REDD+ IN INDONESIA: GOING BEYOND CARBONTHE IMPORTANCE OF LAND-USE MODELING TO AVOID

DEFORESTATIONGlobal Landscape Forum, 16 November 2013 at University of Warsaw

Agung Wicaksono – President’s Delivery Unit of Republic of Indonesia

INDONESIA AFFIRMS ITS NEW DIRECTION FOR SUSTAINABILITY AND IIASA BECOMES A PARTNER

2

President Yudhoyono

Kuntoro MangkusubrotoChair of

• REDD+ Taskforce, • National Committee for Post-2015,

• National Committee for IIASA

Indonesia became 19th Member of IIASALaxenburg, 26 June 2012

Environment Sustainability

SocialEquality

Economic Growth

1189

5

FORESTS AND PEATLAND CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLYIN ACHIEVING THE 41% EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET

3

1039

7856 11

Million ton CO2e

Emissions reduction target (41% scenario by 2020)

Reduc-tion target

Forest & peatland

Waste Energy & Trans-portation

Agricul-ture

Industry

87% of overall target and 36% reduction from BAU emissions by 2020

BUT REDD+ FOR US MEANS ....... BEYOND CARBON

4

5

AND REDD+ IS ALSO MORE THAN FOREST

THE REDD+ AGENCY HAS BEEN CREATED WITH PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 62 / 2013

6

• The head of REDD+ agency would report directly to the President• In charge of coordination, synchronization, planning, facilitating, managing,

monitoring, oversight and control of REDD+ activities in Indonesia

REDD+ NATIONAL STRATEGY

7

Establish institutions and processes

Review and reform legal and regulatory framework

• Review land rights and spatial planning

• Improve law enforcement

• Sustainable landscape management• Sustainable economic system for land use utilisation• Conservation and rehabilitation

Strategic programs

• Reinforce forest sector governance• Empower local economy• National “Protect our forests” Campaign

Paradigm shift and work culture change

• Develop social and environmental safeguards• Manage fair benefit sharing

Multistakeholder engagement

• REDD+ Agency• Funding Instrument• MRV Institution

Emissions Reduction

Enhancement of carbon stock

Conservation of biodiversity and environmental services

Sustainable economic growth

1

3

4

5

2

8

THE NEED FOR LAND-USE CHANGE MODEL:

CASE OF INDONESIA

THE CONFLICT ON LAND USE IS STRONGLY EVIDENT FROM THE MAP

9

Protected Forest and Conservation Area…

…overlay with production forest areas…

…overlay with plantation areas…

…overlay with mining area

Example: Overlay of forestry-plantation-mining areas in Pasir District (East Kalimantan)

REDD+ POLICY IMPACT ASSESSMENT

10

Land use

REDD+ Policies

Economic trade-offs Biodiversity

GLOBIOM-CENTRAL MODEL IN REDD-PAC

11

AGRICULTURE FORESTRY BIOENERGY

WheatRice

MaizeSoybean

BarleySorghum

MilletCotton

Dry beansRapeseed

GroundnutSugarcanePotatoesCassava

SunflowerChickpeasOil Palm

Sweet potatoes

BuffaloCattleSheepGoatPig

Poultry

BeefLambPork

PoultryEggsMilk

Biomass for log productionFuel wood

Other wood

Pulp woodLogs

EthanolFAME

MethanolHeat

ElectricityBiogas

ENERGY

Oil and gasGeothermal

Coal

Indonesia’s energy potentials

WE SELECT TWO PILOT PROVINCES FOR THE STUDY

12

East KalimantanJambi

KALIMANTAN ECONOMIC CORRIDOR: CENTER FOR PRODUCTION AND PROCESSING OF MINING PRODUCT AND ENERGY RESERVES

13

OverviewConsists of 4 hubs: Pontianak, Palangkaraya, Balikpapan dan SamarindaThis corridor is estimated to increase Domestic Regional Income (PRDB) as much as 2.6x; from $59 billionPRDB in 2008 to $152 billion in 2030 with estimation of 3.6% growth compared to baseline estimation of 5.8%

Future Sustainable Industry1. Fishery Expanding shrimp aquaculture industries2. Logging Building sustainable forestry industries

and expanding to products with high added value (paper)

3. Rubber Increasing rubber industry

Current Focus1. Oil and Gas More exploration to ensure stabilized

growth of production2. Palm Oil Increasing production during

harvesting, substituting to products with high added value and downstream products.

3. Coal Mining Increasing production and building infrastructures which can reach hinterland mines

Necessary Key Infrasturctures:River Port Barge Loading Facillities connecting the rail way to carry coal through the Barito and Mahakam riverRailway Necessary to make the hinterland coal mining economically viable; Central KalimantanToll Road Better connectivity between palm oil plantations and mining areas to increase CPO production (Central and West Kalimantan)

FOREST COVERAGE OF THE KALIMANTAN ECONOMIC CORRIDOR

14

Banjarmasin

Palangkaraya

Pontianak

BIMP-EAGA

Samarinda

Peat Land

Primary Forest

Secondary Forest

SUMATRA ECONOMIC CORRIDOR: CENTER FOR PRODUCTION ANDPROCESSING OF NATURAL RESOURCES AS THE NATION’S ENERGY RESERVES

15

Geothermal Palm Oil

Oil and gas Cultural Diversity

LAND USE MODELING - PROCESS

16

Natural Forests

Managed Forests

Short Rotation Tree Plantations

Cropland

Grassland

Other natural land

BioenergyBioethanol Biodiesel MethanolHeatElectricityBiogas

Wood products

Sawn woodPulp

Livestock productsBeefLambPorkPoultryEggsMilk

CropsCornWheatCassavaPotatoesRapeseedetc…LA

ND

USE

CH

AN

GE

Wood Processing

Bioenergy Processing

Livestock Feeding

NEXT STEPS

17

REDD+ a global platform: Indonesia shall learn from others like Brazil and the Congo Basin

Kick-off for IIASA Tropical Flagship Program in Indonesia: February 2014

1

2

REDD+ Agency

Indonesian Universities

The Collaboration

PRESIDENT’S DELIVERY UNITfor Development Monitoring and Oversight

Republic of Indonesia

THANK YOU

DZIĘKUJĘ

TERIMA KASIH