the fallacy of fine-tuning

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Vic Stenger The Fallacy of Fine-Tuning How the Universe is Not Designed for Life

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Debunking the fine-tuning argument

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  • Vic Stenger

    The Fallacy of Fine-TuningHow the Universe is

    Not Designed for Life

  • Is the universe fine-tuned for life? Penrose: 1/10123

    Anthropic principle.

    If the constants of physics had been slightly different, life as we know it would not have evolved.

  • Some obvious fallacies of fine tuning claims

    Speed of light cPlanck's constant hGravitational constant G

    Arbitrary constantsjust establish system of units

    Only meaningful parameters are dimensionless ratios

    Fine tuned?

  • Another trivial fallacy

    Masses of neutrinosClaim: If slightly bigger or smaller stars and galaxies would not form in ways conducive to life.Assumes number of neutrinos is fixed. Not! Number of neutrinos depends on mass of neutrino. Higher masssmaller number.

    Gravitational effect same for wide range of masses.

  • Hoyle coincidenceHe4 + He4 -> Be8Be8 + He4 -> C12

    Hoyle 1953

    Be8 + He47.6447.68

    7.3667MeV

    Livio et al 1989T = 1.393 billion degrees

    More carbon

    Prediction!

    No fine tuning evident

    Synthesis of carbon in stars

    Carbon energy levels

  • Strength of Nuclear Force

    But this assumes EM strength = constant = 1/137

    S lowerno stable nuclei

    S higherno hydrogen

    S

    forbidden

    forbidden

    allowed

    Allow to vary

  • How fine-tuned is our universe?Four dimensionless parameters determine major large-scale features of universe:

    Ratio of electron to proton masses me / mp

    Strength of electromagnetic force G =

    Gmp2c Strength of gravity

    S Strength of strong nuclear force

    Note: gives proton mass

  • Other forms of life

    Some other form of life might be possible with many other variations of physical constants.

  • MonkeyGod

    Generates universe for given set of parameters.

    Can run from my web site

  • Num

    ber o

    f uni

    vers

    es0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    -10 0 10 20 30 40

    logarithm of stellar lifetime in years

    10 billion yearsGenerated 100 random universes.

    Most universes have stars with long lives (> 1 By) needed for evolution of complex elements.

    20 % universes "livable"

  • Extreme examples

    Without which it is claimed any form of life would be impossible.

    Ratio of electron to protons! 1/1037Ratio of e-m force to gravity! 1/1040Expansion rate of the universe 1/1055Energy density of the universe! 1/1059Cosmological constant 1/10120

  • Ratio of number of electrons to number of protons

    in universe

    Just what it should be if total electrical charge of universe is

    Which is just what it should be if the universe came from nothing (zero charge).

    ne = np

    zero

    Not fine tuned.

  • Gravity and electromagnetism

    = 1039 Weyl 1919: Why so big?

    is big because masses of particles are smallN1

    r

    protonelectron

    Let m1 = m2 = 1.85x109 kg FEFG

    = 1Then

    Not fine tuned.

    N1 =FEFG

    =kEe2r2

    G mpmer2=

    kEe2Gmpme

  • Energy density of the universem

    M

    a

    v

    Just what you expect if the universe came from nothing (zero energy).

    E = 12 mv2

    GmMa =

    12 mk

    Data: k = 0E = KE + PE = 0

    Not fine tuned.

  • Expansion rate of the universem

    M

    a

    v

    Expansion rate depends on critical density

    H = 1adadt Hubble parameter

    H 2 = 83 KE ka2

    Data: k = 0 H 2 = 83 KE critical density

    Not fine tuned.

  • Cosmological constant

    1ad 2adt 2 =

    4G3 mat + 2rad( ) +

    3 Friedmann equationc = 1

    Cosmol. constant

    3 =83Gvac vacuum energy density

    dark energy?

  • 120 orders of magnitude lower

    dN = gh3 d3kd 3x

    x

    kphasespace

    Energy of the vacuum

    Worst calculation in

    physics history!

    vac =

    dEdV

    = 12

    gh3

    d 3k

    Assume zero-point energy of particle fields

    + bosons- fermions

    =

    g16 23c3

    Ecutoff4

    Ecutoff = Planck energy

    vac = 10124 eV

    cm3 Observed value < 104

    eVcm3

  • Solving cosmological constant problem

    Supersymmetry:ZPE of fermions and bosons exactly cancel

    Anthropic principle: multiple universes

    SUSY broken in current universe

    Ecutoff = 1 TeV vac = 10

    64 eVcm3

    Only 60 orders of magnitude off!

    Include negative energy statesZPE= 0

    but...

    Early universe?

  • WAS THE UNIVERSE CREATED FOR LIFE?

    The galactic space around Earth is probably not teeming with complex life

    Earth is only known planet with life

  • The underprivileged planet

    Earth is not all that well suited for human life oceanWe are restricted to surface Atmosphere does not block UV Natural disasters, disease, famine kill

    thousands yearly

  • An intelligent designer with special regard for humanity would have done a much better job.

  • Wasted Space

    Distances are immense

    Nearest star: 4.22 light-years Nearest galaxy: 2.44 million light years Galaxies within our horizon are now 40

    billion light-years away

    Universe beyond horizon: 10 to the 10 to the 100 times bigger

  • Wasted time

    Universe 13.7 billion years old Earth 4.5 billion years oldModern humans 150 thousand years old

    0.001 %

  • Wasted Matter

    Most of the matter of the universe is not atomicthe component of life

    Visible atomic matter in galaxies: 0.005 of mass of universe.

    Total carbon: 0.0002 Dark matter: 0.22 Dark energy: 0.74

  • Wasted energy

    Only two photons of every billion emitted by sun are used to warm Earth

  • A tiny pocket of complexity

    Most of universe is in random motion

    Cosmic microwave backround

    Photons are a billion times more numerous than atoms

    Random to one part in 100,000

  • Humans in space

    Humans cannot live in space or on any known planet or moon without extensive life support.

    Cosmic radiation prevents humans from spending years in space.

    Even so-called earth-like planets are not likely to be able to support human life.

  • We are marooned on spaceship Earth

  • The universe shows no evidence of being designed with humans in mind

  • Are we doomed to extinction?

    Yes, as a species.

    But, perhaps our successors will carry on.