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  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

    1/11

    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Particulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)NII 1,337 1,325 0.9 1,161 15.1Pre-prov. profit 790 923 (14.3) 672 17.6

    PAT 309 338 (8.5) 289 7.0Source: Company, Angel Research

    Syndicate Bank reported a 22.0% yoy decline in its profit before tax (PBT) to `248cr,

    despite healthy 17.6% growth in pre-provisioning profit on the back of higher

    provisioning expenses, partly because the bank was one of the few PSU banks which

    increased provision coverage sequentially. However, net profit grew by moderate 7.0%

    yoy on the back of negative tax expense of `61cr during the quarter as against taxexpense of `30cr in 3QFY2012. We recommend a Buy rating on the stock.Business growth remains moderate; slippages surge: During the quarter, businessgrowth remained moderate. Advances grew by 15.8% yoy to `123,620cr, aided by

    healthy growth of 17.6% and 29.7% yoy in agriculture and weaker section credit,

    respectively. Growth in deposits was relatively high compared to advances growth at

    16.5% yoy, mainly on account of 24.2% growth in term deposits to `108,606cr.

    CASA deposits grew by 10.7% yoy on account of moderate growth of 9.9% yoy in

    savings deposits and 12.9% yoy in current deposits. Consequently, CASA ratio

    dipped by 154bp yoy to 29.4%. Reported NIM improved by 15bp qoq to 3.60%. The

    banks asset quality deteriorated sequentially with slippages increasing to `1,059cr,

    much above the average quarterly run rate of `591cr for the past four quarters.

    Consequently, gross annualized slippage ratio for the bank increased substantially

    on a sequential basis to 4.0% during 4QFY2012 as against 1.9% in 3QFY2012.

    While gross NPAs increased from 2.3% to 2.5%, net NPA ratio increased from 0.9%

    to 1.0%. The bank increased its provisioning coverage to 80.1% in 4QFY2012 from

    78.5% in 3QFY2012. If the bank had not increased its provisioning coverage, PBT

    would have been higher by`97cr (38.4% yoy). The bank restructured ~`1,700cr of

    loans during the quarter (majorly Air Indias ~`1,000cr), taking its outstanding

    restructured advances to ~`6,200cr (~4.8% of the overall loan book).

    Outlook and valuation: The stock is currently trading at 0.5x FY2014E ABV (itsfive-year range of 0.61.1x and median of 0.8x). Also, valuations appear cheap

    compared to its peers, which are trading at higher multiples, although they have

    similar or poorer fundamentals. We value the stock at 0.7x FY2014E ABV andrecommend Buy on the stock with a target price of `131.Key financialsY/E March (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014ENII 4,383 5,085 5,912 6,869% chg 60.0 16.0 16.3 16.2

    Net profit 1,048 1,313 1,561 1,806% chg 28.8 25.3 18.9 15.7

    NIM (%) 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0

    EPS (`) 18.3 21.8 25.9 30.0P/E (x) 5.0 4.2 3.5 3.0P/ABV (x) 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5

    RoA (%) 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8

    RoE (%) 17.6 17.2 16.9 17.1

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    BUYCMP `91

    Target Price `131

    Investment Period 12 Months

    Stock Info

    Sector Banking

    Market Cap (` cr) 5,469

    Beta 1.2

    52 Week High / Low 125/67

    Avg. Daily Volume 85,892

    Face Value (`) 10

    BSE Sensex 16,293

    Nifty 4,929

    Reuters Code SBNK.BO

    Bloomberg Code SNDB@IN

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 66.2

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 17.5

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 4.2

    Indian Public / Others 12.1

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex (8.2) (12.3) 39.5

    Syndicate Bank (18.7) (20.2) 60.7

    Vaibhav Agrawal022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808

    [email protected]

    Varun Varma022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847

    [email protected]

    Sourabh Taparia022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872

    [email protected]

    Syndicate BankPerformance Highlights

    4QFY2012 Result Update | Banking

    May 11, 2012

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 2

    Exhibit 1:4QFY2012 performanceParticulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)Interest earned 4,125 3,974 3.8 3,162 30.4- on Advances / Bills 3,300 3,212 2.7 2,593 27.2- on investments 755 733 3.1 574 31.7

    - on balance with RBI & others 70 18 278.9 0 43,525.0

    - on others - 10 (100.0) (5) (100.0)

    Interest Expended 2,788 2,649 5.2 2,001 39.3Net Interest Income 1,337 1,325 0.9 1,161 15.1Other income 300 240 24.6 255 17.7Other income excl. treasury 286 235 21.6 247 16.1

    - Fee Income 159 143 11.1 160 (0.7)

    - Treasury Income 13 5 168.4 8 67.8

    - Profit on exchange transactions 30 31 2.7 24 27.2

    - Others 98 61 59.3 63 56.3

    Operating income 1,636 1,565 4.5 1,416 15.6Operating expenses 846 643 31.6 744 13.7- Employee expenses 594 394 50.7 521 14.1

    - Other Opex 252 248 1.3 223 12.9

    Pre-provision Profit 790 923 (14.3) 672 17.6Provisions & Contingencies 542 544 (0.3) 353 53.6- Provisions for NPAs 321 386 (17.0) 176 82.1

    - Provisions for Investments (12) 10 (221.5) 2 (606.3)

    - Other Provisions 234 148 58.3 175 33.9

    PBT 248 379 (34.5) 319 (22.2)Provision for Tax (61) 41 (249.5) 30 (306.0)PAT 309 338 (8.5) 289 7.0Effective Tax Rate (%) (24.6) 10.8 (3544)bp 9.3 (3395)bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:4QFY2012 Actual vs. Angel estimatesParticulars (` cr) Actual Estimates % chgNet interest income 1,337 1,368 (2.3)

    Non-interest income 300 283 6.0

    Operating income 1,636 1,651 (0.9)Operating expenses 846 689 22.7

    Pre-prov. profit 790 962 (17.8)Provisions & cont. 542 432 25.6

    PBT 248 530 (53.2)

    Prov. for taxes (61) 201 (130.4)

    PAT 309 329 (6.0)Source: Company, Angel Research

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 3

    Exhibit 3:4QFY2012 performanceParticulars 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)Balance sheetAdvances (`cr) 123,620 114,817 7.7 106,782 15.8Deposits (`cr) 157,941 143,128 10.3 135,596 16.5

    Credit-to-Deposit Ratio (%) 78.3 80.2 (195)bp 78.8 (48)bp

    Current deposits (`cr) 12,129 11,020 10.1 10,739 12.9

    Saving deposits (`cr) 34,295 32,994 3.9 31,207 9.9

    CASA deposits (`cr) 46,424 44,014 5.5 41,946 10.7

    CASA ratio (%) 29.4 30.8 (136)bp 30.9 (154)bp

    CAR (%) 12.2 11.5 76bp 13.0 (80)bp

    Tier 1 CAR (%) 8.9 8.4 59bp 9.3 (37)bp

    Profitability Ratios (%)Cost of deposits 6.9 6.9 1bp 5.8 112bp

    Yield on advances 11.0 11.1 (10)bp 9.9 116bp

    Reported NIM 3.6 3.5 15bp 3.4 17bp

    Cost-to-income ratio 51.7 41.1 1064bp 52.5 (84)bp

    Asset qualityGross NPAs (` cr) 3,183 2,674 19.0 2,599 22.5

    Gross NPAs (%) 2.5 2.3 24bp 2.4 13bp

    Net NPAs (`cr) 1,185 993 19.4 1,031 15.0

    Net NPAs (%) 1.0 0.9 10bp 1.0 (1)bp

    Provision Coverage Ratio (%) 80.1 78.5 156bp 77.2 288bp

    Slippage ratio (%) 4.0 1.9 209bp 2.4 157bp

    NPA to avg. assets (%) 0.7 0.9 (20)bp 0.5 26bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Business growth remains moderate; NIM improves by 15bp qoq

    During the quarter, business growth for the bank remained moderate. Advances

    grew by 15.8% yoy to `123,620cr, aided by healthy growth of 17.6% and 29.7%

    yoy in agriculture and weaker section credit, respectively. Growth in deposits was

    relatively high compared to growth in advances at 16.5% yoy, mainly on account

    of 24.2% growth in term deposits to `108,606cr.

    CASA deposits grew by 10.7% yoy on account of moderate growth of 9.9% yoy insavings deposits and 12.9% yoy in current deposits. Consequently, CASA ratio

    dipped by 154bp yoy to 29.4%. Even, on a sequential basis, CASA ratio declined

    by 136bp on the back of a 3.9% qoq increase in savings deposits, despite a

    healthy 10.1% qoq increase in current deposits.

    Cost of deposits remained flat sequentially at 6.92%. Yield on investment grew by

    57bp qoq to 8.04%, while yield on advances declined by 10bp qoq to 11.01%.

    Reported NIM for the bank improved by 15bp qoq to 3.60%.

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 4

    Exhibit 4:Business growth remains moderate

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 5:CASA ratio dips by 136bp qoq

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 6:CoD remains flat on a qoq basis

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:NIM improves by 15bp qoq

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Asset quality deteriorates sequentially; slippages surge

    The banks asset quality deteriorated sequentially with slippages increasing to

    `1,059cr, much above the average quarterly run rate of `591cr for the past four

    quarters. Consequently, gross annualized slippage ratio for the bank increased

    substantially on a sequential basis to 4.0% during 4QFY2012 as against 1.9% in

    3QFY2012. On an absolute basis, both gross and net NPAs for the bank

    increased by ~19% sequentially. While gross NPAs increased from 2.3% to 2.5%,

    net NPA ratio increased from 0.9% to 1.0%.

    The bank increased its provisioning coverage (one of the few PSU banks to do so)

    to 80.1% in 4QFY2012 from 78.5% in 3QFY2012. If the bank had not increased

    its provisioning coverage, PBT would have been higher by`97cr (38.4% yoy).

    The bank restructured ~`1,700cr of loans during the quarter (majorly Air Indias

    ~`1,000cr), taking its outstanding restructured advances to ~`6,200cr (~4.8% of

    the overall loan book). In terms of CDR restructuring pipeline, management

    specified a sum of `1,050cr pertaining to seven accounts, which are under active

    stage of CDR discussion.

    18.1

    15.8

    18.9

    14.9

    15.8

    15.9

    22.4

    21.5

    14.9

    16.5

    78.8

    82.0

    79.880.2

    78.3

    76.0

    77.0

    78.0

    79.0

    80.0

    81.082.0

    83.0

    -

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Adv. yoy chg (%) Dep. yoy chg (%) CDR (%, RHS)

    30.9

    31.1

    30.5

    30.8

    29.4

    14.8

    5.8 6.4 6.6

    10.7

    -

    7.5

    15.0

    22.5

    25.0

    27.5

    30.0

    32.5

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    CASA ratio CASA yoy growth (%, RHS)

    5.80

    6.366.69

    6.91 6.92

    4.00

    6.00

    8.00

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    3.43

    3.16

    3.44 3.453.60

    2.00

    2.50

    3.00

    3.50

    4.00

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 5

    Exhibit 8:Slippages surge in 4QFY2012

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 9:NPA ratio deteriorates slightly on a qoq basis

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: PCR including tech. write-offs

    Operating expenses increased by 13.7% yoyFor 4QFY2012, the banks operating expenses increased on a yoy basis by 13.7%,

    driven by a 14.1% yoy increase in staff expenses. Cost-to-income ratio further

    increased to 51.7% in 4QFY2012 from 41.1% witnessed in 3QFY2012. Operating

    expense to average assets increased to 1.9% in 4QFY2012 from 1.6% in

    3QFY2012.

    Exhibit 10:Staff expenses increase by 14.1% yoy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11:Cost ratios deteriorate sequentially

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    2.4

    1.3

    3.6

    1.9

    4.0

    -

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

    2.4

    2.4

    2.4

    2.3

    2.5

    1.0

    0.9

    0.9

    0.9

    1.0

    77.2 78.4 78.5 78.5 80.1

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    80.0

    90.0

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Gross NPAs (%) Net NPAs (%) PCR (%, RHS)

    521

    454

    449

    394

    594

    (20.0)

    (10.0)

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Staff expenses (` cr) YoY change (%)

    52.

    5

    47.

    0

    42.

    8

    41.

    1

    51.

    7

    2.01.7 1.7

    1.6

    1.9

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    -

    15.0

    30.0

    45.0

    60.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Cost-to-income ratio (%) Opex to average assets (%, RHS)

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 6

    Investment argument

    Better asset quality and moderate NIM to drive profitability

    The bank witnessed a surge in slippages in 4QFY2012 to 4.0%. Though slippagesare likely to remain above average levels due to the deteriorating domestic macro

    environment, we believe asset-quality pressures are likely to be well within

    manageable levels for Syndicate Bank, as evident from the comfortable

    provisioning coverage for the bank at 80.1% as of FY2012. The banks

    conservative lending, visible in its low yield on advances (11.0% in FY2012) and

    moderate advances growth (16.9% CAGR over FY2010-12), is expected to lead to

    better asset quality than peers. Accordingly, we expect slippages to be at 2.7%

    both for FY2013 and FY2014. Moreover, the banks reported its NIM at healthy

    levels of 3.43% in FY2012. We expect the banks NIM to be at 3.0% in FY2013.

    Outlook and valuation

    We expect Syndicate Bank to deliver RoEs of 16.9% and 17.1% in FY2013 and

    FY2014, respectively, on the back of its better asset-quality outlook than peers and

    moderate NIM. The bank has a modest CASA franchise with a CASA ratio of

    29.4% (as of 4QFY2012), while fee income is also modest at 0.6% of average

    assets (as of FY2012).

    However, that said, the banks cheaper valuations and lower

    asset-quality concerns turn the tide in the stocks favor. The stock is currently

    trading at 0.5x FY2014E ABV (its five-year range of 0.61.1x and median of 0.8x).

    Also, valuations appear cheap compared to its peers, which are tradingat higher multiples, although they have similar or poorer fundamentals. We value

    the stock at 0.7x FY2014E ABV and recommend Buy on the stock with a targetprice of `131.Exhibit 12:Key assumptionsParticulars (%) Earlier estimates Revised estimatesFY2013 FY2014 FY2013 FY2014Credit growth 13.5 14.0 17.0 17.0

    Deposit growth 16.0 16.0 19.0 18.0

    CASA ratio 28.2 27.4 27.4 26.2

    NIMs 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0

    Other income growth 10.0 11.9 13.5 13.5

    Growth in staff expenses 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.0

    Growth in other expenses 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.0

    Slippages 3.0 3.2 2.7 2.7

    Coverage ratio 82.5 80.0 79.0 77.5

    Source: Angel Research

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 7

    Exhibit 13:Change in estimatesParticulars (` cr) FY2013 FY2014Earlierestimates Revisedestimates Var. (%) Earlierestimates Revisedestimates Var. (%)NII 5,904 5,912 0.1 6,658 6,869 3.2

    Non-interest income 1,165 1,221 4.8 1,304 1,386 6.3

    Operating income 7,069 7,133 0.9 7,961 8,255 3.7Operating expenses 3,003 3,208 6.8 3,393 3,657 7.8

    Pre-prov. profit 4,066 3,925 (3.5) 4,568 4,598 0.7Provisions & cont. 1,832 1,786 (2.5) 1,928 1,924 (0.2)

    PBT 2,234 2,139 (4.3) 2,640 2,674 1.3

    Prov. for taxes 725 577 (20.3) 857 867 1.3

    PAT 1,509 1,561 3.4 1,784 1,806 1.3Source: Angel Research

    Exhibit 14:P/ABV band

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    240

    Apr-06

    Oct-06

    Apr-07

    Oct-07

    Apr-08

    Oct-08

    Apr-09

    Oct-09

    Apr-10

    Oct-10

    Apr-11

    Oct-11

    Apr-12

    Oct-12

    Price (`) 0.5x 0.7x 0.9x 1.1x 1.3x

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 8

    Exhibit 15:Recommendation summaryCompany Reco. CMP(`) Tgt. price(`) Upside(%) FY2014EP/ABV (x) FY2014ETgt. P/ABV (x) FY2014EP/E (x) FY2012-14EEPS CAGR (%) FY2014ERoA (%) FY2014ERoE (%)AxisBk Buy 1,001 1,587 58.5 1.4 2.2 7.2 16.4 1.5 20.3

    FedBk Neutral 415 - - 1.0 - 7.3 13.0 1.3 14.5

    HDFCBk Accumulate 511 567 10.9 2.9 3.3 14.4 27.0 1.7 22.1

    ICICIBk* Buy 813 1,201 47.8 1.3 1.9 10.0 20.4 1.5 16.0

    SIB Neutral 22 - - 1.0 - 5.8 4.5 0.8 17.5

    YesBk Buy 329 470 42.6 1.7 2.4 7.9 22.5 1.4 23.3

    AllBk Accumulate 148 166 12.3 0.6 0.7 3.5 6.2 0.9 17.6

    AndhBk Neutral 105 - - 0.6 - 4.1 3.3 0.9 16.0

    BOB Buy 649 925 42.6 0.7 1.1 4.3 11.1 1.1 18.2

    BOI Buy 353 411 16.3 0.7 1.0 4.5 23.3 0.8 16.9

    BOM Accumulate 48 55 14.4 0.6 0.7 3.7 45.3 0.7 17.2

    CanBk Buy 419 522 24.6 0.7 0.9 4.5 11.8 0.9 16.4CentBk Neutral 78 - - 0.7 - 3.8 100.1 0.5 14.4

    CorpBk Buy 405 504 24.4 0.5 0.7 3.6 5.3 0.8 16.5

    DenaBk Buy 85 111 30.7 0.5 0.7 3.2 6.6 0.9 17.0

    IDBI# Buy 92 117 27.0 0.6 0.7 3.8 22.7 0.9 14.8

    IndBk Buy 180 218 21.6 0.6 0.8 3.7 5.4 1.2 18.2

    IOB Buy 82 96 18.0 0.5 0.6 3.8 28.3 0.6 13.9

    J&KBk Neutral 846 - - 0.7 - 4.3 8.8 1.4 18.6

    OBC Buy 219 274 25.1 0.5 0.6 3.4 27.7 0.8 14.3

    PNB Buy 746 1,066 43.0 0.7 1.1 4.3 10.3 1.0 18.1

    SBI* Buy 1,852 2,511 35.6 1.2 1.6 6.9 23.6 1.0 19.1

    SynBk Buy 91 131 43.9 0.5 0.7 3.0 17.3 0.8 17.1UcoBk Neutral 68 - - 0.7 - 3.8 13.0 0.6 15.4

    UnionBk Buy 206 276 34.3 0.7 0.9 4.1 24.8 0.8 17.5

    UtdBk Buy 58 78 33.6 0.4 0.6 2.6 22.5 0.7 16.5

    VijBk Neutral 53 - - 0.6 - 4.3 13.5 0.5 13.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), #Without adjusting for SASF

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 9

    Income statement

    Y/E March (` cr) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14ENet Interest Income 2,073 2,548 2,740 4,383 5,085 5,912 6,869- YoY Growth (%) (3.6) 22.9 7.5 60.0 16.0 16.3 16.2Other Income 940 915 1,167 915 1,076 1,221 1,386- YoY Growth (%) 44.3 (2.7) 27.6 (21.6) 17.6 13.5 13.5

    Operating Income 3,012 3,462 3,907 5,298 6,161 7,133 8,255- YoY Growth (%) 7.5 14.9 12.8 35.6 16.3 15.8 15.7

    Operating Expenses 1,495 1,791 2,034 2,548 2,814 3,208 3,657- YoY Growth (%) 7.5 19.8 13.5 25.3 10.4 14.0 14.0

    Pre - Provision Profit 1,518 1,671 1,874 2,750 3,347 3,925 4,598- YoY Growth (%) 7.6 10.1 12.1 46.8 21.7 17.3 17.2

    Prov. & Cont. 512 635 700 1,464 1,920 1,786 1,924- YoY Growth (%) (25.5) 24.0 10.2 109.3 31.1 (6.9) 7.7

    Profit Before Tax 1,006 1,036 1,174 1,285 1,427 2,139 2,674- YoY Growth (%) 39.0 3.1 13.3 9.5 11.0 49.8 25.0

    Prov. for Taxation 157 124 361 237 114 577 867- as a % of PBT 15.7 11.9 30.7 18.5 8.0 27.0 32.4

    PAT 848 913 813 1,048 1,313 1,561 1,806- YoY Growth (%) 18.4 7.6 (10.9) 28.8 25.3 18.9 15.7

    Balance sheetY/E March (` cr) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EShare Capital 522 522 522 573 602 602 602Reserve &Surplus

    3,769 4,488 5,105 6,478 8,439 9,650 11,037

    Deposits 95,171 115,885 117,026 135,596 157,941 187,950 221,781

    - Growth (%) 21.0 21.8 1.0 15.9 16.5 19.0 18.0

    Borrowings 1,306 2,190 8,555 6,010 7,005 8,308 9,775

    Tier 2 Capital 2,585 3,224 3,618 3,518 3,585 4,194 4,907

    Other Liab. &Prov.

    3,779 3,946 4,225 4,364 4,896 5,683 6,502

    Total Liabilities 107,132 130,256 139,051 156,539 182,468 216,387 254,604Cash Balances 10,375 12,543 7,189 10,443 8,809 7,518 8,871

    Bank Balances 1,282 1,861 5,545 1,523 5,076 6,020 7,083Investments 28,076 30,537 33,011 35,068 40,815 53,343 63,750

    Advances 64,051 81,532 90,406 106,782 123,620 144,635 169,223

    - Growth (%) 24.0 27.3 10.9 18.1 15.8 17.0 17.0

    Fixed Assets 770 742 701 693 1,351 1,554 1,774

    Other Assets 2,579 3,040 2,198 2,031 2,797 3,317 3,903

    Total Assets 107,132 130,256 139,051 156,539 182,468 216,387 254,604- Growth (%) 20.0 21.6 6.8 12.6 16.6 18.6 17.7

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    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 10

    Ratio analysis

    Y/E March FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EProfitability ratios (%)NIMs 2.2 2.2 2.1 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0Cost to Income Ratio 49.6 51.7 52.0 48.1 45.7 45.0 44.3

    RoA 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8

    RoE 24.0 21.6 16.6 17.6 17.2 16.9 17.1

    B/S ratios (%)CASA Ratio 30.9 27.6 31.2 30.9 29.4 27.4 26.2

    Credit/Deposit Ratio 67.3 70.4 77.3 78.8 78.3 77.0 76.3

    CAR 11.2 12.7 12.7 13.0 13.7 13.3 13.0

    - Tier I 6.6 7.9 8.2 9.3 10.1 9.6 9.3

    Asset Quality (%)Gross NPAs 2.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.5 3.7 4.6

    Net NPAs 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0

    Slippages 2.4 1.5 1.8 1.7 2.7 2.7 2.7

    Loan Loss Prov. /Avg. Assets 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7

    Provision Coverage 62.6 58.1 73.3 75.7 80.1 79.0 77.5

    Per Share Data (`)EPS 16.2 17.5 15.6 18.3 21.8 25.9 30.0

    ABVPS (75% cover.) 69.9 82.9 98.8 116.1 143.6 163.8 186.8

    DPS 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.7 3.8 5.0 6.0

    Valuation RatiosPER (x) 5.6 5.2 5.8 5.0 4.2 3.5 3.0

    P/ABVPS (x) 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5

    Dividend Yield 3.1 3.3 3.3 4.1 4.2 5.5 6.6

    DuPont AnalysisNII 2.1 2.1 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9

    (-) Prov. Exp. 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8

    Adj. NII 1.6 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.1

    Treasury 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

    Int. Sens. Inc. 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.1

    Other Inc. 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

    Op. Inc. 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.7

    Opex 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6PBT 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1

    Taxes 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4

    RoA 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8Leverage 27.8 28.1 27.4 24.9 22.2 21.6 22.3

    RoE 24.0 21.6 16.6 17.6 17.2 16.9 17.1

  • 7/31/2019 Syndicate Bank Result Updated

    11/11

    Syndicate Bank | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 11, 2012 11

    Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

    DISCLAIMERThis document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investmentdecision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make

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    Disclosure of Interest Statement Syndicate Bank

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    Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

    Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors