the status of eaa in china and its reform ideas mingmei zhang, nbs, no.57, yuetan nanjie, shanlihe,...

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The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlih e, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm @stats. gov . cn

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Page 1: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas

Mingmei Zhang,

NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe,

Beijing 100826,

P.R. China

[email protected]

Page 2: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Agriculture is an important sector in China. The Agriculture Gross Value-Added (GVA) took a share of 11.8 percent to Chinese GDP in 2006. The economic accounts for agriculture (EAA) is the basis of national economic accounts.

Page 3: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Before the year 2000, the calculation of Agriculture Gross Value was based on constant price in 1990.

After the year 2000, the calculation of Agriculture Gross Value was based on comparable price . The growth rate was applied the price single deflator method .

Page 4: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

The reason why apply the price single deflator method is:

The structure of agricultural products and their prices changes, no longer reflect the current structure of agricultural products and their price changes.

So, in 2000, NBS improved the list of agricultural products for the calculation of gross output in agriculture, and developed a survey on producer prices of agricultural products.

Page 5: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

This article main contents: Ⅰ) the coverage of the EAA;Ⅱ) the collection of basic data;Ⅲ) the calculating methods for quarterly and

annual agriculture gross output value, its value-added and its growth rate;

Ⅳ) the management on accounting results;Ⅴ) some problems in China’s EAA;Ⅵ) suggestions on improving China’s EAA in

the future.

Page 6: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

The content of agricultural accounting covers five divisions:

Farming

Forestry

Animal husbandry

Fishing and service activities for farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing.

Ⅰ. Coverage of Accounting

Page 7: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Farming includes four groups: cereals and other crops; vegetables and horticultural crops; fruits, nuts, beverage and spice crops; traditional Chinese medicinal materials. Forestry includes three groups: cultivation and growing of forests,

logging of timbers and bamboos, and forest products.

Page 8: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Animal husbandry covers five groups:

raising of livestock;

raising of hogs;

raising of poultry and etc. Fishing covers two groups:

seawater aquatic products ;

freshwater aquatic products

(see below table)

Page 9: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

I. Farm Procuct 1. Cereal and Other Crops A. Cereal

B. Tubers

C. Oil-bearing Crops

D. BeansE. CottonF. Fiber CropsG. Sugar CropsH. TobaccoI. Other Crops2. Vegetables and Horticultural Crops3. Fruits4. Nuts5. Beverage and spice crops6. Traditional Chinese medicinal materialsII. Forest Product1.Cultivation and Growing of Forests2. Logging of Bamboos and Timbers3. Collection of Forest ProductsIII. Animal husbandry1. Raising of Livestock2. Raising of Pigs3. Poultry4. Other Animal husbandryIV. Fishing1. Seawater Product2. Freshwater aquatic products

Page 10: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Output of Agricultural Products Annual Statistical Report on Production of Farming, Forestry, Animal husbandry, and Fishing.

Ⅱ. Data Sources

Page 11: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Prices of Agricultural Products and deflators

the agricultural

producers’ price

sampling survey

and key case survey

Page 12: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Ratios of Value-Added

annual surveys

on intermediate

consumption and

input-output

survey

Page 13: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

III. Calculating Methods National data are obtained through

tabulation of all provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities.

Output value at current price = output of products * produce price.

Output value at comparable price = output value at current price / deflator.

Growth rate = output value at comparable price / output value at current price.

Page 14: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Annual value added at current prices = total output value - intermediate consumption

Quarterly value added at current pricesare = gross output value * ratios of value-added.

Page 15: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Prices of agriculture products

Average price of one unit of one representative agricultural product

Average price of all units of one province of a representative agricultural product

Page 16: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Representative products are selected for all divisions in agriculture section, that is farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing, cover over 90 percent of classes.

Page 17: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

NBS formulated the representative category and products for the national producers’ price survey on agricultural products, including 4 divisions: farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing, 14 groups, 30 classes and 180 representative products

Page 18: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Price index of agriculture products

Price index of one unit of a representative products

Price index of all units of a representative products

Price index of all units of small representative categories of products

Price index of all units of middle representative categories of products

Price index of all units of large representative categories of products

Page 19: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Calculation of the weights of representative products

The weight for the sales of agricultural products is calculated mainly based on its sales values, and those of all representative products sales totals to 1000, and those of output value of all representative products sum up to 1000.

Page 20: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

An example of a scheme for deriving weights

  CodeOutput value

Represent large

category weight

Weights (shares) of medium

category in a large

category

    1 2 3

1. Farming - total A 4209775 405.85 1000

a) Others (non-representative)   668132   0

b) Sum of the representative medium categories

A' 3541643   1000

1.1 Corn and other cereals 1.1' 1369544   386.7

1.2 Vegetables 1.2' 1039272   293.44

1.3 Fruits and nuts 1.3' 1132827   319.86

Page 21: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

IV. Joint Data Review and Data Dissemination procedure

Since 2005, China has conducted periodic national reviews to cross-check data at the lower level to data at the national level. The data are checked to see if prices of goods are covered by surveys, and the products selected for price surveys are truly representative, thus the appropriateness of deflation indexes. Data are disseminated only after verification.

Page 22: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

V. Main Problems of China’s Agricultural Statistics

1. Statistics on agricultural basic data has yet satisfied all the needs of accounting.

ⅰ) Part of agricultural products such as wield plants and Chinese medicinal materials has not been fully covered;

ⅱ)The output of animal husbandry only includes hogs and cattle on a sample survey basis;

ⅲ)The quantity indicators used for estimating vegetables and fruits need to be improved;

ⅳ) Aquatic products, forest products and new industrial products selected for price surveys may not be representative.

Page 23: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

2. Absence of statistical basis for service activities for agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing.

Page 24: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

VI. Some Ideas on Agriculture Accounting in the Future

1.The first is to advance statistics on farming, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishing products; the second is to appropriately increase statistics on output of quarter agricultural products.

2.Enlarge the coverage of samples of agricultural products price survey

Page 25: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

3.Strengthen the management of agriculture accounting data

4.Pay more attention to the research of statistical method on service activities for agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishing

5. Perfect agriculture accounting and its related professional data evaluation system

Page 26: The Status of EAA in China and Its Reform Ideas Mingmei Zhang, NBS, No.57, Yuetan Nanjie, Shanlihe, Beijing 100826, P.R. China zhangmm@stats.gov.cn

Thank you!