zachary s. azem, m.a
TRANSCRIPT
October 21, 2021
2022 NH SENATE RACE REMAINS CLOSE
DURHAM, NH - New Hampshire residents are divided between incumbent Democrac Senator Maggie Hassan and her possibleRepublican challengers for the 2022 Senate elecon. Current Governor Chris Sununu is the strongest potenal challenger, followed byformer Senator Kelly Ayoe and rered General Don Bolduc, the only announced Republican candidate in the race. Hassan's popularity inthe state connues to decline and for the first me a majority have an unfavorable view of her, while Sununu's popularity has also fallenin recent months.
These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. One thousandand sixty-one (1,061) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online between October 14 and October 18, 2021. The marginof sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.0 percent. Included in the sample were 979 likely 2022 general elecon voters (MSE = +/- 3.1%).Data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educaon, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American CommunitySurvey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as party registraon levels provided by the NH Secretary of State and 2020elecon results in NH. Granite State Panel members are recruited from randomly-selected landline and cell phone numbers across NewHampshire and surveys are sent periodically to panel members.
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon
Incumbent Democrac Senator Maggie Hassan is up for reelecon in 2022 and is being challenged, at least indirectly, by severalwell-known Republicans. Republican Governor Chris Sununu has not ruled out challenging Hassan and if he chooses to run, it will be oneof the most closely watched races in the country. If the elecon were held today, 45% of likely 2022 voters say they would vote forSununu, 42% would vote for Hassan, 6% would vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Both candidates have overwhelmingsupport from their respecve pares - 85% of Democrats support Hassan and 86% of Republicans support Sununu while Sununu leadsamong Independents (63%-25%). The matchup between Hassan and Sununu is unchanged over the past year.
Sean P. McKinley, M.A.Zachary S. Azem, M.A.Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.
cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center
* We ask that this copyrighted informaon be referred to as the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
By:
February 2021 July 2021 October 2021
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
5%2%
48%46%
2%1%
49%48%
6%6%
45%42%
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Sununu (R)
Maggie Hassan
Chris Sununu
Other
Don't know/undecided
Hassan leads Sununu by 24 percentage points among those aged 18 to 34 while Sununu leads by 17 points among those aged 35 to49 and holds very small leads among those aged 50 to 64 (+7) and those aged 65 and older (+4).Sununu leads Hassan by 25 percentage points among men while Hassan leads Sununu by 17 points among women.Sununu leads Hassan by 25 percentage points among those with a high school educaon or less while Hassan leads by 26 pointsamong those who have completed postgraduate work and by 13 points among college graduates.Sununu leads Hassan by 86 percentage points among those who voted for Donald Trump in 2020 while Hassan leads Sununu by 71points among those who voted for Joe Biden.
••••••
Maggie Hassan Chris Sununu
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Sununu (R) - Difference in Support - October 2021
Overall OVERALL
Age of Respondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level of Education
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
2020 PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
3%
24%
17%
7%
4%
25%
17%
25%
13%
26%
4%
86%
71%
Rered General Don Bolduc, who unsuccessfully sought the Republican nominaon in the 2020 Senate race against Jeanne Shaheen, hasalready announced he will run for Senate against Hassan. Hassan currently is in a ght race with Bolduc - 47% of likely voters say they willvote for Hassan, 42% for Bolduc, 6% prefer another candidate, and 6% are undecided. In July, Hassan led this hypothecal matchup51%-41%.
Eighty-eight percent of Democrats say they would support Hassan and 87% of Republicans would support Bolduc while Bolduc leadsamong Independents (41%-36%).
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Bolduc (R)
February 2021 July 2021 October 2021
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
7%
2%
39%
52%
6%
1%
41%
51%
6%6%
42%
47%
Maggie Hassan
Don Bolduc
Other
Don't know/undecided
Hassan holds a wide lead over Bolduc (+33 percentage points) among those aged 18 to 34 while Bolduc leads by 13 points amongthose aged 35 to 49. The two candidates are effecvely ed among those aged 50 to 64 and 65 and older.Bolduc holds a small lead over Hassan among men (+9) while Hassan leads Bolduc by 16 points among women.Bolduc leads Hassan by 22 percentage points among those with a high school educaon or less while Hassan holds large leadsamong college graduates (+28) and those who have completed postgraduate work (+35).Bolduc leads Hassan by 85 percentage points among those who voted for Trump in 2020 while Hassan leads Bolduc by 82 pointsamong those who voted for Biden.
••••••
Maggie Hassan Don BolducAge of Respondent
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Bolduc (R) - Difference in Support - October 2021
Overall OVERALL
Age of Respondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level of Education
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
2020 PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
5%
33%
13%
1%
3%
16%
9%
22%
28%
35%
0%
85%
82%
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Ayoe (R)
February 2021 July 2021 October 2021
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
6%3%
42%
48%
3%3%
45%
49%
5%7%
43%44%
Maggie Hassan
Kelly Ayotte
Other
Don't know/undecided
Former Senator Kelly Ayoe, who lost very narrowly to Hassan in 2016, is also seen as a possible challenger. Granite Staters are evenlysplit between Hassan and Ayoe - 44% of likely 2022 voters say they would vote for Hassan, 43% would vote for Ayoe, 7% would votefor another candidate, and 5% are undecided. In July, Hassan was ahead in this hypothecal matchup 49%-45%.
Eighty-eight percent of Democrats say they would support Hassan and 92% of Republicans would support Ayoe while Independents areabout evenly split between the two (34%-32% Ayoe).
Hassan holds a wide lead over Ayoe (+38 percentage points) among those aged 18 to 34, while Ayoe leads among those aged 35to 49 (+17) and holds very small leads among those aged 50 to 64 (+4) and those aged 65 and older (+7).Ayoe leads Hassan by 15 percentage points among men while Hassan leads Ayoe by 15 points among women.Ayoe leads Hassan by 27 percentage points among those with a high school educaon or less while Hassan holds leads amongcollege graduates (+31) and those who have completed postgraduate work (+21).Ayoe leads Hassan by 87 percentage points among those who voted for Trump in 2020 while Hassan leads Ayoe by 79 pointsamong those who voted for Biden.
••••••
Maggie Hassan Kelly AyotteAge of Respondent
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Ayoe (R) - Difference in Support - October 2021
Overall OVERALL
Age of Respondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level of Education
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
2020 PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
1%
38%
17%
4%
7%
15%
15%
27%
31%
21%
0%
87%
79%
Governor Sununu's popularity in the state has also fallen in recent months: 41% of New Hampshire residents have a favorable opinionof him, 36% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 23% are neutral, and less than 1% don't know enough about him to say. Sununu's netfavorability rang is +5, down from +13 in September and at its lowest point since October 2016. Sununu is very popular amongRepublicans (+70 net favorability rang) and is unpopular among Democrats (-56) while Independents are divided (-5). Sununu's netfavorability among Independents has fallen considerably since May (+49).
Senator Hassan's popularity connues to slide in the state: one-third (33%) of New Hampshire residents have a favorable opinion of her,51% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 16% are neutral, and less than 1% don't know enough about her to say. Hassan's net favorabilityrang, the percentage who have a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion, is -18, down from -6 inSeptember. Hassan is popular among Democrats (+59 net favorability rang) but is unpopular among Independents (-47) and is veryunpopular among Republicans (-86).
May 2015 Feb 2016 Nov 2016 Aug 2017 May 2018 Feb 2019 Nov 2019 Aug 2020 May 2021 Feb 2022
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
51%
0%
14%
36%
7%
23%28%
41%
Sununu (R) Favorability
Favorable
Neutral
Unfavorable
Don't know enough about to say
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
7%
8%
77%
0%
51%
8%
16%
33%
Hassan (D) Favorability
Favorable
Neutral
Unfavorable
Don't know enough about to say
Thirty-two percent of New Hampshire residents have a favorable opinion of Ayoe, 32% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 24% areneutral, and 12% don't know enough about her to say. Ayoe's net favorability rang is 0, up slightly compared to the past few months.Ayoe is popular among Republicans (+49 net favorability rang) and is unpopular among Democrats (-49) while Independents aredivided (-1).
Despite running for the GOP nominaon for Senate in 2020, Bolduc remains largely unknown in New Hampshire. Only 19% of NewHampshire residents have a favorable opinion of Bolduc, 23% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 20% are neutral, and 39% don't knowenough about him to say. Bolduc's net favorability rang is -4, up slightly compared to the past few months. Bolduc is somewhat popularamong Republicans (+38 net favorability rang) and is unpopular among Democrats (-45) while Independents are divided (-3).
Feb 2009 Aug 2010 Feb 2012 Aug 2013 Feb 2015 Aug 2016 Feb 2018 Aug 2019 Feb 2021
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
8%
32%
7%
32%
40%
12%
24%
45%
Ayoe (R) Favorability
Favorable
Neutral
Unfavorable
Don't know enough about to say
Aug 2019 Nov 2019 Feb 2020 May 2020 Aug 2020 Nov 2020 Feb 2021 May 2021 Aug 2021 Nov 2021
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
12% 19%
74%
39%
4%
23%
10%
20%
Bolduc (R) Favorability
Favorable
Neutral
Unfavorable
Don't know enough about to say
Granite State Poll Methodology
These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. One thousandand sixty-one (1,061) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online between October 14 and October 18, 2021. The marginof sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.0 percent. Included in the sample were 979 likely 2022 general elecon voters (MSE = +/- 3.1%).The response rate for the October 2021 Granite State Poll is 29%. The design effect for the survey is 2.5%.
Data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educaon, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American CommunitySurvey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as party registraon levels provided by the NH Secretary of State and to2020 elecon results in New Hampshire.
The Granite State Panel is part of an effort by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center to invesgate new ways of gathering andunderstanding the opinion of New Hampshire residents. Approximately 6,250 New Hampshire adults were recruited from randomlyselected landline and cell phone numbers to parcipate in the panel. Panelists are then asked to parcipate in online surveys sponsoredby the UNH Survey Center.
The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabulaon tables as somerespondents choose not to answer some quesons. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%.
For more informaon about the methodology used in the Granite State Panel, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by emailat [email protected].
% N
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
524
505
51%
49%
215
325
224
277
21%
31%
21%
27%
132
218
323
377
13%
21%
31%
36%
154
109
304
150
139
201
15%
10%
29%
14%
13%
19%
417
185
438
40%
18%
42%
303
408
284
30%
41%
29%
302
434
288
30%
42%
28%
36
16
535
459
3%
2%
51%
44%
October 2021 Granite State Poll Demographics
N
887
1,537
1,671
Don Bolduc Maggie Hassan Other Don't know/undecided
February 2021
July 2021
October 2021 6%6%47%42%
6%1%51%41%
7%2%52%39%
Chris Sununu Maggie Hassan Other Don't know/undecided
February 2021
July 2021
October 2021 6%6%42%45%
2%1%48%49%
5%2%46%48%
N
891
1,537
1,671
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Sununu (R)
If the elecon for U.S. Senate was being held today and the candidates were Maggie Hassan and Chris Sununu, would you vote for...
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Bolduc (R)
If the elecon for U.S. Senate was being held today and the candidates were Maggie Hassan and Don Bolduc, would you vote for...
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Ayoe (R)
If the elecon for U.S. Senate was being held today and the candidates were Maggie Hassan and Kelly Ayoe, would you vote for...
Kelly Ayotte Maggie Hassan Other Don't know/undecided
February 2021
July 2021
October 2021 5%7%44%43%
3%3%49%45%
6%3%48%42%
N
893
1,534
1,670
Favorability - Maggie Hassan (D)
Below are a list of public figures in New Hampshire. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each ofthem or if you don't know enough about them to say - Senator Maggie Hassan
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enough about to
say
October 2011
February 2012
April 2012
August 2012
September 2012
February 2013
April 2013
July 2013
October 2013
January 2014
April 2014
July 2014
October 2014
February 2015
May 2015
July 2015
October 2015
February 2016
April 2016
July 2016
October 2016
February 2017
May 2017
October 2017
February 2018
April 2018
August 2018
October 2018
February 2019
April 2019
August 2019
February 2020
November 2020
December 2020
January 2021
February 2021
March 2021
April 2021
July 2021
August 2021
September 2021
October 2021
8%44%10%38%
0%51%16%33%
6%40%17%37%
8%44%13%36%
4%42%21%32%
5%45%17%32%
3%38%17%42%
4%36%19%41%
6%37%15%42%
4%39%20%37%
15%29%11%45%
12%32%9%47%
17%32%7%43%
15%31%7%46%
12%36%7%45%
16%35%3%46%
17%32%10%41%
17%29%7%47%
9%29%11%50%
12%33%9%46%
10%36%8%47%
10%36%5%50%
11%35%6%48%
8%33%10%49%
10%30%10%50%
14%26%8%52%
11%27%10%53%
10%22%10%58%
11%21%15%53%
14%25%9%52%
12%21%9%58%
13%17%11%59%
14%20%15%51%
19%13%8%60%
20%15%12%52%
19%12%16%53%
28%7%16%48%
35%22%5%38%
72%8%4%16%
81%4%4%10%
77%6%6%11%
77%7%8%8%
N
1,069
1,049
1,786
964
1,934
1,743
1,852
2,015
1,897
770
609
495
546
603
641
498
207
522
571
516
503
767
529
620
684
582
530
567
507
681
664
507
581
661
515
505
578
600
580
531
524
555
Favorability - Chris Sununu (R)
Below are a list of public figures in New Hampshire. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each ofthem or if you don't know enough about them to say - Governor Chris Sununu
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enough about to
say
July 2015
October 2015
February 2016
April 2016
July 2016
October 2016
February 2017
May 2017
October 2017
February 2018
April 2018
August 2018
October 2018
February 2019
April 2019
August 2019
February 2020
May 2020
June 2020
July 2020
August 2020
September 2020
October 2020
November 2020
December 2020
January 2021
February 2021
March 2021
April 2021
May 2021
June 2021
July 2021
August 2021
September 2021
October 2021
5%31%20%44%
0%36%23%41%
4%25%22%48%
6%24%19%51%
0%20%27%53%
3%22%25%51%
1%23%24%51%
3%20%28%49%
0%20%25%55%
0%15%28%56%
0%17%29%54%
0%16%28%55%
1%21%30%48%
0%20%21%58%
1%21%24%55%
1%19%24%56%
1%20%22%58%
0%12%28%60%
9%22%14%55%
10%21%13%56%
10%19%15%56%
13%17%11%59%
12%20%12%56%
16%16%16%52%
21%14%16%49%
14%15%14%56%
13%15%17%56%
14%17%17%52%
22%17%19%42%
24%37%7%32%
36%27%10%28%
40%19%12%28%
43%19%13%25%
42%22%10%26%
51%14%7%28%
N
1,059
1,049
1,790
965
1,600
1,823
1,940
1,740
1,854
2,021
908
1,897
775
1,017
1,873
1,884
993
838
610
496
548
603
640
500
208
519
570
514
502
767
467
618
684
581
530
Favorability - Don Bolduc (R)
Below are a list of public figures in New Hampshire. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each ofthem or if you don't know enough about them to say - Rered General Don Bolduc
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enough about to
say
August 2019
February 2020
May 2020
June 2020
July 2020
August 2020
February 2021
July 2021
August 2021
September 2021
October 2021
37%28%16%19%
39%23%20%19%
50%23%16%11%
42%23%22%13%
46%18%23%13%
48%20%14%18%
54%18%16%13%
61%15%13%11%
65%10%16%9%
73%4%11%12%
74%4%10%12%
N
1,071
1,057
1,783
964
1,841
1,831
1,858
971
832
610
495
Favorability - Kelly Ayoe (R)
Below are a list of public figures in New Hampshire. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each ofthem or if you don't know enough about them to say - Former Senator Kelly Ayoe
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enough about to
say
July 2009
October 2009
February 2010
April 2010
July 2010
September 2010
February 2011
April 2011
June 2011
October 2011
February 2012
April 2012
August 2012
October 2012
February 2013
April 2013
July 2013
October 2013
January 2014
April 2014
July 2014
October 2014
February 2015
May 2015
July 2015
October 2015
February 2016
April 2016
July 2016
October 2016
February 2021
July 2021
August 2021
September 2021
October 2021
13%37%24%26%
12%32%24%32%
15%35%25%26%
14%32%24%29%
14%30%28%28%
9%45%7%39%
11%40%7%42%
12%38%8%41%
13%31%9%47%
15%28%11%47%
19%25%8%48%
19%28%5%48%
19%26%13%43%
22%27%7%44%
17%25%8%50%
15%28%9%49%
18%30%10%43%
20%30%8%42%
19%32%8%41%
16%25%9%50%
14%28%7%51%
19%32%5%44%
18%25%5%53%
22%29%5%43%
23%26%9%42%
18%24%10%47%
18%25%12%45%
19%25%8%49%
21%20%8%51%
19%29%11%41%
30%27%7%36%
41%13%7%38%
44%12%6%38%
49%8%6%37%
40%8%7%45%
N
1,070
1,047
1,788
963
1,850
767
530
619
683
583
530
567
509
679
668
505
582
661
512
505
579
590
577
531
527
554
514
501
520
515
504
508
497
501
556
Chris Sununu Maggie Hassan OtherDon't
know/undecided
STATEWIDE October 2021 6%6%42%45%
N
891
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
7%
8%
2%
8%
10%
0%
7%
33%
94%
79%
49%
4%
6%
5%
7%
6%
7%
7%
2%
25%
85%
86%
63%
2%
7%
7%
3%
7%
1%
11%
1%
48%
84%
84%
45%
2%
4%
7%
6%
5%
11%
4%
2%
16%
6%
10%
7%
18%
7%
0%
49%
5%
8%
42%
30%
59%
86%
31%
82%
75%
46%
41%
31%
11%
11%
3%
5%
7%
1%
4%
3%
21%
42%
43%
37%
48%
46%
50%
55%
24%
10%
3%
4%
7%
51%
32%
34%
58%
2%
5%
9%
6%
4%
2%
2%
13%
60%
53%
42%
28%
34%
40%
46%
54%
7%
2%
9%
8%
6%
1%
7%
6%
4%
3%
1%
16%
46%
48%
47%
51%
26%
38%
40%
44%
40%
38%
66%
45%
4%
10%
7%
5%
14%
6%
7%
89%
1%
79%
1%
7%
76%
8%
87%
270
362
243
360
130
390
263
341
239
193
306
390
661
163
533
56
200
280
210
184
435
427
126
198
280
277
142
72
230
140
126
177
7
15
456
404
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Sununu (R)
Don Bolduc Maggie Hassan OtherDon't
know/undecided
STATEWIDE October 2021 6%6%47%42%
N
887
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
6%
10%
1%
4%
10%
0%
9%
39%
96%
81%
41%
3%
5%
16%
4%
3%
7%
7%
4%
36%
88%
87%
41%
1%
5%
10%
1%
4%
1%
11%
2%
56%
88%
89%
33%
1%
6%
7%
7%
6%
10%
3%
2%
15%
4%
9%
7%
17%
7%
3%
53%
7%
10%
47%
31%
63%
90%
26%
83%
73%
40%
41%
27%
6%
11%
4%
2%
6%
2%
4%
1%
18%
45%
47%
42%
55%
42%
46%
55%
22%
5%
7%
3%
7%
54%
38%
38%
47%
6%
3%
7%
7%
1%
2%
1%
13%
64%
62%
46%
29%
29%
34%
46%
51%
2%
0%
5%
15%
7%
4%
8%
0%
4%
1%
1%
15%
54%
51%
50%
53%
33%
39%
36%
48%
41%
31%
59%
42%
1%
57%
4%
7%
12%
6%
5%
96%
2%
86%
2%
3%
29%
4%
86%
265
363
243
356
131
390
266
333
239
192
303
387
657
162
538
56
200
272
214
184
439
419
126
199
284
269
142
73
225
140
126
176
7
15
456
400
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Bolduc (R)
Kelly Ayotte Maggie Hassan OtherDon't
know/undecided
STATEWIDE October 2021 5%7%44%43%
N
893
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
3%
10%
1%
4%
14%
0%
7%
37%
96%
86%
39%
3%
3%
15%
4%
3%
18%
7%
2%
32%
88%
92%
34%
1%
5%
8%
0%
7%
3%
11%
1%
51%
88%
87%
39%
1%
5%
7%
4%
4%
5%
4%
2%
18%
6%
11%
8%
16%
6%
3%
51%
5%
8%
44%
30%
62%
82%
27%
82%
77%
44%
48%
28%
13%
6%
5%
2%
8%
2%
4%
1%
21%
43%
43%
40%
55%
50%
47%
57%
16%
5%
5%
6%
7%
52%
36%
37%
51%
2%
6%
7%
4%
1%
5%
3%
13%
58%
60%
45%
28%
38%
29%
45%
56%
5%
0%
6%
8%
5%
4%
7%
4%
1%
12%
15%
52%
51%
48%
50%
31%
38%
37%
49%
42%
42%
53%
43%
8%
51%
4%
5%
12%
6%
8%
89%
4%
84%
0%
3%
34%
6%
87%
273
362
242
364
130
389
266
341
238
193
310
394
665
162
537
56
200
280
213
184
439
426
125
198
283
277
142
73
232
140
126
176
7
15
455
408
2022 U.S. Senate Elecon - Hassan (D) vs. Ayoe (R)
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enoughabout to say
STATEWIDE October 2021 0%51%16%33%
N
1,049
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
1%
0%
85%
59%
6%
9%
14%
22%
6%
27%
72%
0%
0%
1%
89%
61%
11%
8%
24%
20%
3%
15%
69%
1%
0%
90%
45%
16%
8%
17%
21%
1%
37%
63%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
46%
87%
82%
49%
64%
33%
8%
11%
7%
10%
13%
11%
16%
20%
43%
6%
8%
38%
25%
50%
72%
1%
1%
47%
55%
59%
42%
12%
7%
10%
34%
41%
37%
30%
24%
0%
0%
44%
59%
16%
14%
40%
27%
0%
1%
1%
34%
39%
45%
67%
14%
16%
23%
11%
52%
44%
31%
22%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
45%
39%
54%
40%
64%
56%
16%
12%
18%
19%
11%
16%
38%
48%
28%
40%
26%
27%
2%
4%
0%
0%
20%
88%
18%
91%
49%
7%
21%
8%
29%
1%
61%
1%
302
431
278
417
185
426
303
406
273
195
327
433
742
167
578
61
215
325
222
267
512
505
132
216
312
377
153
109
294
150
139
201
36
16
523
459
Favorability - Maggie Hassan (D)
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enoughabout to say
STATEWIDE October 2021 0%36%23%41%
N
1,049
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
0%
0%
13%
29%
68%
13%
28%
23%
73%
42%
9%
0%
0%
0%
8%
37%
63%
14%
30%
29%
78%
33%
8%
0%
0%
12%
35%
67%
9%
26%
26%
79%
38%
7%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
41%
14%
14%
33%
33%
41%
56%
28%
14%
23%
24%
27%
29%
29%
31%
71%
63%
43%
40%
29%
15%
0%
1%
0%
32%
27%
30%
52%
21%
23%
19%
29%
47%
50%
50%
19%
0%
0%
42%
29%
23%
23%
35%
48%
0%
1%
42%
34%
34%
36%
20%
22%
19%
26%
38%
43%
46%
37%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
27%
43%
45%
46%
22%
28%
19%
15%
17%
11%
45%
34%
54%
42%
38%
43%
33%
39%
1%
0%
0%
39%
21%
60%
9%
37%
16%
29%
15%
23%
63%
11%
76%
302
432
278
417
185
426
303
406
273
195
327
433
742
167
578
61
215
325
222
267
512
505
132
216
312
377
153
109
294
150
139
201
36
16
523
459
Favorability - Chris Sununu (R)
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enoughabout to say
STATEWIDE October 2021 39%23%20%19%
N
1,057
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
29%
45%
40%
7%
20%
46%
24%
20%
11%
40%
16%
3%
28%
53%
42%
4%
11%
47%
26%
28%
10%
42%
8%
1%
26%
44%
45%
1%
30%
40%
25%
16%
14%
48%
10%
1%
48%
30%
38%
36%
48%
33%
22%
28%
6%
8%
26%
23%
34%
61%
14%
27%
19%
20%
15%
19%
11%
10%
37%
35%
17%
14%
13%
5%
40%
37%
19%
55%
27%
24%
27%
16%
13%
23%
20%
22%
20%
16%
34%
8%
40%
36%
23%
23%
19%
21%
18%
20%
36%
30%
36%
47%
31%
36%
23%
13%
22%
19%
16%
23%
12%
15%
25%
18%
33%
26%
43%
40%
37%
43%
32%
21%
23%
32%
11%
19%
15%
28%
16%
16%
36%
17%
20%
25%
19%
12%
16%
21%
59%
64%
43%
30%
1%
7%
43%
3%
39%
14%
14%
26%
1%
14%
0%
42%
302
430
288
417
185
435
303
405
283
195
327
443
750
167
576
61
214
324
222
277
521
504
130
216
323
377
153
109
303
149
139
201
36
16
531
459
Favorability - Don Bolduc (R)
Favorable Neutral UnfavorableDon't know enoughabout to say
STATEWIDE October 2021 12%32%24%32%
N
1,047
VotingRegistration
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared/Not Reg.
Registered Republican
Party ID Democrat
Independent
Republican
Ideology Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Media Usage Boston Globe reader
NHPR listener
Union Leader reader
WMUR viewer
Fox News viewer
Conservative radio listener
Local newspapers reader
Age ofRespondent
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Gender ofRespondent
Men
Women
Level ofEducation
High school or less
Tech school/Some college
College graduate
Postgraduate work
Region ofState
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Manchester Area
Mass Border
North Country
Seacoast
2020PresidentialVote
Voted for Trump
Voted for Biden
Voted for other 2020 candidate
Did not vote in 2020
4%
14%
14%
18%
26%
62%
22%
30%
14%
57%
31%
10%
4%
26%
14%
12%
23%
58%
24%
33%
20%
61%
19%
9%
3%
18%
13%
15%
31%
55%
26%
22%
22%
56%
28%
10%
11%
3%
4%
7%
5%
9%
4%
29%
16%
14%
32%
21%
41%
57%
38%
27%
28%
26%
41%
23%
23%
22%
55%
54%
35%
33%
27%
16%
4%
5%
7%
31%
30%
35%
31%
33%
24%
26%
20%
23%
42%
35%
42%
13%
10%
12%
37%
27%
25%
24%
28%
37%
7%
11%
8%
17%
44%
44%
36%
17%
20%
24%
28%
23%
29%
21%
29%
42%
8%
1%
17%
12%
15%
11%
48%
37%
31%
37%
23%
23%
23%
19%
23%
20%
24%
33%
21%
43%
30%
31%
38%
33%
38%
2%
18%
2%
3%
16%
50%
16%
56%
59%
20%
24%
3%
23%
12%
57%
302
430
278
416
185
426
303
405
273
194
326
432
740
167
577
61
214
325
222
267
511
505
131
216
311
377
153
109
294
150
139
200
36
16
523
458
Favorability - Kelly Ayoe (R)