riding the wave to a comeback. cases in congressional campaigns, second edition: riding the wave...

Riding the Wave to a Comeback

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

Riding the Wave to a Comeback

The 2nd District of New Hampshire

The Candidates The Campaign The Results

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The 2nd District of New Hampshire

Race/Ethnicity 94.8% White 0.8% Black 2.0% Asian 2.6% Hispanic

Occupation 37.0% Blue Collar

63.0% White Collar

Median Income $61.5k in state $51.4k in U.S.

Partisanship D +3, PVI

’08 Presidential Vote

Obama, +13%

Figure 7.1 Party Identification in New Hampshire’s 2nd District, 1999–2010

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Republican: Charlie Bass

Occupation Politician

Political Experience

U.S. House of Representatives, 1995-2007

New Hampshire State Senate, 1988-1992

Figure 7.2 Charlie Bass Favorability Ratings, 2001–10

Table 7.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Charlie Bass, 1995–2006

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Democrat: Ann McLane Kuster

Occupation

Attorney, Lobbyist

Political Experience

None

Table 7.2 Campaign Finance Data for New Hampshire’s 2nd District, 2002–10

Table 7.3 Receipts and Disbursements by Reporting Period, 2009–10

Figure 7.3 Bass vs. Kuster Polling Results, 2010

Figure 7.4 Voter Turnout of Core Partisans in the Electorate, 2000–10

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “New Approach”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “Kuster’s Kitchen”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “The Change We Need Now in Washington”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “Had Enough”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Revere America’s “Defeat Ann McLane Kuster”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: DCCC’s “Sorry Charlie, Once Is More than Enough ”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: NRCC’s “Isn’t One Nancy Pelosi Enough?”

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The Results

Series10

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

108,610 105,060

Charlie Bass Ann McLane Kuster