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  • Single-Family Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM The Insurance Opportunity in U.S. Mortgage Credit

    June 2020

    © 2020 Fannie Mae.

  • Disclaimers Copyright© 2020 by Fannie Mae.

    Forward-Looking Statements. This presentation and the accompanying discussion contain a number of estimates, forecasts, expectations, beliefs, and other forward-looking statements, which may include statements regarding future benefits of investing in Fannie Mae products, future macroeconomic conditions, future actions by and plans of the Federal Reserve, Fannie Mae’s future business plans, strategies and activities and the impact of those plans, strategies and activities. These estimates, forecasts, expectations, beliefs and other forward-looking statements are based on the company’s current assumptions regarding numerous factors and are subject to change. Actual outcomes may differ materially from those reflected in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, those described in “Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 and our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019. Any forward-looking statements made by Fannie Mae speak only as of the date on which they were made. Fannie Mae is under no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, subsequent events, or otherwise.

    No Offer or Solicitation Regarding Securities. This document is for general information purposes only. No part of this document may be duplicated, reproduced, distributed or displayed in public in any manner or by any means without the written permission of Fannie Mae. The document is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any Fannie Mae security mentioned herein or any other Fannie Mae security. Fannie Mae securities are offered only in jurisdictions where permissible by offering documents available through qualified securities dealers or banks.

    No Warranties; Opinions Subject to Change; Not Advice. This document is based upon information and assumptions (including financial, statistical, or historical data and computations based upon such data) that we consider reliable and reasonable, but we do not represent that such information and assumptions are accurate or complete, or appropriate or useful in any particular context, including the context of any investment decision, and it should not be relied upon as such. Opinions and estimates expressed herein constitute Fannie Mae's judgment as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. They should not be construed as either projections or predictions of value, performance, or results, nor as legal, tax, financial, or accounting advice. No representation is made that any strategy, performance, or result illustrated herein can or will be achieved or duplicated. The effect of factors other than those assumed, including factors not mentioned, considered or foreseen, by themselves or in conjunction with other factors, could produce dramatically different performance or results. We do not undertake to update any information, data or computations contained in this document, or to communicate any change in the opinions, limits, requirements and estimates expressed herein. Investors considering purchasing a Fannie Mae security should consult their own financial and legal advisors for information about such security, the risks and investment considerations arising from an investment in such security, the appropriate tools to analyze such investment, and the suitability of such investment in each investor's particular circumstances.

    Fannie Mae securities, together with interest thereon, are not guaranteed by the United States and do not constitute a debt or obligation of the United States or of any agency or instrumentality thereof other than Fannie Mae.

    Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views, including assumptions about the duration and magnitude of shutdowns and social distancing, could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views published by the ESR group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.

    2 © 2020 Fannie Mae.

  • Contents

    Page 04Program Overview

    Page 13Reinsurance Opportunity

    Page 19Historical Comparative Analysis

    Page 29Investor Resources

    Page 35Appendix

    © 2020 Fannie Mae. 3

  • Program Overview

    © 2020 Fannie Mae.

  • Fannie Mae sits at the very heart of the U.S. housing industry.

    We purchase qualifying mortgages from lenders, bundle them into bonds and sell to investors. Lenders use their replenished cash to originate new mortgages, and we use ours to start the process again. This continuous flow of money promotes a healthy housing market.

    We are America’s Housing Partner.

    We partner with lenders to create home purchase (single-family) and rental (multifamily) opportunities for millions of Americans across the country.

    1 in 4 single-family homes are financed by us.

    Who We Are

    *Single Family, Approximate

    © 2020 Fannie Mae.5

  • Providing liquidity to the housing market and investment options to rates and credit investors.

    Lender Originates loans

    Interest Rate Investor Purchases MBS &

    assumes interest rate risk

    Credit Investor Purchases credit risk securities & assumes portion of credit risk

    Credit Risk Securities

    Fannie Mae Creates guaranteed MBS &

    non-guaranteed credit risk securities

    Proceeds from sale of MBS flow back to lender to fund new loans

    MBS

    Delivers loans Services loans

    Pays guaranty fee

    Securitizes loans. Guarantees principal &

    interest on MBS in exchange for guaranty fee

    Our Single-Family Business

    © 2020 Fannie Mae.6

  • Our Size and Scale: Single-Family

    © 2020 Fannie Mae.7

    Private-Label Securities

    4% r44

    Fannie Mae 38%

    Freddie Mac 26%

    Ginnie Mae 32%

    As of December 2019, U.S. Single Family 1st Lien mortgage debt outstanding totaled $10.7 trillion. Fannie Mae’s share stood at approximately $3.0 trillion,

    nearly 28% of the market.

    Fannie Mae was the largest issuer of single-family mortgage securities in the first quarter of 2020.

    The U.S. mortgage market is dominated by the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (FRM).

    We provided $205 billion in mortgage liquidity across the country in the first quarter of 2020.

    *Source: Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds

    Q1 2020 Market Share: New Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances

    $-

    $2,000

    $4,000

    $6,000

    $8,000

    $10,000

    $12,000

    '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

    Fi rs

    t L ie

    n M

    or tg

    ag e

    O ut

    st an

    di ng

    (B ill

    io ns

    )

    Fannie Mae Total

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    Bi lli

    on s

    Fannie Mae Issuance by Product Type

    30-Yr FRM 15-year FRM 20-year FRM 10-year FRM Other Fixed ARM

  • Credit Risk Transfer Overview

    8 © 2020 Fannie Mae.

    Program benefits:  Benchmark issuer  Large, geographically diversified loan pools  Innovative credit-risk management tools  Program transparency  Unique online investor tools and resources

    Fannie Mae’s suite of risk sharing programs Connecticut Avenue SecuritiesTM (CAS)

    The benchmark for U.S. mortgage credit $47 billion issued since program inception*

    Covering over $1.5 Trillion in UPB at

    issuance*

    Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM (CIRTTM)

    Attracts diversified insurers/ reinsurers $12.9 billion committed since program inception*

    Covering over $474 billion in UPB at

    issuance*

    We have transferred over $62 billion in single-family credit risk to private market participants since 2013, transferring a portion of the credit risk on

    $2.2 Trillion of UPB at Issuance*

    * Issuance amount (not outstanding UPB) through March 31, 2020

    Lender risk sharing vehicles

    Customized lender risk sharing transactions $6.7 billion issued since program inception*

    Covering over $203 billion in UPB

    at issuance*

  • 9

    Transparent pricing provided on our webpage for all transactions – along with key deal documents and transaction data

    Large, geographically diversified loan pools provide broad exposure to U.S. housing market

    Fan

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