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    AN EXECUTIVE BRIEFING ON

    THE AUDI GROUP THE CAR INDUSTRY

    Researched by

    ...

    DBA Intake 1

    NCU COE Doctoral Program

    Ha Noi, Viet Nam

    February 2009

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    CONTENTS

    PART I: EFFECTIVENESS ASSESSMENT.......................................................................3

    THE COMPANY............................................................................................................................................................3

    THE COMPETITORS ..................................................................................................................................................4

    EFFECIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS CALCULATION......................................................................................6

    PART 2: DOMINANT MARKET ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ..............................8

    Introduction.....................................................................................................................................................................8

    Legal- Regulatory environment.....................................................................................................................................9

    Economic Environment ...............................................................................................................................................10

    Technology environment..............................................................................................................................................11

    Cultural Environment..................................................................................................................................................12

    INDUSTRY ANALYSIS...............................................................................................................................................13

    Porters five forces and the auto industry...................................................................................................................13

    International car market..............................................................................................................................................14

    The German car market .............................................................................................................................................16

    The future outlook of car industry..............................................................................................................................16

    PART 3: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT.................................................19

    Country- Trade bloc profile.........................................................................................................................................20

    Vietnam economys profile........................................................................................................................................20

    Political climate..........................................................................................................................................................23

    Trade relations and statistics......................................................................................................................................24

    Trade Bloc review..........................................................................................................................................................25

    Vietnams automotive market......................................................................................................................................30

    COUNTRY- TRADE BLOC ENTRY STRATEGIES..............................................................................................33

    MARKETING STRATEGY........................................................................................................................................36

    REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................................................39

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    Part I: EFFECTIVENESS ASSESSMENT

    THE COMPANY

    The Audi Automobile Group (Audi AG), comprising the Audi and Lamborghini brands, is

    one of the most successful carmakers in the premium segment. At the core of the

    Company is the Audi brand, whose vehicles captivates customers around the world with

    their modern design and high builds quality. The stated ambition of the Audi brand is to

    fulfill challenging customer expectations of pioneering innovations through the brand

    essence of Vorsprung durch Technik that means advancement through technology as

    well as the brand values of sportiness, sophistication and progressiveness. Furthermore,

    the Company is placing in-creasing emphasis on the sustainability of the technology it

    uses. Customers experience this brand identity through a diverse range of models, whichenabled Audi to further strengthen its good position on car markets worldwide.

    At the end of 2007, 26.3% of sales of Audi brand come from Germany, nearly 45% from

    Europe (excluding Germany), 10.6% from China (including Hong Kong), 9.7% from USA

    and 8.5% from other countries in the world market.

    The Audi Group is headquartered in Ingolstadt, Germany. This is where Technical

    Development, Sales, Administration and substantial portions of the manufacturing

    operations are based. In addition to the high-selling A3, A3 Sport back and the A4 Sedan

    and Avant models, the new A5 Coup and the ultra-sporty S3 and S5 Coup versions

    are built there as well. Volume production of the new Audi Q5 will additionally begin in

    2008. The bodies of the A Coup and Roadster and of the A3 Cabriolet are also made in

    Ingolstadt.

    At Neckarsulm, the Companys second German location, AUDI AG manufactures the A4

    Sedan, A6 Sedan, Avant and all road Quattro, S6 Sedan and Avant models, as well as

    the A8 luxury sedan, plus its high-performance A8 W12 and S8 versions.

    The Audi R8 mid-engine sports car, hand-crafted to exceptionally high standards, and

    the new RS 6 Avant are built by Quattro GmbH, which is also based at Neckarsulm. This

    company, a wholly owned subsidiary of AUDI AG, also supplies an attractive

    customization program for all Audi models (e.g. S line, exclusive line) and sells exclusive

    lifestyle articles that embody the spirit of the brand with the four rings. The Belgian plant

    in Brussels, which became part of the Audi manufacturing network in March 2007,currently builds the A3 Sportback and the VW Polo on behalf of Volkswagen AG.

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    AUDI HUNGARIA MOTOR Kft. develops and builds engines for AUDI AG and other

    Volkswagen Group companies, as well as for third parties, at Gyr, Hungary. The Audi A

    Coup and Roadster models and the new A3 Cabriolet are also built there in partnership

    with the Ingolstadt plant. This Company has advanced to become one of the countrys

    major exporters and highest-revenue businesses. The Bologna region of Italy is home to

    Automobili Lamborghini S.p.A., which builds the Gallardo Coup, Gallardo Spyder,

    Gallardo Superleggera, Murcilago LP640 Coup, Murci-lago LP640 Roadster and

    Reventn super sports cars.

    Vehicles of the Audi brand and of other Volkswagen Group brands are sold in Italy by

    VOLKSWAGEN GROUP ITALIA S.P.A., a subsidiary of Automobile Lamborghini Holding

    S.p.A., based in Verona.

    Audi also set many sales subsidiaries in the world. There are 10 sales subsidiaries,

    including Audi Australia Pty Ltd., Audi Japan K.K., Audi Brazil Distribuidora de Veculos

    Ltda. Audi Volkswagen Korea Ltd., Audi Vertriebsbetreuungsgesellschaft mbH, Audi

    Volkswagen Middle East FZE, Audi of America, LLC, Audi Canada Inc., Audi Retail

    GmbH, Audi Zentrum Hannover GmbH.

    THE COMPETITORS

    To define clearly the competitors of Audi, firstly we should see the diagram 1 of

    automobile brand in the world.

    There are 7 main groups of automobile makers in the world. It can be seen that from

    Germany, in premium segment, major competitors of Audi AG are BMW AG with

    BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, Daimler AG with Mercedes-Benz brand.

    BMW group

    BMW AG (BMW or the Company) is a global manufacturer and distributor of automobiles

    sold under the BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, with a focus on the premium car

    market segment. The companys production facilities are based predominantly in

    Germany, with the North American, German and other European countries accounting

    for the bulk (more than 70%) of automobile shipments. BMW also produces motorcycles

    and has a growing financial services business- largely to support its automotive

    business- but BMW-branded car sales are the primary source of earnings.

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    Diagram 1: Relationship between automobile brands in the world

    (Source: autoblog.com)

    BMW has consistently generated profitability above the industry average, particularly

    relative to its European and North American peers. BMWs strong brand image andluxury market penetration have largely supported premium pricing relative to higher-

    volume producers. Product and technology innovation are the key reasons for BMWs

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    competitiveness in the premium-car segment. Its flagship 3 Series has maintained a

    leading market position in the premium middle-class car segment and is the primary

    earnings driver for the Company (43% of BMW brand unit sales in 2006). Importantly,

    BMWs focus on the higher growth, premium automobile market segments has reduced

    its exposure to economic cycles. Reduced cyclicality, and increased geographic

    diversification outside of Germany since 2001 have contributed to stability in earnings

    and cash flow.

    The strategic objective is clearly defined: The BMW Group is the leading provider of

    premium products and premium services for individual mobility.

    Mercedes- Benz cars

    Mercedes- Benz cars is a well-known brand of Daimler AG. Daimler AG with its

    businesses Mercedes-Benz Cars, Daimler Trucks, Daimler Financial Services,

    Mercedes-Benz Vans and Daimler Buses, is a globally leading producer of premium

    passenger cars and the largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in the world.

    Daimler sells its products in nearly all the countries of the world and has production

    facilities on five continents.

    Mercedes- Benz is headquartered in Stuagart, Germany with 95,526 employees (at the

    time December 31, 2007) and total revenues of the year 2007 is EUR 52,430 million. The

    products supplied by the Mercedes-Benz Cars division range from the high-quality small

    cars of the smart brand to the premium automobiles of

    the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes AMG and Mercedes-Benz McLaren brands

    and to the Maybach luxury sedans.

    Most of these vehicles are produced in Germany, but the division also has production

    facilities in the United States, France, South Africa, Brazil, India, Vietnam and Indonesia,

    and since the year 2005 also in China. Worldwide, Mercedes-Benz Cars has 17

    production sites.

    The division's most important markets in 2007 were Germany with 27% of unit sales, the

    other markets of Western Europe (34%), the United States (19%) and Japan (4%).

    EFFECIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS CALCULATION

    Unit: EUR millionAUDI

    Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Revenue 23,405 24,506 26,591 31,142 33,617Percentage Change 4.7% 8.5% 17.1% 7.9%

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    COGS 22,297 21,989 23,429 27,309 28,478Percentage Change -1.4% 6.5% 16.6% 4.3%Gross Profit 1,108 2,517 3,162 3,833 5,139Percentage Change 127.2% 25.6% 21.2% 34.1%

    MERCEDES- BENZ1

    Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Revenue 51,446 49,630 50,015 51,410 52,430Percentage Change -3.5% 0.8% 2.8% 2.0%COGS 48,320 47,964 50,520 49,627 47,677Percentage Change -0.7% 5.3% -1.8% -3.9%Gross Profit 3,126 1,666 -505 1,783 4,753Percentage Change -46.7% -130.3% 453.1% 166.6%

    BMW2

    Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Revenue 41,525 44,335 46,656 48,999 56,018Percentage Change 6.8% 5.2% 5.0% 14.3%COGS 38,320 40,752 43,369 44,875 52,145Percentage Change 6.3% 6.4% 3.5% 16.2%Gross Profit 3,205 3,583 3,287 4,124 3,873Percentage Change 11.8% -8.3% 25.5% -6.1%

    Source: Annual report 2007,2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 of Audi AG, BMW AG, Daimler

    Audi

    Revenue from 2003 to 2007 has increased steady which reach the growth rate of nearly

    8 percent in 2007. The cost of sales for the Audi AG raised by 4.3 percent in the period

    2006-2007 review to EUR 28,478 million as the result of the higher sales volume. Further

    productivity gains, improved process and optimized material costs were the main reason

    for the disproportionably low rise in the cost of sale relative to revenue. Overall, the Audi

    AG enjoyed a notable increase in gross profit of 34.1 percent to EUR 5,139 million.

    Mercedes- Benz

    Mercedes-Benz Cars volume of business in 2007 increased to 52.4 billion, primarily

    due to the market success of the new C-Class models launched in 2007. There was a

    positive impact from the significantly higher profit from the Mercedes-Benz Cars division,

    which profited from the efficiency improvements it achieved and from the favorable

    development of unit sales.

    1Mercedes- Benz cars

    2Including 3 brands: BMW, Mini and Rolls- Royce

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    The Mercedes-Benz Cars division improved its gross profit to 4,753 million in 2007

    (2006: 1,783 million), and the divisions return on sales of 9.1% significantly surpassed

    its target, although it had been raised from 7% to 8%. The cost efficiency of the

    Mercedes-Benz Cars division was further improved with the implementation of the CORE

    program. The significant increase in earnings was also due to the positive development

    of unit sales, especially of the C-Class.

    BMW

    Revenues of the BMW Group rose at an above-average rate on the back of a pleasing

    sales volume performance and thanks to the dynamic growth of its financial services

    business. Group revenues rose to euro 56,018 million in 2007 and were therefore up by

    14.3 % on a year-on-year comparison. Excluding the exchange rate impact, revenueswould have risen by 17.6 %. The BMW Group profit before tax, at euro 3,873 million, was

    6.1 % below the record level achieved in the previous year. Excluding the effect of the

    settlement of the exchangeable bond on shares in Rolls-Royce plc, London, pre-tax

    earnings were, as forecasted, slightly above the previous years level.

    Part 2: DOMINANT MARKET ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT

    European market can be seen as dominant market of Audi AG, since the large part of

    market share of Audi comes from this place.

    Introduction

    The European Union common market formed in 1993 with 12 member nations. Since

    then, it has grown to 27 member states, a population of nearly 490 million (Internet

    World Stats), and a GDP higher than that of the United States. The European automotive

    industry has a long history in Europe and today, car manufacturers have production

    facilities in almost all the member states. Not surprisingly, Europe is the world's largestvehicle producer: one third of the 50 million cars produced globally are manufactured in

    the European UnionIn total, more than 12 million European families depend on

    automobile employment, with 2.3 million direct jobs and another 10 million in related

    sectors. The car industry represents 6% of total European employment. Cars also

    represent a major source of income for the EU member states. Vehicle taxes contribute

    for 360 billion yearly to government revenues, that is, 3.5% of European gross domestic

    product.

    The European car industry has given important support to the shape of the current

    European Social Model. The European automobile manufacturers are fully part of the

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    achievements of the European social model. And they are committed to maintaining its

    existence: A skilled and flexible work force is essential, and the industry makes

    continuous efforts to achieve even higher standards.

    The car industry is and will remain a cornerstone of the European economy and society.

    Legal- Regulatory environment

    This environment includes national and local governments - to determine and maintain

    the legislative framework within which organizations do business. Examples include

    contract law, consumer protection, competition and trading policies. The European Union

    guidelines and directives which aim to achieve consistency across member states.

    Regulatory bodies - for example Office of Fair Trading, Advertising Standards Agency,

    Competition Commission, etc. These bodies are there to monitor and regulate

    commerce.

    Indeed, the European Union has developed the most advanced regional set of rules on

    competition and a model of supranational governance in which regulatory decisions on

    competition rest with a 27-member EU Commission.

    An example of regulation that effect strongly on car industry is Car Emission Regulation.

    It impact significantly on sales of cars. Amongst other things, the impact assessments

    questionably foresee a 30% drop in market price of precious metals; do not contain a

    proper cost effectiveness analysis; and assume that the effect on costs of mass

    production applies right from the start of manufacturing. This leads to an underestimation

    of Euro 5 and 6 related costs by about 33%. Respond to this regulation, Audi AG has

    reduced emissions of organic compound by around 38 percent since 1998.

    Le Clair (2000) provides a detailed analysis of the legal developments affecting industrial

    marketers in the EU and suggests that harmonization of product safety rules, labeling

    rules and product liability rules are now on the books. Rules on loyalty premiums and

    comparative and misleading advertising have also been completed. The regulations on

    contract pricing, price fixing and tying agreements and monopoly pricing have all been

    sealed. Distribution and logistics rules including market allocation agreements,

    cooperative agreements, direct marketing, distance selling and e-commerce as well as

    the logistics regulation are also harmonized. Nevertheless, the complete legal harmony

    in practice may still be far from complete and marketers and lawyers should work

    together to ensure that legal and regulatory concerns are monitored and integrated into

    the everyday marketing decision-making process.

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    Economic Environment

    The economic environment consists of factors that affect consumer purchasing power

    and spending patterns. In Europe, nations vary greatly in their level of income.

    Some of economic profile of EU in 2007:

    GDP at Prices and PPPs of 2007, growth rate: 2.7%

    GDP per Capita at Prices and PPPs of 2007, Growth Rate: 2.1%

    Consumer Price Index, 2005=100: 104.3

    (Source: Eurosta)

    EU-27 GDP was EUR 11,583,403 million in 2006, with the euro area accounting for

    72.8% of the total. The sum of the four largest EU economies (Germany, the United

    Kingdom, France and Italy) accounted for almost two thirds (64.7 %) of the EU-27s GDP

    in 2006. Cross-country comparisons should be made with caution and it is necessary to

    consider the effect of exchange rate fluctuations when analyzing data. For example, the

    apparent fluctuation of GDP in the United States is, to a large degree, a reflection of a

    strong dollar between 2001 and 2003 and a subsequent reversal to a strong euro

    thereafter, rather than any inherent change in the level of GDP in dollar terms (which has

    continued to rise).

    Having grown at an average rate of around 3 % per annum during the late 1990s, real

    GDP growth slowed considerably after the turn of the millennium, to just above 1% per

    annum in both 2002 and 2003. The latest data available for 2006 showed a recovery, as

    the EU-27s economic output rose, once again, by around 3 % per annum.

    In order to look at standards of living one of the most frequently cited statistics is that of

    GDP per capita. This indicator averaged EUR 23 500 in 2006 in the EU-27, withLuxembourg reporting by far the highest GDP per capita (EUR 71 600) across the Union.

    Even after accounting for the relatively high cost of living in Luxembourg, GDP per capita

    in PPS terms remained almost twice as high as in any other Member State. This is partly

    explained by the importance of cross-border workers in Luxembourg. The lowest levels

    of GDP per capita among the Member States were recorded in Bulgaria and Romania,

    where living standards (again in PPS terms) were approximately 40 % of the EU-27

    average in 2006.

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    In recent years, labor productivity among those Member States that joined the EU since

    2004, in particular the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia and the Baltic Member States

    has been converging quickly towards the EU-27 average.

    There has been a considerable shift in the economic structure of the EU economy in the

    last few decades, with the proportion of gross value added accounted for by agriculture

    and industry falling, while that for most services was rising. This change is, at least in

    part, a result of phenomena such as technological change, the evolution of relative

    prices, and globalization, often resulting in manufacturing bases being moved to lower

    labor-cost regions. More than one quarter (27.7 %) of the EU-27s gross value added

    was accounted for by business activities and financial services in 2006. There were three

    other branches that also contributed significant shares of just over one fifth of total value

    added, namely other services, which is largely made up of public administrations,

    education and health systems, as well as other community, social and personal service

    activities (22.5 %); trade, transport and communication services (21.3 %); and industry

    (20.3 %). The remainder of the economy was divided between construction (6.2 %) and

    agriculture, hunting and fishing (1.9 %). (Source: Eurostas yearbook 2007)

    As such, the three groups of services identified above accounted for 71.5 % of total

    gross value added in the EU-27 in 2006. The relative importance of services wasparticularly high in Luxembourg, France and the United Kingdom, as well as the holiday

    destinations of Cyprus and Malta. Services accounted for more than three quarters of

    total value added in each of these five countries.

    For the automobiles manufacturers the globalizations means the fusion between

    important companies like Renault-Nissan group or Daimler-Chrysler group (that

    functioned till recently), therewith the globalization also means the buying of smaller

    brands by the bigger once, as Renault done with our traditional car manufacturer fromPitesti, Dacia Automobile. For the example we can talk of one of the most success car

    manufactures of the moment the Volkswagen group, which own the following brands

    Skoda, Seat, Audi, but also the luxury sport car Lamborghini.

    Technology environment

    Technology is a fast moving and changing environment. Technological advances can

    affect materials, components and products, manufacturing business processes,administration and distribution systems of Audi.

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    Technology occupies the most important place in automobile manufactures industry, and

    we can even says that if you have not a product in compliance with technology

    development you disappear or you will be buy by which is most adapted to new. An

    example of last generation technology is the last generation of Volkswagen group TFSI

    engines, which have the most reduce carburant consume at this time. It is also important

    to mention that the devise of Audi factories is Progress by technology Discover your

    Audi model or Your progress is our motivation Audi definition for Progress by

    technology is: technological innovation is experience in this domain and a permanent

    search and attempt of find and implement new and revolutionary technologies. A belief

    which involve sportive, perspective reflection and high quality and which is find again in

    each car how have Audi logotype. Also Audi group says, Words and imagines can not

    equal the intensive experience of Progress by technology , the real pleasure of driving

    an Audi. Have a pleasant time in choosing your own Audi! Also in development and

    technology market growing strategy, Audi have devices your dynamism is our passion.

    The dynamism is a factor of progress in this way the innovations in development of

    engine are very important.

    Also technology means progress and progress means unless pollution- The cleanest

    Diesel in the World; In the middle of the 2008 year, Audi will start the cleanest turbo

    diesel engine in the world. The new TDI propellers will use the last common rail

    generation, with Injectors and 2000 baric injection pressure a recalculation system very

    efficient and optimize extra felling. For the first time in the world, for a good manage of

    burning process, were put on sensors in burning room. The new Diesel versions, witch

    will respect Euro 5 norms above it will be enforce, will have a reduction of nitrogen oxide

    emission with 90%. In 2/07 Audi Magazine, to accentuate the top of the range of

    technology involve in its automobiles, Audi make compare in time between the best

    planes of the time and his products. In 30 years compare is Audi Imperator and Junkers,

    the parallel auto-air in 80 years put face to face Audi 100 and Boeing 707, in 80 Audi

    quarto fight with F-18 Hornet, and in our days Audi A8 is placed near Learjet -45 XR.

    Those are only few ideas about technology that Audi try to use to promote his products,

    and we can say they succeed to do this thing, Audi has in this moment Mercedes and

    BMW the main competitors on the European market and also Romania, lets remained

    our self that in 70-80 years Audi was not a high class automobile how it is in the present

    days, its main competitors were Fiat, Renault, Peugeot, Citroen and Opel.

    Cultural Environment

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    The cultural environment is made up of institutions and other forces that affect a societys

    basic value, perception, preferences and behaviors. There also remains the matter of

    cultural compatibility across corporations. "British firms are run by accountants, German

    firms by engineers and Italian firms by designers (Blanco, 2001). It is also suggested

    that at the corporate level, EU can be divided into five separate sub-cultures: Nordic,

    Germanic, Anglo, Latin and Near East. Data from middle managers in medium to large

    size corporations in food processing, telecommunications and financial services

    industries in Greece, Italy, France, Portugal and Spain show a corporate and leadership

    cultural convergence trend in the Latin segment of the EU (Nikandrou, Apospori, and

    Papalexandris, 2003). These types of findings suggest that industrial marketers should

    form sub-regional business strategies in the EU.

    Understanding the similarities in market position, becoming familiar with foreign contexts

    and developing shared values and beliefs between subsidiary and headquarters

    managers may make MNCs pursue a centralized control policy, thereby adopting a

    standardized approach to international marketing strategy and tactics (Laroche,

    Kirpalani, Pons, and Zhou, 2001). Indeed, Picard, Boddewyn, and Grosse (1998) report

    a significant increase in the relative power of regional headquarters on international

    marketing decisions for many American multinationals based in the EU.

    INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

    The global automotive industry is one of the largest industries in the world and one of the

    prime drivers of international economic development and social improvement too. It

    manufacturers around 65 million cars and trucks a year, and employs millions of people

    around the world. The industry accounts for about 10% of GDP in developed countries.

    Porters five forces and the auto industry

    It is obvious that Porters five forces and the auto industry are well suited to each other.

    Any prospective auto company would do well to consider these forces. The rivalry,

    barriers to entry might make them think again. Established auto companies, though, are

    more powerful than their suppliers and have little threat of substitutes for an established

    brand that moves with the technology. Car industry analysis using Porters generic

    strategies is ubiquitous.

    The relationship among Porters five forces in the automobile industry, detailed below

    clearly proved its competitive nature.

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    1. Threat of New Entrants The existing loyalty to major brands, incentives for using a

    particular buyer, higher fixed costs, scarcity of resources, high costs of switching

    companies, and government regulations constituted the barriers to entry which in turn

    reduced the competition in an industry. Automobile is a high fixed costs industry, so the

    entry barrier is quite high compared to others.

    2. Power of Suppliers The presence of very few suppliers of a particular product, and

    the absence of any substitutes for the product supplied reflected the pressure exerted by

    the supplier. Sometimes the product was extremely important to the auto-maker and the

    alternatives proved to be very costly. In such cases the suppliers were in a better

    position to dictate terms. A lot of suppliers depended on automakers to buy their

    products. But if the automaker decided to change suppliers it would badly affect the

    suppliers role in auto manufacturing.

    3. Power of Buyers Small number of buyers, purchases of large volumes, prevalence

    of alternative options, and price sensitive customers were some of the factors that

    determined the extent of influence of the buyers in any industry. American consumers

    were driven towards foreign cars mainly because most of the auto-makers sourced their

    key auto-parts from different suppliers. But this raised doubts on the reliability of the

    vehicle itself.

    4. Availability of Substitutes If substitutes were available offering similar services, the

    likelihood of buyers switching over to another competitor depended mainly on the cost.

    The cost of the automobiles along with their operating costs was driving customers to

    look for alternative transportation options. The rising gasoline price was bound to

    influence the buyers.

    5. Competitive Rivalry The presence of many players of about the same size, little

    differentiation between competitors, and a very mature industry with very little growth

    were the features of a highly competitive industry. Higher the competition in the industry

    lower would be the profit margin. To remain ahead in competition, auto-makers were

    tempted to offer value added services to the customers incurring more costs. Easy

    finance options and long term warranties were offered to lure the customers. But these

    measures cut into the profit margins.

    International car market

    The world automobile industry is witnessing an unprecedented scale of change in the

    1990s. The end of Cold War structure witnessed the rapid spread of the information

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    revolution and the international economic globalization. The wave of globalization has

    directly affected the international automobile industry and has accelerated the global

    reorganization of it.

    Global demand for cars in 2007 was supported to a considerable extent by sustained

    strong economic growth in emerging countries. Economic dynamism in Asia, Latin

    America and Central and Eastern Europe was the main factor behind the 4.2 percent rise

    in vehicle sales worldwide to 58.4 million passenger cars. By contrast, the markets in the

    U.S. and Japan contracted. The overall market for passenger cars in Western Europe

    reached only the level seen the year before, due in particular to the sharp decrease in

    new registrations in Germany.

    Disregarding the German market, the car market in Western Europe exhibited an upwardtrend in 2007. Total new registrations were up 3.1 percent year on year, at 11.7 million

    passenger cars. Prompted by the payment of a disposal bonus for end-of-life vehicles,

    which favored the compact car segment in particular, the Italian car market made

    distinctly positive progress, posting growth of 6.8 percent. Of the remaining key high-

    volume markets, the UK and France reported growth of 2.5 and 3.2 percent respectively,

    while 1.2 percent fewer new vehicles were registered in Spain.

    Economic growth in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe gained further

    momentum by comparison with 2006, with new registrations rising by 30.2 percent to a

    total of 4.2 million vehicles. In Russia, the already booming car market exhibited

    especially strong growth in response to the economic upturn, increasing by 37.5 percent

    to 2.3 million passenger cars in the period under review. In the United States, the market

    remained tight due to the intensive use of sales incentives. The ongoing real estate crisis

    and high fuel prices had a negative impact on vehicle sales. With 16.1 million

    registrations of new passenger cars, the car market overall showed a year-on-yeardecrease of 2.5 percent.

    In contrast, the upward trend on car markets in South America accelerated. In Brazil,

    passenger car sales rose by 26.9 percent to almost 2.0 million vehicles, while new

    registrations in Argentina were up 28.9 percent to 402,000 passenger cars.

    The Asia-Pacific region again witnessed a dynamic market for cars in 2007. Unit sales

    there totaled 14.3 million passenger cars, representing an increase of 7.8 percent. As in

    previous years, the driving force behind this growth was China, which achieved an above

    average growth rate of 22.2 percent, bringing it to second place behind the U.S. with an

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    overall market volume of 5.1 million passenger cars sold. The Indian car market, too,

    maintained its dynamic progress, with growth of 16.0 percent, bringing total vehicle sales

    to around 1.2 million units. In contrast, registrations of new cars in Japan fell by 5.2

    percent to 4.4 million vehicles (Audi annual report, 2007).

    The German car market

    In the first few months of 2007, the German car market was strongly influenced by

    consumers moving their purchases of cars into 2006 in order to avoid the rise in the VAT

    rate on January 1, 2007. The situation on the car market improved only marginally as the

    year progressed due to continuing reticence on the part of consumers. Registrations of

    new passenger cars in Germany reached around 3.1 million units by year end, down 9.2

    percent from the year before. The economic recovery in Germany therefore had no

    impact on the car market.

    Demand for more fuel-efficient diesel models rose as a result of further fuel price

    increases over the course of the year. The percentage of overall registrations accounted

    for by diesel models gained 3.4 percentage points, to 47.7 percent. German-built

    vehicles proved to be very popular on international markets, as a result of which high

    passenger car exports over-compensated for weak domestic demand. In the year under

    review, exports of passenger cars totaling 4.3 million units bettered the previous years

    record figure by 10.6 percent. The countries of Western Europe were the most important

    sales region, accounting for 2.6 million passenger cars, an increase of 10.7 percent. The

    strong euro and difficult market conditions had a negative effect on exports to the U.S. in

    2007. German manufacturers were nevertheless able to nearly equal the previous years

    export volume, with attractive new models helping them to a total of 551,000 passenger

    cars.

    Bolstered by high export demand, German car manufacturers built 5.7 million cars in

    2007, a year-on-year increase of 5.8 percent and therefore a new record total. The

    number of German-brand cars built abroad was up 10.4 percent over the previous year,

    at 5.2 million units.

    The future outlook of car industry

    General economic situation

    It is believed that the global economy will slow down in 2009, following multiple periods

    of strong growth. The principal determining factor here is the prospect of a rapid

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    slowdown in the U.S. economy, outweighing robust economic growth in numerous

    developing and emerging countries. The sustained high level of crude oil and raw

    materials prices will also have a dampening effect.

    In the United States, the continuing crisis in the real estate market will put a damper on

    consumer spending. This will go hand in hand with increasingly restrictive lending

    practices on the part of the banks, resulting in reduced private-sector investment activity.

    Economic growth for the year as a whole is therefore expected to weaken even further.

    In the Euro zone, the economy will cool down somewhat in 2008, but the stable upward

    trend will be sustained. The Audi Group expects to see a further decline in economic

    growth in Germany. The dynamism of exports and capital expenditures will probably

    ease off. On the other hand, however, consumer spending is likely to be stronger andmake a larger contribution to economic growth than in 2007, not least due to the

    continued upward trend of employment, coupled with higher collective-bargaining

    settlements and lower inflation than the year before.

    The rate of economic expansion will remain high in many countries throughout Latin

    America as well as Central and Eastern Europe. Most notably in Russia, the rapid

    upward trend will continue thanks to the strong exports of the countrys energy

    producers.

    The Chinese economy will be dampened somewhat in 2008 as a result of the weakening

    of the U.S. economy and the corresponding downturn in exports to the U.S. Its economic

    dynamism will, however, remain at a high level, with GDP growth likely to remain in the

    double-digit range. Continued vigorous economic expansion is expected in India. The

    Japanese economy will again expand at only a very modest rate in 2008.

    The car industry

    The Audi Group anticipates a renewed increase in global demand for automobiles of

    over 2 percent in 2008 to around 60 million passenger cars. Principal growth hotspots

    will be the emerging markets of China, India and Russia. The general market

    environment will remain difficult in Germany. The forecast rise in consumer spending will

    induce only a slight improvement in sales figures. The Audi Group expects to see an

    increase in the volume of new registrations in the German market of just under 2 percent

    to around 3.2 million passenger cars.

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    The Audi Group expects registrations of new cars in Western Europe (excluding

    Germany) to decline to 11.4 million vehicles. Dwindling sales figures in Italy will be the

    main factor at work here.

    In the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, on the other hand, the market will remain

    dynamic, although the growth rate will be down slightly from the previous year. The Audi

    Group is forecasting growth of over 9 percent for the Russian automobile market to

    nearly 2.6 million passenger cars.

    A further deterioration in the U.S. car market is expected in 2008. The overall market

    volume of 16 million units sold will probably slip below the previous years total due to the

    weakening of consumer spending.

    The Asia-Pacific region will again enjoy strong growth in demand in 2008. The Chinese

    car market, in particular, will continue to expand and should reach nearly 6 million units

    a growth rate of 17 percent. The rate of growth forecast for India is even higher at around

    19 percent, bringing the total to 1.4 million passenger cars. In contrast, new registrations

    in Japan will rise only marginally to just under 4.5 million passenger cars.

    Increasingly intensive competition within the automotive industry and the ailing health of

    the economy will again pose major challenges for the Audi Group in 2008. An even

    greater effort will therefore be required to repeat the economic successes of the past.

    Management is nevertheless convinced that the Audi Group will be able to build on the

    outstanding results for 2007 and post positive overall results for its business activities in

    fiscal 2008.

    Anticipated development of vehicle sales

    The Audi Group will sustain growth in vehicle sales in 2008 and plans to improve

    significantly on the previous years record figure by selling more than 1 million Audivehicles. A large number of new models and derivatives, as well as those products with

    an established market presence, should aid the core Audi brand in accessing new

    customer segments and give the brands appeal a long-term boost.

    In its home market of Germany, the highest-volume market for Audi vehicles, the brand

    with the four rings is striving to improve its market performance. Audi believes that it is

    well equipped for further success in Western Europe, despite intensive competition there,

    and expects to achieve growth in the face of a generally downward market trend.

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    Audi expects that the new markets in Central and Eastern Europe, and especially

    Russia, will continue to provide strong impetus for growth.

    Audi is aiming to strengthen its image and market position in the U.S. by further

    extending its exclusive dealer network and launching new, attractive models. The market

    launch of the new Audi A4 will provide vital impulses here.

    In its largest export market, China, Audi intends to continue to benefit from market

    growth and to strengthen its position of leadership in the premium segment. The locally

    built long-wheelbase version of the Audi A6 will play an important role in these plans.

    Audi expects to see positive overall development of unit sales in Japan and the other

    markets of the Asia-Pacific region. The Indian automotive market, where Audi began

    local CKD assembly of the Audi A6 in 2007, will be playing an increasingly important

    role.

    Part 3: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT

    Vietnam's auto industry and market is at an early stage of development. But accession

    to the WTO and a population of over 80 million point to positive prospects for market

    growth that have already attracted a number of vehicle makers. Worldwide automobile

    industry is growing at a rapid pace as many countries are going through the phase of

    economic development. And the same scenario is applicable for Vietnam too in South

    EastAsia.

    Vietnam automobile industry was loosing track till 2005 but it recovered in the year 2006

    and posted a good growth rate in South-East Asian countries. Changing lifestyle and

    rising spending in automobile-related parts in Vietnam has propelled the growth of

    automobile industry in the country. Apart from that, Vietnams entry to WTO has madethe conditions favorable for foreign manufactures as the Vietnamese government has

    reduced the auto-component import tax in 2006. Though Vietnam was more of a

    motorcycle-oriented country in past years, its passenger car segment witnessed a good

    growth after Vietnam joined WTO. Rising income and flexible bank loan structure has

    incited the growth in passenger car segment.

    With 80,392 units sold in 2007, the market grew by 97% over 2006, of which cars and

    commercial vehicles saw the biggest growth rates at 128% and 129% respectively over

    2006, while SUV/MPV also saw satisfactory growth rate at 46%.

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    There are many reasons that supported the market development: Vietnams national

    economy grew well by 8.5% in 2007, which helped the sales of commercial vehicles

    increase sharply. As the income of Vietnamese people has been increasing, cars have

    become affordable for many Vietnamese people, which has led to the high growth rate of

    car sales.

    Country- Trade bloc profile

    Vietnam economys profile

    Vietnam is a densely-populated developing country that in the last 30 years has had to

    recover from the ravages of war, the loss of financial support from the old Soviet Bloc,

    and the rigidities of a centrally-planned economy. Economic stagnation marked the

    period after reunification from 1975 to 1985. In 1986, the Sixth Party Congress approved

    a broad economic reform package that introduced market reforms and set the

    groundwork for Vietnam's improved investment climate. Substantial progress was

    achieved from 1986 to 1997 in moving forward from an extremely low level of

    development and significantly reducing poverty. The 1997 Asian financial crisis

    highlighted the problems in the Vietnamese economy and temporarily allowed opponents

    of reform to slow progress toward a market-oriented economy. GDP growth averaged

    6.8% per year from 1997 to 2004 even against the background of the Asian financial

    crisis and a global recession. Since 2001, Vietnamese authorities have reaffirmed their

    commitment to economic liberalization and international integration. They have moved to

    implement the structural reforms needed to modernize the economy and to produce

    more competitive, export-driven industries. The economy grew 8.5% in 2007.

    Vietnam's membership in the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) and entry into force of the

    US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement in December 2001 have led to even more rapid

    changes in Vietnam's trade and economic regime. Vietnam's exports to the US increased

    900% from 2001 to 2007.

    Vietnam joined the WTO in January 2007, following over a decade long negotiation

    process. WTO membership has provided Vietnam an anchor to the global market and

    reinforced the domestic economic reform process. Among other benefits, accession

    allows Vietnam to take advantage of the phase-out of the Agreement on Textiles and

    Clothing, which eliminated quotas on textiles and clothing for WTO partners on 1 January

    2005. Agriculture's share of economic output has continued to shrink, from about 25% in

    2000 to less than 20% in 2007. Deep poverty, defined as a percent of the population

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    living under $1 per day, has declined significantly and is now smaller than that of China,

    India, and the Philippines. Vietnam is working to create jobs to meet the challenge of a

    labor force that is growing by more than one-and-a-half million people every year. In an

    effort to stem high inflation which took off in 2007, early in 2008 Vietnamese authorities

    began to raise benchmark interest rates and reserve requirements. Hanoi is targeting an

    economic growth rate of 7.5-8% during the next four years.

    Population (2007): 85.2 million

    Urban Population, 2007: 23.4 million (27.4 %)

    GDP (purchasing power parity): $222.5 billion (2007 est.)

    GDP (official exchange rate): $66.4 billion (2007 est.)

    GDP - real growth rate: 8.5% (2007 est.)

    GDP - per capita (PPP): $2,600 (2007 est.)

    GDP - composition by sector

    Agriculture: 19.4%

    Industry: 42.3%

    Services: 38.3% (2007 est.)

    Population below poverty line: 14.75% (2007 est.)

    Household income or consumption by percentage share: Lowest 10%: 2.9%;

    Highest 10%: 28.9% (2007)

    Inflation rate (consumer prices): 8.3% (2007 est.)

    Investment (gross fixed): 40% of GDP (2007 est.)

    Labor force: 45.73 million (2007 est.)

    Unemployment rate: 5.1% (2007 est.)

    Budget: Revenues: $18.28billion; Expenditures: $19.79 billion (2007 est.)

    Public debt: 43.3% of GDP (2007 est.)

    Industries: food processing, garments, shoes, machine-building; mining, coal,

    steel; cement, chemical fertilizer, glass, tires, oil, paper

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    Industrial production growth rate: 17.1% (2007 est.)

    Current Account Balance: -$1.199 billion (2007 est.)

    Agriculture products: paddy rice, coffee, rubber, cotton, tea, pepper, soybeans,

    cashews, sugar cane, peanuts, bananas; poultry; fish, seafood

    Exports: $48.3 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)

    Exports commodities: crude oil, marine products, rice, coffee, rubber, tea,

    garments, shoes

    Exports partners: US 21.2%, Japan 12.3%, Australia 9.4%, China 5.7%, Germany

    4.5% (2006)

    Imports: $60.75 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)

    Imports commodities: machinery and equipment, petroleum products, fertilizer,

    steel products, raw cotton, grain, cement, motorcycles

    Imports partners: China 17.7%, Singapore 12.9%, Taiwan 11.5%, Japan 9.8%,

    South Korea 8.4%, Thailand 7.3%, Malaysia 4.2% (2006)

    Reserves of foreign exchange and gold: $17.16 billion (31 December 2007 est.)

    Debt external: $24.41 billion (31 December 2007 est.)

    Stock of direct foreign investment - at home: $29.23 billion (2007 est.)

    Currency (code): dong (VND)

    Fiscal year: calendar year

    Form of State: Communist State

    (Source: GSO Vietnam, 2007)

    Vietnam has been in transition from a centrally-planned to a market-based economy

    since 1986. Despite the many positive reforms in the last few years, progress is slow and

    trade and industrialization policy remains largely one of import substitution affording

    disproportionate protection to the dominant state-owned sector.

    High economic growth and development was achieved in the early-to-mid 1990s, but

    growth slowed in the late-1990s due to the combined effects of the slow reform process

    and declining foreign and domestic investment resulting from the regional economic

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    crisis of 1997. Momentum has picked up but this is mostly due to high earnings from

    crude oil exports.

    As part of its efforts to improve the investment climate, the government is undertaking a

    privatization program and is revising its investment laws.

    The main deterrents to trade and investment are:

    - the lack of a comprehensive and transparent legal system

    - restricted land usage rights

    - complex foreign investment laws

    - continued corruption in infrastructure projects

    - the poor state of the financial system

    Eighty per cent of banking is controlled by five state owned banks. Another 12 per cent of

    the market is controlled by semi-autonomous domestic players. The sector is weighed

    down by non-performing loans and government lending practices which favor SOEs.

    Standard and poors rate the systemic risk in the banking sector as one of the highest in

    the Asia-Pacific region (along with China and Indonesia). As a long-term objective,

    Vietnam is committed to global economic integration through participation in APEC, the

    ASEAN Free Trade Area and World Trade Organization (WTO). Since joining ASEAN in

    1995, Vietnam's exports to ASEAN countries have grown an average 23-25 per cent per

    annum.

    ASEAN-initiated FDI accounts for 30 per cent of total FDI. The US-Vietnam Bilateral

    Trade Agreement was ratified in December 2001 and Vietnam became a member of the

    WTO in November 2006.

    As a signatory to the ASEAN Free Trade Area, Vietnam is required to reduce many of its

    tariffs to less than five per cent by 2006. Vietnams membership of the WTO also willrequire a more level playing field and more transparency in the economy. Strong

    protection for domestic firms is, however, expected to continue for some time.

    Political climate

    The Socialist Republic of Vietnam (SRV) is a one-party communist state. Although

    conservatively communist, Vietnam has undertaken some reforms in recent years. The

    political stability of Vietnam lies in the strength of its single, undisputed ruling politicalparty, the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV).

    At the senior level Vietnam is run by a troika consisting of the President, the Prime

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    Minister and the General Secretary of the CPV.

    In 1986, at a time of economic crisis following years of economic stagnation, the Party

    embarked upon a program of limited market-based economic reforms. Under these

    reforms known as doi moi the private sector was permitted to exist in a limited capacity.

    There was also greater decentralized economic planning and a greater acceptance of

    market forces as the determinant of prices and production. This model has been steadily

    pursued and a socialist market-oriented economy is now in place. During 1994-1995, at

    the height of the open door policy, the Vietnamese Government continued its emphasis

    on political and social stability as it seeks to erase any remnants of domestic turmoil

    resulting from numerous years of war. The pace of economic liberalization has

    outstripped political advances. Vietnams leadership continues to acknowledge the need

    for political conservatism and initiates limited political change.

    The CPVs exclusive role in government is constitutionally mandated. Members of the

    Central Committee of the CPV come from the top echelons in the bureaucracy, the

    military, the internal security services, the media and the many state owned enterprises,

    which form the core of the nations economy.

    There is a growing sense of grass-roots democracy in Vietnam. A slow but steady move

    towards a more open and transparent system based on the rule of law is expected,

    within the context of a one party state. The Vietnamese Government will continue topursue a policy of gradual economic reform, covering state enterprise, banking, foreign

    trade and public administration. Implementation, however, will remain a challenge,

    potentially slowed by vested interests.

    Trade relations and statistics

    Since the collapse of the USSR, Vietnam has largely set aside ideological considerations

    in seeking to integrate itself into the international community. The relationship betweenVietnam and the USA continues to be complex. Although the economic relationship has

    expanded through the recent ratification of a Bilateral Trade Agreement other issues

    have represented challenges to both sides. Vietnams relationship with Russia is still

    significant via defense links, however, trade and aid links have diminished in comparison

    with earlier years. Japan is now Vietnams major trading partner and bilateral aid donor.

    Vietnam applied to join the WTO in 1995 and was formally accepted into the WTO in

    November, 2006. It became a member of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)forum in November 1998.

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    Although there have been periods when Vietnams relationship with China has

    historically been adversarial, in recent years Vietnam and China have formed a closer

    relationship with a broader range of exchanges. Vietnam has shown interest in China

    and the achievements of Chinas leadership in transforming China from a centrally

    planned to market economy. The interests of a range of European nations in remaining

    politically and commercially active in Vietnam are still quite strong; notably the French,

    Germans, British and Swedish have strong diplomatic and commercial representation on

    the ground.

    Neighboring countries such as Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Taiwan are all

    significant sources of foreign direct investment for Vietnam, and recent investment

    promotion efforts by the Vietnamese Government are aimed at investors from these

    countries. Under the AFTA Agreement there will be a tariff-free zone within ASEAN in

    place no later than 2006. Vietnam is taking steps to prepare to compete with other

    ASEAN members under AFTA and companies from other ASEAN nations are eagerly

    awaiting new opportunities within Vietnam that will result.

    Trade Bloc review

    Vietnam belongs to the WTO (joined 2007), ASEAN and AFTA, so the marketing

    environment of Vietnam is strongly affected by the engagement to these trade blocs.

    The Association of Southeast Asian Nations or ASEAN was established on 8 August

    1967 in Bangkok by the five original Member Countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia,

    Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Brunei Darussalam joined on 8 January 1984,

    Vietnam on 28 July 1995, Lao PDR and Myanmar on 23 July 1997, and Cambodia on 30

    April 1999.

    As of 2006, the ASEAN region has a population of about 560 million, a total area of 4.5million square kilometers, a combined gross domestic product of almost US$ 1,100

    billion, and a total trade of about US$ 1,400 billion.

    The ASEAN Economic Community shall be the end-goal of economic integration

    measures as outlined in the ASEAN Vision 2020. Its goal is to create a stable,

    prosperous and highly competitive ASEAN economic region in which there is a free flow

    of goods, services, investment and a freer flow of capital, equitable economic

    development and reduced poverty and socio-economic disparities in year 2020.

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    The ASEAN Economic Community shall establish ASEAN as a single market and

    production base, turning the diversity that characterizes the region into opportunities for

    business complementation and making the ASEAN a more dynamic and stronger

    segment of the global supply chain. ASEANs strategy shall consist of the integration of

    ASEAN and enhancing ASEANs economic competitiveness.

    In moving towards the ASEAN Economic Community, ASEAN has agreed on the

    following:

    - institute new mechanisms and measures to strengthen the implementation of its

    existing economic initiatives including the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA), ASEAN

    Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) and ASEAN Investment Area (AIA);

    - accelerate regional integration in the following priority sectors by 2010: air travel, agro-

    based products, automotives, e-commerce, electronics, fisheries, healthcare, rubber-

    based products, textiles and apparels, tourism, and wood-based products.

    - facilitate movement of business persons, skilled labor and talents; and

    - strengthen the institutional mechanisms of ASEAN, including the improvement of the

    existing ASEAN Dispute Settlement Mechanism to ensure expeditious and legally-

    binding resolution of any economic disputes.

    Launched in 1992, the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) is now in place. It aims to

    promote the regions competitive advantage as a single production unit. The elimination

    of tariff and non-tariff barriers among Member Countries is expected to promote greater

    economic efficiency, productivity, and competitiveness.

    ASEANs newer members, namely Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Viet Nam, are not far

    behind in the implementation of their CEPT commitments with almost 80 percent of their

    products having been moved into their respective CEPT ILS. Of these items, about 66

    percent already have tariffs within the 0-5 percent tariff band. Viet Nam has until 2006 to

    bring down tariff of products in the Inclusion List to no more than 5 percent duties, Laos

    and Myanmar in 2008 and Cambodia in 2010.

    Following the signing of the Protocol to Amend the CEPT-AFTA Agreement for the

    Elimination of Import Duties on 30 January 2003, ASEAN-6 has committed to eliminate

    tariffs on 60 percent of their products in the IL by the year 2003. As of this date, tariffs on

    64.12 percent of the products in the IL of ASEAN-6 have been eliminated. The average

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    tariff for ASEAN-6 under the CEPT Scheme is now down to 1.51 percent from 12.76

    percent when the tariff cutting exercise started in 1993.

    The implementation of the CEPT-AFTA Scheme was significantly boosted in January

    2004 when Malaysia announced its tariff reduction for completely built up (CBUs) and

    completely knocked down (CKDs) automotive units to gradually meet its CEPT

    commitment one year earlier than schedule. Malaysia has previously been allowed to

    defer the transfer of 218 tariff lines of CBUs and CKDs until 1 January 2005.

    Products that remain out of the CEPT-AFTA Scheme are those in the Highly Sensitive

    List (i.e. rice) and the General Exception List. The Coordinating Committee on the

    Implementation of the CEPTS scheme for AFTA (CCCA) is currently undertaking a

    review of all the General Exception Lists to ensure that only those consistent with Article9(b)1 of the CEPT Agreement are included in the lists.

    ASEAN Member Countries have also resolved to work on the elimination of non-tariff

    barriers. A work programmed on the elimination of non-tariff barriers, which includes,

    among others, the process of verification and cross-notification; updating the working

    definition of Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs)/ Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs) in ASEAN; the

    setting-up of a database on all NTMs maintained by Member Countries; and the eventual

    elimination of unnecessary and unjustifiable non-tariff measures, is currently being

    finalized.

    In an effort to improve and strengthen the rules governing the implementation of the

    CEPT Scheme, to make the Scheme more attractive to regional businessmen and

    prospective investors, the CEPT Rules of Origin and its Operational Certification

    Procedures have been revised and implemented since 1 January 2004. Among the

    features of the revised CEPT Rules of Origin and Operational Certification Procedures

    include: (a) a standardized method of calculating local/ASEAN content; (b) a set of

    principles for determining the cost of ASEAN origin and the guidelines for costing

    methodologies; (c) treatment of locally-procured materials; and (d) improved verification

    process, including on-site verification.

    In order to promote greater utilization of the CEPT/ AFTA Scheme, substantial

    transformation has also been adopted as an alternative rule in determining origin for

    CEPT products. The Task Force on the CEPT Rules of Origin is currently working out

    substantial transformation rules for certain product sectors, including wheat flour, iron

    and steel and the 11 priority integration sectors covered under the Bali Concord II.

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    Direction of Trade ASEANs exports had regained its upward trend in the two years

    following the financial crisis of 1997- 1998 reaching its peak in 2000 when total exports

    was valued at US$ 408 billion. After declining to US$ 366.8 billion in 2001, as a result of

    the economic slowdown in the United States and Europe and the recession in Japan,

    ASEAN exports recovered in 2002 when it was valued at US$ 380.2 billion. The upward

    trend for ASEAN-6 continued up to the first two quarters of 2003. Intra-ASEAN trade for

    the first two quarters of 2003 registered an increase of 4.2 and 1.6 percent for exports

    and imports respectively.

    On 11th January 2007, Vietnam joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) and

    became its 150th member. Prior to this final step of the accession, the General Council

    approved Vietnams membership after years of preparation. The decision ended over 11

    years of preparation, including eight years of negotiation. The working party of members

    negotiating with Vietnam was set up on 31 January 1995 and met 14 times between July

    1998 and October 2006.

    WTO accession poses major challenges to Vietnams economy. However, with

    cooperation extended by the members, Vietnam will make the most of opportunities,

    successfully handling challenges, ensuring fast and sustainable growth, pro-actively

    playing its part for the development of the multilateral trading system.

    The package of Vietnams accession documents consists of:

    - Vietnams commitments on goods of tariffs, quotas and ceilings on agricultural

    subsidies, and in some case the timetable for phasing in the cuts.

    - Vietnams commitments on services the 60-page document (also a schedule)

    describing in which services it is giving access to foreign service providers and

    any additional conditions, including limits on foreign ownership.

    - The working partys 260-page report describing Vietnams legal and

    institutional set up for trade, along with commitments it has made in many of these

    areas.

    For the majority of agricultural and non-agricultural goods, Vietnam is promising ceilings

    (or bound rates) on duties ranging between zero and 35%. Some of these involve

    reductions phased over periods up to 2014, the precise end date varying from product to

    product.

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    Among products with higher ceilings are: alcoholic drinks, tobacco products, instant

    coffee and some related products, new and used motor vehicles and components, and

    roof tiles. Used vehicles less than five years old can be charged additional flat-rate duties

    up to specified limits. These bound rates are legal ceilings. The actual duties that

    Vietnam can charge (the applied rates) can be lower than the committed rates. Among

    the details of Vietnams commitments is a promise not to charge higher applied rates on

    rapeseed (also known as colza or canola) and derived meal, oil and other products than

    the duties actually charged on soy products allowing the oilseed products to compete

    with soy.

    Vietnam has also signed the plurilateral Information Technology Agreement

    (plurilateral meaning only some WTO members have signed). For these products,

    Vietnam has agreed to allow imports in duty-free. In some cases, the zero duty will apply

    immediately; in others it will be achieved gradually over periods ending in 2010 to 2014.

    Vietnam has made commitments on a range of services. In some cases Vietnam

    reserves the right to limit foreign ownership of service companies operating in Vietnam

    for example in some telecommunications services the eventual limits can be 49% or

    65%, depending on the service. In a few cases, permitted foreign ownership is

    immediately 100% (for example accountancy). In many cases, the permitted foreign

    ownership is phased in to reach 100% after a few years (for example express delivery

    courier services after five years). As is normal in this sector, the effect of the

    commitments depends also on complex relationships with domestic regulations for

    example in the first two years, 100%-foreignowned architectural firms can only serve

    foreign companies. The commitments and some of the regulations are in the schedule

    (lists) of commitments; other information on the regulations is in the working party report.

    State enterprises: commercial business (i.e. except for supplying the government) will beconducted on commercial terms without interference from the government. A number of

    products are listed as subject to state trading enterprises because of consumption

    restrictions, for cultural and moral reasons, or because they are natural monopolies:

    tobacco products, petroleum, cultural products such as newspapers, journals and audio-

    visual materials, and aircraft.

    Privatization and equitization of state enterprises: this will be handled transparently, with

    Vietnam supplying annual reports while the program lasts.

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    Pricing and price controls: Vietnam will comply with WTO agreements and notify the

    WTO of actions it takes to control prices.

    WTO agreements dealing with rules: Vietnam will comply with the Customs Valuation,

    Rules of Origin, Pre-shipment Inspection, Anti-dumping, Safeguards, Subsidies, and

    Trade-Related Investment Measures agreements, with some provisions phased in over a

    period.

    Vietnams automotive market

    Vietnams automotive industry is one of the youngest in the region. Local assemblingof

    cars started at the end of the last century and the automotive market has been open for

    imports of new cars on a larger scale only since 2003. Used cars to a certain age

    maximum are allowed for import only since 2006. Hence, Vietnams car penetration is

    one of the lowest in the world, behind all other ASEAN countries as well as India and

    China. Because of this recent opening, the car park in Vietnam is very young.

    The car market is characterized through very high prices which developed in a phase

    when the Vietnamese government wanted to develop the local automotive industry

    through protection measures like an import licensing scheme and high customs duties on

    CBUs. In addition, various taxes and fees applicable when buying new cars, like the

    special consumption tax of 50%, increase cost substantially.

    Notwithstanding the low average income and the very high car prices, the passenger car

    market is booming since 2007, when new registrations doubled. Both locally assembled

    and imported cars are in high demand. For certain locally assembled models there are

    waiting lists for about 10 month. We expect further growth of about 35% annually until

    2010.

    The Vietnamese government latest plans regarding import licenses, tariffs, taxes and

    registration fees are a major factor of uncertainty. While WTO and AFTA memberships

    will eventually open up the markets and lower tariffs and taxes and the Vietnamese

    government initially seemed to fulfill demands earlier as expected today all moves are

    aiming at closing up the market again. With more liberal regulations, the car market in

    Vietnam might grow much faster than our estimate of 17%.

    The distribution structure for new cars is currently shifting to a more organized form

    OEMs with an assembling joint venture in Vietnam will organize distribution through

    these joint ventures. This was made possible after these foreign invested joint ventures

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    were granted import licenses for new cars. Other OEMs without an investment in a

    manufacturing presence also nominate official distributors. Until today, the market for

    models not assembled in Vietnam was dominated by grey importers and dealers. They

    will have a hard standing in the future and are expected to focus on special models the

    official distributors are not selling in Vietnam as well as on used cars.

    Financing of cars is just developing, with loans being the preferred method of financing.

    In a market with very high prices, car financing has a high potential.

    Vietnam has no own car brand. There are several OEMs active in Vietnam, mostly

    through manufacturing joint ventures with state-owned companies. Although the market

    is growing strongly, it is still too small for each manufacturing operation to reach

    efficiency. This is one reason why prices are still very high in Vietnam. Vietnam is notused as a manufacturing hub in ASEAN or Asia in general. Other countries like Malaysia

    or Thailand are in a better position in this respect. Operations in Vietnam were set-up to

    enter the local market, since import of new cars was not allowed for several years. The

    Vietnamese government wants to develop the automotive industry but local assembling

    operations at least with foreign investment have failed to generate a high localization

    rate. One reason is the limited supplier structure in Vietnam.

    In line with the size of the car park, the aftermarket is still small. However, it is growing by

    over 20% p.a. over the next years to 2010. Growth of the aftermarket is driven by the

    growth in car sales and the aging of the still very young car park. The distribution system

    for spare parts is just forming. There is no dominating or even larger independent player

    in a market, where quality is a big issue for customers who can afford and are willing to

    buy a car at the current price level.

    In total, the car market as well as the aftermarket is both attractive because of high

    growth rates and a large potential market of over 80 million Vietnamese. However, the

    market is still too small to justify large scale investments just to serve the domestic

    market. With further opening of the local market, which will happen in line with WTO and

    AFTA agreements, using Vietnam as a manufacturing base for exports will be more

    feasible.

    The major risk in Vietnam is the governments policy with respect to the automotive

    industry. The Vietnamese government is torn between opening up the market so as to

    allow more competition and to eventually lower prices for customers and the wish to

    protect the local automotive industry and to limit the expansion of the car park which is

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    leading to traffic jams due to a lack in infrastructure. Due to this lack in overall strategy,

    there are rather erratic jumps in tariffs and other taxes and fees levied on the import or

    purchase of CBUs, CDKs and parts. Hence, Long-term planning is difficult and one

    needs to think in scenarios.

    To sum up, here are ten basic things to know about Vietnam:

    1. Vietnam's population is over 80 million and it's a developing economy with per capita

    GDP of more than $800 - distribution of income is relatively even.

    2. Vietnam belongs to the WTO (joined 2007), ASEAN and AFTA.

    3. The auto market has only recently opened up, so car ownership rates (3 cars per

    1,000 people) are well behind China and India; however, the young parc offers

    considerable growth potential for vehicle sales and the aftermarket.

    4. High import tariffs have meant high car prices; government policy on import duties -

    applying to both CBUs and KD kits/parts - remains an area of controversy and

    uncertainty though WTO membership should reduce risks for international participants.

    5. In a market with high prices and low incomes, financing purchases through loans is

    becoming increasingly important.

    6. There is no state champion or Vietnam 'own brand'; several international OEMs have

    established JVs with state enterprises; brand loyalty is weak, with retail consumers

    influenced chiefly by product and price.

    7. The auto supplier industry is thus far severely underdeveloped, keeping localization

    low.

    8. The Vietnamese car parc has grown from 100,000 cars in 2000 to 300,000 by the end

    of 2007; 30% of the car parc is accounted for by Toyota brand cars led by the Innova,

    Camry and Vios models.

    9. CKD assembly of cars began in 1995 and JVs involving Toyota, Suzuki and

    Honda have led the market; Ford, Hyundai and Kia are also significant and Chevrolet is

    now growing extremely rapidly (Matiz and Captiva).

    10. The car market is forecast to grow to over 120,000 units pa in 2010; MPVs and SUVs

    are big sellers.

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    http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=139http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=130http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=145http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=119http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=214http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=205http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=36http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=74http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=76http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=175http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=139http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=130http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=145http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=119http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=214http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=205http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=36http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=74http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=76http://www.just-auto.com/factsheet.aspx?id=175
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    (Information supplied by Globis - a Germany-based consulting company with broad

    international coverage regarding strategy development, especially entry strategies into

    new markets).

    COUNTRY- TRADE BLOC ENTRY STRATEGIES

    Choosing the best way to enter a market is no simple task. Should the market entry

    objective be rapid acquisition of significant market share or stay below the radar to

    secretly build market share? There is no single strategy to fit all companies, products and

    markets.

    There are several ways that Audi can choose to enter Vietnam market. Each way has it

    owns advantages and disadvantages, so Audi should analyze its way carefully to reach

    the opportunities in Vietnam.

    Its broad choices are indirect exporting, direct exporting, licensing, joint ventures, and

    direct investment. These five market-entry strategies involve more commitment, risk,

    control, and profit potential.

    Indirect and Direct Export

    The normal way to get involved in a foreign market is through export. Occasional

    exporting is a passive level of involvement in which Audiexports from time to time, either

    on its own initiative or in response to unsolicited orders from abroad.

    Active exporting takes place when the company makes a commitment to expand into a

    particular market. In either case, the company produces its goods in the home country

    and might or might not adapt them to the foreign market.

    Companies typically start with indirect exporting-that is, they work through independent

    intermediaries. Domestic-based export merchants buy the manufacturers products andthen sell them abroad. Domestic-based export agents seek and negotiate foreign

    purchases and are paid a commission. Included in this group are trading companies.

    Cooperative organizations carry on exporting activities on behalf of several producers

    and are partly under their administrative control. They are often used by producers of

    primary products such as fruits or nuts. Export management companies agree to

    manage a companys export activities for a free. Indirect export has two advantages.

    First, it involves less investment; Audi does not have to develop an export department,an overseas sales force, or a set of foreign contracts. Second, it involves less risk;

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    because international marketing intermediaries bring know-how and services to

    relationship, the seller will normally make fewer mistakes.

    Audi eventually may decide to handle their own exports. The investment and risk are

    somewhat greater, but so is the potential return.

    Audi can carry on direct exporting in several ways:

    - Domestic-based export department or division: Might evolve into a self-contained

    export department operating as a profit center.

    - Overseas sales branch or subsidiary: The sales branch handles sales and

    distribution and might handle warehousing and promotion as well. It often serves

    as a display and customer service center.

    - Traveling export sales representatives: Home-based sales representatives are

    sent abroad to find business.

    - Foreign-based distributors or agents: These distributors and agents might be

    given exclusive rights to represent the company in that country, or only limited

    rights.

    Whether companies decide to export indirectly or directly, many companies use

    exporting as a way to test the waters before building a plant and manufacturing a

    product overseas.

    Licensing

    Licensing is a simple way to become involved in international marketing. Audi might

    licenses a Vietnamese company to use a manufacturing process, trademark, patent,

    trade secret, or other item of value for a fee or royalty. Audi can gains entry at little risk;

    Vietnamese company gains production expertise or a well-known product or brandname.

    Licensing has potential disadvantages. Audi might have less control over the licensee

    than it does over its own production and sales facilities. Furthermore, if the licensee is

    very successful, Audi has given up profits; and if and when the contract ends, Audi might

    find that it has created a competitor. To avoid this, the licensor usually supplies some

    proprietary ingredients or components needed in the product; but the best strategy is for

    the licensor to lead in innovation so that the licensee will continue to depend on the

    licensor.

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    There are several variations on a licensing arrangement. Audi might sell management

    contracts to owners of foreign hotels to manage these businesses for a free. The

    management firm may even be given the option to purchase some share in the managed

    company within a stated period.Another variation is contract manufacturing, in which the

    firm hires local manufacturers to produce the product. Contract manufacturing gives the

    company less control over the manufacturing process and the loss of potential profits on

    manufacturing. However, it offers a chance to start faster, with less risk and with the

    opportunity to form a partnership or buyout the local manufacturer later. Finally, Audi can

    enter a foreign market through franchising, which is more complete form of licensing. The

    franchiser offers a complete brand concept and operating, system. In return, the

    franchisee invests in and pays certain fees to the franchiser.

    Joint Ventures

    Audi may join with Vietnamese investors to create a joint venture company in which they

    share ownership and control. A joint venture may be necessary or desirable for economic

    or political reasons. The foreign firm might lack the financial, physical, or managerial

    resources to undertake the venture alone; or the foreign government might require joint

    ownership as a condition for entry.

    Joint ownership has certain drawbacks. The partners might disagree over investment,

    marketing, or other policies. One partner might want to reinvest earnings for growth, and

    the other partner might want to declare more dividends. Joint ownership can also prevent

    a multinational company from carrying out specific manufacturing and marketing policies

    on a worldwide basis.

    Direct Investment

    The ultimate form of foreign involvement is direct ownership of foreign-based assembly

    or manufacturing facilities. Audi can buy part or full interest in a local company or builds

    its own facilities. If the market appears large enough, foreign production facilities offer

    distinct advantages. First, Audi secures cost economies in the form of cheaper labor or

    raw materials, foreign-government investment incentives, and freight savings . Second,

    Audi strengthens its image in the host country because it creates jobs. Third, Audi

    develops a deeper relationship with government, customers, local suppliers, and

    distributors, enabling it to adapt its products better to the local environment. Fourth, Audi

    retains full control over its investment and therefore can develop manufacturing and

    marketing policies that serve its long-term international objectives. Fifth, Audi assures

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    itself access to the marketin case the host country starts insisting that locally purchased

    goods have domestic content.

    The man disadvantage of direct investment is that Audi exposes a large investment to

    risks such as blocked or devalued currencies, worsening markets, or expropriation. Audi

    will find it expensive to reduce or close down its operations, because the host country

    might require substantial severance pay to the employees.

    In reality, most entry strategies consist of a combination of different formats. We refer to

    the process of deciding on the best possible entry strategy mix as entry strategy

    configuration.

    Audi now is applying the first entry strategy to Vietnam- Indirect export. In October 2008,

    Audi has co-operation with the Automotive Asia group, which sells the premium cars as

    the exclusive importer. Initially Audi will introduce two models, the A8 4.2L TFSI and the

    Q7 4.2L TFSI. In 2009, the model range will be increased with the addition of the A6, the

    Q5 and the A4. In addition to the showroom, the new 1,600sqm facility in Ho Chi Minh

    City is expected to offer customers service and genuine parts. Peter Schwarzenbauer,

    member of the board of management for marketing and sales at Audi, said: "The

    developing marke