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National Programme for Turkey 2013 Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance Technical Assistance for Developed Analytical Basis for Formulating Strategies and Actions Towards Low Carbon Development Project Identification No: EuropeAid/136032/IH/SER/TR Contract No: TR2013/0327.05.01-01/001 Activity 1.1.2 Identification of the sectoral development policies intended to meet the GHG emissions reduction targets (Demand Status Report) Ankara 2018

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Page 1: Technical Assistance for...The breakdown of GHG emission trends in Turkey by sector (1990-2015) ... LCD Low Carbon Development LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas LULUCF Land Use, Land Use

National Programme for Turkey 2013 –

Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance

Technical Assistance for

Developed Analytical Basis for Formulating

Strategies and Actions Towards

Low Carbon Development

Project Identification No: EuropeAid/136032/IH/SER/TR

Contract No: TR2013/0327.05.01-01/001

Activity 1.1.2 Identification of the sectoral development

policies intended to meet the GHG emissions reduction

targets (Demand Status Report)

Ankara 2018

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Project Title: Technical Assistance for Developed Analytical Basis for Formulating Strategies and Actions

Towards Low Carbon Development

Service Contract No: TR2013/0327.05.01-01/001

Project ID No: EuropeAid/136032/IH/SER/TR

Project Value: € 3,865,010.00

Commencement Date: 29 May 2017

End Date / Duration: 29 May 2020 / 36 Months

Contracting Authority: Central Finance and Contracts Unit (CFCU), Ankara, Turkey

Contract Manager: Hacer BİLGE

Address: T.C. Başbakanlık Hazine Müsteşarlığı, E-Blok No:36 İnönü Bulvarı 06510 Emek/Ankara / TURKEY

Telephone: + 90 312 295 49 00

Fax: + 90 312286 70 72

E-mail: [email protected]

Beneficiary: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization Turkey

Address: Mustafa Kemal Mahallesi Eskişehir Devlet Yolu (Dumlupınar Bulvarı) 9. km. No: 278 Çankaya / Ankara

Telephone: + 90 312 410 10 00

Fax: + 90 312 474 03 35

Consultant: Hulla & Co Human Dynamics KG

Project Director: Rade Glomazic

Address: Kralja Milana 34, 1st Floor, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia

Telephone: + 381 11 785 06 30

Fax: + 381 11 264 30 99

E-mail: [email protected]

Project Team Leader: Mykola Raptsun

Address (Project Office): Mustafa Kemal Mahallesi, 2138. Sokak, No:5/3, Çankaya/Ankara

Telephone/Fax: +90 312 219 41 08

E-mail: [email protected]

This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union and the Republic of Turkey.

Disclaimer: The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the Consortium led by Hulla & Co Human Dynamics KG and

can in no way to be taken to reflect the views of the European Union nor the Republic of Turkey.

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Table of Contents

Table of Contents ....................................................................................................... iii

List of Figures ............................................................................................................. v

List of Tables ............................................................................................................. vii

Abbreviations and Acronyms .................................................................................... viii

1. Introduction .......................................................................................................... 1

2. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in Buildings

Sector ......................................................................................................................... 4

2.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission ...................... 4

2.1.1. International Commitments .............................................................................. 4

2.1.2. National Commitments ..................................................................................... 5

2.1.3. Evaluation of the implementation of country’s commitments by the EU

Commission Progress Reports ...................................................................................... 10

2.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector Perspective ........ 11

2.2.1. Sector development trends ............................................................................ 11

2.2.2. Private Sector Perspective ............................................................................. 13

2.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based on Current

Trends and Policies ......................................................................................................... 13

2.3.1. The GHG Emission Trends of the Buildings Sector ........................................ 13

2.3.2. GHG emission reduction possibilities in the buildings sector .......................... 16

2.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral Policies towards

Lowering GHG Emissions ............................................................................................... 18

3. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in Waste Sector 20

3.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission .................... 20

3.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector Perspective ........ 25

3.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based on Current

Trends and Policies ......................................................................................................... 29

3.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral Policies towards

Lowering GHG Emissions ............................................................................................... 36

4. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in Transportation

Sector ....................................................................................................................... 39

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4.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission .................... 40

4.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector Perspective ........ 45

4.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based on Current

Trends and Policies ......................................................................................................... 52

4.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral Policies towards

Lowering GHG Emissions ............................................................................................... 58

5. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in Agriculture

Sector ....................................................................................................................... 62

5.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission .................... 63

5.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector Perspective ........ 65

5.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based on Current

Trends and Policies ......................................................................................................... 69

5.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral Policies towards

Lowering GHG Emissions ............................................................................................... 74

6. Conclusions and Recommendations ................................................................. 77

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List of Figures

Figure 1. Number of new buildings and total floor areas built after 1954.................. 11

Figure 2. Number of buildings by building type in 1984 and 2000 ............................ 12

Figure 3. Number and distribution of buildings by construction period (2016) .......... 13

Figure 4. The breakdown of GHG emission trends in Turkey by sector (1990-2015)

................................................................................................................................. 14

Figure 5. GHG emissions from fuel combustion by sectors, 1990 (left) and 2015 (right)

................................................................................................................................. 14

Figure 6. GHG emissions of the residential, commercial, and institutional sector (1990-

2015) ........................................................................................................................ 15

Figure 7. Energy consumption in the buildings sector .............................................. 15

Figure 8. CO2 emission intensity of fuels consumed in Turkish buildings ................. 16

Figure 9. Average electricity consumption of electrified households and electricity

intensity of the service sector per value added in purchasing power parities (ppp),

(1990-2014) .............................................................................................................. 17

Figure 10. GHG emissions from waste sector, 1990-2015 ....................................... 26

Figure 11. Waste sector CO2 emissions (1990-2015) .............................................. 29

Figure 12. Waste sector CH4 emissions (1990-2015) .............................................. 30

Figure 13. Waste sector N2O emissions (1990-2015) .............................................. 31

Figure 14. Annual waste at solid waste disposal sites (1990-2015) ......................... 32

Figure 15. Change in road network length between (1990-2016) ............................ 46

Figure 16. a) Number of Vehicles by Type, b) Number of Cars by Fuel Type, c) Share

of Vehicles by Fuel Type between 2004 and 2016 (TurkStat, 2018) ........................ 47

Figure 17. Road Transport Statistics between 2001-2016 a) Intercity Vehicle-km b)

Passenger-km, c) Freight-km (TurkStat, 2018) ........................................................ 48

Figure 18. Railway statistics between 2001-2016 a) Length b) Passenger-km c)

Freight ton-km .......................................................................................................... 50

Figure 19. Airway Statistics between 1990-2016: a) Number of passengers b) Amount

of freight,................................................................................................................... 51

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Figure 20. International Seaborne Trade Statistics between 1980-2015 (Mt loaded)

................................................................................................................................. 52

Figure 21. GHG emissions by transport mode (1990-2015) ..................................... 53

Figure 22. Amount of GHG emissions from road motor vehicles by fuel type (1990-

2015) ........................................................................................................................ 54

Figure 23. The share of GHG emissions from road motor vehicles by fuel type (1990-

2015) ........................................................................................................................ 54

Figure 24. GHG emission vs fuel consumption for domestic aviation (1990-2015) .. 56

Figure 25. CO2 emissions per transport modes........................................................ 57

Figure 26. Shipping CO2 emissions by year ............................................................ 58

Figure 27. Agricultural share in GDP and employment (%) (1950-2017) ................. 66

Figure 28. Livestock number of Turkey (million head) (1990-2017) ......................... 68

Figure 29. GHG emissions from agriculture sector (1990-2015) .............................. 70

Figure 30. CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation (1990-2015)............................ 71

Figure 31. GHG emissions from manure management (1990-2015) ....................... 71

Figure 32. N2O emissions from agricultural soils (1990-2015) ................................. 72

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List of Tables

Table 1. The buildings sector-related of the NCCS .................................................... 6

Table 2. The buildings sector related purposes, objectives, and actions as stipulated

in the NCCAP ............................................................................................................. 7

Table 3. Targets and actions related to the buildings sector defined by the Energy

Efficiency Strategy...................................................................................................... 9

Table 4. List of WtE facilities in Turkey (landfill or wastewater gas to energy only) .. 27

Table 5. CH4 emissions from waste disposal sites (NIR, 2017)................................ 33

Table 6. Municipal wastewater collection and treatment (1994-2016) ...................... 34

Table 7. GHG emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge (1990-2015) ... 34

Table 8. Policy Recommendations towards Lowering GHG Emissions.................... 36

Table 9. Model shares of transport system, .............................................................. 39

Table 10. CO2 emissions intensity of fuels consumed in road transport ................... 54

Table 11. Number of road motor vehicles by age (2016) (x106) ............................... 55

Table 12. Transport priority areas for a low carbon development in Turkey ............. 59

Table 13. Agricultural production in selected groups or products in 1990-2017 ....... 66

Table 14. GHG emissions from agriculture sector (1990-2015) ............................... 69

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Abbreviations and Acronyms

BAU Business-As-Usual

BEP The Building Energy Performance

BOT Build-Operate-Transfer

ca. Circa

cal calorie

CAP Common Agricultural Policy

CBCCAM Coordination Board on Climate Change and Air Management

CH4 Methane

CNG Compressed Natural Gas

CO2 Carbon dioxide

CO2-eq Carbon dioxide equivalent

ÇATAK Environmentally Based Agricultural Land Protection Program

ÇEVKO Environmental Protection and Packaging Waste Recovery and Recycling Trust

DSI General Directorate Of State Hydraulic Works

DWT Dead Weight Tonnage

EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

EC European Commission

EJ Exajoule

EIC Energy Identified Certificate

ELV End of Life Vehicles

EP European Parliament

EPR Extended Producer Responsibility

EU European Union

FAO The Food and Agriculture Organization

GDAR General Directory of Agricultural Research and Policy

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GHG Greenhouse Gas

ha Hectare

HSR High Speed Rail

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IFC International Finance Corporation

IMO International Maritime Organization

INDC Intended Nationally Determined Contributions

IPA Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance

IPARD Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance in Rural Development

IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

IPD Implementation of Integrated Project Delivery

ITS Intelligent Transport Systems

IWMP Implementation of Integrated Waste Management Plans

KGM General Directorate of Highways

kt Kilo tonne

kWh Kilowatt-hour

LCD Low Carbon Development

LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas

LULUCF Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry

m2 Square metre

MoD Ministry of Development

MoENR Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources

MoEU Ministry of Environmental and Urbanization

MoFAL Ministry of Food Agriculture and Livestock

MoLSS Ministry of Labour and Social Security

MoSIT Ministry of Science, Industry and Technology

MoTMC Ministry of Transport, Maritime Affairs and Communication

Mt Million tonne

Mtkm Million tonne-kilometre

MWe Megawatt electric

MWh Megawatt-hour

N2O Nitrous oxide

NADSAP National Agricultural Drought Strategy and Action Plan

NCCASAP National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan

NCCAP National Climate Change Action Plan

NCCS National Climate Change Strategy

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NDC Nationally Determined Contribution

NGO Non-governmental Organization

NH3 Ammonia

NOX Nitrogen oxides

NWMAP National Waste Management Action Plan

nZEB Nearly Zero Energy Building

OECD The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

PAYT Pay-as-you-throw

PJ Petajoule

PMR Partnership for Market Readiness

PPP Public Private Partnership

R&D Research and Development

Ro-Ro Roll-on / Roll-of

SOX Sulphur oxides

SUMP Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan

t tonne

TCDD Turkish State Railways

toe tonne of oil equivalent

TurkStat Turkish Statistical Institution

TÜKÇEV Consumer and Environmental Education Foundation

UCES EU Integrated Environmental Approximation Strategy

UN United Nations

UNEP United Nations Environment Program

UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

USD United States Dollar

WCED World Commission on Environment and Development

WEEE Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment

WTAP Wastewater Treatment Action Plan

WtE Waste to Energy

YEKDEM Renewable Energy Resources Support Mechanism

yr year

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1. Introduction

The Nations of the World have realized that there are severe problems threatening our

future as human beings in 1987 by the publication of the report known as the Bruntland

report. Our Common Future, also known as the Brundtland Report, from the United

Nations World Commission on Environment and Development (WCED) was published

in 1987. Its targets were multilateralism and interdependence of nations in the search

for a sustainable development path. This was the report that paved the road to the

Earth Summit at Rio de Janeiro and at the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro from 3 to

14 June 1992, The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

(UNFCCC) was first discussed and entered into force on 21 March 1994. To recall the

history, Turkey - a successful party at international treaties, such as the Montreal

Protocol on Substance that Deplete the Ozone Layer - has ratified UNFCCC on May

2004. The challenges of all nations are significant but in case of Turkey, a country that

has under 1% contribution to Global GHG emissions, the situation is relatively more

challenging. Although Turkey does not have any contribution to historic emissions, it

is rapidly developing country since 1990s and this puts Turkey under focus and

criticism as Turkey was identified as a country with the highest rate of growth in the

recent emissions. With these facts in mind, one must understand that the international

demand and the national reaction to it is a challenging one. This explains the delayed

ratification of the treaty. To be more specific, during the UNFCCC’s 7th Conference of

the Parties (COP7), which was held in Marrakesh in 2001, Turkey was removed from

Annex II, and parties to the convention were invited to recognise the special

circumstances of Turkey, which place the country in a situation different from that of

other parties included in Annex I. Following this development, Turkey became a party

to the Framework Convention in 2004, and from this date on, started to participate

more actively in climate policies. The numerous projects and successful activities that

are followed by the Ministry of Environment and Urbanization (MoEU) are the results

of these developments.

The purpose of the Demand Status Report is to identify how the current sectoral

development policies are able to meet the GHG emissions reduction targets that are

demanded by the international and national climate change related commitments in

buildings, transportation, waste, and agriculture sectors.

To achieve this purpose each sectoral chapter is designed to present development

policies and GHG emission reduction targets in the sector, by reviewing the sector

policies and obligations related to GHG emissions, by assessing sector development

trends and private sector perspective, by providing the analysis of GHG emission

reduction possibilities in the sector, based on current trends and policies, as well as

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on available data and finally for each sector a policy recommendation for further

improvement of key sectoral policies towards lowering GHG emissions is provided.

This report also aims to pave the path for the development and shaping of activities

under the Components 3 and 4 of the project and targets to be a starting point for the

low carbon development modelling activities.

In order to achieve a precise idea about the demand status related to the target

sectors, the outputs of the models need to be taken into consideration. However, since

the modelling related activities of the project have not started yet this report will provide

an overview of the existing trends in buildings, transport, waste and agriculture

sectors.

Since the relevant national studies and policy papers were discussed under the

Activity 1.1.1 Status Report, only a list of the most significant national studies is

presented here, in this report to provide different perspective related to sectoral

demand and status. The relevant studies include the following:

World Bank funded PMR (Partnership for Market Readiness) Turkey project

that aims improvement and implementation of legislation on monitoring,

reporting and verification, and conducting studies on applicability of market-

based instruments in Turkey since 2013.

The recent World Bank study (2013) titled Green Growth Policy Paper (GGPP),

which reviews the scope for green growth development possibilities for Turkey

The study on Low Carbon Development Pathways and Priorities for Turkey by

WWF Turkey (2015).

Co-benefits of climate Action: Assessing Turkey’s Climate Pledge (2016)

prepared by Climate Network Turkey, New Climate Institute and with Climate

Action Network (CAN).

Energy Revolution, a Sustainable Turkey Energy Outlook (2015) by

Greenpeace.

The overall trends - based on the 6th National Communication Report to UNFCCC -

provides the following headline figures related to GHG emissions in key sectors:

The highest portion of total CO2 emissions originated from energy sector (energy,

industry, buildings, transport) with 86.1%. The remaining 13.6% originated from

industrial processes and 0.2% from agriculture in 2015. CO2 emissions from industrial

processes increased 0.4% compared to 2014 and 138.9% as compared to 1990. The

largest portion of CH4 emissions originated from agriculture activities with 59.3% while

28.8% from waste, and 11.8% from energy and industrial processes. CH4 emissions

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from agriculture increased 22% compared to 1990 and CH4 emissions from waste

increased by 54.6% compared to 1990.

In the following sections, it is aimed to focus on to transport, waste, buildings, and

agriculture sectors and try to assess whether the existing strategies are appropriate to

reach INDC targets and objectives.

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2. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in

Buildings Sector

The building sector is among the key target for decarbonisation policies. Buildings

contribute significantly to growing global energy consumption and climbing GHG

emissions. First, the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

Change (IPCC) estimated that in 2010, the sector was responsible for 117 EJ or 32%

of global total energy consumption, 19% of energy-related CO2 emissions, and 51%

of global electricity consumption.1 Second, buildings offer large low cost opportunities

for energy savings and GHG emission reductions via improving carbon efficiency,

energy efficiency of technology system, and infrastructure efficiency, as well as

reducing service demand. In absolute terms, this presents the largest potential for

cost-effective CO2 emission reduction among all sectors, both globally and specifically

in economies in transition. Recognizing this fact, Turkey adopted or in the process of

adoption of numerous buildings-related pieces of legislation and plans; the country

lists the building sector among the key of its Intended Nationally Determined

Contributions (INDC) submitted under the Paris Agreement. The assessment of the

sector development trends, factors causing it, as well as the national actions for

limiting associated GHG emissions are presented in this chapter.

2.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission

2.1.1. International Commitments

Turkey is a party to the UNFCCC since 2004 and it is listed in Annex I to the

convention, among the countries, which were expected to adopt national policies and

measures and contribute to the global GHG mitigation efforts. By the year 2001. At

COP 7 Decision 1/CP.16 adopted by the Convention Parties recognized special

circumstances of Turkey and promoted its access to finance, technology, and

capacity-building to achieve low-carbon economy instead of obliging the country to

provide these conditions for developing countries. In 2009, Turkey ratified the Kyoto

Protocol expending the UNFCCC related good intentions and commitments to address

climate change related issues. However, Turkey is not included in Annex B among the

countries with quantitative commitments and therefore it is not assigned with a

particular GHG emission reduction target under it.

In 2016, Turkey signed the Paris Agreement under the UNFCCC but has not yet

ratified it. The agreement requires submitting NDCs to the global action of limiting

1 Lucon et al. 2014: Buildings. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the

Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-

report/ar5/wg3/ipcc_wg3_ar5_chapter9.pdf

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global warming below 2°C. On 30 September 2015, Turkey submitted its INDC, which

will become its NDC in case it will ratify the agreement. According to its INDC, the

country aims to reduce its GHG emissions, including LULUCF, by 21% as compared

to their BAU level in 2030.

Among the key plans and policies, which Turkey plans to rely on in achieving its INDC

targets, are related to the buildings sector. These include:2

Constructing new energy efficient residential and service buildings in

accordance with the Energy Performance of Buildings Regulation (BEP);

Issuing Energy Identity Certificates (EICs) for new and existing buildings to

control and reduce energy consumption and GHG emissions per m2;

Reducing the consumption of primary energy sources consumed by new and

existing buildings by means of design, technological equipment, and building

materials as well as development of instruments that promote the use of

renewable energy sources (loans, tax reduction, etc.);

Disseminating the design according to green building, passive energy, and

zero-energy principles in order to minimize energy demand and ensure local

production of energy.

Turkey plans to realize these measures through a set of national policies and actions.

These are described in the country’s 10th National Development Plan, NCCS, NCCAP,

and the Strategy on Energy Efficiency. The main buildings sector related provisions of

these documents are discussed in the next section.

2.1.2. National Commitments

10th National Development Plan

The 10th National Development Plan for 2014–20183 contains, among other programs,

the “Energy Efficiency Improvement Program”. The program relies on the “Energy

Efficiency Strategy Document (2012- 2023)”, which was adopted in 2012 and which

already contains the number of related activities.

There are two targets of the Energy Efficiency Improvement Program. The first relates

to the reduction of Turkey’s primary energy intensity from 0.2646 toe/1000 USD in

2011 to 0.243 toe/1000 USD in 2018. The second relates to decreasing energy

consumption of public buildings by 10% in 2018 as compared to 2012.

2 Republic of Turkey Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)

http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/Turkey/1/The_INDC_of_TURKEY_v.15.19.30.pdf

310th National Development Plan, Ministry of Development 2014-2018, Ankara, 2014,

http://www.mod.gov.tr/Lists/RecentPublications/Attachments/75/The%20Tenth%20Development%20Plan%20(2014-2018).pdf

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Component 4 of the plan explicitly requires two actions related to energy performance

of public buildings: i) “disseminating energy efficiency investments in public buildings

by various financing methods including energy performance contract borrowing model

that allows debt repayment with savings obtained after project implementation”; and

ii) “converting the external structures surrounding the buildings and the heating

systems in old buildings with low and/ or insufficient insulation to thermally insulated

ones, which also meet the current standards”.

Furthermore, Component 1 and Component 2 of the plan indirectly target energy

efficiency in the buildings sector. Component 1 aims to promote administrative and

institutional capacity for energy efficiency whereas Component 2 aims to develop

sustainable financial mechanisms for financing energy efficiency studies and projects.

National Climate Change Strategy (2010-2023)4

NCCS for 2010-2023 sets the number of objectives related to climate change that have

to be implemented in Turkey in the short-term, mid-term, and long-term periods. Table

1 describes the strategy objectives, which are related to the buildings sector.

Table 1. The buildings sector-related of the NCCS4

Time period Objectives

Short-term An EIC practice shall be introduced for new buildings.

Renewable energy systems will be installed in new buildings, with an initial investment cost consistent with energy economics (e.g. with payback periods of 10 years for new buildings with floor space less than 20,000 m2 and 15 years for new buildings with floor space of 20,000 m2 and greater than 20,000 m2).

Solar power collectors for central heating and sanitary hot water will be installed at new hotels, hospitals, dormitories, other non-residential buildings used for accommodation purposes, as well as sports centres with a usage area of more than 1,000 m2.

Mid-term The infrastructure for the introduction of EID practices will be developed for existing buildings.

Long-term Improvements shall be ensured in energy consumption at existing public buildings and facilities.

National Climate Change Action Plan (2011-2023)5

NCCAP for 2011-2023 also sets purposes and objectives for each emitting sector and

sink as well as cross-cutting purposes and objectives. Table 2 summarizes the

purposes, objectives, actions, and timeframes for the buildings sector. Assuming the

actions for the period before 2014 have already been completed, only the actions

4 National Climate Change Strategy 2010-2023, Ministry of Environment and Urbanization, Ankara, 2010

5 National Climate Change Action Plan 2011-2023, Ministry of Environment and Urbanization, Ankara, 2011

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covering 2014 are onwards and legislative actions are listed in it. Due to the lack of a

checking implementation list, the current status of the actions could not be determined.

Table 2. The buildings sector related purposes, objectives, and actions as stipulated in the

NCCAP5

Objective Action area Actions Time

Purpose 1: Increase energy efficiency in buildings

1 Establish standards for thermal insulation and energy-efficient systems in commercial/public buildings > 10,000 m2 and in at least 1 million residential buildings by 2023.

1 Identifying energy efficiency potential and priorities to ensure thermal insulation and energy efficient systems in buildings.

2 Identifying the technical specifications of model buildings set forth for building typologies.

2011-2017

3 Identifying short, medium and long-term targets for ensuring energy efficiency in buildings by comparing existing buildings against model buildings.

2011-2018

2 Implement BEP and other energy –efficiency regulations until 2017.

1 Improving and strengthening BEP to ensure use of thermal insulation and efficient energy systems in buildings.

3 Identifying and making the necessary changes in the related legal arrangements to support the implementation of BEP (Property Ownership Law, Municipalities Law, Building Inspection Regulation etc.).

2011-Sustained

4 Conducting technical assessment including cost/benefit analyses to upgrade EIC classification ranges (TS 825: lowering U-values of building components per years), ensuring coordination in revising BEP and TS 825.

2011-Sustained

5 Establishing the “Integrated Building Design Approach” and “Zero-Emission (Sustainable) Building” criteria; integrating them into BEP if deemed necessary.

2012-2015

2 Increasing the MEU capacity to implement BEP and other relevant legislation.

3 Assigning and training a team to supervise the regulated EICs.

2011 and onward

3 Increasing the capacity of other relevant organizations to implement BEP and other relevant legislation.

4 Making legislative amendments, if necessary, to increase the effectiveness of building inspections.

2011-2013

5 Increasing the effectiveness of standardizing the Building Energy Management system; aligning the relevant legislation (EE Law and regulations) with the Energy Management Standard (16001 EN-ISO 50001); implementing it in commercial & residential buildings.

2011-2015

3 Develop instruments providing financial support for building energy efficiency and integrated renewable energy until 2013.

1 Providing financing for implementation of BEP and increase of energy efficiency / renewable energy in buildings.

2 Researching, promoting and disseminating finance models that encourage investments necessary for energy efficiency measures in buildings.

2011-2015

4 Issue EICs to all buildings until 2017.

1 Strengthening necessary infrastructure to issue EICs to all buildings.

1 Monitoring and registering the certificates to be given to existing and new buildings by MEU, inspecting the implementation of the BEP Regulation and other energy efficiency practices through random inspections.

2011-2017

2 Developing a method for periodic inspection of building mechanic systems (central heating systems, HVAC systems), making designations for inspections and carrying out inspections.

2011-2017

5 Decrease annual energy consumption

1 Reducing the annual energy

2 Ensuring coordination for gradually issuing EICs for all public buildings

2011-2017

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in buildings and premises of public institutions by 10% until 2015 and by 20% until 2023.

consumption of the buildings and premises of public institutions.

3 Issuing a Prime Ministry Circular for determination of threshold values for EICs for old and new buildings, determination of an energy efficiency improvement strategy for public buildings based on such EIC threshold value and ensuring necessary allocation.

2011-2018

4 Commissioning public institutions to carry out energy surveys, determining the necessary budget for improvements, preparing feasibility reports.

2011-2015

Purpose 2: Increase renewable energy use in buildings

1 Meet at least 20% of the annual energy demand of new buildings via renewable energy resources by 2017.

1 Promoting the use of renewable energy in buildings.

2 Making new arrangements to ensure the use of renewable energy in buildings.

2011-2015

Purpose 3: Limit GHG emissions originating from settlements

1 Reduce GHG emissions in new settlements by at least 10% per settlement in comparison to existing settlements by 2023.

2 Developing policies and legal arrangements for energy-efficient and climate-sensitive settlements; implementing these in pilots.

3 Identifying principles and procedures for energy-efficient, climate sensitive, sustainable urban settlement planning and using the results of pilot projects, transferring the outputs to physical development planning legislation so as to put sustainable urban plans into practice.

2015-2016

5 Preparing physical development plans in the form of climate-sensitive settlement plans by local governments.

2013-2015

Energy Efficiency Strategy Paper (2012-2023)6

Energy Efficiency Strategy Paper for 2012-2023 defined a set of strategic purposes

(SP) related to energy efficiency for the country. The strategic purpose SP-1 targets

energy intensity in service sectors. The strategic purpose SP-2 explicitly targets

energy efficiency in the buildings sector and requires i) decreasing energy demand

and carbon emissions of buildings; ii) promoting sustainable environment-friendly

buildings using renewable energy sources. The specific purpose SP-06 promotes

using energy effectively and efficiently in the public sector. Furthermore, the specific

purpose SP-07 aims to improve energy efficiency in buildings indirectly by

strengthening institutional structures, capacities, and collaboration; increasing the use

of state of the art technology and awareness activities; and developing other than

public financing mechanisms. Table 3 identifies targets and actions of the strategy to

implement purposes SP-1, SP-2, and SP-6:

6 Energy Efficiency Strategy Paper, 2012-2023, Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, Ankara, 2010

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Table 3. Targets and actions related to the buildings sector defined by the Energy Efficiency

Strategy.6

Service sector

SP-1 Target Energy intensities in each service sub-sector shall be decreased. The rates shall be determined in close collaborations with sector stakeholders, but they shall not be less than a 10% of the intensity for each sub-sector in 2012-2022.

Implementing Actions

Business enterprises consuming at least 5.000 toe/yr. and buildings having a usage area more than 20.000 m2 for commercial and business purposes are required to conduct regular energy audits and establish action plans (2014).

Business enterprises operating in the service sectors are obliged to establish an energy management unit or nominate energy manager (2013).

The investments providing an increase in energy efficiency shall be encouraged (2014).

Public sector

SP-6 Target Annual energy consumption in the buildings of public enterprises and facilities shall be decreased by 10% and 20% in 2015 and 2023 respectively (2014).

Implementing Actions

Action plans shall be prepared by making energy audits in the buildings and facilities of the public enterprises. The budget allowances of the building maintenance shall be used for realization of these plans (2012.)

Minimum energy efficiency criteria for the commodities, service and construction works shall be introduced for the public procurements. The buildings exceeding maximum CO2 and energy consumption allowed shall not be rented by the public sector (2014).

Energy efficiency upgrades of public buildings and facilities shall be made based on the Energy Performance Contracting model with guaranteed savings. The preparations of the bill in parliament related to making changes in the Energy Efficiency Law and in the related laws and the secondary legislation arrangements, which shall be made in the framework of the legislation in force, shall be made by 2014.

All buildings

SP-2 Target In 2023, thermal insulation and energy efficient heating systems complying with the current standards shall be installed in all commercial and service buildings having the total usage area of more than 10.000 m2.

Implementing Actions

Buildings’ maximum energy requirement and maximum emission limitations shall be determined. The related legislation shall be revised and brought in line with the EU legislation (2015).

By 2017, administrative sanctions shall be applied to the buildings emitting more CO2 than it will be defined in the related legislation (2014).

SP-2 Target By 2023, at least one-fourth of 2010 buildings shall be converted to sustainable.

Implementing Actions

By 2017, new commercial buildings, luxury dwellings and residences having a usable area more than 10.000 m2 shall have certificates of sustainability within eighteen months following the issue of construction license (2014).

The use of renewable energy sources and cogeneration or microgeneration, central and regional heating and cooling and heat pump systems shall be analysed in public housing projects. The applications corresponding to at least 10% of the dwelling cost shall be encouraged (2013).

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2.1.3. Evaluation of the implementation of country’s commitments by the

EU Commission Progress Reports

The 6th progress report of EU Commission7, which evaluated the progress made by

Turkey for EU membership, also assessed country’s efforts related to “energy

efficiency”, among other areas. The report concludes that the country has not achieved

the progress expected because it has not yet adopted its national energy efficiency

action plan as well as it has not set clear priorities with sectoral targets and milestones

in line with the requirements of the Energy Efficiency Directive 2012/27/EU. The report

also criticized the lack of a timetable for achieving the full alignment of country’s

national legislation with the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive 2010/31/EU. It

stressed the urgent need to strengthen the institutional structure to improve

coordination between the different ministries for the implementation of energy

efficiency policies.

While the conclusions of the 6th Progress Report were indeed valid as of the date of

its publication, the country does progress towards the transposition of EU energy

efficiency acquis into its legislation, though with a slower speed than expected. For

instance, the National Energy Efficiency Action Plan was adopted on 27 November

2017 and published in the official gazette on 2nd January 2018.8 The plan identified the

number of actions to be implemented by the country. These include: the preparation

of studies for all sectors for the purpose of streamlining of energy efficiency support

mechanisms; the development of sustainable finance mechanisms; building up

sustainable purchase; the promotion of energy efficiency culture, awareness and

consumption in the private and public sectors; the encouragement of sustainable

energy production and consumption; the positioning of smart cities and smart grids;

the improvement of energy efficiency in the industry, transportation and agriculture;

the generalization of regional heating, within the frame of energy efficiency multiplying

of alternative fuel and resource usage; the expansion of sustainable environment-

friendly buildings; and other measures. The plan, therefore, includes the

comprehensive number of cross-cutting and sector-specific measures and, if

implemented, presents a significant step towards decarbonisation of the buildings

sector.

7 European Commission Staff Working Document, Turkey 6th Progress Report, Brussels, 2016

https://www.ab.gov.tr/files/pub/2016_progress_report_en.pdf

8 National Energy Efficiency Action Plan 2017-2023, Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, Ankara, 2017

http://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/eskiler/2018/01/20180102M1-1-1.pdf

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2.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector

Perspective

2.2.1. Sector development trends

The construction sector has been at the forefront of economic development in Turkey

with a considerable share of GDP for a long time. Based on TurkStat data, in 2016, it

contributed around ₺224.3 billion at current prices or 8.6% to the Turkish GDP.9

According to European International Contractors, the construction sector also relates

to other parts of economy using a large share of materials, equipment, transport, etc.,

ultimately resulting in a GDP share of ca. 30% and providing employment for nearly

10% of the working population (Oxford Business Group, 2016).10

Due to Turkey’s growing urbanization rate (92.5% by the end of 2017), the building

stock is continuously expanding. Figure 1 presents the number of buildings and its

total floor area built in 1954–2016. It illustrates that while the number of buildings

increased only by 40% between 2000 and 2016, the floor areas grew by 124% during

this period.

Figure 1. Number of new buildings and total floor areas built after 195411

9 TurkStat, GDP indicators, http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=27817 Accessed: 08/05/2018

10 Oxford Business Group, 2016. The Report: Turkey 2015 - Turkey's construction sector to maintain its significant role in the

economy, with several large projects under way. URL: https://oxfordbusinessgroup.com/overview/turkeys-construction-sector-

maintain-its-significant-role-economy-several-large-projects-under-way Accessed: 22/02/2018

11 TurkStat (2017), New buildings and additions by type of investor.

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According to the statistics available,12 the share of residential buildings is ca. 86% of

the total building stock, followed by commercial buildings. Public buildings are the

smallest category of the stock (Figure 2).

Figure 2. Number of buildings by building type in 1984 and 200013

A large share of buildings older than 15-20 years represents a challenge for Turkey

towards its decarbonisation. As it will be discussed in section 2.3, the buildings

constructed before the year 2000 typically consume twice the energy laid down in

current building energy regulations.12,14 As shown in Figure 3, ca. 70% of the current

building stock (built after 1954) was constructed before the year 2000. Therefore, it is

important for Turkey to design and implement policies not only for buildings which are

still to be constructed but also for the existing buildings.

12

Keskin, T., 2010, Türkiye’nin İklim Değişikliği Ulusal Eylem Planı’nın Geliştirilmesi Projesi Binalar Sektörü Mevcut Durum

Değerlendirmesi Raporu,

http://iklim.cob.gov.tr/iklim/Files/Binalar%20Sektoru%20Mevcut%20Durum%20Degerlendirmesi%20Raporu.pdf Accessed:

20/02/2018

13 TurkStat (2001), Building Census 2000.

14 Promoting Energy Efficiency in Buildings in Turkey Project Brochure, General Directorate of Renewable Energy and UNDP,

http://www.tr.undp.org/content/dam/turkey/docs/projectdocuments/EnvSust/UNDP-TR-

brosur_revize%20edilen_baskiyagiden0213.pdf?download Accessed: 21/02/2018

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Figure 3. Number and distribution of buildings by construction period (2016)11

2.2.2. Private Sector Perspective

This sub-section is supposed to include low carbon perspective of the private sector.

However, this part cannot be completed due to the lack of contributions from relevant

stakeholders. In the upcoming days, after the meeting with the institutions to be held,

the private sector perspective assessment will be submitted separately, based on the

data gathered from the stakeholders.

2.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based

on Current Trends and Policies

2.3.1. The GHG Emission Trends of the Buildings Sector

According to the latest GHG inventory of Turkey conducted for 2015,15 the total

national GHG emissions were 475.1 Mt of CO2-eq excluding LULUCF and 411.0 Mt

CO2-eq including it. These emissions increased by 122% and 124%, as compared to

1990 emissions respectively.

Calculated according to the IPCC methodology, the energy sector or fuel combustion

activities contributed 71.6% i.e. the largest share of the total country’s GHG emissions

excluding LULUCF in 2015. The emissions of the energy sector include the emissions

of the buildings sector, among others. The industrial processes and other product use

(IPPU) sector ranked second with 12.8%, agriculture – third with 12.1%, and the waste

sector - fourth with 3.5%. As Figure 4 illustrates, the energy sector emissions

increased by 153% in 2015 as compared to their 1990.

15

National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report 1990-2015, Annual Report for submission under the UNFCCC, Turkish

Statistical Institute, Ankara, 2017,

http://unfccc.int/national_reports/annex_i_ghg_inventories/national_inventories_submissions/items/10116.php

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Figure 4. The breakdown of GHG emission trends in Turkey by sector (1990-2015)15

Within the structure of the energy sector, energy industries had the highest share in

GHG emissions with 40.8% in 2015. They were followed by the transport sector with

22.6%; manufacturing industries with 17.2%; the residential, commercial, and

institutional sector with 16.6%; as well as the agriculture, forestry, and fishing sector

with 2.9% (Figure 5). It should be noted however that these figures represent “direct”

emissions, i.e. emissions allocated according to the points of their production. If the

emissions would also include “indirect” emissions, i.e. emissions associated with

electricity allocated to the point of their consumption, the share of the residential,

commercial, and institutional buildings would be much higher.

Figure 5. GHG emissions from fuel combustion by sectors, 1990 (left) and 2015 (right)

Whereas direct GHG emissions of the buildings sector increased by 105% in 2015 as

compared to their level in 1990 (Figure 6), their share in the total fuel combustion

emissions decreased from 20.8% to 16.6% within the same period (Figure 5). The

contribution of the buildings sector to the country’s total GHG emissions excluding

LULUCF was 12.7% in 1990 versus 11.7% in 2015 (Figure 6).

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Figure 6. GHG emissions of the residential, commercial, and institutional sector (1990-2015)

The main driver of the increase in direct GHG emissions of the buildings sector in

absolute numbers during 1990-2015 was the increase in energy consumption from

fossil fuels. The total final energy consumption of the buildings sector was 643 PJ in

1990 and it increased to 1354 PJ in 2015. The largest contributor to this trend was the

increase in the sector’s fossil fuel consumption by 194% during 1990-2015, given that

the share of renewable energy decreased by 41.5% in the same period (Figure 7). In

1990 and 2015, the share of renewable energy was 49.4% and 13.7% whereas the

share of fossil fuels was 41.2% and 57.6% respectively.

Figure 7. Energy consumption in the buildings sector

Figure 7 shows CO2 emission intensity of fuels which is the CO2 emission per unit of

energy produced. Among fossil fuels, coal has the highest CO2 emission intensity and

natural gas is the lowest intensity. According to 2006 IPCC guidelines for GHG

inventories, CO2 from biomass is not added to the national total GHG emissions so

increasing the share of biomass in the energy mix of buildings can contribute to

emission reduction in this sector.

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Figure 8. CO2 emission intensity of fuels consumed in Turkish buildings

In 2015, the share of the buildings sector in gross national energy consumption

reached 33%, exceeding the energy consumption of industry16. It is expected that the

energy consumption of the buildings sector in absolute values will further grow by at

least 50% in 2020 as compared to 2013.5

2.3.2. GHG emission reduction possibilities in the buildings sector

The assessment on the buildings sector presented in the previous section argues for

the urgency and priority of the buildings sector decarbonisation policies due to its

growing energy demand and GHG emissions in Turkey. Emission reduction

opportunities are associated with the implementation of technologies and practices

available on the country’s market such as passive architecture, advanced thermal

insulation, high efficient heating and cooling systems, advanced lighting systems,

energy efficient domestic appliances and service equipment, and clean water systems.

These technologies and practices could be applied both at the construction stage of

buildings and at their operation stage.

One of the important emission reduction possibilities is the insulation on existing

buildings to the level regulated by TS-825 standard “Thermal Insulation Requirements

for Buildings”. According to the “Energy Efficiency Research” conducted by GFK

Turkey in 2009, while 82% of the energy delivered to residential buildings is used for

space heating purposes, the insulation rate of these buildings is only about 20%. In

particular, the building stock constructed before 2000, i.e. before the TS-825 standard

was adopted, have poor thermal performance. Therefore, energy efficiency measures

in these buildings could realize high energy saving and therefore GHG emission

reduction potential.

16

6th National Communication of Turkey, under UNFCCC, Ministry of Environment and Urbanization, Ankara, 2016,

https://unfccc.int/files/national_reports/non-annex_i_natcom/application/pdf/6_bildirim_eng_11_reducedfilesize.pdf

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In new buildings, the application of passive building and nearly zero energy building

(nZEB) principles at the construction stage is among the measures to increase energy

efficiency and decrease GHG emissions. These concepts have already been

successfully tested in Turkey and the recent policies introduced in the country aim to

gradually transform the market towards their integration.

In both new and existing buildings, the use of renewable energy instead of fossil fuels

may have a big contribution to the reduction of sector’s GHG emissions. For instance,

Dikmen and Gültekin (2011)17 argued that if photovoltaics will be placed on houses,

office buildings, and factories of Turkey, this would allow producing 40 billion kWh/yr.

the electricity that is almost equivalent to the electricity demand of its residential

buildings.

Besides thermal efficiency improvement of building envelopes, large emission

reduction potential is associated with the exchange of inefficient domestic appliances

lights. Figure 9 presents the average electricity consumption of electrified households

in Turkey during 1990 – 2014, and it illustrates that consumption grew up with the rate

of 4.8%/yr. during this period. Therefore, curbing this trend could contribute a lot to

saving electricity and thus reducing GHG emissions. The technological options include

promoting LED lighting and using energy efficient household appliances with energy

performance classes higher than A+.

Figure 9. Average electricity consumption of electrified households and electricity intensity of

the service sector per value added in purchasing power parities (ppp), (1990-2014)18

17

Dikmen and Gültekin, 2011. Usage of Renewable Energy Resources In Buildings in The Context Of Sustainability. Journal

of Engineering Science and Design. Vol:1 No:3 pp.96-100, 2011. http://dergipark.gov.tr/download/article-file/195367

18 World Energy Council database. https://wec-policies.enerdata.net/ Accessed: 27/02/2018.

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Similar, a large potential is associated with improving electrical efficiency and saving

electricity in commercial and public buildings. Although their number is smaller than

that of residential buildings, they contribute a large share to the sector energy

consumption. Figure 9 presents the electricity intensity of the commercial sector in

Turkey during 1990 – 2014 measured per value added in purchasing power parities.

The figure shows that similar to the electrical intensity of households, the commercial

electrical intensity grew at 4.4%/yr. during this period. The possibilities to reduce

energy demand in this sector is to improve the energy performance of heating, cooling,

and air-conditioning systems as well as of the equipment used in these buildings (data

centres, printers, fax machines, etc.). Thus, energy efficiency and GHG emission

reduction potentials are similarly high in commercial and residential buildings, but their

realization differs in terms of technological applications, peak demand, and financial

needs.

Of course, the GHG emission reduction possibilities discussed above can only be

realized on a large scale by turning Turkey into a low carbon economy, if the culture

of energy efficiency and climate protection will be taken over as a must by its

population. A detailed analysis of the options discussed above in terms of barriers and

opportunities will be conducted in the next steps of this project.

2.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral

Policies towards Lowering GHG Emissions

As the chapter attests, the buildings sector in Turkey is growing with the aim to provide

more homes for its increasing population as well as more floor space for commerce

and administrations. The urbanization process multiplying energy consumption as

compared to rural areas and growing living standards contribute to a distinct upward

trend in energy consumption and GHG emissions, which is still far from its stabilization.

That means that to limit GHG emissions associated with the buildings sector energy

consumption, the country faces a challenge to design and implement very ambitious

mitigation policies.

As discussed in the chapter, Turkey submitted its INDC committing to 21% GHG

emission reduction by 2030 versus its business-as-usual trends. However, this target

includes LULUCF excluding which the target is equivalent to a 348% increase versus

its 1990 levels.19

The national strategic documents and plans discussed in the chapter contain the

energy- and climate-related targets for some segments of the buildings sector and

identify the number of actions to implement them. Whereas these sets of targets and

19

http://www.climate-transparency.org/g20-climate-performance/g20report2017/country-profiles Accessed: 23/02/2018

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actions were a good start, many of them aim to deliver achievements already in 2015,

2018, and/or 2023, but there is a lack of evidence whether these have been already

delivered. As the chapter’s authors concluded, the country did not envision progress

and/or evaluation reports on the implementation of these commitments as well as on

the assessment of success and limitation factors, addressing which would help to

correct the country’s progress. This conclusion leads to the necessity to introduce

stronger implementation, monitoring, reporting, and enforcement mechanisms

additionally to the design and formulation of policies in the country.

As the review of the national policies illustrates, the country has achieved significant

progress on the transposition of the regulatory policies as required by EU energy

efficiency acquis i.e. building standards and mandatory building labelling and

certification. These policies typically work well for new buildings if they are updated

and tightened regularly, but they are not sufficient to deliver the impact on GHG

emission reduction in existing buildings. Therefore, more efforts are needed to design

relevant plans pushing for the design of building renovation strategies, the

establishment of financial mechanisms – either energy efficiency obligation schemes

or alternative approaches, and other enabling policies required by the EU energy

efficiency legislation that have not been yet addressed comprehensively by the

country.

There is also a need to introduce more policies for building the capacity of the

population, commerce, and the public sector to overcome their reluctance towards

investing into energy efficiency. The fact that the country fights its energy dependency

and continues providing subsidies for generation of domestic energy from fossil fuels

delivers, on one hand, a benefit for the population but becomes a disadvantage on the

other hand. Such energy prices do not allow households and commerce feeling the

real cost of energy and undermine their economic rationality and motivation to invest

in energy efficiency. Therefore, a tariff reform in combination with strong information

campaigns how to decrease energy bills in spite of higher energy prices is a must have

for the country. A detailed analysis of the options discussed above in terms of barriers

and opportunities will be conducted in the next steps of this project.

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3. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in

Waste Sector

Waste sector plays an important role in climate change and global warming as one of

the main sectors generating methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). Solid waste

disposal (“sanitary”/controlled landfilling or “wild”/open dump sites) and wastewater

treatment and discharge systems (municipal or industrial) are the main contributors to

the waste sector based GHG emissions.

INDC of Turkey includes plans and policies to be implemented for the waste sector:

Sending solid wastes to managed landfill sites;

Reuse, recycle and use of other processes to recover secondary raw materials

to utilize them as an energy source or to remove wastes;

Recovering energy from waste by using processes such as material recycling

of wastes, bio-drying, bio-methanisation, composting, advanced thermal

processes or incineration;

Recovery of methane gas from landfill gas from managed and unmanaged

landfill sites;

Utilization of industrial wastes as an alternative raw material or alternative fuel

in other industrial sectors, through industrial symbiosis approach;

Conducting relevant studies to utilize wastes generated from breeding farms

and poultry farms;

Rehabilitation of unmanaged waste sites and ensuring wastes to be deposited

at managed landfill sites.2

Besides, some policy documents supporting the waste part of INDC are discussed in

the next section.

3.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission

Solid waste disposal and wastewater discharge and treatment are the main sources

of GHG emissions from the waste sector. In Turkish waste legislation, policies and

strategy papers there are no direct targets or obligation for GHG emission mitigation.

However, reducing amounts of both solid waste and wastewater, diverting waste away

from landfills, increasing biological recovery of waste which replaces landfilling,

capturing or flaring methane from landfills and wastewater, rehabilitation of old

dumpsites, better source separation and collection of municipal waste and increasing

the use of nitrogen removal technologies in wastewater treatment contribute to GHG

emissions from waste sector. In this section, sectoral policy documents relevant to

above actions and practices are reviewed.

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National Waste Management Action Plan (2016 – 2023)

NWMAP involves the status of waste management in Turkey based on analysis of 81

provinces’ data, future trends and projections of waste generation, areas of

improvement on waste management, planned actions and investments until 2023. The

plan has been prepared in accordance with the adaption of the EU acquis to the

national environmental legislation and implementation of the national legislation.

Plan analyses waste management cycle from collection to material recycling, energy

recovery or final disposal for various types of waste including municipal waste,

packaging waste, medical waste, special waste (waste electrical and electronic

equipment, waste batteries and accumulators, waste oils…etc.), hazardous waste,

and construction & demolition waste. It has been publicly available since 05.12.2017

(published on the MoEU’s web site). The plan aims to outline country wide “sustainable

waste management strategy” to prevent environmental degradation and rapid diminish

of natural resources. It also aims to positively contribute to economic development by

regaining the value of the waste materials. It includes some quantitative and qualitative

targets as listed below:

Increase material recycling rate of municipal waste (mainly packaging) from

5.4% in 2014 to 12% in 2023;

Increase biological treatment recovery rate of municipal waste from 0.2% in

2014 to 4% in 2023;

Increase mechanical biological treatment recovery rate of municipal waste from

5.4% in 2014 to 11% in 2023;

Increase thermal treatment recovery rate of municipal waste from 0.3% in 2014

to 8% in 2023;

Decrease landfilling rate of municipal waste from 88.7% in 2014 to 65% in 2023;

Rehabilitation and/or closure of old wild dumpsites;

Countrywide implementation of efficient construction & demolition waste

management;

Increase efficiency of collection and recovery of special wastes;

Ensure additional facility investments needed for hazardous waste recovery

and disposal;

Wastewater Treatment Action Plan (2015 - 2023)

Wastewater Treatment Action Plan involves and analyses; pollution status of 25 river

basins, pressures and impacts, wastewater legislation and status of infrastructure in

Turkey, barriers on wastewater pollution prevention, wastewater treatment strategies,

planned actions and investments on wastewater treatment plants and sewerage

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systems including types, initial and operational costs. It has been publicly available

since 26.01.2016 (published on the MoEU’s web site).

Wastewater Treatment Action Plan aims to strengthen wastewater treatment capacity

of Turkey in line with the targets of the 10th Development Plan and Strategic Plan of

the MoEU. The Plan also promotes reuse of wastewater and clean production

technologies for wastewater treatment plants which contribute to climate change

mitigation. Some specific targets of the plan are listed below:

85% of the municipal population served by the wastewater treatment and

sewerage system until the end of 2017;20

100% of the municipal population served by the wastewater treatment and

sewerage system until the end of 2023;

Construction and commissioning of 1418 new wastewater treatment plants until

2023;

Renovation of 83 existing wastewater treatment plants until 2023;

Countrywide connection of pre-treated or treated industrial wastewater to the

municipal wastewater collection system;

Implementation of full cost-based wastewater tariffs.

10th National Development Plan (2014- 2018)3

The objectives are regarding waste sector:

Sanitation and wastewater treatment infrastructures in cities will be improved,

these infrastructures will be operated in line with the basin-specific discharge

standards, and reuse of treated wastewater will be encouraged;

Through efficient solid waste management, waste reduction, separation at

source, collection, transportation, recycle and disposal stages will be improved

as a whole in technical and financial aspects; raising awareness and improving

institutional capacity will be assigned priority. Usage of recycled materials in

production processes will be encouraged.

The targets are regarding waste sector:

Ratio of municipal population served with wastewater treatment plant to total

municipal population is planned to be 85% until the end of 2018;21

20

According to TurkStat 2016 data, 74.8% of the municipal population is served with wastewater treatment plant and 89.7% of

the municipal population is served by sewerage system.

21 According to TurkStat 2016 data, 74.8% of the municipal population is served with wastewater treatment plant.

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The ratio of municipal population benefiting from the sanitary landfill is planned

to be 80% until the end of 2018.22

National Climate Change Strategy (2010 – 2023)4

In the waste chapter of the National Climate Change Strategy, relevant strategies are

divided into 3 parts as short, medium and long-term ones:

Short Term

Harmonisation of legislation managing municipal wastes will be finalised by the

end of 2010.23

Medium Term

The amount of waste reuse and recovery will be increased within the framework

of the Waste Action Plan (2008 - 2012);

104 sanitary landfill facilities will be constructed and 76% of municipal waste

will be disposed at these facilities by the end of 2012.24

Long Term

Waste management hierarchy of source reduction, reuse, recycling, and

recovery shall be implemented more efficiently;

The number of organic substances transferred to the sanitary landfills will be

reduced, and biodegradable wastes will be used in energy generation or

composting;

Landfill gas will be captured and recovered for energy generation directly or

after being processed; otherwise, they will be incinerated for disposal.

National Climate Change Action Plan (2011 – 2023)5

In the action plan, the objective of the waste sector is defined as “ensuring effective

waste management”. Under this objective, some targets and actions are listed

including the time period for accomplishment; benefits, outputs and performance

indicators; and responsible, coordinating and relevant organisations.

Targets and action areas for the waste sector are summarized below:

22

According to TurkStat 2016 data, 92.5% of the total population is served with waste collection service and 61.2 % of the

collected waste is disposed to sanitary landfills and 9.8% of the collected waste is sent to recovery facilities.

23 Harmonisation of legislation was completed by adoption of Waste Management Regulation in 2015.

24 According to 2016 data, total number of sanitary landfill facility is 83 in Turkey and 61.2 % of the collected municipal waste is

disposed to sanitary landfills.

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Target 1: Reduce the quantity of biodegradable wastes sent to landfill sites, taking the

year 2005 as a basis, by 75% in weight till 2015, by 50% till 2018 and by 35% till

202525.

Action Area 1.1: Preparation and Implementation of Integrated Waste

Management Plans (IWMP) by Municipalities/Municipality Unions.

Action Area 1.2: Strengthening the institutional structure of Waste Management

Unions.

Action Area 1.3: Developing institutional capacity for monitoring and

supervision of IWMP practices.

Target 2: Establish integrated solid waste disposal facilities across the country and

dispose of 100% of municipal waste in these facilities until the end of 2023.

- Action Area 2.1: Developing the capacity of solid waste disposal facilities by

waste management consistent with national legislation and the EU acquis.

- Action Area 2.2: Recovery of the landfill gas.

Target 3: Finalise Packaging Waste Management Plans

Action Area 3.1: Effective implementation of a source-separated collection of

wastes.

Target 4: Establish the recovery facilities foreseen within the scope of the Solid Waste

Master Plan with the EU-compatible Integrated Waste Management approach.

Action Area 4.1: Increasing the number of compost and bio-methanisation

facilities.

Action Area 4.2: Supporting the waste reduction policy.

Target 5: Closure of wild dump sites 100% by 2023.

Action Area 5.1: Rehabilitation of wild dump sites.

In addition to the above strategy papers and action plans, Regulation on Sanitary

Landfill of Wastes (2010) requires reducing quantity of biodegradable wastes sent to

landfill sites, taking year 2005 as a basis, by 75% in weight till 2015, by 50% till 2018

and by 35% till 2025 and Waste Management Regulation (2015 - revised 2017)

requests dual collection system for recyclable and organic waste.26

25

Target is from Regulation on Sanitary Landfill of Wastes (2010).

26 Hitherto, both of the requirements have shown very little progress on implementation.

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3.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector

Perspective

According to the latest GHGs inventory of Turkey (NIR, 2017)15, total GHG emissions

generated from the waste sector is 16.9 Mt CO2-eq in 2015, which is 3.5% of the total

GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF). Starting from 2016 inventory submission, 2006

IPCC Guidelines have become mandatory and data has been revised retrospectively

for waste disposal sites. Emission estimates from Solid Waste Disposal (CRF

Category 5.A) are recalculated over the 1990-2013-time series.27 According to the

latest calculation of the time series, there is 52.2% increase in waste sector GHG

emissions between 1990 and 2015.

Main sources of waste sector based GHG emissions are solid waste disposal and

wastewater discharge and treatment. In 2015, “solid waste disposal” accounted for

73.8% and “wastewater discharge and treatment” accounted for 26.1% of the waste

sector based GHG emissions. Emissions from “open burning of waste” and “biological

treatment of waste” can be considered as negligible which together amount around

0.1% of waste sector emissions. Figure 10 shows the GHG emissions from waste

sector activities between 1990 and 2015.

27

Total amount of generated industrial waste had been used in the methane emission estimations from waste disposal sites

until 2016 inventory submission. However, based on the country-specific values for industrial waste disposed in the landfills

derived from waste statistics surveys performed by TurkStat, it was clarified that a significant amount of industrial waste was

included in the Municipal Waste and also only biogenic part of industrial waste should be considered in emission calculation not

the total amount of industrial waste. Therefore, CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites have been recalculated for the

years 1990-2013. Compared to the previous inventory submission, CH4 emissions in 2013 decreased by 45.1 per cent (9

707.34 kt), and decreased in 1990 by 30.6 per cent (2 962.18 kt). As an example, in the waste chapter of the National Climate

Change Action Plan (NCCAP), greenhouse gas emissions from waste sector was mentioned as second biggest among the

sectors after energy (33.8 Mt CO2-eq in 2009). According to today’s revised data, waste sector emissions are 17.9 Mt CO2-eq in

2009 (nearly half compared to the previous methodology).

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Figure 10. GHG emissions from waste sector, 1990-2015

In the last decade, the waste sector has developed continually including an increase

in private sector investments in Turkey. In 1994, by far the main disposal method for

municipal waste was the open dumping of waste, nearly without the existence of any

composting of waste or other biological waste recovery methods and only 2 sanitary

landfills were existent. In 2007, the number of sanitary landfills increased to 32 and

according to latest NWMAP (2016 – 2023), 83 sanitary landfills are existent at the end

of 2016 receiving 61.2% of the total municipal waste collected and serving 59 out of

81 provinces. Supported by YEKDEM28 mechanism, landfill gas collection and

electricity generation facilities have become popular particularly in the last 5 years.

The biogas production (collected gas) on landfills and wastewater treatment has

reached to more than 200 MWe installed capacity and 1.5 million MWh29 annual

production capacity including another biological recovery for energy facilities.

Biological treatment of waste is also in developing trend; however annual capacity is

currently not satisfactory at a too low level of 1.5 Mt. There exist 8 biological waste

recovery facilities (6 composting, 2 bio-methanisation) for source-segregated

municipal waste; 6 mechanical and biological treatment facilities (1 composting, 4 bio-

methanisation, 1 bio-drying) for mixed municipal waste and 1 co-incineration plant for

28

YEKDEM is a support mechanism for electricity manufacturers from renewable energy resources, which has been regulated

in the Regulation on Documentation and Support of Electricity Manufacturing from Renewable Energy Resources which has

entered into force in 2013. Landfill gas to electricity facilities are supported by sale price of 13.3 US cent/kWh guarantee to the

electricity grid. There is also local equipment bonus.

29 YEKDEM (2018), http://www.epdk.org.tr/TR/Dokumanlar/Elektrik/Yekdem/2018

02468

101214161820

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Solid waste disposal Waste water treatment and discharge

Open burning of waste Biological treatment of solid waste

(Mt CO2 eq)

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mixed municipal waste. These biological recovery facilities are established in only 12

cities out of 81 cities of Turkey (NWMAP, 2016).30

Despite all these positive developments in waste management, there are still more

than 800 dump sites (unmanaged landfills) in Turkey (NWMAP, 2016) and about 29%

of the municipal waste was disposed to these sites in 2016 (TurkStat, 2016).31 22 out

of 81 cities are not served with sanitary landfills.

As most of the municipalities in Turkey tend to transfer their waste management

responsibility to the private sector, private sector investments on solid waste projects

have been n increasing trend, supported by existing incentives such as YEKDEM

mechanism. The private sector generally focuses on the rehabilitation of old dump

sites in the form of long-term (up to 49 years) build-operate-transfer (BOT) contracts

with the Municipalities. This public-private partnership (PPP) projects are popular on

integrated waste management for a city or a region including landfill gas capturing,

biological recovery, and waste to energy facilities. Table 4 shows the current list of

waste to energy facilities fed by landfill gas or biogas from wastewater treatment in

Turkey.

Table 4. List of WtE facilities in Turkey (landfill or wastewater gas to energy only)29

Name of the facility

Installed

capacity

(MWe)

Annual

production

capacity (kWh)

Arel Energy Manavgat Biomass Facility 3,600 25.200.000

Arel Energy Biomass Facility 2,400 26.670.000

Arel Renewable Energy Isparta Biomass Facility 2,826 19.740.000

Atlas Osmaniye Landfill Gas to Electricity Facility 3,120 21.840.000

Hatay Gökçegöz Landfill Gas Power Plant 4,239 39.564.000

Kumkısık Lfg Power Plant 0,635 5.080.000

Pamukova Biogas Power Plant 1,400 9.670.000

Amasya Landfill Gas to Electricity Facility 1,200 12.859.000

Trabzon Rize Landfill Gas Power Plant 4,350 29.673.000

Gaziantep B.B. Landfill 5,655 48.859.000

Bolu Landfill Biogas Project 1,131 8.143.200

Malatya 1 Landfill Gas to Electricity Facility 1,200 16.800.000

Şanlıurfa Power Plant 6,240 43.680.000

30

National Waste Management Action Plan 2016-2023, Ministry of Environmental and Urbanization, Ankara, 2016,

http://cygm.csb.gov.tr/ulusal-atik-yonetimi-ve-eylem-plani-2016-2023-hazirlandi.-haber-221234

31 TurkStat (2016), http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=24876 Accessed: 20/02/2018

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Her Energy Kayseri Landfill 5,782 35.000.000

Itc Adana Energy Generation Facility 15,565 108.955.000

Itc Antalya Biomass Facility 14,150 99.050.000

Itc Bursa Hamitler Facility 9,800 85.848.000

Itc Aksaray Facility 1,415 9.905.000

Itc-Ka Biomass Gasification Facility 10,850 75.950.000

ITC-KA Elazığ Facility 2,830 15.848.000

Sincan Çadırtepe Power Plant 19,824 138.768.000

ITC-KA Çarşamba Facility 1,415 7.294.000

Aslım Energy Generation Facility 5,660 44.224.000

Karma Power Plant 1,487 10.409.000

Kipaş Kağıt Biomass Energy Generation Facility 1,200 8.400.000

Konya Wastewater Treatment Plant Biogas Facility

Elektrik Üretim Santrali

2,436 18.350.000

Dilovası Landfill Biogas Power Plant 2,126 14.882.000

Kocaeli Landfill Biogas Power Plant 5,445 45.556.000

Mas 1 Renewable Energy Facility 2,395 16.765.000

Malatya Gasification Incineration Plant 4,000 28.000.000

Sivas Landfill Gas to Electricity Facility 2,830 19.782.000

İskenderun Landfill Gas to Electricity Facility 4,233 29.673.000

Kömürcüoda Biogas Project 14,150 118.860.000

Odayeri Biogas Project 33,807 236.649.000

Maraş Biomass Facility 4,800 33.600.000

Samsun Avdan Biogas Facility 6,000 58.800.000

Vesmec Kırk-Kab 1 Biogas Power Plant 1,200 8.294.400

Kırıkkale Landfill Gas Power Plant 1,003 7.021.000

Private sector initiatives are also developing on producer responsibility schemes which

are mainly for packaging waste and other special waste types such as batteries and

accumulators, end of life tyres and waste oils. Separation of recyclable packaging

waste from biodegradable waste at source contributes diverting waste away from

landfill targets and fulfils a pre-condition for biological recovery (i.e. anaerobic

digestion).32 In that manner, packaging waste is also another important item to be

considered for reducing GHG emissions in Turkey. Currently, there are 4 packaging

waste recovery organisations which are authorised by the MoEU. These are ÇEVKO,

TÜKÇEV, PAGÇEV and AGED. In 2014, 2.4 Mt of packaging waste was collected

(with the considerable contribution of the authorised institutions) out of 4.2 Mt

32

Anaerobic digestion is a process in which microorganisms break down biodegradable material in the absence of oxygen.

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generated. 1.8 Mt (NWMAP, 2016) of this amount is from municipal waste which would

be sent to landfills, if not collected separately. There were only 23 licenced collecting

and sorting facility and 14 recycling facility in 2004, however, the number of both

collecting & sorting and recycling facilities has skyrocketed in the recent years in

Turkey and reached to 631 and 919 respectively in 2016 (NWMAP, 2016).

3.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based

on Current Trends and Policies

Waste sector is responsible for 28.8% of total CH4 emissions and 6.1% of total N2O

emissions in 2015.33 Waste sector-based methane emissions are mainly originating

from solid waste disposal sites, while N2O emissions are totally released from

wastewater discharge and treatment. CO2 emissions from landfills are considered as

biogenic source and not included in GHG inventory. This little amount of CO2

emissions comes from the open burning of waste.

As stated above, CO234 emissions are only calculated for open burning and this

practice tends to totally disappear in the recent future (Figure 11). So, we may remove

this item from our calculations for future projections.

Figure 11. Waste sector CO2 emissions (1990-2015)

33

TurkStat (2017), http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=24588 Accessed: 20/02/2018

34 The IPCC Tier 2a method recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories is applied to estimate

CO2 emissions.

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CH435 emissions have increased constantly until 2011 mainly because of the

increasing amount of organic waste landfilled and treated wastewater. After 2011, CH4

emissions have started a decreasing trend as the quantities of methane recovery

facilities were increasing from 2011 until 2015 (Figure 12). We may expect an

increasing trend on greenhouse gas emissions from biological treatment of solid waste

in the future, however, overall CH4 emissions will be less as the landfilling is replaced

by biological recovery and methane is captured or flared.

Figure 12. Waste sector CH4 emissions (1990-2015)

N2O36 emissions have also increased constantly until 2015 due to increasing amount

of treated wastewater (Figure 13). In the last 2 years of the time series, the trend has

been stabilised mainly by use of developed systems for nitrogen removal.

35

The IPCC T2 First Order Decay (FOD) method recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories is

used to estimate CH4 emissions.

36 Turkey applies the default method from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines to estimate N2O emissions from domestic wastewater.

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Figure 13. Waste sector N2O emissions (1990-2015)

Methane emissions from landfills are by far the most important source of GHG

emissions in this sector and the emissions need to be estimated and reported37 in

national GHG inventories. Methane is emitted during the anaerobic decomposition of

organic waste disposed of in solid waste disposal sites. Organic waste decomposes

at a diminishing rate and takes many years to decompose completely (IPCC, 2006).38

CH4 emissions from landfill sites were 269 kt in 1990 and increased to 498 kt in 2015.33

Increases in a municipal waste generation are related to rates of urbanization, types

and patterns of consumption, household revenue, and population growth. In Turkey,

after the year 2000, the total amount of municipal waste has reached and exceeded

the level of 25 Mt annually. Around 27.4 Mt waste was disposed to landfills in 2015

and as the historical record, 69.2% of that amount was sent to sanitary (managed)

landfill sites (Figure 14).

37

When solid waste is disposed in waste dumps and landfills, most of the organic material will be degraded over a longer or

shorter period, ranging in a wide span from less than one year to 100 years or more. The main degradation products are

carbon dioxide (CO2), water and heat for the aerobic process and methane (CH4) and CO2 for the anaerobic process. The CO2

produced originates from biogenic sources (e.g., food, garden, paper and wood waste) and the emissions need therefore not

be considered in national inventories (IPCC, Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse

Gas Inventories)

38 IPCC Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IPCC,2006, Chapter

5, https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/gp/english/5_Waste.pdf

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Figure 14. Annual waste at solid waste disposal sites (1990-2015)

In 2016, 31,583,553 tonnes of municipal waste were collected and 61.2% of this

amount was sent to sanitary landfills (managed sites) whereas 26.8% was disposed

to dump sites (unmanaged sites). Remarkably, recovery facilities have reached a

portion of about 10% in 2016, compared to less than 1% in the previous years.39

Unmanaged solid waste disposal sites produce less CH4 from a given amount of waste

than managed ones because a larger fraction of waste decomposes aerobically in the

top layers of unmanaged sites (IPCC, 2006). However, in sanitary landfills, control of

methane emissions by installing gas collection systems is becoming widespread. In

addition, as part of integrated waste management strategy, biological waste recovery

facilities are being established in a number of sanitary landfill sites. Consequently, CH4

emissions from managed waste disposal sites are lower than that of unmanaged

landfill sites in Turkey (Table 5).

39

TurkStat has included waste recovery option to its surveys different from previous years. Municipalities are supposed to

report not only disposal activities but also recovery activities including composting, biomethanisation and material recycling in

their region.

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Table 5. CH4 emissions from waste disposal sites (NIR, 2017)15

CH4 emissions Amount of CH4 for energy recovery

Managed waste disposal

sites

Unmanaged waste disposal sites

Total

1990 - 269.18 269.18 -

1995 5.69 300.40 306.09 -

2000 47.37 341.12 388.49 -

2005 113.68 369.75 483.43 1.67

2010 152.46 381.89 534.34 47.94

2011 167.20 378.57 545.77 56.72

2012 152.26 376.29 528.56 96.15

2013 101.07 371.80 472.87 172.79

2014 110.24 365.47 475.71 190.67

2015 137.51 360.70 498.21 189.28

Wastewater treatment and discharge is another GHG emission source category for

mainly N2O and CH4 emissions. In 2016, 84.2% of total population (67.2 million) has

access to municipal wastewater collection network and 70.2% of the population (56

million) served by wastewater treatment (TurkStat, 2016).40

The rate of wastewater treatment was quite low until 2000; only 10% of wastewater

collected by municipal sewerage systems was treated in 1994. As a result of effective

wastewater treatment policy implementation, it was improved and out of 4.5 billion

m3 of collected wastewater, 85.7% (3.8 billion m3) was treated in 2016. 76.1% of

collected wastewater was treated in biological and advanced treatment plants, and

23.9% was treated in physical and natural treatment systems (Table 6).

40

TurkStat (2016), http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=24875 Accessed: 20/02/2018

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Table 6. Municipal wastewater collection and treatment (1994-2016)41

1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2012 2014 2016

Municipal population

served by sewerage

system

32 696 622 37 189 736 44 342 222 50 856 943 54 017 052 58 754 795 65 071 589 67 227 191

Wastewater discharged

from municipal sewerage

to receiving bodies

(thousand m3/year)

1 509 651 2 096 714 2 497 657 3 366 894 3 582 131 4 072 563 4 296 851 4 484 075

Amount of wastewater

treated by wastewater

treatment plants

(thousand m3/year)

150 061 589 515 1 312 379 2 140 494 2 719 151 3 256 980 3 483 787 3 842 350

Physical 77 725 281 374 344 509 714 404 751 101 929 334 869 248 906 221

Biological 72 335 308 142 745 852 926 581 931 356 1 072 873 1 155 353 1 214 977

Advanced - - 222 018 499 509 1 031 616 1 245 977 1 450 494 1 708 361

Natural ... ... ... ... 5 079 8 795 8 692 12 791

Municipal population

served by wastewater

treatment plants

6 044 364 10 449 370 18 955 305 29 643 258 38 050 717 43 543 737 49 358 266 56 016 738

(...) Data is not available, (-) Denotes magnitude null

N2O emissions show increasing trend during 1990 - 2015 due to the increased amount

of wastewater treated. Conversely, there is a decreasing trend in methane emission

after 1998. The main reason for that trend is the increasing amount of methane

recovery for energy purposes (Table 7).

Table 7. GHG emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge (1990-2015)15

CH4 emissions (kt)

Amount of CH4 for Energy Recovery (kt)

N2O emissions (kt)

1990 111.56 - 4.86

1995 121.67 - 5.27

2000 121.44 6.94 5.46

2005 122.53 11.90 5.70

2010 118.62 16.77 6.11

2011 117.58 21.29 6.25

2012 117.57 24.58 6.52

2013 105.75 24.71 6.64

2014 97.79 33.97 6.73

2015 94.8542 38.07 6.82

41

TurkStat (2018), http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreTablo.do?alt_id=1019 Accessed: 20/02/2018

42 75.83 kt CH4 is from municipal wastewater, whereas 19.02 kt CH4 is from industrial wastewater

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GHG reduction potential (A rough estimation)

Projects such as rehabilitation of unmanaged waste disposal sites and recovery of

methane gas from landfills will play a major role in GHG reduction.

The Turkish government has targets and goals for the 100th anniversary of the Turkish

Republic including the waste sector. As stated in NCCAP, NWMAP, and WTAP, 100%

of municipal wastes will be disposed to integrate solid waste disposal facilities across

the country (with 65% sanitary landfilling target), %100 of wastewater will be treated,

and %100 of the old dump sites will be closed or rehabilitated. Moreover, it is aimed

to go towards the use of more advanced technologies, such as the energy production

from solid waste by biological and thermal processes43 and recycling of solid waste.

According to NWMAP (2016 – 2023), it is projected that amount of generated

municipal waste will reach 33 Mt by 2023. In 2014, the total amount of collected

municipal waste was recorded as 28 Mt (10 Mt was sent to sanitary landfills and 8 Mt

was sent to unmanaged landfills). Table 5 shows that CH4 emissions from sanitary

landfills and unmanaged landfills were 110 kt and 365 kt respectively (475 kt CH4 in

total) and 190 kt CH4 was recovered in 2014. It is planned that there will be no

unmanaged landfills by 2023 and the landfilling rate is targeted as 65 % of 33 Mt of

municipal waste (21.45 Mt). With a simple linear extrapolation44, if 110 kt CH4 is

emitted by 10 Mt of municipal waste (sanitary landfilling), then we may expect 235 kt

CH4 produced from landfills in 2023. As the biological treatment (composting) is

planned to increase from 0.2% in 2014 to 4% in 2023, an additional 8 kt of CH4

emission should be added to this amount which makes a total of 243 kt CH4 emission

from solid waste in 2023. Since the landfill gas collection systems are expected to be

more widespread in Turkey by 2023, we may accept this amount as a minimum.

Table 7 shows that CH4 emissions from wastewater treatment plants have stabilised

by the introduction of methane recovery systems in recent years. For example, based

on 2014 data 81 % of discharged wastewater was treated by wastewater treatment

plants which lead to 97.79 kt CH4 emissions and 6.73 kt N2O emissions. In 2023, the

population is estimated to be 84.247.088.45 According to WTAP (2015 – 2023), it is

targeted to reach 100 % treatment of generated wastewater. Again, with a simple

43

Waste incineration emissions are included in inventory however it is reported under energy sector.

44 This is a rough estimate that assumes the varying parameters are constant such as composition of waste, degradable

organic carbon (DOC), fraction of DOC which decomposes (DOCF), methane generation rate constant (k), fraction of methane

(F) and oxidation factor (OX) and assumes all conditions are same in both years. Industrial and municipal solid waste is not

differentiated.

45 http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=15844 , 80 million is accepted as municipal population

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linear extrapolation46 as above, 5.3 billion m3 of wastewater is calculated for treatment

in 2023, which has emission potential of roughly 150 kt CH4 and 10 kt N2O. These are

conservative estimates which do not include the impact of possible integration of

nitrogen removal technologies before discharge and better methane capturing

practices in Turkey, which could decrease the amount of N2O and CH4 emissions.

As a result; the above rough calculations show that there is a potential to reduce GHG

emission from waste sector to 12.847 Mt CO2-eq in 2023, which corresponds to a

decrease of 24% compared to latest available data from 2015.

3.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral

Policies towards Lowering GHG Emissions

Interventions and improvements in waste sector policy towards lowering GHG

emissions are contributing to emissions savings. Some policy recommendations for

the waste sector are summarised in Table 8:

Table 8. Policy Recommendations towards Lowering GHG Emissions

Further improvements of

waste management in

Turkey towards

environmentally sound

management and further

transposition of EU legal

framework regarding

waste sector.

This is a continuous process. Solid waste and wastewater

management legal framework in Turkey is mostly aligned with EU

acquis.7 Comprehensive list of relevant waste legislation is given in

Barrier and Opportunities Report. Turkey also has strategic

documents and action plans for better waste management, such as

EU Integrated Environmental Approximation Strategy for Turkey

(2007-2023) (UCES, 2006)48 and NWMAP (2016 – 2023). This

process includes moving from INDC2 to NDC) measures in the waste

sector.

Further development of

policy and legal tools and

economic instruments to

support implementation.

In order to ensure effective implementation, enforcement, monitoring

and auditing of the legislation, there is a need for strengthening the

institutional structure and capacity building. An extraordinary effort

and an improvement in communication and cooperation between the

government, local authorities, the public and private sectors, and

NGOs are required for proper implementation of the regulations in

the waste sector.

46

Varying parameters such as protein consumption (kg/person/yr) and fraction of N in protein are assumed as constant.

Amount of treated wastewater is calculated based on only population served. Industrial and municipal wastewater is not

differentiated.

47 Calculated by summing 393 kt CH4 (243 kt from solid waste disposal and 150 kt from wastewater treatment) and 10 kt N2O

(from wastewater treatment) after multiplying with their global warming potential factors 25 and 298 respectively.

48 EU Integrated Environmental Approximation Strategy (UCES), Ministry of Environmental and Forestry, Ankara, 2006,

https://www.ab.gov.tr/files/SEPB/cevrefaslidokumanlar/uces.pdf

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Permission, monitoring, auditing, sanctioning, and reporting are still

unsatisfactory and have a non-integrated structure. Availability of

long-time series, as well as regional detailed data, is needed. New

indicators and data collection and verifications mechanisms are

needed for further assessment of the waste management

performances, as well as building waste management performance

indicators and tools to track progress against population growth,

economy and municipal waste targets.

Effective tools for streamlining a sustainable waste collection system

including source separation and dual (recyclables and organic)

collection is needed.

Financing mechanism of waste management should be

strengthened through realistic fees and taxes. To divert waste away

from landfills, economic instruments such as landfill fee and Pay-as-

you-throw (PAYT) schemes should be introduced in the medium

term.

Further development of

extended producer

responsibility (EPR)

legislation, and its

implementation.

Turkish Waste Management Regulation apply extended producer

responsibility (EPR) as an economic instrument for specific types of

waste such as packaging waste, WEEE, waste batteries and

accumulators and ELV. Compared to the traditional solid waste

management approach, EPR involves a shift in responsibility

(administratively, financially and/or physically) from governments or

municipalities (and thus taxpayers) to the entities that make and

market the products that are destined to become waste. In Turkey,

there are still conflicts of responsibilities between municipalities and

the entities that market the product. Roles and responsibilities should

be clarified in detail.

Legally mainstreaming of

the waste sector into other

different subsectors of

Chapter 27 (horizontal

legislation).

In this corpus, other laws and regulation from sectors out of the waste

sector, but-relevant for waste, should also be taken in account (like

for Environmental Impact Assessment and Strategic Impact

Assessment, Disaster Reduction, etc.). For Turkey it is the

importance of adapting the current and future waste management to

climate change, i.e. to integrate of climate change adaptation into the

waste management sector (as a mitigation measure to climate

change); Environmental Impact Assessment and Strategic Impact

Assessment have to have “strong” Climate Change and Disaster

Risk Analysis.

Legally mainstreaming of

the waste sector into other

different sectoral policies.

Solid waste management also includes indirect GHG emissions

potential through transport of waste (transport sector) and GHG

reduction potential through using recycled materials on

manufacturing (industry sector) or fossil fuel substitution by waste to

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generate electricity (energy sector), as well as needs for

interventions in all sectors of development.

Policy measures towards

better standards in the

waste treatment facilities.

To consider interventions in public procurement policy and practice

towards choosing appropriate environmental/climate change sound

technologies in planning waste management and wastewater

treatment.

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4. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in

Transportation Sector

In 2011, road transport share in overall transportation sector has been as high as 80%

and 89%, for freight and passenger, respectively (see Table 9); thus, national strategy

aimed to reach a more balanced road shares of 60% and 72%, respectively by 2023

(MoTCM (2011)49; NCCS (2010-2023)4; NCCAP (2011-2023)5; 10th Development Plan

(2014-2018)3; MoEU (2015)50).

As a result, transport sector received a considerable share of investment budget

suggested by National Development Plans: the transportation sector had 37% of the

budget (146,123 million TL) in the 9th Development Plan51, it was planned to have 34%

of the budget (141,914 million TL) in the 10th Development Plan for the period of 2014-

2018 (MoD, 2013)3. To achieve 2023 targets; for freight transport, a major increase is

needed in railway and maritime shares, while for passenger transport, rail and air

sectors are chosen as the critical shift areas. Also, shifts in the modal shares of these

transport sub-sectors do not cause a parallel effect on carbon emission reduction

capability as the energy use and efficiency in each subsector is different. Thus, any

LCD plan for transportation sector has to be developed based on both aspects. As of

2015, however, the road transport shares were reported still as high as 89.8% and

89.2%, which indicates that more has to be done beyond allocating infrastructure

investment budgets. Also, travel demand for urban, intercity or international scales

should be met by different modes/systems, which requires successful orchestration of

different policies and legislative changes in Turkey as discussed below.

Table 9. Model shares of transport system49,51

2011 (%) 2015 (%) 2023 Target (%)

Domestic Freight (tonne-km)

Road 80.6 89.8 60.0

Rail 4.8 3.9 15.0

Air 0.4 0.0 1.0

Maritime 2.7 6.3 10.0

Pipelines 11.5 -- 14.0

49

Transport and Communication Strategy 2011-2023, Ministry of Transport, Maritime Affairs and Communication, Ankara,

2011

50 Ministry of Environment and Urbanization Strategic Plan 2015-2017, Ministry of Environment and Urbanization, Ankara,

2015

51 9th Development Plan 2007-2013, Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry, Ankara, 2016

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Domestic Passenger (passenger-km)

Road 89.6 89.2 72.0

Rail 2.2 1.1 10.0

Air 7.8 9.1 14.0

Maritime 0.4 0.6 4.0

4.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission

International and National Commitments

INDC2, which shall be converted to nationally determined contributions by ratification

of Paris Agreement, contains 11 elements about transportation as 1) ensuring

balanced utilization of transport modes in freight and passenger transport by reducing

the share of road transport and increasing the share of maritime and rail transport, 2)

enhancing combined transport, 3) implementing sustainable transport approaches in

urban areas, 4) promoting alternative fuels and clean vehicles, 5) reducing fuel

consumption and emissions of road transport with National Intelligent, Transport

Systems Strategy Document (2014-2023) and its Action Plan (2014-2016), 6) realizing

high speed railway projects, 7) increasing urban railway systems, 8) achieving fuel

savings by tunnel projects, 9) scraping of old vehicles from traffic, 10) implementing

green port and green airport projects to ensure energy efficiency, and 11)

implementing special consumption tax exemptions for maritime transport.

Additionally, INDC is supported by the national climate change policy documents

which also cover national commitments for mitigating the greenhouse gas emission.

For example, according to the 10th National Development Plan,3 Turkey has given

priority to transport systems that provide energy efficiency, clean fuel, and the use of

environmentally friendly vehicles. Use of smart applications in transportation will be

expanded. Also, green growth opportunities in transportation sector will be evaluated

and environmently sensitive economic growth will be supported. Improving “Energy

Efficiency in Transportation” is one of the important components of the program. And

related to this component, “Disseminating the use of public transportation, small

engine volume and electric and hybrid vehicles, establishing smart bike networks in

appropriate residential areas and creating pedestrian paths closed to traffic” and

“Disseminating the use of low fuel consumption vehicles in the public sector” come out

as the important steps.

National Climate Change Strategy (2010-2023)4 includes a set of objectives to be

implemented in the mid-term, and long-term and guides the actions related to

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transportation which may help GHG emission reduction. According to the Plan, in the

mid-term:

plans will be developed to increase the share of railroads, sea routes and air

routes and the load factor in freight and passenger transport.

studies will be done to evaluating to the development potential of combined

transport.

Short-distance maritime and lake transport shall be encouraged.

Use of environment-friendly vehicles like bicycle will be encouraged.

The use of alternative fuels and clean vehicle technologies in public transport

vehicles will be expanded in cities.

R&D studies will be applied to raise the geometrical and physical standards of

road networks to ensure lower fuel consumption.

Smart transportation systems will be developed and the energy efficiency in the

transport system will be improved.

Besides,

encouragement of usage of alternative fuels, new technology engines which

can minimize both CO2 and NOx emissions and environment-friendly hybrid

transportation vehicles

Increasing the share of railways and seaways in freight and passenger

transportation over 2% and supporting of airway transportation are mentioned

the as long term.

This is followed by the development of National Climate Change Action Plan (2011-

2023)5, which had the objectives and some examples of specific targets for given

periods as follows:

Increasing the share of railroads in freight transportation to 15%, and in

passenger transportation to 10% by 2023.

Increasing the share of seaways in cabotage freight transportation to 10%, and

in passenger transportation to 4% as of 2023.

Decreasing the share of highways in freight transportation below 60%, and in

passenger transport to 72% as of 2023.

Preparing and putting in practice the “Transportation Master Plan” until 2023.

Preparing the Transportation Master Plan (Time Period: 2013-2023)

(Alignment with EU).

Limiting emission increase rate of individual vehicles in intra-city transport.

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Developing the necessary legislation, institutional structure and guidance

documents until the end of 2023 for implementation of sustainable transport

planning in cities.

Reviewing and revising the “Regulation on Principles and Procedures to

Increase Energy Efficiency in Transport”.

Making legal arrangements and building capacity to increase use of alternative

fuels and clean vehicles until 2023.

Initiating studies on regulations in the taxing system to reduce GHG

emissions from motor vehicles (Time Period: 2020-2023).

Promoting alternative fuels and clean vehicles by making arrangements in

the tax legislation (Time Period: 2020-2023).

Taking local measures to encourage the use of alternative fuel and clean

vehicles in urban transport until 2023.

Adopting and putting into practice the strategy to introduce an age limit for

public transport vehicles (Time Period: 2015-2023).

Offering free or low-priced parking areas to clean fuel and clean vehicle users

in an urban centre (Time Period: 2015-2023).

Limiting the energy consumption in transport until 2023.

Creating incentive mechanisms in the production of land, sea, air vehicles

that have high energy efficiency, supporting investments (Time Period:

2015-2023).

Moreover, in the National Intelligent, Transport Systems Strategy Document

(2014-2023) and its Action Plan (2014-2016)52; adopting of a national legislation on

Intelligent Transport System (ITS), decreasing the emissions and fuel consumption in

the railroad transportation is mentioned as the requirements. In the other document

referred in INDC, Energy Efficiency Strategy Paper (2012-2023)6, “reducing the unit

fossil fuel consumption of motor vehicles, increasing the share of public transport in

highways, sea routes and railways and preventing unnecessary fuel consumption in

urban transport” are mentioned as strategical purposes. For this purpose, the

document mentioned the need for preparation of the bill in parliament related to

making changes in the related laws and the secondary legislation arrangements, and

the deadline to complete this requirement was twenty-four (24) months as of the date

of publication of the document.

52

National Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) Strategy Paper 2014-2023, Ministry of Transport, Maritime Affairs and

Communications, Ankara, 2014, http://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/eskiler/2014/10/20141025-21-1.pdf

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Although INDC does not refer to it, New Energy Efficiency Action Plan emerges as an

important tool for the harmonisation to EU Energy Efficiency Directive. The Plan, which

regulates the terms of 2017-2023, proposes nine actions for ensuring sustainability

and energy efficiency in the transportation sector. These actions are: i) Promoting of

energy efficient vehicles; ii) developing of comparative studies on alternative fuels and

new technologies; iii) building and enhancing of bicycle and pedestrian transportation;

iv) mitigating of car usage for the purpose of easing the traffic density in the cities; v)

generalizing of public transportation, vi) improvement and application of institutional

restructuring for urban transportation; vii) strengthening of sea transport; viii)

strengthening of railway transportation and collection of data concerning

transportation.

Meanwhile, EU Commission Progress Report, which is the “Sixth Progress Report

of EU Commission”,7 measures related to mitigation of carbon emissions in the

“transportation” that should be completed are listed as follows:

Adoption of the legislation on intelligent transport systems (ITS) and improving

the capacity and resources for its implementation.

Key strategic documents such as the national transport strategy will have to be

revised to take into account the latest EU priorities in sustainable urban mobility

and in combating climate change.

Transport Master Plan covering all modes of transport needs to be approved.

Alignment with the ITSs legislation, the ‘clean power for transport’ package on

clean and energy-efficient road transport vehicles and the introduction of

infrastructure for alternative fuels.

Further efforts should be made to fully implement the legislation already aligned

with the Fuel Quality Directive,

Alignment with the EU Regulation on emissions standards for new cars should

be initiated.

Alignment regarding ozone-depleting substances should be completed.

Further efforts are required to align with the regulation on fluorinated

greenhouse gases.

Necessity of establishing a precise transposition plan for the Directive on

geological storage of CO2.

For maritime transport, although it is the most energy-efficient mode, IMO takes

responsibility to reduce GHG emissions from international shipping, as future

scenarios for 2050 project an increase by 50% to 250%.53 According to progress; IMO

53

Third IMO GHG Study 2014; International Maritime Organization (IMO) London, UK, April 2015; Smith, T. W. P.; Jalkanen,

J. P.; Anderson, B. A.; Corbett, J. J.; Faber, J.; Hanayama, S.; O’Keeffe, E.; Parker, S.; Johansson, L.; Aldous, L.; Raucci, C.;

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may adopt stringent requirements by taking into account collected data of ships after

2019, report of working groups and new versions of GHG Studies. EU adopted

Regulation (EU) 757/2015 to annually monitor, report and verify CO2 emissions for

vessels larger than 5,000 gross tonnages (GT) calling at any EEA States (the EU

Member States, Iceland and Norway) port; while International Maritime Organization

(IMO) has not set global requirements yet. Beside IMO and EU efforts, there are also

community initiatives that require/promote GHG emission reduction such as; port

incentive programmes, a GHG rating of ships from A to G such as electrical household

goods by Existing Vessel Design Index (EVDI), logistic chain assessment, Clean

Cargo Working Group etc. Draft initial IMO Strategy54 on the reduction of GHG

emissions from ships report will be submitted to MEPC 72 in 2018.

In summary, majority of the climate change-related policy documents and legislation

are directly related to transport sector (i.e. Transport and Communication Strategy

Document by MoTMC in 2011)49, some of them are “cross-cutting” documents (i.e.

IPA II Indicative Strategy Paper for Turkey 2014-2020: European Commission, 201455)

and legislation (i.e. Regulation on Monitoring of Greenhouse Gas Emissions56).

Majority of the documents commonly and repetitively emphasized the following

policies:

To reach a more balanced modal shares in the transportation sector by

increasing the rail share in passenger and freight transport with the new HSR

and conventional rail investments (MoTCM (2011)49, NCCS (2010)4,

NCCAP(2011)5, 10th Development Plan3; MoEU Strategic Plan(2015)50).

To strengthen intermodal transport (NCCAP (2011), MoTMC (2011), MoEU

(2015)).

To give priority to the non-motorized and public transport in urban areas

(MoTMC (2011), 10th Development Plan, MoEU Strategic Plan (2015)).

To make Turkey a regional hub in logistics by decreasing logistics cost and

developing trade (by preparing Logistics Master Plan considering transport

modes, corridors and logistic centres) (10th Development Plan; MoTMC (2011)).

Traut, M.; Ettinger, S.; Nelissen, D.; Lee, D. S.; Ng, S.; Agrawal, A.; Winebrake, J. J.; Hoen, M.; Chesworth, S.; Pandey,

A.http://www.imo.org/en/OurWork/Environment/PollutionPrevention/AirPollution/Documents/Third%20Greenhouse%20Gas%20

Study/GHG3%20Executive%20Summary%20and%20Report.pdf

54 International Maritime Organization (2017), Strategic Plan for the Organization for the Six-Year Period 2018 to 2023

(Resolution A .1110(30). http://www.imo.org/en/About/strategy/Pages/default.aspx. Accessed: 20/02/2018

55 IPA II Country Strategy Paper for Turkey 2014-2020, European Commission, 2014

56 Regulation on Monitoring of Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Ankara, Turkey.

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To give priority to transport systems that improve energy efficiency and

increase use of clean fuels (10th Development Plan; NCCAP (2011); NCCS

(2010), MoEU Strategic Plan (2015)).

To utilize information technologies and Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)

in traffic management and public transport services (10th Development Plan,

ITS (2014-2023)52, MoEU Strategic Plan (2015)).

To expand the use of alternative energy and vehicle technologies, and to

reduce fossil fuel consumption of motorized vehicles. (10th Development Plan,

NCCAP (2011), NCCS (2010), MoEU Strategic Plan (2015)).

To increase the share of maritime transport, especially in short distance sea

and lake transport, wherever possible (NCCS (2010); 6th National

Communication of Turkey16; MoEU Strategic Plan (2015)).

For transport sector, developing the necessary legislation and institutional structure

for implementation of sustainable transport services as well as the information and

data collection infrastructure were stated as two main objectives (NCCAP (2011),

MoTMC (2011)).

4.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector

Perspective

Road Transport

Ambitious investments for divided highways in the period 2001-2016 resulted in a

major increase of their length from 5,821 to 23,831 km as seen in Figure 15 (TurkStat,

2018).57 However, this increase has not resulted in a major change in the total highway

network length, as the majority of the divided highways were transformed from

originally undivided or low capacity segments (listed under “other” in Figure 15). The

change in the high capacity motorway length was very small in the same period. While

it is planned to reach 32,000 km by 2023 (10th Development Plan)3, the rate of increase

in the divided highway network length has dropped significantly in the last five years.

57

Turkish Statistical Institute (Turkstat) (2018), Transport Statistics, http://www.turkstat.gov.tr/PreTablo.do ?alt_id=1051,

Accessed: 10/02/2018

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Figure 15. Change in road network length between (1990-2016)57

Since 2004, a major change in road transport sector is observed in vehicle ownership

(Figure 16-a) as the number of total registered vehicles increased drastically (average

annual increase rate was 6% in the last decade). When analysed from fuel type base,

both the number and share of gasoline based vehicles dropped over the years, which

was compensated by the rapid increase in the LPG and diesel based ones (see Figure

16-b and Figure 16-c); currently, diesel vehicles have the 49% of the vehicle park

followed by gasoline-based one with 29.1% market share (see Figure 16-c).

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Figure 16. a) Number of Vehicles by Type, b) Number of Cars by Fuel Type, c) Share of

Vehicles by Fuel Type between 2004 and 2016 (TurkStat, 2018)57

Parallel to the rapid motorization and ambitious investments in road infrastructure, total

intercity road vehicle-km and passenger-km were doubled (see Figure 17), while

freight tonne-km has increased fourfold. Though these indicators usually are a sign of

economic growth, because of strong linear increases in road transport trends there is

no sign of a decrease in road transport shares as expected in 2023 targets (see Table

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9), especially when compared the rather slow increase in the rail freight trends

discussed below.

Figure 17. Road Transport Statistics between 2001-2016 a) Intercity Vehicle-km b) Passenger-

km, c) Freight-km (TurkStat, 2018)57

Rail Transport:

Rail transport has been perceived as a more sustainable transport due to the potential

use of alternative energy sources (based on the source of electricity) compared to road

and air transport. Based on this, there has been an increase in the investments

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including conventional and high-speed railways in the last decade, despite the fact

that primary source of electricity in Turkey is still fossil fuels. Currently, there is 12,532

km of railway network consisting of 11,319 km conventional line, 1,213 km high-speed

railway line (HSR) (see Figure 18). The total rail network is planned to reach 18,508

km length with 6,441 km of HSR network by 2021 (MoTMC Strategic Plan, 2016).58

HSR passenger-km has been increasing continuously after its introduction in 2009.

Despite some fluctuations in the passenger-km of main lines, after the improvements

(modernization of the services, electrification, new wagons, etc.), it is expected that

the use of conventional rails in the mainline will increase. By 2023, 8000 km line is

expected to be electrified and signalized. Also, it is planned that 21 logistics centres

will be established (10th Development Plan)3. According to the specified target for

2023, the railway share is expected to be increased to 10% in passenger and 15% in

freight transport (MoTMC, 2011).49 However, no significant increase has been

observed in rail shares of passenger or freight transport, which even showed some

decrease in the recent years.

With the liberalization in the Turkish Rail Transport, a restructuring process towards

opening TCDD rail network to private freight operators and establishing a competitive

market has been initiated, but it is not clear how this will affect the rail transport shares

as liberalization of the railway market in the European Union countries produced a

variety of results, some of which were not successful to encourage rail transport.

Furthermore, the competition of rail in the freight sector still needs support for

intermodal transport, which not very strongly utilized in Turkey. Because the majority

of freight demand occurs between major cities in the western half of Turkey where

agricultural and industrial production, as well as consumption, are located. As the

majority of the trucks are on short-haul with an average trip distance of 491.6 km in

2009 (Ozen, Tuydes-Yaman, 2013)59 it is not long enough for railroad transportation

to become competitive in terms of total travel time due to shipping and handling.

58

Ministry of Transport, Maritime Affairs and Communications (2016), Strategic Plan 2017-2021, Ankara, Turkey.

59 Ozen, M., Tuydes-Yaman, H. (2013), Evaluation of Emission Cost of Inefficiency in Road Freight Transportation in Turkey,

Energy Policy, 62, 625–636

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Figure 18. Railway statistics between 2001-2016 a) Length b) Passenger-km c) Freight ton-km57

Air:

Within the framework of revisions in air transport regulation, such as reductions in

taxes and charges, high growth has continued with the entry of new air carriers to the

market. According to TurkStat (2018) given in Figure 19, air passenger traffic, which

was 34 million passengers in 2002, reached 173 million passengers in 2016. Also, air

freight transport sector has been continuously increasing in this period. The active

number of airports, which was 42 in 2006, increased to 55 in 2017. According to 2021

targets, the number of air passenger is expected to increase 225 million per year in

2021 and the number of the airport is expected to reach 59 (MoTMC Strategic Plan,

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2016). The impressive growth of air transport performance is not in favour of the policy

to restrict the GHG emissions.

Figure 19. Airway Statistics between 1990-2016: a) Number of passengers b) Amount of

freight57,60

Maritime:

When the maritime sector is evaluated it is seen that it has a share of 2.66% in freight

transport by 2011 and it is planned to reach 10% at the end of 2023. In terms of

passenger transport, its share is expected to increase from 0.37 to 4% by 2023 (Table

9). Turkish flag merchant fleet has grown from 7.3 million DWT in 2006 to 10.3 million

DWT (Dead Weight Tonnage) in 2012 and ranked 25th among world merchant fleets;

then decrease to 8.25 million DWT in 2016.61 However, while international seaborne

trade slightly increases given in Figure 20, foreign trade realized by maritime transport

60

Kögmen, Z (2014) Comparison of Road Transport with Other Transport Modes and Its Advantages, MoTMC, Expertise

Thesis,

61 Directorate General of Merchant Marine, Ministry of Transport, Maritime Affairs and Communication

https://atlantis.udhb.gov.tr/istatistik/istatistik_filo.aspx Accessed: 22/02/2018

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via Turkish merchant fleet has decreased from 21% in 2006 to 14% in 2012 (10th

Development Plan) although carriage capacity (DWT) of Turkish fleet has been

increased between those years.

In 2017, the total number of ships in Turkish flag merchant fleet was 1,415 and it is

expected to increase to 1,500 in 2021 (MoTMC Strategic Plan, 2016). By taking into

account the plan to reach 10% at the end of 2023 for freight transport by seaway; there

is a need for detailed analyses of ongoing decrease of carriage capacity (DWT) of

Turkish fleet and the downfall of foreign trade realized by maritime transport via

Turkish merchant fleet; which is not in favour of the reduction of GHG emissions from

transport by increasing share of maritime transport. Both cabotage and international

shipping should be evaluated in terms of excessive fuel consumption of old ships

which lead to weak competitiveness, possible modernisation of the technologies for

the maritime transportation sector, the feasibility of ships (size, type, route, energy

efficiency etc.) and possible incentives to renew relatively old fleet.

Figure 20. International Seaborne Trade Statistics between 1980-2015 (Mt loaded)

4.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based

on Current Trends and Policies

According to the latest GHG inventory of Turkey (NIR, 2017),15 transportation sector

contributed 75.8 Mt CO2-eq, which is 16% of total GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF)

and 22.6% of total fuel combustion emissions. The major source of transport

emissions in Turkey is road transport (Figure 21). It accounts for 91.4% of transport

emissions. It is followed by domestic aviation, while other sources are far smaller:

domestic aviation with 5.5% and domestic navigation with 1.5%. Pipeline transport

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contribution was 0.9% and railway contribution was 0.6%. Emissions from

transportation sector increased 181% in 2015 compared to 1990. In the same period

increase in road transport emissions was 179.7%, in domestic aviation it was 355.7%

and in domestic navigation, it was 125.5%. Emissions from railway transport

decreased by 33.4% between 1990 and 2015.

Figure 21. GHG emissions by transport mode (1990-2015)

Road Transport:

GHG emissions from road transport were 66.3 Mt CO2-eq in 2015, while it was 24.8

Mt CO2-eq in 1990, showing a great increase. When GHG emission amounts and

shares are analysed based on fuel type (see Figure 22 and Figure 23), it is seen that

in 2015, the highest portion of emissions was from diesel oil with 76.7%, followed by

LPG with 13.6%. Table 10 shows CO2 emission intensity of fuels used in road

transport: Diesel oil has the highest CO2 emission intensity and natural gas has the

lowest intensity. While 47.9% of road motor vehicle fleet is diesel, it is mostly trucks

with higher vehicle-kmh contributing greatly to the emissions.

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Figure 22. Amount of GHG emissions from road motor vehicles by fuel type (1990-2015)

Figure 23. The share of GHG emissions from road motor vehicles by fuel type (1990-2015)

Table 10. CO2 emissions intensity of fuels consumed in road transport

Road Transport CO2 emissions intensity (tonnes CO2/TJ)

Gasoline Diesel oil LPG Natural gas Biofuel

69.30 73.43 63.07 55.09 70.71

The age of the road motor vehicles is very important since the motor technologies

directly affect the CH4 and N2O emission release. By looking at the age distribution of

road motor vehicles registered by 2016, a considerable number of the vehicles are

old. 22.3% of the fleet is 21 years and older, 24.5% is 11-20 years old and 19.3 is 6-

10 years old and 34% is 0-5 years old (Table 11).

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Table 11. Number of road motor vehicles by age (2016) (x106)57

Age of vehicles

Total Car Minibus Bus Small truck

Truck Motorcy

cle

Special purpose vehicles

Tractor

21.090 11.318 0.464 0.220 3.442 0.825 3.004 0.051 1.766

0-5 7.166 4.098 0.135 0.068 1.231 0.227 1.004 0.020 0.383

06-10 4.072 1.807 0.095 0.054 0.949 0.142 0.866 0.009 0.150

11-15 2.612 1.371 0.084 0.030 0.555 0.106 0.354 0.006 0.105

16-20 2.542 1.513 0.085 0.029 0.391 0.139 0.159 0.007 0.217

21 and older 4.699 2.528 0.066 0.039 0.315 0.211 0.621 0.009 0.910

Based on the above data it can be estimated that in the maximum share of the vehicles

that meet the highest emission standards in force since 2008/2010 are as follows:

44% of the cars

48% of light commercial vehicles

35% of the heavy goods vehicles.

On the other hand, it is not clear, how much of the vehicle-km is performed by the old

vehicles, especially in the case of trucks. Analysis of the truck distribution of the annual

roadside axle load surveys by the General Directorate of Highways (KGM) showed

that most of the older trucks have not been circulating in the intercity roads59, while

they are expected to be used mostly for shorter hauls in or around the urban regions.

In longer distances (especially in international road freight movements), the new and

cleaner trucks (i.e. Euro V, EuroVI, EEV, etc.) have been mostly employed.59

Rail transport:

Even though railway systems seem to be more sustainable and carbon efficient

compared to other transport modes, the CO2 emission impact differs based on some

parameters such as occupancy levels and source of train electricity.62 In Turkey, still,

only one-third of the total rail network was electrified, however, based on increasing

electricity consumption in railways in the recent years, GHG emissions decreased from

0.7 Mt CO2-eq in 1990 to 0.5 Mt CO2-eq in 2015. High Speed Rail (HSR) development

also contribute to this reduction in rail sector due to its electricity consumption and

locating on main corridors. Currently, there are four operating HSR lines (Ankara-

İstanbul, Ankara-Konya, Ankara-Eskişehir and Konya-İstanbul) and three lines under

construction, which will connect Bursa, İzmir and Sivas to the network. A study on CO2

62

Dalkic, G., Balaban, O., Tuydes-Yaman, H., Celikkol-Kocak, T. (2017), An assessment of the CO2 emissions reduction in

high speed rail lines: Two case studies from Turkey, Journal of Cleaner Production, 165, 746-761.

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reduction potential of HSR compared to alternative land-based modes (car, bus and

conventional rail), revealed that Ankara-Eskişehir and Ankara-Konya HSR lines

caused a total reduction of 24.3 ktCO2 and estimated a reduction of 452.7 ktCO2 in

2023 (with the completion of HSR lines under construction) if estimated ridership is

realized in all lines. Line based analyses showed that HSR performance in reducing

CO2 emissions was limited as highly demanded HSR lines currently serve short routes

and mostly cause modal shift from bus services, which were also efficient compared

to a car.62

Air Transport:

The second biggest contributor to GHG emissions is domestic aviation. GHG

emissions from domestic aviation were 4.2 Mt CO2-eq in 2015, it was 0.9 Mt CO2-eq

in 1990. The fuel type used in domestic aviation is jet kerosene. The trend of the

emissions is similar to the trend of fuel consumption in the sector (Figure 24).

Figure 24. GHG emission vs fuel consumption for domestic aviation (1990-2015)

Maritime Transport:

The contribution of domestic navigation to the total transport sector emissions is very

small. GHG emission from domestic navigation was 0.5 Mt CO2-eq in 1990 and

increased to 1.1 Mt CO2-eq in 2015. As indicated in Figure 25; maritime transport is

the most energy and GHG efficient transport among other modes. As slight decrease

year by year is shown in Figure 26, according to the “Third IMO GHG Study 2014”, in

2012 international shipping accounts for approximately 2.2% and 2.1% of global CO2

and GHG emissions on a CO2-eq. Mainly, ships powered by fossil fuels and the carbon

content of each fuel type is constant and is not affected by engine type, engine cycle

or other parameters, when looking on the basis of kg CO2 per tonne of fuel. Fuel used

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in international aviation and marine bunkers is not included in the total national

emissions but reported separately. In 2015, international bunker GHG emissions were

13.9 Mt CO2-eq, including 11.1 Mt is from international aviation and 2.8 Mt is from

international navigation.

In urban scale, as a result of the Transformation in Transportation Project initiated in

Izmir in 2001, new ferry ports were constructed, new ferry purchases were made,

integration of bus lines to ports were reinforced and consequently, the share of

maritime travel has been increased in urban transport. In Istanbul, improving quality

of services that are provided by ferries and sea buses and increasing number of

cruises have made positive impacts. In the international scale, goods handling in

Turkish ports; increased from 189.9 Mt to 430.2 Mt during last 15 years. Average

increase of handling goods in ports is 127% (from 2003 to 2016). For transport of

goods and passengers within territory of Turkey; new lines have been opened and

new ships has been launched. Transport road vehicles by Ro-Ro ships has been

increased in some lines by 185%, 209%, 306%, 936%, and average increase is 110%

(from 2003 to 2016). Average increase of passengers is 48% (from 2003 to 2016).

Although there is an increase for transportation of road vehicles and passengers by

seaway; a big gap between planned targets and current status exists.

Figure 25. CO2 emissions per transport modes63

63

Word Shipping Council, http://www.worldshipping.org/industry-issues/environment/air-emissions/faqs-answers/a2-why-is-

the-shipping-industry-so-important-environmentally Accessed: 24/02/2018

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Figure 26. Shipping CO2 emissions by year53

4.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral

Policies towards Lowering GHG Emissions

When the relevant policy documents were analysed, it is seen that strategies for

shifting to a more sustainable transportation sector were emphasized, but in general,

they were lacking specific targets that can be measured, verified, and reported.

Harmonisation of the national transposition legislation with the relevant EU and other

international organisations’ legislation and requirements can be seen as an

opportunity. However, to reach the targets of these documents, the legislation in

relation with transport sector should be revised including the respective enforcement

strategies. Also, it is observed that lack of or insufficient coordination between the

institutions and various stakeholders is a barrier to coordinate the climate change

related policies and implementations. From the perspective of economic development,

Turkey is in a growing stage with its specific features which cause the increase in the

transport demand and thus increase in the GHG in the coming decades. When all the

transport demand trends and emission shares as well as their emission reduction

potentials are mapped together, it is seen that road transportation has to be replaced

by lower carbon modes as much as possible; however, such shift has to be planned

and created by focusing critical sub-segments of transport (urban, intercity and

international as shown in Table 12) to create roadmap in which different alternative

modes can be competitive, thus, priority should be given as follows:

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In passenger transportation,

in urban scale, road transportation has to be shifted from private car usage to

i) public bus and bus rapid transit driven by alternative fuels and ii) rail-based

ones (metro, light rail transit, etc.) as well as iii) zero-carbon modes (such as

walking and biking), as much as possible. While urban sea transportation is

also encouraged in policies, it could be an option for coastal cities and it is not

a mode to be generalized for the whole country (thus, denoted by a question

mark); deployment of ITS to provide for higher reliability of public transport,

especially, when combined with charging measures to restrict the use of private

cars in city centres, could prevent the growth of GHG emissions due to urban

transport.

in regional scale with intercity travels, shared ride modes such as rail

(conventional or HSR) and intercity bus services, must continue to be

supported, and further modernized to increase their shares compared to private

car option. For HSR services, the emission reduction performance can

increase, if new HSR lines can create a network effect along the main corridor

and alternative low-emission electricity sources can be used. Supplementary

policies can be developed to generate high HSR demand that would be shifted

from the private car, and even air, on the longer routes. However, in long

distances (i.e. more than 5-6 hours) and in travels to east and southeast,

despite its high emission potential, air travel is expected to remain as a

preferred transport mode due to better comfort and security concerns, thus,

must be regarded with caution as a priority area. Another caution has to be

addressed to the encouragement of maritime transport in the intercity travels,

as it may not provide enough time savings (and have competitive power against

other modes) even though it has the lowest emission levels.

in the international scale, air travel is a definite prerequisite of tourism, a major

sector leading Turkish economic development, and expected to grow as a

market, but, emission reduction on the airport side and efficiency in the fuel

usage can be priority areas, thus, has to be addressed critically for LCD.

Table 12. Transport priority areas for a low carbon development in Turkey

Transport system Passenger (Pax) Freight (F)

Urban Intercity Int’l Urban Intercity Int’l

Highway (H) (?) (?)

Rail (R) (?)

Air(A) (?) (?)

Sea/Maritime(M) (?) (?) (?)

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In freight transportation,

in urban scale, there is no visible city logistics concept in planning or in

operation, but, significant reduction can be achieved, if major delivery and

collection (waste collection, etc.) systems can be managed based on emission

reduction potentials in routing and storing (these systems can be promoted

under smart city initiatives, as well); introduction of zero-emission vehicles for

public services could support the efforts to restrict GHG emissions.

In the regional scale, it will be very difficult to change truck dominancy, but

efficiency in truck loading (such as minimization of empty runs, avoidance of

half-than-truck load conditions, etc.) can be increased by introducing load

sharing initiatives, consolidation centres, etc. Also, use of old trucks should be

minimized by continuing support on phasing-out old vehicles and introduction

of financial incentives for new environmentally friendly trucks. Intermodal

transportation should be encouraged between road-rail, rail-maritime, etc. as

much as possible, however, lack of infrastructure along coastal regions is a

challenge that should be addressed critically.

In the international scale, road transportation to neighbouring countries (in

Europe, in the Middle East) has to be shifted to rail options and maritime, as

much as possible, as well as multi-modal options as seen in Black Sea region.

To succeed with the above-mentioned roadmap, a stronger legislation and continuing

efforts with policy development are needed in the following areas:

For urban regions, sustainable urban development should be provided by

developing “Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans (SUMPs)” which should also be

monitored and evaluated by a central authority. These plans have to be

supported and mirrored by Transportation Master Plans that have been

developed but not necessarily followed.

Funding of ITS and rapid transit systems have to be coordinated and monitored

in terms of their contribution to a) modal shift towards shared ride uses and b)

reduction of emissions.

According to 2006 IPCC guidelines for GHG inventories, CO2 from biomass is

not added to the total national GHG emissions so increasing the share of biofuel

in road transport can contribute to emission reduction in this sector.

While addressing maritime options, besides ships, which are the main focus of

IMO, EU for maritime sector GHG issues, terminals and their infrastructures are

also to be considered for mitigating GHG emissions.

Additionally, to the above-mentioned policies for different sub-sectors, some changes

in the taxation policy may contribute to the decarbonisation of the transport sector.

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Potential cancellation of some preferential tax rates or provision of subsidies may have

a positive impact for shifting to more sustainable modes or cleaner fuel usage.

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5. Development Policies and GHG Emission Reduction Targets in

Agriculture Sector

Agriculture is both affected by and has an impact on climate change (both positive and

negative). The main ways in which agriculture is affected by climate change are

through the increased pressures on crop and livestock production resulting from water

availability, overall temperature variations, presence and persistence of pests and

diseases, as well as fire risks.

Agriculture plays a major role in development as the only provider of food for human

existence and the first step of the development efforts. Turkey, with a growing

population of approximately 80 million, is the 17th largest world economy and an upper-

middle income country in terms of per capita GDP (World Bank, 2016).64 Historically,

the agricultural sector has been Turkey’s largest employer and a major contributor to

the country’s GDP, exports, and rural development. Turkey is an important producer

and exporter of agricultural commodities on world markets and is estimated to be the

world’s 7th largest agricultural producer (OECD, 2016).65 Although, in relation to the

industrial and service sectors, agriculture has been declining in importance, agriculture

and food industry nonetheless continues to play a fundamental role in development,

supplying raw material to the other sectors mainly food industry, employing about 20%

of the workforce and generating most of the income and employment in rural areas,

and accounts for 6.1 percent of the country’s GDP in 2016. The sector’s GDP reaching

USD 52.3 billion in 2016. Turkey’s agricultural vision for the year 2023 is that being a

country which; provides its population with sufficient, best quality and safe food;

improves its net exporter position in agricultural products and; increases its

competitiveness in global market aiming to be among the top five overall producers

globally. Turkey’s vision for its centenary in 2023 includes other ambitious goals; i)

agricultural GDP reaching to 150 billion dollars; ii) agricultural exports over 40 billion

dollars; iii) sustainable agricultural growth iv) achievement and land consolidation on

14 million ha; and v) modern irrigation systems for all irrigable land.66

As seen above, even though there is no direct goal intended for supporting low carbon

agriculture among the main targets of Turkish agriculture up to 2023, and as a main

64

The World Bank, (2016), https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=TR&year_high_desc=true

Accessed: 17/02/2018

65 OECD (2016), Innovation, Agricultural Productivity and Sustainability in Turkey, OECD Food and Agricultural Reviews,

OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264261198-en

66 Structural Changes and Reforms in Turkish Agriculture 2003-2016, Ministry of Food Agriculture and Forestry, Ankara

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target, it is aimed that increasing of the agricultural economy, however, some of them

might be considered as supportive of low carbon agriculture.

5.1. Review of Sector Policies and Obligations related to GHG Emission

International& National Commitments

INDC of Turkey shall be converted to NDC, nationally determined contributions

in case of ratification. That’s why the content of the document and supported

documents on “agriculture”, which is one of the GHG sources, are important. And the

plans & policies related to agriculture to be implemented for INDC are; i) fuel savings

by land consolidation in agricultural areas; ii) rehabilitation of grazing lands iii)

controlling the use of fertilizers and implementing modern agricultural practices; iv)

supporting the minimum tillage methods.

INDC is supported by national climate change policy documents which also cover

national commitments for mitigating the greenhouse gas emission from agriculture.

For example, 10th National Development Plan (2014-2018)3, stresses establishment

of agricultural techno-parks and use of renewable energy in agriculture within the

concept of “green growth”. Additionally, according to the Plan, uncertainties and

inadequacies in duties, powers and responsibilities in environmental management will

be resolved. As discussed in the Status Report, in NCCS (2010-2023)4 the short term,

the mid-term, and long term objectives are listed such as; promotion of rational use of

fertilizer and modern techniques for irrigation, soil cultivation, pesticide use, financial

support of producers, developing stock farming to prevent methane emissions,

increasing of soil carbon capture techniques; establishment of a central geographic

information system for all land use classes in Turkey, implementation and

enforceability of “The Law on Soil Protection and Land Use”, adaptation of secondary

legislations. The other related document concerning “agriculture” is NCCAP (2011-

2023)5. The plan envisages mitigating of GHG emissions through the protection of

natural resources and minimization of energy consumption in agriculture. The

following actions shall be taken according to the plan (specific time frame is defined

only for some of them):

Determining and increasing the quantity of carbon stock captured in the soil;

o Disseminating sustainable agriculture techniques including mitigation

and adaptation.

o Increasing the effectiveness of soil management.

o Increasing the effectiveness of pasture management.

Establishing an effective pasture management (Time Period:

2013-2018) – related legal arrangements.

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Identifying and increasing topsoil and subsoil biomass.

o Completing the irrigation infrastructure.

o Improving agricultural infrastructure.

o Enabling management of vegetative production.

Identifying the potential GHG emissions limitation in agriculture sector.

o Identifying and assessing the options for GHG emissions limitation in

agriculture sector.

Slowing down the increase rate of GHG emissions originated from vegetal and

animal production.

o Limiting GHG emissions originated from vegetative production.

o Limiting GHG emissions from animal production.

o Limiting GHG emissions originated from energy consumption in

agriculture.

Making legal arrangements to balance electricity production by

ensuring that electro-pumped irrigations are done in the hours

during which nationwide energy consumption is at the lowest

(Time Period: 2012-2018).

Build the information infrastructure that will meet the needs of the agriculture

sector in adapting to and combating climate change.

Building the infrastructure and capacity for monitoring and evaluating the

impacts of climate change.

In addition to the sectoral policies analysed under Status report, in the Strategic Plan

of MoFAL67 for the period of 2018-2022, R&D studies will be performed to increase

the agricultural production efficiency and quality. General Directory of Agricultural

Research and Policy (GDAR) has been assigned to realize this purpose, through

measuring of probable effects of climate change on the agricultural systems and

developing suggestions concerning measures to be taken. Moreover, “the number of

model/suggestion/system developed to ensure emission mitigation” is considered as

one of the performance indicators. Besides this Strategic Plan, according to new

Energy Efficiency Action Plan for the period 2017-2023, actions shall be taken related

to increasing energy efficiency in the agriculture are listed in the section 2.2.5 under

six topics: encouraging the replacement of tractors and harvester with energy efficient

ones, adapting energy efficient irrigation methods, supporting energy efficiency

projects in the agriculture, encouraging renewable energy sources for agricultural

67

Strategic Plan (2018-2022), Ministry of Food Agriculture and Livestock, Ankara, 2017

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production, determination of potential ancillary agricultural product and waste for the

purpose of obtaining biomass and encouraging of usage of them, supporting energy

efficiency in the aquaculture products sector.

5.2. Assessment of Sector Development Trends and Private Sector

Perspective

According to MoFAL, Turkey has 24 million ha of arable lands and these are separated

into 921 different agricultural basins which are classified by rainfall, temperature, and

topography. In those agricultural basins, above 250 agricultural products are produced

and marketed. Of the total arable land, 67% is cropland, 17% is fallow land and the

rest of them are cultivated as horticulture, vegetable, vineyards and olive garden

(TurkStat, 2017). The total of the economically exploitable water resources potential

amount to 112 billion m3/year and only 41% of total exploitable water is consumed

each year (46 billion m3 of water). Agriculture consumes 74% of this amount through

irrigation (DSI, 2009). According to the Agricultural Census, there are approximately 3

million farms in Turkey (compared to approximately 15 million in the EU-27), most of

which are small family farms employing family labour and they are smaller than EU

average (6 ha, compared to an EU-25 average of 13 ha) (Dellal, 2009).68

Although those farms are typically characterized by low productivity, Turkey is a

significant agricultural exporter with production from those small farms. For example,

Turkey is the world’s biggest producer of hazelnuts, figs, apricots, and raisins, the 4th

biggest producer of fresh vegetables and grapes, the 6th biggest producer of tobacco,

the 10th biggest producer of wheat and cotton.

On the other hand, the agricultural sector in Turkey is tending to shrink relative to the

rest of the economy, both in terms of its contribution to GDP and employment. For

example, in 1950’s agriculture accounted for roughly 40% of GDP and 85% of the

national employment; in recent years those figures have been below 10% and 25%

(Figure 27). But, those numbers are still higher than EU’s average.

68

Dellal, I. (2009), “The Role of Small Farms in Turkey”, the 111th Seminar of the European Association of Agricultural

Economics and the International Association of Agricultural Economics, “Small Farms: Decline or Persistence”, 26-27 June, University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom.

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Figure 27. Agricultural share in GDP and employment (%) (1950-2017)

Arable farming dominates the agriculture sector of Turkey, accounting for about 75%

of the output value, with the value share of fruit and vegetables at over 44%. And,

agricultural production has been growing rapidly since 1990 (Table 13). The main

crops are cereals (wheat, barley and corn); other crops (sugar beet, cotton, sunflower,

potatoes and tobacco); vegetables (tomatoes, cucumbers, dried onions and

watermelons); and fruits and other perennial crops (apples, citrus fruit, grapes, figs,

hazelnuts, olives and tea). The livestock sub-sector which consists mainly of cattle,

poultry, sheep and goats includes traditional and commercial activities. The country is

also one of the leading honey producers in the world. Turkey boasted production of

20.7 Mt of milk in 2017, making it the leading milk and dairy producer in its region. The

country also saw production totals of 36.1 Mt of cereal crops, 30.3 Mt of vegetables,

18.9 Mt of fruit, 2.2 Mt of poultry, and 1.1 Mt of red meat. In addition, Turkey has an

estimated total of 11,000 plant species, whereas the total number of species in Europe

is 11,500.

Table 13. Agricultural production in selected groups or products in 1990-2017

Cereals Oilseeds Tomatoes Citrus Hazelnuts Milk Meat Eggs

(million)

1990 30 201 1 134 6 000 1 474 375 10 240 796 7 668

2000 31 148 1 934 6 200 1 696 315 10 240 796 7 668

2005 29 157 2 061 6 450 1 674 520 10 279 767 8 215

2006 34 643 2 789 9 855 3 220 661 11 952 793 11 734

2007 29 257 2 352 9 937 2 989 530 12 330 576 12 725

2008 29 287 2 311 10 985 3 027 801 12 243 482 13 191

2009 33 577 2 396 10 746 3 514 500 12 542 413 13 833

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2010 32 773 2 969 10 052 3 572 600 13 544 781 11 840

2011 35 202 3 228 11 003 3 614 430 15 056 777 12 955

2012 33 377 3 138 11 350 3 475 660 17 401 916 14 911

2013 37 489 3 300 11 820 3 681 549 18 224 996 16 497

2014 32 714 3 509 11 850 3 784 450 18 631 1 008 17 145

2015 38 637 3 442 12 615 3 976 646 18 655 1 149 16 728

2016 35 281 3 481 12 600 4 293 420 18 489 1 173 18 098

2017 36 133 3 883 12 750 4 770 675 20 700 1 126 19 281

%

Change

in 1990-

2017

20 243 113 224 80 102 42 151

Livestock production which has the biggest share of the agricultural GHG emissions

is an important part of Turkey’s agricultural sector, as natural conditions in the country

are generally favourable to the raising of livestock, and to grazing animals in particular.

In 2017 the total number of cattle is approximately 16 million, and for sheep and goats,

it is around 34 and 11 million, respectively (TurkStat, 2017, Figure 28).

The socio-economic factors, such as the rapid migration of young farmers to cities and

the increasing age of livestock farmers, contribute to the decline in livestock numbers

mainly sheep and goats for years. And GHG from the agriculture sector has declined,

too. After the 2000s by increasing livestock supports a reversal of this trend appeared

and the numbers have stabilised or even increased. The numbers for poultry have

more than doubled since the 1990s, and the poultry meat sector has taken on the role

of feeding growing population to meet the demand for meat. In terms of quantity, the

most important meat product in Turkey is from poultry. Turkey is now the world’s 11th

largest poultry meat producer, with output in excess of 2 Mt in 2017, showing an

ambitious increase (7.7 times) between 1995 and 2017. Over the same period, annual

egg production reached 20 billion (TurkStat, 2017).

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Figure 28. Livestock number of Turkey (million head) (1990-2017)

Even though overall ambitious steps in agriculture, one of the barriers of Turkey's

agriculture affecting its development efforts is fragmented land. As a major structural

problem in Turkish agriculture, a typical farm is divided up into several distinct parcels

of land. This level of fragmentation limits decarbonisation efforts of agriculture but also

limits technology usages, adoption of new techniques, increased losses and higher

production costs.

To prevent continued fragmentation, there have been some efforts. For instance, the

Soil Conservation and Land Use Law (No. 5403) was amended in 2007. The amended

Law determines the minimum permissible size of a land-parcel as 20 hectares.

Following the amendment, the bylaw on the Conservation and Use of Agricultural

Lands and Land Consolidation, which lays down the principles of implementation of

the Law, was passed in 2009. There has been a noticeable acceleration in the

progress of land consolidation and the on-farm development works of the General

Directorate of Agricultural Reform, initiated under the GAP Action Plan. In this

framework, over 4 million ha area has been completed for land consolidation and on-

farm development works between 2003-2014 (MoFAL, 2017)69, and it is planned to be

completed on 14 million ha as to Vision 2023 paper. Besides, development of a land

parcel identification system is continuing with EU support.

69

MoFAL (2017), General Directory of Agricultural Reform data

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5.3. Analysis of GHG Emission Reduction Possibilities in the Sector based

on Current Trends and Policies

According to the latest GHG inventory15 of Turkey, total GHG emissions from

agriculture sector were 57.4 Mt CO2-eq in 2015 which is 12.1% of total GHG emissions

(excluding LULUCF). There is 28.11% increase in agriculture sector GHG emissions

as compared to 1990 level.

The main sources of agriculture sector GHG emissions are enteric fermentation,

agricultural soils and manure management. Table 14 and Figure 29 show GHG

emissions from the agriculture sector. In 2015, 46.8% of the agriculture sector GHG

emissions was from enteric fermentation, 39.8% was from agricultural soils, 11% from

manure management, 1.4% was from urea application, and 1% was from rice

cultivation and field burning of agricultural residues.

Table 14. GHG emissions from agriculture sector (1990-2015)

Enteric

fermentatio

n

Manure

manageme

nt

Rice

cultivation

Agricultural

Soils

Field

burning of

agricultural

residues

Urea

application Total

1990 22 314 4 111 91 17 528 319 460 44 824

1991 23 129 4 352 70 17 507 328 436 45 822

1992 22 929 4 263 74 18 034 309 459 46 069

1993 22 536 4 385 77 18 804 333 627 46 762

1994 22 235 4 634 70 16 356 292 453 44 040

1995 21 705 4 427 86 16 408 299 426 43 351

1996 21 677 4 498 95 17 077 309 534 44 190

1997 20 205 4 169 95 16 834 312 532 42 146

1998 19 781 4 397 103 18 453 343 658 43 735

1999 19 850 4 479 112 18 883 301 733 44 360

2000 19 124 4 240 100 18 088 334 617 42 504

2001 18 606 4 243 102 16 055 309 527 39 842

2002 16 878 3 748 103 16 383 321 527 37 961

2003 18 464 4 149 112 17 549 313 565 41 152

2004 18 957 3 937 121 18 239 342 632 42 228

2005 19 663 4 133 147 18 429 351 613 43 335

2006 20 331 4 353 171 19 018 332 592 44 797

2007 20 552 4 445 162 18 374 283 566 44 383

2008 20 057 4 352 172 16 729 275 565 42 149

2009 19 576 4 343 167 18 362 318 593 43 359

2010 20 912 4 840 171 18 900 308 645 45 776

2011 22 806 5 039 171 19 239 332 558 48 145

2012 25 740 5 771 206 21 105 308 640 53 770

2013 26 850 6 188 191 22 827 335 807 57 198

2014 27 094 6 313 191 22 556 292 788 57 233

2015 26 888 6 304 200 22 878 342 811 57 422

Change

1990-2015

(%)

20.50 53.32 118.60 30.52 7.40 76.24 28.11

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Figure 29. GHG emissions from agriculture sector (1990-2015)

The agriculture sector is responsible for 59.3% of total CH4 emissions, and 78.4% of

total N2O emissions in 2015. Methane emissions mainly is originated from enteric

fermentation while N2O emissions released from agricultural soils.

Figure 30 shows methane emissions from enteric fermentation. The highest portion of

CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation was from cattle. In 2015, the contribution of

cattle was 79.1% and it was followed by sheep with 15% and goats with 4.8% and

other livestock with 1.1%.

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Figure 30. CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation (1990-2015)

Figure 31 shows GHG emissions from manure management. Total emissions from

this subsector were 4.1 Mt CO2-eq in 1990 and increased to 6.3 Mt CO2-eq in 2015

(53.3% increase). Manure management is responsible for 10.4% of CH4 and 12% of

N2O emissions within agriculture sector in 2015. As in the case of enteric fermentation,

the highest portion of both CH4 and N2O emissions within manure management was

from cattle.

Figure 31. GHG emissions from manure management (1990-2015)

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Agricultural soils as a source of direct and indirect N2O emissions are the biggest

contributors to total N2O emissions. Direct N2O emissions include organic and

inorganic fertilizers application to soil, nitrogen input from above-ground and below-

ground crop residues, urine and dung deposited by grazing animals. Indirect N2O

emissions include atmospheric deposition and nitrogen leaching and run-off.

N2O emissions from agricultural soils were 22.9 Mt CO2-eq in 2015 while it was 17.5

Mt CO2-eq in 1990 (30.5% increase). This represents 87.6% of N2O emissions in the

agriculture sector, 68.7% of total N2O emissions. Direct N2O emissions were 17.4 Mt

CO2-eq, indirect N2O emissions were 5.5 Mt CO2-eq in 2015. The use of synthetic

fertilizer was the major contributor to direct N2O emissions (Figure 32).

The other subcategories, including rice cultivation, field burning of agricultural residues

and urea application have a minor contribution to agriculture sector GHG emissions.

Figure 32. N2O emissions from agricultural soils (1990-2015)

Especially for the main GHG contributors of agriculture sector of Turkey, some

mitigation options, which have been applied around the world, particularly in the

developed countries, should be integrated.

Most common methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) mitigation options are:70

70

Pérez Domínguez, I., T. Fellmann, F. Weiss, P. Witzke, J. Barreiro-Hurlé, M. Himics, T. Jansson, G. Salputra, A. Leip

(2016): An economic assessment of GHG mitigation policy options for EU agriculture (EcAMPA 2). JRC Science for Policy

Report, EUR 27973 EN, 10.2791/843461

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Anaerobic Digestion (AD): Apart from being a source of renewable energy,

the AD is a technology that has proven to be especially effective for reducing

GHG emissions from livestock manure, particularly because it can considerably

reduce CH4 emissions from stored manure. The AD also reduces N2O

emissions from livestock slurries.

Nitrification Inhibitors (NI): The objective of using NI is to control leaching of

nitrate by keeping nitrogen in the ammonia form for a longer time, preventing

denitrification of nitrate and reducing N2O emissions caused by nitrification and

denitrification. Thus, via NI, crops have a better opportunity to absorb nitrate,

which increases nitrogen-use efficiency and at the same time reduces N2O

emissions from mineral fertilisers

Low Nitrogen Feed (LNF): LNF is a measure that aims to reduce ammonia

(NH3) emissions from livestock. Essentially, a lower nitrogen content of feed

reduces nitrogen excretion by animals and, consequently, NH3 emissions.

However, there are positive cross-over effects with regard to N2O and CH4

emissions. There is a direct linear relationship between the input of dietary

nitrogen and the nitrogen excretion via urine and faeces. N2O emissions

depend on the amount of nitrogen excreted by animals. Thus, if a lower nitrogen

content of the fodder reduces nitrogen excretion, this also positively affects the

N2O emissions from livestock.

Feed Additives for Animal Diets: Supplementing animal diets with lipids (i.e.

vegetable oils or animal fats) is used to increase the energy content of the diet

and to enhance energy utilisation by lowering dry matter intake and improving

digestion. The combination of decreased dry matter intake and (potentially)

maintained or increased (milk) production improves feed efficiency and results

in decreased CH4 emissions from cattle. Linseed is one of the most efficient

dietary lipids, however, the effectiveness of feeding linseed for decreasing

enteric CH4 emissions depends on the feed mix. Furthermore, feeding too much

linseed can have negative effects on the overall diet digestibility. Bacteria from

the rumen are able to use nitrate as alternative electron acceptors for hydrogen,

which reduces CH4 production. Thus, using nitrate as a feed additive can

reduce CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation. The CH4 reduction potential

seems to be quite high, but it requires a careful dosage to avoid negative health

effects to the livestock.

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Other GHG mitigation options that suggested in the IPCC 5th Assessment Report

are:71

Improved feed and dietary additives to reduce emissions from enteric

fermentation; including improved forage, dietary additives (bioactive

compounds, fats), ionophores/antibiotics, propionate enhancers, archaea

inhibitors, and sulphate supplements.

Improved breeds with higher productivity (so lower emissions per unit of

product) or with reduced emissions from enteric fermentation; microbial

technology such as archaeal vaccines, methanotrophs, acetogens, defaunation

of the rumen, bacteriophages and probiotics; improved fertility.

Manipulate livestock diets to reduce N excreta, soil-applied and animal fed,

urease inhibitors, fertilizer type, rate and timing, manipulate manure application

practices, grazing management.

Manipulate bedding and storage conditions; biofilters, dietary additives.

Improved N use efficiency on crops in order to reduce N2O emission

Changing N fertilizer application rate, fertilizer type, timing, precision

application, inhibitors in order to reduce N2O emission.

Water management, mid-season paddy drainage, N fertilizer application rate,

fertilizer type, timing, precision application during rice cultivation in order to

reduce CH4 and N2O emissions.

5.4. Policy Recommendation for Further Improvement of Key Sectoral

Policies towards Lowering GHG Emissions

There are many and various laws, regulations, plans, programs and instruments,

directly or indirectly related to lowering GHG emissions in agriculture. However, some

further steps are needed.

Firstly, monitoring and evaluation of all legislation are needed. The targets and

actions should be measured. Despite the introduction of policies to address agri-

environmental issues, some problems persist (OECD, 2008). For example, while soil

erosion is, in part, a natural occurrence, the absence of a widespread system of soil

conservation practices has resulted in a failure to improve soil quality, with over-

grazing and the ploughing-up of grassland being important sources of the problem.

71

Smith P., M. Bustamante, H. Ahammad, H. Clark, H. Dong, E. A. Elsiddig, H. Haberl, R. Harper, J. House, M. Jafari, O.

Masera, C. Mbow, N. H. Ravindranath, C. W. Rice, C. Robledo Abad, A. Romanovskaya, F. Sperling, and F. Tubiello, 2014:

Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU). In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of

Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Edenhofer, O., R.

Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth, A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J.

Savolainen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and J.C. Minx (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United

Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

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Notwithstanding the reforms, continued subsidies for water charges and electricity for

pumping (and diesel for machinery) are undermining efforts to achieve sustainable

agricultural water use, especially of groundwater, and – in the case of energy and

diesel – to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The agri-environmental monitoring

system needs to be considerably improved, to help enhance the quality of information

for policymakers to evaluate the environmental effectiveness of newly introduced agri-

environmental and environmental policy measures. Some areas of agri-environmental

monitoring are now well established, especially those related to irrigation water use

and management, and greenhouse gas emissions. But for most agri-environmental

issues, monitoring is weak or − where data exist − quality and reliability are poor

(OECD, 2008a).

Secondly, the agri-environmental programs should be increased. Agricultural

subsidies are the opportunity in the agricultural sector for reduction GHG. There are

many various agricultural subsidy instruments are offered by the government in order

to support and regulate to agriculture sector in Turkey, and its amount is constantly

increasing from year to year. There are also environmentally friendly subsidies such

as ÇATAK (The Environmentally Based Agricultural Land Protection Program), zero

tillage, organic farming, good farming practices, biological and biotechnological control

of insect. As an agri-environmental program, ÇATAK is the first one to be specifically

targeted at addressing the negative impacts of agricultural practices on the

environment. The ÇATAK program has some similarities with EU agri-environmental

measures in rural development programs. Despite some difficulties at the start, there

now seems to be widespread awareness of its environmental benefits and its coverage

has been expanded over the years (World Bank, 2009). The EU implementation of the

IPARD Program is another one which serves environmental protection. Priority Axis 2

of the IPARD program includes, inter alia, provisions for the implementation of pilot

agri-environmental measures.

In the meantime, adopting EU framework, Turkey should adopt the EU’s Common

Agricultural Policy (CAP). The CAP has been increasingly adopted for integrating

environmental concerns and to serve sustainability purposes better. The integration of

environmental concerns into the CAP is based on a distinction between:

ensuring a sustainable way of farming by avoiding environmentally harmful

agricultural activity

providing incentives for environmentally beneficial public goods and services.

For ensuring sustainable agricultural activities, farmers are obliged to respect common

rules and standards for preserving the environment and the landscape. The common

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rules and standards are mandatory and form the very basis for ensuring that

agricultural activity is undertaken in a sustainable way. There are also several

regulations and initiatives adopted to EU CAP underway to implement various EU

Environmental Directives. For example, in the context of adopting and implementing

the EU Nitrate Directive, the Regulation on the protection of water from nitrate

pollution, caused by agricultural resources, was put into force in 2004. For its

implementation, five basic phases have been defined necessary: determination of the

water resources which are subject, or will be subject, to nitrate pollution;

description/determination of the vulnerable zones; development of good agricultural

codes and implementation; development of “Action Plans” for all vulnerable zones;

and the setting up of a national monitoring and reporting system.

Besides, as given in the barriers and opportunities report, CAP has some instruments

for reducing agricultural GHG, such as green payment. In Turkey current agricultural

support payments and some instruments are an opportunity for reducing GHG

emissions, and the share of environmentally friendly practices in the total subsidies

could be increased and widen through all country. Those instruments should be

converted to serve low carbon emission development. More measures should be

taken to t benefit from renewable energy sources in the agricultural sector.

Thirdly, as the agricultural sector needs to step up with its contribution towards the EU

environmental objectives, these commitments cannot be met without farmers, who

manage over half of Turkey's land, are key users and custodians of the related natural

resources and provide large carbon sinks as well as renewable resources for industry

and energy. Agricultural policies should enhance its contribution by reflecting a higher

level of environmental and climate ambition and address citizens' concerns regarding

sustainable agricultural production. In this regard awareness-raising activities, training

at all levels, including farmers, women, youth, engineers, vets, extension stuff,

consumers, etc. should be significantly expanded and improved.

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6. Conclusions and Recommendations

Based on the review of the sector policies and obligations related to GHG emission,

assessment of sector development trends and private sector perspective, following

conclusions and recommendations can be made for further improvement of key

sectoral policies towards lowering GHG emissions in each of four target sectors:

For Buildings Sector:

The buildings sector in Turkey is growing with the pace higher than other

sectors of the economy. This is attributed to the increasing population,

urbanization process, and growing living standards, which contribute to a clear

upward trend in energy consumption and GHG emissions. As such Turkey

faces a challenge to design and implement effective sectoral policies to deal

with this growth trend.

While a number of national strategy documents and plans discussed in the

report contain the energy- and climate-related measures to meet national and

sectoral targets, as well as international obligations in the buildings sector, it is

necessary to introduce stronger implementation, monitoring, reporting, and

enforcement mechanisms in addition to the design and formulation of policies

on a sectoral level.

Turkey has achieved significant progress on the transposition of the regulatory

policies as required by EU energy efficiency acquis i.e. building standards and

mandatory building labelling and certification. These policies typically work well

for new buildings if they are updated and tightened regularly, but they are not

sufficient to deliver the impact on GHG emission reduction for the existing

building stock.

More efforts are necessary to design relevant incentives for the introduction of

building renovation strategies. Measures for the establishment of financial

mechanisms – either energy efficiency obligation schemes or alternative

approaches, and other facilitating policies are needed.

The information dissemination and awareness raising capacities should be built

for population, business and public sectors to overcome their reluctance

towards investing into energy efficiency.

A tariff reform, including gradual elimination of fuel subsidies, in combination

with strong information campaigns how to decrease energy bills in spite of

higher energy prices is a must have for Turkey.

In order to determine the impact of such recommendations or the secondary

impact of GHG reductions, modelling studies need to be conducted. Such

studies would help the sector and the decision makers determine and prioritize

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the strategies to follow. This would enable transition to a low carbon economy

where the growth of the sector could persist while the trend of the emissions

could decouple from this growth.

For Waste Sector:

Although Turkey already has strategic documents and action plans for better

waste management, further improvements of waste management in country

towards environmentally sound approaches and further transposition of EU

legal framework regarding waste sector are necessary.

To ensure effective implementation, enforcement, monitoring and auditing of

the legislation, there is a need for strengthening the institutional structure and

capacity building.

Financing mechanism of waste management should be strengthened through

realistic economic instruments, such as landfill fees, Pay-as-you-throw

schemes and taxes.

Improved indicators and data collection and verifications mechanisms are

needed for further assessment of the waste management performances.

Broader implementation of extended producer responsibility) as an economic

instrument for specific types of waste such as packaging waste, or hazardous

waste such as waste batteries and accumulators, can be a useful tool for the

safe and sound elimination of this type of waste.

Integrating climate change adaptation principles to the waste management

sector via the Environmental Impact Assessment and Strategic Impact

Assessment can have a very positive impact not only to the mitigation side of

the equation but also to the adaptation part.

Significant potential exists for GHG emission reduction through using recycled

materials on manufacturing (industry sector) or fossil fuel substitution by waste

to generate electricity (energy sector). The emission reduction potential of the

waste sector should be taken into account and this can as well be supported by

the Market Based incentives that have been also studied by the PMR Project.

In order to determine not only the precise positive impact of the above

mentioned conclusions and recommendations related to the waste sector

modelling studies need to be implemented. This way not only the measures can

be prioritized but also their quantitative impact can be revealed. In addition to

this non-financial potential social benefits and possible risks and damages can

be evaluated.

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For Transportation Sector:

Passenger Transportation:

Additional policies and measures should be taken to encourage the shift in

urban scale road transportation from private car usage to i) public bus and bus

rapid transit driven by alternative fuels and ii) rail-based ones (metro, light rail

transit, etc.) as well as iii) zero-carbon modes (such as walking and biking), as

much as possible. In regional scale with intercity travels, shared ride modes

such as rail (conventional or HSR) and intercity bus services, must continue to

be supported, and further modernized to increase their shares compared to

private car option. In the international scale, where air travel is a clear

preference for tourism, a major sector leading Turkish economic development,

and expected to grow as a market, but, emission reduction on the airport side

and efficiency in the fuel usage can be listed as some of the priority areas.

Freight Transportation:

A significant reduction of GHG emission can be achieved in urban scale, if

major delivery and collection (waste collection, etc.) systems can be managed

based on emission reduction potentials in routing and storing (these systems

can be promoted under smart city initiatives, as well); introduction of zero-

emission vehicles for public services. In the regional scale, support of

implementation of such management practices as improvement of an efficiency

in truck loading (such as minimization of empty runs, avoidance of half-than-

truck load conditions) can be increased by introducing load sharing initiatives,

and consolidation centres. Use of old trucks should also be minimized by

continuing support on phasing-out of old vehicles and introduction of financial

incentives for new environmentally friendly trucks. In the international scale,

road transportation to neighbouring countries (such as Europe, and the Middle

East) has to be shifted to rail options and to maritime, as much as possible.

Both for freight and passenger transportation related policies are suggested to

be determined and /or prioritized based on detailed modelling studies for the

sector. In addition to this the secondary benefits related to the road and travel

safety and improvement of human health can be determined, by the help of the

modelling studies.

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For Agriculture Sector:

The agri-environmental monitoring system needs to be considerably improved,

to help enhance the quality of information for policymakers to evaluate the

environmental effectiveness of newly introduced agri-environmental and

environmental policy measures.

Further expansion of the agri-environmental programs, such as ÇATAK that

address the negative impacts of agricultural practices on the environment is

needed. The similarities of the ÇATAK and EU agri-environmental measures in

rural development programs, must be recognized and supported.

Policies and measures to oblige farmers to respect sustainable agricultural

activities, as well as rules and standards for preserving the environment and

the landscape should be introduced.

Current agricultural subsidies in Turkey are an opportunity for reducing GHG

emissions, and the share of environmentally friendly practices in the total

subsidies could be increased and widen throughout Turkey, without limiting

these subsidies to the geographies that are prioritized for development.

Specific measures should be taken to significantly increase usage of renewable

energy sources in the agricultural sector.

Some of the climate change related problems can be addressed by awareness-

raising activities, training at all levels, including farmers, women, youth,

engineers, veterinarians, extension stuff, and consumers. Such trainings and

awareness raising campaigns should be significantly expanded and improved.

To obtain the quantitative impact of the above mentioned measures detailed

modelling studies are needed. This would also help structure and prioritize the

implementation plans.

The above list of priority measures to mitigate GHG emissions in four target sectors in

Turkey, certainly, requires additional studies for further list’s extension and updates.

At the same time, it can be a good input to further project activities under modelling

Components 3 & 4, as the set of policies and measures to begin with when analysing

and evaluating potential GHG mitigation options and possible emissions scenarios in

buildings, waste, transportation and agriculture sectors.

We expect that after completing modelling process under Components 3 & 4, we will

have much broader list of the potential mitigation policy options with identified relevant

quantitative and qualitative indicators. It will allow us to update, extend and prioritise

the above list within the project timeframe.

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This publication is prepared with financial contribution of the European Union and the

Republic of Turkey. Only the consortium led by the Hulla & Co Human Dynamics KG is

solely responsible for the contents of this publication, and such contents do not reflect

the opinions and the attitude of the European Union nor the Republic of Turkey.