Summary

Tm tt Bo co u tD n Xy dng cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh

1. S lc v d n

1.1. Cc cn c php l v quyt nh lin quan

Quyt nh s 703/Q-TTg ngy 20/7/2005 ca Th tng Chnh ph v vic ph duyt quy hoch v tr, quy m v phn khu chc nng cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh;

Quyt nh s 909/Q-TTg ca Th tng chnh ph ngy 14/06/2011 v ph duyt Quy hoch tng th Cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh;1.2. Cc c s nghin cu

Nghin cu la chn v tr cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh (Thng 11/2003) Quy hoch tng th cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh (Thng 12/2009) Nghin cu Chun b hp tc xy dng cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh (Thng 02/2012)Cc yu cu c bn ca chnh ph Vit Nam nh sau:

Cng sut ca CHKQTLT

Giai on 1

p ng sn lng giao thng nm 2030Giai on cui

100triu khch/nm v 5triu tn hng ha/nm

Vai tr ca CHKQTLTCHKQTLT s l cng hng khng trung chuyn trong khu vc

c im CHKQTLT

CHKQTLT s c nt c o v khc cc CHK ln cnQuan h vi khu vc xung quanhPht trin CHKQTLT phi hi ha vi pht trin khu vc xung quanh.

1.3. Cc mc tiu u t

Cc mc tiu u t c phn thnh ba mc chnh:

Cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh cn c u t phc v giao thng hng khng ang gia tng trong khu vc thnh ph HCM. iu ny c ngha l nu khng u t cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh, giao thng hng khng s khng th c phc v ht ti cng hng khng quc t Tn Sn Nht. Vic xy dng mt cng trung chuyn ln (khng ch trn khng m c trn b) s thc y s pht trin hn na khu vc pha Nam Vit Nam v c Vit Nam. Cc quc gia ln cn pht trin cc cng hng khng ln, v vy Vit Nam s phi c mt cng hng khng trung chuyn ln nh th cnh tranh v lnh vc giao thng hng khng. iu c ngha l nu khng u t cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh, Vit Nam s tr thnh mt quc gia chm pht trin trong lnh vc hng khng.1.4. T chc lp bo co u t

Cng ty t vn Cng hng khng Nht Bn (JAC) c chn l n v lp Bo co u t thng qua u thu cnh tranh quc t.

2. Tng quan v hin trng

2.1 iu kin kinh t - x hi khu vc Nc CHXHCN Vit Nam, mt trong nhng nn kinh t c tc pht trin nhanh nht, gn y ang pht trin thnh mt nn kinh t th trng c sc thu ht trn ton cu. Hin nay cc nc trn th gii ang tp trung quan tm vo Vit Nam v quc gia ny c tim nng kinh t tt da trn mt s yu t quan trng nh chi ph nhn cng r hn Trung Quc - th trng ni a ln nht th gii, kh nng pht trin th trng ni a trong tng lai v dn s. V tr a l ca quc gia ny cng tht s l mt li th chin lc do gn cc th trng ln nh Trung Quc, ng Nam v n .2.1.1 GDP

T nm 2001 n nay nn kinh t Vit Nam gi mc tng trng cao. Tc tng trng GDP ca Vit Nam trong nm 2010 l trn 6,78% tnh theo gi c nh so vi nm trc.GDP/u ngi vo nm 2010 l 1.169 USD, trong khi vo nm 2005 con s ny mi ch l 642 USD. Ch s ny tng trn 82,1% k t nm 2005 n nm 2010 v t l tng trng bnh qun hng nm l 16,4%. y l mt trong nhng t l tng trng cao nht trn th gii.2.1.2 Dn sTrong mt nn kinh t tng trng cao nh vy, dn s Vit Nam ng mt vai tr quan trng. n thi im cui nm 2010, tng dn s ca Vit Nam c ghi nhn l 86,9 triu ngi, v d kin s t 90 triu ngi vo thi im nm 2012.Din tch Vit Nam l 331.051,3 km2, v mt dn s l 263 ngi/km2. Tnh/thnh ng dn nht l TP. H Ch Minh vi mt dn s l 3.530 ngi/km2. Th H Ni c mt dn s l 1.962 ngi/km2. 2.1.3 Vic lm v lc lng lao ngLc lng lao ng ti Vit Nam c ghi nhn l 50,4 triu ngi nm 2010. So snh kt qu ca nm 2005 v 2010, s liu tng 12,2% trong 05 nm gn y, hay 2,4%/nm. Tnh trn c nc, 58% dn s (theo tnh ton chnh thc) l lc lng lao ng vi tui t 15 tr ln.2.1.4 Ti khon quc giaNgn sch nh nc tng t 228.287 t VND vo nm 2005 ln 442.340 t VND vo nm 2009, ghi nhn tc tng trng 23,4%/nm. Mt khc, cc khon chi ca quc gia cng tng t 262.697 t VND (chim 115,1% ngn sch quc gia) vo nm 2005 ln 584.695 t VND (132,2% ngn sch quc gia) vo nm 2009. Trong nm 2009, theo s liu thng k mi nht, kt qu cui cng v thm ht ngn sch quc gia ln n 142.355 t VND.Trong tng lai gn, nn kinh t quc gia c th i mt vi mt s kh khn v thm ht tch ly ca ti khon quc gia.2.1.5 Cc ngnh ngh chnhTheo xu hng pht trin cng nghip trong 10 nm gn y, cc ngnh dch v nh in, Kh v Cp nc gia tng t trng vi tc tng trng 33,12% trong giai on ny. Tri li, cc ngnh c bn nh Nng nghip v Lm nghip (gim 32,79%), v Khai thc khong sn (gim 39,65%) gim t trng t nm 2001. 2.1.6 Giao thngHin nay Vit Nam ang m rng cc phng thc giao thng vn ti trn ton lnh th, bao gm mng li giao thng ng b, ng st, ng bin, giao thng thy v ng hng khng.Trung tm u mi giao thng vn ti Vit Nam bao gm H Ni khu vc pha Bc, Nng khu vc min Trung, v TP. H Ch Minh khu vc min Nam.Cc cng hng khng quc t chnh ti Vit Nam l Cng HK quc t Ni Bi th H Ni, Cng HK quc t Nng Nng - mt thnh ph ln min Trung v Cng HK quc t Tn Sn Nht TP.HCM - thnh ph ln nht min Nam Vit Nam. Hin nay ba cng HK ny vn ang pht trin.Quc l 1A l ng ni gia H Ni v TP. H Ch Minh. Khong cch ng b gia hai thnh ph l khong 1.720km. Quc l 1A hin nay c sa cha v nng cp tng phn, nhng on ng ny phi i mt 30 n 50 gi trong iu kin ng s cht lng km nh hin nay.

Hin nay hu ht cc on ca Quc l 1A l ng thng thng, gii hn tc trong khu vc th l 40km/h hoc 60km/h. t c th chy vi tc 80km/h trong khu vc ngoi , nhng thi gian li xe thc t li ty thuc vo iu kin giao thng, thi tit v cc s vic ti khu vc.

c k hoch xy dng ng cao tc gia H Ni v TP. H Ch Minh v cng tc xy dng bt u mt phn. Tuy nhin, cha c k hoch c th khi no tt c cc on ng s c hon tt.

H thng ng st ti Vit Nam do Tng cng ty ng st Vit Nam (cng ty nh nc) khai thc v s hu. Tuyn ng chnh l ng st mt ray Bc-Nam, khong cch gia H Ni-TP. HCM l 1.726km, mt hn 40 gi i ng.

Theo k hoch xy dng h thng ng st cao tc H Ni-TP. HCM th cn xy dng tuyn ng st di khong 1.570km vi chi ph xy dng rt ln. V vy h thng ng st cao tc gim quy m xung cn hai tuyn H Ni-Vinh v TP. HCM-Nha Trang. Tuy ch l mt phn ca h thng di ni trn, cng s mt nhiu thi gian v chi ph hon thin hai tuyn ny.

2.1.7 Du lchVit Nam l mt trong nhng im n v du lch hp dn ti chu . Theo kt qu thng k gn y nht, c tt c 5.050 nghn du khch n thm Vit Nam trong nm 2010. T l tng trng du khch n Vit Nam l 9,04%/nm trong 5 nm gn y t nm 2005 n 2010.Mc ch du lch ca du khch l: 61,9% i du lch, 20,3% i cng tc, 11,4% ving thm bn b v ngi thn, v 6,8% v mc ch khc. Theo s liu thng k quc tch ca du khch nc ngoi n Vit Nam, chim a s l khch Trung Quc vi 905.400 khch nm 2010. Sau l Hn Quc (495.900), th 3 l Nht Bn (442.100), th 4 l M (431.000) v th 5 l i Loan (334.000).Ngoi ra gn y lng du khch Nga, Malaysia v Thi Lan cng tng nhanh vi t l trn 30% t nm 2005.2.2 Tnh hnh giao thng hng khng khu vc pha Nam hin tiTi cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht, TP. H Ch Minh - thnh ph ln nht Vit Nam, ti thi im thng 6/2012 c tng cng 1.268 chuyn bay quc t v quc ni (theo lch bay khi hnh) n 17 ni ti Vit Nam, 36 im n quc t, v 6 im n cho cc chuyn bay ch hng quc t.Bng 2.2-1 Tm tt tn sut bay ti cng hng khng quc t Tn Sn Nht

Ti thi im thng 6/2012 c 35 hng hng khng k c Vietnam Airlines vi cc ng bay quc t t/n cng hng khng quc t Tn Sn Nht (TSN). Ti Tn Sn Nht c 4 hng hng khng phc v bay quc ni bao gm Vietnam Airlines, Jet Star Pacific Airways, Vietnam Air Service Company (VASCO), v hng hng khng gi r mi thnh lp Viet Jet Air theo lch bay ma h t thng 6/2012.Cc hng ny phc v 731 chuyn bay/tun (i vi chuyn bay khi hnh, trung bnh 104 chuyn bay/ngy) n 17 im trong nc, ti thi im thng 6/2012.Cc hng hng khng gi r hin nay ang pht trin th trng ca mnh mt cch nhanh chng v mnh m, v ang thit lp ng bay gia cc im n chnh. Vo thng 6/2012, hot ng bay gi r ti cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht ang m rng n 06 im n (mt phn l cc chuyn bay chuyn tip, h cnh tm thi) vi 108 chuyn bay khi hnh/tun, do 8 hng hng khng cung cp.2.3 Tnh hnh giao thng tip cn CHKQTLT hin tiT TP. H Ch Minh n khu vc pht trin cng HK QT Long Thnh c Quc l 51 i ngang qua khu vc ln cn cng HK ny. Hin nay Quc l 51 l tuyn ng tip cn thun tin nht n khu vc d n, v kt ni gia Bin Ha, tnh ng Nai v Vng Tu.T thng 6/2012, tuyn ng cao tc mi H Ch Minh Long Thnh Du Giy c xy dng. Khi m ca khai thc, y s l tuyn tip cn chnh n khu vc xy dng cng hng khng Long Thnh.3. S cn thit u t3.1 Quy hoch pht trin giao thng ca vng kinh t trng im pha NamVng kinh t trng im pha Nam c th hin trong bn H.3.2-1. Khu vc ny bao gm cc tnh pha Nam ca tnh c Lc cao nguyn min Trung, tnh Khnh Ha khu vc ven bin min Trung.

Hnh 3.1-1 Bn vng kinh t trng im pha Nam

Khu vc kinh t trng im pha Nam c dn s 36,5 triu (chim 52% tng dn s quc gia), vi din tch 98.754,4 km2 (chim 29,8% tng din tch quc gia). Ngoi ra, tng s lc lng lao ng trong khu vc khong 20,8 triu ngi (chim 41,2% tng s lc lng lao ng ca quc gia) vo nm 2010.Khu vc kinh t trng im ny l trung tm dn u trong pht trin kinh t quc gia, v ngay c trong tnh hnh hin nay, cc ngnh cng nghip trong khu vc ny to ra 1.467.967 t VND (chim 63,8% tng sn lng cng nghip quc gia) nm 2009.Hn na, khu vc kinh t trng im ny cn c tim nng pht trin thng mi xa hn, v tng vn ng k cho u t nc ngoi trc tip trong khu vc ln n 99.495,1 triu USD (chim 51,1% tng u t FDI trn ton quc) t cui nm 2010.Khu vc cng HK QT Long Thnh phc v c gi nh l gn nh tng t nh khu vc kinh t trng im pha Nam do cng HK ti TP. H Ch Minh (cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht hin hu v cng HK QT Long Thnh sp c pht trin) l cng HK QT duy nht trong khu vc.

Hnh 3.1-2 S ng bay ni a (t/n SGN, HAN, DAD)Khu vc m cng HK QT Long Thnh phc v v khai thc quc t s thc s rng ln bao trm ton b khu vc. Ngoi khu vc ny ra, mt phn ca khu vc pha Bc ca min Nam Vit Nam (mt phn ca khu vc cng HK QT Nng phc v) cng s c a vo, do c sn trong mng li.Khu vc phc v(Giao thng gia SGN hoc HAN)Khu vc phc v(Giao thng gia cc thnh ph khc)

Hnh 3.11 Hnh nh khu vc phc v theo im n3.2 D bo nhu cu giao thng hng khng 3.2.1 S liu giao thng hng khng ti TSNTrong nm 2012 khong trn 17 triu hnh khch/nm gm 8 triu hnh khch quc t v 9 triu hnh khch quc ni, 228.000 tn hng ha quc t v 120.000 tn hng ha quc ni c phc v ti Tn Sn Nht. Trong 10 nm qua, lng hnh khch quc ni tng vi tc 18,2 % /nm, cao hn tc tng trng hnh khch quc t (11,5 %). Khi lng vn chuyn hng ha quc t v quc ni tng ln lt l 14,3 % /nm v 18,5%/nm. 3.2.2 D bo sn lng hnh khch v hng ha ng hng khngLu lng hnh khch v hng ha ng hng khng c d bo bng m hnh hi quy da trn mi tng quan gia s liu ghi chp trc y v lu thng hng khng v cc ch s kinh t - x hi.Qua phn tch cc m hnh d bo khc nhau, chng ti p dng cng thc sau y d bo nhu cu giao thng hng khng:

Y

Nhu cu giao thng hng khng

X

Cc ch s kinh t x hi

DMYBin s gi

, , Cc thng s

D bo sn lng hnh khch, hng ha, s lt chuyn nh sau:

SHAPE \* MERGEFORMAT

Hnh 3.2-1 Kt qu d bo sn lng hnh khch SHAPE \* MERGEFORMAT

Hnh 3.2-2 Kt qu d bo sn lng hng haTrng hp thp c p dng v st vi thc t hn, bng sau y th hin sn lng hnh khch v hng ha trong trng hp thp.

Bng 3.2-1 Kt qu d bo sn lng hng khng (Trng hp ThpTrng hp chn)

Hnh khch ('000)Hng ha (tn)

Quc tQuc niTngQuc tQuc niTng

Thc t19951.6621.1472.80930.36217.94748.309

20002.3721.5053.87759.77121.91881.689

20075.6034.68410.287174.91779.840254.758

20086.0685.65811.726191.80185.875277.676

c tnh20095.7996.70412.503169.826100.876270.703

D bo20106.2297.01113.240184.669108.134292.803

20159.1329.29618.428283.583162.261445.844

202012.71212.38725.098404.109235.449639.557

202517.16516.25633.421553.896327.089880.986

203023.08121.43444.516752.696449.7251.202.421

203527.29225.07552.367894.412535.9491.430.361

204031.76028.96160.7201.044.666627.9741.672.640

204536.33632.94569.2811.198.570722.3271.920.897

205040.72236.75977.4821.346.072812.6612.158.733

T l tng trung bnh hng nm1995-20007,4%5,6%6,7%14,5%4,1%11,1%

2000-200910,4%18,1%13,9%12,3%18,5%14,2%

2009-20157,9%5,6%6,7%8,9%8,2%8,7%

2015-20206,8%5,9%6,4%7,3%7,7%7,5%

2020-20256,2%5,6%5,9%6,5%6,8%6,6%

2025-20306,1%5,7%5,9%6,3%6,6%6,4%

2030-20353,4%3,2%3,3%3,5%3,6%3,5%

2035-20403,1%2,9%3,0%3,2%3,2%3,2%

2040-20452,7%2,6%2,7%2,8%2,8%2,8%

2045-20502,3%2,2%2,3%2,3%2,4%2,4%

2009-20306,8%5,7%6,2%7,3%7,4%7,4%

2009-20504,9%4,2%4,5%5,2%5,2%5,2%

Hnh khch

Air Passengers

Hng ha

Lt chuyn bay

Hnh 3.2-3 Tm tt kt qu d bo nhu cu hng khng ti khu vc TPHCM

Sn lng giao thng hng khng thc t nm 2011 vt mc d bo trong giai on Quy hoch tng th. Theo cng b sn lng giao thng hng khng nm 2012 n nay t thp hn nm 2011. Sn lng giao thng hng khng ty thuc vo tnh hnh kinh t, gi nhin liu v dch bnh.V vy, khng khuyn co xem xt d bo giao thng hng khng v s tng gim trong ngn hn. 3.3 S cn thit u t:

Kt qu d bo sn lng hng khng cho thy cng HKQT Tn Sn Nht s t cng sut thit k l 20-25 triu hnh khch/nm trong khong t nm 2018 n nm 2020 v qu ti sau . Do cn nghin cu gii php u t nhm p ng nhu cu tng trng trn.

4. Hnh thc u t

4.1 Tn v phn loi cng trnh

Tn d n: D n Xy dng Cng HKQT Long Thnh Loi d n: D n quan trng quc gia (Ngh quyt 66/2006/QH11 ca Quc hi ngy 29/6/2006)4.2 V tr u t

Huyn Long Thnh - Tnh ng Nai4.3 Hnh thc u t

Xy dng mi5. Phn tch la chn phng n:

pht trin mt cng hng khng mi trong khu vc thnh ph H Ch Minh, huyn Long Thnh tnh ng Nai v 6 v tr khc c nghin cu v nh gi vo nm 2003. V tr cng hng khng Long Thnh c la chn da trn cc quan im v k thut, ti chnh, mi trng v cc yu t khc v c Chnh ph ph duyt ti quyt nh s 703/Q-TTg ngy 20/6/2005. Quy hoch tng th pht trin cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh cng c ph duyt ti quyt nh 909/Q-TTg ngy 14/6/20011 ca Th tng chnh ph. V c bn khng cn phi xem xt thm phng n khc, tuy nhin do c tnh chi ph thc hin ln nn vic phn tch, la chn phng n phi c kim tra mt cch k lng.

V th, ngoi phng n pht trin cng HKQT Long Thnh, hai phng n khc c a ra xem xt b sung. Ni dung di y so snh 3 phng n u t: Pht trin CHKQT Long Thnh theo quy hoch tng th c duyt M rng/ci to cng HKQT Tn Sn Nht M rng/ci to cn c khng qun Bin Ho.5.1 Pht trin CHKQT Long Thnh theo quy hoch tng th c duyt

5.1.1 Chi ph d n

Giai on 1c tnh tng chi ph u t c th hin bn di:Bng 5.11 c tnh chi ph xy dng giai on 1STTMTnQuy mChi ph c tnh

(triu USD)

Nhm 1

110VIPNh khch VVIP 5.000m213,6

160GRDTrm gc2 trm0,2

180AFFTrm Khn nguy cu nn v cu ha1.500m21,6

200LMFKhu bo tr cnh quan4.700m210,5

210AMFKhu bo tr cng hng khng 5.100m211,4

220AAFKhu TCT Cng hng khng17.600m246,0

240MDCTrung tm y t560m21,4

250METKhu kh tng400m20,7

290GSEKho trang thit b phc v mt t17.400m22,2

381WSSH thng cp nc bn ngoi2.000ha9,1

Tng nhm 1 96,7

Nhm 2

030SCLGii ta mt bng & Chun b2.000ha730,5

040SPNThi cng ng trc10km171,7

042UUTHm k thut10km44,1

050SDRH thng thot nc ma2.000ha73,1

060CRDng lu thng trong cng hng khng 30km143,7

070RWYo ng CHC596.200m2100,5

080TWYo ng ln2.061.500m2347,5

090APRo ng sn u1.581.600m2266,6

390STPTrm x l nc thi2.000ha39,3

420ILSILS4 b8,0

430VORVOR/DME1 b1,4

490AWSAWOS1 b1,9

500PALPALS+SFL4 b15,5

510PAPPAPI4 b1,6

520RWLChiu sng ng CHC2 b20,5

530TWLChiu sng ng ln20 km60,0

540AFLn pha sn u73 v tr11,3

550CTLH thng kim sot & Chiu sng/Sn k vch khc1 b34,6

Tng nhm 2 2.071,8

Nhm 3

010LASThu hi t & ti nh c5000ha696,5

020RLRNn tuyn ng Bnh Sn-Cm ng10km50,0

140POLVn phng Cnh st1.300m23,4

150CUSVn phng Hi quan1.000m22,9

170IMMVn phng Cng an ca khu350m20,7

230CTWi ch huy & Nh iu hnh3.500m236,2

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoi1 bKhng

440ASRASR/SSR1 b9,0

450TRDTRDPS1 b1,0

460ASMA-SMGCS1 b6,5

470TRXTX/RX1 b1,4

480ATCBn iu khin VCCS/ATC, Trm AFTN/AMHS 1 b2,2

Tng nhm 3 809,8

Nhm 4a

100PTBNh ga hnh khch 400.000m21.527,0

360CPKNh u xe188.750m2101,0

Tng nhm 4a 1.628

Nhm 4b

120CTBGa hng ha hng khng 81.100m2100,8

130FWDGa giao nhn hng ha 16.500m233,3

310GSFTrm nhin liu cho thit b phc v mt t20.000m26,0

320CATKhu cung cp sut n trn tu bay 36.500m240,2

330FHSH thng tra np nhin liu50 v tr245,0

370RTCKhu cho thu t14.600m22,3

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoi1 b16,0

385HSSH thng cp nhit1 b117,6

410TCMH thng vin thng1 b23,7

Tng nhm 4b 584,9

Nhm 5

120CTBGa hng ha ca Vietnam Airlines81.100m2103,6

260AMHKhu bo tr tu bay 277.600m2280,9

280ERUB th ng c8.900m23,2

300GSMKhu bo tr thit b phc v mt t4.100m29,3

340ACONh iu hnh v sinh tu bay300m20,4

350ALOTrung tm iu hnh ca hng hng khng 13.500m229,5

Tng nhm 5 426.9

Tng5.618,1

Bng 5.12 Tm tt chi ph d n giai on 1M tChi ph c tnh

(triu USD)

Chi ph xy dng 5.618,1

Nhm 196,7

Nhm 22.071,8

Nhm 3809,8

Nhm 4a1.628,0

Nhm 4b584,9

Nhm 5426,9

Chi ph t vn 10%561,8

Cng6.179,9

D phng 10%618.0

Cng6.797,9

VAT v cc thu khc 15%1.019,7

Tng7.817,6

Giai on 2 v tng lai

Chi ph thu hi t cho giai on 2 cao hn giai on 1 do phi gii ta nhiu h dn hn. Tng chi ph thu hi t cho ton b d n n giai on sau cng l 730,5 triu USD.5.1.2 Tc ng mi trngQua kho st, hin ti cha thy tc ng c th no c th nh hng n mi trng ti khu vc d n. Theo tnh ton, khong 9000 c dn trong khu vc s phi chu ng ting n tu bay trong giai on 1.

5.1.3 Khong cch t trung tm thnh ph

Khong cch t cng hng khng n trung tm thnh ph l 35km. Trong tnh hnh giao thng hin nay, phi mt khong 1 n 2 h i t trung tm thnh ph H Ch Minh n cng HK ny. Khi c ng cao tc H Ch Minh Long Thnh Du Giy v ng st tc cao th thi gian ny s c rt ngn rt nhiu.5.1.4 Giao thng tip cn

Theo quy hoch, trong giai on 1 cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh s c kt ni vi h thng giao thng bn ngoi bng 3 ng cao tc: ng cao tc H Ch Minh Long Thnh Du Giy, ng cao tc Bn Lc - Long Thnh v ng cao tc Bin Ha Vng Tu.5.2 Ci to/m rng TSN

5.2.1 Chi ph d nGiai on 1

Da trn d ton chi ph xy dng CHKQTLT, mt s chi ph gim c c tnh s b. Cc nghin cu khc nh kho st a hnh v a cht, kim k cng trnh v nghin cu tip cn cha c tin hnh.

Bng 5.21 Hng mc thay i chi ph chnh (Trng hp TSN)

STTM sCng trnhGim chi ph (triu USD)

110VIPNh khch VIP -13,6

220AAFTr s cng ty qun l cng hng khng-46,0

030SCLGii ta v chun b t-696.5+2470

040SPNng trc-51.5

050SDRH thng thot nc ma-54.8

060CRDng lu thng vo cng-47.9

070RWYTng ph ng CHC-50

080TWYTng ph ng ln-115.8

420~550Cc cng trnh dn ng hng khng-22.5

230CTWi ch huy & Nh iu hnh-36.2

Tng cng+1335.2

Ngoi ra, pht trin TSN Giai on 1 cn thm din tch t 641ha.

Theo bng gi t ban hnh ngy 18/12/2011, gi t xung quanh TSN nh sau.

Bch ng (pha ng) 6,6 triu VND/m2Tn Sn (pha Bc) 8,8 triu VND/m2Trng Chinh (pha Ty)10,6 triu VND/m2Thng Long (pha Nam) 4,4 triu VND/m2Hng m rng ch yu l pha Bc v pha ng, v th gi t trung bnh v nhng hng ny l 7,7 triu VND/ m2. Khi cn thm 641ha t, cn n 49,4 ngn t VND cho vic thu hi t. Hn na, cc cng trnh pht sinh do m rng cng hng khng nh dch chuyn ng, dch chuyn dng chy nc, xy dng trng hc, v.v s cn thm chi ph. (Nhng chi ph ny cha c tnh vo).

Thm ch khi c th s dng mt s cng trnh hin hu th vic thu hi t cho khu vc ph thm cng rt tn km. iu ny l khng nn lm.

Giai on 2 v tng laiKhi TSN l cng hng khng duy nht ti khu vc TPHCM, th cn nhiu din tch t pht trin trong tng lai hn l din tch pht trin CHKQTLT (5km x 10km:5000ha). Din tch ca TSN hin nay xp x 800ha, s cn n 4.200ha na. Khi p dng gi t cho pht trin Giai on 1, cn n 323,4 nghn t VND cho chi ph thu hi t.

pht trin mt cng hng khng nh quy m CHKQTLT gn trung tm thnh ph phi cn thm din tch ca qun Ph Nhun, Tn Bnh v G Vp. So snh vi chi ph thu hi t, chi ph xy dng cc cng trnh ti cng hng khng l khng ng k. Khuyn co khng nn pht trin cng hng khng ti khu vc c chi ph n b cao nh vy.

5.2.2 Tc ng mi trngS liu v ting n ca TSN giai on 2030-2035 vn cha c cung cp. Tuy nhin, ti CHKQTLT, khu vc xung quanh 10km t cui ng CHC s l trn mc Lden 55 vo nm 2030. Gi nh l khu vc vi din tch xp x 20 km2 s phi chu ting n my bay. Mt dn s khu vc ph cn nh sau:QunDin tch (km2)Dn sMt dn s

G Vp19,74522.69026.479

Th c47,76442.1779.258

Tn Bnh22,38421.724

Tn Ph16,06398.10224.788

Bnh Tn51,89572.13211.026

Tng157,832.356.82514.933

Theo mt dn s bn trn, khong 300.000 c dn phi chu ng ting n. Hin nay, ting n ng ph vn cao hn ting n my bay, nhng trong tng lai ting n my bay c th s l vn nghim trng.

Trong giai on u, cn thm 641ha t na. C dn trn din tch 641ha ny s xp x khong 140.000ngi. Cn quan tm n vic ti nh c ca 140.000 c dn ny theo d n. Trong tng lai s phi ti nh c cho hn 900.000 c dn, v th rt kh tm khu vc ti nh c ph hp.5.2.3 Khong cch t trung tm thnh phKhong cch t cng hng khng n trung tm thnh ph ch 7km. Trong tnh hnh giao thng hin nay vn cha c metro, tu in ngm, phi mt 20~30 pht i t trung tm thnh ph n cng HK ny. Khi c metro, TSN s rt thun tin v khong cch tip cn.

5.2.4 Giao thng tip cnTheo k hoch pht trin giao thng t nm 2011-2020, ng vnh ai s 2 s c pht trin v tuyn tu in ngm s 4 s c pht trin xung quanh TSN.

ng vnh ai s 2 bt u xy dng v s hon thnh vo nm 2020. Khi ng vnh ai s 2 hon tt, hnh khch xung quanh TPHCM c th tip cn TSN m khng cn i qua trung tm thnh ph.

Ngun: TPHCMHnh 5.2-1 K hoch pht trin ng b ti TPHCM

Hnh 5.2-2 Cu Bnh Li ang xy dng (01 phn ng vnh ai s 2)Ngoi mng li ng b, tuyn tu in ngm s 4 theo k hoch s ni n TSN. Tuyn tu s 1 v 2 bt u xy dng, nhng cha c k hoch pht trin c th cho tuyn s 4. Tuy nhin trong tng lai khng xa, TSN s nm trong mng li tu in ngm TPHCM.

Ngun: Phng Thng mi M

Hnh 5.2-3 K hoch pht trin tu in ngm TPHCM5.2.5 Cc cng trnh lin quan n hng khngCng HKQT Tn Sn Nht l cng hng khng thng mi min Nam Vit Nam k t thp nin 1950. V vy, cc cng trnh lin quan u tp trung xung quanh TSN, c bit l cc i l hng ha, cc cng ty dch v giao nhn hng cng nm xung quanh khu vc x l hng ha TSN. 5.2.6 Cc cng trnh khc

V TSN nm trung tm TPHCM nn xe ln khng c php i qua cc con ng xung quanh TSN vo ban ngy. Hng ha i ng hng khng c vn chuyn n TSN vo ban m hoc bng phng tin nh. V tr ny c th hn ch vic pht trin vn chuyn hng ha hng khng.5.3 Ci to/m rng cn c khng qun Bin Ha 5.3.1 Chi ph d nGiai on 1

Da trn d ton chi ph xy dng CHKQTLT, d tnh cch thc gim chi ph thc hin trong trng hp ci to cn c khng qun Bin Ha c trnh by nh sau. Cn c khng qun Bin Ha l mt sn bay qun s v do yu t an ninh quc phng nn chng ti khng c d liu, v th d ton gim chi ph ch l c tnh s b v tham kho.

Bng 5.2-1 Cc hng mc thay i chi ph chnh (Trng hp CCKQBH)

STTM sCng trnhGim chi ph (triu USD)

030SCLGii ta v chun b t-696,5+666

050SDRH thng thot nc ma-55

060CRDng lu thng trong cng hng khng-50

070RWYng CHC-70

080TWYng ln-100

Tng-305,5

Cn quan tm k n mc gii ta v thu hi t trn. pht trin cn c khng qun Bin Ha (CCKQBH) trong Giai on 1, cn thm 605ha t (ngoi tr din tch ng CHC).

Theo bng gi t ra ngy 22/12/2011, gi t xung quanh CCKQBH nh sau.

(n v: VND/m2)

Khu vcNhm 1Nhm 2Nhm 3Nhm 4

H Ha7.000.0004.300.0003.400.0002.200.000

Hunh Vn Ngh8.000.0003.200.0002.500.0001.800.000

ng H Ha nm ti pha ng cn c khng qun Bin Ha v ng Hunh Vn Ngh nm pha Ty. Hng m rng thc t l hng Bc v khng c ng trc chnh nm pha Bc cn c khng qun Bin Ha. V th mc gi 2,2 triu VND/m2 c p dng. iu c ngha l gi t ca ton b khu vc b sung s l 13,31nghn t VND.

Tuy nhin, gi t ny khng bao gm chi ph bi thng cho c dn, chi ph di di ng v dng nc hin hu. Hn na, cn c khng qun chnh s c phc hi thnh cng hng khng quc t, v th s phi b tr mt cn c khng qun khc gn cn c khng qun Bin Ha v mc ch an ninh quc gia. Vic nng cp cc cn c khng qun khc v xy dng mt cn c khng qun mi ang c xem xt thay th cho CCKQBH. Nu lc lng khng qun vn tr ng trong cn c khng qun Bin Ha th s cn phi phn chia ranh gii gia cc cng trnh.

S cn nghin cu thm nhiu ni dung trong c phn v cn c khng qun nu pht trin cn c khng qun Bin Ha thnh cng hng khng quc t ti khu vc TPHCM.Giai on 2 v tng lai

Nu cn c khng qun Bin Ha tr thnh cng hng khng duy nht ti khu vc TPHCM trong tng lai, s cn pht trin khu vc c din tch tng t CHKQTLT (5km x 10km:5000ha). Din tch cn c khng qun Bin Ha hin nay xp x 760ha, v s cn thm 4.240ha na. Nu p dng gi t cho pht trin giai on 1, s cn n 93,3 nghn t VND cho cng tc thu hi t.

Thnh ph Bin Ha c 26.800ha t v dn s xp x 700.000 ngi. Sng ng Nai l ranh gii b Ty ca cn c khng qun Bin Ha, v th phn pha Bc thnh ph Bin Ha s c s dng xy dng cng hng khng quc t trong tng lai.

Tuy nhin, khng nn pht trin cng hng khng trong khu vc th nh vy.

5.3.2 Tc ng mi trngTheo ng ng mc ting n ca CHKQTLT, xung quanh khu vc 10km t cui ng CHC s c Lden trn mc 55 vo nm 2030. Gi s din tch xp x 20 km2 b nh hng, khong 60.000 c dn phi chu ting n my bay. Hin ti ting n ng ph cao hn ting n my bay, nhng trong tng lai ting n my bay s l vn nghim trng.

Trong giai on u cn thm 605ha t na (ngoi tr din tch ng CHC). C dn trn din tch 605ha s xp x khong 6.000. Cn quan tm n vic ti nh c ca 6.000 c dn theo d n. Trong tng lai, ti nh c dnh cho hn 133.000 c dn, v th rt kh tm khu vc ti nh c ph hp.

Theo bo co cui k v nh gi tnh trng nhim dioxin ti cn c khng qun Bin Ha, Vit Nam ln mi trng v sc khe con ngi thng 8 nm 2011, xung quanh cn c khng qun Bin Ha l mt trong s cc khu vc c nng dioxin tp trung cao nht trong 28 khu vc ti Vit Nam. Do vy cn c khng qun Bin Ha khng phi l ni thch hp dnh cho cng hng khng thng mi.5.3.3 Khong cch t trung tm thnh phKhong cch t trung tm TPHCM khong 25km. Trong iu kin giao thng hin nay, mt mt gi i t trung tm thnh ph. Theo k hoch pht trin giao thng, ng vnh ai s 3 chy qua gn cn c khng qun Bin Ha, nhng ng cao tc thng n cn c khng qun Bin Ha cha c lp k hoch. V th s phi s dng xa l H Ni v ng ni b. iu ny c ngha l thi gian i li l khong 1h-2h.5.3.4 Giao thng tip cnCn c khng qun Bin Ha nm cch trung tm TPHCM khong 25km theo ng chim bay. ng quc l s 15 hin nay chy qua pha Nam ca cn c. Trong iu kin giao thng hin nay, phi mt 1h i t trung tm thnh ph. ng vnh ai 3 s hon thnh vo nm 2020. ng ny s chy v pha Ty cn c khng qun Bin Ha v s hon thnh vo nm 2020. Tuy nhin tip cn cn c khng qun Bin Ha, ng cao tc TPHCM-Long Thnh-Du Giy s chy t trung tm thnh ph, thi gian tip cn thc t tng ng n CHKQTLT.

Ngun:Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT, TCTCHKMN (2010)Hnh 5.3-1 Mng li ng b tip cn trong tng laiTuyn Metro s 1 s c hon thnh vo nm 2017~2018, nhng tuyn ny kt thc ti Sui Tin, vn cn cch cn c khng qun Bin Ha 12km. V th i vi giao thng tip cn cng khng c ci thin g cho cn c khng qun Bin Ho.5.4 Kt lunBng sau y so snh cc phng n pht trin cng hng khng: Bng 5.3-1 So snh cc phng n (Pht trin giai on 1)Hng mcCng HKQT Long ThnhCng HKQT Tn Sn NhtCn c khng qun Bin Ha

Din tch yu cu1.688ha641ha(bao gm khu vc qun s)605ha(bao gm khu vc qun s nhng khng bao gm din tch khu vc ng CHC)

Chi ph thc hin d n7.817,6triu USD(bao gm chi ph thu hi t n giai on sau cng)9.152,1triu USD7.512,1triu USD

Chi ph thu hi t n giai on sau cng730,5triu USD16.170triu USD4.665triu USD

Ti nh c1.500140.0006.000

S c dn phi chu ng ting n tu bay9.000300.00060.000

Tc ng mi trng c thKhng cKhng cNhim c dioxin

Khong cch tnh t trung tm thnh ph35km7km25km

Giao thng tip

cnng cao tc HCM-Long Thnh-Du Giy ,

Bn Lc-Long Thnh,

Bin Ha-Vng Tung vnh ai s 1 v 2,tuyn Metro s 4ng vnh ai s 3,Xa l H Ni

KhcHn ch giao thng/xe kch thc ln khng c php i qua cc con ng xung quanh TSN vo ban ngy.Cn c cn c khng qun thay th.

Qua so snh, c th thy phng n ti u l Xy dng cng HKQT Long Thnh theo quy hoch c duyt.6. Chin lc pht trin cng hng khng6.1 Xu hng giao thng hng khngHin nay th trng hng khng ang c nhng thay i ln nh sau:

T do ha (M ca bu tri)Xu hng t do ha c khi u ti Hoa K nm 1985. T , s lng hng hng khng gim do qu trnh cnh tranh gay gt. Chu u v chu ang theo tro lu t do ha nh Hoa K. Cc hng hng khng gi r (LCC) bt u tham gia th trng trong tnh hnh ny.

Lin minh hng khng Tri vi vic m rng hot ng ca cc hng hng khng gi r, cc hng hng khng tiu chun/truyn thng (FSC) bt u thnh lp cc lin minh trong thp nin 1990. Hin nay c ba (3) lin minh ton cu trn th gii l Star Alliance, Sky Team v One World. Vietnam Airlines gia nhp Sky Team trong thng 6/2010. Cc lin minh hng khng ny tn ti cha n 20 nm. Phn ln cc hng hng khng hin ang gp kh khn v ti chnh, v vy cc thnh vin tham gia lin minh v th phn ca lin minh trong tng lai s khng n nh. Hng hng khng gi r (LCC)Hng hng khng gi r (LCC) c l bt u t South-West Airlines (SWA) - hng hng khng a phng nh ti Dallas, Hoa K. SWA t pht trin cng cc hng hng khng gi r khc, th phn ca hng ti chu u v Hoa K khong 30%.

Mng li ng bayNi chung, cc hng hng khng tiu chun (FSC) u c mng li "trc & nan" (hub & spoke) cn cc hng gi r (LCC) c mng li "t im n im (point to point"). Trong iu kin m ca bu tri gn y, mng li ng bay chnh l do cc hng hng khng cung cp.

6.2 Kch bn pht trin CHKQTLT

Vo nm 2030 khong 44,5 triu hnh khch/nm v 1,2 tn hng ha/nm s c phc v bi cc cng hng khng ti v xung quanh TPHCM. Do sn lng phc v cc ln nn s phi lp chin lc pht trin cng hng khng ph hp.

Theo yu cu, cng HK QT Long Thnh phi tr thnh mt cng HK trung chuyn trong khu vc ng Nam . i vi sn bay trung chuyn, tt c cc chuyn bay t/n TPHCM phi c phc v ti cng HK QT Long Thnh. Tuy nhin, c mt s kh khn khi chuyn ton b hot ng ca sn bay t cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht v cng HK QT Long Thnh nh sau:

Lng hnh khch v hng ha phi phc v ti khu vc TPHCM kh ln nn chi ph xy dng cho giai on 1 s ln hn nhiu trong trng hp chuyn ton b hot ng v cng HK QT Long Thnh.

Mt s cng trnh ti CHKQT TSN vn cn mi, nu sau nm 2020 cc cng trnh ny khng c s dng th u t s tr nn khng hiu qu. Ngoi ra, n nm 2020 vic hon tr vn vay ODA cho nh ga T2 ca TSN cha hon tt.

Vi s lng hnh khch cc ln, tip cn bng ng st l yu cu hin nhin. Tuy nhin n nm 2020 ng st tip cn c th s cha hon thnh.V nhng l do trn, cn tip tc khai thc CHKQT TSN cho n khi nhng vn trn c gii quyt.

Do vy 5 kch bn sau y c a ra:Kch bnCHKQTLTCHKQT TSN

1Tt c hot ng hng khngKhng s dng

2Phn ln hot ng hng khngVVIP, hng khng phi thng mi, v.v

3QT + tuyn QN chnhTuyn QN nhnh

4QTQN

590% QT + 20% QN10% QT + 80% QN

Qua nh gi k cc kch bn trn, kt lun c a ra l kch bn 5 l thc t nht, v cng khng c vn ln trong vai tr cng hng khng trung chuyn.

Trong trng hp kch bn 5, sn lng giao thng mc tiu cho Cng HK QT Long Thnh s l 25 triu khch/nm nn c s vt cht s c hon thnh trong thi gian ngn v c th to iu kin thun tin cho vic chuyn tip theo nhu cu thc t. Trong trng hp ny, sn lng giao thng ca Cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht s li bng cng sut vo nm 2030, v vy vic di chuyn ton b t Cng HK QT Tn Sn Nht v Cng HK QT Long Thnh c th c xem xt thc hin t nm 2030 n 2035.Tin pht trin c khuyn co nh sau:

n 2020

u t xy dng giai on 1:

Nh ga hnh khch c cng sut 25 triu hnh khch/nm, nh ga hng ha c cng sut 1,2 triu tn hng ha/nm. Cng hng khng c 2 ng CHC song song theo cu hnh ng, khu bo tr bo dng tu bay, i ch huy, cc khu ph tr v pht trin thnh ph sn bay, khu cng nghip hng khng theo nhu cu.

2020~2030

u t xy dng giai on 2:

Nh ga hnh khch v nh ga hng ha b sung p ng cng sut 52 triu hnh khch/nm v 1,5 triu tn hng ha/nm. Xy dng thm 01 ng CHC, cc ng ln lin quan. Pht trin thnh ph sn bay, khu ga hng ha, khu cng nghip hng khng theo nhu cu.

2030~2035

Ti giai on ny s xem xt, cn nhc vic duy tr hot ng ca Cng HKQT Tn Sn Nht vi tnh cht, quy m hp l theo nguyn tc l sn bay d phng hoc a tt c hot ng hng khng chuyn v Cng HKQT Long Thnh, ngng khai thc ti Cng HKQT Tn Sn Nht.

Sau 2035

M rng Cng HKQT Long Thnh theo nhu cu

6.3 Chin lc pht trin cng hng khng Mt sn bay trung chuyn phi c nhiu ng bay c khai thc. thu ht nhiu ng bay th phi c nhu cu giao thng hng khng c bn v y c s vt cht cho cc hng hng khng. Ni cch khc, 3 bin php sau y s c thc hin tun t i vi cng hng khng trung chuyn: Tng nhu cu giao thng M rng mng tuyn ng bay Nng cp cng trnh cng hng khng thc hin hiu qu cc bin php ny, nhng hot ng c th sau y cn c tin hnh bi cc c quan lin quan: Xc tin chnh sch m ca bu tri Gim gi ph ti cng hng khng Xc tin Hip nh T do mu dch (FTA)

Gim cc kh khn khi xin visa C cc cng trnh hp dn i vi khch chuyn tip Tng doanh thu phi hng khng Nhiu doanh nghip c th c thnh lp t li th nhiu hnh khch, khch tham quan, nhn vin v hng ha ti cng hng khng. Vic tng doanh thu phi hng khng s dn n gim gi ph ti cng hng khng, khi mng li ng bay s c m rng. Vng xoy i ln ny hn s a CHKQTLT tr thnh cng hng khng trung chuyn.

7. Quy m u t v phn k u t 7.1 Quy m u t giai on 1 (p ng n nm mc tiu 2030)Trong giai on 1 CHKQT Long Thnh c nhng hng mc cng trnh sau:

7.1.1 Cc cng trnh khu bay:Cc cng trnhS lng/din tch theo yu cu

ng CHC2

Chiu di4000m

Chiu rng60m

Chiu rng l ng CHC 7,5m c 2 bn

ng lnTheo yu cu

Chiu rng25m

Chiu rng l ng ln17,5m c 2 bn

7.1.2 Cc cng trnh khu hng khng dn dng:

Cc cng trnhDin tch/S lng theo yu cu

Bn u cho Nh ga hnh khch42

Bn u gn34

Bn u xa8

Bn u d phng0

i ch huy v Khu vc k thut9.000 m2

V tr u tu bay ring bit10.000 m2

Nh ga hnh khch207.000 m2

Trang thit b dnh cho khch VVIP60.000 m2

Nh ga hng ha chnh131.100 m2

Nh ga giao nhn hng ha11.000 m2

Khu i l giao nhn hng ha8.000 m2

V tr u tu bay ch hng ha5

n cng an cng hng khng3.500 m2

Vn phng hi quan cng hng khng 2.900 m2

im kim tra an ninh8.100 m2

Tri tm giam800 m2

Trung tm gim p10.000 m2

Chung ch600 m2

ARFF4.800 m2

Khu hun luyn cu ha20.000 m2

Khu bo tr cnh quan26.000 m2

Khu bo tr A/S, L/S 13.300 m2

Khu TCT Cng hng khng26.900 m2

Trung tm khai thc ca cc hng hng khng30.000 m2

Cng tin dnh cho nhn vin cng hng khng 13.800 m2

Trung tm y t1.590 m2

Khu kh tng1.700 m2

Khu bo tr tu bay456.000 m2

Bn u cho tu bay bo tr16

B hiu chnh la bn10.000 m2

B th ng c 10.000 m2

Khu vc trang thit b phc v mt t 20.600 m2

Khu bo tr trang thit b phc v mt t20.000 m2

Trm cp nhin liu cho trang thit b phc v mt t20.000 m2

Nh my sn xut sut n hng khng51.000 m2

Khu cp nhin liu tu bay20.000 m2

Trung tm v sinh tu bay900 m2

Bi u t thi gian ngn29.500 m2

Bi u t thi gian di45.000 m2

Bi u t cho nhn vin4.000 m2

Bi u taxi7.800 m2

Bi u xe but6.000 m2

Khu cho thu t13.000 m2

7.1.3 Cc cng trnh iu hnh bayCc cng trnhS lng theo yu cu (b)

H thng kim sot khng lu1 b

Thit b VHF khng i t 1 b

AMHS 1 b

VCCS1 b

D-ATIS1 b

Lin lc vin thng1 b

DVOR/DME1 b

ILS4 b

GBAS1 b

PSR/MSSR Mode-S1 b

ADS-B1 b

A-SMGCS1 b

AWOS1 b

PALS4 b

PAPI4 b

n bin ng CHC 2 b

n ngng /n cui ng CHC4 b

n tim ng CHC2 b

n khu vc chm bnh4 b

n bin ng ln1 b

Bin bo ng ln 1 b

n tim ng ln1 b

n dng 1 b

Ti gi c gn n1 b

n chiu sn u67 b

n hiu cng hng khng1 b

7.1.4 Cc cng trnh tin chCc cng trnhS lng theo yu cu (b)

H thng cp nc1 h thng

H thng x l nc thi1 h thng

H thng cp kh ha lng1 h thng

H thng thng gi v iu ha nhit 1 h thng

H thng cp in1 h thng

Mng li thng tin lin lc1 h thng

Ngoi cc cng trnh nu trn, cc cng trnh tip cn (ng b, bi u xe, ng st, v.v...), mng li ng ni b, v nhiu cng trnh t nhn khc s c xy dng trong khu vc cng hng khng. Cng hng khng l mt dng thnh ph c khong 40.000 nhn vin ang lm vic v khong 70.000 ngi di chuyn xung quanh.7.2 Phn k u t:

C s vt cht u t giai on 1 theo tnh ton s c cng sut phc v nhu cu giao thng hng khng trong nm 2030. iu ny c ngha l khi m ca CHKQTLT th cng sut phc v ca c s vt cht s cao hn lu lng thc t. gim chi ph xy dng ban u, nghin cu phn k u t ngay giai on 1 c tin hnh. CHKQTLT c th i vo hot ng chm nht trong nm 2022, v vy gi s khi m ca CHKQTLT, c s vt cht c cng sut phc v cho nhu cu ca nm 2022 (giai on 1a), v cn m rng trc nm 2027 p ng nhu cu nm 2027 (giai on 1b), chng ti xem xt phn k u t cc hng mc cng trnh cn thit nh sau.

7.2.1 Cc cng trnh khu bay

Qua nghin cu c th u t ng CHC theo tng bc. Mt ng CHC c th phc v 232.000 lt CHC/nm theo phn tch ca IATA. Ngay c khi gi s cng sut phc v thc t l mt na phn tch ca IATA th vn c th phc v 116.000 lt chuyn. Mt khc, s lt CHC c tnh ti CHKQTLT l 105.738 trong nm 2025 v 138.006 trong nm 2030, trc mt u t mt ng CHC c cng sut phc v s lt CHC ny ti thi im m ca. Vic u t trc mt ng CHC gip gim thiu thi gian thi cng, chi ph u t. Khi , tng din tch s pht trin trong ton b giai on 1 v trong giai on 1a c trnh by trong bng bn di.Bng 7.2-1 Din tch pht trin

Giai onDin tch pht trin

Giai on 1a (2022: 1 ng CHC)1165ha

Giai on 1b (2027: 2 ng CHC)523ha

Ton b giai on 1 (2030)1688ha

7.2.2 Nh ga hnh khch

Theo giai on 1 th tng din tch sn ca nh ga l 400.000m2. Vi tng din tch 400.000m2, theo c tnh chi ph u t xy dng nh ga hnh khch cng ln n 1.628 triu USD, nh vy kinh ph u t giai on l rt ln. Vi quy m din tch l 400.000 m2 th nh ga hnh khch s khng mang li li nhun hp dn cc nh u t t nhn tham gia d n theo hnh thc PPP. Nh vy cn nghin cu thm v quy m ti u ca nh ga trong bc u v nn c s phn k xy dng nh ga theo tng bc hp l hn thay v xy dng mt ln p ng nhu cu hnh khch n nm 2030. Gi s nm bt u khai thc CHKQTLT l 2022, theo tnh ton th din tch sn nh ga theo nhu cu c th hin trong bng bn di. Yu cu v cng trnh nh ga cho nm 2022 (giai on 1a)

v 2027 (giai on 1b)

20222027

QTQNQTQN

S lng khch/nm13.600.0003.500.00017.500.0005.000.000

S lng khch/ngy37.0009.70048.00013.700

S lng khch I+ N gi cao im3.2801.1305.5502.550

I1.5305602.9201.200

N1.7505603.2101.350

Din tch tnh ton (m2)Din tch tnh ton (m2)

QTQNQTQN

C s vt cht phc v hnh khch

Snh Check-in 5.0005007.000500

S quy Check-in 107.821144.221

Snh i 2.2002003.000300

Khu kim tra an ninh12003002.100450

im kim tra an ninh82143

Phng ch ra cu ng12.0001.80016.2002.400

S ca ra tu bay bng cu ng203274

Phng ch ra xe but1.8006001.800600

Ca ra tu bay bng xe but7171

Hnh lang i/n24.0003.60032.4004.800

Snh n1.8004002.300600

Snh chuyn tip1.3001.300

on cu ng c nh10.0001.50013.5002.000

Cng59.300890079.60011.650

Hi quan, CACK, Kim dch

Khu xut cnh1.4001.800

Quy Hi quan46

Quy CACK2128

Khu nhp cnh2.3002.800

Quy Hi quan3241

Quy CACK3139

Quy kim dch1313

Khu kim tra Hi quan7.1009.300

VP cho nhn vin HQ, CACK, Kim dch6.3007.300

Cng17.100021.2000

Khu vc x l hnh l

Bng chuyn hnh l n6282

Khu x l hnh l n3.6001.2004.8001.200

Bng chuyn5162

Khu x l hnh l i6.0001.2007.2002.400

Cng9.6002.40012.0003.600

Khc

Khu chuyn nhng11.9001.80015.9002.300

Phng khch ca hng hng khng 4.7007006.400900

VP v kho ca n v thu mt bng7.6001.10010.2001.500

Vn phng hng hng khng 15.2002.30020.4003.000

Phng my, li i81.10010.400107.60013.500

Khu hot ng ca thit b PVM5.0001.0005.0001.000

Khu quan st sn u (dnh cho khch)1.0001.000

Cng126.50017.300166.50022.200

Tng212.50028.600279.30037.450

241.100316.750

7.2.2.1 Cc k hoch thi cng tng bc trong giai on 1 gim chi ph ban u, nh ga ca giai on 1 c xem xt thm phn chia thnh nhiu bc. gi hnh dng ca nh ga theo ng QHTT c duyt, cch duy nht khi phn k u t l b bt mt hoc c hai cnh. T , chng ti xut xy dng nh ga theo 2 bc nh sau:

Giai on 1a: Xy dng ta nh chnh v nhnh trung tm

Giai on 1b: Xy dng ta nh chnh, nhnh trung tm v hai cnh (Hnh dng sau cng trong giai on 1)Mt khc, do nh ga c hnh dng kin trc c o, mi nh ga c cu thnh t nhiu ng cong phc tp v do yu cu phi p ng cc chc nng cn thit nn khng cn cch no khc phn k u t phn chnh ca nh ga trong giai on 1.

Hnh di y th hin hnh dng kin trc nh ga hnh khch c chn trong QHTT v phn k xy dng bc 1a trong giai on 1:

H. 7.21 Phng n nh ga hnh khch c chn

Hnh 7.2-2 Giai on 1a: Nh ga chnh v nhnh trung tm

7.2.2.2 Cc vn trong k hoch xy dng tng bc Giai on 1Nh ga theo QHTT c hnh dng kin trc c o, tuy nhin y li l yu t gy kh khn ln cho cng tc thi cng trong thc t. Hn na, cu hnh nh ga theo QHTT s ch cho php b tr khong 15 ca ra cu ng trong giai on 1a (2022). V vy, thun li cho thi cng, ng thi tng s lng ca ra cu ng, t tng doanh thu ca nh ga, vic thay i cu hnh nh ga l cn thit.

7.2.2.3 So snh chi ph ban u

S khc bit chi ph gia u t ton b giai on 1 v giai on 1a nh sau:

(n v: triu USD)

STTK hiuTn Giai on 1Giai on 1a

Quy mChi phQuy mChi ph

030SCLGii ta & v chun b mt bng1688ha730,51165ha504,2

050SDRH thng thot nc ma1688ha73,11165ha50,5

070RWYThi cng ng CHC2 100,51 50,3

080TWYThi cng ng ln206ha347,5165ha278

090APRThi cng sn u158ha266,6132,5ha223,6

520RWLChiu sng ng CHC2 20,5110,3

530TWLChiu sng ng ln20km6016km48

540AFLChiu sng sn u7311,3538,2

010LASThu hi t & ti nh c5000ha696,51165ha162,3

100PTBNh ga hnh khch 400.000m21.527241.000m2920

360CPKBi u t188.750m2101113.720m260,8

Tng3.934,52.316,2

Theo bng trn, chi ph c tnh xy dng ban u gim 1.618 triu USD khi phn k xy dng ch cho cc cng trnh chnh. Vic phn k thi cng c th gim chi ph xy dng ban u, phng n ny l ph hp trong iu kin kinh t Vit Nam hin nay.

7.3 Phn chia cc d n thnh phn D n c phn thnh 5 nhm d n thnh phn da trn tnh cht, ngun vn d kin nh sau:Bng 7.31 Phn nhm cc cng trnh

STTMCng trnhGhi ch

Nhm 1

110VIPNh khch VVIP

160GRDTrm gc

180AFFCc trm khn nguy, cu ha

200LMFKhu bo tr cnh quan

210AMFKhu bo tr cng hng khng

220AAFVn phng TCT Khai thc cng HK

240MDCTrung tm y t

250METKhu kh tng

290GSEKho GSE

381WSSH thng cp nc bn ngoi

Nhm 2

030SCLGii ta & chun b mt bng

040SPNng trc

041RTSng st & ga Chun b mt bng ch trong G 1

042UUTHm ngm k thut

050SDRH thng thot nc ma

060CRDng ni b trong cng hng khngTr ng trc

070RWYng CHC

080TWYng ln

090APRSn u tu bay

390STPTrm x l nc thi

420ILSILS

430VORDVOR/DME

490AWSAWOSCho 2 ng CHC

500PALPALS+SFL

510PAPPAPI

520RWLn ng CHC

530TWLn ng ln

540AFLn pha sn u

550CTLH thng iu khin & n chiu sng/k vch khc

Nhm 3

010LASThu hi t & ti nh c

020RLRNn tuyn ng Bnh Sn Cm ng

140POLVP ca Cng an

150CUSVP ca Hi quan

170IMMVP ca Cng an ca khu

230CTWi ch huy & nh iu hnh

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoiHng ro n trm chnh

400SWDH thng x l cht thi rn

440ASRPSR/MSSR

450TRDH thng theo di a ra-a ti HCM ACC

460ASMA-SMGCS/ADS-B

470TRXTX/RX

480ATCBng iu khin VCCS/REC/ATC, thit b u cui AFTN/AMHS, D-ATIS

Nhm 4a

100PTBNh ga hnh khch

360CPKNh u t

Nhm 4b

120CTBGa hng ha Tr Vietnam Airlines

130FWDGa giao nhn hng ha

310GSFTrm nhin liu cho GSE

320CATKhu ch bin sut n hng khng

330FHSH thng tra np nhin liu tu bay

370RTCKhu cho thu t

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoiTrm chnh n tng hng mc

410TCMH thng vin thngTrm tip nhn chnh n tng hng mc

560APCThnh ph cng hng khng

Nhm 5

120CTBGa hng ha ca Vietnam Airlines

260AMHHangar bo tr tu bay

280ERUB th ng c

300GSMKhu bo tr GSE

340ACONh iu hnh v sinh tu bay

350ALOTrung tm iu hnh ca hng hng khng

570CGCThnh ph hng ha

580AIPKhu cng nghip hng khng

4. Nhu cu s dng t

8.1 Tng din tch xy dng:Khu vc d nh xy dng cng HKQT Long Thnh l khu t hnh ch nht (di 10 km, rng 5 km) vi ta ca bn gc nh sau:

GcV Kinh

A1045'59.50311" N10659'53.62047" E

B1043'51.50543" N10701'32.05146" E

C1047'00.48229" N10705'56.99667" E

D1049'10.26141" N10704'19.79886" E

Hnh 8.1-1 V tr khu vc pht trin cng HKQT Long Thnh8.2 Hin trng s dng t

Mt bng b tr CHKQTLT giai on 1 trn bn a hnh nh sau:

Ngun: Nhm Nghin cuH. 8.21 Mt bng b tr CHKQTLT trn bn a hnh

Nh hnh trn, phn ln cc cng trnh cng hng khng ca giai on 1 u nm trn vng t trng cao su. Th trn Bnh Sn, x Sui Tru v Cm ng nm trn v gn khu vc xy dng cng hng khng, nhng ch c mt s h dn s phi ti nh c pht trin giai on 1. Chi tit s dng t c th hin bng 8.2-1 di y:

Bng 8.21 Chi tit s dng tLoiKhi lng

tt nng nghip

Rung

Rng

M

t ca tn gio

t ca c quan quc gia

ng v thy li

Rng cao su

M vt liu v h t oTng28.859.292 m2

810.495 m2401.244 m228.152 m230.322 m236.963 m2722.325 m217.721.112 m21.390.095 m2

50.000.000 m2

Cc c s tn gio vC s ca c quan quc giaTng19 a im

Nhn b ton b

n b mt phn

n b t

Tng3.124 nh

152 nh

2.105 nh

5.381 nh

8.3 Nhu cu s dng t:

Quy hoch tng thcng HK quc t Long Thnhti huyn Long Thnh, tnh ng Nai c Th tng chnh ph ph duyt vi tng din tch t quy hoch khong 5.000 ha, c xy dng trn a phn 06 x ti huyn Long Thnh, tnh ng Nai bao gm: x Bnh Sn (1.998,9ha), x Sui Tru (1.358,6ha), x Cm ng (507,8ha), x Bu Cn (157,7ha), x Long An (659,6ha) v x Long Phc (317,4ha).

Vic trin khai gii ta mt ln cho din tch 5000 ha trong vng 2 nm bn giao cho Ch u t thc hin d n l khng kh thi trong iu kin khi lng thc hin qu ln m thi gian yu cu li qu ngn. Vic u t khu ti nh c cho 5000 ha gii ta khng th c thc hin theo tin yu cu. Do , tnh ng Nai lp phng n n b, gii ta theo cc bc sau:

Bc 1: Gii ta trc 2.565,4 ha bn giao mt bng cho Ch u t trin khai d n giai on 1Theo giai on 1 D n Cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh vi tng din tch 25.654.311,3 m2 (2.565,4ha) c xy dng trn a phn 05 x ti huyn Long Thnh, tnh ng Nai bao gm: x Bnh Sn, x Sui Tru, x Cm ng, x Long An v x Long Phc. Hin ti phn ln din tch t l t trng cao su do Nng trng cao su Bnh Sn qun l khai thc (962ha, chim 69,5%), cn li l t , t nng nghip v t giao thng, sng sui (chim 30,5%.)

Bc 2: Tip tc gii ta phn cn li (2.434,6 ha)Giai on cn li c xy dng trn a phn 6 x bao gm x Bnh Sn (53,2ha), x Sui Tru (1200,9ha), x Cm ng (480,4ha), x Bu Cn (157,7ha), x Long An (225,3ha) v x Long Phc (317,2ha). Hin ti phn ln din tch l t , t nng nghip v t s dng trong giao thng, sng sui.9. K hoch gii ta mt bng, gii php k thut v k hoch thi cng9.1 K hoch gii ta mt bng:Trc mt bn giao mt bng cho trin khai giai on 1, tnh ng Nai s tp trung vo vic gii ta, ti nh c vi din tch mt bng l 25.654.311,3 m2 (2.565,4ha) trn a phn 5 x ti huyn Long Thnh, tnh ng Nai bao gm: x Bnh Sn 19.456.970,7m2 (1.945,7ha), x Sui Tru 1.577.448,4m2 (157,7ha), x Cm ng 274.545,1m2 (27,4ha), x Long An 4.342.978,3 m2 (434,3ha) v x Long Phc 2.368,2m2 (0,2ha).

Tng din tch khu t giai on 1 khong:25.654.311,3 m2

Trong :

1.1 t nng nghip : 8.956.162,1 m21.2 t ti nng thn: 142.100,4 m21.3 t lm nghip: 1.616.762,6 m21.4 t ngha a : 7.220,0 m21.6 t cng do UBND x qun l: 9.687,0 m2

1.7 t giao thng, thy li : 655.193,0 m2

1.8 t nng trng cao su Bnh Sn: 14.243.767,0 m21.9 t sn xut vt liu xy dng, gm s: 23.359,5 m2

1.10 t tn gio: 59,7 m2- t nng nghip: c din tch ln nht chim khong hn 96,7% din tch t thc hin giai on 1 (bao gm: t nng nghip, t lm nghip c rng, t nui trng thy sn v t cao su), ring t trng la chim 5,75% din tch t nng nghip. - t phi nng nghip: c din tch chim khong 3,3% din tch t thc hin giai on 1, bao gm: t nng thn chim khong 0,6% din t t thc hin giai on 1, din tch cn li thuc t tn gio, t s dng vo mc ch cng cng, t giao thng v t phc v cho sn xut vt liu xy dng.Theo mt bng din tch thu hi, gii ta giai on 1 th ch yu l din tch cao su do Nng trng cao su Bnh Sn ang qun l khai thc (962 ha, chim 69,5%), cn li l t , nng nghip v giao thng, sng sui chim 30,5%. Nh vy rt thun li cho vic gii ta, n b v gii phng mt bng cho giai on 1.

Tng s h dn b nh hng: 1.025 h

Trong :

S h gii ta trng khong: 725 h

S h gii ta mt phn nh v t khong: 300 h

Cc cng trnh phi gii ta:

+ S m b gii ta (x Bnh Sn): 230 m

+ Miu b gii ta (miu ng H): 01 miu

+ Tr s p 11 (p 11 x Bnh Sn) : 01 tr s

Tng din tch cc cp nh khong: 133.865,0 m2Trong :

+ Nh cp II hng 2 (C2H2) : 50,0 m2+ Nh cp III hng 1 (C3H1 : 600,0 m2+ Nh cp IV hng 1 (C4H1) : 9.010,0 m2+ Nh cp IV hng 2 (C4H2) : 46.205,0 m2+ Nh cp IV hng 3 (C4H3) : 39.240,0 m2+ Nh cp IV hng 4 (C4H4) : 16.990,3 m2+ Nh di cp 4 hng : 2.660,0 m2+ Nh di cp 4 hng 1 : 543,0 m2+ Nh tm : 1.343,0 m2+ Chung heo : 18.560,0 m2

Ti sn khc:

+ ng h in chnh : 656 ci

+ ng h in ph : 253 ci+ in thoi thu bao: 173 ci

+ Bn thin : 624 ci

+ Ging khoan th cng : 36.018 m

+ Ao c : 457.344 m3+ M xy : 230 ci

+ B cha m cao su : 1.305,6 m3Cy trng:

+ La, bp, rau cc loi : 908.997 m2

+ Cy cao su :692.815 cy

+ Cy iu : 133.075 cy

+ Cy c ph : 52.444 cy

+ Cy tiu nc gch : 44.610 cy

+ Cy chm chm : 14.070 cy

+ Cy xoi : 14.630 cy

+ Cy trm : 81.500 cy

+ Cy su ring : 120 cy

+ Cy v sa : 20 cy

+ Cy bi : 2.360 cy

+ Cy x c : 45 cy

+ Cy trm trng tp chung : 12 ha

+ Cy mt :3.800 cy

+ Cy nhn :6.700 cy

+ Cy cam:

200 cy

+ Cy qut:

180 cy

+ Cy chui: 44.800 cy

9.2 Cc i tng chnh n b v ti nh c:LoiKhi lng

tt nng nghip

Rung

Rng

M

t ca tn gio

t ca c quan quc gia

ng v thy li

Rng cao su

M vt liu v h t oTng28.859.292 m2

810.495 m2401.244 m228.152 m230.322 m236.963 m2722.325 m217.721.112 m21.390.095 m2

50.000.000 m2

Cc c s tn gio vC s ca c quan quc giaTng19 a im

Nhn b ton b

n b mt phn

n b t

Tng3.124 nh

152 nh

2.105 nh

5.381 nh

9.3 Gii php k thut9.3.1 Cng trnh khu bay9.3.1.1 Cng tc tCng tc t s c thc hin trn din tch ti thiu cho giai on 1 gim chi ph xy dng. iu ny ngha l cng tc chun b mt bng s c thc hin ch cho nhng khu vc cng trnh cn thit nh sau:

H. 9-31 Din tch chun b mt bng giai on 1

Trong trng hp ny, c tnh s phi o 46 triu m3 v p 28 triu m3, tng cng l 74 triu m3 t. Trong trng hp khn cp, ng CHC th 2 v mt na khu bo tr c th c chun b sau khi hon thnh cng tc chun b cho giai on 1. Trong trng hp ny tng khi lng cng tc t giai on 1 c th gim cn 57 triu m3.

9.3.1.2 Cng tc o ngV c bn, ng CHC v ng ln c lt b-tng nha, v sn u lt b-tng xi-mng theo iu kin ti trng.

c tnh dy lp o ng tiu chun nh sau:

Bng 9.31 Thnh phn o ng tiu chun

Phn loai o ngChiu day tiu chun cua o ng(cm)Lp mt va lp kt dinh (cm)Lp mong trn (cm)Lp mng di (cm)

ng CHC

Gia ng HCC, on cui1541630108

Mp ng HCC, on cui124162583

Gia ng HCC, on gia 139162598

Mp ng HCC, on gia 108162567

Lon bo him 7752547

ng ln

ng ln song song, ng ln nhnh on cui (end stub TW)1541630108

ng ln thoat139162598

ng ln khac124162583

L7752547

ng cho trang thit b mt t (GSE) 4010255

Bng 9.32 dy o ng b-tng xi-mng

Phn loai o ng day tm b-tng (cm) day lp mng (cm)

Sn u

Sn u cht tai4224

Sn u qua m3824

Sn u bao tri3424

L2124

9.3.1.3 Thot nc maMc tiu ca chng ti l gi nguyn hin trng lu vc khng nh hng n vic s dng nc v/hoc kim sot ngp lt trong khu vc h lu hin hu, tuy nhin, c th s c thay i do cng tc t dn n vic gia tng lng nc thot.Xt h thng thot nc hin ti v cc lu vc khu vc pht trin giai on 1, cc lu vc sau y c gi nh:

H. 9.32 Gi nh v tr sng ngi v lu vc hin ti trnh ngp lt, mt s h iu tit c b tr nh bn di. Th tch cc h iu tit s phi c xem xt cng iu kin sng ngi gn y nht.

H.9.3-3 V tr h iu tit d kin9.3.1.4 ng trcng trc c b tr khu vc trung tm cng hng khng. ng st khng c xy dng trong giai on 1, tuy nhin trong tng lai s c ng st tc cao v ng st th.

Ngun: Nghin cu Chun b ca JICAH. 9.33 Mt ct ngang trc trung tm (Tng qut/ct h)

9.3.2 Cng trnh nh ga 9.3.2.1 Nh ga hnh khch Nhng yu t sau y c xem xt, ch yu a ra thit k s b nh ga:

Kh nng sinh li cao

Nt truyn thng

Ni chuyn d dng

Cc khu vc hp dn i vi hnh khch chuyn tip

Khu thng mi chim 7% tng din tch sn nhm ti a ha li nhun ca nh ga. Khu thng mi c tp trung ti trung tm ca nh ga, ni thun tin cho hnh khch i v hnh khch chuyn tip.

Mt s hnh nh truyn thng c ng dng to nt ring cho cng hng khng ca Vit Nam.

H. 9.35 Hiu ng ca mi nhiu tng

H. 9.36 Vch knh bn ngoi (Hnh nh r tre)

H.9.37 Bi u t cnh nh ga (Hnh nh rung bc thang)

H. 9.38 Mt ct phn nh ga chnh

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.39 Mt ct nhnh nh ga 9.3.2.2 i ch huy v nh iu hnhi ch huy l im nhn cao nht ca khu vc.

Thit k i ly cm hng t cy xanh, trn b tr cc cabin kim sot khc nhau, phn li ca thn i chu lc cho cc cabin ny v ta nh ta ra nh bng hoa lm t cc hnh khi v s, kt hp vi cc ng cong v nan.

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.34 Phi cnh i ch huy

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.311 Mt bng nh iu hnh i ch huy9.3.2.3 Trm khn nguy v cu ha chnh ca cng hng khng Vi quy m nh v p ng yu cu nghim ngt ca chng trnh, trm cu nguy v cu ha chnh bao gm cc khi c chiu cao v rng khc nhau. Cabin quan st nm tch ri trm ny.Ta nh c chia thnh ba phn chnh: bi u xe cu ha gia, khu bo tr v v sinh pha ng Nam v khu nh ca lnh cu ha pha Ty Bc.

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.312 Mt bng trm khn nguy v cu ha (+0.0m)

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.3 13 Mt bng trm khn nguy v cu ha (+4.0m)

9.3.3 Cng tc c kh gii quyt nhng vn nh rung, ting n v ta nhit t cc h thng tin ch nh tuc-bin kh t, my pht khn cp, chiller, bm, v.v v cng d dng bo tr v sa cha, m rng trong tng lai, d n quy hoch mt h thng iu ha khng kh trung tm cng vi trung tm nng lng.

Ngun: Nghin cu Chun b ca JICAH.9.3 13 V tr trung tm nng lng

gim nhim mi trng v tiu th nng lng, h thng ng pht s dng kh t v cc cng ngh mi tit kim nng lng khc s c xem xt p dng ti CHKQTLT.

Ngun: Nghin cu Chun b ca JICA

H. 9.314 Mt bng b tr ng hm k thut(T trung tm nng lng n PTB)

giam thiu tac ng cua vic phat trin cng hng khng i vi vic trai t m ln, cac bin phap giam thiu vic thai khi CO2 va giam s dung nng lng la nhng yu t quan trong trong thit k cng hng khng.

Tit kim nng lng c inh nghia la gi mc tiu thu nng lng chinh yu mc ti thiu am bao chc nng c yu cu. y la mt yu t quan trong khng chi giam chi phi hoat ng ma con gip vic phat trin bn vng thnh hin thc. Cac gii php c th thc hin vic tit kim nng lng nh sau:

H thng ti to nc ma v h thng lm lnh bng nc phun trn mi Thit b hiu qu cao cho chiller & h thng iu ha khng kh H thng trao i nhit ton b H thng lm mt khng kh bn ngoi H thng thay i th tch khng kh (VAV) H thng thay i th tch nc (VWV) Phn vng h thng iu ha khng kh Chi b tri iu ha khng kh nhng khu co ngi s dung/h thng iu ha khng kh phn tng

Chnh lch ln v nhit ca h thng nc lm lnh 9.3.4 Cng tc in9.3.4.1 H thng cp inH thng cp in s c pht trin xung quanh khu vc CHKQTLT theo Quy hoch cp in t nm 2011 n 2015 ca tnh ng Nai. Tuy nhin, quy hoch c iu chnh theo tnh hnh ti chnh. Theo kt qu tho lun gn y nht vi tnh ng Nai, cc trm in cho CHKQTLT l: Trm Lc An Bnh Sn (1 x 5MVA, s hon thnh nm 2015) (y ch l ngun cp in tm trong thi gian thi cng.)

Trm Lc An Bnh Sn (110kV-22kV, 2 x 25MVA, s hon thnh nm 2020)

2 ng trung th 22KV c ni vi trm in ca cng hng khng. Cng sut phc v l 50MVA khi m ca CHKQTLT.

H. 9.315 Ngun in v thng tin lin lc ti CHKQTLT Gn y cng ngh tit kim nng lng a phat trin manh me va vn tit kim nng lng a tr thanh ph bin trn toan th gii. Vi th CHKQT LT cung co th tn dung cng ngh nay lam biu tng cua vic tit kim nng lng tai Vit Nam.

Nhng cng ngh sau s c s dng: H thng ng pht dng tuc-bin kh tHiu qua nhit toan b cao hn nha may phat in thng thng 20% H thng pht in dng nng lng mt triS dng nng lng ti to H thng mng li in thng minhTn dng in mc ti a

i khi nhng h thng k trn co th san xut nng lng d tha, nng lng d tha nay co th ban cho li in quc gia cai thin iu kin tai chinh cho CHKQT LT.

Ngoai ra, nhiu cng ngh tit kim nng lng khac nh thit bi in hiu sut cao, en LED, en halide kim loai hiu sut cao, kim soat chiu sang bng cam bin anh sang ban ngay, thit bi HVAC hiu sut cao se c ap dung, khi o vic tit kim nng lng va khi thai CO2 se giam 50% so vi cac cng hng khng binh thng khac.

9.3.4.2 Mng li thng tin v lin lc tin tin

Vo giai on m ca, CHKQT LT s c h thng IT tin tin nht. Nhng h thng IT tin tin c th s dng nh sau:

Cc ng dy lin lc (in thoi v Internet)

H thng mng cp (SCN)

Mng LAN khng dy c bo mt cao Cc h thng IT khc c kh nng c lp t- u c sinh trc hc- Thit b cm bin vnh ai- Pht hin ngi xm nhp- Pht hin hnh l b qun v ly- Hin th thng tin- Phn mm bin bo k thut s 9.3.5 Thit b dn ng hng khng (CNS/ATM, MET v AGL)9.3.5.1 Tng qut tng cng an ton trong khai thc tu bay v hiu qu ca dch v khng lu, h thng CNS (Thng tin, Dn ng & Gim st)/ATM (Qun l khng lu) ph hp vi cc tiu chun v thc hnh khuyn co ca ICAO cn c ng dng cho CHKQTLT.

9.3.5.2 H thng kim sot khng luTheo quy hoch b tr cng hng khng, i kim sot khng lu (i ATC) s c xy dng ti khu vc phc hp ATC gn nh ga. Chiu cao ca i gip kim sot vin quan st tu bay mt cch r rng ti cng hng khng v khu vc xung quanh. Cng tc kim sot khng lu khu vc cng hng khng do i ATC qun l, chu trch nhim kim sot tu bay. Cng tc kim sot khng lu khu vc cng hng khng bao gm: kim sot tu bay trn ng ln, ng CHC, sn u v mt khu vc khng phn c xc nh (v d nh bn knh 5NM xung quanh cng hng khng ln n 2.500ft), trong qu trnh tu bay h ct cnh. Cng tc kim sot khng lu khu vc cng hng khng nn l kim sot hai bn ng CHC A/B v C/D v gm 4 v tr cho mi ng nh sau:

1. V tr kim sot khng lu khu vc cng hng khng

2. V tr kim sot mt t

3. V tr cp hun lnh

4. V tr kim sot sn u

9.3.5.3 H thng CNS

H thng CNS bao gm: Thng tin Thit b VHF khng i t

AMHS (H thng x l in vn t ng) v u cui AIS (Dch v thng tin hng khng)

VCCS (H thng kim sot thng tin thoi) v my ghi m

D-ATIS (Dch v thng tin u cui t ng)

Kt ni vin thng

Dn ng DVOR/DME (i dn ng a hng sng cc ngn hiu ng Doppler/Thit b o c ly)

ILS (H thng h cnh chnh xc)

GBAS (H thng tng cng trn mt t)

Gim st PSR/MSSR Mode-S

Trm ADS-B (Gim st ph thuc t ng Pht thanh) trn mt t

A-SMGCS

9.3.5.4 H thng quan trc kh tngTheo Ph lc 3 ca ICAO, cc iu kin kh tng sau y cn c quan trc v bo co:

Gi b mt Tm nhn ng CHC (RVR)

My Gi tr p sut Nhit khng khH thng quan trc thi tit t ng (AWOS) cung cp cho cc bn s dng cng trnh hng khng nhng bo co thi tit lin tc v theo thi gian thc m khng c bt k can thip no t con ngi. Bo co mi c pht ra mi pht t thit b cm bin t gn vng chm bnh trn ng CHC. Cc bo co thi tit ca AWOS c nhn s ca cng hng khng s dng thng qua cc u cui c ngi vn hnh v c phi cng s dng thng qua vic truyn ging ni cht lng cao, c k thut s ha qua thit b pht sng VHF hoc phng tin ph tr dn ng. AWOS ti ch tng cng mc s dng v an ton ca cng hng khng v thng qua vic cung cp cho phi cng cc thng tin thi tit chnh xc v ng tin cy.9.3.5.5 n mt t ti cng hng khngCc loi n mt t ti cng hng khng cn c lp t theo khuyn co ca ICAO nh sau:

H thng n tip cn chnh xc (PALS) vi gin n bin thp

n ch dn qu o tip cn chnh xc (PAPI), 2 ng CHC

n bin ng CHC

n ngng (k c n cnh bin)/cui ng CHC

n tim ng CHC

n vng chm bnh

n bin ng ln

n hiu ln bnh

n gia ng ln

n dng

Ti gi c n

n pha sn u

n bo hiu khu vc cng hng khng

9.3.6 Cng trnh tin ch9.3.6.1 H thng cp ncNc cp s c dng lm nc sinh hot, dng cha chy, ti cy, dng cho mc ch cng nghip v cc mc ch khc. Mt ng cp nc mi c quy hoach n CHKQT LT t quc l 51, ni hin ang co ng ng cp nc cho Vung Tau. Ngoi ra tnh ng Nai c k hoch lp t thm mt ng ng nc mi 800 va se hoan thanh trc nm 2014, v th lng nc cn cho CHKQT LT c th c cung cp qua ng ng nc chnh mi ca thnh ph chy dc theo quc l 51.

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLTH. 9.316 S tuyn ng cp nc9.3.6.2 H thng x l nc thiCht thi t CHKQT LT s c x l bi nh my x l cht thi (STP) danh ring cho CHKQT LT. Quanh khu vc cng hng khng cha c cc h thng x l nc thi quy m ln, v th ton b nc thi t cng hng khng phi c x l bn trong cng hng khng. Cht lng nc thi sau x l s phi tun th tiu chun Vit Nam BOD 50ppm (nhng nn ap dung tiu chun cao hn nh 20ppm) v nc sau khi x l s c thot ra h thng thot nc ma hoc h thng sng ngi hin hu. Quy trnh x l s p dng cng ngh mi nht vo thi im thi cng, tuy nhin hin ti p dng h thng bn hot tnh (tc la h thng mng oxy hoa).

Ngun: Quy hoch tng th CHKQTLT

H. 9.317 S b tr nh my x l nc thi9.3.6.3 Cp kh ha lngHin cha co k hoach u t h thng cung cp kh t cua thanh ph trong vung phu cn CHKQT LT. Vi th se quy hoach va cung cp kh ha lng cho CHKQT LT s dung cho cac nha hang, cn-tin va cac c s nu nng khac hin nay.Nha ga hanh khach cua CHKQT LT se s dung h thng cung cp kh ha lng trung tm. Mt phong cha binh ga tch bit se c b tri bn ngoai nha ga vi khoang cach an toan ap ng quy inh Vit Nam, nhng vn am bao rng chiu dai cua ng ng ga cang ngn cang tt, cung vi vic xem xet n kha nng d dang thay th binh ga.

10. Cc vn lin quan n tc ng mi trng10.1 H thng php l i vi vn bo v mi trng v mi quan tm x hiBo co nh gi tc ng mi trng (TM) c lp theo Hng dn ca Vit Nam (nh km theo Bo co u t xy dng cng trnh).

10.2 Mi trng ti khu vc thc hin d n v khu vc xung quanhV mi trng t nhin, cc yu t sau y c kho st: Kh hu Thy vn t v trm tch

Cht lng nc Cht lng khng kh, ting n v chn ng Sinh thi thy H sinh thi trn cn Cc khu bo tn thin nhinMi trng x hi cng c nghin cu. Kt qu ca nghin cu l khng pht hin vn c th v mi trng ti khu vc xung quanh.

10.3 Tc ng n mi trng do hot ng thi cng gy raTc ng n mi trng do hot ng thi cng gy ra c tm tt nh sau:

Bng 10.31 cng Bo co nh gi tc ng mi trng giai on thi cngnh gi tc ng mi trngCpYu t tc ng chnh Mc tc ng mi trng

Giai on trc khi thi cngMi trng vt lTing n v rung do cng tc chun b trc khi chun b mt bng cng trngTing n v rung trong khu vc gii hn v trong thi gian ngn.

Mi trng

sinh hcCy thp b gim nt v cy cao b ct khi thc hin cng tc chun b trc khi chun b mt bng cng trngKhu vc trng cao su v khu vc trng rng nhng s tin hnh cc bin php i ph gim thiu tc ng n h sinh thi xung quanh.

Mi trng

x hiTi nh c trc khi chun b mt bng (nh ca, trang tri, cc c s tn gio, ngha trang, v.v)Tnh ng Nai lp k hoch ti nh c, thc hin tham vn cng ng v tt c nhng ngi phi ti nh c u nht tr vi k hoch.

Giai on thi cngMi trng vt lBi, ting n v rung do cng tc xy dng gy nn

Nc nhim bn ti sng ngi do nc ma c bn

t nhim du

Nc thi v cht thi rn t cc khu ln tri ca cng nhnC b tc ng bi nhim khng kh, ting n v rung nhng tc ng ny mc gii hn v tm thi. Tc ng ny c th c gim nh bng cc bin php i ph.Cht lng nc thot s c kim sot trong sut qu trnh thi cng

Tc ng t du s c lm gim nh bi mt s bin php i ph.

Nc thi v cht thi rn t cc khu ln tri ca cng nhn c x l theo cc bin php c ch nh i ph vi tc ng mi trng

Mi trng

sinh hcCy ci s c cht b phc v cng tc xy dng.

Nc sng nhim bn do nc ma c bn v nc thi t cc khu ln tri ca cng nhn Cy ci c cht b l cao su v hoa mu nh khoai m v iu.Tc ng do nc ma c bn v nc thi t cc khu ln tri ca cng nhn khng ng k, v th khng c tc ng ln n sinh vt thy sinh.

Mi trng x hiVic lm do cng trnh thi cng

Cng nhn xy dng t cc khu vc khc v.

Cc phng tin thi cng di chuyn quanh khu vcC hi vic lm nhiu hn do c cng trnh thi cng.

Dch bnh c th xy ra. Tuy nhin cc bin php gim nh s c tin hnh.

H hng cc con ng trong khu vc, gia tng tai nn giao thng. Tuy nhin cc bin php gim nh s c tin hnh.

10.4 Tc ng n mi trng do hot ng khai thc cng hng khng gy raTc ng n mi trng do hot ng khai thc cng hng khng gy ra c tm tt nh sau:

Bng 10.41 Bo co nh gi tc ng mi trng trong giai on khai thc

nh gi tc ng mi trngCpYu t tc ng chnh Mc tc ng mi trng

Giai on khai thcMi trng vt lTing n my bay do hot ng khai thc

Thi ra cc vt liu nhim khng kh do giao thng tip cn gy nn

Ting n v rung do giao thng tip cn gy nn

Nc thi t cng hng khng v cc cng trnh lin quan n cng hng khng

Cht thi rn t cng hng khng v cc cng trnh lin quan n cng hng khng

Theo din tnh c tnh ca khu vc c WECPNL trn 75 da trn d bo giao thng nm 2030, khu vc ny ch gii hn trong phm vi cng hng khng v khu ph cn. Mt s h gia nh b nh hng bi ting n my bay.Tuy nhin cc khu dn c ng c nh Long Thnh, B Ra, Bin Ha v TP.HCM nm ngoi khu vc WECPNL 75. V th ting n my bay khng nh hng n cc khu dn c ng c ny.

D bo rng lng bi dc theo Quc l 51 vt trn mc cho php khi lng bi hin nay dc theo quc l 51 khng thay i v khng tin hnh cc bin php i ph no. (cc ch tiu khc v nhim khng kh mc chp nhn c)

Ting n gi cao im do giao thng tip cn gy ra p ng mc ting n yu cu vo ban ngy, nhng khng p ng yu cu vo ban m. rung do giao thng tip cn gy ra mc chp nhn c. Tuy nhin y ch l tnh ton th, v th n phi c tnh ton li theo iu kin ng x mi nht.

Nc thi t cng hng khng v cc tin ch lin quan n cng hng khng c x l ti nh my x l nc thi b tr ti cng hng khng. Cht lng nc thot phi p ng tiu chun quc gia, v th nh hng l khng ng k.

Cht thi rn s khng c t hoc x l ti khu vc cng hng khng. Nh my x l cht thi rn s do Tnh ng Nai b tr ti khu vc ln cn cng hng khng, c th x l cht thi rn.

Mi trng

sinh hcTing n my bay

Nc thi v cht thi rn t cng hng khng v cc tin ch lin quan n cng hng khngKhng c nh hng ng k n mi trng sinh hc

Nh m t trn, nc thi v cht thi rn c x l, v th khng c nh hng

Mi trng x hiVic lm t hot ng khai thc cng hng khng

Mc th ha

Dn s gia tngNgi ta cho rng cng hng khng ny s u tin to c hi vic lm cho cc c dn ti nh c khi khai thc cng hng khng.

th ha, cng nghip ha, thng mi v du lch ang c xc tin ti tnh ng Nai, ni c CHKQT LT. N lm cho iu kin sng tt hn, tng thu nhp, nng cao cht lng gio dc, ci thin iu kin sng ca ph n v gim ngho.

Nhng vn v an ninh s gia tng.

11. Khi ton tng vn u t11.1 C s Chi ph d n c c tnh trn c s:

n gi/m2 hoc m3 ca cng hng khng c quy m tng t c iu chnh

Chi ph thu hi t v ti nh c c c quan lin quan cung cp Chi ph xy dng giai on 1 c c tnh. V c bn ch tnh n chi ph xy dng ti cng trng cng hng khng.

Chi ph h thng thi b cht thi rn khng bao gm trong d n.

Cc chi ph c c tnh theo gi nm 2011.

Chi ph chi tit s c xc nh trong giai on nghin cu kh thi v thit k chi tit, v vy c tnh chi ph d n trong giai on ny ch mang tnh tham kho.

Chi ph d n trong giai on sau cng c th c c tnh tng t, tuy nhin vic hon thnh xy dng giai on cui l trong tng lai rt xa nn chi ph d n cho giai on sau cng khng c c tnh.11.2 Khi ton tng chi ph u t cho giai on 1a (phn k u t):Bng 11.21 c tnh chi ph xy dng giai on 1aSTTMTnQuy mChi ph c tnh

(triu USD)

Nhm 1

110VIPNh khch VVIP 5.000m213,6

160GRDTrm gc2 trm0,2

180AFFTrm Khn nguy cu nn v cu ha1.500m21,6

200LMFKhu bo tr cnh quan4.700m210,5

210AMFKhu bo tr cng hng khng 5.100m211,4

220AAFKhu TCT Cng hng khng17.600m246,0

240MDCTrung tm y t560m21,4

250METKhu kh tng400m20,7

290GSEKho trang thit b phc v mt t17.400m22,2

381WSSH thng cp nc bn ngoi2.000ha9,1

Tng nhm 1 96,7

Nhm 2

030SCLGii ta mt bng & Chun b1.165ha504,2

040SPNThi cng ng trc vo Cng10km171,7

042UUTng hm k thut10km44,1

050SDRH thng thot nc ma1165 ha50,5

060CRDng ni b trong cng hng khng 30km143,7

070RWYng CHC1 ng50,3

080TWYng ln165 ha278

090APRSn u my bay132,5 ha223,6

390STPTrm x l nc thi2.000ha39,3

420ILSILS4 b8,0

430VORVOR/DME1 b1,4

490AWSAWOS1 b1,9

500PALPALS+SFL4 b15,5

510PAPPAPI4 b1,6

520RWLH thng n ng CHC1 h thng10,3

530TWLH thng n ng ln16 km48

540AFLH thng n sn u73 v tr11,3

550CTLH thng kim sot & Chiu sng/Sn k vch khc1 b34,6

Tng nhm 2 1.638

Nhm 3

010LASThu hi t & ti nh c2.565,4ha199,1

020RLRNn tuyn ng Bnh Sn-Cm ng10km50,0

140POLVn phng Cnh st1.300m23,4

150CUSVn phng Hi quan1.000m22,9

170IMMVn phng Cng an ca khu350m20,7

230CTWi ch huy & Nh iu hnh3.500m236,2

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoi1 bKhng

440ASRASR/SSR1 b9,0

450TRDTRDPS1 b1,0

460ASMA-SMGCS1 b6,5

470TRXTX/RX1 b1,4

480ATCBn iu khin VCCS/ATC, Trm AFTN/AMHS 1 b2,2

Tng nhm 3 312,4

Nhm 4a

100PTBNh ga hnh khch 241.000m2920

360CPKBi u xe t113.727m260,8

Tng nhm 4a 980,8

Nhm 4b

120CTBGa hng ha hng khng 81.100m2100,8

130FWDGa giao nhn hng ha 16.500m233,3

310GSFTrm nhin liu cho thit b phc v mt t20.000m26,0

320CATKhu cung cp sut n trn tu bay 36.500m240,2

330FHSH thng tra np nhin liu50 v tr245,0

370RTCKhu cho thu t14.600m22,3

380PSSH thng cp in bn ngoi1 b16,0

385HSSH thng cp nhit1 b117,6

410TCMH thng vin thng1 b23,7

Tng nhm 4b 584,9

Nhm 5

120CTBGa hng ha ca Vietnam Airlines81.100m2103,6

260AMHKhu bo tr tu bay 277.600m2280,9

280ERUB th ng c8.900m23,2

300GSMKhu bo tr thit b phc v mt t4.100m29,3

340ACONh iu hnh v sinh tu bay300m20,4

350ALOTrung tm iu hnh ca hng hng khng 13.500m229,5

Tng nhm 5 426.9

Tng4039,7

Bng 11-22 Tm tt chi ph d n giai on 1aM tChi ph c tnh

(triu USD)

Chi ph xy dng 4.039,7

Nhm 196,7

Nhm 21.638

Nhm 3312,4

Nhm 4a980,8

Nhm 4b584,9

Nhm 5426.9

Chi ph t vn 10%403,97

Cng4.443,67

D phng, trt gi 10%444,367

Cng4.888,037

VAT v cc thu khc 15%733,2105

Tng mc u t5.621,28

11.3 K hoch huy ng vn11.3.1 Phn chia vai tr gia thnh phn kinh t nh nc v t nhnTrong nghin cu ny, cc loi cng trnh ca cng hng khng quc t Long Thnh c phn chia theo thnh phn nh nc v t nhn da trn biu sau y. Cng tc xy dng/khai thc/bo tr nh ga hnh khch (PTB) v bi u t v c bn c th ku gi t ngun vn t nhn theo hnh thc PPP.

H. 11.31 S phn loi u t nh nc/t nhnTheo s phn loi trn, cc cng trnh ca d n Xy dng cng HK QT Long Thnh c phn thnh 5 nhm nh sau:

Bng 11.41 Phn chia u t Nh nc/T nhnV d cng trnhBC 1BC 2BC 3BC 4Ti chnhKhai thc &Bo tr

Ch u t d n c gii hn trong cc c quan nh nc hay khngCng cngThng miThnh phn t nhn c kin thc v kinh nghim khngKh nng sinh li

1Nh hnh chnhCp ncCho php u t t nhnCngKhngKhngTCTCHKVNTCTCHKVN

2Chun b tCc hng mc c bn

Khu nhin liu v ng ngCho php u t t nhnCngKhngKhngODATCTCHKVN

3Kim sot khng luHi quan/Kim dchCACKCh dnh cho c quan nh ncCngKhngKhngChnh phVit NamC quan nh nc Vit Nam

4aNh ga hnh khch Nh u tCho php u t t nhnThng miCCCng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)Cng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)

4bTa nh chung cho logisticsKhu nhin liuGa hng ha (CTB)Nh my sut n hng khng Cho php u t t nhn Thng miCCCng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)Cng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)

5HangarGa hng ha khcTa nh cho cc cng ty logistics Khu cng nghip v khch snCho php u t t nhnThng miCCCng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)Cng ty u t

(hnh thc PPP)

Nhm 1:Cc cng trnh ti cn thit cho hot ng ca cng hng khng hoc cn thit i vi chnh n v khai thc cng hng khng.Cc cng trnh do n v khai thc cng hng khng u t, pht trin, khai thc v s hu.

Nhm 2:Cc cng trnh c bn ca cng hng khng nh ci to v chun b t, ng CHC, ng ln v cc cng trnh khc lin quan n c s cng hng khng v hot ng khai thc tu bay.Cc cng trnh d kin c ti tr v pht trin bng vn ODA (v d nh vn vay bng ng Yn ca chnh ph Nht) do chi ph xy dng ln.

Nhm 3:Cc cng trnh lin quan n hot ng ca thnh phn nh nc nh cnh st, Hi quan, Cng an ca khu, i kim sot khng lu v cc hng mc khc.Cc cng trnh ny s c chnh ph Vit Nam hoc c quan nh nc Vit Nam lin quan u t, pht trin, khai thc v s hu.

Nhm 4a:Cc cng trnh nh nh ga hnh khch (PTB).Cc cng trnh ny s c chuyn giao cho thnh phn t nhn u t, pht trin v khai thc (hnh thc BOT) do gi nh s c li nhun. V vy, nh ga hnh khch s c ku gi s tham gia ca cc nh khai thc cng hng khng nc ngoi v/hoccc thnh phn t nhn c kinh nghim, nng lc ti chnh, kin thc v b quyt cng ngh tin tin v khai thc cng hng khng.

Nhm 4b:Cc cng trnh gi nh c li nhun s ku gi thnh phn t nhn tham gia. Nh Nhm 4a ni trn, cc cng trnh ny l ti cn thit trong cng hng khng.Cc cng trnh ny s c n v khai thc cng hng khng v thnh phn t nhn hp tc u t v pht trin.

Nhm 5:Cc cng trnh cn thit cho hng hng khng, cng tc giao nhn hng ha v n v khc lin quan trong ngnh hng khng, bao gm trung tm khai thc ca hng hng khng, khu bo tr tu bay v hangar, kho hng ha, khu bo tr trang thit b phc v mt t v cc hng mc khc.Cc cng trnh ny thng khng nht thit c n v khai thc cng hng khng pht trin v cho thu m c th c cc thnh phn t nhn t pht trin thng qua vic cung cp/ cho h thu mt phn din tch t.Cc cng trnh ny s c ku gi thnh phn t nhn u t, pht trin, khai thc v s hu.11.4 nh gi cc hiu qu kinh t-x hi11.4.1 iu kin tin quyt

Lung tin trong hnh thc d n xut c trnh by hnh bn di.

H. 11.41 Lung tin theo nhm cng trnh T kt qu kho st v phn tch tnh hnh doanh thu v chi ph hin ti ti TSN, hai ln chy th s liu c tin hnh trong phn tch ti chnh nh sau:

Ln 1: Mc chi ph hin ti ca TSN c p dng v iu chnh theo lm pht Ln 2: Da trn mc chi ph xut cng mc tng c nh ca n gi thu theo lm phtChnh lch gia doanh thu v chi ph trong ln chy th s liu 1 v 2 c tm tt trong Bng 11.4-1 v Bng 11.4-2.Bng 11.41 Doanh thu trong ln chy th s liu 1 v 2McLn chy th s liu ILn chy th s liu IIDoanh thu ca

L ph phc v hnh khch (PSC)17,5USD/ngi ln (q.t), 39.000VND/khch (q.ni), tr hnh khch qu cnh21USD/kh ch10,5USD/khch qu cnh.

40.000VND/khch (q.ni)Cty mc ch c bit khai thc nh ga (PTB SPC)

Ph h cnhPh h cnh bnh qun trong tng lai x s ln h cnhTCTCHKVN

Ph u tu bay60,43USD/tu bay (q.t)

8,76USD/tu bay (q.ni)60,43USD/tu bay (q.t)

22USD/tu bay (q.ni)TCTCHKVN

Ph an ninh65,75USD/tu bay (q.t)

18,84USD/tu bay (q.ni)1USD/khch (q.t)

18,84USD/tu bay (q.ni)PTB SPC

Ph thu bng chuyn hnh l12,27USD/tu bay (q.t)

5,97USD/tu bay (q.ni)36,24USD/tu bay (q.t)

12,61USD/tu bay (q.ni)PTB SPC

Ph thu quy lm th tc0,88USD/khch khi hnh (q.t)

0,38USD/khch khi hnh (q.ni)0,88USD/khch khi hnh (q.t)

0,38USD/khch khi hnh (q.ni)PTB SPC

Ph thu cu ng dn khch57,72USD/tu bay (q.t)

39,86USD/tu bay (q.ni)57,72USD/tu bay (q.t)

57,7USD/tu bay (q.ni)PTB SPC

Ph chuyn nhng Nhin liu hng khng3,6USD/tu bay7,65USD/tu bayTCTCHKVN

Ph chuyn nhng Dch v k thut phc v mt t14,42USD/chuyn bay25,86USD/chuyn bayPTB SPC (50%)TCTCHKVN (50%)

Ph chuyn nhng Ch bin sut n trn tu bay0,67USD/chuyn bay khi hnh1,42USD/chuyn bay khi hnhTCTCHKVN

Ph chuyn nhng Hng min thu0,15USD/khch khi hnh1,5USD/khch khi hnhPTB SPC

Ph chuyn nhng Dch v vn ti0,001USD/khch0,002USD/khchTCTCHKVN

Ph chuyn nhng Kinh doanh n & ung0,008USD/khch0,08USD/khchPTB SPC

Ph chuyn nhng Kinh doanh thng mi0,01USD/khch0,1USD/khchPTB SPC

Ph chuyn nhng Dch v khch hng nht0,01USD/khch0,02USD/khchPTB SPC

Ph chuyn nhng Dch v bo tr tu bay0,05USD/tu bay0,11USD/tu bayTCTCHKVN

Ph u xe t (thi gian di)20% ngi s dng dch v u xe t s u trong thi gian di.

70% s u trong 2 ngy (20.000VND)

25% s u trong 7 ngy (70.000VND)

5% s u trong 14 ngy (140.000VND) Thu nhp ca cng ty khc

Ph pht trin thu trn ngi s dng (UDF)Khng p dng5USD/khchPTB SPC

Ph s dng h thng ILS/DMEKhng p dng3,4USD/ln h cnhTCTCHKVN

Bng 11.42 Chi ph trong ln chy th s liu 1 v 2McLn chy th 1Ln chy th 2Ghi ch

Chi ph lao ngS lng nhn vin x n gi tin lng

Chi ph sa cha0,7% gi tr ti sn hng nm, tr ng hm k thut1% gi tr ti sn hng nm, tr ng hm k thut

Ph s dng t v.v.Ph s dng t

0,06USD/m2Ph dch v 0,2USD/m2Ph tin ch 5USD/m2Ph qun l cng hng khng: 1,2USD/m2Ph s dng cng trnh: 30USD/m2Doanh thu ca TCTCHKVNChi ph ca PTB SPC

Chi ph sa cha, thay th lnNhm 1, 2

Sn, chng thm 10 nm/ln

Hon thin 15 nm/ln

C s dn ng hng khng 15 nm/ln

Cc thit b khc khng c thi hn

Nhm 4a

1% chi ph u t ban u/nm2% chi ph u t ban u/nm

11.4.2 nh gi tng th v kinh t cho ton b d n

kim tra tnh kh thi v mt kinh t ca d n trn quan im nn kinh t quc gia, chng ti thc hin nh gi kinh t da trn cc chi ph v li ch kinh t ca d n. tnh ton c li ch kinh t rng ca d n, cn phi c tnh c s chnh lch (chi ph v li ch tng thm) i vi nn kinh t quc gia gia trng hp d n c thc hin (Trng hp C d n) v trng hp d n khng c thc hin (Trng hp Khng c d n).

Trng hp c d n khi phn tch kinh t l trng hp d n pht trin CHKQT LT s c thc hin v cng sut phc v ca cng hng khng ti khu vc TP.HCM s c tng ln.

Trng hp khng c d n trong phn tch kinh t l trng hp s khng u t thm cho cng hng khng quc t Tn Sn Nht hin hu. Gii hn cng sut phc v ca cc cng trnh hin hu ti CHKQT TSN c th hin di y.Kt qu phn tch kinh t (EIRR) l 22,1%.

EIRR cao hn t sut chit khu x hi, ni chung mc tiu chun cho cc cng trnh cng cng ti Vit Nam trong khong t 10% n 12%. V th, c th kt lun rng vic thc hin d n l kh thi xt trn quan im ca nn kinh t Vit Nam.

Kt qu phn tch nhy bng cch thay i t l gia li ch v chi ph thc hin d n c th hin trong bng sau y.

Bng 11.43 Kt qu phn tch nhy ca EIRRChi ph kinh t

22,1%110%105%100%95%90%

90%19,8%20,4%20,9%21,5%22,1%

95%20,4%21,0%21,5%22,1%22,8%

Li ch100%21,0%21,6%22,1%22,8%23,4%

105%21,6%22,1%22,7%23,4%24,0%

110%22,1%22,7%23,3%23,9%24,6%

11.4.3 Phn tch v nh gi ti chnh i vi cc thnh phn t nhn

Chng ti tp trung phn tch v nh gi ti chnh i vi cng trnh Nh ga hnh khch (PTB) v bi u t (CPB) m TCTCHKVN xem xt u t cng cc n v khc thuc thnh phn t nhn. K hoch thc hin i vi PTB v CPB c gi nh nh sau:

Bt u thit kQu 1/2014

Bt u xy dngQu 2/2018

Hon thnh xy dngQu 2/2022

M ca CHKQT LTQu 3/2022

Hon thnh (theo) tnh tonQu 2/2047

Cc iu kin kinh t sau y c gi nh:

Bng 11.44 iu kin kinh t2011-20152016-20252026-2050

Lm pht VND

12,60%7,00%6,00%mt nm

Lm pht USD

1,74%2,00%2,50%mt nm

Tng chi ph lao ng8,82%4,90%4,20%(Lm pht x 70%)

T gi ngoi t: 20,608VND = 1,0 USDNgun: Hng dn ca JICA ti kha 2011, t 2

T l mt gi (VND/USD)

: 2,77%/nm

Kt qu phn tch theo cc iu kin nu trn l 3,4% trong ln chy s liu 1 v 12,6% trong ln 2. (Trong trng hp p dng mc thu UDF 5USD v c ch tng gi mt na)Bng 11.45 Phn tch nhy (C ch/UDF)

DngC ch mc thu CtUDF0 USD /khch5 USD /khch10 USD /khch15 USD /khch20 USD /khch

C ch khng tng gi5,9%8,0%9,8%11,4%12,8%

C ch tng gi mt na12,8%13,9%15,1%16,1%17,1%

C ch tng gi ton phn16,8%17,7%18,6%19,5%20,3%

Ngun: Nhm Nghin cu JICA

C ch tng gi mt na: Tng gi thu hp mt na gi tr gia chi ph c iu chnh theo lm pht (VND) v doanh thu c iu chnh theo s mt gi ca ng USD mi 3 nm/ln.

C ch tng gi ton phn: Tng gi thu hp gi tr gia chi ph c iu chnh theo lm pht (VND) v doanh thu c iu chnh theo s mt gi ca ng USD mi 3 nm/ln.Nh trnh by trong phn trc, d n ny s kh xp hng u t c hai ln chy s liu, v s phi xem xt thm vic ci thin kh nng sinh li ca d n ny. C th l, chng ta phi xem xt (1) Gim chi ph d n, (2) Tng doanh thu v (3) Ct gim chi tiu. V chng ti gi nh tng doanh thu trong ln chy s liu th hai so vi ln chy s liu th nht v khng th gi nh ct b chi tiu vo thi im ny nn vic gim cc chi ph d n l khng trnh khi khi xt n khi lng v thi im u t. Mc d TCTCHKVN cho bit hin ti khng th thay i quy hoch tng th CHKQT LT, vic ct gim din tch sn v phn k pht trin CHKQT LT phi c nghin cu t by gi.

Sau y l bng th hin ch s IRR ca d n trong trng hp chng ta tham s ha chi ph xy dng (chim phn ln chi ph ban u ca d n) v doanh thu khai thc (khng bao gm UDF Ph pht trin thu trn ngi s dng). Tht kh ni t l hon vn ni ti ca d n l bao nhiu l nh u t nc ngoi c th tham gia vo u t mt cng hng khng hon ton mi ti Vit Nam v t trc n nay cha c trng hp thc t no. Ni chung cc nh u t mong mun t l ny l 15 20% tnh theo USD nu h u t vo mt d n hon ton mi (da trn gi nh ny th t l IRR ca d n nu tnh theo ng VND l khong 20 25%).Bng 11.46 Phn tch nhy (Doanh thu khai thc/Chi ph xy dng)

DngDoanh thu khai thcOR, khng bao gm ph UDFx t l phn trm

Ct: Chi ph xy dng (CC) x t l phn trmCC 60%CC 70%CC 80%CC 90%CC 100%

OR 100%20,2%18,2%16,6%15,2%13,9%

OR 110%21,7%19,7%18,0%16,5%15,2%

OR 120%23,1%21,0%19,2%17,7%16,4%

OR 130%24,4%22,2%20,4%18,9%17,5%

11.4.4 nh gi kh nng hon tr vn vay ODA c th tnh ton hiu qu ti chnh ca d n, chng ti gi nh vn vay ODA l vn vay bng ng Yn ca Nht. Cc gi nh v vic hon tr vn vay cng tng t nh gi nh i vi thnh phn t nhn, nhng thi im hon tt tnh ton l thng 12/2052 khi tr xong n.

Cc iu kin vay vn bng ng Yn c gi nh nh sau: Vn vay STEP ca JICA

Li sut c bn

0,20%

Thi gian n hn

10 nm Thi gian hon tr

30 nm Li sut vay li (VND)

9,6% (B Ti chnh chu ri ro v t gi)

93% chi ph d n (tr ph hnh chnh, VAT, v.v) c ti tr bi vn vay ng Yn. Ph cam kt khng c xem xt.

Kt qu chy th ln 2 nh sau:

H. 11.42 Kt qu chy th s liu ln 2Ngoi ra, chng ti cng phn tch cc phng n vay li i vi vn vay ODA nh sau: Phng n hai giai on Phng n 8 gi thuTrong c hai phng n, nu n v khai thc cng hng khng c th x l tnh trng thiu ht doanh thu trong 10 nm u th c th tr n vn vay ODA.

12 Tin thc hin d n rt ngn tin , c th p dng gii php tin hnh cng tc thit k k thut trc khi thm nh d n kh thi c tnh chi ph chi tit ca d n. Trnh t thc hin nh sau:

1) Vn vay dch v thit k k thut s c yu cu ngay sau khi Quc hi ph duyt d n.

2) Thit k v h s mi thu s c ph duyt nhanh, khng chm tr

3) Cng tc u thu la chn t vn thc hin thit k k thut v la chn nh thu s c thc hin cng nhanh cng tt, trnh nhng chm tr khng ng c nhm rt ngn thi gian mua sm.

4) Chnh ph Vit Nam y quyn cho C quan thc hin d n chun b thc hin cng tc u thu la chn nh thu song song vi qu trnh thm nh vn vay.

H. 12.11 Lu d n Pht trin CHKQTLT

Ngoi nhng quy trnh c bn ni trn, vn cn cc cng tc rt quan trng (nm trn ng ti hn Gantt) nh sau:

Thnh lp lc lng thc hin d n Ti nh c nhanh Thu xp ti chnh iu chnh cc d n lin quanTin thc hin d n d kin c trnh by trang k tip.

H. 12.1-2 Lch trnh thc hin d n d kin

13 Hnh thc qun l d n13.1 xut hnh thc qun l cho cc gi thu ca d nTrong d n CHKQT Long Thnh, quy m cng hng khng cng nh chi ph xy dng u cc ln. Vic thnh lp cng ty thng nht qun l, khai thc v cng tc hnh chnh ca cng hng khng s l phng n kh thi nht v l mt xut l tng.

Gi nh c s chia s vai tr gia cng- t trong qun l v khai thc cng hng khng, vic chia s vai tr ny cho thy kh nng cn c mt nghin cu v vic hoch nh c cu qun l v khai thc cng hng khng sau y:

Ngun : Nghin cu Chun b ca JICAH. 13.11 C cu khai thc vi vai tr Cng T c xc nhS bn di l mt v d v c cu qun l cng hng khng n l. Thay v c nhiu nh khai thc khc nhau cho cc hng mc c bn, nh ga hnh khch, khu hnh chnh, cng tc cho thu t v cc hng mc khc, cng hng khng c qun l bi mt n v hay ch th duy nht.

Ngun : Nghin cu kh thi ca JICA v d n Cng HKQT LT theo hnh thc PPP - nm 2011H. 13.12 C cu khai thc qun l n l13.2 xut c ch c bit qun l v khai thc d n Nhm hin thc ha d n, cng tc quan trng cn lm l thu xp vn t cc ngn hng thng mi. Tuy nhin, nhiu lut l v qui nh c th l tr ngi cho vic ti tr thng mi. V th, cn phi p dng 6 iu di y trong cc Cam kt Bo m ca Chnh ph (GGU) v/hoc Hp ng nhng quyn (BOT) nh l cc chnh sch c bit cho d n ny.Di y l mt v d v k hoch thu xp vn cho cc cng trnh nhm 2 v nhm 4a vi gi nh s dng vn vay ODA ca Nht:

H. 13.21 S K hoch ti tr Trn c s gi nh nu trn, c cu t chc thc hin d n c phc tho nh s bn di. Trong pht trin CHKQT LT, lc lng thc hin d n trong thnh phn chnh l chnh ph Vit Nam hoc cng ty Cng hng khng mi s c thnh lp (s c m t sau) vi t cch c quan i ng. T vn qun l d n (PMC) s lm vic vi bn i ng ny thc hin d n, phi hp vi cc b ngnh lin quan, nh u t t nhn v tng nh thu.

Ngun: JACH. 13.22 C cu t chc thc hin d nNgoi ra, cc chnh sch c bit khc di y s cn c cc c quan lin quan chp nhn: m bo chuyn i ngoi t m bo c quyn u i thu C ch thit lp gi thu m bo hon thnh m bo hot ng (nhn thanh ton) bng ngoi t v chuyn tin ra nc ngoiCc ri ro sau y s phi c nhn din r rng v chia s:Bng 13.21 Danh mc cc ri ro ca d n

Hng mcLoiNi dungM t

Ri roRi ro v chnh trQuc hu ha/ Gii hn nhng giao dch chuyn i ngoi t/ Thay i lut phpLut BOT, Lut chuyn i ngoi t, v.v/Giy phpThi cng, Khai thc/Vi phm hp ng/ Khng b, Chin tranh

Ri ro v chnh sch cng hng khngPhn chia vai tr gia TSN v LT/Mt cng hng khng mi/Pht trin c s mi trong khu vc CHKQT TL

Ri ro trong vic ph duyt cc mc phPh duyt l ph phc v hnh khch/p dng ph pht trin thu trn ngi s dng (UDF)

Ri ro trong vic thu hi tThu hi t/Ti nh c

Ri ro khi hon thnhCc cng trnh c bn/nh ga hnh khch/ng tip cn/ in, nc, v.v

Ri ro ca Vietnam AirlinesCHKQT LT l cng hng khng cn c ca VNA

Ri ro qun tr tng thS cn thit ca cng tc qun tr tng th

Ri ro v th trngm bo doanh thu ti thiu/Xu hng th trng

Ri ro v k thut (Nng lc ca n v c giao

thc hin)Thit k/Xy dng/Phc v mt t

Ri ro v cc mi quan tm mi trng v x hinh hng bt li n mi trng t nhin v x hi

Ri ro v thm ha thin nhin (Bt kh khng)Thin tai

Ri ro v khai thcNguyn nhn bn ngoi/Nguyn nhn bn trong/Nguyn nhn nh tnh/Nguyn nhn nh lng

Ngun : Nghin cu Chun b ca JICA14 Kt lun Vic pht trin CHKQTLT l rt cn thit i vi s pht trin bn vng ca Vit Nam v khng c phng n no khc. D n CHKQTLT s phi c thc hin trong thi gian sm nht. Tuy c kh khn v thu xp ti chnh, d n CHKQTLT c th c xem l mt d n kh thi v kinh t, ti chnh v k thut.

Cn c KQ Bin Ha

CHK Tn Sn Nht

10Km

5Km

Trm Tn Sn Nht

10Km

5Km

752,696

V tr h iu tit d kin

chi nhnh

c

cc

Nhm 5

Nhm 4b

Nhm 3

Nhm 2

Nhm 1

700.000

600.000

500.000

400.000

300.000

200.000

100.000

0

Bangkok 2008

Hongkong 2008

Incheon 2008

Tng D bo

QN-D bo

QT-D bo

Tng-Thc t

QN-Thc t

Sn lng hnh khch QT

QT-Thc t

(tn)

Nm

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

2025

2020

2015

80.000

2010

2005

2000

1995

4.000.000

3.500.000

3.000.000

2.500.000

0

2.000.000

1.500.000

1.000.000

500.000

0

Bangkok 2008

Hongkong 2008

Atlanta 2008

Tng D bo

QN-D bo

QT-D bo

Tng Thc t

60.000

QN-Thc t

QT-Thc t

(000)

Khai thc & Qun l

Chun b m ca

Xy dng (BQLDA)

T vn qun l d n (PMC)

CHK khc

-

(LTIA PTB

Cng ty mc ch c bit u t nh ga hnh khch

C)

(LTIA

Cng ty CHKQT Long Thnh

B Giao thng vn ti i

Chnh ph Vit Nam

553,896

404,109

283,583

2,065,996

1,072,989

718,070

471,547

292,030

Tng sn lng hnh khch

TH thp c d bo

TH gc c d bo

TH cao c d bo

Thc t

(000)

Nhm 4a (Nh ga hnh khch)

TC

MC

Nh u t NB

Nh u t VN

t VN

u

Nhm cc nh

t NB

u

Nhm cc nh

TCT u t vn nh nc

Ngn hng quc gia

B T php

B KHT

B TC

Lc lng thc hin DA

(ACV)

TCT Cng hng khng Vit Nam

SPC)

Bc: 1

C s vt cht s do thnh phn nh nc xy dng mt cch hp php.

ng

L do hp l nu nh nc u t hoc

Khng c ngha g nu t nhn u t

Sai

Sai

ng

ng

Khng c l do hp l nu nh nc u t hay

C ngha hp l nu t nhn u t

Sai

Bc: 4

Thnh phn t nhn chng minh tnh kh thi v ti chnh

Bc: 3

Thnh phn t nhn c nng lc, kin thc v kinh nghim

Bc: 2

C nhiu l do hp l thnh phn nh nc xy dng.

C nhiu ngha khi thnh phn t nhn xy dng.

T nhn

Nh nc

Nm

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

2005

2000

1995

140.000

120.000

100.000

80.000

60.000

40.000

20.000

0

77,482

44,516

33,421

25,098

18,428

114,697

61,004

41,680

28,399

18,827

Sn lng hnh khch QN

TH thp c d bo

TH gc c d bo

TH cao c d bo

Thc t

(000)

Nm

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

2005

2000

1995

80.000

70.000

60.000

50.000

40,000

30.000

20.000

10.000

0

36,759

21,434

16,256

12,387

9,296

52,918

28,562

19,741

13,738

9,453

Nm

2050

2045

2040

2035

20.000

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

2005

2000

1995

40.000

120.000

100.000

TH thp c d bo

TH gc c d bo

TH cao c d bo

Thc t

(000)

Nm

2050

2045