Portland Press Herald Poll #1

Maine 2014 General Election

Prepared by:

Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.Zachary S. Azem, M.A.

The Survey CenterUniversity of New Hampshire

June, 2014

Portland Press Herald Poll #1Maine 2014 General Election

Conducted by the UNH Survey CenterJune 2014

Technical Report

Field Period: June 12 to June 18, 2014

Hours: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Median Completion Time: 11 minutes

Sample Size: 625 randomly selected Maine adults (RDD)527 randomly selected Maine likely voters in the 2014 General Election (RDD)

Sampling Error: +/- 3.9% (all respondents)+/- 4.3% (likely voters)

Congressional Subsections:258 likely voters in the 1st Congressional District (6.1% MOE)269 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District (6.0% MOE)

Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 21%

The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual Maine adult being selected. The data have also been weighted by the sex, age and the region of the state based on the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

Portland Press Herald Poll #1Conducted by the UNH Survey CenterSummer, 2014

INTRO:Good evening / afternoon. My name is _____________________ and Im calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This month, the University is conducting a study of politics and public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.

IF ASKED: The survey will about 10 minutes."

IF ASKED: "This poll is being conducted for the Portland Press Herald and will be in the paper next week.

Before we begin, do you live in Maine all year round or are you on vacation?

1LIVE IN MAINE YEAR ROUND2SEASONAL, JUST VACATIONING Thank you very much, we are only interviewing year round residents.3NOT A MAINE RESIDENT Thank you very much, we are only interviewing Maine residents.

*99REFUSED TERMINATECELL1First, to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone or a land line?

1CELL PHONE SKIPTO CELL22LAND LINE SKIPTO BIR1

99REFUSED TERMINATE

CELL2Are you currently driving a car of doing any activity that requires your full attention?

1IF YES: Can I call back at a later time? MAKE APPOINTMENT2NO SKIPTO AGE18

99NA / REFUSED TERMINATE

AGE18And are you 18 years old or older?

1YES SKIP TO SEX2NO "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."

*99REFUSAL "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."

BIR1In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults aged 18 or older who currently live in your household including yourself who had the most recent birthday? I dont mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?

1INFORMANT SKIP TO SEX2SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY):________________ SKIP TO INT23DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW4DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN SKIP TO SEX

*99REFUSED ENTER NONRESPONSE INFORMATION

BIR2Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?

1INFORMANT _____ SKIP TO SEX2SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): _______________________ GO TO INT23PERSON NOT AVAILABLE MAKE APPOINTMENT*99REFUSED

INT2ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON

Hello, this is _____________________ calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month the University is conducting a study of politics public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?

1YES SKIPTO SEX2APPOINTMENT*99REFUSAL TERMINATE

SEXThank you very much for helping us with this important study. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Maine. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.

Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.

IF ASKED: This survey will take about 10 minutes to complete.

RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT

1MALE2FEMALE

3REFUSES TO DO SURVEY

*99NA

TOWNFirst, in what town do you live? ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.

997OTHER TYPE IN_____________________________998DK DO NOT PROBE*999NA / REFUSED

PRESAPPLet's start with a question about the President.GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

(IF APPROVE): Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?(IF DISAPPROVE): Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as president, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?(IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as president?

1STRONGLY APPROVE2APPROVE SOMEWHAT3LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING6DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT7STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

*99NA

TRACKUSDo you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

1RIGHT DIRECTION2WRONG TRACK

98DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)*99NA

HCAPP1Let me ask you about healthcare. In March of 2010, the U.S. House and Senate passed legislation that will overhaul the nations health care system. Based on what you have seen or heard, do you favor or oppose the health care reform legislation that was passed in Congress, or dont you have an opinion?

IF FAVOR OR OPPOSE: Do you feel that strongly or not strongly?

IF /DK/NO OPINION: Would you say you lean toward favoring or opposing?

1FAVOR STRONGLY2FAVOR - SOMEWHAT3LEAN TO FAVORING4DEPENDS - VOLUNTEERED5LEAN TO OPPOSING6OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT7OPPOSE - STRONGLY

98DONT KNOW / NO OPINION99NA / REFUSED

HCAPP2Do you think you and your family will be better off or worse off under the new health care law, or will it not make much of a difference?

1BETTER OFF2WORSE OFF3NO DIFFERENCE

98DONT KNOW ENOUGH TO SAY/NOT SURE99NA/REFUSED

HCAPP3And from what you know of that legislation, do you think the amount you pay for medical care will increase, decrease or remain the same?

1INCREASE2DECREASE3REMAIN THE SAME

98DONT KNOW ENOUGH TO SAY/NOT SURE99NA/REFUSED

MIPMELets turn to the State of Maine... there are many problems facing the State of Maine today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Maine today? (PROBE: Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?)

RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSEPROBE FOR SPECIFIC ANSWER

TRACKMEDo you think things in Maine are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

1RIGHT DIRECTION2WRONG TRACK

98DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)*99NA / REFUSED

GOVAPPGENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?

(IF APPROVE): Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT? (IF DISAPPROVE): Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?(IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?

1STRONGLY APPROVE2APPROVE SOMEWHAT3LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING6DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT7STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

*99NA / REFUSED

WEL1Lets switch topics.

Please tell me which statement comes closer to your own viewgovernment aid to the poor does more harm than good by making people too dependent on government assistance or government aid to the poor does more good than harm because people cant get out of poverty until their basic needs are met. ROTATE RESPONSES

1MORE HARM THAN GOOD/MAKES PEOPLE DEPENDENT2MORE GOOD THAN HARM/MEETS BASIC NEEDS3NEITHER

98DONT KNOW/UNSURE99NA

WEL2And which of these statements comes closest to your own view most people who receive government aid to the poor need the assistance they get or most people who receive government aid to the poor do not need the assistance and are taking advantage of the system. ROTATE RESPONSES

1MOST PEOPLE NEED ASSISTANCE2MOST PEOPLE DO NOT NEED ASSISTANCE3NEITHER

98DONT KNOW/UNSURE99NA

REGVOTELets turn to politics.

"Are you registered to vote at your current address?"IF YES: "Are you registered as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?"

1REGISTERED DEMOCRAT2REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED / UNDECLARED3REGISTERED REPUBLICAN4REGISTERED - OTHER

98NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

VOTEINT"I know that it is a long time away, but as you know, there is an election in November 2014 for Governor, Congress and state offices. How interested would you say you are in the 2014 general election ... extremely interested ...very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?"

1EXTREMELY INTERESTED2VERY INTERESTED3SOMEWHAT INTERESTED4NOT VERY INTERESTED

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)99NA

MELV"Thinking ahead to the 2014 general election for Governor and Congress. Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)

1I will probably NOT vote in the 2014 general election, SKIPTO D12I MAY vote in the 2014 general election, SKIPTO D13Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2014 general election,4I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2014 general election, or5I just don't know at this time." SKIPTO D1

*99NA/REFUSED SKIPTO D1

FAV"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of people involved in politics in Maine. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you dont know enough about them to say.""First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV10

FAV1Governor Paul LePage?" (la PAGE)(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?"

1FAVORABLE2NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED3UNFAVORABLE

98DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY*99NA / REFUSED

FAV2Senator Susan Collins?(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or dont you know enough about her to say?"

FAV3Senator Angus King?(READ IF NECESSARY) Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?

FAV4Congresswoman Chellie Pingree?(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or dont you know enough about her to say?"

FAV5Congressman Mike Michaud? (MISH shoe)(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?"

FAV6Attorney Eliot Cutler?(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?"

FAV7Former State Treasurer Bruce Poliquin? (POL i - kwin)(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?"

FAV8State Senator Emily Cain?(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or dont you know enough about her to say?"

FAV9Former ACLU Director Shenna Bellows?(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or dont you know enough about her to say?"

FAV10Political Activist Isaac Misiuk? (MIS shuk)(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or dont you know enough about him to say?"

GOVDCI know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Governor election in 2014 are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?

1DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR2LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE3STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99NA / REFUSED

GOV1"If the 2014 Governor election was being held today would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican Eliot Cutler, the Independent Mike Michaud, the Democrat or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1PAUL LEPAGE SKIPTO GOV22ELIOT CUTLER SKIPTO GOV23MIKE MICHAUD SKIPTO GOV24OTHER VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO GOV25WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO GOV2

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED SKIPTO GOV2

GOV1LN"Would you say you are leaning towards Paul LePage, the Republican, Eliot Cutler, the Independent, or Mike Michaud, the Democrat?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1PAUL LEPAGE2ELIOT CUTLER3MIKE MICHAUD4OTHER VOLUNTEERED5WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

GOV2"What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Mike Michaud if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican Mike Michaud, the Democrat or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1PAUL LEPAGE2MIKE MICHAUD3OTHER VOLUNTEERED4WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

GOV3"What if the candidates were Paul LePage and Eliot Cutler if the 2014 Governor election was being held today, would you vote for Paul LePage, the Republican Eliot Cutler, the Independent or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1PAUL LEPAGE2ELIOT CUTLER3OTHER VOLUNTEERED4WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

GOV4Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the 2014 Governor election, Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, or Mike Michaud?

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1PAUL LEPAGE2ELIOT CUTLER3MIKE MICHAUD4OTHER VOLUNTEERED

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

MEDEXAs you may know, earlier this year the legislature passed a bill to expand MaineCare coverage using federal funds in the health care law. Supporters said the bill would provide health coverage to roughly 60,000 low-income Maine residents. Governor LePage vetoed the measure because he said Maine could neither afford its existing MaineCare program, nor count on federal funding. Looking towards the November election, does this veto make you more or less likely to vote for Governor LePage or does this not make much difference in your vote?

1MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR2LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR3LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN YOUR VOTE

98DK/NOT SURE99NA/REFUSED

SENDCLets turn to the election for Senate. I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the Maine Senate election in 2014 are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?

1DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR2LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE3STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99NA / REFUSED

SEN1"If the 2014 Senate election was being held today would you vote for Susan Collins, the Republican Shenna Bellows, the Democrat or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1SUSAN COLLINS2SHENNA BELLOWS3OTHER VOLUNTEERED4WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

SPLIT BY DISTRICT

CD1"If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today would you vote for Issac Misiuk the Republican Chellie Pingree, the Democrat or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1ISSAC MISIUK2CHELLIE PINGREE3OTHER VOLUNTEERED4WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

CD2If the 2014 Congressional Election was being held today would you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican Emily Cain, the Democrat or would you skip this election?"

ROTATE CANDIDATES

1BRUCE POLIQUIN2EMILY CAIN3OTHER VOLUNTEERED4WILL NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED*99NA / REFUSED

BEAR1As you may know, there will be a referendum on the November ballot which would prohibit certain bear hunting practices in Maine. How much have you heard about this referendum a great deal a fair amount only a little or nothing at all?

1A GREAT DEAL2A FAIR AMOUNT3ONLY A LITTLE4NOTHING AT ALL

98DONT KNOW/NOT SURE99NA/REFUSED

BEAR2The question for the upcoming referendum is the following: Do you want to make it a crime to hunt bears with bait, traps or dogs, except to protect property, public safety, or for research? If the 2014 referendum was held today would you vote for the referendum, against it, or would you skip voting on this question?

1VOTE FOR REFERENDUM (YES)2VOTE AGAINST IT (NO)3WILL NOT VOTE

98DONT KNOW/UNDECIDED99NA/REFUSED

D1Now some final questions.

What is your current age?

___ ___: : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45): : : :

96NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER97REFUSED98DK*99NA

D2What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that youve completed and got credit for ... [READ RESPONSES]

1Eighth grade or less,2Some high school,3High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.)4Technical school,5Some college,6College graduate,7Or postgraduate work?

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

D3Are you or any other person in your household a member of a labor union?

1YES2NO

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

D4Are you or any person in your household a member or veteran of the armed forces?

1YES2NO

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

D5"Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?"

1YES2NO

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

D6"Are you of French Canadian descent?"

1YES2NO

98DONT KNOW*99REFUSED

D7"Does anyone in your household currently receive government assistance including TANF, that is Temporary Assistance For Needy Families, food stamps, also called SNAP, or general assistance from your town?"

1YES2NO

98DONT KNOW*99REFUSED

D8GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?

(IF REPUBLICAN): Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?(IF DEMOCRAT): Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?(IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?

1STRONG DEMOCRAT2NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT3INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS4INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER5INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS6NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN7STRONG REPUBLICAN8OTHER PARTY

*99DK / NA / REFUSED

D9Think back to the election for Governor in 2010. Did you vote Paul LePage, Eliot Cutler, Libby Mitchell, someone else, or did you skip that election?

1PAUL LEPAGE - REPUBLICAN2ELIOT CUTLER - INDEPENDENT3LIBBY MITCHELL - DEMOCRAT4OTHER

97DID NOT VOTE

98DK / NOT SURE*99NA / REFUSED

D10Which of the following statements BEST represents your position on abortion ... abortions should be legal in ALL circumstances ... abortion should be legal in limited circumstances, such as in cases of rape or incest or when the mothers life is in danger ... or, abortion should not be legal in ANY circumstance? (ROTATE ANSWER OPTIONS)

1LEGAL IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES2LEGAL IN LIMITED CIRCUMSTANCES3NOT LEGAL IN ANY CIRCUMSTANCE98DK/NOT SURE (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA / REFUSED

D11"What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, some other religion, or no religion?"

1PROTESTANT2CATHOLIC3JEWISH4NONE, NO RELIGION5OTHER (SPECIFY)

97REFUSED98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE*99NA / REFUSED

D12"How often do you attend religious services apart from occasional weddings, baptisms, or funerals ... more than once a week ... once week ... once or twice a month ... a few times a year ... or never?"

1MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK2ONCE A WEEK3ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH4A FEW TIMES A YEAR5NEVER

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)*99NA

D13Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?

1ONE2TWO3THREE4FOUR5FIVE6SIX7SEVEN OR MORE

98DK*99NA / REFUSED

D14Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?

0NO LANDLINE1ONE2TWO3THREE 4FOUR5FIVE6SIX7SEVEN OR MORE

98DK*99NA / REFUSED

D15And on how many different cellphone NUMBERS can your household be reached?

0NO CELL PHONE1ONE2TWO3THREE 4FOUR5FIVE6SIX7SEVEN OR MORE

98DK*99NA / REFUSED

D16Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?

1 YES Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you? ____________ 2 NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)

99 NA / REFUSED

Q:ENDThank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.

Tabular Results

52

Approval Rating President Barack Obama

ApproveNeutralDisapprove(N=)STATEWIDE44%7%49%618

Registered Democrat75%5%20%148 Registered Unenrolled/Other47%8%45%220 Registered Republican11%0%89%171

Democrat81%7%12%239 Independent35%6%58%144 Republican9%2%89%205

Likely Voter45%4%51%525 NonLikely Voter37%24%38%93

Extremely Interested50%3%47%175 Very Interested42%2%56%225 Some/Little Interest41%15%44%212

Union household53%5%42%112 Nonunion42%7%51%499

Gun Owner34%6%60%326 NonGun Owner56%9%35%275

French Canadian42%7%51%133 NonFrench Canadian45%7%48%477

Receives Assistance46%7%47%45 Does Not Receive Assistance44%7%49%550

Veteran37%4%59%167 NonVeteran47%7%46%444

Abortion Legal In All Situations64%8%28%275 Limited Circumstances30%7%63%238 Not Legal in Any Circumstances19%9%72%57

2010 LePage Voter11%2%86%228 2010 Cutler Voter69%5%26%138 2010 Mitchell Voter81%6%13%75 Did Not Vote in 201050%15%34%128

18 to 3454%17%29%149 35 to 4930%3%66%162 50 to 6450%5%45%166 65 and over42%3%55%130

Male34%6%59%302 Female52%8%40%317

High school or less29%19%52%124 Some college35%5%59%179 College graduate50%4%46%215 Postgraduate64%4%33%98

Protestant31%3%65%228 Catholic45%6%49%158 Other61%7%32%193

Attend services 1 or more a week41%2%57%110 12 times a month30%4%66%76 Less often50%4%46%194 Never46%13%41%222

Northern Maine42%10%48%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine47%6%48%112 Central Maine27%14%59%144 Southern Maine54%2%44%223

First Cong. Dist51%4%44%293 Second Cong. Dist37%10%54%326

Approval Rating Governor Paul LePage

ApproveNeutralDisapprove(N=)STATEWIDE41%7%52%617

Registered Democrat17%4%79%149 Registered Unenrolled/Other37%4%59%219 Registered Republican71%7%23%171

Democrat13%3%84%240 Independent41%8%51%139 Republican75%6%20%208

Likely Voter43%3%54%519 NonLikely Voter29%30%42%98

Extremely Interested42%1%57%175 Very Interested40%6%54%226 Some/Little Interest40%13%47%211

Union household27%5%68%112 Nonunion44%7%49%498

Gun Owner53%5%42%325 NonGun Owner24%10%66%274

French Canadian46%5%49%130 NonFrench Canadian39%8%54%480

Receives Assistance25%11%64%45 Does Not Receive Assistance42%6%52%549

Veteran49%8%42%167 NonVeteran38%6%56%443

Abortion Legal In All Situations23%6%71%278 Limited Circumstances56%7%38%238 Not Legal in Any Circumstances58%15%27%56

2010 LePage Voter79%5%16%226 2010 Cutler Voter18%2%80%138 2010 Mitchell Voter2%1%96%76 Did Not Vote in 201026%19%56%129

18 to 3430%12%58%152 35 to 4944%6%50%158 50 to 6445%5%50%167 65 and over41%5%54%127

Male50%7%43%297 Female32%7%61%321

High school or less55%16%29%123 Some college40%7%53%179 College graduate37%4%59%215 Postgraduate31%3%65%97

Protestant54%4%42%230 Catholic42%6%53%155 Other26%8%66%197

Attend services 1 or more a week43%5%51%109 12 times a month58%4%38%76 Less often41%5%54%195 Never32%11%57%223

Northern Maine43%11%47%137 Downeast/Coastal Maine35%3%62%108 Central Maine48%8%44%148 Southern Maine37%7%57%224

First Cong. Dist36%6%58%294 Second Cong. Dist45%8%47%324

U.S. Right Direction / Wrong Track

RightWrongDon'tDirectionTrackKnow(N=)STATEWIDE24%69%7%610

Registered Democrat43%50%7%145 Registered Unenrolled/Other25%69%6%216 Registered Republican11%88%1%168

Democrat41%51%8%236 Independent16%79%5%136 Republican11%85%4%209

Likely Voter25%70%5%513 NonLikely Voter16%66%18%96

Extremely Interested24%70%6%169 Very Interested23%71%6%224 Some/Little Interest25%66%9%211

Union household29%66%5%110 Nonunion23%70%7%492

Gun Owner20%75%5%325 NonGun Owner29%61%10%269

French Canadian26%71%3%133 NonFrench Canadian23%68%8%470

Receives Assistance9%82%9%45 Does Not Receive Assistance25%68%7%541

Veteran9%86%5%162 NonVeteran29%64%7%440

Abortion Legal In All Situations34%58%8%272 Limited Circumstances14%79%6%239 Not Legal in Any Circumstances11%79%10%53

2010 LePage Voter8%90%2%223 2010 Cutler Voter40%54%6%134 2010 Mitchell Voter43%52%5%74 Did Not Vote in 201027%58%15%131

18 to 3430%60%10%148 35 to 4917%80%3%156 50 to 6427%67%6%166 65 and over22%71%7%126

Male21%74%5%293 Female26%65%9%317

High school or less11%73%15%125 Some college21%75%4%177 College graduate29%64%6%208 Postgraduate32%64%4%97

Protestant17%79%4%225 Catholic33%62%5%157 Other27%63%10%191

Attend services 1 or more a week18%76%6%109 12 times a month13%82%5%76 Less often33%63%4%190 Never24%65%11%219

Northern Maine20%72%8%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine22%70%8%110 Central Maine18%72%10%149 Southern Maine32%64%4%211

First Cong. Dist32%63%5%281 Second Cong. Dist17%74%9%329 Maine Right Direction / Wrong Track

RightWrongDon'tDirectionTrackKnow(N=)STATEWIDE43%48%10%607

Registered Democrat32%56%12%147 Registered Unenrolled/Other43%50%6%220 Registered Republican53%37%10%161

Democrat32%58%10%236 Independent46%47%7%136 Republican55%37%8%205

Likely Voter43%49%8%510 NonLikely Voter40%42%18%97

Extremely Interested37%54%10%165 Very Interested41%51%8%224 Some/Little Interest49%39%12%212

Union household31%61%8%111 Nonunion45%45%10%488

Gun Owner43%48%9%319 NonGun Owner41%48%11%272

French Canadian41%50%9%130 NonFrench Canadian43%47%10%469

Receives Assistance46%45%9%45 Does Not Receive Assistance42%48%10%538

Veteran45%45%10%164 NonVeteran42%49%9%435

Abortion Legal In All Situations35%54%11%274 Limited Circumstances48%45%6%235 Not Legal in Any Circumstances44%34%22%52

2010 LePage Voter57%36%7%217 2010 Cutler Voter34%56%10%137 2010 Mitchell Voter15%71%13%73 Did Not Vote in 201045%40%15%132

18 to 3447%41%12%152 35 to 4941%49%9%154 50 to 6442%49%9%165 65 and over41%51%8%125

Male43%47%9%293 Female42%48%10%314

High school or less48%40%12%123 Some college51%43%6%178 College graduate38%50%12%209 Postgraduate31%59%10%95

Protestant48%45%7%221 Catholic43%50%7%157 Other40%47%14%195

Attend services 1 or more a week45%44%11%104 12 times a month51%42%7%76 Less often49%46%5%192 Never33%53%14%222

Northern Maine46%42%12%135 Downeast/Coastal Maine40%50%10%107 Central Maine41%55%4%144 Southern Maine43%45%12%221

First Cong. Dist39%50%11%288 Second Cong. Dist46%45%9%319 Favor / Oppose Health Care Legislation Passed in Congress

FavorNeutral/DKOppose(N=)STATEWIDE35%17%49%625

Registered Democrat69%11%20%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other35%18%46%223 Registered Republican7%11%82%171

Democrat69%16%14%241 Independent23%14%63%144 Republican6%14%80%209

Likely Voter36%14%50%527 NonLikely Voter28%31%41%98

Extremely Interested45%11%45%175 Very Interested35%10%55%228 Some/Little Interest27%27%46%216

Union household48%7%46%112 Nonunion32%18%50%505

Gun Owner28%14%58%328 NonGun Owner44%19%37%279

French Canadian31%14%55%133 NonFrench Canadian36%17%47%484

Receives Assistance32%23%44%45 Does Not Receive Assistance36%15%49%556

Veteran27%18%55%169 NonVeteran38%15%47%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations55%14%31%278 Limited Circumstances22%19%59%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances10%18%72%57

2010 LePage Voter10%10%81%229 2010 Cutler Voter58%16%26%138 2010 Mitchell Voter73%13%14%76 Did Not Vote in 201034%28%38%132

18 to 3443%20%37%152 35 to 4924%10%67%162 50 to 6438%14%48%168 65 and over37%21%42%130

Male29%13%58%302 Female40%20%40%323

High school or less12%32%56%127 Some college25%15%60%180 College graduate42%12%46%217 Postgraduate67%7%26%98

Protestant25%13%62%230 Catholic29%22%49%159 Other53%13%34%198

Attend services 1 or more a week26%15%60%110 12 times a month23%15%61%76 Less often43%13%44%195 Never37%21%42%226

Northern Maine25%20%55%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine45%14%40%112 Central Maine22%22%57%149 Southern Maine44%12%44%224

First Cong. Dist42%14%43%294 Second Cong. Dist28%19%53%331 Will Your Family Be Better Or Worse Off Under the Health Care Law?

Better OffWorse OffNo DifferenceDK(N=)STATEWIDE16%26%54%5%625

Registered Democrat35%11%50%4%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other15%25%57%3%223 Registered Republican4%48%44%4%171

Democrat31%11%54%4%241 Independent12%17%69%2%144 Republican1%51%43%6%209

Likely Voter17%27%52%4%527 NonLikely Voter7%20%62%10%98

Extremely Interested24%29%42%5%175 Very Interested18%26%52%4%228 Some/Little Interest7%22%65%5%216

Union household22%22%52%4%112 Nonunion14%27%54%4%505

Gun Owner13%30%52%4%328 NonGun Owner19%19%56%6%279

French Canadian12%27%57%5%133 NonFrench Canadian17%25%53%5%484

Receives Assistance6%11%82%1%45 Does Not Receive Assistance17%27%51%5%556

Veteran8%30%57%6%169 NonVeteran19%24%53%4%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations27%13%55%6%278 Limited Circumstances6%36%53%5%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances11%42%44%3%57

2010 LePage Voter5%47%44%4%229 2010 Cutler Voter24%15%60%2%138 2010 Mitchell Voter32%18%47%3%76 Did Not Vote in 201019%10%62%9%132

18 to 3418%14%65%3%152 35 to 4910%33%53%4%162 50 to 6423%28%44%5%168 65 and over11%26%57%7%130

Male13%25%58%4%302 Female19%26%50%6%323

High school or less6%30%53%10%127 Some college9%29%57%5%180 College graduate21%24%51%4%217 Postgraduate28%18%55%0%98

Protestant14%37%45%5%230 Catholic8%22%66%4%159 Other25%17%54%4%198

Attend services 1 or more a week15%36%46%3%110 12 times a month7%34%53%6%76 Less often16%22%58%5%195 Never19%21%54%6%226

Northern Maine10%22%62%7%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine27%29%36%8%112 Central Maine8%32%56%5%149 Southern Maine19%22%56%3%224

First Cong. Dist19%22%56%3%294 Second Cong. Dist13%29%52%7%331 Under Health Care Law Do You Think Your Medical Care Costs Will Increase or Decrease?

IncreaseDecreaseRemain The SameDK(N=)STATEWIDE57%7%29%8%624

Registered Democrat39%15%40%6%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other59%6%27%9%221 Registered Republican76%1%21%2%171

Democrat39%14%39%9%240 Independent59%5%29%7%144 Republican78%0%19%3%209

Likely Voter58%7%29%7%526 NonLikely Voter51%5%30%13%98

Extremely Interested51%13%28%8%174 Very Interested60%3%29%8%228 Some/Little Interest58%5%31%6%216

Union household59%5%24%11%112 Nonunion56%7%31%6%504

Gun Owner65%4%24%6%327 NonGun Owner45%10%35%10%279

French Canadian62%6%28%4%133 NonFrench Canadian55%7%30%9%482

Receives Assistance41%1%48%9%44 Does Not Receive Assistance58%7%27%7%556

Veteran58%4%32%7%169 NonVeteran57%8%29%7%447

Abortion Legal In All Situations45%12%35%8%277 Limited Circumstances67%2%22%8%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances64%5%25%5%57

2010 LePage Voter78%2%16%4%229 2010 Cutler Voter51%9%35%4%137 2010 Mitchell Voter38%11%45%6%76 Did Not Vote in 201037%10%37%15%132

18 to 3434%8%45%14%152 35 to 4976%2%20%1%162 50 to 6459%10%26%5%167 65 and over56%7%27%10%130

Male59%8%27%6%302 Female54%6%31%9%322

High school or less62%4%21%13%127 Some college59%5%31%5%180 College graduate56%8%27%9%216 Postgraduate46%9%40%4%98

Protestant65%4%23%8%229 Catholic57%6%30%7%159 Other47%12%36%5%198

Attend services 1 or more a week56%6%30%9%110 12 times a month69%7%19%5%76 Less often56%4%32%8%194 Never53%10%29%8%226

Northern Maine59%2%30%9%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine53%9%25%13%111 Central Maine61%5%25%9%149 Southern Maine54%10%33%3%224

First Cong. Dist53%9%32%6%292 Second Cong. Dist60%5%26%9%331 Does Welfare Do More Harm Than Good Or More Good Than Harm?

More HarmMore GoodThan GoodThan HarmNeitherDK(N=)STATEWIDE46%43%7%4%620

Registered Democrat35%60%4%2%149 Registered Unenrolled/Other42%46%9%3%218 Registered Republican68%20%8%4%171

Democrat27%65%5%3%240 Independent43%43%12%2%141 Republican72%21%4%4%209

Likely Voter47%44%7%2%523 NonLikely Voter42%40%6%11%97

Extremely Interested45%47%5%3%175 Very Interested43%45%9%3%224 Some/Little Interest51%39%6%5%216

Union household46%42%10%2%112 Nonunion47%44%6%3%501

Gun Owner54%34%9%3%325 NonGun Owner37%54%4%5%279

French Canadian50%37%10%3%133 NonFrench Canadian45%45%6%4%479

Receives Assistance38%59%1%1%45 Does Not Receive Assistance47%42%7%4%551

Veteran52%37%5%6%169 NonVeteran45%46%8%2%444

Abortion Legal In All Situations36%54%6%4%277 Limited Circumstances58%31%7%3%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances59%32%5%4%57

2010 LePage Voter66%25%7%2%226 2010 Cutler Voter35%53%9%3%138 2010 Mitchell Voter26%69%2%3%75 Did Not Vote in 201036%51%6%8%132

18 to 3444%49%4%3%148 35 to 4956%37%5%3%161 50 to 6445%45%8%2%168 65 and over40%43%10%7%130

Male51%37%7%6%298 Female42%49%7%2%323

High school or less45%38%6%10%126 Some college57%34%6%2%179 College graduate45%43%9%2%214 Postgraduate31%65%2%2%98

Protestant49%40%7%4%227 Catholic55%33%9%3%159 Other38%56%4%3%198

Attend services 1 or more a week50%41%8%2%110 12 times a month45%42%9%4%76 Less often45%43%8%3%191 Never46%44%5%5%226

Northern Maine52%36%7%6%139 Downeast/Coastal Maine45%49%5%1%112 Central Maine56%31%8%5%149 Southern Maine37%53%7%3%221

First Cong. Dist39%52%5%4%290 Second Cong. Dist53%35%8%4%330 Do Most Welfare Recipients Need The Assistance They Receive?

Most PeopleMost People Do NotNeed AssistanceNeed AssistanceNeitherDK(N=)STATEWIDE46%41%8%5%617

Registered Democrat63%32%3%2%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other46%38%13%3%217 Registered Republican30%53%10%7%168

Democrat71%24%3%2%241 Independent41%44%13%2%139 Republican25%58%10%7%206

Likely Voter48%40%8%4%519 NonLikely Voter36%43%12%9%98

Extremely Interested56%31%8%5%175 Very Interested50%37%9%4%222 Some/Little Interest35%52%9%5%213

Union household55%38%4%4%112 Nonunion45%42%10%4%497

Gun Owner37%51%9%4%323 NonGun Owner58%29%8%5%277

French Canadian36%55%7%3%129 NonFrench Canadian49%37%8%5%481

Receives Assistance58%33%9%0%45 Does Not Receive Assistance46%42%7%5%548

Veteran41%41%11%7%167 NonVeteran49%41%8%3%443

Abortion Legal In All Situations62%28%7%3%278 Limited Circumstances34%53%8%5%236 Not Legal in Any Circumstances21%55%16%8%57

2010 LePage Voter25%61%9%6%226 2010 Cutler Voter65%26%6%3%138 2010 Mitchell Voter78%18%1%3%76 Did Not Vote in 201044%37%13%7%127

18 to 3446%45%6%3%148 35 to 4939%50%9%3%159 50 to 6451%38%9%3%168 65 and over51%30%10%9%128

Male45%42%9%5%294 Female48%40%8%4%323

High school or less25%58%9%8%124 Some college44%45%8%3%180 College graduate50%37%11%2%212 Postgraduate69%21%3%6%98

Protestant42%41%12%5%227 Catholic36%55%6%3%154 Other59%32%6%3%198

Attend services 1 or more a week43%38%13%6%110 12 times a month35%49%10%6%76 Less often48%42%8%2%190 Never50%40%5%5%224

Northern Maine33%51%10%7%135 Downeast/Coastal Maine59%29%10%3%112 Central Maine32%55%9%4%149 Southern Maine58%32%7%4%221

First Cong. Dist57%34%6%3%291 Second Cong. Dist36%47%11%6%327 Interest in 2014 Election

ExtremelyVerySomewhatNot VeryInterestedInterestedInterestedInterestedDK(N=)STATEWIDE28%36%22%12%1%625

Registered Democrat42%41%12%5%0%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other21%37%30%12%0%223 Registered Republican31%41%21%5%2%171

Democrat34%38%18%9%0%241 Independent26%32%25%17%0%144 Republican24%40%27%7%2%209

Likely Voter33%41%22%4%0%527 NonLikely Voter2%13%26%55%4%97

Union household39%38%18%5%0%112 Nonunion26%36%24%13%1%505

Gun Owner24%39%24%12%0%328 NonGun Owner30%34%21%13%2%279

French Canadian28%34%30%8%1%133 NonFrench Canadian28%37%20%14%1%484

Receives Assistance28%26%15%31%0%45 Does Not Receive Assistance28%38%23%10%1%555

Veteran29%35%21%13%1%169 NonVeteran28%37%23%11%1%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations31%31%25%13%0%278 Limited Circumstances25%40%22%12%1%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances26%47%12%10%5%56

2010 LePage Voter27%43%23%6%1%229 2010 Cutler Voter31%47%16%6%0%138 2010 Mitchell Voter50%34%14%2%0%76 Did Not Vote in 201013%20%30%35%1%131

18 to 3417%24%28%29%2%152 35 to 4918%39%32%10%1%162 50 to 6437%41%14%8%0%168 65 and over41%40%15%2%1%130

Male29%39%20%11%0%302 Female27%34%24%13%2%323

High school or less14%33%26%27%0%126 Some college29%33%27%10%2%180 College graduate29%41%19%11%1%217 Postgraduate42%37%18%1%1%98

Protestant32%45%18%4%1%230 Catholic25%33%29%12%1%159 Other28%32%22%17%1%197

Attend services 1 or more a week32%44%17%8%0%110 12 times a month30%31%32%5%1%76 Less often22%49%19%8%1%195 Never30%25%24%21%0%226

Northern Maine26%30%27%15%1%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine32%39%16%12%1%112 Central Maine22%41%20%16%1%149 Southern Maine31%37%24%8%0%224

First Cong. Dist31%35%22%11%1%293 Second Cong. Dist25%38%23%13%1%331

Likely To Vote In 2014 Election

ProbablyWill Vote Will DefinitelyNot VoteMay VoteUnless Emerg.VoteUnsure(N=)STATEWIDE5%5%10%75%6%625

Registered Democrat2%3%4%91%1%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other2%8%11%75%5%223 Registered Republican1%5%12%78%4%171

Democrat3%5%9%82%2%241 Independent8%4%11%71%6%144 Republican2%7%10%76%5%208

Extremely Interested0%1%5%94%0%175 Very Interested2%2%9%85%2%228 Some/Little Interest10%13%14%50%14%216

Union household1%2%5%89%2%112 Nonunion5%6%10%72%6%505

Gun Owner4%3%11%78%4%328 NonGun Owner6%8%8%70%8%279

French Canadian3%6%11%77%3%133 NonFrench Canadian5%5%9%74%7%483

Receives Assistance28%2%8%48%13%45 Does Not Receive Assistance3%6%10%78%4%555

Veteran7%3%9%75%5%169 NonVeteran4%6%10%76%5%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations5%6%6%77%5%278 Limited Circumstances4%4%13%73%6%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances8%6%7%69%10%57

2010 LePage Voter0%4%11%84%1%229 2010 Cutler Voter1%3%6%89%2%138 2010 Mitchell Voter0%2%7%88%3%76 Did Not Vote in 201019%14%12%37%17%131

18 to 349%11%9%60%11%152 35 to 493%9%10%74%4%162 50 to 644%1%8%84%4%168 65 and over1%1%12%82%4%130

Male4%5%11%75%6%302 Female5%6%8%75%6%323

High school or less7%4%9%61%19%126 Some college5%9%10%72%4%180 College graduate5%4%11%78%2%217 Postgraduate1%3%5%91%1%98

Protestant2%2%12%81%4%230 Catholic3%5%9%76%6%159 Other10%7%7%73%3%198

Attend services 1 or more a week8%4%10%72%6%110 12 times a month4%1%12%83%0%76 Less often4%4%10%79%4%195 Never4%9%7%70%9%226

Northern Maine8%6%8%69%8%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine2%7%11%81%0%112 Central Maine3%7%7%74%9%148 Southern Maine5%3%11%76%5%224

First Cong. Dist4%3%10%78%5%293 Second Cong. Dist5%7%9%72%6%331

Favorability Ratings Paul LePage Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE40%7%51%2%525

Registered Democrat17%4%77%2%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other35%10%53%2%189 Registered Republican74%4%19%3%154

Democrat10%5%82%3%217 Independent39%10%50%1%117 Republican76%7%15%2%180

Extremely Interested38%4%57%1%173 Very Interested41%7%51%2%214 Some/Little Interest41%11%44%4%137

Union household29%2%68%0%106 Nonunion43%8%46%2%416

Gun Owner51%9%38%1%290 NonGun Owner23%4%69%4%218

French Canadian42%10%48%1%117 NonFrench Canadian39%6%53%2%399

Receives Assistance22%2%73%2%26 Does Not Receive Assistance41%7%50%2%482

Veteran47%8%45%1%141 NonVeteran38%7%53%2%381

Abortion Legal In All Situations22%6%72%0%232 Limited Circumstances55%8%35%2%206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances60%2%28%9%43

2010 LePage Voter76%8%15%1%216 2010 Cutler Voter16%10%72%1%130 2010 Mitchell Voter3%1%94%2%72 Did Not Vote in 201017%6%75%1%65

18 to 3425%13%61%0%104 35 to 4943%8%48%1%135 50 to 6445%4%48%3%154 65 and over41%4%51%3%120

Male49%7%43%1%258 Female31%7%58%3%267

High school or less60%1%36%4%88 Some college44%14%41%1%149 College graduate34%7%57%2%192 Postgraduate27%2%68%2%93

Protestant54%8%36%2%212 Catholic40%9%49%3%136 Other21%5%73%1%158

Attend services 1 or more a week44%8%44%5%90 12 times a month56%8%35%0%72 Less often44%7%47%2%173 Never27%6%65%2%174

Northern Maine47%10%42%1%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%8%60%2%103 Central Maine50%11%36%2%120 Southern Maine35%2%61%2%193

First Cong. Dist34%3%61%2%257 Second Cong. Dist46%10%41%2%268

Favorability Ratings Susan Collins Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE71%7%19%3%523

Registered Democrat61%8%27%5%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other83%3%12%1%190 Registered Republican65%11%21%3%154

Democrat68%7%21%4%218 Independent77%6%16%2%114 Republican72%9%17%2%180

Extremely Interested63%7%28%3%173 Very Interested76%8%12%3%215 Some/Little Interest76%6%17%1%134

Union household63%13%22%2%106 Nonunion73%6%18%3%414

Gun Owner75%7%17%2%291 NonGun Owner66%9%21%4%216

French Canadian70%6%23%1%118 NonFrench Canadian72%8%17%3%397

Receives Assistance77%0%19%3%26 Does Not Receive Assistance72%7%18%2%481

Veteran74%6%17%3%142 NonVeteran70%8%19%3%378

Abortion Legal In All Situations75%5%18%2%232 Limited Circumstances74%9%16%1%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances51%12%30%6%43

2010 LePage Voter71%10%17%2%214 2010 Cutler Voter81%1%15%2%130 2010 Mitchell Voter49%13%36%1%72 Did Not Vote in 201071%8%14%7%65

18 to 3471%6%19%4%104 35 to 4974%8%17%0%132 50 to 6469%6%22%4%154 65 and over74%9%15%2%121

Male68%9%22%1%254 Female75%6%16%4%268

High school or less61%17%20%1%86 Some college76%4%18%2%149 College graduate75%7%16%2%193 Postgraduate64%5%25%6%93

Protestant71%9%17%3%213 Catholic74%5%19%2%136 Other70%8%19%3%158

Attend services 1 or more a week70%4%21%5%91 12 times a month80%2%17%1%72 Less often72%13%11%4%174 Never68%6%25%1%174

Northern Maine78%8%13%1%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine65%14%20%1%100 Central Maine73%6%19%3%120 Southern Maine70%5%21%4%194

First Cong. Dist71%5%21%3%257 Second Cong. Dist72%10%16%2%265

Favorability Ratings Angus King Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE66%9%21%4%526

Registered Democrat85%4%9%3%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other72%8%17%4%190 Registered Republican41%14%40%5%154

Democrat87%6%6%2%218 Independent61%11%23%5%117 Republican46%11%37%6%180

Extremely Interested67%5%26%2%173 Very Interested62%13%21%4%215 Some/Little Interest74%7%11%8%137

Union household64%16%19%1%106 Nonunion67%7%21%5%417

Gun Owner59%11%25%4%291 NonGun Owner77%6%12%4%219

French Canadian64%5%25%6%118 NonFrench Canadian67%10%19%4%400

Receives Assistance84%4%9%3%26 Does Not Receive Assistance66%9%21%4%484

Veteran59%7%27%7%142 NonVeteran69%10%18%3%381

Abortion Legal In All Situations81%5%12%2%232 Limited Circumstances56%11%28%6%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances54%9%34%3%43

2010 LePage Voter42%12%41%5%217 2010 Cutler Voter93%1%4%2%130 2010 Mitchell Voter84%7%7%2%72 Did Not Vote in 201073%17%6%5%65

18 to 3470%19%6%5%104 35 to 4962%5%30%3%135 50 to 6469%7%17%7%154 65 and over68%6%25%1%121

Male62%10%25%4%258 Female71%8%17%5%268

High school or less57%13%23%6%89 Some college68%6%23%4%149 College graduate65%12%20%4%193 Postgraduate75%5%17%3%93

Protestant58%11%28%3%213 Catholic65%11%20%4%136 Other79%5%10%6%158

Attend services 1 or more a week67%7%22%4%91 12 times a month67%2%28%4%72 Less often61%14%22%3%174 Never72%8%14%6%174

Northern Maine62%6%30%2%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine62%19%17%2%103 Central Maine57%6%28%9%120 Southern Maine77%7%13%3%194

First Cong. Dist73%10%12%5%257 Second Cong. Dist60%8%28%4%269

Favorability Ratings Chellie Pingree Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)FIRST CONG DIST54%8%28%10%257

Registered Democrat82%7%7%4%75 Registered Unenrolled/Other60%9%21%9%89 Registered Republican15%9%61%16%71

Democrat81%8%4%7%126 Independent39%5%50%5%50 Republican19%7%55%18%76

Extremely Interested62%7%25%5%91 Very Interested52%10%31%7%100 Some/Little Interest45%6%27%21%66

Union household62%17%20%2%58 Nonunion52%5%31%12%199

Gun Owner44%12%33%10%124 NonGun Owner64%4%22%10%126

French Canadian51%7%32%10%58 NonFrench Canadian55%8%27%9%196

Receives Assistance43%5%39%13%14 Does Not Receive Assistance56%8%28%8%235

Veteran35%3%48%14%77 NonVeteran62%10%20%8%180

Abortion Legal In All Situations76%8%11%4%132 Limited Circumstances37%9%40%15%82 Not Legal in Any Circumstances10%3%68%19%18

2010 LePage Voter24%7%54%14%90 2010 Cutler Voter70%8%18%4%66 2010 Mitchell Voter95%2%1%2%42 Did Not Vote in 201054%15%13%18%41

18 to 3458%16%20%6%58 35 to 4942%5%35%17%60 50 to 6461%6%25%8%81 65 and over51%6%34%9%54

Male48%3%40%9%130 Female60%13%17%11%127

High school or less55%16%16%13%31 Some college44%4%36%16%82 College graduate53%11%29%7%97 Postgraduate74%3%21%2%47

Protestant38%12%37%13%88 Catholic54%13%22%11%64 Other66%1%26%7%101

Attend services 1 or more a week39%4%44%13%36 12 times a month56%6%17%22%28 Less often54%15%25%6%79 Never59%5%28%8%111

Downeast/Coastal Maine54%28%16%2%37 Central Maine40%5%43%12%29 Southern Maine56%4%28%11%190

Favorability Ratings Mike Michaud Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE54%6%26%14%526

Registered Democrat79%6%7%8%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other57%8%21%14%190 Registered Republican27%5%51%17%154

Democrat78%7%7%8%218 Independent53%6%24%17%117 Republican26%6%51%17%180

Extremely Interested57%7%28%8%173 Very Interested52%7%27%14%215 Some/Little Interest56%3%21%19%137

Union household56%12%23%8%106 Nonunion54%5%27%15%417

Gun Owner48%8%32%13%291 NonGun Owner64%5%17%15%219

French Canadian60%7%23%10%118 NonFrench Canadian53%6%27%14%400

Receives Assistance70%12%11%7%26 Does Not Receive Assistance54%6%27%13%484

Veteran52%4%33%11%142 NonVeteran55%7%23%15%381

Abortion Legal In All Situations70%10%11%9%232 Limited Circumstances46%2%41%11%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances27%5%39%28%43

2010 LePage Voter26%6%50%18%217 2010 Cutler Voter74%6%13%7%130 2010 Mitchell Voter89%2%5%5%72 Did Not Vote in 201062%15%5%18%65

18 to 3462%11%16%11%104 35 to 4948%4%33%16%135 50 to 6457%6%22%16%154 65 and over53%5%32%10%121

Male51%5%33%11%258 Female57%7%19%17%268

High school or less51%5%30%15%89 Some college56%3%25%16%149 College graduate52%11%25%13%193 Postgraduate58%4%27%10%93

Protestant43%8%33%17%213 Catholic58%5%27%10%136 Other68%6%14%12%158

Attend services 1 or more a week45%3%33%19%91 12 times a month53%0%34%13%72 Less often52%11%23%14%174 Never64%6%20%10%174

Northern Maine56%5%33%6%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine55%12%28%4%103 Central Maine49%2%32%16%120 Southern Maine56%6%17%21%194

First Cong. Dist56%8%18%17%257 Second Cong. Dist52%5%33%10%269

Favorability Ratings Eliot Cutler Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE33%11%27%29%525

Registered Democrat34%12%30%24%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other37%9%27%27%189 Registered Republican23%15%25%37%154

Democrat38%12%29%21%218 Independent28%8%30%34%116 Republican29%13%24%35%180

Extremely Interested28%9%39%24%172 Very Interested39%12%22%26%214 Some/Little Interest28%11%19%42%137

Union household30%14%33%23%106 Nonunion33%10%26%31%416

Gun Owner29%12%27%32%291 NonGun Owner39%10%26%26%218

French Canadian27%7%31%35%118 NonFrench Canadian35%12%26%27%399

Receives Assistance29%2%33%36%26 Does Not Receive Assistance33%11%27%28%483

Veteran24%9%32%34%141 NonVeteran36%12%25%28%381

Abortion Legal In All Situations40%11%25%24%231 Limited Circumstances32%11%24%33%206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances13%14%41%32%43

2010 LePage Voter18%12%32%37%217 2010 Cutler Voter62%11%17%10%129 2010 Mitchell Voter18%20%42%20%72 Did Not Vote in 201046%0%17%37%65

18 to 3438%16%24%22%104 35 to 4933%9%27%31%135 50 to 6432%10%29%29%154 65 and over30%10%29%31%120

Male34%10%29%27%257 Female31%12%25%31%268

High school or less21%15%28%36%89 Some college31%12%30%27%149 College graduate35%11%24%31%192 Postgraduate42%6%28%24%93

Protestant33%9%28%29%212 Catholic30%12%23%35%136 Other36%11%28%25%158

Attend services 1 or more a week29%5%25%41%91 12 times a month30%8%33%28%72 Less often35%15%25%25%174 Never34%12%27%27%173

Northern Maine24%16%21%39%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine31%15%33%21%102 Central Maine29%8%29%33%120 Southern Maine41%8%26%26%194

First Cong. Dist38%8%27%27%256 Second Cong. Dist27%14%27%32%269

Favorability Ratings Bruce Poliquin Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)SECOND CONG DIST23%7%26%43%269

Registered Democrat17%5%49%30%67 Registered Unenrolled/Other26%2%22%50%101 Registered Republican29%15%12%44%83

Democrat9%6%47%38%92 Independent23%2%21%54%67 Republican36%13%12%40%104

Extremely Interested32%7%34%27%81 Very Interested21%12%23%43%115 Some/Little Interest16%0%24%60%71

Union household13%18%35%34%48 Nonunion25%5%25%45%219

Gun Owner28%10%23%40%166 NonGun Owner14%4%34%48%93

French Canadian31%4%28%37%60 NonFrench Canadian20%9%27%45%204

Receives Assistance13%0%26%61%12 Does Not Receive Assistance22%8%27%42%248

Veteran34%8%22%36%65 NonVeteran19%7%28%46%201

Abortion Legal In All Situations13%3%39%45%99 Limited Circumstances27%11%17%45%125 Not Legal in Any Circumstances29%12%22%37%25

2010 LePage Voter37%11%12%40%127 2010 Cutler Voter12%2%39%47%64 2010 Mitchell Voter2%8%66%24%30 Did Not Vote in 20105%8%17%70%24

18 to 340%4%18%78%46 35 to 4923%12%16%49%75 50 to 6427%5%36%32%72 65 and over30%8%37%25%67

Male29%10%32%29%127 Female18%5%21%56%142

High school or less19%12%27%42%58 Some college27%9%22%42%66 College graduate19%5%23%53%96 Postgraduate27%3%41%29%47

Protestant26%10%21%43%125 Catholic29%1%11%59%71 Other12%7%52%29%57

Attend services 1 or more a week28%9%18%45%54 12 times a month40%6%27%27%44 Less often19%9%19%53%96 Never11%6%42%41%63

Northern Maine22%8%23%48%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine7%14%32%48%66 Central Maine37%2%26%34%91

Favorability Ratings Emily Cain Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)SECOND CONG DIST32%7%17%45%269

Registered Democrat53%7%4%36%67 Registered Unenrolled/Other32%6%17%45%101 Registered Republican18%4%30%47%83

Democrat58%6%4%32%92 Independent17%9%16%58%67 Republican19%6%30%46%104

Extremely Interested39%6%25%30%81 Very Interested29%9%17%45%115 Some/Little Interest29%3%9%59%71

Union household40%6%18%36%48 Nonunion30%7%17%46%219

Gun Owner33%6%21%40%166 NonGun Owner31%8%7%53%93

French Canadian25%8%15%52%60 NonFrench Canadian34%6%18%42%204

Receives Assistance37%8%3%52%12 Does Not Receive Assistance32%5%18%45%248

Veteran29%6%14%51%65 NonVeteran33%7%18%43%201

Abortion Legal In All Situations46%2%12%41%99 Limited Circumstances24%7%21%48%125 Not Legal in Any Circumstances34%7%22%37%25

2010 LePage Voter14%9%29%47%127 2010 Cutler Voter49%2%5%44%64 2010 Mitchell Voter80%6%0%14%30 Did Not Vote in 201024%6%5%66%24

18 to 3444%7%3%46%46 35 to 4922%2%22%53%75 50 to 6430%13%13%43%72 65 and over38%5%22%35%67

Male28%10%25%38%127 Female35%4%10%51%142

High school or less22%5%17%56%58 Some college40%8%22%30%66 College graduate26%10%12%52%96 Postgraduate43%1%20%36%47

Protestant28%7%23%42%125 Catholic34%7%12%47%71 Other38%5%11%46%57

Attend services 1 or more a week25%5%23%46%54 12 times a month30%9%19%43%44 Less often33%8%17%42%96 Never39%6%10%45%63

Northern Maine38%5%17%40%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine35%1%15%50%66 Central Maine22%12%19%46%91

Favorability Ratings Shenna Bellows Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)STATEWIDE17%6%13%64%526

Registered Democrat32%7%5%57%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other16%5%7%72%190 Registered Republican3%7%29%60%154

Democrat32%6%4%58%218 Independent8%3%15%74%117 Republican3%7%24%66%180

Extremely Interested21%7%17%56%173 Very Interested20%6%15%59%215 Some/Little Interest7%3%7%83%137

Union household30%7%15%48%106 Nonunion13%6%13%68%417

Gun Owner12%6%16%65%291 NonGun Owner24%5%8%62%218

French Canadian16%6%17%61%118 NonFrench Canadian17%6%12%65%400

Receives Assistance13%8%6%73%26 Does Not Receive Assistance17%6%13%64%484

Veteran8%6%16%69%142 NonVeteran20%6%12%63%382

Abortion Legal In All Situations30%4%6%60%232 Limited Circumstances8%8%18%66%206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances4%8%21%67%43

2010 LePage Voter4%6%24%66%218 2010 Cutler Voter27%8%4%61%130 2010 Mitchell Voter37%8%3%52%72 Did Not Vote in 201026%0%9%65%65

18 to 3427%5%2%66%104 35 to 4914%3%20%63%136 50 to 6417%8%12%62%154 65 and over12%6%16%67%121

Male14%7%21%58%258 Female19%5%6%71%268

High school or less5%10%18%67%89 Some college8%6%17%68%149 College graduate19%4%9%67%193 Postgraduate37%4%9%50%93

Protestant14%5%17%65%212 Catholic11%9%16%64%136 Other28%3%6%63%159

Attend services 1 or more a week12%7%19%63%91 12 times a month13%4%14%69%72 Less often18%6%14%62%174 Never20%5%9%65%174

Northern Maine10%7%13%70%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine27%5%11%57%103 Central Maine11%4%17%69%120 Southern Maine18%6%12%63%194

First Cong. Dist20%7%12%62%258 Second Cong. Dist13%5%15%67%269

Favorability Ratings Isaac Misiuk Likely Voters

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)FIRST CONG DIST6%8%6%80%257

Registered Democrat5%7%5%83%75Registered Unenrolled/Other9%6%2%83%89Registered Republican2%13%12%73%71

Democrat7%5%3%85%126Independent8%9%3%81%50Republican3%12%12%73%76

Extremely Interested3%9%8%80%91Very Interested11%8%3%78%100Some/Little Interest2%6%8%84%66

Union household10%4%13%73%58Nonunion4%9%4%83%198

Gun Owner9%10%10%71%125NonGun Owner2%6%1%91%125

French Canadian5%10%12%74%58NonFrench Canadian6%8%4%82%196

Receives Assistance5%5%5%85%14Does Not Receive Assistance6%8%6%80%235

Veteran4%8%12%77%76NonVeteran7%8%3%82%180

Abortion Legal In All Situations5%6%4%85%133 Limited Circumstances6%13%12%68%81Not Legal in Any Circumstances0%0%0%100%18

2010 LePage Voter3%12%7%77%902010 Cutler Voter3%7%5%86%662010 Mitchell Voter3%11%1%84%42Did Not Vote in 201021%0%12%68%41

18 to 3413%6%14%67%5835 to 491%6%0%93%6050 to 642%9%7%81%8165 and over8%8%3%80%54

Male4%9%9%79%131 Female8%7%3%82%126

High school or less6%18%0%75%31Some college5%8%12%75%83College graduate8%7%2%83%96Postgraduate2%2%8%88%47

Protestant11%6%6%77%87 Catholic3%16%8%73%65Other3%5%4%88%101

Attend services 1 or more a week5%9%14%73%3612 times a month4%5%2%90%28Less often11%6%5%78%78 Never3%10%5%82%111

Downeast/Coastal Maine18%10%0%72%37Central Maine0%5%9%86%29Southern Maine4%8%7%81%190

Decided on 2014 Governor Vote Likely Voters

DefinitelyLeaning TowardStill Trying ToDecidedSomeoneDecide(N=)STATEWIDE34%18%48%524

Registered Democrat33%30%37%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other27%16%57%190 Registered Republican47%13%39%152

Democrat31%23%45%216 Independent21%18%61%118 Republican47%13%41%179

Extremely Interested48%25%27%172 Very Interested32%21%47%214 Some/Little Interest19%7%74%136

Union household41%23%36%106 Nonunion32%17%50%415

Gun Owner39%13%48%289 NonGun Owner27%26%48%218

French Canadian38%12%51%115 NonFrench Canadian34%20%46%400

Receives Assistance56%9%35%26 Does Not Receive Assistance34%19%47%481

Veteran44%11%45%141 NonVeteran31%21%48%380

Abortion Legal In All Situations34%19%47%232 Limited Circumstances34%18%48%206 Not Legal in Any Circumstances34%30%36%42

2010 LePage Voter46%11%43%216 2010 Cutler Voter23%20%57%130 2010 Mitchell Voter39%31%30%72 Did Not Vote in 201013%27%60%65

18 to 3412%21%67%104 35 to 4932%15%53%135 50 to 6436%22%42%152 65 and over52%16%32%121

Male38%20%42%258 Female30%17%53%266

High school or less43%14%44%88 Some college34%11%55%148 College graduate26%25%48%192 Postgraduate43%20%36%93

Protestant34%17%49%213 Catholic38%17%45%135 Other32%24%45%157

Attend services 1 or more a week39%21%40%90 12 times a month39%13%48%72 Less often29%18%53%174 Never36%20%44%173

Northern Maine36%15%49%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine43%18%39%102 Central Maine38%19%43%118 Southern Maine26%20%54%194

First Cong. Dist30%19%51%258 Second Cong. Dist38%18%44%266

2014 Governor Vote Likely Voters

Paul LePageEliot CutlerMike MichaudOtherUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE36%15%40%1%7%503

Registered Democrat11%13%69%0%8%141 Registered Unenrolled/Other26%20%42%3%8%181 Registered Republican79%10%8%0%4%146

Democrat5%16%70%3%6%213 Independent33%16%35%0%16%106 Republican75%14%8%0%4%175

Definitely Decided53%4%41%0%1%177 Leaning Toward Someone23%16%60%0%1%95 Still Trying To Decide28%24%32%2%14%229

Extremely Interested34%14%47%0%6%173 Very Interested37%15%39%3%7%210 Some/Little Interest37%20%34%0%9%118

Union household27%9%55%6%3%99 Nonunion38%17%37%0%8%401

Gun Owner44%13%35%2%5%275 NonGun Owner23%18%50%0%9%211

French Canadian36%14%42%0%9%109 NonFrench Canadian35%16%40%1%7%387

Receives Assistance17%15%62%0%5%25 Does Not Receive Assistance37%16%39%1%7%463

Veteran46%10%38%0%6%140 NonVeteran32%17%41%2%8%360

Abortion Legal In All Situations19%19%54%2%5%224 Limited Circumstances49%13%32%0%6%197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances63%10%22%0%5%42

2010 LePage Voter77%6%13%0%4%205 2010 Cutler Voter5%36%54%0%6%126 2010 Mitchell Voter3%1%86%0%10%72 Did Not Vote in 201020%16%42%9%12%62

18 to 3417%23%46%6%8%96 35 to 4948%18%30%0%5%129 50 to 6434%13%45%0%8%149 65 and over39%10%42%0%9%120

Male45%16%33%0%6%250 Female27%15%47%2%8%253

High school or less50%10%34%0%7%78 Some college44%13%37%0%6%146 College graduate31%17%40%3%9%184 Postgraduate22%21%54%0%4%93

Protestant49%14%27%3%7%209 Catholic37%13%46%0%5%129 Other18%18%55%0%9%152

Attend services 1 or more a week48%10%37%0%6%87 12 times a month51%20%26%0%3%71 Less often35%16%38%3%8%166 Never24%16%51%0%8%169

Northern Maine37%14%45%0%4%95 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%17%43%6%4%96 Central Maine54%11%30%0%5%118 Southern Maine28%18%43%0%11%193

First Cong. Dist29%16%44%2%9%256 Second Cong. Dist43%15%37%0%5%247 2014 Governor Vote With Leaners Likely Voters

Paul LePageEliot CutlerMike MichaudOtherUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE36%16%41%1%5%503

Registered Democrat11%14%70%0%5%141 Registered Unenrolled/Other27%21%43%3%6%181 Registered Republican79%10%9%0%3%146

Democrat5%18%72%3%3%213 Independent34%17%36%0%13%106 Republican75%15%8%0%3%175

Definitely Decided53%4%42%0%1%177 Leaning Toward Someone24%16%60%0%0%95 Still Trying To Decide29%26%33%2%10%229

Extremely Interested35%15%48%0%3%173 Very Interested37%15%40%3%6%210 Some/Little Interest37%22%35%0%6%118

Union household27%9%57%6%2%99 Nonunion39%18%38%0%6%401

Gun Owner45%14%35%2%4%275 NonGun Owner23%20%51%0%6%211

French Canadian37%16%43%0%3%109 NonFrench Canadian36%16%41%1%5%387

Receives Assistance17%15%64%0%3%25 Does Not Receive Assistance37%17%40%1%5%463

Veteran46%11%39%0%4%140 NonVeteran33%18%42%2%5%360

Abortion Legal In All Situations19%21%55%2%3%224 Limited Circumstances50%14%32%0%4%197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances63%10%22%0%5%42

2010 LePage Voter78%6%13%0%3%205 2010 Cutler Voter5%37%54%0%4%126 2010 Mitchell Voter3%4%91%0%2%72 Did Not Vote in 201020%18%42%9%10%62

18 to 3417%25%46%6%6%96 35 to 4948%18%31%0%3%129 50 to 6435%13%46%0%6%149 65 and over39%12%44%0%5%120

Male45%16%35%0%4%250 Female28%17%48%2%5%253

High school or less50%11%34%0%6%78 Some college44%14%37%0%5%146 College graduate32%18%41%3%6%184 Postgraduate22%21%55%0%2%93

Protestant50%15%28%3%5%209 Catholic37%13%46%0%4%129 Other18%19%57%0%6%152

Attend services 1 or more a week48%10%38%0%4%87 12 times a month51%20%26%0%3%71 Less often35%16%38%3%7%166 Never25%19%53%0%4%169

Northern Maine39%14%45%0%1%95 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%18%44%6%2%96 Central Maine54%11%31%0%5%118 Southern Maine28%20%44%0%8%193

First Cong. Dist29%17%45%2%7%256 Second Cong. Dist44%15%37%0%3%247

2014 Governor Vote If LePage and Michaud Likely Voters

Paul LePageMike MichaudOtherUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE44%51%0%4%498

Registered Democrat12%82%1%5%141 Registered Unenrolled/Other41%56%0%3%179 Registered Republican85%10%0%4%146

Democrat7%90%0%3%212 Independent47%44%1%8%101 Republican87%9%0%4%175

Definitely Decided55%45%0%0%176 Leaning Toward Someone28%72%0%0%93 Still Trying To Decide42%48%1%9%226

LePage Supporter99%0%0%1%183 Cutler Supporter41%53%1%5%74 Michaud Supporter0%99%0%0%207

Extremely Interested40%58%0%2%171 Very Interested45%49%1%5%208 Some/Little Interest48%46%0%6%117

Union household34%65%0%1%101 Nonunion47%48%0%5%394

Gun Owner55%40%1%4%274 NonGun Owner27%69%0%5%207

French Canadian46%50%0%4%108 NonFrench Canadian43%52%0%4%383

Veteran55%40%0%4%140 NonVeteran40%55%0%4%355

Abortion Legal In All Situations25%74%0%1%219 Limited Circumstances57%36%0%6%197 Not Legal in Any Circumstances74%24%0%1%42

2010 LePage Voter83%14%0%3%205 2010 Cutler Voter18%75%1%6%123 2010 Mitchell Voter3%97%0%0%72 Did Not Vote in 201023%69%0%9%61

18 to 3432%65%0%2%94 35 to 4957%41%0%2%126 50 to 6441%53%0%6%149 65 and over42%51%1%6%118

Male53%44%0%3%245 Female35%59%0%6%253

High school or less53%38%0%8%78 Some college52%45%0%3%147 College graduate40%55%0%5%180 Postgraduate31%66%1%2%90

Attend services 1 or more a week52%43%0%5%87 12 times a month63%35%0%2%70 Less often47%49%1%4%164 Never29%66%0%5%166

Northern Maine52%46%0%2%97 Downeast/Coastal Maine39%58%1%2%96 Central Maine60%35%0%6%114 Southern Maine33%60%0%6%191

First Cong. Dist34%61%0%5%254 Second Cong. Dist55%41%0%4%244

2014 Governor Vote If LePage and Cutler Likely Voters

Paul LePageEliot CutlerOtherUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE38%50%3%9%498

Registered Democrat18%74%1%8%136 Registered Unenrolled/Other26%55%7%12%183 Registered Republican77%16%0%7%145

Democrat10%81%4%6%208 Independent35%41%5%19%109 Republican73%18%0%8%173

Definitely Decided58%33%7%2%171 Leaning Toward Someone24%74%1%2%91 Still Trying To Decide30%52%0%18%233

LePage Supporter92%1%0%7%180 Cutler Supporter3%90%0%7%82 Michaud Supporter9%79%7%4%195

Extremely Interested36%54%3%7%168 Very Interested37%48%4%11%208 Some/Little Interest42%47%0%11%120

Union household28%65%3%4%105 Nonunion41%45%3%11%390

Gun Owner47%42%2%8%278 NonGun Owner24%62%3%11%205

French Canadian43%40%3%14%110 NonFrench Canadian36%53%3%8%381

Veteran51%36%4%9%137 NonVeteran33%54%2%10%358

Abortion Legal In All Situations20%71%4%5%221 Limited Circumstances51%38%0%11%195 Not Legal in Any Circumstances71%19%1%9%41

2010 LePage Voter82%11%0%7%211 2010 Cutler Voter3%86%4%7%129 2010 Mitchell Voter4%80%7%9%66 Did Not Vote in 201016%70%0%14%57

18 to 3420%70%0%9%98 35 to 4946%39%6%9%131 50 to 6439%46%3%12%144 65 and over42%48%2%8%115

Male45%41%3%10%243 Female31%58%2%9%255

High school or less52%33%1%14%78 Some college45%37%6%11%141 College graduate34%57%0%9%188 Postgraduate24%67%4%4%89

Attend services 1 or more a week47%43%0%10%85 12 times a month48%43%0%9%70 Less often34%53%3%10%165 Never32%54%5%8%168

Northern Maine41%43%4%11%100 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%62%4%4%97 Central Maine54%36%1%10%117 Southern Maine31%55%3%10%184

First Cong. Dist34%55%3%8%246 Second Cong. Dist43%44%2%11%252

2014 Governor Election Who Will Win Likely Voters

Paul LePageEliot CutlerMike MichaudOtherDK/Unsure(N=)STATEWIDE31%7%43%0%19%526

Registered Democrat19%8%57%0%17%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other26%7%44%0%23%190 Registered Republican53%6%24%0%16%154

Democrat16%7%59%0%18%218 Independent28%9%41%0%22%117 Republican51%5%25%0%19%180

LePage Supporter63%3%18%0%15%183 Cutler Supporter17%21%43%0%19%82 Michaud Supporter12%3%72%0%13%207

Extremely Interested37%7%39%0%17%173 Very Interested27%8%45%0%20%215 Some/Little Interest30%4%44%0%21%137

Union household28%3%46%0%23%106 Nonunion32%7%42%0%18%417

Gun Owner39%6%38%0%16%291 NonGun Owner20%7%50%0%22%219

French Canadian32%7%45%0%16%118 NonFrench Canadian32%6%42%0%19%400

Veteran35%5%42%0%18%142 NonVeteran30%7%43%0%19%381

Abortion Legal In All Situations21%9%53%0%18%232 Limited Circumstances40%4%38%0%18%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances51%5%27%0%17%43

2010 LePage Voter53%5%26%0%16%217 2010 Cutler Voter25%9%48%0%18%130 2010 Mitchell Voter8%8%65%0%20%72 Did Not Vote in 201014%7%53%0%26%65

18 to 3417%9%59%0%16%104 35 to 4936%9%41%0%14%135 50 to 6436%7%39%0%18%154 65 and over32%2%37%0%28%121

Male38%5%43%0%14%258 Female25%8%43%0%24%268

High school or less46%4%33%0%16%89 Some college32%2%48%0%19%149 College graduate25%13%43%0%19%193 Postgraduate29%3%46%0%22%93

Protestant39%8%33%0%19%213 Catholic32%7%47%0%14%136 Other22%4%53%0%21%158

Attend services 1 or more a week34%8%39%0%19%91 12 times a month43%6%35%0%15%72 Less often29%7%40%0%24%174 Never28%6%52%0%14%174

Northern Maine25%5%49%0%21%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%8%41%0%21%103 Central Maine41%4%37%0%18%120 Southern Maine29%8%45%0%18%194

First Cong. Dist28%9%45%0%18%257 Second Cong. Dist34%5%41%0%20%269

Medicaid Expansion Veto Affect LePage Vote Likely Voters

More LikelyLess LikelyLittle DifferenceTo Vote ForTo Vote ForIn Your VoteDK/Unsure(N=)STATEWIDE28%31%39%2%527

Registered Democrat9%57%34%0%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other26%29%41%5%191 Registered Republican52%10%36%1%154

Democrat6%56%35%3%218 Independent30%22%47%1%118 Republican52%7%38%2%180

Definitely Decided38%28%32%1%178 Leaning Toward Someone19%52%28%0%96 Still Trying To Decide24%26%47%3%249

Extremely Interested27%43%30%0%173 Very Interested29%32%36%3%215 Some/Little Interest27%16%55%3%137

Union household21%38%35%6%106 Nonunion30%30%39%1%418

Gun Owner37%22%37%4%291 NonGun Owner15%45%40%0%219

French Canadian31%24%44%1%118 NonFrench Canadian27%34%37%2%401

Receives Assistance10%49%41%0%26 Does Not Receive Assistance28%31%38%2%484

Veteran31%22%46%2%142 NonVeteran27%35%36%2%382

Abortion Legal In All Situations14%46%36%4%232 Limited Circumstances35%21%43%1%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances49%29%22%0%43

2010 LePage Voter56%9%34%1%218 2010 Cutler Voter9%45%44%2%130 2010 Mitchell Voter2%69%29%0%72 Did Not Vote in 201012%39%40%8%65

18 to 3417%33%44%5%104 35 to 4940%19%39%2%136 50 to 6424%40%35%1%154 65 and over28%35%36%2%121

Male31%27%42%0%258 Female25%36%35%4%268

High school or less32%20%45%3%89 Some college31%24%45%0%149 College graduate28%37%31%4%193 Postgraduate21%43%36%0%93

Protestant37%28%30%4%213 Catholic24%24%52%1%136 Other18%43%39%1%159

Attend services 1 or more a week33%34%32%1%91 12 times a month37%24%36%3%72 Less often28%29%41%3%174 Never21%37%41%1%174

Northern Maine36%23%40%0%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine20%42%30%8%103 Central Maine39%19%40%2%120 Southern Maine21%38%41%0%195

First Cong. Dist19%37%42%2%258 Second Cong. Dist37%26%35%2%269 Decided on 2014 Senate Vote Likely Voters

DefinitelyLeaning TowardStill Trying ToDecidedSomeoneDecide(N=)STATEWIDE16%13%71%517

Registered Democrat19%15%65%140 Registered Unenrolled/Other8%17%74%187 Registered Republican25%5%69%151

Democrat16%17%66%212 Independent13%14%73%117 Republican19%6%75%177

Extremely Interested33%14%53%170 Very Interested10%14%76%211 Some/Little Interest4%9%87%135

Union household31%10%59%103 Nonunion13%13%74%411

Gun Owner15%13%71%285 NonGun Owner16%13%71%216

French Canadian18%7%75%116 NonFrench Canadian16%14%69%393

Receives Assistance7%44%48%26 Does Not Receive Assistance17%11%72%476

Veteran22%14%64%140 NonVeteran14%12%73%375

Abortion Legal In All Situations18%13%69%229 Limited Circumstances14%12%74%202 Not Legal in Any Circumstances25%12%63%42

2010 LePage Voter19%5%77%216 2010 Cutler Voter11%18%71%126 2010 Mitchell Voter28%18%54%72 Did Not Vote in 201011%13%76%64

18 to 345%20%75%103 35 to 4910%8%82%132 50 to 6420%13%68%151 65 and over28%12%60%120

Male22%12%67%253 Female11%14%76%265

High school or less12%7%82%87 Some college18%16%66%146 College graduate13%14%72%189 Postgraduate25%9%66%93

Protestant15%16%69%207 Catholic14%13%73%136 Other21%8%71%155

Attend services 1 or more a week18%23%59%88 12 times a month15%11%74%71 Less often13%11%76%172 Never19%9%72%172

Northern Maine16%17%67%106 Downeast/Coastal Maine20%15%65%102 Central Maine14%5%81%118 Southern Maine16%13%71%191

First Cong. Dist18%11%71%253 Second Cong. Dist14%14%71%264

2014 Senate Vote Likely Voters

Susan CollinsShenna BellowsOtherUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE72%17%1%10%495

Registered Democrat45%44%1%10%138 Registered Unenrolled/Other81%9%1%9%182 Registered Republican86%2%3%9%141

Democrat53%34%1%13%209 Independent87%5%1%7%113 Republican86%4%3%8%164

Definitely Decided61%34%2%3%82 Leaning Toward Someone77%21%0%2%59 Still Trying To Decide73%12%2%13%345

LePage Supporter87%3%3%6%172Cutler Supporter72%20%0%8%77Michaud Supporter62%31%1%7%200

Extremely Interested61%29%1%9%169 Very Interested77%12%0%11%204 Some/Little Interest79%7%4%10%120

Union household58%29%1%12%100 Nonunion76%14%1%9%392

Gun Owner78%10%3%10%274 NonGun Owner63%26%0%11%204

French Canadian75%17%1%7%109 NonFrench Canadian71%17%2%10%379

Veteran83%9%1%7%130 NonVeteran68%20%1%11%362

Abortion Legal In All Situations61%29%0%10%224 Limited Circumstances84%6%4%6%192 Not Legal in Any Circumstances74%12%0%14%39

2010 LePage Voter86%3%3%8%208 2010 Cutler Voter70%22%1%7%127 2010 Mitchell Voter38%52%0%10%70 Did Not Vote in 201056%19%0%24%53

18 to 3465%23%4%9%90 35 to 4985%8%0%7%132 50 to 6462%23%1%13%147 65 and over75%15%1%9%117

Male75%18%1%6%242 Female69%15%2%13%253

High school or less69%10%7%15%78 Some college82%9%0%8%138 College graduate74%16%1%9%185 Postgraduate56%35%0%9%91

Attend services 1 or more a week79%12%1%8%87 12 times a month76%14%0%10%72 Less often73%13%1%12%158 Never65%25%3%8%164

Northern Maine85%10%0%5%102 Downeast/Coastal Maine66%18%5%11%99 Central Maine77%15%0%8%112 Southern Maine65%21%1%12%182

First Cong. Dist64%21%2%13%239 Second Cong. Dist79%13%1%7%255

2014 Congressional District 1 Vote Likely Voters

Isaac MisiukChellie PingreeOtherUndecided(N=)FIRST CONG DIST22%56%2%20%227

Registered Democrat5%87%0%8%73 Registered Unenrolled/Other15%54%6%25%80 Registered Republican58%15%1%26%59

Democrat2%86%0%12%123 Independent26%26%12%36%36 Republican57%16%2%26%63

LePage Supporter61%16%2%21%61Cutler Supporter9%76%0%15%37Michaud Supporter5%83%4%8%106

Extremely Interested23%67%2%9%86 Very Interested22%45%4%29%93 Some/Little Interest20%59%0%21%48

Union household16%64%0%21%52 Nonunion24%54%3%19%174

Gun Owner24%45%5%26%107 NonGun Owner18%68%0%14%114

French Canadian23%58%1%18%48 NonFrench Canadian21%56%3%21%177

Receives Assistance12%34%40%15%12 Does Not Receive Assistance21%59%0%20%208

Veteran37%37%7%18%68 NonVeteran15%64%0%20%159

Abortion Legal In All Situations7%78%0%16%125 Limited Circumstances34%42%2%22%65 Not Legal in Any Circumstances73%1%0%26%14

2010 LePage Voter53%21%2%24%73 2010 Cutler Voter7%79%0%14%60 2010 Mitchell Voter3%91%0%7%42 Did Not Vote in 201012%49%0%38%38

18 to 3411%68%0%21%49 35 to 4922%48%8%22%52 50 to 6422%56%2%20%73 65 and over31%52%0%17%49

Male28%48%4%20%115 Female15%64%1%20%112

High school or less15%55%0%30%21 Some college31%43%7%20%75 College graduate22%58%0%20%85 Postgraduate10%75%1%14%45

Protestant30%38%1%30%81 Catholic21%62%0%17%55 Other15%67%5%13%88

Attend services 1 or more a week39%39%2%19%33 12 times a month24%61%0%15%28 Less often19%58%0%23%71 Never18%60%5%17%92

Downeast/Coastal Maine19%61%0%20%33 Central Maine29%53%0%18%22 Southern Maine21%56%3%20%171

2014 Congressional District 2 Vote Likely Voters

Bruce PoliquinEmily CainOtherUndecided(N=)SECOND CONG DIST39%44%0%17%222

Registered Democrat12%77%0%11%58 Registered Unenrolled/Other31%48%0%20%82 Registered Republican74%9%0%17%72

Democrat4%87%0%9%82 Independent28%33%1%39%46 Republican78%7%0%14%89

LePage Supporter72%11%0%16%96Cutler Supporter46%34%1%18%26Michaud Supporter3%88%0%9%82

Extremely Interested41%47%1%11%70 Very Interested43%43%0%14%94 Some/Little Interest28%42%0%29%55

Union household38%45%1%17%41 Nonunion40%43%0%17%178

Gun Owner45%38%0%17%142 NonGun Owner25%56%0%19%71

French Canadian43%38%0%19%51 NonFrench Canadian38%45%0%16%166

Receives Assistance30%70%0%0%6 Does Not Receive Assistance39%43%0%17%207

Veteran40%34%1%26%57 NonVeteran39%46%0%14%163

Abortion Legal In All Situations15%62%0%24%81 Limited Circumstances52%35%0%13%105 Not Legal in Any Circumstances66%30%0%3%20

2010 LePage Voter66%9%0%24%106 2010 Cutler Voter17%74%0%9%54 2010 Mitchell Voter0%99%0%1%25 Did Not Vote in 201020%62%0%17%21

18 to 3417%77%0%7%30 35 to 4955%21%0%24%62 50 to 6434%47%1%18%61 65 and over37%46%1%16%62

Male49%37%0%13%102 Female30%49%0%20%119

High school or less46%39%0%16%47 Some college43%41%1%16%60 College graduate36%45%0%19%74 Postgraduate34%49%1%16%39

Protestant51%32%0%17%109 Catholic38%41%1%21%61 Other18%74%0%8%43

Attend services 1 or more a week41%48%0%11%43 12 times a month57%27%0%17%36 Less often43%36%0%20%83 Never18%63%1%18%52

Northern Maine32%46%0%21%90 Downeast/Coastal Maine30%56%1%13%58 Central Maine55%30%0%15%73

Knowledge of Bear Trapping Referendum Likely Voters

A GreatA FairOnly A NothingDealAmountLittleAt AllDont Know(N=)STATEWIDE18%22%30%30%0%527

Registered Democrat16%26%38%20%0%142 Registered Unenrolled/Other20%17%25%38%0%191 Registered Republican20%26%29%24%0%154

Democrat16%24%34%25%0%218 Independent13%20%30%37%1%118 Republican24%22%26%28%0%180

Extremely Interested29%28%26%17%0%173 Very Interested13%22%35%29%0%215 Some/Little Interest13%15%27%45%0%137

Union household17%27%33%22%0%106 Nonunion18%21%29%32%0%418

Gun Owner23%24%26%27%0%291 NonGun Owner12%20%35%33%1%219

French Canadian23%20%22%36%0%118 NonFrench Canadian17%23%32%28%0%401

Receives Assistance19%12%35%34%0%26 Does Not Receive Assistance19%23%29%29%0%484

Veteran14%20%28%37%1%142 NonVeteran20%23%31%27%0%382

Abortion Legal In All Situations18%22%33%27%0%232 Limited Circumstances20%22%29%30%0%207 Not Legal in Any Circumstances18%25%17%39%0%43

2010 LePage Voter21%24%28%27%0%218 2010 Cutler Voter20%17%35%27%0%130 2010 Mitchell Voter17%37%26%21%0%72 Did Not Vote in 201016%8%29%46%0%65

18 to 3422%5%24%49%0%104 35 to 4914%24%25%37%0%136 50 to 6418%27%37%17%1%154 65 and over20%26%32%22%1%121

Male22%26%28%23%0%258 Female14%18%31%36%0%268

High school or less19%25%31%25%1%89 Some college17%20%28%34%0%149 College graduate20%22%28%31%0%193 Postgraduate16%22%36%25%1%93

Protestant17%25%27%31%0%213 Catholic23%21%28%27%0%136 Other17%19%35%29%0%159

Attend services 1 or more a week14%18%30%38%0%91 12 times a month22%22%33%23%0%72 Less often13%25%35%27%0%174 Never23%23%24%29%1%174

Northern Maine18%22%25%34%0%109 Downeast/Coastal Maine14%32%27%27%0%103 Central Maine24%21%24%31%1%120 Southern Maine17%17%37%28%0%195

First Cong. Dist16%22%34%28%0%258 Second Cong. Dist21%23%25%31%0%269

Vote on Bear Referendum Likely Voters

ForAgainstUndecided(N=)STATEWIDE48%44%8%450

Registered Democrat56%34%10%129 Registered Unenrolled/Other58%36%6%151 Registered Republican31%59%9%138

Democrat61%31%8%187 Independent53%41%6%101 Republican28%64%8%153

Heard A Great Deal31%67%2%89Heard A Fair Amount47%49%4% 109Heard Only A Little55%32%13%131Heard Nothing At All54%37%9%118

Extremely Interested44%48%9%157 Very Interested51%42%8%179 Some/Little Interest50%44%7%112

Union household53%33%14%94 Nonunion46%48%6%353

Gun Owner40%53%7%254 NonGun Owner61%32%8%183

French Canadian42%48%10%109 NonFrench Canadian50%43%7%335

Receives Assistance80%17%3%24 Does Not Receive Assistance46%46%8%412

Veteran43%45%11%118 NonVeteran49%44%6%329

Abortion Legal In All Situations58%33%9%198 Limited Circumstances42%50%8%176 Not Legal in Any Circumstances26%73%1%36

2010 LePage Voter32%61%7%195 2010 Cutler Voter56%37%8%108 2010 Mitchell Voter58%30%12%63 Did Not Vote in 201069%29%2%48

18 to 3447%46%7%85 35 to 4942%54%4%118 50 to 6453%40%7%140 65 and over47%37%15%99

Male44%49%7%223 Female52%40%9%227

High school or less35%58%7%77 Some college44%49%7%128 College graduate55%36%8%160 Postgraduate51%42%8%82

Protestant41%51%7%180 Catholic45%45%11%114 Other61%34%4%141

Attend services 1 or more a week43%46%11%71 12 times a month44%49%7%64 Less often52%43%6%150 Never49%42%9%153

Northern Maine45%46%8%87 Downeast/Coastal Maine40%55%5%86 Central Maine40%52%7%103 Southern Maine58%33%9%174

First Cong. Dist53%39%8%226 Second Cong. Dist43%50%7%223

Most Important Problem in Maine

Jobs/Budget/HealthOther/EducationTaxesGovernorEconWelfareGovt.PovertyCareDK(N=)STATEWIDE6%6%12%37%12%8%4%3%13%601

Registered Democrat4%3%30%27%8%6%6%5%10%144 Registered Unenrolled/Other10%7%6%39%14%8%2%3%11%216 Registered Republican4%8%4%43%13%9%0%4%15%165

Democrat7%3%24%32%6%8%6%4%10%236 Independent5%9%4%37%15%3%6%2%19%137 Republican6%7%3%42%17%9%0%3%13%199

Extremely Interested3%6%23%30%9%10%3%5%11%174 Very Interested3%3%10%44%11%8%3%3%14%215 Some/Little Interest10%8%4%36%14%5%5%2%15%205

Union household8%9%17%33%12%5%4%0%11%111 Nonunion5%5%11%38%12%7%3%4%14%482

Gun Owner5%6%10%42%13%7%3%2%13%316 NonGun Owner6%5%14%32%10%9%5%5%15%268

French Canadian4%10%11%36%12%7%3%4%14%130 NonFrench Canadian6%4%12%37%12%8%4%3%14%463

Receives Assistance0%4%10%31%1%8%12%11%22%42 Does Not Receive Assistance6%6%12%37%13%8%3%3%13%534

Veteran7%8%12%37%9%10%4%1%13%165 NonVeteran5%5%12%38%13%6%4%4%14%428

Abortion Legal In All Situations7%5%16%36%8%9%4%3%11%277 Limited Circumstances5%6%8%37%16%8%3%3%14%220 Not Legal in Any Circumstances1%5%9%41%10%4%3%7%20%55

2010 LePage Voter3%6%1%44%21%9%1%2%13%221 2010 Cutler Voter5%5%21%42%5%4%4%2%11%135 2010 Mitchell Voter6%0%40%20%2%13%5%6%7%73 Did Not Vote in 201010%7%4%26%10%8%8%5%22%125

18 to 3414%7%2%33%9%3%7%3%21%146 35 to 494%7%6%44%18%6%1%3%11%158 50 to 641%3%17%40%11%9%4%4%11%161 65 and over4%6%22%31%7%13%2%4%12%123

Male2%9%12%41%8%11%3%2%13%289 Female9%3%12%34%15%5%4%4%14%312

High school or less7%3%7%33%19%10%1%6%14%110 Some college3%7%7%42%9%9%6%2%15%178 College graduate8%8%12%35%11%7%2%4%14%214 Postgraduate4%2%24%38%9%5%5%2%11%96

Protestant4%4%10%38%15%9%3%4%12%225 Catholic4%7%10%39%18%5%3%3%11%151 Other9%7%16%34%3%6%5%3%15%187

Attend services 1 or more a week2%5%13%34%17%4%5%4%15%109 12 times a month4%4%10%32%24%8%4%0%15%71 Less often5%3%10%42%10%7%4%4%16%186 Never9%9%13%36%7%10%3%3%10%218

Northern Maine1%4%7%41%18%9%5%1%15%131 Downeast/Coastal Maine9%1%19%30%12%11%1%3%14%109 Central Maine7%8%8%37%14%8%4%2%13%143 Southern Maine6%7%14%40%6%5%4%5%13%218

First Cong. Dist8%7%13%38%8%6%4%5%10%286 Second Cong. Dist3%4%11%37%15%9%3%2%17%315

Party Registration

RegisteredUnenrolled/RegisteredDemocratOtherRepublican(N=)STATEWIDE28%41%31%543

Democrat63%35%2%214 Independent5%78%17%115 Republican3%26%70%199

Likely Voter29%39%32%487 NonLikely Voter13%57%30%55

Extremely Interested39%29%33%164 Very Interested29%38%33%213 Some/Little Interest16%58%27%162

Union household34%41%25%107 Nonunion26%41%33%433

Gun Owner21%44%35%296 NonGun Owner37%36%27%232

French Canadian28%42%30%115 NonFrench Canadian28%41%31%419

Receives Assistance17%63%20%31 Does Not Receive Assistance29%38%32%489

Veteran19%39%42%143 NonVeteran31%41%28%397

Abortion Legal In All Situations38%46%16%245 Limited Circumstances20%38%42%208 Not Legal in Any Circumstances19%17%64%48

2010 LePage Voter10%33%57%214 2010 Cutler Voter36%46%17%132 2010 Mitchell Voter67%31%2%74 Did Not Vote in 201024%53%23%80

18 to 3425%50%25%109 35 to 4913%48%40%146 50 to 6440%36%24%157 65 and over33%32%35%121

Male24%37%39%255 Female30%45%25%288

High school or less24%36%40%99 Some college15%49%36%156 College graduate28%45%27%194 Postgraduate52%25%23%91

Protestant17%38%45%220 Catholic35%38%27%140 Other38%46%16%159

Attend services 1 or more a week26%27%47%97 12 times a month17%49%34%72 Less often31%40%30%173 Never31%47%22%188

Northern Maine23%45%32%117 Downeast/Coastal Maine25%41%34%100 Central Maine26%42%32%130 Southern Maine33%38%29%196

First Cong. Dist32%37%31%256 Second Cong. Dist24%44%32%287

Party Identification

DemocratIndependentRepublican(N=)STATEWIDE41%24%35%594

Registered Democrat91%4%4%148 Registered Unenrolled/Other34%41%24%216 Registered Republican3%12%85%164

Likely Voter42%23%35%516 NonLikely Voter30%34%36%78

Extremely Interested48%22%30%172 Very Interested42%21%37%222 Some/Little Interest33%31%36%198

Union household48%24%29%107 Nonunion39%25%36%487

Gun Owner33%24%43%316 NonGun Owner51%25%25%265

French Canadian37%25%38%127 NonFrench Canadian42%24%34%463

Receives Assistance30%47%23%43 Does Not Receive Assistance42%22%36%538

Veteran28%31%41%164 NonVeteran45%22%33%430

Abortion Legal In All Situations61%20%19%268 Limited Circumstances26%23%51%232 Not Legal in Any Circumstances22%24%54%52

2010 LePage Voter11%26%63%228 2010 Cutler Voter65%16%19%134 2010 Mitchell Voter88%9%3%75 Did Not Vote in 201043%29%28%115

18 to 3447%27%26%136 35 to 4923%33%43%156 50 to 6450%19%30%164 65 and over42%18%40%128

Male33%28%39%290 Female48%21%32%304

High school or less32%23%45%114 Some college35%26%39%174 College graduate41%30%29%209 Postgraduate61%10%29%97

Protestant26%25%49%228 Catholic45%22%33%154 Other53%26%21%192

Attend services 1 or more a week30%29%42%108 12 times a month25%29%47%75 Less often50%18%32%188 Never45%25%30%213

Northern Maine34%36%30%126 Downeast/Coastal Maine45%18%36%111 Central Maine29%21%50%141 Southern Maine49%23%28%216

First Cong. Dist48%21%31%285 Second Cong. Dist33%27%39%309

Likely Voter

Likely VoterNon-Likely Voter(N=)STATEWIDE84%16%625

Registered Democrat95%5%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other86%14%223 Registered Republican90%10%171

Democrat90%10%241 Independent82%18%144 Republican86%14%208

Extremely Interested99%1%175 Very Interested95%5%228 Some/Little Interest63%37%216

Union household95%5%112 Nonunion83%17%505

Gun Owner89%11%328 NonGun Owner79%21%279

French Canadian88%12%133 NonFrench Canadian83%17%483

Receives Assistance57%43%45 Does Not Receive Assistance87%13%555

Veteran84%16%169 NonVeteran85%15%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations83%17%278 Limited Circumstances86%14%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances76%24%57

2010 LePage Voter95%5%229 2010 Cutler Voter94%6%138 2010 Mitchell Voter95%5%76 Did Not Vote in 201050%50%131

18 to 3469%31%152 35 to 4984%16%162 50 to 6492%8%168 65 and over93%7%130

Male86%14%302 Female83%17%323

High school or less70%30%126 Some college83%17%180 College graduate89%11%217 Postgraduate95%5%98

Protestant92%8%230 Catholic86%14%159 Other80%20%198

Attend services 1 or more a week82%18%110 12 times a month95%5%76 Less often89%11%195 Never77%23%226

Northern Maine78%22%140 Downeast/Coastal Maine92%8%112 Central Maine81%19%148 Southern Maine87%13%224

First Cong. Dist88%12%293 Second Cong. Dist81%19%331

Union Household

Union HouseholdNon-Union Household(N=)STATEWIDE18%82%617

Registered Democrat25%75%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other20%80%221 Registered Republican16%84%170

Democrat21%79%241 Independent17%83%144 Republican15%85%208

Likely Voter20%80%524 NonLikely Voter7%93%93

Extremely Interested25%75%173 Very Interested19%81%226 Some/Little Interest12%88%211

Gun Owner20%80%328 NonGun Owner15%85%274

French Canadian19%81%133 NonFrench Canadian18%82%478

Receives Assistance12%88%45 Does Not Receive Assistance19%81%550

Veteran17%83%169 NonVeteran19%81%448

Abortion Legal In All Situations25%75%273 Limited Circumstances15%85%241 Not Legal in Any Circumstances6%94%57

2010 LePage Voter13%87%228 2010 Cutler Voter24%76%138 2010 Mitchell Voter28%72%76 Did Not Vote in 201013%87%127

18 to 3417%83%147 35 to 4916%84%162 50 to 6426%74%168 65 and over11%89%129

Male18%82%296 Female18%82%321

High school or less12%88%122 Some college15%85%180 College graduate20%80%217 Postgraduate27%73%98

Protestant19%81%230 Catholic19%81%158 Other17%83%198

Attend services 1 or more a week12%88%110 12 times a month16%84%75 Less often27%73%195 Never16%84%221

Northern Maine21%79%134 Downeast/Coastal Maine22%78%112 Central Maine13%87%147 Southern Maine18%82%224

First Cong. Dist21%79%293 Second Cong. Dist15%85%324

Gun Ownership

Gun OwnerNon-Gun Owner(N=)STATEWIDE54%46%607

Registered Democrat41%59%147 Registered Unenrolled/Other61%39%215 Registered Republican63%37%165

Democrat44%56%238 Independent54%46%142 Republican67%33%201

Likely Voter57%43%510 NonLikely Voter38%62%97

Extremely Interested49%51%165 Very Interested58%42%221 Some/Little Interest56%44%215

Union household62%38%107 Nonunion53%47%495

French Canadian66%34%131 NonFrench Canadian51%49%471

Receives Assistance47%53%45 Does Not Receive Assistance55%45%542

Veteran72%28%161 NonVeteran48%52%441

Abortion Legal In All Situations50%50%271 Limited Circumstances64%36%235 Not Legal in Any Circumstances34%66%56

2010 LePage Voter69%31%220 2010 Cutler Voter51%49%138 2010 Mitchell Voter31%69%73 Did Not Vote in 201046%54%132

18 to 3457%43%152 35 to 4954%46%157 50 to 6454%46%166 65 and over51%49%123

Male59%41%293 Female50%50%314

High school or less53%47%124 Some college61%39%175 College graduate50%50%211 Postgraduate51%49%98

Protestant62%38%222 Catholic56%44%157 Other47%53%195

Attend services 1 or more a week51%49%110 12 times a month62%38%73 Less often54%46%190 Never54%46%220

Northern Maine62%38%137 Downeast/Coastal Maine60%40%110 Central Maine55%45%143 Southern Maine45%55%217

First Cong. Dist49%51%285 Second Cong. Dist58%42%322

French Canadian Heritage

French CanadianNon-French Canadian(N=)STATEWIDE22%78%617

Registered Democrat21%79%150 Registered Unenrolled/Other22%78%221 Registered Republican21%79%164

Democrat19%81%241 Independent22%78%144 Republican24%76%204

Likely Voter23%77%519 NonLikely Voter16%84%98

Extremely Interested21%79%171 Very Interested20%80%225 Some/Little Interest23%77%215

Union household23%77%112 Nonunion22%78%499

Gun Owner27%73%324 NonGun Owner16%84%278

Receives Assistance7%93%45 Does Not Receive Assistance23%77%551

Veteran22%78%167 NonVeteran22%78%445

Abortion Legal In All Situations16%84%278 Limited Circumstances24%76%239 Not Legal in Any Circumstances32%68%55

2010 LePage Voter23%77%225 2010 Cutler Voter23%77%138 2010 Mitchell Voter28%72%76 Did Not Vote in 201016%84%132

18 to 3418%82%152 35 to 4924%76%160 50 to 6424%76%166 65 and over19%81%129

Male23%77%295 Female21%79%321

High school or less17%83%125 Some college24%76%176 College graduate22%78%217 Postgraduate21%79%98

Protestant11%89%226 Catholic39%61%158 Other22%78%197

Attend s