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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC David Weild 212.542.9979 [email protected] The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation. Improved strategies are needed. We offer some. ISEEE Orlando, FL March 25, 2012

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Page 1: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

David Weild 212.542.9979 [email protected]

The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation. Improved strategies are needed. We offer some.

ISEEE Orlando, FL March 25, 2012

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 2

Our Focus

•  Change Agent (Supported by Grant Thornton) –  Studies

•  Why are IPOs in the ICU? •  A wake up call for America •  Market structure is causing the IPO crisis – and more •  Killing the stock market that laid the golden eggs (pending chapter in “Broken

Markets” to be published by John Wiley & Sons)

–  Citations & Testimony •  Congress, Senate, SEC •  IPO Task Force Report to the US Treasury •  Jeffrey Immelt led Jobs Council Report to the White House

•  Improving Deal Results for Issuers (Capital Markets Advisory Partners)

•  IPOs •  Follow-on offerings •  Convertible offerings

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 3

The small IPO market collapsed with the OHRs and Reg. ATS (loss of B/D incentives) As seen in the study "Market structure is causing the IPO crisis—and more"

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners and Dealogic Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Transactions raising less than $50 million

Transactions raising at least $50 million

Percent of total U.S. IPOs

Sarbanes-Oxley (2002)

OHRs (1997)

Manning Rule (1996)Allegations of Spread Fixing (1994)

Regulation ATS (1998)

Decimalization (2001)

Reg. NMS (2005)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

*March 16, 2011; House Financial Services Committee “Hearing on Legislative Proposals to Promote Job Growth, Capital Formation and Market Certainty”

statement by David Weild

4

A catastrophic fall in the number of listed companies (43%) As seen in the study "A wake up call for America"*

(100)

(50)

0

50

100

150

200

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Inde

xed

valu

e of

sel

ecte

d gl

obal

exc

hang

e lis

tings

(1

997

= 0)

China

Australia

Germany

Tokyo

London Toronto

United States

Hong Kong

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, World Federation of Exchanges and individual stock exchanges

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

•  H.R. 1070 (Reg. A) •  H.R. 1965 (banks; 500-2,000 shareholders) •  H.R. 2940 (general solicitation, Reg. D) •  H.R. 2930 (crowdfunding) •  H.R. 2167 (500-1,000 shareholders)

Disclosure Standards

Current legislation will help but won’t do nearly enough to fix our stock markets.

•  H.R. 1070 (Reg. A) •  H.R. 2930 (crowdfunding)

Private Public

Private Public

Private Public

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

New Segments 1.  Emerging Growth Company

(IPO) 1.  >$1 billion in revenue 2.  5 year window 3.  SOX 404(b) exempt . 4.  2 years of audits (down from 3) 5.  Eases research rules 6.  Eases communications rules 7.  Confidential submission

2.  Reg. A (IPO) 1.  Up to $50 million 2.  Audit requirement 3.  Study pre-emption of state regulation

3.  Crowd Funding (private) 1.  Up to $1 million w/out audit, $2 million

with.

General Impact 1.  “Tick” size (decimalization)

study 1.  Impact on IPO market 2.  Impact on liquidity (small companies) 3.  SEC may designate higher ‘tick’ sizes

2.  Reg. S-K study 1.  Reduce costs and burdens of

registration for Emerging Growth C ompanies

3.  General solicitation permitted 1.  Reg. D

1.  Takes # of permitted shareholders up dramatically (to 2000 and 500 unaccredited)

2.  Emerging Company IPOs (before filing)

HR 3606 – Bipartisan (Senate next?)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 8

IPO success rates have declined

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s*

Closing price volatility

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s*

Intraday price volatility

Excluding2008 and 2009

9

Market volatility has increased (S&P 500) Standard & Poor's 500 index moves of 4% or higher

*Analysis through 9/30/11 Source: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners and Capital IQ Original analysis from "Market Swings are Becoming New Standard," New York Times, September 11, 2011

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 10

IPO time-to-market has increased

Number of days in registration (Trailing 30-deal average)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

U.S

. Ven

ture

Cap

ital R

aise

d (In

Bill

ions

)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Num

ber o

f U.S

. IPO

s

U.S

. Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

"Penny Stocks" Deal Size < $50 Milllion Deal Size ≥ $50 Million U.S. Unemployment Rate

11

We would have enjoyed a venture-backed post 1990s 'IPO Echo Boom,' but Reg. ATS killed it

Source: National Venture Capital Association Data as of 6/30/11

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

Num

ber o

f U.S

. IPO

s

U.S

. Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

"Penny Stocks" Deal Size < $50 Milllion Deal Size ≥ $50 Million U.S. Unemployment Rate

12

We believe the loss of small IPOs is a major contributor to job loss in the United States As seen in the study "Market structure is causing the IPO crisis—and more"

Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 13

We should be approaching 1,000 IPOs/year and < 5% unemployment

The 'U.S. IPOs (Projected)' estimate assumes 520 IPOs per year starting in 1991 with a 3% compound annual growth rate equivalent to the U.S. GDP growth rate. A simple linear regression model was created using historical data to predict the 'U.S. Unemployment Rate (Projected)' based on this number of projected IPOs. Sources: Grant Thornton LLP, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, Dealogic and U.S. Department of Labor Data includes corporate IPOs as of 6/30/11, excluding funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Est.

2012 Est.

2013 Est.

Num

ber o

f U.S

. IPO

s

U.S

. Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

U.S. IPOs (Actual) U.S. IPOs (Projected)U.S. Unemployment Rate (Actual) U.S. Unemployment Rate (Projected)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 14

Even big IPOs are struggling!

Success rate of trailing 30 IPO filings with proceeds of at least $500 million

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC, All rights reserved Includes only corporate issuers. Excludes funds, MLPs, SPACs and REITs.

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Loss of the Ecosystem: Underwriting Groups

Microsoft’s IPO (1986) vs. LinkedIn’s IPO (2011)

15

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

16

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986 Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 Underwriters (p. 1 of 3)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 17

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986 Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 underwriters (p. 2 of 3)

Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 18

Microsoft IPO: $58,695,000 March 13, 1986 Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 116 underwriters (p. 3 of 3)

Source: Microsoft IPO Final Prospectus, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC.

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC Source: LinkedIn IPO Final Prospectus

19

LinkedIn IPO: $352,800,000 May 18, 2011 Underwriter Table from Final Prospectus 5 underwriters

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Capital Markets Advisory Partners

Improving deal results for issuers

20

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 21

21

•  Cut execution risk •  Increase demand •  Improve allocation quality and control •  Improve pricing dynamics •  Improve aftermarket performance

Objectives

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Ability to market IPOs has deteriorated with shift away from IPOs

Source: Capital Markets Advisory Partners and Dealogic. Excludes funds, REITs, SPACs and LPs. Data through Dec. 2011

IPOs

Follow-ons

Convertibles

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 23

“Supply Chain” Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_chain •  A supply chain is a system of organizations, people, technology,

activities, information and resources involved in moving a product or service from supplier to customer. e]

“Equity Capital Supply Chain”

•  An equity capital supply chain is a system of organizations, people, technology, activities, information and resources involved in moving a product or service investment opportunities from supplier issuers to customer investors. value chains.[2]

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Investment Banks | "Supply Push"

24

Source: David Weild and Ed Kim, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC - © 2012 All Rights Reserved

"Happy Days" of Distribution 1990s (High Tick Sizes & Commissions)

Venture A & B Rounds

Angels

Initial Public

Offering Venture C, D &

Mezzanine

Strategics &

Crossover

Retail Brokers

Middle Market Sales

Institutional Sales

Friends

Family

Angels

Start-up Financing

Strategics

Long-Term & Small-Cap Inst.

Retail Investors (Advised)

Investors Drivers

Large Cap Institutions

Outcomes Sales Channels Private Financing

M&A

Unwind

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

Retail Investors (Advised)

25

Source: David Weild and Ed Kim, Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC - © 2012 All Rights Reserved

Venture A & B Rounds

Angels

Initial Public

Offering Venture C, D &

Mezzanine

Strategics &

Crossover

Retail Brokers

Institutional Sales High

Velocity Institutions

Large Cap Institutions

Friends

Family

Angels

Start-up Financing

Strategics

M&A

Drivers Sales Channels Investors Outcomes Private Financing

Unwind

Investment Banks | "Supply Push"

Investment Banks | "Supply Push"

Long-Term & Small-Cap Inst.

(Self-Directed)

Online Self-

Directed

Distribution for Most IPOs 2012(e.g. IPOs that need marketing support)

Retail Investors

(Self-Directed)

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 26

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Top 50 fundamental institutional investors ranked by market value of shares held are mostly smaller investors that are not the focus of large investment banks

Market Cap. $7.24 B LinkedIn Corporation “Demand Pull”

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 27

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27

LinkedIn Corporation “Demand Pull”

52% (26 of 50) of LinkedIn investors are below the priority line of most investment banks.

Market Cap. $7.24 B

Page 28: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 28

(March 16, 2011 – IPO)

William Blair & Company Pacific Crest Securities

Piper Jaffray JMP Securities

28

Top 50 fundamental institutional investors ranked by market value of shares held are mostly smaller investors that are not the focus of large investment banks

Market Cap. $0.88 B Cornerstone OnDemand Inc.“Supply Push”

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Barclays Capital

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 29

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29

Cornerstone OnDemand Inc. “Supply Push” 31% (14 of 42) of Cornerstone OnDemand investors are below the priority line of most investment banks.

Market Cap. $0.88 B

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 30

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30

Large Wall Street firms focus on the Top 50 (out of 3,000 accounts) that represent 80% of the commission ‘pie’ Top 50 fundamentally oriented U.S. institutions by equity assets

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 31

0%

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Ass

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Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Micro Cap Nano Cap

31

Category Definitions: Nano Cap = Less than $100 million, Micro Cap = $100 million-$500 million, Small Cap = $500+ million-$2 billion, Mid Cap = $2+ billion-$10 billion, Large Cap = Greater than $10 billion

However, these investors are large-cap dominated Top 50 fundamentally oriented U.S. institutions by Equity AUM

Top 50 fundament U.S. institutions – AUM broken down by market cap

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 32

$0

$1,000,000,000,000

$2,000,000,000,000

$3,000,000,000,000

$4,000,000,000,000

$5,000,000,000,000

$6,000,000,000,000

$7,000,000,000,000

$8,000,000,000,000

Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

Tier 5

Tier 6

Tier 7

Tier 8

Tier 9

Tier 10

Tier 11

Tier 12

Tier 13

Tier 14

Tier 15

Tier 16

Tier 17

Tier 18

Tier 19

Tier 20

Tier 21

Tier 22

Tier 23

Tier 24

Tier 25

Tier 26

Tier 27

Tier 28

Tier 29

Tier 30

Tier 31

Tier 32

Tier 33

Tier 34

Tier 35

Tier 36

Equi

ty A

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Market Value ≤ $2 billion Market Value > $2 billion

2010

32

By 2010 – Small (and Mid) cap shifting out of Top 100 Distribution of fundamentally oriented U.S. institutions in 2010 Each tier = 100* institutions ranked by equity assets (e.g., 1st tier = top 100 institutions)

*36th tier = 43 institutions

Not  reached  by  Wall  Street  

Not  effec1vely  navigated  by  Wall  Street  

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 33 33

Smaller accounts care about small and mid-cap Distribution of fundamentally oriented U.S. institutions in 2010: Equity assets less than $1 billion Each tier = 100* institutions ranked by equity assets (e.g., 1st tier = top 100 institutions)

*36th tier = 43 institutions

$0

$200,000,000

$400,000,000

$600,000,000

$800,000,000

$1,000,000,000

Tier 32 Tier 33 Tier 34 Tier 35 Tier 36

Equi

ty A

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s

Market Value ≤ $2 billion Market Value > $2 billion

2010

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

One shot to get it right

Why is a salesman going to support a public company for a revenue opportunity of only 1.5 cents/shares?

Issuers must be broadly marketed on the offering(s) when real money is at stake!

34

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 35

Total Comparables Holdings: 1- 50

-­‐-­‐  

100,000  

200,000  

300,000  

400,000  

500,000  

600,000  

700,000  

-­‐-­‐  

10.0  

20.0  

30.0  

40.0  

50.0  

60.0  

70.0  

80.0  

90.0  

100.0  

Fide

lity  Managem

ent  &

 Research  Co

.  T.  Row

e  Price  Associates,  Inc.  

Wells  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Jenn

ison  Associates  LLC  

Morgan  Stanley  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Fred

 Alger  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Ar1san  Partners  L

P  MFS  Investmen

t  Managem

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JPMorgan  Asset  M

anagem

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Wellington

 Managem

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o.  LLP  

Sand

s  Capita

l  Managem

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AllianceB

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Lord  Abb

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Columbia  Wanger  A

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Northern  Trust  Investm

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Goldman  Sachs  Asset  M

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TCW  Asset  M

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Cham

plain  Investmen

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Columbia  Managem

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rs  LLC  

Turner  Investmen

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Franklin  Advise

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Wadde

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JAT  Capital  M

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Next  C

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American  Cen

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Allianz  Global  Investors  Capita

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Century  Capital  M

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Valiant  Capita

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Citade

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St.  D

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Steadfast  F

inancial  LLC  

Cadian  Capita

l  Managem

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Janu

s  Capita

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Wes]ield  Capital  M

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Apex  Capita

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Empire  Capita

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ent  

Renaissance  Techn

ologies  L

LC  

Columbu

s  Circle  Investors  

Lone

 Pine  Capital  LLC  

Deutsche

 Bank  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Marsic

o  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

William  Blair  &  Co.  LLC  (Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent)  

Calamos  Adviso

rs  LLC  

Zevenb

ergen  Capital  Investm

ents  LLC  

SRS  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  LLC  

Dreyfus  Investm

ent  A

dviso

rs,  Inc.  

Total  A

ssets  ($  Bn

)  

%  Sha

res  O

utstan

ding  

Salesforce.com  Inc.   SuccessFactors  Inc.   Taleo  Corp.  (Cl  A)   Concur  Technologies  Inc.  NetSuite  Inc.   LogMeIn  Inc.   LinkedIn  CorporaDon   SolarWinds  Inc  Qlik  Technologies  Inc.   VMware  Inc.   OpenTable  Inc.   Constant  Contact  Inc.  ServiceSource  InternaDonal  Inc.   Cornerstone  OnDemand  Inc.   Responsys  Inc.   AUM  if  >  25Bn  AUM  if  <  25Bn  

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© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 36

Total Comparables Holdings: 51- 100

-­‐-­‐  

50,000  

100,000  

150,000  

200,000  

250,000  

300,000  

350,000  

400,000  

450,000  

500,000  

-­‐-­‐  

10.0  

20.0  

30.0  

40.0  

50.0  

60.0  

70.0  

80.0  

90.0  

100.0  

ING  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  C

o.  

Capital  Research  Glob

al  Investors  

Russell  Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent  C

o.  

Eagle  Asset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Fron

1er  C

apita

l  Managem

ent  C

o.  LLC  

ClearBrid

ge  Adviso

rs  LLC  

Northern  Trust  C

o.  of  C

onne

c1cut  

Wall  Street  A

ssociates  L

LC  

Pyramis  Glob

al  Adviso

rs  LLC  

RCM  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Loom

is,  Sayles  &

 Co.  LP  

Riverbrid

ge  Partners  L

LC  

Tiger  C

onsumer  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Morgan  Stanley  &  Co.  LLC  

Dimen

sional  Fun

d  Ad

visors,  Inc.  

Geod

e  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Gilder,  G

agno

n,  How

e  &  Co.  LLC  

Valinor  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Contou

r  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

BAMCO

,  Inc.  

The  Bo

ston

 Com

pany  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Tiger  G

lobal  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Aberde

en  Asset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Columbia  Partne

rs  LLC  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  

Brow

n  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Invesco  Ad

visers,  Inc.  

Cor1na  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

UBS  O'Con

nor  LLC  

Rainier  Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Kornitzer  Capita

l  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Sen1

nel  A

sset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Brow

n  Investmen

t  Adviso

ry,  Inc.  

Cade

nce  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Thriv

ent  Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Scop

ia  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Kalm

ar  Investmen

ts,  Inc.  

Broo

kside  Capital  LLC  

Shanno

n  River  P

artners  

Gene

va  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  o

f  Chicago  LLC  

Fede

rated  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  C

o.  

Capital  W

orld  Investors  

First  T

rust  Adviso

rs  LP  

Ashford  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Winslo

w  Capita

l  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Can1

llon  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Gabe

lli  Fun

ds  LLC  

Blue

fin  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  

New

 York  State  Co

mmon

 Re1

remen

t  Fun

d  Merrill  Lynch  Priv

ate  Client  Group

 Mellon  Capital  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Total  A

ssets  ($  Bn

)  

%  Sha

res  O

utstan

ding  

Salesforce.com  Inc.   SuccessFactors  Inc.   Taleo  Corp.  (Cl  A)   Concur  Technologies  Inc.  NetSuite  Inc.   LogMeIn  Inc.   LinkedIn  CorporaDon   SolarWinds  Inc  Qlik  Technologies  Inc.   VMware  Inc.   OpenTable  Inc.   Constant  Contact  Inc.  ServiceSource  InternaDonal  Inc.   Cornerstone  OnDemand  Inc.   Responsys  Inc.   AUM  if  >  25Bn  AUM  if  <  25Bn  

Page 37: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 37

Total Comparables Holdings: 101- 150

-­‐-­‐  

50,000  

100,000  

150,000  

200,000  

250,000  

300,000  

350,000  

400,000  

450,000  

-­‐-­‐  

10.0  

20.0  

30.0  

40.0  

50.0  

60.0  

70.0  

80.0  

90.0  

100.0  Ohio  Pu

blic  Employees  R

e1remen

t  System  

Principal  G

lobal  Investors  LLC  

Cupp

s  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Rice,  H

all,  James  &  Associates  L

LC  

Cred

it  Suisse  (United  States)  

Standard  Life

 Investmen

ts,  Inc.  (United  States)  

Thornb

urg  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

The  California  Pu

blic  Employees  R

e1remen

t  System  

Pier  Capita

l  LLC  

GE  Asset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

D.  E.  Shaw  &  Co.,  Inc.  

GAMCO

 Investors  

New

 Jersey  Division

 of  Investm

ent  

Welch  &  Forbe

s  LLC  

RS  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  C

o.  LLC  

Mason

 Street  A

dviso

rs  LLC  

Silvant  C

apita

l  Managem

ent  

Luther  King  Capital  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Nuveen  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Manning  &  Napier  A

dviso

rs  LLC  

Goldman  Sachs  &  Co.  

Emerald  Ad

visers,  Inc.  

S.A.C.  Capita

l  Adviso

rs  LP  

Ruane,  Cun

niff  &  Goldfarb,  Inc.  

Charles  S

chwab  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Bank  of  A

merica  Merrill  Lynch  

Arbo

r  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  (M

inne

sota)  

Morgan  Stanley  Sm

ith  Barne

y  LLC  (Securi1es)  

TimesSquare  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Crosslink  Capita

l,  Inc.  

Neu

berger  Berman  LLC  

Marble  Arch  Partners  L

P  Opp

enhe

imer  Asset  M

anagem

ent  

SunA

merica  Asset  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Palisade  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

M.  A

.  Weatherbie  &  Co.,  Inc.  

Mutual  of  A

merica  Capital  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Atlanta  Capital  M

anagem

ent  C

o.  LLC  

IronB

ridge  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LP  

Obe

rweis  A

sset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Jacobs  Levy  Eq

uity  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Fede

rated  Glob

al  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  C

orp.  

Gagnon

 Securi1es  LLC  

Rhum

bLine  Ad

visers  Ltd.  Partnership  

Harris  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Cornerston

e  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Delaware  Managem

ent  B

usiness  T

rust  

Deutsche

 Bank  Securi1

es,  Inc.  

Jeffe

ries  &

 Co.,  Inc.  (New

 York)  

Severn  River  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Total  A

ssets  ($  Bn

)  

%  Sha

res  O

utstan

ding  

Salesforce.com  Inc.   SuccessFactors  Inc.   Taleo  Corp.  (Cl  A)   Concur  Technologies  Inc.  NetSuite  Inc.   LogMeIn  Inc.   LinkedIn  CorporaDon   SolarWinds  Inc  Qlik  Technologies  Inc.   VMware  Inc.   OpenTable  Inc.   Constant  Contact  Inc.  ServiceSource  InternaDonal  Inc.   Cornerstone  OnDemand  Inc.   Responsys  Inc.   AUM  if  >  25Bn  AUM  if  <  25Bn  

Page 38: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 38

Total Comparables Holdings: 151- 200

-­‐-­‐  

20,000  

40,000  

60,000  

80,000  

100,000  

120,000  

140,000  

160,000  

180,000  

-­‐-­‐  

10.0  

20.0  

30.0  

40.0  

50.0  

60.0  

70.0  

80.0  

90.0  

100.0  

D.  F.  D

ent  &

 Co.,  Inc.  

Alkeon

 Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Tygh  Capita

l  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Copp

er  Rock  Capital  Partners  L

LC  

Gene

va  Capita

l  Managem

ent  Ltd.  

Park  W

est  A

sset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Fidu

ciary  Managem

ent  A

ssociates  L

LC  

The  Florida  State  Bo

ard  of  Adm

inistra1o

n  Granahan  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Parametric  Por]o

lio  Associates  

Coatue

 Managem

ent  LLC  

ASractor  Investmen

t  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

OZ  Managem

ent  LLC  

Susque

hann

a  Investmen

t  Group

 LLC  

New

 York  State  Teache

rs  Re1

remen

t  System  

Chinoo

k  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Broadview  Adviso

rs  LLC  

Two  Sigm

a  Investmen

ts  LLC  

Jetstream  Capita

l  LLC  

State  Teache

rs  Re1

remen

t  System  of  O

hio  

Technical  Financial  Services  L

LC  

Mazam

a  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Metropo

litan  Life

 Insurance  Co

.  Invesco  Po

werShares  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Peregrine  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Kentucky  Teachers'  Re

1rem

ent  S

ystem  

Gabe

lli  Securi1es,  Inc.  

Hutchin  Hill  Capital  LP  

Susque

hann

a  Financial  G

roup

 LLP  

SEI  Investm

ents  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Cavalry

 Managem

ent  G

roup

 LLC  

Benn

eS  Law

rence  Managem

ent  LLC  

California  State  Teache

rs  Re1

remen

t  System  

Apex  Capita

l  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Colorado

 Pub

lic  Employees'  Re

1rem

ent  A

ssocia1o

n  Fort  W

ashington  Investmen

t  Adviso

rs,  Inc.  

Weiss  M

ul1-­‐Strategy  Advise

rs  LLC  

300  North  Capita

l  LLC  

Barclays  Capita

l,  Inc.  

Herm

es  Fun

d  Managers  N

orth  America  LP  

M&I  Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Dawson  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

P.A.W.  Capita

l  Corp.  

GW  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Fortress  Investmen

t  Group

 Highland

 Capita

l  Managem

ent  LP  

Ensemble  Capital  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Balyasny  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Putnam

 Investmen

t  Managem

ent  LLC  

Security  Investors  L

LC  

Total  A

ssets  ($  Bn

)  

%  Sha

res  O

utstan

ding  

Salesforce.com  Inc.   SuccessFactors  Inc.   Taleo  Corp.  (Cl  A)   Concur  Technologies  Inc.  NetSuite  Inc.   LogMeIn  Inc.   LinkedIn  CorporaDon   SolarWinds  Inc  Qlik  Technologies  Inc.   VMware  Inc.   OpenTable  Inc.   Constant  Contact  Inc.  ServiceSource  InternaDonal  Inc.   Cornerstone  OnDemand  Inc.   Responsys  Inc.   AUM  if  >  25Bn  AUM  if  <  25Bn  

Page 39: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 39

Total Comparables Holdings: 201- 250

-­‐-­‐  

50,000  

100,000  

150,000  

200,000  

250,000  

-­‐-­‐  

10.0  

20.0  

30.0  

40.0  

50.0  

60.0  

70.0  

80.0  

90.0  

100.0  

Quan1

ta1ve  Managem

ent  A

ssociates  L

LC  

NCM

 Capita

l  Managem

ent  G

roup

,  Inc.  

Marshall  W

ace  North  America  LP  

Employees  R

e1remen

t  System  of  T

exas  

Lane

xa  Global  M

anagem

ent  G

P  LLC  

EULAV  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

NorthPo

inte  Capita

l  LLC  

S  Squared  Techno

logy  LLC  

USA

A  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  C

orp.  

Sit  Investm

ent  A

ssociates,  Inc.  

7x7  Asset  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Driehaus  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Roanoke  Asset  M

anagem

ent  C

orp.  

Pion

eer  Investm

ent  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Partne

r  Fun

d  Managem

ent  LP  

Millen

nium

 Managem

ent  LLC  

Nicho

las  Investm

ent  P

artners  L

P  AH

 Lisa

n1  Capita

l  Growth  LLC  

Miura  Global  M

anagem

ent  LLC  

Eaton  Va

nce  Managem

ent,  Inc.  

Banc  of  A

merica  Securi1

es  LLC  

Texas  P

ermanen

t  Schoo

l  Fun

d  Kingdo

m  Ridge  Capita

l  LLC  

Los  A

ngeles  Capita

l  Mgm

t  &  Equ

ity  Research,  Inc.  

Diversified

 Trust  Co.  

Alydar  Partners  L

LC  

Michigan  De

partmen

t  of  T

reasury  

RBC  Capital  M

arkets  Equ

ity  Research  

Transamerica  Investmen

t  Managem

ent  LLC  

Victory  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Comerica  Asset  M

anagem

ent  

Soros  F

und  Managem

ent  LLC  

Passpo

rt  Capita

l  LLC  

CR  Intrinsic

 Investors  L

LC  

Carlson

 Capita

l  LP  

Pied

mon

t  Investm

ent  A

dviso

rs  LLC  

Fijh

 Third  Asset  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Manulife

 Asset  M

anagem

ent  (United  States)  LLC  

Jacob  Asset  M

anagem

ent  o

f  New

 York  LLC  

Portolan  Capita

l  Managem

ent  LLC  

Illinois  S

tate  Board  of  Investm

ent  

Fidu

ciary  Trust  C

o.  Interna1

onal  

Wells  Fargo  Ba

nk  N.A.  

Ci1g

roup

 Global  M

arkets  (U

nited  States)  

Kopp

 Investmen

t  Adviso

rs  LLC  

Union

 Bank  NA  (San  Francisc

o,  Califo

rnia)  

Taylor  Investmen

t  Cou

nselors  

Conatus  C

apita

l  Managem

ent  LP  

Washington  Capital  M

anagem

ent,  Inc.  

Wells  Fargo  Ad

visors  LLC  

Total  A

ssets  ($  Bn

)  

%  Sha

res  O

utstan

ding  

Salesforce.com  Inc.   SuccessFactors  Inc.   Taleo  Corp.  (Cl  A)   Concur  Technologies  Inc.  NetSuite  Inc.   LogMeIn  Inc.   LinkedIn  CorporaDon   SolarWinds  Inc  Qlik  Technologies  Inc.   VMware  Inc.   OpenTable  Inc.   Constant  Contact  Inc.  ServiceSource  InternaDonal  Inc.   Cornerstone  OnDemand  Inc.   Responsys  Inc.   AUM  if  >  25Bn  AUM  if  <  25Bn  

Page 40: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC 40 40

Proof of Concept: Case Study

The Transaction:

We were brought on to advise a micro -cap business services company on their $30mm IPO. Many involved parties indicated that the deal was unlikely to be completed to due lack of investor interest (mostly due to liquidity concerns).

Our Work:

We used our account targeting methods to more than double demand on the offering, by identifying long-tail investors (investors that were not actively covered by the Book Runner) who purchased 51% of the offering and built larger positions. In the after market, and were the 3 largest (non-insider) stock holders as of the latest holdings report.

⇒  Electronically marketed to 250 PMs and Analysts through Book Runner, ⇒  Supported Book Runner in targeting work leveraged by Book Runner's sales force.

⇒  51% of allocation including 3 largest shareholders.

=> Completion of a microcap offering that was “unlikely to get done” according to many involved.

51% CMAP Accounts

49% Book Runner Accounts

Page 41: Capital Market Experts - The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market ... · 2012-04-09 · The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: ... U.S. Venture Capital Raised

© Capital Markets Advisory Partners, LLC

David Weild 212.542.9979 [email protected]

The IPO Crisis And What We’re Doing To Fix It: Market structure is too low cost to pay for the infrastructure needed to support capital formation. Improved strategies are needed. We offer some.

ISEEE Orlando, FL March 25, 2012