Republic of Korea and IIASA Highlights

(2008-2014)

June 2014

CONTENTS

1. Summary2. National Member Organization3. Some Leading Korean Personalities Associated with

IIASA4. Research Partners5. Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights6. Capacity Building7. Further Information

SUMMARY (2008-2014)National Member Organization

National Research Foundation of Korea

Membership start date 2008

Research partners 17 organizations in Korea

Areas of research collaborations

Six shocks and KoreaSmart ways to clean up Korea’s airResearch to support green growth in KoreaAnalyzing global water challengesImproving forest management in KoreaThe future of fisheries Advancing energy and integrated assessment modeling in KoreaProjecting changing population and human capital in Korea

Capacity Building 12 doctoral students from Korea have participated in IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program and its new Southern African version

Other Interactions Over 50 researchers, advisors, and diplomats from Korea have visited IIASA, while IIASA scientists have visited Korea 100 times.

NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION

• National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF)• Professor Min Keun Chung, President of NRF, is

the IIASA Council Member for Korea• The Director of NRF’s Center for International

Affairs, Dr. Soon-Ro Cho, is the NMO Secretary for Korea

SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN KOREA AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA

Seung-Jick Yoo Soogil Young

Jong-Guk Song Joon Sik Lee

RESEARCH PARTNERS

• 17 institutions in Korea, including: • Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Research Center of Korea (GIR)• Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)• Korea Forest Research Institute (KFRI)• Korea University• Konkuk University (KU)• Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport • National Institute of Environmental Research of Korea (NIER)• Pukyong National University• Science and Technology Policy Institute (STEPI)• Seoul National University

RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS

Selected Highlights:• Six shocks and Korea• GAINS-KOREA• Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage• Water Futures and Solutions• Projecting changing population in Korea• Shrinking Korean Chum Salmon

SIX SHOCKS AND KOREALow probability but high impact events

SIX SHOCKS AND KOREAPrioritizing policies that maximize resilience

GAINS – KOREA

Year 2010

Year 2030

Impact Map in GAINS-Korea

Prototype (PM2.5)

BUILDING GAINS-KOREA

Energy & Mobile: Powerplant, industry, domestic, road and non-road transportations

Industry process: Industry process (part) and fugitive dust except agriculture

VOC- Solvents use(reversely calculated using GAINS emission factors) and industry process (part)Agriculture- Agriculture and fugitive dust of agriculture

Activities

ActivitiesEmission

factors

Tech.Penetration

Control Efficiency

GAINS-Korea

- Technologies mapping between CAPSS and GAINS

Technology mapping

- Source classifications of CAPSS mapping to gains sectors

- Fuel mapping between CAPSS and GAINS

Source and Fuel mapping

Calculate activities by GAINS sectors

Calculate technologies penetration

Use GAINS control efficiency according to technology mapping

From CAPSS: Uncontrolled emission factors from CAPSS for all sectors except VOCs

From GAINS: Solvent use for VOC sectors

Emission factors

Calculate weighted average of emission factors by detailed SCC of CAPSS

BIOENERGY WITH CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE (BECCS)

• Optimal location of green-field biomass plants (20 MW) in Korea

• Red shows bioenergy plants without carbon capture and storage

• Blue indicates BECCS unit locations on a light yellow background (geologically suitable formation for capture and storage of carbon).

Source: Kraxner F, Aoki K, Leduc S, Kindermann G, Fuss S, Yang J, Yamagata Y, Tak K & Obersteiner M (2014). BECCS in South Korea - Analyzing the negative emissions potential of bioenergy as a mitigation tool. Renewable Energy, 61:102-108

WATER FUTURES AND SOLUTIONS

Founding Partners:

An integrated analysis of global water challenges and solutions

Results to be published at:

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREA

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Republic of Korea - Base Year 2010

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

48.2 Million48.2 Million FemalesMales

48.2 Million

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREACONVENTIONAL DEVELOPMENT

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Republic of Korea - Projections 2030 - SSP5

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

51.3 Million FemalesMales

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREACONVENTIONAL DEVELOPMENT

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

3000 2000 1000 0 1000 2000 3000

Republic of Korea - Projections 2060 - SSP5

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

50.3 Million FemalesMales

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREA

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Republic of Korea - Base Year 2010

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

48.2 Million48.2 Million FemalesMales

48.2 Million

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREAFRAGMENTATION

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Republic of Korea - Projections 2030 - SSP3

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

48 Million FemalesMales

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN KOREAFRAGMENTATION

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+

3000 2000 1000 0 1000 2000 3000

Republic of Korea - Projections 2060 - SSP3

Population in Millions

Ag

e (

in Y

ea

rs)

36 Million FemalesMales

SHRINKING KOREAN CHUM SALMON

• Changing environmental conditions (commercial fishing, climatic change) are changing the traits of fish (growth and size at maturation)

• ~ 30 case studies including Korean Chum Salmon

• Implications for future size of fish stocks, and that evolutionary changes can take a long time to reverse

Urbach D, Kang M, Kang S, Seong KB, Kim S, Dieckmann U & Heino M (2012). Growth and maturation of Korean chum salmon under changing environmental conditions. Fisheries Research, 134-136:104-112

CAPACITY BUILDING• 11 doctoral students from Korea have won places on

IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 2008.

Southern-African Young Scientist Summer Program: (SA-YSSP)• Kyeongah Nah (SA-YSSP ’12-’13 &

University of Szeged), a Korean national, developed a model for predicting malaria incubation times under latitudinal and climate-induced changes in season lengths.

CAPACITY BUILDING

FURTHER INFORMATION

IIASA www.iiasa.ac.at

National Research Foundation of Koreahttp://www.nrf.re.kr