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Smarter Analytics Leadership Summit Customer Analytics Track
Optimize Every Customer Interaction with Next Best Action
Agenda
Farhana Alarakhiya
Cris Payne, XO Communications
David Pugh
Jon Hounslow, David Pugh, Steve Buckley, and Cris Payne
Farhana Alarakhiya
Introductions and Scenario
Customer Analytics Journey
Next Best Action Overview
Next Best Action Workshop: The “How to” of Next Best Action
Wrap-up / Q&A
© 2013 IBM Corporation 2
© 2013 IBM Corporation 3
Welcome and Scenario Mobile Phone
Farhana Alarakhiya
New Imperatives of Marketing
Obama’s team used
analytics to gain
DEEP KNOWLEDGE
of individuals
And TURNED that
knowledge
into a SYSTEM of
ENGAGEMENT
© 2013 IBM Corporation 4
Bill has had a
number of
dropped calls
recently
Bill called a
competitor’s
contact center
Action Impact on
Churn
Impact on
Customer
Lifetime Value
Likelihood
to respond
positively
to action
© 2013 IBM Corporation 5
$20 off this month’s bill
Deliver an apology —
Issue with cell tower
being fixed this
weekend
6 months free
unlimited data plan
Upgrade phone
© 2013 IBM Corporation 6
Customer Analytics journey
Cris Payne XO Communications
Cris Payne, XO Communications
Cris Payne is the Senior Manager of Customer
Intelligence & Predictive Analytics at XO
Communications, Inc. He is responsible for the
direction and implementation of predictive analytic
sciences and targeted marketing programs at XO.
Mr. Payne has over 14 years experience in the
telecommunications industry building technology
solutions. While at XO, Cris has launched several
innovative programs and technologies including
SPSS Modeler.
Cris holds a BA in business administration from the
University of Utah and an MBA from Weber State
University John B. Goddard School of Business and
Economics. He lives in the Salt Lake City area with
his wife, Danielle, and daughters, Chloe, Aysha,
and Berkley.
© 2013 IBM Corporation 7
XO Communications
Organization: B2B telecommunications service provider, headquartered in
Herndon, VA (4k employees)
Assets: Nationwide 100Gbps IP network, extensive local metropolitan networks
and broadband wireless facilities
Customers: Retail services (VOIP, Data, Networks) provided to businesses.
Wholesale services (long haul circuits) provided to other telecommunications
carriers.
Monthly “subscription” business model
© 2013 IBM Corporation 8
Investment Drivers
Why we invested in business analytics
Improved Targeting
Cost Control: Focus resources on high-value, high-potential customers to control
and/or reduce overall marketing costs.
Enhanced Revenue: Better targeting yields campaign uplift, translating directly
into enhanced revenue.
To Achieve a Competitive Advantage: A well-executed Predictive Analytics
strategy provides a key advantage over competitors in the marketplace.
Customer Experience
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Churn Success at
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0.00%
1.50%
3.00%
Ch
urn
Ra
te
Churn Rate X Size
Large Customers
Med-Small Customers
ROI Results (Churn Project)
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How successful was our investment?
Overall Churn Rate nearly halved since project began.
1st Year:
ROI: 376%
Payback: 5 months
Annual Churn Savings: ~$11,200,000
© 2013 IBM Corporation 12
Next Best Action Overview
David Pugh
The New Customer Experience Mandate
Sales & Marketing Programs
Communicate with consistent messages
across channels based on my needs
Expectation
Delight me with proactive steps to improve my situation
based on your guidance
Expectation
Deliver a relevant and personalized experience
that’s consistent across all channels
Expectation
The Customer
Experience
Insights &
Analytics
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IBM Smarter Analytics Signature Solution: Next Best Action
Business outcomes
Improve service delivery
and customer
satisfaction
Optimize revenue
generating actions such
as up-sell, cross-sell,
retention, and marketing
mix
Increase strategic
lifetime value and loyalty
Solution overview
Deliver the most appropriate action at the right
time across channels. Personalized interactions
are enabled by:.
Comprehensive view of a customer
Real-time analytics to anticipate customer
behavior
Cross-channel delivery of best action to
address customer need and enhance long term
business revenue
Build long-term customer relationships that drive enterprise business results
— one interaction, one decision at a time.
© 2013 IBM Corporation 14
Banking/FM Telco Insurance
NBA drives successful, relevant interactions across all channels and
all lines of business in batch and real time based on the latest 360
customer data
© 2013 IBM Corporation 15
Current Customer Request Next Best Action
Next Best Action: In summary, what makes NBA unique?
Advanced Analytics: Market-leading tools for predictive and advanced analytics Integrated optimization techniques that combine analytic output
for the best answer
Decision Management: Mature technology combining analytics and business rules
creation, integration, and execution Real-time recommendations beyond just marketing offers
Cross Channel Real Time Action: Actions include customer service, issue resolution, account
management response and billing—all touch points managed in real time through the appropriate channel.
Multiple Entry Points: Analytics, Decision, and Information Management provide
quantitative starting points for Next Best Action project.
IBM Big Data Platform: Integrate and manage the full variety, velocity, and volume of data. Establish a phased approach for enhanced 360 customer view. Apply advanced analytics to information in its native form.
© 2013 IBM Corporation 16
NBA Subsystems
© 2013 IBM Corporation 17
Capturing
Customer’s
Activity
Analytics
Management
Real-time
Decisions
Feedback
Decision
Models
Customer Channels
Master
Information &
System of
Record
Human
Operated
Channel
Reporting
Usage
Automated
Channel
Decision Models
Additional
Information
Trigger
Trigger Execute
Action
Outcomes
Action
Context
1
2
3
Capturing Customer Activity:
The three major parts, or subsystems of the NBA solution are:
Analytics Management: Responsible for developing the decision models for the solution.
Real-time Decisions: This subsystem contains the execution of the Next Best Action decision loop.
This subsystem gathers information about the customer’s activity, including the outcomes of the Next Best Actions offered by this solution.
© 2013 IBM Corporation 18
Getting Started with Next Best Action
Cris Payne David Pugh Jon Hounslow Steve Buckley
NBA Discussion Topics
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The “How to” of NBA
How to Start on an NBA Journey
Use of Use Cases / Business scenarios
Catalyst for Change
Role of Analytics
How much Data do you need
Building a Vision and a Roadmap
IBM Smarter Analytics is a holistic approach
that turns information into insight and insight into
business outcomes.
with confidence at the point of
impact to optimize outcomes
see, predict and shape
business outcomes
your organization
around information
from solutions that get smarter with every outcome
Learn
Align Anticipate Act
through analytics for breakaway results
Transform
© 2013 IBM Corporation 20
Business value is realized as soon as we link data to analysis
to the point of customer contact
© 2013 IBM Corporation 21
Chat Voice
Op
era
tion
s
Ch
an
ne
l
Social Media
IVR
Web
Mobile Apps
SMS
Da
ta S
ou
rce
s
Info
rma
tion
An
aly
tics
Information Analytics Operations
Align Anticipate Act
NBA Discussion Topics
The NBA Journey
Entry Points
Use Cases / Business Scenarios
Catalyst for Change
Role of Analytics
Data Considerations
Building a Vision and a Roadmap
© 2013 IBM Corporation 22
NBA Subsystems
© 2013 IBM Corporation 23
Capturing
Customer’s
Activity
Analytics
Management
Real-time
Decisions
Feedback
Decision
Models
Customer Channels
Master
Information &
System of
Record
Human
Operated
Channel
Reporting
Usage
Automated
Channel
Decision Models
Additional
Information
Trigger
Trigger Execute
Action
Outcomes
Action
Context
Four Example
Entry Points
Initiative from within a single
Channel Individual analytics effort performed
within a channel e.g. contact center to
drive more successful interactions
Build Analytics Capability Analytics is a focus area, maybe
as a shared service and maybe
driven by CXO level as a
business imperative
Marketing Led Marketing driven initiative focused
on improving offer acceptance,
may extend to both inbound and
outbound channels
Create single,
trusted Data
Source A CXO strategic
initiative or led by IT
as the source of a
trusted 360 view of
the customer; likely
done in parallel with
other NBA activities
Next Best Action: Renewals use case
© 2013 IBM Corporation 24
High ARPU
Long tenure
6 mths left on contract
Service call: email reset
Advice: eligible for HUG
Renews
If ARPU >=$90 AND customer tenure >5 years AND contract term=36 months
AND months remaining on contract <=9 months
=> customer is eligible for a Hardware upgrade
If ARPU >=$90 AND customer tenure >5 years AND contract term=36 months
AND months remaining on contract >9 months and <=12 months
=> customer is eligible for a Hardware upgrade with an Early upgrade fee ($15 * months remaining on contract)
If ARPU >=$90 AND customer tenure >5 years AND contract term=36 months
AND months remaining on contract >9 months and <=12 months AND Predicted Churn Risk > 0.7
=> offer Hardware upgrade – waive early upgrade fee
High ARPU
Long tenure
10 mths left on contract
Call spend declining
2 service queries in six weeks
Satisfaction = 5
Service call: email reset
Offer: free early upgrade
Renews
Use cases are selected according to business value
and ease of implementation
© 2013 IBM Corporation 25
Ease Of ImplementationHard Easy2,0 3,0 4,00,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
Business
Value
Low Value
High Value
1,0
22
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
1
Size of the Bubble
represents the
Progress along the
Roadmap
Renewal
Billing
Service Troubleshooting
Hardware Repair
Churn
Multi Channel LOB
1
2
2 22
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
1
Size of the Bubble
represents the
Progress along the
Roadmap
Renewal
Billing
Service Troubleshooting
Hardware Repair
Churn
Multi Channel LOB
Renewal
Billing
Service Troubleshooting
Hardware Repair
Churn
Multi Channel LOB
1
2
2
Catalysts for Change
© 2013 IBM Corporation 26
How do I access information in diverse data sources?
How can everyone use and trust the same view
of data across my organization?
How do I scale to support mission
critical deployments?
How do I deploy today and respond to changing
requirements?
Many user roles and demands
Multiple Tools and Processes
Many applications, platforms
Information silos, multiple sources
Catalysts for Change Unorganized Behaviors
Beyond data and
technology, XO
Communications
needs to organize for
success; Introduce BI
Best Practices and
governance, support
End User enablement
and align our BI
Strategies and
priorities to our
strategic goals
NBA Discussion Topics
The NBA Journey
Entry Points
Use Cases / Business Scenarios
Catalyst for Change
Role of Analytics
Data Considerations
Building a Vision and a Roadmap
© 2013 IBM Corporation 27
Areas of Analytics Focus
Churn risk mitigation and management
Predicting/identifying fraud
Pursuing new revenue opportunities
Unstructured data analysis
Operationalizing models, segmentation
Developing the essential and elusive “single version of the truth”
Determine promotion effectiveness and use to build better predictive models
© 2013 IBM Corporation 28
Results of Utilizing Analytics
Reporting What happened? (Rear-view mirror, inactive)
Analytical Why did it happen? (Root cause analysis, reactive)
Predictive What will happen? (Forward forecasting, prediction, proactive)
Operational What is happening? (Dashboarding, real-time, process
monitoring, autonomous)
Adaptive What do I want to happen? (Strategic, process
modification/management, proactive management)
© 2013 IBM Corporation 29
Differentiating Analytics Capabilities ….
© 2013 IBM Corporation 30
Customer
Lifetime Value $
Growing the Customer Relationship
Acquire Personalize Retain Grow
Right Offer
at Right Time
1:1 inbound
communications
with the ability to
determine
likelihood to
respond.
Analytical
Sophistication
30
Building the
Relationship
Moving from
Offer to Action;
consider recent
service history,
transactions and
interactions
Using
behavior
patterns
Predicting behavior
and using triggers
to make
recommendations
that reduce churn
and drive cross sell /
up sell
Focus on
Lifetime Value
Apply more
sophisticated
modeling to move
customers along the
path of highest value.
Current policy
Optimized NBA policy
Customer A’s path under…
Action A
Action B
Action C
Action E
Action D
NBA Optimizer adds state-based action optimization ……..
in pursuit of maximum customer lifetime value
Customer is in some state (micro-segment) at any point in time
Enterprise’s action will move customer into another state
Enterprise’s goal is to take sequence of actions to guide customer's path to maximize
customer’s lifetime value
© 2013 IBM Corporation 31
Bargain
Hunter
Repeater
Loyal
Customer
Valuable
Customer
One Timer
Repeater
Defector Defector
Repeater
Loyal
Customer
Potentially
Valuable
S1
M1
Macro-
Segments:
Fairly static
attribute
definition
S2 S3
M1 M1
S4 S5
M1 M1
Micro-
Segments:
Defined by
current state on
a defined path
O1 O1 O1 O1 O1
Actions &
Offers:
micro-segments
enable better
targeting
Macro-Segments vs. Micro-Segments (States)
© 2013 IBM Corporation 32
M2 M2 M2 M2 M2
O2 O2 O2 O2 O2
M3 M4 M3 M3 M3 M4 M3 M4
O3 O4 O3 O3 O3 O4 O3 O4
M5 M6
O5 O6
M4 M5
O4 O5
M4 M5
O4 O5
M7
O7
Next Best Action enables clients to tap into the wealth of insights
and predictions hidden in their customer data
Behavioral data Orders Transactions
Payment history Usage history
Descriptive data Attributes Characteristics
Self-declared info (Geo)demographics
Attitudinal data Opinions Preferences
Needs & Desires
Interaction data E-Mail / chat transcripts Call center notes
Web Click-streams
Who? What?
Why? How?
© 2013 IBM Corporation 33
Some relevant offers, but
very confusing because
some are not
Offers feel more tailored to
me, but one hand doesn’t feel
like it knows what the other is
doing
Recommendations feel relevant
and I see consistent
messages when I interact with
Insurance Co #1
Insurance Co #1 is amazing – it tells
me what I need to know when I need
to know it. I tell all my friends how
easy Insurance Co #1 makes it to do
business on line, on my ipad, over
the phone – any way I choose
Four stages to the Evolution of the Consumer Experience:
FROM products TO value added experience
© 2013 IBM Corporation 34
A
B
C
D
Evolution of
the Consumer
Experience
Tailored
Consistent Timely
Relevant
Initial Scope and Focus
© 2013 IBM Corporation 35
Immediate benefits to XO Communications in deploying the BICC:
Scalability End User Enablement
BI Enabling Best Practices BI Business Strategy Alignment
One Single Version of the Truth Promotion
The XO BICC will provide economies of scale for BI efficiencies and be a solid foundation to radiate an ever expanding BI footprint
Business Strategy
Alignment
Best Practices & Standards Management
Communication & Evangelism
Community Services
Enterprise Technical
Architecture
Advise & Consult
Support
IT Governance Alignment
Data Governance Alignment
Education
XO BICC
BI Community of Practice & Infrastructure Data Integrity & Efficiencies through BI Best Practices, Data Governance, Guiding Team
BI Strategy Alignment BI Business Transformation through strategic priority project support
BEST PRACTICES & STANDARDS MANAGEMENT
Methodologies, Knowledge base, Standards
Proven practice assets, Sharing Best Practices BUSINESS STRATEGY ALIGNMENT
Strategy & Value Assessments, Roadmap to BI
maturity, Value Validation, BI Priorities DATA GOVERNANCE ALIGNMENT
Stewardship, Ownership Definitions, Quality
EDUCATION
User Adoption Services, Education (Classes, self-
paced, CBT), Skills Assessments, Training Paths /
Roadmaps COMMUNICATION & EVANGELISM
Success Stories, Newsletters, User Groups,
Technology Showcase, Wikis, blogs, social media
ENTERPRISE TECHNICAL ARCHITECTURE
Planning & Design, Installation, Provisioning, Tuning
BI Enablement End User Enablement through Education, Communications & Project Assurance Services
Initial Focal Areas
Primary
Secondary
Roadmap
Text Analytics: Near-real-time text analysis will allow immediate identification of
operational issues.
Visual Analytics: Better visualization of geographic, perceptual, or behavioral
trends. More intelligent dashboards.
Decision management modeling and optimization analytics: Embedding predictive
analytics in operational systems optimizes and accelerates business processes by
suggesting effective actions, correct messages for reps to present to at-risk
customers. Note: Next best action (IBM term)
Propensity to Purchase
© 2013 IBM Corporation 36
Defining an NBA project – and where to start – should consider 4 key inputs
© 2013 IBM Corporation 37
Key representative Use cases and
capabilities
NBA Reference
Architecture
Business layer
Application
Technology
CLIENT Data Roadmap
CLIENT Technology Roadmap
In Flight & planned
(Non-Data) Projects for
example, IVR Evolution
Desktop / Telephony
BI roadmap
360 View of the
customer
MDM initiatives
Assessed and
prioritized
Client
NBA
Roadmap
Client Business Strategy
Farhana Alarakhiya
Conclusion
© 2013 IBM Corporation 38
Next Best Action Redguide
Download the Next Best Action
Redguide as your guide to the
solution
Share with your C-level executives
Understand the solution architecture
Learn from case studies across
different industries
© 2013 IBM Corporation 39
Demo: Next Best Action for Telecommunications
© 2013 IBM Corporation 40
Information
Analytics
Speaking
with the
customer
Building
predictive
models
Defining the
Next Best
Action
Creating
marketing
offers
Establishes
the Information
Supply Chain
Operations
NBA
Optimizer
Demo
© 2013 IBM Corporation 41
41
Demo: Next Best Action for Banking
© 2013 IBM Corporation 42
© 2013 IBM Corporation 43