brent loken
TRANSCRIPT
Opportunities and challenges in feeding 9 billion people a healthy and sustainable diet
BRENT LOKENSCIENCE LIAISON OFFICER
SUSTAINABILIT
FOO HEALT
BUSINESS
SCIENCE POLITICS
HOW TO FEED 9 BILLION PEOPLE A
HEALTHY AND SUSTAINABLE DIETWITHIN PLANETARY
BOUNDARIES
THE PROBLEM
Planetary Boundaries A safe operating space for humanity
Steffen et al Science 16 January 2015
Unprecedented scale and pace of global change
Paris
BAU2080-2100
2280-2300
Will Steffen et al., submitted AWG 2016
Tipping out of the Holocene…
So what does food have to do with this?
25% GHG EMISSIONS COMES
FROM AGRICULTURE
15
Tilman & Clark 2014
40% GLOBAL LAND SURFACE USED FOR FOOD
80% GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY
FOUND IN FORESTS
90% FISH STOCKS MAY BE
OVERFISHED
Marine fish capture and trajectory
70% GHG EMISSIONS FROM AGRICULTURE BY 2050
60% GLOBAL DEATHS FROM NON COMMUNICABLE DISEASES
(NCDS)
1/3 FOOD IS WASTED
ANIMAL FATS
BEFF PORK
PALM OIL
REFINE GRAINS & SUGAR
MAIZE
WHEATRICE
POULTRY
EGGS & DAIRY
FRUITS, LEGUMES & VEGETAB-
LES
OLIVE OIL
NUTS & SEEDS
AQUA- CULTURE
&CAPTURE
SOYBE-AN
MORE SUSTAINABLE
MORE HEALTHY
LESS SUSTAINABLE
LESS HEALTHY
WHOLE GRAINS
HEALTHY FOOD CAN ALSO BE SUSTAINABLE
27
Tilman & Clark 2014
28
100% of Global needRed Meat
+468%
Nuts and Seeds (-68%)Fish
+48%
Fruit (-44%)
Whole Grains +54%
Vegetables (-11%)
Milk (-49%)
Adapted from Murray 2014
Health, climate change and diets Springmann, M., Charles, H., Godfray, J., Rayner, M., & Scarborough, P. (2016). Analysis and valuation of the health and climate change co-
benefits of dietary change. PNAS , 113 (15).
Reduced meat consumption could reduce global mortality by 6–10% and food-related greenhouse gas emissions by 29–70% by 2050
THE SOLUTION
Food connects all the SDGs together
This is the biggest opportunity for humanity – It is also the biggest puzzle… How do we achieve it?
TEEBAgFood, 2015
36TEEBAgFood, 2015
FOUNDATION
RESEARCH
EVENTS
PROGRAMS
FOUNDATION
RESEARCH
EVENTS
PROGRAMS
FOUNDATIO
RESEARCH
EVENTS
PROGRAMS
Metrics for healthy and sustainable diets
Multifunctional landscapes and seascape
Consumer behavior
FOUNDATIO
RESEARCH
EVENTS
PROGRAMS
EAT Stockholm Food Forum
General Assembly of the United Nations
EATx : Arendalsuka, Abu Dhabi
URBAN
BUSINESS
KNOWLEDGE
CONSUMER ADVOCACY
FOUNDATIO
RESEARCH
EVENTS
PROGRAMS
C40Nordic cities initiative
Action 2020 Food - WBCSD
Lancet commissionDatabase and reportChatham house commission
Eat, Move, SleepChefs NetworkMatagentene
Thank you www.eatforum.org
“The wonderful thing about food is you get three votes a day. Every one of them has the potential to change the world.”
Michael Pollan
Vote with Your Fork