the uganda capital markets african alliance uganda investment bank a broker /dealers perspective
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The Uganda Capital Markets African Alliance Uganda Investment Bank
A Broker /Dealers Perspective
Contents
• Introduction
• Areas of Excellence
• Uganda Country Report
• Broker/ Dealer Firms
• The Markets
• The way forward
The African Alliance Group Structure
• African Alliance Uganda forms part of the African Alliance International group.
• African Alliance Uganda is 100% owned by African Alliance International
• Africa Growth Advisors is a support team that provides technical assistance and advisory services to the domestic investment professionals.
• The group is owned and managed by management and staff – this aligns the interests of our investment professionals with that of our clients. Our client’s come first, not external shareholders!
A frica G ro w th A d v iso rsS p e cia lis t A sse t M an a g em e nt
C o n su lta n ts
A frican A llia n ce U ga n daD o m es tic F u n d M a na g e rsR e se arch P ro fe ssio n a ls
A frican A llian ce K e n yaA frican A llia n ce B o tsw a naA frica n A llia nce S w a z ila nd
A frican A llia n ce In te rn a tio n a l
Areas of Excellence
AAU
Stock broking Investment Management
Unit Trusts
Money Fund Balanced Investment Fund
Pension Funds
Investment Banking
Institutional Clients
High-Yield Fund
Trading and Execution
ResearchAdvisory &
Corporate Finance
Uganda Country Report
• Strong economic fundamentals and improving business conditions promises future growth
• Uganda’s strong economic growth, commitment to macroeconomic and political stability, flexible labour markets, access to international markets, abundant natural resources, and enabling regulatory environment make it an attractive destination for investors, though many challenges remain.
• Telecommunications, transport and power infrastructure, tourism, financial services, coffee, and horticulture sectors offer key investment opportunities.
• Some of the major challenges faced by foreign investors are inadequate physical and institutional infrastructure, uneducated workforce, political interference, non-transparent regulatory system, and high levels of corruption.
• Thus far, Uganda has shown resilience and has grown at a respectable 7% in FY09. In next few years, the growth is expected to decelerate due to weak global demand and the countries dependence on exports and donor funding.
Investment Prospects And Outlook
• Uganda’s economy expected to decelerate in FY09 and FY10 driven by weak global demand
• Services sector continues to drive growth
• Growth of exports is expected to remain low; coffee exports present an exciting opportunity
• Expansion of the East African Community (EAC) customs union will drive further growth
• FDI inflows in 2009 and 2010 remain uncertain due to the global financial crisis
• Ratio of debt to GDP may increase marginally in FY09 and FY10
• Inflation is expected to fall in 2009 and 2010 as the economy stabilizes and fuel prices fall
• Government initiatives to improve business climate continue to have a positive impact
• Government is expected to continue its focus on infrastructure development
• Increasing presence of micro-finance institutions will provide credit access to all sections of the society
• In Africa, Uganda is a leader in social development initiatives
Key Indicators
Population, 2008 (m) 31.7
GDP, FY09 (USD bn) 15.3
GDP (PPP) per capita, 2009 Intn’l $ 1,340
Sector share, FY09 (% GDP)
Agriculture (%) 23.7
Industry (%) 24.2
Services (%) 46.4
Headline Inflation, FY09 (%) 14.1
Exchange Rate, FY09 (UGX/USD) 1,885
Trade Balance, FY09 (% of GDP) (6.7)
Reserves, May’09 (Eq. months of imports) 5.3
Financial Markets
• The financial services sector is underdeveloped with low penetration rates
• Various structural changes are driving the banking sector growth.
• Microfinance has witnessed steady growth and commercial banks have also started to expand their presence in this market
• Insurance in Uganda is an underdeveloped sector with majority of the insurance companies offering non-life insurance
• The collective investment scheme market is still in its nascent stage. Pension sector reforms in the future may drive growth. African Alliance is the only unit trust manager
• Uganda’s social security system has limited scope and coverage. Liberalization of the pension sector is required
• Interest in the equity market has increased overtime• Fully liberalized currency environment
• However the market is still illiquid with majority of the trading restricted to only 2 stocks.
Market Environment
• Products: Equities, Corporate Bonds, Government Bonds• Custodians – Barclays Bank, Stanbic Bank; Safekeeping for securities and
trade settlement• Securities Central Depository (SCD) replacing paper-based system• Broker/dealer firms being given access to government securities market,
enabling “one-stop-shop” access to range of available products in the local financial markets
List Of Brokers/Dealers On The USEMembers Of The Uganda Securities Exchange
:
African Alliance (Uganda) Ltd *Investment Advisor
Broker/Dealer and member of USE
Floors 1st Workers House
Pilkington Road
Kampala
Tel: 0414 235577
Fax: 0414 235575
E-mail: [email protected]
Contact: Mr. Kenneth Kitariko
Baroda Capital Markets Ltd *
Broker/Dealer
Investment Advisor and member of USE
Plot 18 Kampala Road
P.O. Box 7197
Kampala
Tel: 0414 233 680/3
Fax: 0414 258263
E-mail: [email protected]
Contact: Mr. Rajesh Khanna
Crane Financial Services Ltd *
Broker/Dealer
Investment Advisor and member of USE
Crane Chambers
Plot 38 Kampala Road
P.O. Box 22572 Kampala
Tel: 0414 341414/345345
Fax: 0414 341414
E-mail: [email protected]
Contact: Mr. Hiren Busch
Crested Stocks and Securities Ltd* Broker/DealerInvestment Advisor6th Floor Impala HousePlot 13/15 Kimathi AvenueP. O. Box 31736Kampala, UgandaTel: 0414 230900Fax: 0414 230612E-mail: [email protected] Contact: Mr. Robert Baldwin
List Of Brokers/Dealers On The USEMembers Of The Uganda Securities Exchange
Dyer and Blair Uganda Ltd *Broker/ Dealer
Investment Advisor and member of USE
P.O.Box 36620
Ground Floor Rwenzori House
Tel: 0414 233050
Fax: 0414 231813
E-mail: [email protected]
Contact: Mr. Njirwa Samuel
Equity Stock Brokers Ltd * Broker/Dealer Investment Advisor and member of USEPlot 6/6a Orient PlazaP.O. Box 3072 KampalaTel: 0414 236012/3/4/5Fax: 0414 348039E-mail: [email protected] Contact: Mr. Mark Horwood
MBEA Brokerage Services (Uganda) Ltd44 Lumumba Avenue, Nakasero
P.O. Box 24613
Kampala
UGANDA
Tel.: +256-(0)-423 1960 / +256-(0)31-226 0011
Fax: +256-(0)41-434 2045
E-mail: [email protected] (General)
Web Site: www.mbea.net
Contact: Andrew Otengo Owiny
ReNaissance Capital (U) Ltd*Fund Manager, Investment AdvisorBroker/Dealer and member of USEPlot 13, Kololo Hill DriveP.O.Box 893 KampalaTel: 078 800494, 031 264 775/6 Fax: 0414 340016E-mail: [email protected] Contact: Mr.Godfrey Wavamunno
Pan African Trading Desk
• Through this desk our clients have access to a centralised trading desk that provides access to all the stock exchanges across Africa.
• Our pan-African trading desk trades in equities and bonds and we have execution capabilities in Africa in the following countries: Botswana, Egypt, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Morocco, Namibia, Nigeria, Tunisia, BRVM (Covers 8 French speaking countries in West Africa), Uganda, Rwanda, Tanzania, Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Malawi.
• African Alliance currently has its own offices and licenses to operate in Kenya, Uganda, Swaziland, Botswana, Malawi, Ghana , Rwanda and has just been granted its license and stock exchange seat in Zambia where we are in the process of setting up offices. In all the other countries we have strategic alliances in place to trade through other brokers until such time as we have our own offices and licenses to trade in those countries.
• As such, we are able to execute transactions in the above countries at present and this covers all but a few countries that have small stock exchanges at present, namely: - Cameroon, Algeria, Sudan and Mozambique but we are looking to operate in these fairly soon too. We do, however have relationships in these markets and would be able to execute the more bespoke trades.
• We allow our clients to either deal through the international trading desk in the Johannesburg office or directly with the dealers in our own offices or those of our affiliate partners.
Equity Market
• The USE index rose sharply by 21% in Q 2 2009 clawing back losses recorded in Q 1 2009. However the gains on the USE board need to be put into context.
• Firstly, the USE index includes cross listed stock from Kenya. Secondly Stanbic Bank has a weighting of over 60% of the total market capitalization of local Ugandan stocks excluding the cross listed stocks.
• All Kenyan cross listed stocks recorded strong gains in Q 2 2009 and hence helped skew the index. Further to this, despite all other domestic stocks recording big losses Stanbic Bank rose 33% during the quarter. The twin gains on the Kenyan cross listed stocks and Stanbic offset the big losses on all the other domestic Ugandan stocks to record the gain on the ALSI.
• Following the fall in prices of domestic counters on the USE board, the broad market ex Kenya is beginning to make sense and now looking comparable to other markets. We believe that a closer look at these counters may now be worthwhile.
Uganda Securities Exchange
• Source: Uganda Securities Exchange
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Turnover (UGX bn) All Share Index (rhs)
EAC Region Stock Exchanges (FY09)
• Source: African Securities Exchange Association
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Listed companies Market capitalization (% ofGDP)
Turnover rate
Kenya Tanzania Uganda
Fixed Income Market
• Most of the trading on USE takes place in the fixed income market with foreign participation limited to this segment. As on June 2009, 30 fixed income securities were listed. The total outstanding stock of treasury bonds grew by 74% to UGX 1,484 bn in June 2008.
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FY98 FY00 FY02 FY04 FY06 FY08
Treasury Bills
Unit Trusts-Uganda Funds
Uganda Funds 3-year Annualised Return
Current
Uganda Money Fund 12.82% 9.80%
Uganda Balanced Investment Fund 19.23% 2.49%
Uganda High Yield Fund 14.46% 17.30%
The Uganda Money Fund -Capital Preservation
InvestorUGX 1,000,000
Investment Universe• Banks• T-Bills• Bonds
Bank Call Account
T-Bills/CP
Short-termBonds
UGX 200,000
UGX 600,000
UGX 200,000
Units
Your Business
African Alliance UgandaUnit Trust Funds
(Separate legal entity)
The Parties to the Unit Trust Funds
Cash and Investment Manager
African Alliance Uganda
TrusteeDFCU Bank
CustodianDFCU Bank
AuditorKPMG
CapitalMarkets
Authority
The way forward
Eight Broker Eight Broker DealersDealers
Central Central Depository Depository
SystemSystem
Excellent Growth Excellent Growth OpportunitiesOpportunities
Corporate BondsCorporate BondsUnit TrustsUnit Trusts
Strong Pan Strong Pan African Base African Base Platform for Platform for
Complementary Complementary ProductsProducts
Top Ranked Top Ranked Research with Research with
Local and Local and Regional Regional
PenetrationPenetration
Contact Details
• Contact Details
Kenneth Kitariko
African Alliance Uganda
1ST Floor Workers House
Pilkington Road
Tel : +256 414 235 577/8
Mobile: +256 755 000 043
E-mail : [email protected]