asymmetric and imperfect collateralization, derivative pricing, and cva
TRANSCRIPT
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C A R F W o r k i n g P a p e r
CARF is presently supported by Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd., Citigroup, Dai-ichi
Mutual Life Insurance Company, Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance Company, Nippon Life Insurance
Company, Nomura Holdings, Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (in alphabetical
order). This financial support enables us to issue CARF Working Papers.
CARF Working Papers can be downloaded without charge from:
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not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of the author.
CARF-F-240
Asymmetric and Imperfect Collateralization,
Derivative Pricing, and CVA
Masaaki FujiiThe University of TokyoAkihiko Takahashi
The University of Tokyo
December 2010
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Asymmetric and Imperfect Collateralization,
Derivative Pricing, and CVA
Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
First version: November 30, 2010Current version: December 28, 2010
Abstract
The importance of collateralization through the change of funding cost is now wellrecognized among practitioners. In this article, we have extended the previous studiesof collateralized derivative pricing to more generic situation, that is asymmetric andimperfect collateralization as well as the associated CVA. We have presented approx-imate expressions for various cases using Gateaux derivative which allow straightfor-ward numerical analysis. Numerical examples for CCS (cross currency swap) and IRS(interest rate swap) with asymmetric collateralization were also provided. They clearlyshow the practical relevance of sophisticated collateral management for financial firms.
We have also discussed some generic implications of asymmetric collateralization fornetting and resolution of information.
Keywords : swap, collateral, derivatives, Libor, currency, OIS, EONIA, Fed-Fund, CCS,basis, risk management, HJM, FX option, CSA, CVA, term structure
This research is supported by CARF (Center for Advanced Research in Finance) and the globalCOE program The research and training center for new development in mathematics. All the contentsexpressed in this research are solely those of the authors and do not represent any views or opinions ofany institutions. The authors are not responsible or liable in any manner for any losses and/or damagescaused by the use of any contents in this research.
Graduate School of Economics, The University of TokyoGraduate School of Economics, The University of Tokyo
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1 Introduction
In the last decade, collateralization has experienced dramatic increase in the derivativemarket. According to the ISDA survey [10], the percentage of trade volume subject tocollateral agreements in the OTC (over-the-counter) market has now become 70%, whichwas merely 30% in 2003. If we focus on large dealers and fixed income market, the coveragegoes up even higher to 84%. Stringent collateral management is also a crucial issue forsuccessful installation of CCP (central clearing parties).
Despite its long history in the financial market as well as its critical role in the riskmanagement, it is only after the explosion of Libor-OIS spread following the collapse ofLehman Brothers that the effects of collateralization on derivative pricing have started togather strong attention among practitioners. In most of the existing literatures, collat-eral cost has been neglected, and only its reduction of counterparty exposure have beenconsidered. The work of Johannes & Sundaresan (2007) [11] was the first focusing on thecost of collateral, which studied its effects on swap rates based on empirical analysis. Asa more recent work, Piterbarg (2010) [12] discussed the general option pricing using thesimilar formula to take the collateral cost into account.
In a series of works of Fujii, Shimada & Takahashi (2009) [6, 7] and Fujii & Takahashi(2010) [8, 9], modeling of interest rate term structures under collateralization has beenstudied, where cash collateral is assumed to be posted continuously and hence the remain-ing counterparty credit risk is negligibly small. In these works, it was found that thereexists a direct link between the cost of collateral and CCS (cross currency swap) spreads.In fact, one cannot neglect the cost of collateral to make the whole system consistent withCCS markets, or equivalently with FX forwards. Making use of this relation, we have alsoshown the significance of a cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) option implicitly embedded in acollateral agreement in Fujii & Takahashi (2011) [8].
The previous works have assumed bilateral and symmetric collateralization, where thetwo parties post the same currency or choose the optimal one from the same set of eligiblecurrencies. Although symmetric collateral agreement is widely used, asymmetric situationcan also arise in the actual market. If there is significant difference in credit qualitiesbetween two parties, such as the case when CCP (central clearing party) is involved, therelevant CSA (credit support annex, specifying all the details of collateral agreements) mayspecify asymmetric collateral treatment, such as unilateral collateralization and asymmet-ric collateral thresholds. Furthermore, even if the details specified in CSA are symmetric,asymmetry may effectively arise due to the different level of sophistication of collateralmanagement between the two firms. For example, one party can only post single currencydue to the lack of easy access to foreign currency pools or flexible operational systemwhile the other chooses the cheapest currency each time it posts collateral. It should bealso important to understand the change of CVA (credit value adjustment) under collat-eralization. Although, in normal situations, it is reasonable to assume most of the creditexposure is eliminated by collateralization for standard products, such as interest rateswaps, preparing for credit exposure arising from the deviation from perfect collateralcoverage should be very important for risk management.
This work has extended the previous research to the more generic situations, that isasymmetric and imperfect collateralization. The formula for the associated CVA is alsoderived. We have examined a generic framework which allows asymmetry in a collateral
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agreement and also imperfect collateralization, and then shown that the resultant pricingformula is quite similar to the one appearing in the work of Duffie & Huang (1996) [2].
Although the exact solution is difficult to obtain, Gateaux derivative allows us to getapproximate pricing formula for all the cases in the unified way. In order to see the quan-titative impacts, we have studied IRS (interest rate swap) and CCS with an asymmetriccollateral agreement. We have shown the practical significance for both cases, whichclearly shows the relevance of sophisticated collateral management for all the financialfirms. Those carrying out optimal collateral strategy can enjoy significant funding benefit,while the others incapable of doing so will have to pay unnecessary expensive cost.
We also found the importance of cost of collateral for the evaluation of CVA. Thepresent value of future credit exposure can be meaningfully modified due to the changeof effective discounting rate, and can be also affected by the possible dependency betweenthe collateral coverage ratio and the counter party exposure. There also appear a new
contribution called CCA (collateral cost adjustment) that purely represents the adjustmentof collateral cost due to the deviation from the perfect collateralization. We have alsodiscussed some interesting implications for financial firms behavior under (almost) perfectcollateralization. One observes that the strong incentives for advanced financial firms toexploit funding benefit may reduce overall netting opportunities in the market, which canbe a worrisome issue for the reduction of the systemic risk in the market.
2 Generic Formulation
In this section, we consider the generic pricing formula. Although we assume continuouscollateralization, we allow asymmetric and/or imperfect collateralization with bilateral
default risk. We basically follow the setup in Duffie & Huang (1996) [2] and extend it sothat we can deal with cost of collateral explicitly. The approximate pricing formulas thatallow simple analytic treatment are derived as Gateaux derivatives.
2.1 Fundamental Pricing Formula
2.1.1 Setup
We consider a filtered probability space (, F,F, Q), where F = {Ft : t 0} is sub--algebra of F satisfying the usual conditions. Here, Q is the spot martingale measure,where the money market account is being used as the numeraire. We consider two counterparties, which are denoted by party 1 and party 2. We model the stochastic default time
of party i (i {1, 2}) as an F-stopping time i [0, ], which are assumed to be totallyinaccessible. We introduce, for each i, the default indicator function, Hit = 1{it}, astochastic process that is equal to one if party i has defaulted, and zero otherwise. Thedefault time of any financial contract between the two parties is defined as = 1 2,the minimum of 1 and 2. The corresponding default indicator function of the contractis denoted by Ht = 1{t}. The Doob-Meyer theorem implies the existence of the uniquedecomposition as Hi = Ai + Mi, where Ai is a predictable and right-continuous (it iscontinuous indeed, since we assume total inaccessibility of default time), increasing processwith Ai0 = 0, and M
i is a Q-martingale. In the following, we also assume the absolutecontinuity of Ai and the existence of progressively measurable non-negative process hi,
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usually called the hazard rate of counterparty i, such that
Ait =t0 h
is1{i>s}ds, t 0 . (2.1)
For simplicity we also assume that there is no simultaneous default with positive proba-bility and hence the hazard rate for Ht is given by ht = h
1t + h
2t on the set of { > t}.
We assume continuous collateralization by cash which works in the following way: ifthe party i ( {1, 2}) has negative mark-to-market, it has to post the cash collateral to thecounter party j (= i), where the coverage ratio of the exposure is denoted by it [0, 1].Partyj is then a collateral receiver and has to pay collateral rate cit on the posted amount ofcollateral, which is it (|mark-to-market|), to the party i. This is done continuously untilthe end of the contract. A common practice in the market is to set cit as the time-t valueof overnight (ON) rate of the collateral currency used by the party i. We emphasize that
it is crucially important to distinguish the ON rate ci from the theoretical risk-free rate ofthe same currency ri, where both of them are progressively measurable. The distinctionis necessarily for the unified treatment of different collaterals and for the consistency withcross currency basis spreads, or equivalently FX forwards in the market (See, Sec. 4.4 andRef. [8] for details.). Now, the remaining credit exposure of the party i to the party j is(1it)(|mark-to-market|). We denote the recovery rate of the party i, when it defaults attime t, for its uncollateralized exposure by the progressively measurable process Rit [0, 1].As for notations, we will use a bracket ( ) when we specify type of currency, such as
r(i)t and c
(i)t , the risk-free and the collateral rates of currency (i), in order to distinguish it
from that of counter party. We also denote a spot FX at time t by f(i,j)xt that is the price
of an unit amount of currency (j) in terms of currency (i). We assume all the technicalconditions for integrability are satisfied throughout this paper.
2.1.2 Pricing Formula
We consider the ex-dividend price at time t of a generic financial contract made betweenthe party 1 and 2, whose maturity is set as T (> t). We consider the valuation from theview point of party 1, and define the cumulative dividend Dt that is the total receipt fromparty 2 subtracted by the total payment from party 1. We denote the contract value asSt and define St = 0 for t. See Ref.[2] for the technical details about the regularityconditions which guarantee the existence and uniqueness of St. Under these conditions, itis given by
St = tEQ
]t,T]
1u 1{ >u}
dDu +
(y1u
1u1{Su t}. Here, yi = ri ci denotes a spread between the risk-free andcollateral rates of the currency used by party i, which represents the instantaneous returnfrom the collateral being posted, i.e. it earns ri but subtracted by ci as the payment to
the collateral payer. t = expt
0 rudu is a money market account for the currency on4
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which St is defined. Zi is the recovery payment from the view point of the party 1 at the
time of default of party i ( {1, 2}):
Z1(t, v) =(
1t + R1t (1 1t ))
v1{v
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2.2 Symmetric Collateralization
Let us define
yit = ityit (1 Rit)(1 it)hit . (2.7)
In the case of y1t = y2t = yt, we have (t, Vt) = yt that is independent from the contract
value Vt. Therefore, from Proposition 1, we have
Vt = EQ
]t,T]
exp
st
(ru yu)du
dDs
Ft
. (2.8)
It is clear that simple redefinition of discounting rate allows us to evaluate a contractvalue in a standard way. Now, let us consider some important examples of symmetric andperfect collateralization where (y1 = y2) and (1 = 2 = 1). One can easily confirm thatall the following results are consistent with those given in Refs. [6, 7, 8, 9].
Case 1: Situation where both parties use the same collateral currency (i), which is thesame as the payment currency. In this case, the pre-default value of the contract in termsof currency (i) is given by
V(i)
t = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exp
st
c(i)u du
dDs
Ft
, (2.9)
where Q(i) is the spot-martingale measure of currency (i).
Case 2: Situation where both parties use the same collateral currency (k), which isthe different from the payment currency (i). In this case, the pre-default value of thecontract in terms of currency (i) is given by
V(i)
t = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exp
st
(c(i)u + y
(i,k)u
)du
dDs
Ft
, (2.10)
where we have defined
y(i,k)u = y(i)u y
(k)u (2.11)
=
(r(i)u c
(i)u
)
(r(k)u c
(k)u
). (2.12)
Case 3: Situation where the payment currency is (i) and both parties optimally choosea currency from a common set of eligible collaterals denoted by C in each time they postcollateral. In this case,
V(i)
t = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exp
st
(c(i)u + max
kCy(i,k)u)
du
dDs
Ft
(2.13)
gives the pre-default value of the contract in terms of currency (i). Note that collateralpayer chooses currency (k) that maximizes the effective discounting rate in order to reducethe mark-to-market loss.
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Remark: Notice that we have recovered linearity of each payment on the pre-default valuefor all these cases. In fact, in the case of symmetric collateralization, we can value the
portfolio by adding the contribution from each trade/payment separately. This point canbe considered as a good advantage of symmetric collateralization for practical use, since itmakes agreement among financial firms easier as the transparent benchmark price in themarket.
2.3 Marginal Impact of Asymmetry
We now consider more generic cases. When y1t = y2t , we have non-linearity (called semi-
linear in particular) in effective discounting rate R(t, Vt) = rt (t, Vt). Although it ispossible to get solution by solving PDE in principle, it will soon become infeasible as theunderlying dimension increases. Even if we adopt a very simple dynamic model, usualreset advance pay arrear conventions easily make the issue very complicated to handle.
For practical and feasible analysis, we use Gateaux derivative that was introduced inDuffie & Huang [2] to study the effects of default-spread asymmetry. We can follow thesame procedure by appropriately redefining the variables. Since evaluation is straightfor-ward in a symmetric case, the expansion of the pre-default value around the symmetriclimit allows us simple analytic and/or numerical treatment. Firstly, let us define thespread process:
i,jt = yit y
jt . (2.14)
Then, the first-order effect on the pre-default value due to the non-zero spread appears asthe following Gateaux derivative (See, Ref. [4] for details.):
Vt(0; 2,1) = EQT
te
st (ruy2u)du max
(Vs(0), 0
)2,1s ds
Ft , (2.15)where Vt(0) is the pre-default value of contract at time t with the limit of
2,1 0 andgiven by
Vt(0) = EQ
]t,T]
exp
st
(ru y2u)du
dDs
Ft
. (2.16)
Then the original pre-default value is approximated as
Vt Vt(0) + Vt(0; 2,1) . (2.17)
2.3.1 Asymmetric Collateralization
We now consider two special cases under perfect collateralization 1 = 2 = 1 using theprevious result.Case 1: The situation where the party 2 can only use the single collateral currency (j) butparty 1 chooses the optimal currency from the eligible set denoted by C. The evaluationcurrency is (i). In this case, the Gateaux derivative is given by
Vt(
0; maxkC
y(j,k))
= EQ(i)
Tt
exp
st
(c(i)u + y
(i,j)u
)du
max(Vs(0), 0)max
kCy(j,k)s
Ft
,
(2.18)
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where
Vt(0) = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exps
t(c(i)u + y(i,j)u )du dDsFt , (2.19)
which is straightforward to calculate. This case is particularly interesting since the situa-tion can naturally arise if the sophistication of collateral management of one of the partiesis not enough to carry out optimal strategy, even when the relevant CSA is actually sym-metric. We will carry out numerical study for this example in Sec. 5.
Case 2: The case of unilateral collateralization, where the party 2 is default free anddo not post collateral. The party 1 needs to post collateral in currency (j) to fullycover the exposure, or 1 = 1. The evaluation currency is (i). We expand the pre-default value around the symmetric collateralization with currency (j). In this case,
R(t, Vt) = r(i)t y
(j)t 1{Vt
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Following the method given in Ref. [4], one obtains
Vt = EQ T
te
st (
ru
yu)
du
Vs(0)(1 1s )
[ys + (1 R
1s)h
1s
]1{Vs(0)
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trade is largely flattened by collateralization.
Let us consider several important examples:Case 1: Consider the situation where the both parties use collateral currency (i), whichis the same as the payment currency. We also assume common constant coverage ratio1 = 2 = , and also constant recovery rates. In this case, CCA and CVA are given by
CCA = (1 )EQ(i)
Tt
est
c(i)u duy(i)s Vs(0)ds
Ft
(3.7)
CVA = (1 R1)(1 )EQ(i)
Tt
est
c(i)i duh1s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
(1 R2)(1 )EQ(i)
Tt
est
c(i)u duh2s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
, (3.8)
where
Vt(0) = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exp
st
c(i)u du
dDs
Ft
(3.9)
is a value under perfect collateralization by domestic currency.
Case 2: Consider the situation where the both parties optimally choose collateral currency(k) from the eligible collateral set C. The payments are done by currency (i). We assumethe common constant coverage ration and constant recovery rates. In this case, CCAand CVA are given by
CCA = (1 )EQ(i) T
t e s
t
(c(i)u +maxkC y
(i,k)u )du
y(k)s Vs(0)ds
Ft (3.10)CVA = +(1 R1)(1 )EQ
(i)
Tt
est(c(i)i +maxkC y
(i,k)u )duh1s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
(1 R2)(1 )EQ(i)
Tt
est(c(i)u +maxkC y
(i,k)u )duh2s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
,
(3.11)
where
Vt(0) = EQ(i)
]t,T]
exp
st (
c(i)u + maxkC
y(i,k)u
)
dDs
Ft
. (3.12)
An interesting point is that the optimal choice of collateral currency may significantlychange the size of CVA relative to the single currency case due to the increase of effectivediscounting rates as discovered in Ref. [8].
Case 3: Let us consider another important situation, which is the unilateral collateraliza-tion with bilateral default risk. Suppose the situation where only the party 2 is required topost collateral due to its high credit risk relative to the party 1. We have 1 = 0, 2 1,and write y2t = yt. In this case we have
(t, Vt) = (1 R1t )h
1t 1{Vt
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Taking Gateaux derivative around the point of (t, Vt) = yt, we have
Vt = EQ T
t e s
t
(ruyu)du [ys + (1 R
1s)h
1s]
max(
Vs(0), 0)
dsFt
EQT
t
est(ruyu)du(1 2s )
[ys + (1 R
2s)h
2s
]max(
Vs(0), 0)
ds
Ft
. (3.14)
More specifically, if we assume the same collateral and payment currency (i), we have
Vt Vt(0) + CCA + CVA, (3.15)
where
Vt(0) = EQ(i)
]t,T] exps
t
c(i)u du dDsFt (3.16)and
CCA = EQ(i)
Tt
e2t
c(i)u duy(i)s
[max(
Vs(0), 0)
(1 2s )max(
Vs(0), 0)]
ds
Ft
(3.17)
CVA = EQ(i)
Tt
est
c(i)u du(1 R1s)h
1s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
EQ(i)
Tt
est
c(i)u du(1 R2s)(1
2s )h
2s max
(Vs(0), 0
)ds
Ft
(3.18)
If party 1 receives strong currency (that is the currency with high value of y(i)), suchas USD (See, Ref. [8]), and also imposes stringent collateral management 2 1 on thecounter party, it can enjoy significant funding benefit from CCA. The CVA terms are usualbilateral credit risk adjustment except that the discounting is now given by the collateralrate.
Case 4: Finally, let us consider the situation where there exist collateral thresholds. Athreshold is a level of exposure below which collateral will not be called, and hence itrepresents an amount of uncollateralized exposure. If the exposure is above the threshold,only the incremental exposure will be collateralized. Usually, the collateral thresholds areset according to the credit standing of each counter party. They are often asymmetric,
with lower-rated counter party having a lower threshold than the higher-rated counterparty. It may be adjusted according to the triggers linked to the credit rating duringthe contract. We assume that the threshold of counter party i is set by it > 0, and thatthe exceeding exposure is perfectly collateralized continuously.
In this case, Eq. (2.2) is modified in the following way:
St = tEQ
]t,T]
1u 1{ >u} {dDu + q(u, Su)Sudu}
+
]t,T]
1u 1{u} {Z1(u, Su)dH
1u + Z
2(u, Su)dH2u}
Ft
, (3.19)
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where
q(t, St) = y1
t
1 +
1tSt
1{St
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and
CCA = EQ(i) T
t
e st
c(i)u duy(i)
s
Vs(0)1{
1
sVs(0)
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In particular, if c(i) and y(i,j) are independent, we have
D(i,j)(t, T) = D(i)(t, T)e Tt
y(i,j)(t,s)ds , (4.3)
where
y(i,j)(t, s) = 1
Tln EQ
(i)
est
y(i,j)u du
Ft (4.4)denotes the forward y(i,j) spread.
4.2 Collateralized FX Forward
Because of the existence of collateral, FX forward transaction now becomes non-trivial.The precise understanding of collateralized FX forward is crucial to deal with genericcollateralized products.
The definition of currency-(k) collateralized FX forward contract for the currency pair(i, j) is as follows: At the time of trade inception t, both parties agree to exchange K unit of currency (i)with the one unit of currency (j) at the maturity T. Throughout the contract period, thecontinuous collateralization by currency (k) is performed, i.e. the party who has negativemark-to-market value need to post the equivalent amount of cash in currency (k) to thecounter party as collateral, and this adjustment is made continuously. FX forward rate
f(i,j)x (t, T; k) is defined as the value of K that makes the value of contract at the inception
time zero.
By using the results of Sec. 2.2, K needs to satisfy the following relation:
KEQ(i)
eTt
(c(i)s +y
(i,k)s
)ds
Ft
f(i,j)x (t)EQ(j)
eTt
(c(j)s +y
(j,k)s
)ds
Ft
= 0 (4.5)
and hence the FX forward is given by
f(i,j)x (t, T; k) = f(i,j)x (t)
EQ(j)
eTt
(c(j)s +y
(j,k)s
)ds
Ft
EQ(i)
eTt
(c(i)s +y
(i,k)s
)ds
Ft
(4.6)
= f(i,j)x (t) D(j,k)
(t, T)D(i,k)(t, T)
, (4.7)
which becomes a martingale under the (k)-collateralized forward measure. In particular,we have
EQ(i)
e
Tt
(c(i)s +y
(i,k)s
)dsf(i,j)x (T)
Ft
= D(i,k)(t, T)ET(i,k)
f(i,j)x (T, T; k)Ft
= D(i,k)(t, T)f(i,j)x (t, T; k) . (4.8)
Here, we have defined the (k)-collateralized (i) forward measure T(i,k), where D(i,k)(, T)
is used as the numeraire. ET(i,k)
[] denotes expectation under this measure.
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4.3 Overnight Index Swap
The overnight index swap (OIS) is a fixed-vs-floating swap which is the same as the usual
IRS except that the floating leg pays periodically, say Qtry, daily compounded ON rateinstead of Libors. Let us consider T0-start TN-maturing OIS of currency (j) with fixedrate SN, where T0 t. If the party 1 takes a receiver position, we have
dDs =N
n=1
Tn(s)
nSN + 1 exp
TnTn1
c(j)u du
Ft
, (4.9)
where is day-count fraction of the fixed leg, and T() denotes Dirac delta function.Using the results of Sec. 2.2, in the case of currency (k) collateralization, we have
V
(j)
t = EQ(j)
]T0,TN] exp
s
t(
c(j)
u + y(j,k)
u)
du
dDsFt (4.10)
=N
n=1
EQ(j)
e
Tnt
(c(j)u +y
(j,k)u
)du
nSN + 1 e
TnTn1
c(j)u duFt
. (4.11)
In particular, if OIS is collateralized by its domestic currency (j), we have
V(j)
t =N
n=1
nD(j)(t, Tn)SN
D(j)(t, T0) D
(j)(t, TN)
, (4.12)
and hence the par rate is given by
SN =D(j)(t, T0) D
(j)(t, TN)Nn=1 nD
(j)(t, Tn). (4.13)
4.4 Cross Currency Swap
Cross currency swap (CCS) is one of the most fundamental products in FX market. Espe-cially, for maturities longer than a few years, CCS is much more liquid than FX forwardcontract, which gives CCS a special role for model calibrations. The current market isdominated by USD crosses where 3m USD Libor flat is exchanged by 3m Libor of a dif-ferent currency with additional (negative in many cases) basis spread. The most popular
type of CCS is called MtMCCS (Mark-to-Market CCS) in which the notional of USD legis rest at the start of every calculation period of Libor, while the notional of the other legis kept constant throughout the contract period. For model calibration, MtMCCS shouldbe used as we have done in Ref. [8] considering its liquidity. However, in this paper, westudy a different type of CCS, which is actually tradable in the market, to make the linkbetween y and CCS much clearer.
We study Mark-to-Market cross currency overnight index swap (MtMCCOIS), whichis exactly the same as the usual MtMCCS except that it pays a compounded ON rate,instead of the Libor, of each currency periodically. Let us consider (i, j)-MtMCCOISwhere currency (i) intended to be USD and needs notional refreshments, and currency (j)
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is the one in which the basis spread is to be paid. Let us suppose the party 1 is the spreadreceiver and consider T0-start TN-maturing (i, j)-MtMCCOIS. For the (j)-leg, we have
dD(j)s = T0(s) + TN(s) +N
n=1
Tn(s)
eTnTn1
c(j)u du
1
+ nBN
, (4.14)
where BN is the basis spread of the contract. For (i)-leg, in terms of currency (i), we have
dD(i)s =N
n=1
Tn1(s)f
(i,j)x (Tn1) Tn(s)f
(i,j)x (Tn1)e
TnTn1
c(i)u du
. (4.15)
In total, in terms of currency (j), we have
dDs = dD
(j)
s + f
(j,i)
x (s)dD
(i)
s (4.16)
= dD(j)s +N
n=1
Tn1(s) Tn(s)
f(j,i)x (Tn)
f(j,i)x (Tn1)
eTnTn1
c(i)u du
(4.17)
=N
n=1
Tn(s)
eTnTn1
c(j)u du + nBN
f(j,i)x (Tn)
f(j,i)x (Tn1)
eTnTn1
c(i)u du
. (4.18)
If the collateralization is done by currency (k), then the value for the party 1 is givenby
Vt =
N
n=1 E
Q(j) e
Tnt
(c(j)u +y
(j,k)u )du
eTnTn1
c(j)u du
+ nBN
f(j,i)x (Tn)
f(j,i)x (Tn1) eTnTn1
c(i)u duFt ,
(4.19)where T0 t. In particular, let us consider the case where the swap is collateralized bycurrency (i) (or USD), which looks popular in the market.
Vt =N
n=1
nBND(j)(t, Tn)e
Tnt
y(j,i)(t,u)du
N
n=1
D(j)(t, Tn1)eTn1t y
(j,i)(t,u)du
1 e
TnTn1
y(j,i)(t,u)du
=N
n=1
nBND
(j,i)(t, Tn) D(j,i)(t, Tn1)
1 e
TnTn1 y
(j,i)(t,u)du
. (4.20)
Here, we have assumed the independence of c(j) and y(j,i). In fact, the assumption seemsreasonable according to the recent historical data studied in Ref. [8]. In this case, weobtain the par MtMCCOIS basis spread as
BN =
Nn=1 D
(j,i)(t, Tn1)
1 e
TnTn1
y(j,i)(t,u)du
Nn=1 nD
(j,i)(t, Tn). (4.21)
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Thus, it is easy to see that
BN
1
TN T0TN
T0y(j,i)
(t, u)du, (4.22)
which gives us the relation between the relative difference of collateral cost y(j,i) and theobserved cross currency basis. Therefore, the cost of collateral y is directly linked to thedynamics of CCS markets.
Remark: Origin of y(i,j) in Pricing FormulaHere, let us comment about the origin of y spread in our pricing formula in Proposition 1.Consider the following hypothetical but plausible situation to get a clear image:
(1): An interest rate swap market where the participants are discounting future cash flows
by domestic OIS rate, regardless of the collateral currency, and assume there is no pricedispute among them. (2): Party 1 enters two opposite trades with party 2 and 3, and theyare agree to have CSA which forces party 2 and 3 always post a domestic currency U ascollateral, but party 1 is allowed to use a foreign currency E as well as U. (3): Thereis very liquid CCOIS market which allows firms to enter arbitrary length of swap. Thespread y is negative for CCOIS between U and E, where U is a base currency (such asUSD in the above explanation).
In this example, the party 1 can definitely make money. Suppose, at a certain point, theparty 1 receives N unit amount of U from the party 2 as collateral. Party 1 enters aCCOIS as spread payer, exchanging N unit amount of U and the corresponding amount
of E, by which it can finance the foreign currency E by the rate of (Es OIS +y). Party1 also receives Us OIS rate from the CCOIS counter party, which is going to be paidas the collateral margin to the party 2. Party 1 also posts E to the party 3 since it hasopposite position, it receives Es OIS rate as the collateral margin from the party 3. Asa result, the party 1 earns y (> 0) on the notional amount of collateral. It can rolloverthe CCOIS, or unwind it if ys sign flips.
Of course, in the real world, CCS can only be traded with certain terms which makesthe issue not so simple. However, considering significant size of CCS spread (a several tensof bps) it still seems possible to arrange appropriate CCS contracts to achieve cheaperfunding. For a very short term, it may be easier to use FX forward contracts for the samepurpose. In order to prohibit this type of arbitrage, party 1 should pay extra premium
to make advantageous CSA contracts. This is exactly the reason why our pricing formulacontains the spread y.
4.5 Calibration to swap markets
For the details of calibration procedures, the numerical results and recent historical behav-ior of underlyings are available in Refs. [6, 8]. The procedures can be briefly summarizedas follows: (1) Calibrate the forward collateral rate c(i)(0, t) for each currency using OISmarket. (2) Calibrate the forward Libor curves by using the result of (1), IRS and tenorswap markets. (3) Calibrate the forward y(i,j)(0, t) spread for each relevant currency pairby using the results of (1),(2) and CCS markets.
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Although we can directly obtains the set ofy(i,j) from CCS, we cannot uniquely deter-mine each y(i), which is necessary for the evaluation of Gateaux derivative when we deal
with unilateral collateralization and CCA (collateral cost adjustment). For these cases,we need to make an assumption on the risk-free rate for one and only one currency. Forexample, if we assume that ON rate and the risk-free rate of currency (j) are the same,and hence y(j) = 0, then the forward curve ofyUSD is fixed by yUSD(0, t) = y(j,USD)(0, t).Then using the result of yUSD, we obtains {y(k)} for all the other currencies by makinguse of{y(k,USD)} obtained from CCS markets. More ideally, each financial firm may carryout some analysis on the risk-free profit rate of cash pool or more advanced econometricanalysis on the risk-free rate, such as those given in Feldhutter & Lando (2008) [5].
5 Numerical Studies for Asymmetric Collateralization
In this section, we study the effects of asymmetric collateralization on the two fundamentalproducts, MtMCCOIS and OIS, using Gateaux derivative. For both cases, we use thefollowing dynamics in Monte Carlo simulation:
dc(j)t =
(j)(t) (j)c
(j)t
dt + (j)c dW
1t (5.1)
dc(i)t =
(i)(t) 2,4
(i)c
(j,i)x
(i)c(i)t
dt + (i)c dW
2t (5.2)
dy(j,i)t =
(j,i)(t) (j,i)y
(j,i)t
dt + (j,i)y dW
3t (5.3)
d ln f(j,i)x t =
c(j)t c
(i)t + y
(j,i)t
1
2((j,i)x )
2
dt + (j,i)x dW
4t (5.4)
where {Wi, i = 1 4} are Brownian motions under the spot martingale measure of cur-rency (j). Every (t) is a deterministic function of time, and is adjusted in such a way thatwe can recover the initial term structures of the relevant variable. We assume every and are constants. We allow general correlation structure (d[Wi, Wj ]t = i,j dt) except that3,j = 0 for all j = 3. The above dynamics is chosen just for simplicity and demonstrativepurpose, and generic HJM framework can also be applied to the evaluation of Gateauxderivative. For details of more general dynamics in HJM framework, see Refs. [7, 9]. Inthe following, we use the term structure for the (i, j) pair taken from the typical data of(USD, JPY) in early 2010 for presentation. In Appendix E, we have provided the termstructures and other parameters used in calculation.
The discussed form of asymmetry is particularly interesting, since even if the relevant
CSA is actually symmetric, the asymmetry arises effectively if there is difference in thelevel of sophistication of collateral management. From the following two examples, onecan see that the efficient collateral management is practically relevant and the firms whoare incapable of doing so will have to pay quite expensive cost to the counter party, andvice versa.
5.1 Asymmetric Collateralization for MtMCCOIS
We now implement Gateaux derivative using Monte Carlo simulation based on the modelwe have just explained. To see the reliability of Gateaux derivative, we have compared itwith a numerical result directly obtained from PDE using a simplified setup in Appendix D.
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Firstly, we consider MtMCCOIS explained in Sec. 4.4. We consider a spot-start, TN-maturing (i, j)-MtMCCOIS, where the leg of currency (i) (intended to be USD) needs
notional refreshments. Let us assume perfect but asymmetric collateralization as follows:(1) Party 1 is the basis spread payer and can use either the currency (i) or (j) as collateral.(2) Party 2 is the basis spread receiver and can only use the currency ( i) as collateral.
In this case, the price of the contract at time 0 from the view point of party 1 is givenby
V0 = EQ(j)
]0,TN]
exp
s0
R(u, Vu)du
dDs
(5.5)
whereR(t, Vt) = c
(j)t + y
(j,i)t + max
(y
(j,i)t , 0
)1{Vt t, n = 1 N}. Note that T(t)1 < t since we are considering
spot-start swap (or T0 = 0). Assuming the independence of y(j,i) and other variables, we
can simplify Vt(0) and obtains
Vt(0) = N
n=(t)
D(j)(t, Tn)Y(j,i)(t, Tn)nB +
Nn=(t)+1
D(j)(t, Tn1)
Y(j,i)(t, Tn1) Y(j,i)(t, Tn)
Y(j,i)(t, T(t))e
tT(t)1
c(j)s ds
+f(j,i)x (t)
f(j,i)x (T(t)1)
e
tT(t)1
c(i)s ds
, (5.11)
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where we have defined Y(j,i)(t, T) = EQ(j)
eTt
y(j,i)s ds
Ft
.
In Figs. 1 and 2, we have shown the numerical result of Gateaux derivative, which is
the price difference from the symmetric limit, for 10y and 20y MtMCCOIS, respectively.The spread B was chosen in such way that the value in symmetric limit, V0(0), becomeszero. In both cases, the horizontal axis is the annualized volatility of y(j,i), and the verticalone is the price difference in terms of bps of notional of currency (j). When the party 1is the spread receiver, we have used the right axis. The results are rather insensitive tothe FX volatility due to the notional refreshments of currency-(i) leg. From the historicalanalysis performed in Ref. [8], we know that annualized volatility of y(j,i) tends to be50bps or so in calm market, but it can be (100 200)bps or more in volatile marketfor major currency pairs, such as (EUR,USD) and (USD, JPY). Therefore, the impact ofasymmetric collateralization in this example can be practically very significant when party1 is the spread payer. When the party 1 is the spread receiver, one sees that the impact
of asymmetry is very small, only a few bps of notional. This can be easily understoodin the following way: When the party 1 has negative mark-to-market and has the optionto change the collateral currency, y(j,i) tends to be large and hence the optimal currencyremains the same currency (i).
Finally, let us briefly mention about the standard MtMCCS with Libor payments. Asdiscussed in Ref. [8], the contribution from Libor-OIS spread to CCS is not significant rel-ative to that ofy(j,i). Therefore, the numerical significance of asymmetric collateralizationis expected to be quite similar in the standard case, too.
5.2 Asymmetric Collateralization for OIS
Now we study the impact of asymmetric collateralization on OIS. We consider OIS ofcurrency (j), and assume the following asymmetry in collateralization:(1) Party 1 is fixed receiver and can use either the currency ( i) or (j) as collateral.(2) Party 2 is fixed payer can only use the currency (j) (domestic currency) as collateral.
For spot-start, TN-maturing OIS, we have
V0 = EQ(j)
]0,TN]
es0 R(u,Vu)dudDs
, (5.12)
where
dDs =
Nn=1
Tn(s)
nS
eTnTn
1
c(j)u du
1
, (5.13)
andR(t, Vt) = c
(j)t + max(y
(j,i)t , 0)1{Vt
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and
Vt(0) = EQ(j) N
n=(t)
eTnt c
(j)u du
nS
eTnTn1 c
(j)
u du 1Ft
=N
n=(t)
D(j)(t, Tn)nS e
tT(t)1
c(j)u du
+ D(j)(t, TN) . (5.17)
Here, S is the fixed OIS rate.In Figs. 3, 4, and 5, we have shown the numerical results Gateaux derivative for 10y
and 20y OIS. In the first two figures, we have fixed (j)c = 1% and changed
(j,i)y to
see the sensitivity against CCS. In the last figure, we have fixed the y(j,i) volatility as
(j,i)y = 0.75% and changed the volatility of collateral rate c(j). Since the term structure
of OIS rate is upward sloping, the mark-to-market value of a receiver tends to be negativein the long end of the contract, which makes the optionality of collateral currency choicelarger and hence bigger price difference relative to the payer case.
6 Some implications for CVA
Although we leave detailed study of CVA under collateralization for a separate paper, letus make several qualitative observations here. Firstly, if there is no dependency between yand other variables, such as hazard rate, effects of collateralization would mainly appearthrough the modification of discounting factor. As we have studied in Ref. [8], this modi-fication due to the choice of collateral currency or optimal collateral strategy can be evenseveral tens of percentage points. This itself can modify the resultant CVA meaningfully.In addition, as we have seen, there appear new terms called CCA which adjust the costof collateral from the perfect collateralization case. Dependent on the details of contractsand correlation among the underlying variables, they may dominate the CVA. We canalso expect some kind of convexity correction due to the possible dependency between thecollateral coverage ratio and exposure to the counter party. When we deal with volatileportfolio, this correction may not be negligible. The clarification of these points is one ofour ongoing research topics and may appear in future publication.
7 General Implications of Asymmetric Collateralization
From the results of section 5, we have seen the practical significance of asymmetric collat-eralization. It is now clear that sophisticated financial firms may obtain significant fundingbenefit from the less-sophisticated counter parties by carrying out clever collateral strate-gies.
Before concluding the paper, let us explain two generic implications of collateralizationone for netting and the other for resolution of information, which is closely related to theobservation just explained. Although derivation itself can be done in exactly the sameway as Ref. [2] after the reinterpretation of several variables, we get new insights forcollateralization that can be important for the appropriate design and regulations for thefinancial market.
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7.1 An implication for Netting
Proposition 2 5 Assume perfect collateralization. Suppose that, for each party i, yitis bounded and does not depend on the contract value directly. Let Va, Vb, and Vabbe, respectively, the value processes (from the view point of party 1) of contracts withcumulative dividend processes Da, Db, and Da + Db. If y1 y2, then Vab Va + Vb,and if y1 y2, then Vab Va + Vb.
Proof is available in Appendix B. The interpretation of the proposition is very clear:The party who has higher funding cost y due to asymmetric CSA or lack of sophisticationin collateral management prefer to have netting agreements to decrease funding cost.On the other hand, an advanced financial firm who has capability to carry out optimalcollateral strategy to achieve lowest possible value of y tries to avoid netting to exploitfunding benefit. For example, an advanced firm may prefer to enter an opposite trade
with a different counterparty rather than to unwind the original trade. For standardizedproducts traded through CCPs, such a firm may prefer to use several clearing housescleverly to avoid netting.
The above finding seems slightly worrisome for the healthy development of CCPs. Ad-vanced financial firms that have sophisticated financial technology and operational systemare usually primary members of CCPs, and some of them are trying to setup their ownclearing service facility. If those firms try to exploit funding benefit, they avoid concentra-tion of their contracts to major CCPs and may create very disperse interconnected tradenetworks and may reduce overall netting opportunity in the market. Although remain-ing credit exposure is very small as long as collateral is successfully being managed, thedispersed use of CCPs may worsen the systemic risk once it fails. In the work of Duffie
& Huang [2], the corresponding proposition is derived in the context of bilateral CVA.We emphasize that one important practical difference is the strength of incentives thatprovides to financial firms. Although it is somewhat obscure how to realize profit/lossreflected in CVA, it is rather straight forward in the case of collateralization by makinguse of CCS market as we have explained in the remarks of Sec. 4.4.
7.2 An implication for Resolution of Information
We once again follow the setup given in Ref [2]. We assume the existence of two markets:One is market F, which has filtration F, that is the one we have been studying. The otherone is market G with filtration G = {Gt : t [0, T]}. The market G is identical to the
market F except that it has earlier resolution of uncertainty, or in other words, Ft Gtfor all t [0, T] while F0 = G0. The spot marting measure Q is assumed to apply to theboth markets.
Proposition 3 6 Assume perfect collateralization. Suppose that, for each party i, yi isbounded and does not depend on the contract value directly. Suppose that r, y1 and y2 areadapted to both the filtrations F andG. The contract has cumulative dividend process D,
5We assume perfect collateralization just for clearer interpretation. The results will not change quali-tatively as long as iyit > (1R
it)(1
it)h
it.
6We assume perfect collateralization just for clearer interpretation. The results will not change quali-tatively as long as iyit > (1R
i)(1 i)hit.
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which is a semimartingale of integrable variation with respect to filtrations F andG. LetVF and VG denote, respectively, the values of the contract in markets F and G from the
view point of party 1. If y
1
y2
, then V
F
0 VG
0 , and if y
1
y2
, then V
F
0 VG
0 .Proof is available in Appendix C. The proposition implies that the party who has
higher effective funding cost y either from the lack of sophisticated collateral managementtechnique or from asymmetric CSA would like to delay the information resolution to avoidtimely margin call from the counterparty. The opposite is true for advanced financial firmswhich are likely to have advantageous CSA and sophisticated system. The incentivesto obtain funding benefit will urge these firms to provide mark-to-market informationof contracts to counter parties in timely manner, and seek early resolution of valuationdispute to achieve significant funding benefit. Considering the privileged status of thesefirms, the latter effects will probably be dominant in the market.
8 Conclusions
This article develops the methodology to deal with asymmetric and imperfect collateral-ization as well as remaining counter party credit risk. It was shown that all of the issues areable to be handled in an unified way by making use of Gateaux derivative. We have shownthat the resultant formula contains CCA that represents adjustment of collateral cost dueto the deviation from the perfect collateralization, and the terms corresponding CVA,which now contain the possible dependency between the collateral coverage ratio and thecounter party exposure. Even if we assume that the collateral coverage ratio and recoveryrate are constant, the change of effective discounting factor induced by collateralization
may significantly change the value of CVA.Direct link of CCS spread and collateral cost allows us to study the numerical signif-icance of asymmetric collateralization. From the numerical analysis using CCS and OIS,the relevance of sophisticated collateral management is now clear. If a financial firm isincapable of choosing the cheapest collateral currency, it has to pay very expensive fundingcost to the counter party.
The article also discussed some generic implications of collateralization. In particular,it was shown that the sophisticated financial firms are likely to avoid netting of tradesif they try to exploit funding benefit as much as possible, which may reduce the overallnetting opportunity and potentially increase the systemic risk in the financial market.
A Proof of Proposition 1
Firstly, we consider the SDE for St. Let us define Lt = 1 Ht. One can show that
1t St +
]0,t]
1u Lu(
dDu + q(u, Su)Sudu)
+
]0,t]
1u Lu(
Z1(u, Su)dH1u + Z
2(u, Su)dH2u
)
= EQ
]0,T]
1u 1{ >u}
dDu +
(y1u
1u1{Su
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whereq(t, v) = y1t
1t 1{vt}Vt) = d(LtVt)
= LtdVt VtdHt VH
= LtdDt + Lt(
rt (t, Vt))
Vtdt LtVthtdt VH
+Lt(
dnt Vt(dM1t + dM
2t ))
= LtdDt + Lt(
rt (t, Vt) ht)
Vtdt VH + dNt, (A.11)
where {Nt}t0 is a Q-martingale such that
dNt = Lt(
dnt Vt(dM1t + dM
2t ))
. (A.12)
Therefore, by comparing Eqs. (A.7) and (A.11) and also the fact that ST = 1{ >T}VT = 0,we cannot distinguish 1{ >t}Vt from St if there is no jump at the time of default V = 0.
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B Proof of Proposition 2
Consider the case of y1 y2. From Eq. (2.5), one can show that the pre-default value Vcan also be written in the following recursive form:
Vt = EQ
]t,T]
(rs (s, Vs)
)Vsds +
]t,T]
dDs
Ft
. (B.1)
Let us define the following variables:
Vt = et0 (rsy
1s)dsVt (B.2)
Dt =
]0,t]
es0 (ruy
1u)dudDs . (B.3)
Note that
rt (t, Vt) = (rt y1t ) + (y
1t y
2t )1{Vt0}
= (rt y1t ) +
1,2t 1{Vt0} , (B.4)
where we have defined i,j = yi yj . Using new variables, Eq. (B.1) can be rewritten as
Vt = EQ
]t,T]
1,2s 1{Vs0}Vsds +
]t,T]
dDs
Ft
. (B.5)
And hence we have,
Vabt Va
t Vb
t = EQ
]t,T]
1,2s
max(
Vabs , 0)
max(
Vas , 0)
max(
Vbs , 0)
ds
Ft
.
(B.6)Let us denote the upper bound of 1,2 as , and also define Y = Vab Va Vb and
Gs = 1,2s
max(
Vabs , 0)
max(
Vas , 0)
max(
Vbs , 0)
. Then, we have YT = 0 and
Y = EQ
]t,T]
Gsds
Ft
. (B.7)
Gs = 1,2s
max(
Vabs , 0)
max(
Vas , 0)
max(
Vbs , 0)
1,2s
max(Vabs , 0) max(V
as + V
bs , 0)
1,2s max
Vabs Va
s Vb
s , 0
|Ys| . (B.8)
Applying the consequence of the Stochastic Gronwall-Bellman Inequality in Lemma B2 ofRef. [3] to Y and G, we can conclude Yt 0 for all t [0, T], and hence V
ab Va + Vb.
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C Proof of Proposition 3
Consider the case of y1 y2. Let us define
VFt = et0 (rsy
1s)dsVFt (C.1)
VGt = et0 (rsy
1s)dsVGt , (C.2)
as well as
Dt =
]0,t]
es0 (ruy
1u)dudDs (C.3)
as previous section. Then, we have
VGt = EQ
]t,T]
1,2s max(VG
s , 0)ds + ]t,T]
dDsGt (C.4)VFt = E
Q
]t,T]
1,2s max(VF
s , 0)ds +
]t,T]
dDs
Ft
. (C.5)
Now, let us define
Ut = EQ
VGt
Ft . (C.6)Then, using Jensens inequality, we have
Ut EQ
]t,T]
1,2s max(Us, 0)ds + ]t,T] dDs
Ft
. (C.7)
Therefore, we obtain
VFt Ut EQ
]t,T]
1,2s
max(VFs , 0) max(Us, 0)
ds
Ft
(C.8)
EQ
]t,T]
1,2sVFs Usds
Ft
. (C.9)
Using the stochastic Gronwall-Bellman Inequality as before, one can conclude that VFt Ut for all t [0, T], and in particular, V
F0 V
G0 .
D Comparison of Gateaux Derivative with PDE
In order to get clear image for the reliability of Gateaux derivative, we compare it with thenumerical result directly obtained from PDE. We consider a simplified setup where MtM-CCOIS exchanges the coupons continuously, and the only stochastic variable is a spready. Consider continuous payment (i, j)-MtMCCOIS where the leg of currency (i) needsnotional refreshments. We assume following situation as the asymmetric collateralization:(1) Party 1 is the basis spread payer and can use either the currency (i) or (j) as collateral.
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(2) Party 2 is the basis spread receiver and can only use the currency ( i) as collateral.
In this case, one can see that the value of t-start T-maturing contract from the viewpoint of party 1 is given by (See, Eq. (4.19).)
Vt = EQ(j)T
t
exp
st
R(u, Vu)du
y(j,i)s B
ds
Ft
, (D.1)
whereR(t, Vt) = c
(j)(t) + y(j,i)t + max
y
(j,i)t , 0
1{Vt 0 for all t. Thus wehave R(s, V(s, y)) = c(j)(s) + y(j,i)(s) for all s t, if y = M at time t. Thus, on the upperboundary, the value of the contract becomes
V(t, M) = EQ(j)
Tt
est
(c(j)u +y
(j,i)u
)du
y(j,i)s B y(j,i)t = M
= T
t BD(j)(t, s)Y(j,i)(t, s) D(j)(t, s)
sY(j,i)(t, s) ds . (D.7)
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Now let us compare the numerical result between Gateaux derivative and PDE. In thecase of Gateaux derivative, the contract value is approximated as
Vt Vt(0) + Vt
0; max(y(j,i), 0)
, (D.8)
where
Vt(0) = EQ(j)T
t
est(c(j)u +y
(j,i)u )du
y(j,i)s B
ds
Ft
, (D.9)
and
Vt
0; max(y(j,i), 0)
= EQ
(j)
Tt
est(c(j)u +y
(j,i)u )du max
(Vs(0), 0
)max(
y(j,i)s , 0)
ds
Ft
. (D.10)
Vt(0) is the value of contract under symmetric collateralization where both parties post
currency (i) as collateral, and Vt is a deviation from it.In Fig. 6, we plot the price difference of continuous 10y-MtMCCOIS from symmetric
limit obtained by PDE and Gateaux derivative with various volatility of y(j,i). Termstructures ofy(j,i) and other curves are given in Appendix E. Here, the spread B is chosenin such way that the swap price is zero in the case where both parties can only usecurrency (i) as collateral, or B is a market par spread. The price difference is Vt Vt(0)and expressed as basis point of notional. From our analysis using the recent historicaldata in Ref. [8], we know that the annualized volatility of y is around 50 bps for calmmarket but it can be more than (100 200) bps when CCS market is volatile (We haveused EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs.). One observes that Gateaux derivative providesreasonable approximation for wide range of volatility. If the party 1 is a spread receiver,
both of the methods give very small price difference, less than 1bp of notional.
E Data used in Numerical Studies
The parameter we have used in simulation are
(j) = (i) = 1.5% (E.1)
(j)c = (i)c = 1% (E.2)
(j,i)x = 12% . (E.3)
All of them are defined in annualized term. The volatility of y(j,i) is specified in the main
text in each numerical analysis.Term structures and correlation used in simulation are given in Fig. 7. There we have
defined
R(k)OIS(T) =
1
Tln EQ
(k)
eT0 c
(k)s ds
Ry(j,i)(T) = 1
Tln EQ
(j)
eT0 y
(j,i)s ds
.
The curve data is based on the calibration result of typical JPY and USD market dataof early 2010. In Monte Carlo simulation, in order to reduce simulation error, we haveadjusted drift terms (t) to achieve exact match to the relevant forwards in each time step.
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Figure 1: Price difference from symmetric limit for 10y MtMCCOIS
Figure 2: Price difference from symmetric limit for 20y MtMCCOIS
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Figure 3: Price difference from symmetric limit for 10y OIS
Figure 4: Price difference from symmetric limit for 20y OIS
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Figure 5: Price difference from symmetric limit for 20y OIS for the change of (j)c
Figure 6: Price difference from symmetric limit for 10y continuous MtMCCOIS
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Figure 7: Term structures and correlation used for simulation
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References
[1] Brigo, D. , Morini, M., 2010, Dangers of Bilateral Counterparty Risk: the funda-mental impact of closeout conventions, available at arXiv.
[2] Duffie, D., Huang, M., 1996, Swap Rates and Credit Quality, Journal of Finance,Vol. 51, No. 3, 921.
[3] Durrie, D., Epstein, L.G. (appendix with Skiadas, C.), 1992, Stochastic DifferentialUtility, Econometrica 60: 353-394.
[4] Duffie, D., Skiadas, C., 1994, Continuous-time security pricing: A utility gradientapproach, Journal of Mathematical Economics 23: 107-131.
[5] Feldhutter, P., Lando, D., 2008, Decomposing swap spreads,Journal of Financial
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[6] Fujii, M., Shimada, Y., Takahashi, A., 2009, A note on construction of multiple swapcurves with and without collateral, CARF Working Paper Series F-154, available athttp://ssrn.com/abstract=1440633.
[7] Fujii, M., Shimada, Y., Takahashi, A., 2009, A Market Model of Interest Rates withDynamic Basis Spreads in the presence of Collateral and Multiple Currencies, CARFWorking Paper Series F-196, available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1520618.
[8] Fujii, M., Takahashi, A., 2010, Choice of Collateral Currency, forthcoming in RiskMagazine.
[9] Fujii, M., Takahashi, A., 2010, Modeling of Interest Rate Term Structures underCollateralization and its Implications. Forthcoming in Proceedings of KIER-TMUInternational Workshop on Financial Engineering, 2010.
[10] ISDA Margin Survey 2010,http://www.isda.org/c and a/pdf/ISDA-Margin-Survey-2010.pdf Market Review ofOTC Derivative Bilateral Collateralization Practices,http://www.isda.org/c and a/pdf/Collateral-Market-Review.pdf
ISDA Margin Survey 2009,http://www.isda.org/c and a/pdf/ISDA-Margin-Survey-2009.pdf
[11] Johannes, M. and Sundaresan, S., 2007, The Impact of Collateralization on SwapRates, Journal of Finance 62, 383410.
[12] Piterbarg, V. , 2010, Funding beyond discounting : collateral agreements and deriva-tives pricing Risk Magazine.
[13] Assefa, S., Bielecki, T., Crepey, S., Jeanblanc, M., 2009, CVA computation forcounterparty risk assessment in credit portfolios.
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