coe-dba27-vu thi tuyet-project
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
1/41
AN EXECUTIVE BRIEFING ON
THE AUDI GROUP THE CAR INDUSTRY
Researched by
...
DBA Intake 1
NCU COE Doctoral Program
Ha Noi, Viet Nam
February 2009
1
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
2/41
CONTENTS
PART I: EFFECTIVENESS ASSESSMENT.......................................................................3
THE COMPANY............................................................................................................................................................3
THE COMPETITORS ..................................................................................................................................................4
EFFECIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS CALCULATION......................................................................................6
PART 2: DOMINANT MARKET ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ..............................8
Introduction.....................................................................................................................................................................8
Legal- Regulatory environment.....................................................................................................................................9
Economic Environment ...............................................................................................................................................10
Technology environment..............................................................................................................................................11
Cultural Environment..................................................................................................................................................12
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS...............................................................................................................................................13
Porters five forces and the auto industry...................................................................................................................13
International car market..............................................................................................................................................14
The German car market .............................................................................................................................................16
The future outlook of car industry..............................................................................................................................16
PART 3: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT.................................................19
Country- Trade bloc profile.........................................................................................................................................20
Vietnam economys profile........................................................................................................................................20
Political climate..........................................................................................................................................................23
Trade relations and statistics......................................................................................................................................24
Trade Bloc review..........................................................................................................................................................25
Vietnams automotive market......................................................................................................................................30
COUNTRY- TRADE BLOC ENTRY STRATEGIES..............................................................................................33
MARKETING STRATEGY........................................................................................................................................36
REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................................................39
2
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
3/41
Part I: EFFECTIVENESS ASSESSMENT
THE COMPANY
The Audi Automobile Group (Audi AG), comprising the Audi and Lamborghini brands, is
one of the most successful carmakers in the premium segment. At the core of the
Company is the Audi brand, whose vehicles captivates customers around the world with
their modern design and high builds quality. The stated ambition of the Audi brand is to
fulfill challenging customer expectations of pioneering innovations through the brand
essence of Vorsprung durch Technik that means advancement through technology as
well as the brand values of sportiness, sophistication and progressiveness. Furthermore,
the Company is placing in-creasing emphasis on the sustainability of the technology it
uses. Customers experience this brand identity through a diverse range of models, whichenabled Audi to further strengthen its good position on car markets worldwide.
At the end of 2007, 26.3% of sales of Audi brand come from Germany, nearly 45% from
Europe (excluding Germany), 10.6% from China (including Hong Kong), 9.7% from USA
and 8.5% from other countries in the world market.
The Audi Group is headquartered in Ingolstadt, Germany. This is where Technical
Development, Sales, Administration and substantial portions of the manufacturing
operations are based. In addition to the high-selling A3, A3 Sport back and the A4 Sedan
and Avant models, the new A5 Coup and the ultra-sporty S3 and S5 Coup versions
are built there as well. Volume production of the new Audi Q5 will additionally begin in
2008. The bodies of the A Coup and Roadster and of the A3 Cabriolet are also made in
Ingolstadt.
At Neckarsulm, the Companys second German location, AUDI AG manufactures the A4
Sedan, A6 Sedan, Avant and all road Quattro, S6 Sedan and Avant models, as well as
the A8 luxury sedan, plus its high-performance A8 W12 and S8 versions.
The Audi R8 mid-engine sports car, hand-crafted to exceptionally high standards, and
the new RS 6 Avant are built by Quattro GmbH, which is also based at Neckarsulm. This
company, a wholly owned subsidiary of AUDI AG, also supplies an attractive
customization program for all Audi models (e.g. S line, exclusive line) and sells exclusive
lifestyle articles that embody the spirit of the brand with the four rings. The Belgian plant
in Brussels, which became part of the Audi manufacturing network in March 2007,currently builds the A3 Sportback and the VW Polo on behalf of Volkswagen AG.
3
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
4/41
AUDI HUNGARIA MOTOR Kft. develops and builds engines for AUDI AG and other
Volkswagen Group companies, as well as for third parties, at Gyr, Hungary. The Audi A
Coup and Roadster models and the new A3 Cabriolet are also built there in partnership
with the Ingolstadt plant. This Company has advanced to become one of the countrys
major exporters and highest-revenue businesses. The Bologna region of Italy is home to
Automobili Lamborghini S.p.A., which builds the Gallardo Coup, Gallardo Spyder,
Gallardo Superleggera, Murcilago LP640 Coup, Murci-lago LP640 Roadster and
Reventn super sports cars.
Vehicles of the Audi brand and of other Volkswagen Group brands are sold in Italy by
VOLKSWAGEN GROUP ITALIA S.P.A., a subsidiary of Automobile Lamborghini Holding
S.p.A., based in Verona.
Audi also set many sales subsidiaries in the world. There are 10 sales subsidiaries,
including Audi Australia Pty Ltd., Audi Japan K.K., Audi Brazil Distribuidora de Veculos
Ltda. Audi Volkswagen Korea Ltd., Audi Vertriebsbetreuungsgesellschaft mbH, Audi
Volkswagen Middle East FZE, Audi of America, LLC, Audi Canada Inc., Audi Retail
GmbH, Audi Zentrum Hannover GmbH.
THE COMPETITORS
To define clearly the competitors of Audi, firstly we should see the diagram 1 of
automobile brand in the world.
There are 7 main groups of automobile makers in the world. It can be seen that from
Germany, in premium segment, major competitors of Audi AG are BMW AG with
BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, Daimler AG with Mercedes-Benz brand.
BMW group
BMW AG (BMW or the Company) is a global manufacturer and distributor of automobiles
sold under the BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, with a focus on the premium car
market segment. The companys production facilities are based predominantly in
Germany, with the North American, German and other European countries accounting
for the bulk (more than 70%) of automobile shipments. BMW also produces motorcycles
and has a growing financial services business- largely to support its automotive
business- but BMW-branded car sales are the primary source of earnings.
4
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
5/41
Diagram 1: Relationship between automobile brands in the world
(Source: autoblog.com)
BMW has consistently generated profitability above the industry average, particularly
relative to its European and North American peers. BMWs strong brand image andluxury market penetration have largely supported premium pricing relative to higher-
volume producers. Product and technology innovation are the key reasons for BMWs
5
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
6/41
competitiveness in the premium-car segment. Its flagship 3 Series has maintained a
leading market position in the premium middle-class car segment and is the primary
earnings driver for the Company (43% of BMW brand unit sales in 2006). Importantly,
BMWs focus on the higher growth, premium automobile market segments has reduced
its exposure to economic cycles. Reduced cyclicality, and increased geographic
diversification outside of Germany since 2001 have contributed to stability in earnings
and cash flow.
The strategic objective is clearly defined: The BMW Group is the leading provider of
premium products and premium services for individual mobility.
Mercedes- Benz cars
Mercedes- Benz cars is a well-known brand of Daimler AG. Daimler AG with its
businesses Mercedes-Benz Cars, Daimler Trucks, Daimler Financial Services,
Mercedes-Benz Vans and Daimler Buses, is a globally leading producer of premium
passenger cars and the largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in the world.
Daimler sells its products in nearly all the countries of the world and has production
facilities on five continents.
Mercedes- Benz is headquartered in Stuagart, Germany with 95,526 employees (at the
time December 31, 2007) and total revenues of the year 2007 is EUR 52,430 million. The
products supplied by the Mercedes-Benz Cars division range from the high-quality small
cars of the smart brand to the premium automobiles of
the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes AMG and Mercedes-Benz McLaren brands
and to the Maybach luxury sedans.
Most of these vehicles are produced in Germany, but the division also has production
facilities in the United States, France, South Africa, Brazil, India, Vietnam and Indonesia,
and since the year 2005 also in China. Worldwide, Mercedes-Benz Cars has 17
production sites.
The division's most important markets in 2007 were Germany with 27% of unit sales, the
other markets of Western Europe (34%), the United States (19%) and Japan (4%).
EFFECIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS CALCULATION
Unit: EUR millionAUDI
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Revenue 23,405 24,506 26,591 31,142 33,617Percentage Change 4.7% 8.5% 17.1% 7.9%
6
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
7/41
COGS 22,297 21,989 23,429 27,309 28,478Percentage Change -1.4% 6.5% 16.6% 4.3%Gross Profit 1,108 2,517 3,162 3,833 5,139Percentage Change 127.2% 25.6% 21.2% 34.1%
MERCEDES- BENZ1
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Revenue 51,446 49,630 50,015 51,410 52,430Percentage Change -3.5% 0.8% 2.8% 2.0%COGS 48,320 47,964 50,520 49,627 47,677Percentage Change -0.7% 5.3% -1.8% -3.9%Gross Profit 3,126 1,666 -505 1,783 4,753Percentage Change -46.7% -130.3% 453.1% 166.6%
BMW2
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Revenue 41,525 44,335 46,656 48,999 56,018Percentage Change 6.8% 5.2% 5.0% 14.3%COGS 38,320 40,752 43,369 44,875 52,145Percentage Change 6.3% 6.4% 3.5% 16.2%Gross Profit 3,205 3,583 3,287 4,124 3,873Percentage Change 11.8% -8.3% 25.5% -6.1%
Source: Annual report 2007,2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 of Audi AG, BMW AG, Daimler
Audi
Revenue from 2003 to 2007 has increased steady which reach the growth rate of nearly
8 percent in 2007. The cost of sales for the Audi AG raised by 4.3 percent in the period
2006-2007 review to EUR 28,478 million as the result of the higher sales volume. Further
productivity gains, improved process and optimized material costs were the main reason
for the disproportionably low rise in the cost of sale relative to revenue. Overall, the Audi
AG enjoyed a notable increase in gross profit of 34.1 percent to EUR 5,139 million.
Mercedes- Benz
Mercedes-Benz Cars volume of business in 2007 increased to 52.4 billion, primarily
due to the market success of the new C-Class models launched in 2007. There was a
positive impact from the significantly higher profit from the Mercedes-Benz Cars division,
which profited from the efficiency improvements it achieved and from the favorable
development of unit sales.
1Mercedes- Benz cars
2Including 3 brands: BMW, Mini and Rolls- Royce
7
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
8/41
The Mercedes-Benz Cars division improved its gross profit to 4,753 million in 2007
(2006: 1,783 million), and the divisions return on sales of 9.1% significantly surpassed
its target, although it had been raised from 7% to 8%. The cost efficiency of the
Mercedes-Benz Cars division was further improved with the implementation of the CORE
program. The significant increase in earnings was also due to the positive development
of unit sales, especially of the C-Class.
BMW
Revenues of the BMW Group rose at an above-average rate on the back of a pleasing
sales volume performance and thanks to the dynamic growth of its financial services
business. Group revenues rose to euro 56,018 million in 2007 and were therefore up by
14.3 % on a year-on-year comparison. Excluding the exchange rate impact, revenueswould have risen by 17.6 %. The BMW Group profit before tax, at euro 3,873 million, was
6.1 % below the record level achieved in the previous year. Excluding the effect of the
settlement of the exchangeable bond on shares in Rolls-Royce plc, London, pre-tax
earnings were, as forecasted, slightly above the previous years level.
Part 2: DOMINANT MARKET ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
European market can be seen as dominant market of Audi AG, since the large part of
market share of Audi comes from this place.
Introduction
The European Union common market formed in 1993 with 12 member nations. Since
then, it has grown to 27 member states, a population of nearly 490 million (Internet
World Stats), and a GDP higher than that of the United States. The European automotive
industry has a long history in Europe and today, car manufacturers have production
facilities in almost all the member states. Not surprisingly, Europe is the world's largestvehicle producer: one third of the 50 million cars produced globally are manufactured in
the European UnionIn total, more than 12 million European families depend on
automobile employment, with 2.3 million direct jobs and another 10 million in related
sectors. The car industry represents 6% of total European employment. Cars also
represent a major source of income for the EU member states. Vehicle taxes contribute
for 360 billion yearly to government revenues, that is, 3.5% of European gross domestic
product.
The European car industry has given important support to the shape of the current
European Social Model. The European automobile manufacturers are fully part of the
8
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
9/41
achievements of the European social model. And they are committed to maintaining its
existence: A skilled and flexible work force is essential, and the industry makes
continuous efforts to achieve even higher standards.
The car industry is and will remain a cornerstone of the European economy and society.
Legal- Regulatory environment
This environment includes national and local governments - to determine and maintain
the legislative framework within which organizations do business. Examples include
contract law, consumer protection, competition and trading policies. The European Union
guidelines and directives which aim to achieve consistency across member states.
Regulatory bodies - for example Office of Fair Trading, Advertising Standards Agency,
Competition Commission, etc. These bodies are there to monitor and regulate
commerce.
Indeed, the European Union has developed the most advanced regional set of rules on
competition and a model of supranational governance in which regulatory decisions on
competition rest with a 27-member EU Commission.
An example of regulation that effect strongly on car industry is Car Emission Regulation.
It impact significantly on sales of cars. Amongst other things, the impact assessments
questionably foresee a 30% drop in market price of precious metals; do not contain a
proper cost effectiveness analysis; and assume that the effect on costs of mass
production applies right from the start of manufacturing. This leads to an underestimation
of Euro 5 and 6 related costs by about 33%. Respond to this regulation, Audi AG has
reduced emissions of organic compound by around 38 percent since 1998.
Le Clair (2000) provides a detailed analysis of the legal developments affecting industrial
marketers in the EU and suggests that harmonization of product safety rules, labeling
rules and product liability rules are now on the books. Rules on loyalty premiums and
comparative and misleading advertising have also been completed. The regulations on
contract pricing, price fixing and tying agreements and monopoly pricing have all been
sealed. Distribution and logistics rules including market allocation agreements,
cooperative agreements, direct marketing, distance selling and e-commerce as well as
the logistics regulation are also harmonized. Nevertheless, the complete legal harmony
in practice may still be far from complete and marketers and lawyers should work
together to ensure that legal and regulatory concerns are monitored and integrated into
the everyday marketing decision-making process.
9
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
10/41
Economic Environment
The economic environment consists of factors that affect consumer purchasing power
and spending patterns. In Europe, nations vary greatly in their level of income.
Some of economic profile of EU in 2007:
GDP at Prices and PPPs of 2007, growth rate: 2.7%
GDP per Capita at Prices and PPPs of 2007, Growth Rate: 2.1%
Consumer Price Index, 2005=100: 104.3
(Source: Eurosta)
EU-27 GDP was EUR 11,583,403 million in 2006, with the euro area accounting for
72.8% of the total. The sum of the four largest EU economies (Germany, the United
Kingdom, France and Italy) accounted for almost two thirds (64.7 %) of the EU-27s GDP
in 2006. Cross-country comparisons should be made with caution and it is necessary to
consider the effect of exchange rate fluctuations when analyzing data. For example, the
apparent fluctuation of GDP in the United States is, to a large degree, a reflection of a
strong dollar between 2001 and 2003 and a subsequent reversal to a strong euro
thereafter, rather than any inherent change in the level of GDP in dollar terms (which has
continued to rise).
Having grown at an average rate of around 3 % per annum during the late 1990s, real
GDP growth slowed considerably after the turn of the millennium, to just above 1% per
annum in both 2002 and 2003. The latest data available for 2006 showed a recovery, as
the EU-27s economic output rose, once again, by around 3 % per annum.
In order to look at standards of living one of the most frequently cited statistics is that of
GDP per capita. This indicator averaged EUR 23 500 in 2006 in the EU-27, withLuxembourg reporting by far the highest GDP per capita (EUR 71 600) across the Union.
Even after accounting for the relatively high cost of living in Luxembourg, GDP per capita
in PPS terms remained almost twice as high as in any other Member State. This is partly
explained by the importance of cross-border workers in Luxembourg. The lowest levels
of GDP per capita among the Member States were recorded in Bulgaria and Romania,
where living standards (again in PPS terms) were approximately 40 % of the EU-27
average in 2006.
10
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
11/41
In recent years, labor productivity among those Member States that joined the EU since
2004, in particular the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia and the Baltic Member States
has been converging quickly towards the EU-27 average.
There has been a considerable shift in the economic structure of the EU economy in the
last few decades, with the proportion of gross value added accounted for by agriculture
and industry falling, while that for most services was rising. This change is, at least in
part, a result of phenomena such as technological change, the evolution of relative
prices, and globalization, often resulting in manufacturing bases being moved to lower
labor-cost regions. More than one quarter (27.7 %) of the EU-27s gross value added
was accounted for by business activities and financial services in 2006. There were three
other branches that also contributed significant shares of just over one fifth of total value
added, namely other services, which is largely made up of public administrations,
education and health systems, as well as other community, social and personal service
activities (22.5 %); trade, transport and communication services (21.3 %); and industry
(20.3 %). The remainder of the economy was divided between construction (6.2 %) and
agriculture, hunting and fishing (1.9 %). (Source: Eurostas yearbook 2007)
As such, the three groups of services identified above accounted for 71.5 % of total
gross value added in the EU-27 in 2006. The relative importance of services wasparticularly high in Luxembourg, France and the United Kingdom, as well as the holiday
destinations of Cyprus and Malta. Services accounted for more than three quarters of
total value added in each of these five countries.
For the automobiles manufacturers the globalizations means the fusion between
important companies like Renault-Nissan group or Daimler-Chrysler group (that
functioned till recently), therewith the globalization also means the buying of smaller
brands by the bigger once, as Renault done with our traditional car manufacturer fromPitesti, Dacia Automobile. For the example we can talk of one of the most success car
manufactures of the moment the Volkswagen group, which own the following brands
Skoda, Seat, Audi, but also the luxury sport car Lamborghini.
Technology environment
Technology is a fast moving and changing environment. Technological advances can
affect materials, components and products, manufacturing business processes,administration and distribution systems of Audi.
11
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
12/41
Technology occupies the most important place in automobile manufactures industry, and
we can even says that if you have not a product in compliance with technology
development you disappear or you will be buy by which is most adapted to new. An
example of last generation technology is the last generation of Volkswagen group TFSI
engines, which have the most reduce carburant consume at this time. It is also important
to mention that the devise of Audi factories is Progress by technology Discover your
Audi model or Your progress is our motivation Audi definition for Progress by
technology is: technological innovation is experience in this domain and a permanent
search and attempt of find and implement new and revolutionary technologies. A belief
which involve sportive, perspective reflection and high quality and which is find again in
each car how have Audi logotype. Also Audi group says, Words and imagines can not
equal the intensive experience of Progress by technology , the real pleasure of driving
an Audi. Have a pleasant time in choosing your own Audi! Also in development and
technology market growing strategy, Audi have devices your dynamism is our passion.
The dynamism is a factor of progress in this way the innovations in development of
engine are very important.
Also technology means progress and progress means unless pollution- The cleanest
Diesel in the World; In the middle of the 2008 year, Audi will start the cleanest turbo
diesel engine in the world. The new TDI propellers will use the last common rail
generation, with Injectors and 2000 baric injection pressure a recalculation system very
efficient and optimize extra felling. For the first time in the world, for a good manage of
burning process, were put on sensors in burning room. The new Diesel versions, witch
will respect Euro 5 norms above it will be enforce, will have a reduction of nitrogen oxide
emission with 90%. In 2/07 Audi Magazine, to accentuate the top of the range of
technology involve in its automobiles, Audi make compare in time between the best
planes of the time and his products. In 30 years compare is Audi Imperator and Junkers,
the parallel auto-air in 80 years put face to face Audi 100 and Boeing 707, in 80 Audi
quarto fight with F-18 Hornet, and in our days Audi A8 is placed near Learjet -45 XR.
Those are only few ideas about technology that Audi try to use to promote his products,
and we can say they succeed to do this thing, Audi has in this moment Mercedes and
BMW the main competitors on the European market and also Romania, lets remained
our self that in 70-80 years Audi was not a high class automobile how it is in the present
days, its main competitors were Fiat, Renault, Peugeot, Citroen and Opel.
Cultural Environment
12
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
13/41
The cultural environment is made up of institutions and other forces that affect a societys
basic value, perception, preferences and behaviors. There also remains the matter of
cultural compatibility across corporations. "British firms are run by accountants, German
firms by engineers and Italian firms by designers (Blanco, 2001). It is also suggested
that at the corporate level, EU can be divided into five separate sub-cultures: Nordic,
Germanic, Anglo, Latin and Near East. Data from middle managers in medium to large
size corporations in food processing, telecommunications and financial services
industries in Greece, Italy, France, Portugal and Spain show a corporate and leadership
cultural convergence trend in the Latin segment of the EU (Nikandrou, Apospori, and
Papalexandris, 2003). These types of findings suggest that industrial marketers should
form sub-regional business strategies in the EU.
Understanding the similarities in market position, becoming familiar with foreign contexts
and developing shared values and beliefs between subsidiary and headquarters
managers may make MNCs pursue a centralized control policy, thereby adopting a
standardized approach to international marketing strategy and tactics (Laroche,
Kirpalani, Pons, and Zhou, 2001). Indeed, Picard, Boddewyn, and Grosse (1998) report
a significant increase in the relative power of regional headquarters on international
marketing decisions for many American multinationals based in the EU.
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
The global automotive industry is one of the largest industries in the world and one of the
prime drivers of international economic development and social improvement too. It
manufacturers around 65 million cars and trucks a year, and employs millions of people
around the world. The industry accounts for about 10% of GDP in developed countries.
Porters five forces and the auto industry
It is obvious that Porters five forces and the auto industry are well suited to each other.
Any prospective auto company would do well to consider these forces. The rivalry,
barriers to entry might make them think again. Established auto companies, though, are
more powerful than their suppliers and have little threat of substitutes for an established
brand that moves with the technology. Car industry analysis using Porters generic
strategies is ubiquitous.
The relationship among Porters five forces in the automobile industry, detailed below
clearly proved its competitive nature.
13
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
14/41
1. Threat of New Entrants The existing loyalty to major brands, incentives for using a
particular buyer, higher fixed costs, scarcity of resources, high costs of switching
companies, and government regulations constituted the barriers to entry which in turn
reduced the competition in an industry. Automobile is a high fixed costs industry, so the
entry barrier is quite high compared to others.
2. Power of Suppliers The presence of very few suppliers of a particular product, and
the absence of any substitutes for the product supplied reflected the pressure exerted by
the supplier. Sometimes the product was extremely important to the auto-maker and the
alternatives proved to be very costly. In such cases the suppliers were in a better
position to dictate terms. A lot of suppliers depended on automakers to buy their
products. But if the automaker decided to change suppliers it would badly affect the
suppliers role in auto manufacturing.
3. Power of Buyers Small number of buyers, purchases of large volumes, prevalence
of alternative options, and price sensitive customers were some of the factors that
determined the extent of influence of the buyers in any industry. American consumers
were driven towards foreign cars mainly because most of the auto-makers sourced their
key auto-parts from different suppliers. But this raised doubts on the reliability of the
vehicle itself.
4. Availability of Substitutes If substitutes were available offering similar services, the
likelihood of buyers switching over to another competitor depended mainly on the cost.
The cost of the automobiles along with their operating costs was driving customers to
look for alternative transportation options. The rising gasoline price was bound to
influence the buyers.
5. Competitive Rivalry The presence of many players of about the same size, little
differentiation between competitors, and a very mature industry with very little growth
were the features of a highly competitive industry. Higher the competition in the industry
lower would be the profit margin. To remain ahead in competition, auto-makers were
tempted to offer value added services to the customers incurring more costs. Easy
finance options and long term warranties were offered to lure the customers. But these
measures cut into the profit margins.
International car market
The world automobile industry is witnessing an unprecedented scale of change in the
1990s. The end of Cold War structure witnessed the rapid spread of the information
14
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
15/41
revolution and the international economic globalization. The wave of globalization has
directly affected the international automobile industry and has accelerated the global
reorganization of it.
Global demand for cars in 2007 was supported to a considerable extent by sustained
strong economic growth in emerging countries. Economic dynamism in Asia, Latin
America and Central and Eastern Europe was the main factor behind the 4.2 percent rise
in vehicle sales worldwide to 58.4 million passenger cars. By contrast, the markets in the
U.S. and Japan contracted. The overall market for passenger cars in Western Europe
reached only the level seen the year before, due in particular to the sharp decrease in
new registrations in Germany.
Disregarding the German market, the car market in Western Europe exhibited an upwardtrend in 2007. Total new registrations were up 3.1 percent year on year, at 11.7 million
passenger cars. Prompted by the payment of a disposal bonus for end-of-life vehicles,
which favored the compact car segment in particular, the Italian car market made
distinctly positive progress, posting growth of 6.8 percent. Of the remaining key high-
volume markets, the UK and France reported growth of 2.5 and 3.2 percent respectively,
while 1.2 percent fewer new vehicles were registered in Spain.
Economic growth in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe gained further
momentum by comparison with 2006, with new registrations rising by 30.2 percent to a
total of 4.2 million vehicles. In Russia, the already booming car market exhibited
especially strong growth in response to the economic upturn, increasing by 37.5 percent
to 2.3 million passenger cars in the period under review. In the United States, the market
remained tight due to the intensive use of sales incentives. The ongoing real estate crisis
and high fuel prices had a negative impact on vehicle sales. With 16.1 million
registrations of new passenger cars, the car market overall showed a year-on-yeardecrease of 2.5 percent.
In contrast, the upward trend on car markets in South America accelerated. In Brazil,
passenger car sales rose by 26.9 percent to almost 2.0 million vehicles, while new
registrations in Argentina were up 28.9 percent to 402,000 passenger cars.
The Asia-Pacific region again witnessed a dynamic market for cars in 2007. Unit sales
there totaled 14.3 million passenger cars, representing an increase of 7.8 percent. As in
previous years, the driving force behind this growth was China, which achieved an above
average growth rate of 22.2 percent, bringing it to second place behind the U.S. with an
15
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
16/41
overall market volume of 5.1 million passenger cars sold. The Indian car market, too,
maintained its dynamic progress, with growth of 16.0 percent, bringing total vehicle sales
to around 1.2 million units. In contrast, registrations of new cars in Japan fell by 5.2
percent to 4.4 million vehicles (Audi annual report, 2007).
The German car market
In the first few months of 2007, the German car market was strongly influenced by
consumers moving their purchases of cars into 2006 in order to avoid the rise in the VAT
rate on January 1, 2007. The situation on the car market improved only marginally as the
year progressed due to continuing reticence on the part of consumers. Registrations of
new passenger cars in Germany reached around 3.1 million units by year end, down 9.2
percent from the year before. The economic recovery in Germany therefore had no
impact on the car market.
Demand for more fuel-efficient diesel models rose as a result of further fuel price
increases over the course of the year. The percentage of overall registrations accounted
for by diesel models gained 3.4 percentage points, to 47.7 percent. German-built
vehicles proved to be very popular on international markets, as a result of which high
passenger car exports over-compensated for weak domestic demand. In the year under
review, exports of passenger cars totaling 4.3 million units bettered the previous years
record figure by 10.6 percent. The countries of Western Europe were the most important
sales region, accounting for 2.6 million passenger cars, an increase of 10.7 percent. The
strong euro and difficult market conditions had a negative effect on exports to the U.S. in
2007. German manufacturers were nevertheless able to nearly equal the previous years
export volume, with attractive new models helping them to a total of 551,000 passenger
cars.
Bolstered by high export demand, German car manufacturers built 5.7 million cars in
2007, a year-on-year increase of 5.8 percent and therefore a new record total. The
number of German-brand cars built abroad was up 10.4 percent over the previous year,
at 5.2 million units.
The future outlook of car industry
General economic situation
It is believed that the global economy will slow down in 2009, following multiple periods
of strong growth. The principal determining factor here is the prospect of a rapid
16
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
17/41
slowdown in the U.S. economy, outweighing robust economic growth in numerous
developing and emerging countries. The sustained high level of crude oil and raw
materials prices will also have a dampening effect.
In the United States, the continuing crisis in the real estate market will put a damper on
consumer spending. This will go hand in hand with increasingly restrictive lending
practices on the part of the banks, resulting in reduced private-sector investment activity.
Economic growth for the year as a whole is therefore expected to weaken even further.
In the Euro zone, the economy will cool down somewhat in 2008, but the stable upward
trend will be sustained. The Audi Group expects to see a further decline in economic
growth in Germany. The dynamism of exports and capital expenditures will probably
ease off. On the other hand, however, consumer spending is likely to be stronger andmake a larger contribution to economic growth than in 2007, not least due to the
continued upward trend of employment, coupled with higher collective-bargaining
settlements and lower inflation than the year before.
The rate of economic expansion will remain high in many countries throughout Latin
America as well as Central and Eastern Europe. Most notably in Russia, the rapid
upward trend will continue thanks to the strong exports of the countrys energy
producers.
The Chinese economy will be dampened somewhat in 2008 as a result of the weakening
of the U.S. economy and the corresponding downturn in exports to the U.S. Its economic
dynamism will, however, remain at a high level, with GDP growth likely to remain in the
double-digit range. Continued vigorous economic expansion is expected in India. The
Japanese economy will again expand at only a very modest rate in 2008.
The car industry
The Audi Group anticipates a renewed increase in global demand for automobiles of
over 2 percent in 2008 to around 60 million passenger cars. Principal growth hotspots
will be the emerging markets of China, India and Russia. The general market
environment will remain difficult in Germany. The forecast rise in consumer spending will
induce only a slight improvement in sales figures. The Audi Group expects to see an
increase in the volume of new registrations in the German market of just under 2 percent
to around 3.2 million passenger cars.
17
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
18/41
The Audi Group expects registrations of new cars in Western Europe (excluding
Germany) to decline to 11.4 million vehicles. Dwindling sales figures in Italy will be the
main factor at work here.
In the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, on the other hand, the market will remain
dynamic, although the growth rate will be down slightly from the previous year. The Audi
Group is forecasting growth of over 9 percent for the Russian automobile market to
nearly 2.6 million passenger cars.
A further deterioration in the U.S. car market is expected in 2008. The overall market
volume of 16 million units sold will probably slip below the previous years total due to the
weakening of consumer spending.
The Asia-Pacific region will again enjoy strong growth in demand in 2008. The Chinese
car market, in particular, will continue to expand and should reach nearly 6 million units
a growth rate of 17 percent. The rate of growth forecast for India is even higher at around
19 percent, bringing the total to 1.4 million passenger cars. In contrast, new registrations
in Japan will rise only marginally to just under 4.5 million passenger cars.
Increasingly intensive competition within the automotive industry and the ailing health of
the economy will again pose major challenges for the Audi Group in 2008. An even
greater effort will therefore be required to repeat the economic successes of the past.
Management is nevertheless convinced that the Audi Group will be able to build on the
outstanding results for 2007 and post positive overall results for its business activities in
fiscal 2008.
Anticipated development of vehicle sales
The Audi Group will sustain growth in vehicle sales in 2008 and plans to improve
significantly on the previous years record figure by selling more than 1 million Audivehicles. A large number of new models and derivatives, as well as those products with
an established market presence, should aid the core Audi brand in accessing new
customer segments and give the brands appeal a long-term boost.
In its home market of Germany, the highest-volume market for Audi vehicles, the brand
with the four rings is striving to improve its market performance. Audi believes that it is
well equipped for further success in Western Europe, despite intensive competition there,
and expects to achieve growth in the face of a generally downward market trend.
18
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
19/41
Audi expects that the new markets in Central and Eastern Europe, and especially
Russia, will continue to provide strong impetus for growth.
Audi is aiming to strengthen its image and market position in the U.S. by further
extending its exclusive dealer network and launching new, attractive models. The market
launch of the new Audi A4 will provide vital impulses here.
In its largest export market, China, Audi intends to continue to benefit from market
growth and to strengthen its position of leadership in the premium segment. The locally
built long-wheelbase version of the Audi A6 will play an important role in these plans.
Audi expects to see positive overall development of unit sales in Japan and the other
markets of the Asia-Pacific region. The Indian automotive market, where Audi began
local CKD assembly of the Audi A6 in 2007, will be playing an increasingly important
role.
Part 3: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
Vietnam's auto industry and market is at an early stage of development. But accession
to the WTO and a population of over 80 million point to positive prospects for market
growth that have already attracted a number of vehicle makers. Worldwide automobile
industry is growing at a rapid pace as many countries are going through the phase of
economic development. And the same scenario is applicable for Vietnam too in South
EastAsia.
Vietnam automobile industry was loosing track till 2005 but it recovered in the year 2006
and posted a good growth rate in South-East Asian countries. Changing lifestyle and
rising spending in automobile-related parts in Vietnam has propelled the growth of
automobile industry in the country. Apart from that, Vietnams entry to WTO has madethe conditions favorable for foreign manufactures as the Vietnamese government has
reduced the auto-component import tax in 2006. Though Vietnam was more of a
motorcycle-oriented country in past years, its passenger car segment witnessed a good
growth after Vietnam joined WTO. Rising income and flexible bank loan structure has
incited the growth in passenger car segment.
With 80,392 units sold in 2007, the market grew by 97% over 2006, of which cars and
commercial vehicles saw the biggest growth rates at 128% and 129% respectively over
2006, while SUV/MPV also saw satisfactory growth rate at 46%.
19
http://www.free-press-release.com/news/200801/1201174342.htmlhttp://www.free-press-release.com/news/200801/1201174342.html -
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
20/41
There are many reasons that supported the market development: Vietnams national
economy grew well by 8.5% in 2007, which helped the sales of commercial vehicles
increase sharply. As the income of Vietnamese people has been increasing, cars have
become affordable for many Vietnamese people, which has led to the high growth rate of
car sales.
Country- Trade bloc profile
Vietnam economys profile
Vietnam is a densely-populated developing country that in the last 30 years has had to
recover from the ravages of war, the loss of financial support from the old Soviet Bloc,
and the rigidities of a centrally-planned economy. Economic stagnation marked the
period after reunification from 1975 to 1985. In 1986, the Sixth Party Congress approved
a broad economic reform package that introduced market reforms and set the
groundwork for Vietnam's improved investment climate. Substantial progress was
achieved from 1986 to 1997 in moving forward from an extremely low level of
development and significantly reducing poverty. The 1997 Asian financial crisis
highlighted the problems in the Vietnamese economy and temporarily allowed opponents
of reform to slow progress toward a market-oriented economy. GDP growth averaged
6.8% per year from 1997 to 2004 even against the background of the Asian financial
crisis and a global recession. Since 2001, Vietnamese authorities have reaffirmed their
commitment to economic liberalization and international integration. They have moved to
implement the structural reforms needed to modernize the economy and to produce
more competitive, export-driven industries. The economy grew 8.5% in 2007.
Vietnam's membership in the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) and entry into force of the
US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement in December 2001 have led to even more rapid
changes in Vietnam's trade and economic regime. Vietnam's exports to the US increased
900% from 2001 to 2007.
Vietnam joined the WTO in January 2007, following over a decade long negotiation
process. WTO membership has provided Vietnam an anchor to the global market and
reinforced the domestic economic reform process. Among other benefits, accession
allows Vietnam to take advantage of the phase-out of the Agreement on Textiles and
Clothing, which eliminated quotas on textiles and clothing for WTO partners on 1 January
2005. Agriculture's share of economic output has continued to shrink, from about 25% in
2000 to less than 20% in 2007. Deep poverty, defined as a percent of the population
20
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
21/41
living under $1 per day, has declined significantly and is now smaller than that of China,
India, and the Philippines. Vietnam is working to create jobs to meet the challenge of a
labor force that is growing by more than one-and-a-half million people every year. In an
effort to stem high inflation which took off in 2007, early in 2008 Vietnamese authorities
began to raise benchmark interest rates and reserve requirements. Hanoi is targeting an
economic growth rate of 7.5-8% during the next four years.
Population (2007): 85.2 million
Urban Population, 2007: 23.4 million (27.4 %)
GDP (purchasing power parity): $222.5 billion (2007 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate): $66.4 billion (2007 est.)
GDP - real growth rate: 8.5% (2007 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP): $2,600 (2007 est.)
GDP - composition by sector
Agriculture: 19.4%
Industry: 42.3%
Services: 38.3% (2007 est.)
Population below poverty line: 14.75% (2007 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage share: Lowest 10%: 2.9%;
Highest 10%: 28.9% (2007)
Inflation rate (consumer prices): 8.3% (2007 est.)
Investment (gross fixed): 40% of GDP (2007 est.)
Labor force: 45.73 million (2007 est.)
Unemployment rate: 5.1% (2007 est.)
Budget: Revenues: $18.28billion; Expenditures: $19.79 billion (2007 est.)
Public debt: 43.3% of GDP (2007 est.)
Industries: food processing, garments, shoes, machine-building; mining, coal,
steel; cement, chemical fertilizer, glass, tires, oil, paper
21
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
22/41
Industrial production growth rate: 17.1% (2007 est.)
Current Account Balance: -$1.199 billion (2007 est.)
Agriculture products: paddy rice, coffee, rubber, cotton, tea, pepper, soybeans,
cashews, sugar cane, peanuts, bananas; poultry; fish, seafood
Exports: $48.3 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)
Exports commodities: crude oil, marine products, rice, coffee, rubber, tea,
garments, shoes
Exports partners: US 21.2%, Japan 12.3%, Australia 9.4%, China 5.7%, Germany
4.5% (2006)
Imports: $60.75 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)
Imports commodities: machinery and equipment, petroleum products, fertilizer,
steel products, raw cotton, grain, cement, motorcycles
Imports partners: China 17.7%, Singapore 12.9%, Taiwan 11.5%, Japan 9.8%,
South Korea 8.4%, Thailand 7.3%, Malaysia 4.2% (2006)
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold: $17.16 billion (31 December 2007 est.)
Debt external: $24.41 billion (31 December 2007 est.)
Stock of direct foreign investment - at home: $29.23 billion (2007 est.)
Currency (code): dong (VND)
Fiscal year: calendar year
Form of State: Communist State
(Source: GSO Vietnam, 2007)
Vietnam has been in transition from a centrally-planned to a market-based economy
since 1986. Despite the many positive reforms in the last few years, progress is slow and
trade and industrialization policy remains largely one of import substitution affording
disproportionate protection to the dominant state-owned sector.
High economic growth and development was achieved in the early-to-mid 1990s, but
growth slowed in the late-1990s due to the combined effects of the slow reform process
and declining foreign and domestic investment resulting from the regional economic
22
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
23/41
crisis of 1997. Momentum has picked up but this is mostly due to high earnings from
crude oil exports.
As part of its efforts to improve the investment climate, the government is undertaking a
privatization program and is revising its investment laws.
The main deterrents to trade and investment are:
- the lack of a comprehensive and transparent legal system
- restricted land usage rights
- complex foreign investment laws
- continued corruption in infrastructure projects
- the poor state of the financial system
Eighty per cent of banking is controlled by five state owned banks. Another 12 per cent of
the market is controlled by semi-autonomous domestic players. The sector is weighed
down by non-performing loans and government lending practices which favor SOEs.
Standard and poors rate the systemic risk in the banking sector as one of the highest in
the Asia-Pacific region (along with China and Indonesia). As a long-term objective,
Vietnam is committed to global economic integration through participation in APEC, the
ASEAN Free Trade Area and World Trade Organization (WTO). Since joining ASEAN in
1995, Vietnam's exports to ASEAN countries have grown an average 23-25 per cent per
annum.
ASEAN-initiated FDI accounts for 30 per cent of total FDI. The US-Vietnam Bilateral
Trade Agreement was ratified in December 2001 and Vietnam became a member of the
WTO in November 2006.
As a signatory to the ASEAN Free Trade Area, Vietnam is required to reduce many of its
tariffs to less than five per cent by 2006. Vietnams membership of the WTO also willrequire a more level playing field and more transparency in the economy. Strong
protection for domestic firms is, however, expected to continue for some time.
Political climate
The Socialist Republic of Vietnam (SRV) is a one-party communist state. Although
conservatively communist, Vietnam has undertaken some reforms in recent years. The
political stability of Vietnam lies in the strength of its single, undisputed ruling politicalparty, the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV).
At the senior level Vietnam is run by a troika consisting of the President, the Prime
23
http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/vietnam/index.htmlhttp://www.cpv.org.vn/index_e.htmlhttp://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/vietnam/index.htmlhttp://www.cpv.org.vn/index_e.html -
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
24/41
Minister and the General Secretary of the CPV.
In 1986, at a time of economic crisis following years of economic stagnation, the Party
embarked upon a program of limited market-based economic reforms. Under these
reforms known as doi moi the private sector was permitted to exist in a limited capacity.
There was also greater decentralized economic planning and a greater acceptance of
market forces as the determinant of prices and production. This model has been steadily
pursued and a socialist market-oriented economy is now in place. During 1994-1995, at
the height of the open door policy, the Vietnamese Government continued its emphasis
on political and social stability as it seeks to erase any remnants of domestic turmoil
resulting from numerous years of war. The pace of economic liberalization has
outstripped political advances. Vietnams leadership continues to acknowledge the need
for political conservatism and initiates limited political change.
The CPVs exclusive role in government is constitutionally mandated. Members of the
Central Committee of the CPV come from the top echelons in the bureaucracy, the
military, the internal security services, the media and the many state owned enterprises,
which form the core of the nations economy.
There is a growing sense of grass-roots democracy in Vietnam. A slow but steady move
towards a more open and transparent system based on the rule of law is expected,
within the context of a one party state. The Vietnamese Government will continue topursue a policy of gradual economic reform, covering state enterprise, banking, foreign
trade and public administration. Implementation, however, will remain a challenge,
potentially slowed by vested interests.
Trade relations and statistics
Since the collapse of the USSR, Vietnam has largely set aside ideological considerations
in seeking to integrate itself into the international community. The relationship betweenVietnam and the USA continues to be complex. Although the economic relationship has
expanded through the recent ratification of a Bilateral Trade Agreement other issues
have represented challenges to both sides. Vietnams relationship with Russia is still
significant via defense links, however, trade and aid links have diminished in comparison
with earlier years. Japan is now Vietnams major trading partner and bilateral aid donor.
Vietnam applied to join the WTO in 1995 and was formally accepted into the WTO in
November, 2006. It became a member of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)forum in November 1998.
24
http://www.na.gov.vn/http://www.na.gov.vn/ -
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
25/41
Although there have been periods when Vietnams relationship with China has
historically been adversarial, in recent years Vietnam and China have formed a closer
relationship with a broader range of exchanges. Vietnam has shown interest in China
and the achievements of Chinas leadership in transforming China from a centrally
planned to market economy. The interests of a range of European nations in remaining
politically and commercially active in Vietnam are still quite strong; notably the French,
Germans, British and Swedish have strong diplomatic and commercial representation on
the ground.
Neighboring countries such as Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Taiwan are all
significant sources of foreign direct investment for Vietnam, and recent investment
promotion efforts by the Vietnamese Government are aimed at investors from these
countries. Under the AFTA Agreement there will be a tariff-free zone within ASEAN in
place no later than 2006. Vietnam is taking steps to prepare to compete with other
ASEAN members under AFTA and companies from other ASEAN nations are eagerly
awaiting new opportunities within Vietnam that will result.
Trade Bloc review
Vietnam belongs to the WTO (joined 2007), ASEAN and AFTA, so the marketing
environment of Vietnam is strongly affected by the engagement to these trade blocs.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations or ASEAN was established on 8 August
1967 in Bangkok by the five original Member Countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia,
Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Brunei Darussalam joined on 8 January 1984,
Vietnam on 28 July 1995, Lao PDR and Myanmar on 23 July 1997, and Cambodia on 30
April 1999.
As of 2006, the ASEAN region has a population of about 560 million, a total area of 4.5million square kilometers, a combined gross domestic product of almost US$ 1,100
billion, and a total trade of about US$ 1,400 billion.
The ASEAN Economic Community shall be the end-goal of economic integration
measures as outlined in the ASEAN Vision 2020. Its goal is to create a stable,
prosperous and highly competitive ASEAN economic region in which there is a free flow
of goods, services, investment and a freer flow of capital, equitable economic
development and reduced poverty and socio-economic disparities in year 2020.
25
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
26/41
The ASEAN Economic Community shall establish ASEAN as a single market and
production base, turning the diversity that characterizes the region into opportunities for
business complementation and making the ASEAN a more dynamic and stronger
segment of the global supply chain. ASEANs strategy shall consist of the integration of
ASEAN and enhancing ASEANs economic competitiveness.
In moving towards the ASEAN Economic Community, ASEAN has agreed on the
following:
- institute new mechanisms and measures to strengthen the implementation of its
existing economic initiatives including the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA), ASEAN
Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) and ASEAN Investment Area (AIA);
- accelerate regional integration in the following priority sectors by 2010: air travel, agro-
based products, automotives, e-commerce, electronics, fisheries, healthcare, rubber-
based products, textiles and apparels, tourism, and wood-based products.
- facilitate movement of business persons, skilled labor and talents; and
- strengthen the institutional mechanisms of ASEAN, including the improvement of the
existing ASEAN Dispute Settlement Mechanism to ensure expeditious and legally-
binding resolution of any economic disputes.
Launched in 1992, the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) is now in place. It aims to
promote the regions competitive advantage as a single production unit. The elimination
of tariff and non-tariff barriers among Member Countries is expected to promote greater
economic efficiency, productivity, and competitiveness.
ASEANs newer members, namely Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Viet Nam, are not far
behind in the implementation of their CEPT commitments with almost 80 percent of their
products having been moved into their respective CEPT ILS. Of these items, about 66
percent already have tariffs within the 0-5 percent tariff band. Viet Nam has until 2006 to
bring down tariff of products in the Inclusion List to no more than 5 percent duties, Laos
and Myanmar in 2008 and Cambodia in 2010.
Following the signing of the Protocol to Amend the CEPT-AFTA Agreement for the
Elimination of Import Duties on 30 January 2003, ASEAN-6 has committed to eliminate
tariffs on 60 percent of their products in the IL by the year 2003. As of this date, tariffs on
64.12 percent of the products in the IL of ASEAN-6 have been eliminated. The average
26
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
27/41
tariff for ASEAN-6 under the CEPT Scheme is now down to 1.51 percent from 12.76
percent when the tariff cutting exercise started in 1993.
The implementation of the CEPT-AFTA Scheme was significantly boosted in January
2004 when Malaysia announced its tariff reduction for completely built up (CBUs) and
completely knocked down (CKDs) automotive units to gradually meet its CEPT
commitment one year earlier than schedule. Malaysia has previously been allowed to
defer the transfer of 218 tariff lines of CBUs and CKDs until 1 January 2005.
Products that remain out of the CEPT-AFTA Scheme are those in the Highly Sensitive
List (i.e. rice) and the General Exception List. The Coordinating Committee on the
Implementation of the CEPTS scheme for AFTA (CCCA) is currently undertaking a
review of all the General Exception Lists to ensure that only those consistent with Article9(b)1 of the CEPT Agreement are included in the lists.
ASEAN Member Countries have also resolved to work on the elimination of non-tariff
barriers. A work programmed on the elimination of non-tariff barriers, which includes,
among others, the process of verification and cross-notification; updating the working
definition of Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs)/ Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs) in ASEAN; the
setting-up of a database on all NTMs maintained by Member Countries; and the eventual
elimination of unnecessary and unjustifiable non-tariff measures, is currently being
finalized.
In an effort to improve and strengthen the rules governing the implementation of the
CEPT Scheme, to make the Scheme more attractive to regional businessmen and
prospective investors, the CEPT Rules of Origin and its Operational Certification
Procedures have been revised and implemented since 1 January 2004. Among the
features of the revised CEPT Rules of Origin and Operational Certification Procedures
include: (a) a standardized method of calculating local/ASEAN content; (b) a set of
principles for determining the cost of ASEAN origin and the guidelines for costing
methodologies; (c) treatment of locally-procured materials; and (d) improved verification
process, including on-site verification.
In order to promote greater utilization of the CEPT/ AFTA Scheme, substantial
transformation has also been adopted as an alternative rule in determining origin for
CEPT products. The Task Force on the CEPT Rules of Origin is currently working out
substantial transformation rules for certain product sectors, including wheat flour, iron
and steel and the 11 priority integration sectors covered under the Bali Concord II.
27
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
28/41
Direction of Trade ASEANs exports had regained its upward trend in the two years
following the financial crisis of 1997- 1998 reaching its peak in 2000 when total exports
was valued at US$ 408 billion. After declining to US$ 366.8 billion in 2001, as a result of
the economic slowdown in the United States and Europe and the recession in Japan,
ASEAN exports recovered in 2002 when it was valued at US$ 380.2 billion. The upward
trend for ASEAN-6 continued up to the first two quarters of 2003. Intra-ASEAN trade for
the first two quarters of 2003 registered an increase of 4.2 and 1.6 percent for exports
and imports respectively.
On 11th January 2007, Vietnam joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) and
became its 150th member. Prior to this final step of the accession, the General Council
approved Vietnams membership after years of preparation. The decision ended over 11
years of preparation, including eight years of negotiation. The working party of members
negotiating with Vietnam was set up on 31 January 1995 and met 14 times between July
1998 and October 2006.
WTO accession poses major challenges to Vietnams economy. However, with
cooperation extended by the members, Vietnam will make the most of opportunities,
successfully handling challenges, ensuring fast and sustainable growth, pro-actively
playing its part for the development of the multilateral trading system.
The package of Vietnams accession documents consists of:
- Vietnams commitments on goods of tariffs, quotas and ceilings on agricultural
subsidies, and in some case the timetable for phasing in the cuts.
- Vietnams commitments on services the 60-page document (also a schedule)
describing in which services it is giving access to foreign service providers and
any additional conditions, including limits on foreign ownership.
- The working partys 260-page report describing Vietnams legal and
institutional set up for trade, along with commitments it has made in many of these
areas.
For the majority of agricultural and non-agricultural goods, Vietnam is promising ceilings
(or bound rates) on duties ranging between zero and 35%. Some of these involve
reductions phased over periods up to 2014, the precise end date varying from product to
product.
28
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
29/41
Among products with higher ceilings are: alcoholic drinks, tobacco products, instant
coffee and some related products, new and used motor vehicles and components, and
roof tiles. Used vehicles less than five years old can be charged additional flat-rate duties
up to specified limits. These bound rates are legal ceilings. The actual duties that
Vietnam can charge (the applied rates) can be lower than the committed rates. Among
the details of Vietnams commitments is a promise not to charge higher applied rates on
rapeseed (also known as colza or canola) and derived meal, oil and other products than
the duties actually charged on soy products allowing the oilseed products to compete
with soy.
Vietnam has also signed the plurilateral Information Technology Agreement
(plurilateral meaning only some WTO members have signed). For these products,
Vietnam has agreed to allow imports in duty-free. In some cases, the zero duty will apply
immediately; in others it will be achieved gradually over periods ending in 2010 to 2014.
Vietnam has made commitments on a range of services. In some cases Vietnam
reserves the right to limit foreign ownership of service companies operating in Vietnam
for example in some telecommunications services the eventual limits can be 49% or
65%, depending on the service. In a few cases, permitted foreign ownership is
immediately 100% (for example accountancy). In many cases, the permitted foreign
ownership is phased in to reach 100% after a few years (for example express delivery
courier services after five years). As is normal in this sector, the effect of the
commitments depends also on complex relationships with domestic regulations for
example in the first two years, 100%-foreignowned architectural firms can only serve
foreign companies. The commitments and some of the regulations are in the schedule
(lists) of commitments; other information on the regulations is in the working party report.
State enterprises: commercial business (i.e. except for supplying the government) will beconducted on commercial terms without interference from the government. A number of
products are listed as subject to state trading enterprises because of consumption
restrictions, for cultural and moral reasons, or because they are natural monopolies:
tobacco products, petroleum, cultural products such as newspapers, journals and audio-
visual materials, and aircraft.
Privatization and equitization of state enterprises: this will be handled transparently, with
Vietnam supplying annual reports while the program lasts.
29
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
30/41
Pricing and price controls: Vietnam will comply with WTO agreements and notify the
WTO of actions it takes to control prices.
WTO agreements dealing with rules: Vietnam will comply with the Customs Valuation,
Rules of Origin, Pre-shipment Inspection, Anti-dumping, Safeguards, Subsidies, and
Trade-Related Investment Measures agreements, with some provisions phased in over a
period.
Vietnams automotive market
Vietnams automotive industry is one of the youngest in the region. Local assemblingof
cars started at the end of the last century and the automotive market has been open for
imports of new cars on a larger scale only since 2003. Used cars to a certain age
maximum are allowed for import only since 2006. Hence, Vietnams car penetration is
one of the lowest in the world, behind all other ASEAN countries as well as India and
China. Because of this recent opening, the car park in Vietnam is very young.
The car market is characterized through very high prices which developed in a phase
when the Vietnamese government wanted to develop the local automotive industry
through protection measures like an import licensing scheme and high customs duties on
CBUs. In addition, various taxes and fees applicable when buying new cars, like the
special consumption tax of 50%, increase cost substantially.
Notwithstanding the low average income and the very high car prices, the passenger car
market is booming since 2007, when new registrations doubled. Both locally assembled
and imported cars are in high demand. For certain locally assembled models there are
waiting lists for about 10 month. We expect further growth of about 35% annually until
2010.
The Vietnamese government latest plans regarding import licenses, tariffs, taxes and
registration fees are a major factor of uncertainty. While WTO and AFTA memberships
will eventually open up the markets and lower tariffs and taxes and the Vietnamese
government initially seemed to fulfill demands earlier as expected today all moves are
aiming at closing up the market again. With more liberal regulations, the car market in
Vietnam might grow much faster than our estimate of 17%.
The distribution structure for new cars is currently shifting to a more organized form
OEMs with an assembling joint venture in Vietnam will organize distribution through
these joint ventures. This was made possible after these foreign invested joint ventures
30
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
31/41
were granted import licenses for new cars. Other OEMs without an investment in a
manufacturing presence also nominate official distributors. Until today, the market for
models not assembled in Vietnam was dominated by grey importers and dealers. They
will have a hard standing in the future and are expected to focus on special models the
official distributors are not selling in Vietnam as well as on used cars.
Financing of cars is just developing, with loans being the preferred method of financing.
In a market with very high prices, car financing has a high potential.
Vietnam has no own car brand. There are several OEMs active in Vietnam, mostly
through manufacturing joint ventures with state-owned companies. Although the market
is growing strongly, it is still too small for each manufacturing operation to reach
efficiency. This is one reason why prices are still very high in Vietnam. Vietnam is notused as a manufacturing hub in ASEAN or Asia in general. Other countries like Malaysia
or Thailand are in a better position in this respect. Operations in Vietnam were set-up to
enter the local market, since import of new cars was not allowed for several years. The
Vietnamese government wants to develop the automotive industry but local assembling
operations at least with foreign investment have failed to generate a high localization
rate. One reason is the limited supplier structure in Vietnam.
In line with the size of the car park, the aftermarket is still small. However, it is growing by
over 20% p.a. over the next years to 2010. Growth of the aftermarket is driven by the
growth in car sales and the aging of the still very young car park. The distribution system
for spare parts is just forming. There is no dominating or even larger independent player
in a market, where quality is a big issue for customers who can afford and are willing to
buy a car at the current price level.
In total, the car market as well as the aftermarket is both attractive because of high
growth rates and a large potential market of over 80 million Vietnamese. However, the
market is still too small to justify large scale investments just to serve the domestic
market. With further opening of the local market, which will happen in line with WTO and
AFTA agreements, using Vietnam as a manufacturing base for exports will be more
feasible.
The major risk in Vietnam is the governments policy with respect to the automotive
industry. The Vietnamese government is torn between opening up the market so as to
allow more competition and to eventually lower prices for customers and the wish to
protect the local automotive industry and to limit the expansion of the car park which is
31
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
32/41
leading to traffic jams due to a lack in infrastructure. Due to this lack in overall strategy,
there are rather erratic jumps in tariffs and other taxes and fees levied on the import or
purchase of CBUs, CDKs and parts. Hence, Long-term planning is difficult and one
needs to think in scenarios.
To sum up, here are ten basic things to know about Vietnam:
1. Vietnam's population is over 80 million and it's a developing economy with per capita
GDP of more than $800 - distribution of income is relatively even.
2. Vietnam belongs to the WTO (joined 2007), ASEAN and AFTA.
3. The auto market has only recently opened up, so car ownership rates (3 cars per
1,000 people) are well behind China and India; however, the young parc offers
considerable growth potential for vehicle sales and the aftermarket.
4. High import tariffs have meant high car prices; government policy on import duties -
applying to both CBUs and KD kits/parts - remains an area of controversy and
uncertainty though WTO membership should reduce risks for international participants.
5. In a market with high prices and low incomes, financing purchases through loans is
becoming increasingly important.
6. There is no state champion or Vietnam 'own brand'; several international OEMs have
established JVs with state enterprises; brand loyalty is weak, with retail consumers
influenced chiefly by product and price.
7. The auto supplier industry is thus far severely underdeveloped, keeping localization
low.
8. The Vietnamese car parc has grown from 100,000 cars in 2000 to 300,000 by the end
of 2007; 30% of the car parc is accounted for by Toyota brand cars led by the Innova,
Camry and Vios models.
9. CKD assembly of cars began in 1995 and JVs involving Toyota, Suzuki and
Honda have led the market; Ford, Hyundai and Kia are also significant and Chevrolet is
now growing extremely rapidly (Matiz and Captiva).
10. The car market is forecast to grow to over 120,000 units pa in 2010; MPVs and SUVs
are big sellers.
32
http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=139http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=130http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=145http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=119http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=214http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=205http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=36http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=74http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=76http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=175http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=139http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=130http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=145http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=119http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=214http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=205http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=36http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=74http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=76http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=175 -
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
33/41
(Information supplied by Globis - a Germany-based consulting company with broad
international coverage regarding strategy development, especially entry strategies into
new markets).
COUNTRY- TRADE BLOC ENTRY STRATEGIES
Choosing the best way to enter a market is no simple task. Should the market entry
objective be rapid acquisition of significant market share or stay below the radar to
secretly build market share? There is no single strategy to fit all companies, products and
markets.
There are several ways that Audi can choose to enter Vietnam market. Each way has it
owns advantages and disadvantages, so Audi should analyze its way carefully to reach
the opportunities in Vietnam.
Its broad choices are indirect exporting, direct exporting, licensing, joint ventures, and
direct investment. These five market-entry strategies involve more commitment, risk,
control, and profit potential.
Indirect and Direct Export
The normal way to get involved in a foreign market is through export. Occasional
exporting is a passive level of involvement in which Audiexports from time to time, either
on its own initiative or in response to unsolicited orders from abroad.
Active exporting takes place when the company makes a commitment to expand into a
particular market. In either case, the company produces its goods in the home country
and might or might not adapt them to the foreign market.
Companies typically start with indirect exporting-that is, they work through independent
intermediaries. Domestic-based export merchants buy the manufacturers products andthen sell them abroad. Domestic-based export agents seek and negotiate foreign
purchases and are paid a commission. Included in this group are trading companies.
Cooperative organizations carry on exporting activities on behalf of several producers
and are partly under their administrative control. They are often used by producers of
primary products such as fruits or nuts. Export management companies agree to
manage a companys export activities for a free. Indirect export has two advantages.
First, it involves less investment; Audi does not have to develop an export department,an overseas sales force, or a set of foreign contracts. Second, it involves less risk;
33
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
34/41
because international marketing intermediaries bring know-how and services to
relationship, the seller will normally make fewer mistakes.
Audi eventually may decide to handle their own exports. The investment and risk are
somewhat greater, but so is the potential return.
Audi can carry on direct exporting in several ways:
- Domestic-based export department or division: Might evolve into a self-contained
export department operating as a profit center.
- Overseas sales branch or subsidiary: The sales branch handles sales and
distribution and might handle warehousing and promotion as well. It often serves
as a display and customer service center.
- Traveling export sales representatives: Home-based sales representatives are
sent abroad to find business.
- Foreign-based distributors or agents: These distributors and agents might be
given exclusive rights to represent the company in that country, or only limited
rights.
Whether companies decide to export indirectly or directly, many companies use
exporting as a way to test the waters before building a plant and manufacturing a
product overseas.
Licensing
Licensing is a simple way to become involved in international marketing. Audi might
licenses a Vietnamese company to use a manufacturing process, trademark, patent,
trade secret, or other item of value for a fee or royalty. Audi can gains entry at little risk;
Vietnamese company gains production expertise or a well-known product or brandname.
Licensing has potential disadvantages. Audi might have less control over the licensee
than it does over its own production and sales facilities. Furthermore, if the licensee is
very successful, Audi has given up profits; and if and when the contract ends, Audi might
find that it has created a competitor. To avoid this, the licensor usually supplies some
proprietary ingredients or components needed in the product; but the best strategy is for
the licensor to lead in innovation so that the licensee will continue to depend on the
licensor.
34
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
35/41
There are several variations on a licensing arrangement. Audi might sell management
contracts to owners of foreign hotels to manage these businesses for a free. The
management firm may even be given the option to purchase some share in the managed
company within a stated period.Another variation is contract manufacturing, in which the
firm hires local manufacturers to produce the product. Contract manufacturing gives the
company less control over the manufacturing process and the loss of potential profits on
manufacturing. However, it offers a chance to start faster, with less risk and with the
opportunity to form a partnership or buyout the local manufacturer later. Finally, Audi can
enter a foreign market through franchising, which is more complete form of licensing. The
franchiser offers a complete brand concept and operating, system. In return, the
franchisee invests in and pays certain fees to the franchiser.
Joint Ventures
Audi may join with Vietnamese investors to create a joint venture company in which they
share ownership and control. A joint venture may be necessary or desirable for economic
or political reasons. The foreign firm might lack the financial, physical, or managerial
resources to undertake the venture alone; or the foreign government might require joint
ownership as a condition for entry.
Joint ownership has certain drawbacks. The partners might disagree over investment,
marketing, or other policies. One partner might want to reinvest earnings for growth, and
the other partner might want to declare more dividends. Joint ownership can also prevent
a multinational company from carrying out specific manufacturing and marketing policies
on a worldwide basis.
Direct Investment
The ultimate form of foreign involvement is direct ownership of foreign-based assembly
or manufacturing facilities. Audi can buy part or full interest in a local company or builds
its own facilities. If the market appears large enough, foreign production facilities offer
distinct advantages. First, Audi secures cost economies in the form of cheaper labor or
raw materials, foreign-government investment incentives, and freight savings . Second,
Audi strengthens its image in the host country because it creates jobs. Third, Audi
develops a deeper relationship with government, customers, local suppliers, and
distributors, enabling it to adapt its products better to the local environment. Fourth, Audi
retains full control over its investment and therefore can develop manufacturing and
marketing policies that serve its long-term international objectives. Fifth, Audi assures
35
-
8/3/2019 COE-DBA27-Vu Thi Tuyet-Project
36/41
itself access to the marketin case the host country starts insisting that locally purchased
goods have domestic content.
The man disadvantage of direct investment is that Audi exposes a large investment to
risks such as blocked or devalued currencies, worsening markets, or expropriation. Audi
will find it expensive to reduce or close down its operations, because the host country
might require substantial severance pay to the employees.
In reality, most entry strategies consist of a combination of different formats. We refer to
the process of deciding on the best possible entry strategy mix as entry strategy
configuration.
Audi now is applying the first entry strategy to Vietnam- Indirect export. In October 2008,
Audi has co-operation with the Automotive Asia group, which sells the premium cars as
the exclusive importer. Initially Audi will introduce two models, the A8 4.2L TFSI and the
Q7 4.2L TFSI. In 2009, the model range will be increased with the addition of the A6, the
Q5 and the A4. In addition to the showroom, the new 1,600sqm facility in Ho Chi Minh
City is expected to offer customers service and genuine parts. Peter Schwarzenbauer,
member of the board of management for marketing and sales at Audi, said: "The
developing marke