.0% 14.0% 13.0% 16.0% 13.0% 15.0% 10.0%D GJ
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
18 of 66
RV3. And, assuming you can't vote for your first choice, which party would you support as a second choice?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Unweighted Base 789 100 77 78 283 179 72 189 226 209 165 168 621 406 383 200 295 294 64 83 136
Weighted Base 794 113* 84* 50* 306 190 52* 192 229 207 167 166 628 406 389 222 282 291 62* 84* 160
The Conservative Party61 11 4 4 26 9 7 17 20 12 12 10 51 27 35 26 20 15 4 12 9
8.0% 10.0% 5.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.0% 14.0% 9.0% 9.0% 6.0% 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 7.0% 9.0% 12.0% 7.0% 5.0% 6.0% 15.0% 6.0%E Q T
The Liberal Party192 30 28 14 60 53 7 44 51 53 44 47 145 107 85 67 67 58 18 15 26
24.0% 26.0% 34.0% 28.0% 19.0% 28.0% 14.0% 23.0% 22.0% 26.0% 26.0% 28.0% 23.0% 26.0% 22.0% 30.0% 24.0% 20.0% 30.0% 17.0% 17.0%DF F DF Q T
The New Democratic Party (NDP)187 26 16 9 91 27 19 42 52 44 49 33 154 91 95 64 59 64 20 18 53
24.0% 23.0% 19.0% 17.0% 30.0% 14.0% 36.0% 22.0% 23.0% 21.0% 29.0% 20.0% 25.0% 23.0% 25.0% 29.0% 21.0% 22.0% 33.0% 22.0% 33.0%CE BCE P
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)21 0 0 0 0 21 0 6 3 5 6 5 15 14 7 4 6 11 0 0 0
3.0% - - - - 11.0% - 3.0% 1.0% 2.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 4.0% - - -ABCDF
Some other party80 9 14 4 29 16 7 17 27 21 14 18 62 43 37 19 26 34 6 11 13
10.0% 8.0% 17.0% 8.0% 10.0% 8.0% 13.0% 9.0% 12.0% 10.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.0% 11.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 12.0% 10.0% 13.0% 8.0%
Don't know/Not sure227 37 22 19 100 37 12 52 72 69 35 43 184 104 123 38 88 101 13 28 59
29.0% 33.0% 26.0% 38.0% 33.0% 20.0% 23.0% 27.0% 32.0% 33.0% 21.0% 26.0% 29.0% 26.0% 32.0% 17.0% 31.0% 35.0% 22.0% 33.0% 37.0%E EF E J J O O R
(DK/Ref/Not Stated)27 0 0 0 0 27 0 13 4 4 6 10 17 20 7 4 16 7 0 0 0
3.0% - - - - 14.0% - 7.0% 2.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 3.0% 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 6.0% 2.0% - - -ABCDF HI L N OQ
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
19 of 66
RV4. Thinking about the Conservative government under the leadership of Stephen Harper, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: All respondents
Unweighted Base 949 113 93 96 337 215 95 233 285 243 188 205 744 461 488 238 371 340 80 93 164
Weighted Base 949 127 101* 61* 364 228 68* 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76* 95* 193
Strongly approve95 13 9 11 42 20 0 27 23 29 16 22 72 56 39 28 28 39 10 7 24
10.0% 10.0% 9.0% 18.0% 11.0% 9.0% - 11.0% 8.0% 12.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.0% 12.0% 8.0% 11.0% 8.0% 12.0% 14.0% 7.0% 13.0%F F BEF F F N
Somewhat approve267 30 43 18 110 49 18 57 83 70 56 63 204 133 134 81 104 82 12 41 58
28.0% 23.0% 43.0% 29.0% 30.0% 21.0% 26.0% 24.0% 29.0% 29.0% 30.0% 31.0% 27.0% 29.0% 27.0% 31.0% 30.0% 25.0% 16.0% 43.0% 30.0%ADEF E RT R
Somewhat disapprove232 27 20 13 96 57 18 54 77 60 41 56 176 96 137 64 103 66 27 22 47
24.0% 21.0% 20.0% 22.0% 26.0% 25.0% 26.0% 23.0% 27.0% 25.0% 22.0% 28.0% 24.0% 21.0% 28.0% 24.0% 29.0% 20.0% 36.0% 24.0% 24.0%M Q
Strongly disapprove355 58 29 19 116 102 32 97 104 80 73 60 295 175 180 91 116 147 27 25 64
37.0% 45.0% 28.0% 30.0% 32.0% 45.0% 48.0% 41.0% 36.0% 34.0% 39.0% 30.0% 39.0% 38.0% 37.0% 35.0% 33.0% 44.0% 35.0% 26.0% 33.0%BCD BCD BCD K OP
TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY
T2B362 43 52 29 152 68 18 84 106 99 72 86 276 189 173 109 132 121 22 48 82
38.0% 34.0% 51.0% 48.0% 42.0% 30.0% 26.0% 36.0% 37.0% 41.0% 39.0% 43.0% 37.0% 41.0% 35.0% 41.0% 37.0% 36.0% 29.0% 51.0% 42.0%AEF AEF EF R
L2B587 85 49 32 212 159 50 151 181 140 115 116 471 271 316 155 219 213 54 47 111
62.0% 66.0% 49.0% 52.0% 58.0% 70.0% 74.0% 64.0% 63.0% 59.0% 61.0% 57.0% 63.0% 59.0% 65.0% 59.0% 63.0% 64.0% 71.0% 49.0% 58.0%BC BCD BCD S
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
15-061704-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation Sep 5-7, 2015) Detailed Tables
Ipsos Public AffairsSeptember 8, 2015FINAL DATA
20 of 66
RV5. Some people say that the Conservative government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected on October 19th. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME GENDER AGE ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL BC AB SK/MB ON QC <40K 40K - <60K 60K - <100K 100K+ Kids No Kids Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ 416 905A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
Base: All respondents
Unweighted Base 949 113 93 96 337 215 95 233 285 243 188 205 744 461 488 238 371 340 80 93 164
Weighted Base 949 127 101* 61* 364 228 68* 235 287 239 187 202 747 460 489 264 351 334 76* 95* 193
277 33 45 28 123 38 9 58 84 81 54 69 207 144 133 72 105 101 22 36 66
29.0% 26.0% 45.0% 45.0% 34.0% 17.0% 14.0% 25.0% 29.0% 34.0% 29.0% 34.0% 28.0% 31.0% 27.0% 27.0% 30.0% 30.0% 29.0% 38.0% 34.0%EF AEF ADEF EF G
Time for another federal party to take over672 94 56 33 240 190 59 177 203 159 133 132 540 316 357 193 246 233 54 59 127
71.0% 74.0% 55.0% 55.0% 66.0% 83.0% 86.0% 75.0% 71.0% 66.0% 71.0% 66.0% 72.0% 69.0% 73.0% 73.0% 70.0% 70.0% 71.0% 62.0% 66.0%BC C ABCD ABCD I
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
Atlantic Canada
Rest of Ontario
Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election