brent loken

Opportunities and challenges in feeding 9 billion people a healthy and sustainable diet

BRENT LOKENSCIENCE LIAISON OFFICER

SUSTAINABILIT

FOO HEALT

BUSINESS

SCIENCE POLITICS

HOW TO FEED 9 BILLION PEOPLE A

HEALTHY AND SUSTAINABLE DIETWITHIN PLANETARY

BOUNDARIES

THE PROBLEM

Planetary Boundaries A safe operating space for humanity

Steffen et al Science 16 January 2015

Unprecedented scale and pace of global change

Paris

BAU2080-2100

2280-2300

Will Steffen et al., submitted AWG 2016

Tipping out of the Holocene…

So what does food have to do with this?

25% GHG EMISSIONS COMES

FROM AGRICULTURE

15

Tilman & Clark 2014

40% GLOBAL LAND SURFACE USED FOR FOOD

80% GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY

FOUND IN FORESTS

90% FISH STOCKS MAY BE

OVERFISHED

Marine fish capture and trajectory

70% GHG EMISSIONS FROM AGRICULTURE BY 2050

60% GLOBAL DEATHS FROM NON COMMUNICABLE DISEASES

(NCDS)

1/3 FOOD IS WASTED

ANIMAL FATS

BEFF PORK

PALM OIL

REFINE GRAINS & SUGAR

MAIZE

WHEATRICE

POULTRY

EGGS & DAIRY

FRUITS, LEGUMES & VEGETAB-

LES

OLIVE OIL

NUTS & SEEDS

AQUA- CULTURE

&CAPTURE

SOYBE-AN

MORE SUSTAINABLE

MORE HEALTHY

LESS SUSTAINABLE

LESS HEALTHY

WHOLE GRAINS

HEALTHY FOOD CAN ALSO BE SUSTAINABLE

27

Tilman & Clark 2014

28

100% of Global needRed Meat

+468%

Nuts and Seeds (-68%)Fish

+48%

Fruit (-44%)

Whole Grains +54%

Vegetables (-11%)

Milk (-49%)

Adapted from Murray 2014

Health, climate change and diets Springmann, M., Charles, H., Godfray, J., Rayner, M., & Scarborough, P. (2016). Analysis and valuation of the health and climate change co-

benefits of dietary change. PNAS , 113 (15).

Reduced meat consumption could reduce global mortality by 6–10% and food-related greenhouse gas emissions by 29–70% by 2050

THE SOLUTION

Food connects all the SDGs together

This is the biggest opportunity for humanity – It is also the biggest puzzle… How do we achieve it?

TEEBAgFood, 2015

36TEEBAgFood, 2015

FOUNDATION

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

FOUNDATION

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

Metrics for healthy and sustainable diets

Multifunctional landscapes and seascape

Consumer behavior

FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

EAT Stockholm Food Forum

General Assembly of the United Nations

EATx : Arendalsuka, Abu Dhabi

URBAN

BUSINESS

KNOWLEDGE

CONSUMER ADVOCACY

FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

C40Nordic cities initiative

Action 2020 Food - WBCSD

Lancet commissionDatabase and reportChatham house commission

Eat, Move, SleepChefs NetworkMatagentene

Thank you www.eatforum.org

“The wonderful thing about food is you get three votes a day. Every one of them has the potential to change the world.”

Michael Pollan

Vote with Your Fork