the future world - sasha kazantseva
TRANSCRIPT
Hole in the wall project
TECHNOLOGY is
everywhere and has
been propelling
humanity
Basic Domestic and hunting tools
10,000 BC – Agriculture, domestic animals plants
1450s- Printing press
1750 -1850 -First Industrial Revolution
1850 – 1920 – Second Industrial Revolution
Developments from First, Second and Cold Wars
1970s - PCs
1990s - Internet
2010 – Internet of Things
2010 – Third Industrial Revolution –
democratisation of tools of production – 3D
printing, local manufacturing
What is different now is
the SPEED of
development
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law
We are not great at
predicting what will
happen –Transport yourself back to 1999 and think whether you could
have ever predicted Google, Facebook, social media, sudden
toppling of autocratic governments, electric self-driving cars,
automatic drones, domestic robots - smartphones that allow
us to manage our lives from anywhere?
Project Loon
by Google
– balloon-
powered
internet
http://www.google.com/loon/
Telegraph.co.uk
Artificial Intelligence & Robotics
Nanotechnology & 3D Printing
Synthetic Biology
Energy & Environmental Systems
Medicine & Neuroscience
Networks & Computing Systems
Space & Physical Sciences
Core technology tracks at Singularity University
Future predictions in
1999
Ray Kurzweilhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29
• Most books will be read on screens rather than paper.
• Personal worn computers provide monitoring of body functions, automated identity
and directions for navigation.
• Cables are disappearing. Computer peripheries use wireless communication.
• People can talk to their computer to give commands (e.g. Siri)
• Computer displays built into eyeglasses for augmented reality are used. (Google
Glass)
• Computers can recognize their owner's face from a picture or video.
• Research has been initiated on reverse engineering the brain through both destructive
and non-invasive scans.
• Intelligent roads and driverless cars will be in use, mostly on highways.
• People use personal computers the size of rings, pins, credit cards and books.
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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29
• Thin, lightweight, handheld displays with very high resolutions are the preferred means for
viewing documents..
• Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
• Most learning is accomplished through intelligent, adaptive online courseware presented by
computer-simulated teachers. In the learning process, human adults fill the counselor and
mentor roles instead of being academic instructors.
• Most human workers spend the majority of their time acquiring new skills and knowledge.
• Blind people wear special glasses that interpret the real world for them through speech.
Sighted people also use these glasses to amplify their own abilities.
• Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in
conversations.
• Access to the Internet is completely wireless and provided by wearable or implanted
computers.
• Devices that deliver sensations to the skin surface of their users (i.e.--tight body suits and
gloves) are also sometimes used in virtual reality to complete the experience - "Virtual sex”.
• The vast majority of business interactions occur between humans and simulated retailers, or
between a human's virtual personal assistant and a simulated retailer.
• Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29
• Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment (inside of furniture, jewelry, walls,
clothing, etc.).
• People experience 3-D virtual reality through glasses and contact lenses that beam images
directly to their retinas
• Cables connecting computers and peripherals have almost completely disappeared.
• Destructive scans of the brain and noninvasive brain scans have allowed scientists to
understand the brain much better..
• Computers do most of the vehicle driving—-humans are in fact prohibited from driving on
highways unassisted.
• Furthermore, when humans do take over the wheel, the onboard computer system constantly
monitors their actions and takes control whenever the human drives recklessly. As a result, there
are very few transportation accidents.
• Prototype personal flying vehicles using microflaps exist. They are also primarily computer-
controlled.
• Human-robot relationships begin as simulated personalities become more convincing.
• Virtual artists—creative computers capable of making their own art and music—emerge in all
fields of the arts.
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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29
• A $1,000 personal computer is 1,000 times more powerful than the human brain.
• The vast majority of computation is done by computers and not by human brains.
• The eyeglasses and headphones that used to deliver virtual reality are now obsolete thanks to
computer implants that go into the eyes and ears. The implants are either permanent or removable.
They allow direct interface with computers, communications and Internet-based applications.
• Computer implants designed for direct connection to the brain are also available. They are capable
of augmenting natural senses and of enhancing higher brain functions like memory & overall
intelligence.
• Computers are now capable of learning and creating new knowledge entirely on their own and with
no human help. By scanning the enormous content of the Internet, some computers "know" literally
everything (every scientific discovery, book and movie, public statement, etc.) generated by human
beings.
• Direct brain implants allow users to enter full-immersion virtual reality—with complete sensory
stimulation—without any external equipment. People can have their minds in a totally different place
at any moment.
• The manufacturing, agricultural and transportation sectors of the economy are almost entirely
automated and employ very few humans. Across the world, poverty, war and disease are almost
nonexistent thanks to technology alleviating want.
• The rise of Artificial Intelligence creates a real "robot rights" movement, and there is open, public
debate over what sorts of civil rights and legal protections machines should have. The existence of
humans with heavy levels of cybernetic augmentation and of larger numbers of other people with
less extreme cybernetic implants lead to further arguments over what constitutes a "human being.”
• Artificial Intelligences claim to be conscious and openly petition for recognition of the fact. Most
people admit and accept this new truth.
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Computational capacity
From a Ted talk by Peter Diamandis
What
does it mean
for US?
Your job
will not
exist in
10 years
time.
What you know will be
outdated by 2020
New industries will be
created requiring new
skills
The future
demographics gap and
skills mismatch
https://www.ted.com/talks/rainer_strack_the_surprising_workforce_crisis_of_2030_and_how_to
_start_solving_it_now
https://www.ted.com/talks/rainer_strack_the_surprising_workforce_crisis_of_2030_and_how_to
_start_solving_it_now
9-5, 5 day a week jobs
will cease to exist and
move into flexible and
remote working
arrangements
Onset of “Me Limited” -
one-wo/man
businesses.
Separation between
work and life will blur
and disappear
completely
WORK = LIFE
We will develop a
portfolio career
Houses will cease to be
our main investment –
investment in yourself
will be the most
important investment
you can make
Open-source world –
reduction of IP
protection, working
together to survive in a
hugely complex world
Increasingly intelligent
robots will keep
automating low and
medium skilled jobs.
Biggest IP = creativity,
innovation
Quality of life will
continue to increase
while the cost to
decrease - billions of
people will be lifted out
of poverty – freeing
more time to work on
innovation
We will live till 100
years
The Maker Movement
(Thirds Industrial
Revolution) will disrupt
how we produce and
supply everything
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vx0Z6LplaMU
V
U
C
A
Volatile
Uncertain
Ambiguous
Complex
W
O
R
L
D
How do I live in a
VUCA world?
Taking care of myself –
exercise, healthy food,
sleep, water
Reading35 books in 2014
(thanks for my Kindle purchase!)
My favourite books in
2014:1. The Startup of You – Ben Hoffman, founder Linkedin
2. Daring greatly: How the Courage to be Vulnerable transforms the way
we live, love, parent and lead – Brene Brown
3. The Maker Movement Manifesto - Mark Hatch, Techshop
4. ReWork: Change the way you work forever – Jason Fried, David
Heinemeier
5. Delivering Happiness – Tony Hsieh, Zappos
6. The Spiritual Machine – Ray Kurzweil
7. The Anatomy of Peace: How to Resolve the Heart of Conflict –
Arbinger Institute
8. Quiet: The Power of Introverts in a world that cannot stop talking –
Susan Cain
9. Playful Parenting - Lawrence Cohen
Constantly Learn –Online courses, coaching,
conferences, workshops, online
tutorials, asking for help
Write
www.startupme.co
Constantly experimentStartups, funding startups, projects,
helping others
Startup
24 Innovation bootcamp for companies and individuals in 24 hours.
20/21st March 2015 – first open bootcamp in
Guernsey www.startupme.co/startup24/
Digital
Express
WorkshopA coaching experience to get
you comfortable with
technology and ignite
continuous learning
April – May 2015
