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  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

    1/11

    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Particulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)NII 1,083 1,170 (7.5) 1,111 (2.6)Pre-prov. profit 797 912 (12.5) 903 (11.7)

    PAT 345 526 (34.3) 439 (21.3)Source: Company, Angel Research

    Indian Bank reported a dismal performance for 4QFY2012, both on the

    operational and asset quality front. The banks net profit declined by 21.3% yoy

    (34.3% qoq) to`345cr, despite being aided by tax write back of`110cr, on the

    back of almost 3.5 times higher provisioning, higher operating expenses and

    muted growth in operating income. We recommend Accumulate on the stock.NIM declines sequentially; Asset quality deteriorates: During 4QFY2012,advances for the bank grew at a healthy pace of 20.0% yoy, mainly aided by

    strong growth in the corporate and commercial and agri segments. On the

    liability side, growth in deposits was rather moderate at 14.2% yoy. CASA

    deposits grew at a relatively slow pace of 13.0% yoy, on the back of 8.7% yoy

    growth in current account deposits despite decent 14.0% yoy growth in savings

    accounts deposits, which led to a 33bp yoy fall in CASA ratio to 30.5% (up by

    33bp sequentially). The banks yield on advances declined by 76bp qoq due to

    interest reversal of `151cr, while cost of deposits also declined by 8bp qoq,

    leading to a 42bp sequential fall in reported NIM to 3.2%. Growth in fee income

    for the bank was strong at 31.9% yoy to `234cr. Recoveries from written-off

    accounts were sluggish, declining by 48.3% yoy to`46cr. The banks asset quality

    deteriorated sequentially during 4QFY2012, with both gross and net NPAs

    increasing considerably on a qoq basis. Annualized slippage ratio increased on a

    sequential basis to 5.5% in 4QFY2012 as against comfortable 1.6% witnessed in

    3QFY2012, with major sectoral contributions from infra, glass, textile, gem and

    gold trade, auto and engineering and real estate. PCR (incl. technical write offs)

    dipped by 637bp to 70.1%. Additionally, the banks restructured book increased

    by ~`3,330cr to`8,902cr during the quarter, mainly on account of restructuring

    of loans worth ~`800cr to Air India and ~`1,200cr to the power sector. Going

    ahead, the bank is expected to restructure ~`1,157cr worth of advances in

    1QFY2013, of which ~50% would be Rajasthan discoms.

    Outlook and valuation:The stock currently trades at 0.7x FY2014E ABV, below itsfive-year trading range (0.8x-1.3x) and median of 1.0x. Due to cheap valuations,we have an Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of `197. However,in our view, upsides are likely to be lower than peers, as we remain circumspect

    on the banks high RoAs.

    Key financialsY/E March (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014ENII 4,036 4,418 5,075 5,789% chg 27.7 9.5 14.9 14.1

    Net profit 1,714 1,747 1,805 1,915% chg 10.2 1.9 3.3 6.1

    NIM (%) 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.3

    EPS (`) 38.8 39.8 41.1 43.7P/E (x) 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1

    P/ABV (x) 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7

    RoA (%) 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1

    RoE (%) 23.5 20.4 18.2 16.9

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    ACCUMULATECMP `177

    Target Price `197

    Investment Period 12 months

    Stock Info

    Sector Banking

    Market Cap (`cr) 7,626

    Beta 1.1

    52 Week High / Low 265/167

    Avg. Daily Volume 55,877

    Face Value (`) 10

    BSE Sensex 16,216

    Nifty 4,908

    Reuters Code INBA.BO

    Bloomberg Code INBK@IN

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 80.0

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 4.7

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 9.1

    Indian Public / Others 6.2

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex (9.1) (12.5) 36.6

    Indian Bank (27.7) (23.6) 81.3

    Vaibhav Agrawal022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808

    [email protected]

    Varun Varma022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847

    [email protected]

    Sourabh Taparia022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872

    [email protected]

    Indian BankPerformance Highlights

    4QFY2012 Result Update | Banking

    May 14, 2012

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

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    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 2

    Exhibit 1:4QFY2012performanceParticulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)Interest earned 3,191 3,224 (1.0) 2,594 23.0- on Advances / Bills 2,414 2,494 (3.2) 1,984 21.6- on investments 773 725 6.5 605 27.7

    - on balance with RBI & others 5 5 6.9 5 1.5

    Interest Expended 2,108 2,054 2.7 1,483 42.2Net Interest Income 1,083 1,170 (7.5) 1,111 (2.6)Other income 307 281 9.1 272 13.0Other income excl. treasury 280 263 6.4 266 5.1

    - Fee Income 234 235 (0.5) 177 31.9

    - Treasury Income 27 18 48.2 5 404.4

    - Recoveries from writ.-off acc 46 28 64.2 89 (48.3)

    Operating income 1,390 1,451 (4.3) 1,383 0.5Operating expenses 592 540 9.7 480 23.5- Employee expenses 386 372 3.9 309 25.0

    - Other Opex 206 168 22.8 170 20.8

    Pre-provision Profit 797 912 (12.5) 903 (11.7)Provisions & Contingencies 562 236 137.9 127 343.1

    PBT 235 675 (65.1) 776 (69.7)Provision for Tax (110) 150 (173.6) 337 (132.6)

    PAT 345 526 (34.3) 439 (21.3)Effective Tax Rate (%) (46.7) 22.1 (6886)bp 43.5 (9019)bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:4QFY2012 actual vs. Angel estimatesParticulars (` cr) Actual Estimates Var. (%)NII 1,083 1,220 (11.3)Non-interest income 307 334 (8.0)

    Operating income 1,390 1,554 (10.6)Operating expenses 592 581 2.0

    Pre-prov. profit 797 973 (18.1)Provisions & cont. 562 202 178.6

    PBT 235 771 (69.5)

    Prov. for taxes (110) 247 (144.6)PAT 345 525 (34.2)Source: Company, Angel Research

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

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    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 3

    Exhibit 3:4QFY2012 performanceParticulars 4QFY12 3QFY12 %chg (qoq) 4QFY11 %chg (yoy)Balance sheetAdvances (`cr) 90,324 87,337 3.4 75,250 20.0Deposits (`cr) 120,804 118,970 1.5 105,804 14.2

    Credit-to-Deposit Ratio (%) 74.8 73.4 136bp 71.1 365bp

    Current deposits (`cr) 6,924 6,430 7.7 6,368 8.7

    Saving deposits (`cr) 29,942 29,489 1.5 26,271 14.0

    CASA deposits (`cr) 36,866 35,919 2.6 32,639 13.0

    CASA ratio (%) 30.5 30.2 33bp 30.8 (33)bp

    CAR (%) 13.5 11.8 163bp 13.6 (9)bp

    Tier 1 CAR (%) 11.1 9.6 158bp 11.0 11bp

    Profitability Ratios (%)Cost of deposits 6.8 6.9 (8)bp 5.6 115bp

    Yield on advances 10.9 11.7 (76)bp 10.6 33bp

    Yield on investments 7.5 7.6 (16)bp 7.2 27bp

    Reported NIM 3.2 3.6 (42)bp 3.9 (70)bp

    Cost-to-income ratio 42.6 37.2 544bp 34.7 794bp

    Asset qualityGross NPAs (`cr) 1,851 1,190 55.5 740 150.0

    Gross NPAs (%) 2.0 1.4 68bp 1.0 105bp

    Net NPAs (`cr) 1,197 695 72.1 397 201.4

    Net NPAs (%) 1.3 0.8 53bp 0.5 80bp

    Provision Coverage Ratio (%) 70.1 76.5 (637)bp 84.3 (1417)bp

    Slippage ratio (%) 5.5 1.6 397bp 1.9 361bp

    NPA to avg. assets (%) 1.4 0.3 103bp 0.8 55bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Advances growth healthy; NIM declines sequentially

    During 4QFY2012, advances for the bank grew at a healthy pace of 20.0%

    yoy, mainly aided by strong growth in the corporate and commercial and agri

    segments, which grew by 20.9% and 24.5% yoy, respectively.

    On the liability side, growth in deposits was rather moderate at 14.2% yoy.

    CASA deposits grew at a slower pace of 13.0% yoy, on the back of 8.7% yoygrowth in current account deposits, despite decent 14.0% yoy growth in savings

    accounts deposits, which led to a 33bp yoy fall in CASA ratio to 30.5% (up by

    33bp sequentially).

    The banks yield on advances declined by 76bp qoq to 10.9% due to interest

    reversal of `151cr, while cost of deposits also declined by 8bp qoq to 6.8%,

    leading to a 42bp sequential fall in reported NIM to 3.2%. Yield on investments for

    the bank declined by 16bp qoq to 7.5%.

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

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    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 4

    Exhibit 4:Business growth trends

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 5:CASA ratio improved sequentially

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 6:76bp qoq dip in yield on advances leads to...

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:... sequential fall of 42bp in reported NIM

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Strong growth in fee income as recoveries decline

    Growth in fee income for the bank was strong at 31.9% yoy to `234cr. Treasury

    income of the bank for the quarter came in at`27cr in 4QFY2012 vis--vis`5cr in

    4QFY2011. Recoveries from written-off accounts were sluggish, declining by

    48.3% yoy to`46cr. Overall, other income excluding treasury grew at a subdued

    pace of 5.1% yoy to`280cr.

    Asset quality deteriorates

    The banks asset quality deteriorated sequentially during 4QFY2012, with gross

    and net NPAs increasing considerably on a qoq basis. While gross NPAs increased

    sequentially to 2.0% during the quarter from 1.4%, net NPA ratio climbed to 1.3%

    from 0.8%. Annualized slippage ratio increased on a sequential basis to 5.5% in

    4QFY2012 as against comfortable 1.6% witnessed in 3QFY2012. Major sectors

    contributing to the steep rise in slippages were infra (`192cr), glass (`109cr), textile

    (`97cr), gem and gold trade (`91cr), auto and engineering (`91cr), real estate

    (`67cr) and agri (`66cr).Provision coverage ratio (including technical write-offs)

    for the bank dipped by 637bp to 70.1%, marginally above the regulatory specifiedlevels of 70%.

    20.1

    21.3

    23.5

    18.2

    20.0

    24.0

    21.3

    18.6

    17.8

    14.2

    71.1

    74.7

    73.873.4

    74.8

    68.0

    70.0

    72.0

    74.0

    76.0

    -

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    30.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Adv. yoy chg (%) Dep. yoy chg (%) CDR (%, RHS)

    30.8

    31.0

    29.8

    30.2

    30.5

    15.1 15.0

    9.511.1

    13.0

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    29.0

    30.0

    31.0

    32.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    CASA ratio CASA yoy growth (%, RHS)

    10.5711.13

    12.0711.66

    10.90

    4.00

    6.00

    8.00

    10.00

    12.00

    14.00

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

    3.86

    3.43

    3.763.58

    3.16

    2.00

    2.40

    2.80

    3.20

    3.60

    4.00

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

    5/11

    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 5

    Additionally, the banks restructured book increased by ~`3,330cr to `8,902cr

    during the quarter. The increase in restructured book can be majorly attributed to

    restructuring of loans worth ~`800cr to Air India and ~`1,200cr to the power

    sector. Going ahead, the bank is expected to restructure ~`

    1,157cr worth ofadvances in 1QFY2013, of which ~50% would be Rajasthan discoms.

    Exhibit 8:Asset quality deteriorates in 4QFY2012

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 9:Slippage ratio surges in 4QFY2012

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 10:Cost-to-income ratio spikes up

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11:Opex-to-average asset trends

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Investment arguments

    Indian Bank's performance has broadly been positive and balanced since its listing

    in 2007, leading to a gradual improvement in the quality of earnings, visible

    amongst other things in the substantial ~50bp decline in the bank's operating

    costs as a percentage of assets. Additionally, the bank's CMD has a five-year

    tenure, which provides a reasonable strategic stability to the bank.

    Rural and semi-urban presence relatively high, moderate CASA

    Indian Bank opened 95 branches in FY2012, taking its total branch network to

    1,958. The bank has higher proportion of rural and semi-urban presence (~55%

    of its total branches). Aided by this, the bank has moderate CASA of 30.5% as of

    FY2012, with CASA registering a 17.2% CAGR during FY200712 and growing by

    13.0% yoy in FY2012.

    1.0

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    2.0

    0.5

    0.5

    0.7

    0.8

    1.3

    84.3 84.179.4 76.5

    70.1

    -

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    100.0

    0.2

    0.7

    1.2

    1.7

    2.2

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Gross NPAs (%) Net NPAs (%) NPA coverage (%, RHS)

    1.9

    0.9 2

    .01.6

    5.5

    0.8

    0.2 0.3 0.3

    1.4

    -

    0.20.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    -

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Slippages (%) Credit cost (%, RHS)

    309

    359

    367

    372

    386

    170

    139

    190

    168

    206

    34.738.9 37.7 37.2

    42.6

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    -

    150

    300

    450

    600

    750

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Staff exps (` cr) Other opex (` cr) CIR (%, RHS)

    34.7

    38.9

    37.7

    37.2

    42.6

    1.6 1.6

    1.7

    1.6

    1.7

    1.5

    1.6

    1.6

    1.7

    1.7

    1.8

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Cost-to-income ratio (%) Opex to average assets (%, RHS)

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

    6/11

    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 6

    Investment concerns

    Relatively high yields

    A larger portion of SME and mid-corporate loans has contributed to the banksrelatively high yield on advances. This has supported its NIM, which in FY2012 was

    higher than even larger banks having ~40% CASA deposits vs. Indian Banks

    ~30%. Past experience shows that banks that delivered high NIM on the back of

    high yields later paid the price for the higher risk taken in the form of higher NPAs

    in subsequent years. The bank has just started feeling the heat on the asset-quality

    front, as evident from the surge in slippages and increased restructuring.

    Accordingly, going ahead, as in case of other banks with unsustainably high

    yields, we remain cautious on the banks asset quality and NIM outlook.

    Outlook and valuation

    The stock currently trades at 0.7x FY2014E ABV, below its five-year trading range

    (0.8x-1.3x) and median of 1.0x. Due to cheap valuations, we have an Accumulaterating on the stock with a target price of `197. However, in our view, upsides arelikely to be lower than peers, as we remain circumspect on the banks high RoAs.

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

    7/11

    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 7

    Exhibit 12:Key assumptionsParticulars (%) Earlier estimates Revised estimatesFY2013E FY2014E FY2013E FY2014ECredit growth 17.5 18.0 18.0 18.0Deposit growth 17.0 17.0 19.0 18.0

    CASA ratio 28.3 27.3 28.5 27.3

    NIM 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.3

    Other income growth 3.4 7.3 4.9 7.5

    Growth in staff expenses 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0

    Growth in other expenses 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0

    Slippages 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6

    Coverage ratio 76.0 75.0 70.0 70.0

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 13:Change in estimatesParticulars(` cr)

    FY2013 FY2014Earlierestimates Revisedestimates % chg Earlierestimates Revisedestimates % chg

    NII 5,222 5,075 (2.8) 5,905 5,789 (2.0)

    Non-interest income 1,248 1,238 (0.8) 1,339 1,330 (0.7)

    Operating income 6,469 6,312 (2.4) 7,244 7,119 (1.7)Operating expenses 2,502 2,515 0.5 2,877 2,892 0.5

    Pre-prov. profit 3,968 3,797 (4.3) 4,367 4,227 (3.2)Provisions & cont. 1,020 1,256 23.1 1,206 1,393 15.5

    PBT 2,948 2,542 (13.8) 3,161 2,834 (10.3)

    Prov. for taxes 956 737 (22.9) 1,026 920 (10.3)

    PAT 1,991 1,805 (9.4) 2,135 1,915 (10.3)Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 14:P/ABV bands

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Mar-07

    Jun-0

    7

    Sep-0

    7

    Dec-0

    7

    Mar-08

    Jun-0

    8

    Sep-0

    8

    Dec-0

    8

    Mar-09

    Jun-0

    9

    Sep-0

    9

    Dec-0

    9

    Mar-10

    Jun-1

    0

    Sep-1

    0

    Dec-1

    0

    Mar-11

    Jun-1

    1

    Sep-1

    1

    Dec-1

    1

    Mar-12

    Jun-1

    2

    Sep-1

    2

    Dec-1

    2

    Mar-13

    Price(`) 0.5x 0.8x 1.1x 1.4x 1.7x

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

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    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 8

    Exhibit 15:Recommendation summaryCompany Reco. CMP(`) Tgt.Price (`) Upside(%) FY2014EP/ABV (x) FY2014ETgt. P/ABV (x) FY2014EP/E (x) FY12-14ECAGR in EPS (%) FY2014ERoA (%) FY2014ERoE (%)AxisBk Buy 994 1,587 59.6 1.3 2.2 7.1 16.4 1.5 20.3

    FedBk Neutral 413 - - 1.0 - 7.2 12.5 1.3 14.5

    HDFCBk Accumulate 501 567 13.2 2.9 3.3 14.1 27.0 1.7 22.1

    ICICIBk* Buy 799 1,201 50.3 1.3 1.9 9.9 20.4 1.5 16.0

    SIB Neutral 22 - - 1.0 - 5.8 4.5 0.8 17.5

    YesBk Buy 318 470 47.6 1.6 2.4 7.7 22.5 1.4 23.3

    AllBk Accumulate 147 166 13.0 0.6 0.7 3.5 6.2 0.9 17.6

    AndhBk Neutral 104 - - 0.6 - 4.1 3.3 0.9 16.0

    BOB Buy 625 925 48.1 0.7 1.1 4.2 11.1 1.1 18.2

    BOI Buy 353 411 16.3 0.7 1.0 4.5 23.3 0.8 16.9

    BOM Buy 47 55 17.3 0.6 0.7 3.6 45.3 0.7 17.2

    CanBk Buy 409 522 27.7 0.7 0.9 4.4 11.8 0.9 16.4CentBk Neutral 76 - - 0.7 - 3.7 100.1 0.5 14.4

    CorpBk Buy 406 486 19.7 0.5 0.7 3.6 5.3 0.8 16.5

    DenaBk Buy 82 111 35.9 0.5 0.7 3.1 6.6 0.9 17.0

    IDBI# Buy 89 117 30.7 0.5 0.7 3.7 22.7 0.9 14.8

    IndBk Accumulate 177 197 10.8 0.7 0.7 4.1 4.8 1.1 16.9IOB Buy 79 96 21.3 0.5 0.6 3.7 28.3 0.6 13.9

    J&KBk Accumulate 861 960 11.5 0.8 0.9 4.4 8.8 1.4 18.6

    OBC Buy 217 274 25.9 0.5 0.6 3.4 27.7 0.8 14.3

    PNB Buy 724 1,066 47.3 0.7 1.1 4.1 10.3 1.0 18.1

    SBI* Buy 1,840 2,511 36.5 1.1 1.6 6.8 23.6 1.0 19.1

    SynBk Buy 90 131 45.4 0.5 0.7 3.0 17.3 0.8 17.1

    UcoBk Neutral 66 - - 0.6 - 3.7 13.0 0.6 15.4

    UnionBk Buy 201 276 37.3 0.7 0.9 4.0 24.8 0.8 17.5

    UtdBk Buy 57 78 37.0 0.4 0.6 2.5 22.5 0.7 16.5

    VijBk Neutral 52 - - 0.6 - 4.3 13.5 0.5 13.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries),# Without adjusting for SASF

  • 7/31/2019 Indian Bank Result Updated

    9/11

    Indian Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 14, 2012 9

    Income statementY/E March (` cr) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14ENII 1,992 2,609 3,161 4,036 4,418 5,075 5,789- YoY Growth (%) 6.4 31.0 21.2 27.7 9.5 14.9 14.1Other Income 1,068 1,035 1,316 1,182 1,180 1,238 1,330- YoY Growth (%) 29.7 (3.0) 27.1 (10.2) (0.2) 4.9 7.5

    Operating Income 3,060 3,644 4,478 5,218 5,598 6,312 7,119- YoY Growth (%) 13.5 19.1 22.9 16.5 7.3 12.8 12.8

    Operating Expenses 1,400 1,415 1,730 1,926 2,187 2,515 2,892- YoY Growth (%) 12.3 1.1 22.3 11.3 13.5 15.0 15.0

    Pre-Provision Profit 1,659 2,229 2,747 3,292 3,411 3,797 4,227- YoY Growth (%) 14.6 34.3 23.3 19.8 3.6 11.3 11.3

    Prov. & Cont. 424 443 396 657 1,195 1,256 1,393- YoY Growth (%) (24.8) 4.3 (10.6) 66.1 81.9 5.0 10.9

    Profit Before Tax 1,235 1,786 2,352 2,634 2,216 2,542 2,834- YoY Growth (%) 39.7 44.6 31.7 12.0 (15.9) 14.7 11.5

    Prov. for Taxation 226 541 797 920 469 737 920- as a % of PBT 18.3 30.3 33.9 34.9 21.2 29.0 32.4

    PAT 1,009 1,245 1,555 1,714 1,747 1,805 1,915- YoY Growth (%) 32.8 23.5 24.9 10.2 1.9 3.3 6.1

    Preference Dividend 40 43 46 46 37 37 36PAT avl. To equity sh. 969 1,203 1,509 1,668 1,710 1,767 1,878- YoY Growth (%) 33.9 24.1 25.5 10.5 2.5 3.4 6.3

    Balance sheetY/E March (` cr) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EShare Capital 830 830 830 830 830 830 830

    Equity 430 430 430 430 430 430 430

    Preference 400 400 400 400 400 400 400

    Reserves & Surplus 4,381 6,306 7,442 8,691 9,972 11,339 12,793

    Deposits 61,046 72,582 88,228 105,804 120,804 143,757 169,633

    - Growth (%) 29.6 18.9 21.6 19.9 14.2 19.0 18.0

    Borrowings 1,283 531 657 800 2,828 3,346 3,930

    Tier 2 Capital 216 300 300 1,300 2,044 2,412 2,847

    Other Liab. & Prov. 2,752 3,573 3,932 4,293 4,941 5,625 6,478

    Total Liabilities 70,508 84,122 101,389 121,718 141,419 167,310 196,510Cash Balances 6,433 6,212 7,061 6,878 6,319 5,750 6,785

    Bank Balances 340 472 1,052 1,684 2,494 2,951 3,466

    Investments 21,915 22,801 28,268 34,784 37,976 46,990 54,642

    Advances 39,839 51,465 62,146 75,250 90,324 106,582 125,767

    - Growth (%) 37.1 29.2 20.8 21.1 20.0 18.0 18.0

    Fixed Assets 539 1,594 1,580 1,606 1,631 1,871 2,132

    Other Assets 1,442 1,578 1,282 1,516 2,676 3,165 3,718

    Total Assets 70,508 84,122 101,389 121,718 141,419 167,310 196,510- Growth (%) 25.6 19.3 20.5 20.1 16.2 18.3 17.5

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    Ratio analysis

    Y/E March FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EProfitability ratios (%)NIMs 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.3Cost to Income Ratio 45.8 38.8 38.6 36.9 39.1 39.8 40.6

    RoA 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1

    RoE 25.8 24.7 25.6 23.5 20.4 18.2 16.9

    B/S ratios (%)CASA Ratio 32.3 31.6 32.2 30.9 30.5 28.5 27.3

    Credit/Deposit Ratio 65.3 70.9 70.4 71.1 74.8 74.1 74.1

    CAR 12.9 13.3 12.7 13.6 14.2 13.8 13.3

    - Tier I 11.4 11.3 11.1 11.0 11.0 10.6 10.2

    Asset Quality (%)Gross NPAs 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 2.0 3.3 4.3

    Net NPAs 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.8

    Slippages 1.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.5 2.6 2.6

    Loan loss prov. /avg. assets 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7

    Provision Coverage 79.9 79.6 93.6 84.3 70.1 70.0 70.0

    Per Share Data (`)EPS 22.5 28.0 35.1 38.8 39.8 41.1 43.7

    ABVPS 106.9 127.5 154.7 184.4 209.7 239.5 271.2

    DPS 3.0 5.0 6.5 7.5 7.5 8.0 8.5

    Valuation RatiosPER (x) 7.9 6.3 5.1 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1

    P/ABVPS (x) 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7

    Dividend Yield 1.7 2.8 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.8

    DuPont Analysis (%)NII 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2

    (-) Prov. Exp. 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8

    Adj. NII 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.5 2.4

    Treasury 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0

    Int. Sens. Inc. 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.5

    Other Inc. 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7

    Op. Inc. 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.1 3.3 3.3 3.1

    Opex 2.2 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6PBT 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.7 1.6 1.6

    Taxes 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.5

    RoA 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1Leverage (x) 16.2 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.4 15.6 16.1

    RoE 25.8 24.7 25.6 23.5 20.4 18.2 16.9

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    Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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    Disclosure of Interest Statement Indian Bank

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