public private ventures program facilities officers conference · “creating a more educated...
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“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Public Private Ventures Program
Facilities Officers ConferenceOctober 27, 2011
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Public Private Ventures Program The program is used primarily for projects that are self
supporting ( housing rents, user fees, research funds, and redirection of rental payments).
Private Interest Developers University Foundations Non-profit Organizations Limited Liability Corporations (LLC) USG Real Estate Foundation
Project Financing Bonds (tax-exempt & taxable) Credit Enhancement (bond insurance & letter of credit) Rated Bond Issues (no credit enhancement)
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Public Private Venture ProgramGeorgia Structure
Following is a brief description of the structure typicallyused in Georgia PPV transactions.
• The Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia (the“BOR”) leases land on campus to a LLC under a ground lease for aterm equal to the bonds: – when the bonds are paid in full, the ground lease terminates andthe facility reverts to the BOR.
• The LLC and the BOR enter into a rental agreement under which the BOR agrees to lease the completed facility under a “triple-net” lease arrangement for rents sufficient to pay the principal andinterest of the bonds. The University is responsible for the operation of the facility
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Portfolio Update (10-25-11) 172 projects - $3.891 Billion
Including 14 projects under construction
Located on 33 of 35 institutions
A variety of facility types including: Housing 40,012 beds Parking 27,697 spaces Student Support 2,538,437 sq. ft. Research 1,449,421 sq. ft. Instructional 1,044,275 sq. ft. Office 999,762 sq. ft. Stadium Seats 35,488 seats
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Student Housing
Dorms, Semi-Suites, Suites, & Apartments
Board of Regents requires a Comprehensive Housing Plan and Market Study
Housing Rents cover rent to Foundation, operating cost, & repair and replacement reserves
Savannah State
Gordon College
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Student SupportFacilities Student Centers, Student
Unions, Student Learning Support, Recreation Centers, Parking Decks
Board of Regents requires student fee committee to vote for assessing student fees
Needs assessment shall be conducted that obtains student input (focus groups, surveys, workshops, etc)
Student Fees are used to pay rent to Foundation, some operating costs, building reserves
Georgia Gwinnett CollegeParking Deck
Augusta State UniversityStudent Center
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Research, Office, and Instructional
Research funding used to cover rent to Foundation and building reserves
The redirection of rental payments to new and existing facilities
Medical College of Georgia Cancer Research Center
Georgia Perimeter CollegeNewton Campus
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Underwriting Guidelines Income and Expenses can not increase more than
3% per year
Funding Repair and Replacement Reserves
Debt Coverage Ratio must equal at least 1.05
Level Debt Service Payments/Fixed Interest Rate
Fund at least 6 months capitalized interest after construction completion to create project reserves
Performance of previous PPV’s and Debt Capacity
Financial Risk Mitigation Strategy
1st
2nd
3rd
• Project Cash Reserves created by funding at least 6 months of capitalized interest after construction completion
• Auxiliary unallocated balances
• Institutional funds (non-state)
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Required Debt Service Coverage Ratio: 1.05 to provide cushion
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Management & OperationsPPV Project
Accountability
Insurance
Managing Risks and Preserving Value
“Performance Matters”
Physical Conditions Documented
Lease Payment/Debt Service Analysis
Adequate & Proper Coverage
Cash Flow PhysicalConditions
Pooled Coverage 5-Year 3rd Party Physical Assessment
Annual Reporting of Financial Performance
Risk Mitigation across Portfolio
Repair & Replacement Reserve Analysis
Revenues & Expenses Analysis
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Asset Management Close-out of Fiscal Year PPV Projects
Focus on whether your projects are Self-Liquidating Benchmark against proforma Confirm recorded expenses are specific to project
Contact Cynthia Alexander regarding Cash Flow Issues If cash flow is not consistent with proforma If proforma needs to be re-cast
Rating Agency Alert If you get calls or notice of review or changes in rating call
and get us involved Lease Renewal Form for each PPV
Send a copy to Cynthia Alexander
“Creating a More Educated Georgia”
Questions?
Christine T. HolmesSenior Vice President
Merchant Capital, [email protected]
404-797-4006
15th Annual Facilities Officers ConferenceOctober 26-28, 2011Cunningham CenterColumbus State University
University System of GeorgiaPublic Private Venture Financings
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Why utilize privatized structures?■ Faster completion
■ Streamline procurement process
■ Funding limits or restrictions
■ Private funding source
■ Non-recourse to University *
■ Off-balance sheet and off-credit *
■ 100% project financing
■ Philosophical shift
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* Varies based on University involvement
University System of Georgia PPV structure
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Foundation LLC* Owns Project ** Legal Obligor *
University Student / User’s
Board of Regents
Governmental Authority
Bond Investors
Real Estate Foundation
Trustee
Ground LeaseRental Agreement
■ Vets and Approves Project■ Approves Financing Structure■ Reviews Construction Documents■ Provides Post-closing Oversight■ Executes the Rental Agreement
Sole Memberof LLC
Debt Service PaymentDebt Service
Payment
Loan Agreement
Housing RentsStudent FeesFacilities Mgmt
Agreement
Housing RentsStudent Fees
Summary of potential financing options
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Financing Observations Traditional University University-Affiliated
FoundationUnaffiliated-Nonprofit
Corporation Fully Privatized
Cost of Capital Lowest Slightly Higher Higher Highest
Credit Rating (1) Aaa Aa2 – A1 A3 – Baa Baa - Below
Tax-ExemptFinancing Available Available Potentially Available Not Available
Off-balance Sheet Treatment Not Possible Not Possible Possible Yes
Level of University Control Highest High if managed by University, but lower if
managed by outside management firm Lowest
Financial Return for University Highest High Moderate Low
Ease of Implementation Lowest Moderate Moderate Highest
NOTES:(1) For illustrative purposes only. Based on Moody’s ratings.
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Off Balance Sheet and PPV
Rated Baa3 (BBB-) Coverage Requirement – 1.20x Cash Funded Reserve 100%
Requirement First Fill Agreement Freshmen & Sophomore Housing
Requirement Construction Risk Requirements Insurance Premium Rate – 225 bps Cost of Capital – 5.45%
Off Balance Sheet
Rated A+ Coverage Requirement -1.05x Cash Funded Reserve 50%
Requirement No Fill Agreement or Housing
Requirement Construction Risk Requirements Insurance Premium Rate – 65
bps Cost of Capital – 4.88%
Georgia Board of Regents
Team members involved in PPV bond issues■ University
■ Foundation / LLC – Project Owner
■ Board of Regents
■ Project Consultant or Program Manager
■ General Contractor / Developer
■ Issuer and Issuer’s Counsel
■ Bond Counsel
■ Underwriter and Underwriter’s Counsel
■ Trustee
■ Rating Agency
■ Credit Enhancer
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Credit criteria for financing a PPV■ University
– Market position? Governance? Operating performance?
– What are the university’s current capital needs? Long-range capital plans?
– Has the university participated in a PPV financing before? If so, how is the project performing?
■ Project
– Who is legal obligor? Relationship to university?
– Is the university involved? If so, what role?
– Location of project? Is it located on university-owned land?
– Strategic importance of the project?
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Credit criteria for financing a PPV (continued)■ Bond / Legal Structure
– Project revenues? Mandatory or discretionary fees? What is the security pledge?
– Projected assumptions in proforma?
– How is construction risk addressed?
– Flow of funds
– Is a debt service reserve fund established? Cash funded at 100% or 50% of requirement? Surety bond?
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Moody’s■ Ratings reflect a blended assessment based on (1) the lease agreement
with the Board of Regents and (2) underlying credit characteristics of the university, which ranges from “Aa2” to “A3”.
■ Strengths include:
– Strategic importance of the projects
– Initial approval and continued oversight by Board of Regents
■ Challenges include:
– Rental payments are subject to annual renewal
– Certificate of occupancy must be issued before rental payments begin
– Construction risk can be mitigated, but not eliminated
– Challenging state funding environment
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Standard & Poor’s■ Ratings reflect the lease agreement with the Board of Regents, which is
currently “A+”.
■ Strengths include:
– Strategic importance of the projects
– Initial approval and continued oversight by Board of Regents
– University System of Georgia’s large, comprehensive role as the state’s system of higher education
■ Challenges include:
– Annual appropriation risk and abatement risk
– Rapid growth of debt issued by the University System of Georgia
– Construction risk can be mitigated, but not eliminated
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Assured Guaranty
Insurance policies are irrevocable and guarantee the timely payment of principal and interest on bonds to investors.
Requirements would be significantly more stringent without the Rental Agreement .
Assured Guaranty’s analytical approach to USG PPV is multifaceted combining elements of off balance sheet / project finance and tradition higher education analytics.
Risks include: Ability of individual institutions to attract students Risk of Damage to the facility and abatement of rent by Board Project Self Sustainability Appropriation and Allocation Risk of the Board Construction Risk – Rents payable upon completion of project
Construction risk can be mitigated■ The following strategies have been used to mitigate construction risk:
– All drawings, designs, studies and engineering reports will be final before bond sale
– Payment and performance bonds for the full project cost
– Construction contract will have a guaranteed completion date for a guaranteed maximum price (GMP)
– Builders Risk Insurance
– Collateral assignment of construction agreements to the trustee
– Six months of capitalized interest beyond expected completion date
– Reasonable level of liquidated damages
– Principal payments do not start until the following year project is placed in service
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What are the Changes Going Forward?
• BoR• Rating Agencies• Credit Enhancer• Structural• Market• Political
University System of GeorgiaFacilities Officer Conference
Confidential – For Discussion & General Information Purposes Only
15th Annual Facilities Officers ConferenceOctober 26-28, 2011Cunningham CenterColumbus State University
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
9/1 9/11 9/21 10/1 10/11 10/21
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Interest Rate Market Update
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
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7.00
8.00
9.00
1990
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Rat
es (
%)
US TreasuryAAA G.O. MMD
Long –Term: 30-Year Treasury and MMD (tax-exempt)
Source: Thomson Financial as of October 2011
2.75
3.25
3.75
4.25
4.75
5.25
1/10
2/10
3/10
4/10
5/10
6/10
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011
/10
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1110
/11
Rat
e (%
)
Short-Term: 30-Year Treasury and MMD (tax-exempt)
Ratio of MMD/Treas.
Current 1.23Average 1.00High 1.29Low 0.86
Long Term:US Treasury and Tax-
Exempt Rates are down over 600 basis points over
the 10 year period
Short Term:US Treasury and Tax-
Exempt Rates are down over 225 basis points over a
1 year period
Current Rates: 10yr. 30yr.
US Treasury: 2.19% 3.21%
Tax-Exempt : 2.42% 3.72%
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011 28
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
1/95 1/96 1/97 1/98 1/99 1/00 1/01 1/02 1/03 1/04 1/05 1/06 1/07 1/08 1/09 1/10 1/11 1/12 1/13
How Did Japan’s Recession Impact Bond Yields?
28
Japan’s 10Y bond yield fell below 2% in 1997 and has since spent 83% of the time below that level Japanese yields have remained at this historically low level for the past 14 years
Historical 10Y Bond YieldsJapan and US
Source: Bloomberg
USUSJapan
Japan US
Current 1.01% 2.19%High 4.72% 7.88%Average 1.71% 4.78%Low 0.45% 1.72%
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011 29
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
1/1/
07
4/1/
07
7/1/
07
10/1
/07
1/1/
08
4/1/
08
7/1/
08
10/1
/08
1/1/
09
4/1/
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/09
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/10
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/11
10-Y
ear
U.S
. Tr
easu
ry Y
ield
(%
)
Treasury Yields Have Moved Counterintuitive to QE Anticipation versus Actual Purchases
Source: Bloomberg
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield
11/25/2008QE1 announced
1/1/2009QE1 purchases begin
3/31/2010QE1 purchases end
8/27/2010Jackson Hole speech hinted QE2
11/3/2010QE2 purchases begin
It was fair to believe that this was the end of the world as we know it
Terrible economy, which led to anticipation of QE2
9/21/2011Operation Twist announced
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
($5,000,000)
($4,000,000)
($3,000,000)
($2,000,000)
($1,000,000)
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
1/3/
2007
5/3/
2007
9/3/
2007
1/3/
2008
5/3/
2008
9/3/
2008
1/3/
2009
5/3/
2009
9/3/
2009
1/3/
2010
5/3/
2010
9/3/
2010
1/3/
2011
5/3/
2011
9/3/
2011
Wee
kly
Infl
ows/
Ou
tflo
ws
($U
S '0
00
s)
Week Ending
30
Municipal Bond Fund Flows
Source: Lipper FMI as of October 2011
After massive outflows from November 2010 through June 2011, investors have
recently started to leave the sidelines and money is
trickling back into municipal bond funds
Even with this reduction in the buying power of
municipal bond funds, the market hasn’t experienced
symptoms of reduced demand because volume
has been so depressed
Weekly Municipal Bond Fund Flows: 2007 to Present
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011 31
Holders of Municipal Debt
Municipal bonds remain largely in the hands of professional investors
although retail represents the largest investor segment
at 37% of all current holdings
As municipal bond fund outflows and political
debate over long-term tax exemptions threaten demand, will retail
investors pick up the slack?
Source: Bond Buyer Market Statistics. * YTD 2011 as of June 30, 2011.
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD*
Mu
nic
ipal
Bon
d H
old
ings
in $
Bil
l
Brokers & Dealers
Foreign Holdings
Other
Closed-End Funds
Life Insurance Co.
U.S. Commercial Banks
Money Market Funds
Property & Casualty Insurance
Mutual Funds
Households
Top 10 Holders of Municipal Bonds by Investor Segment
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
USG Institution Credit Ratings
Category Moodys S&P FitchPrime Aaa AAA AAAHigh Grade Aa1 AA+ AA+High Grade Aa2 AA AAHigh Grade Aa3 AA‐ AA‐Upper Med A1 A+ A+Upper Med A2 A AUpper Med A3 A‐ A‐Lower Med Baa1 BBB+ BBB+Lower Med Baa2 BBB BBBLower Med Baa3 BBB‐ BBB‐
Institution Debt Outstanding [1] Moodys S&PABAC 42,560,000 A3 ‐Albany State University 78,895,000 ‐ A+Armstrong Atlantic State University 93,780,000 A2 ‐Atlanta Metropolitan College ‐ ‐ A+Augusta State University 29,110,000 A2 ‐Bainbridge College [2] 21,005,000 ‐ ‐BOR/OIIT 11,050,000 Aa2 ‐Clayton State University 70,555,000 ‐ A+College of Coastal Georgia [2] 28,955,000 ‐ ‐Columbus State University 65,166,433 A2 ‐Dalton State College [2] 7,130,000 ‐ ‐Darton College 45,885,000 ‐ A+East Georgia College [2] 8,910,000 ‐ ‐Fort Valley State University 81,960,000 A3 ‐Gainesvil le State College 11,715,000 ‐ ‐Georgia College & State University 146,530,000 A2 A+Georgia Gwinnett College 162,570,000 ‐ A+Georgia Highlands College 19,285,000 ‐ A+Georgia Institute of Technology [3] 503,475,000 Aa3 AA‐Georgia Perimeter College 77,965,000 A2 ‐Georgia Southern University 207,725,000 A1 ‐Georgia Southwestern State University 40,565,000 A2 ‐Georgia State University 358,325,000 A1 ‐Gordon College 32,830,000 A3 ‐Kennesaw State University 358,675,000 A1 A+Macon State College 12,405,000 ‐ A+Medical College of Georgia [4] 29,435,000 ‐ ‐Middle Georgia College 62,895,000 ‐ A+North Georgia College & State University 154,025,000 ‐ A+Savannah State University 103,935,000 ‐ A+South Georgia College 35,525,000 A3 ‐Southern Polytechnic State University 92,920,000 A2 ‐University of Georgia 295,819,285 Aa2 ‐University of West Georgia 140,460,000 A1 ‐Valdosta State University 191,988,775 A1 ‐Waycross College ‐ ‐ ‐Total 3,624,029,493 [1] As of October 25, 2011 [3] 2010B Bonds rated Aa1/AA+[2] GHEFA Financing Rating (A2/A+) [4] Insured rating
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Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011 33
Current Tax-Exempt Interest Rates
Year A1/A+ Aa22013 1.500% 0.650%2014 1.7 80% 1.030%2015 2.140% 1.390%2016 2.510% 1.7 60%2017 2.7 90% 2.010%2018 3.030% 2.27 0%2019 3.310% 2.560%2020 3.550% 2.800%2021 3.67 0% 2.920%2022 3.7 90% 3.040%2023 3.930% 3.180%2024 4.060% 3.310%2025 4.180% 3.430%2026 4.290% 3.540%2027 4.390% 3.640%2028 4.490% 3.7 40%2029 4.590% 3.840%2030 4.660% 3.910%2031 4.7 30% 3.980%2032 4.7 7 0% 4.17 0%2033 4.7 7 0% 4.17 0%2034 4.7 7 0% 4.17 0%2035 4.7 7 0% 4.17 0%2036 4.7 7 0% 4.17 0%2037 4.820% 4.220%2038 4.820% 4.220%2039 4.820% 4.220%2040 4.820% 4.220%2041 4.820% 4.220%2042 4.820% 4.220%
Value to a higher rating:• 60 basis point difference between A1/A+ and Aa2• Viability of bond insurance is uncertain
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
Sample New Project Financing
34
Today’s Market Rule of Thumb:$800,000 of Debt Service = $10,000,000 Project
Project Size $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000
SOURCES OF FUNDSPar Amount of Bonds 11,380,000$ 22,715,000$ 34,015,000$ 45,350,000$ 56,650,000$ Original Issue Premium/(Discount) 105,387 210,323 314,912 419,907 524,535 Accrued interest ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS 11,485,387$ 22,925,323$ 34,329,912$ 45,769,907$ 57,174,535$
USES OF FUNDSFixed Costs of Issuance 159,663 285,565 398,793 506,427 610,417 Debt Service Reserve Fund (50%) 402,963 803,459 1,202,347 1,602,500 2,001,494 Capitalized Interest Fund (2 Years) 911,340 1,819,277 2,724,123 3,631,950 4,536,889 Project Cost 10,011,421 20,017,022 30,004,650 40,029,030 50,025,736 TOTAL USES OF FUNDS 11,485,387$ 22,925,323$ 34,329,912$ 45,769,907$ 57,174,535$
Average Annual Debt Service $806,000 $1,607,000 $2,405,000 3,205,000.00 $4,000,000Project Size as % of Principal 87.97% 88.12% 88.21% 88.27% 88.31%Capitalized Interest Fund 8.01% 8.01% 8.01% 8.01% 8.01%Debt Service Reserve Fund 3.54% 3.54% 3.53% 3.53% 3.53%Costs of Issuance 1.40% 1.26% 1.17% 1.12% 1.08%
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011 35
Refunding Analysis
Refunding Essentials:• Existing bonds typically have a 10-year call protection• Escrow pays existing bonds until the call date
• Low short term rates (negative arbitrage) is very costly• Couponing (selling at a premium or discount) effects savings• Establish a savings threshold, i.e. 3% present value savings
Considerations:• Refunding might add annual fees that did not exist on original debt
• Authority, BOR, etc.• Who retains the savings? Project, LLC, Institution, BOR or State• Rental Payments can not increase• Rated debt refunding insured debt
Current Status:• $3.6 billion outstanding• $255.7 million of principal
(only 7% of all maturities) generates 3% or greater present value savings
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
USG Fiscal Year Debt Service
36
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
USG Debt by Repayment Sources
37
Revenue Sources OutstandingHousing Rents 2,040,721,433 Student Fee 430,758,060 Student Center Fee 302,160,000 Research 345,060,000 Operating Funds 305,115,000 Parking Fee 135,085,000 Meal Plan 27,435,000 Continuing Education 23,295,000 Bookstore 14,400,000 Retail Space ‐
3,624,029,493
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
USG PPV Debt by Institution
38
Facilities Officers Conference – October 27, 2011
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