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Commentary Property rights and liability for deforestation under REDD+: Implications for permanencein policy design Charles Palmer Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics (LSE), Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom abstract article info Article history: Received 22 April 2010 Received in revised form 29 October 2010 Accepted 31 October 2010 Available online 6 December 2010 Keywords: Climate change Liability Permanence Policy design Property rights Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD+) Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+) is critical in efforts to mitigate the effects of anthropogenic climate change. Despite uncertainty about the exact form of a future, international REDD+ system, REDD+ carbon property rights would need to be created and allocated with liability assigned for the potential loss of climate benets in the event of carbon reversal from deforestation. This commentary explores the links between forest property rights and liability, to different REDD+ policy options and their implications for permanence. Should national governments retain liability for permanence then project-level activities that have individually-assigned REDD+ carbon rights may have a higher risk of carbon reversal than policies where rights are assigned to the state. Knowledge of pre-existing forest rights is necessary for some policies implemented with government-assigned REDD+ rights in order to compensate for potential income losses from policy implementation. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction With deforestation and forest degradation accounting for up to a fth of global greenhouse gas emissions, Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation—‘REDD+’—has been positioned as an important and potentially cost-effective climate change mitigation strategy (Eliasch, 2008; Stern, 2008; Palmer and Engel, 2009). 1 Despite exclusion from the Kyoto Protocol, a global REDD+ system is emerging and may yet be included in a post-2012 climate agreement. Inclusion of REDD+ in a global compliance system will, however, necessitate clearly-dened and allocated forest carbon property rights, in the form of carbon credits or certied emissions reductions, with liability assigned for possible future carbon release into the atmosphere. 2 Assigning liability is not only a precondition for credit fungibility, but is also a key issue for permanence(Sedjo and Marland, 2003). Carbon sequestered in the terrestrial biosphere is not permanently removed from the atmosphere and is at constant risk of being returned through deforestation, whether intentional or not. Reductions in emissions thus do not represent a permanent change in the cumulative ux of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, and this applies also to industrial emissions sources (Herzog et al., 2003; Dutschke and Angelsen, 2008). In this commentary, I adopt the viewpoint of Watson et al. (2000) that reductions in fossil fuel emissions can be regarded as leading to more permanent reductions in cumulative ows to the atmosphere in contrast to reductions in deforestation. Forests as carbon sinks face a wider range of economic, political, and natural factors, which contribute to a higher risk of carbon reversal, than other sources. Liability can simply be dened as having a high probability of being held responsible and potentially penalised for carbon release from deforestation of a particular area. But under a national approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions the concern is less about permanence of specic forest areas but instead whether a particular country continues to maintain changes in emissions below an established reference level, e.g. one dened as business-as-usual(Dutschke and Angelsen, 2008). This is the denition used in this commentary with important implications for the design of incentives in more individual-specic contracts for ensuring permanent REDD+. Such contracts are more likely in a project-based REDD+ approach or one that combines projects with a national framework. The forerunner to any future REDD+ system is Kyoto's Clean Development Mechanism in which a limited number of afforestation/ reforestation projects have been implemented. Carbon credits created in such projects, located in non-Annex I, i.e. developing, countries, can be used to offset emissions in Annex I, i.e. industrialised, countries. Ecological Economics 70 (2011) 571576 Tel.: +44 20 7107 5093; fax: +44 20 7955 7412. E-mail address: [email protected]. 1 REDD+ is dened as a set of policies and activities to prevent or slow deforestation and degradation, and increase forest carbon stocks. 2 More precisely, carbon credits describe the right to exploit an activity's climate benets, and can be dened through private legal contracts as in the voluntary carbon market or through national and international law as in the Clean Development Mechanism of the Kyoto Protocol (Wemaere et al., 2009). In general, a property right is a claim to a benet stream that the state agrees to protect through the assignment of duty to others who may interfere with the benet stream (Bromley, 1991). 0921-8009/$ see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.10.011 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Ecological Economics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolecon

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Page 1: Property rights and liability for deforestation under REDD+: Implications for ‘permanence’ in policy design

Ecological Economics 70 (2011) 571–576

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Ecological Economics

j ourna l homepage: www.e lsev ie r.com/ locate /eco lecon

Commentary

Property rights and liability for deforestation under REDD+: Implications for‘permanence’ in policy design

Charles Palmer ⁎Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics (LSE), Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom

⁎ Tel.: +44 20 7107 5093; fax: +44 20 7955 7412.E-mail address: [email protected].

1 REDD+ is defined as a set of policies and activities toand degradation, and increase forest carbon stocks.

2 More precisely, carbon credits describe the right tbenefits, and can be defined through private legal contrmarket or through national and international law aMechanism of the Kyoto Protocol (Wemaere et al., 2009a claim to a benefit stream that the state agrees to protduty to others who may interfere with the benefit strea

0921-8009/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. Aldoi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.10.011

a b s t r a c t

a r t i c l e i n f o

Article history:Received 22 April 2010Received in revised form 29 October 2010Accepted 31 October 2010Available online 6 December 2010

Keywords:Climate changeLiabilityPermanencePolicy designProperty rightsReducing Emissions from Deforestation andDegradation (REDD+)

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+) is critical in efforts to mitigate theeffects of anthropogenic climate change. Despite uncertainty about the exact form of a future, internationalREDD+ system, REDD+ carbon property rights would need to be created and allocated with liability assignedfor the potential loss of climate benefits in the event of carbon reversal from deforestation. This commentaryexplores the links between forest property rights and liability, to different REDD+ policy options and theirimplications for permanence. Should national governments retain liability for permanence then project-levelactivities that have individually-assigned REDD+ carbon rights may have a higher risk of carbon reversal thanpolicies where rights are assigned to the state. Knowledge of pre-existing forest rights is necessary for somepolicies implemented with government-assigned REDD+ rights in order to compensate for potential incomelosses from policy implementation.

prevent or slow deforestation

o exploit an activity's climateacts as in the voluntary carbons in the Clean Development). In general, a property right isect through the assignment ofm (Bromley, 1991).

l rights reserved.

© 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction

With deforestation and forest degradation accounting for up to afifth of global greenhouse gas emissions, Reducing Emissions fromDeforestation and Degradation—‘REDD+’—has been positioned as animportant and potentially cost-effective climate change mitigationstrategy (Eliasch, 2008; Stern, 2008; Palmer and Engel, 2009).1

Despite exclusion from the Kyoto Protocol, a global REDD+ systemis emerging and may yet be included in a post-2012 climateagreement. Inclusion of REDD+ in a global compliance system will,however, necessitate clearly-defined and allocated forest carbonproperty rights, in the form of carbon credits or certified emissionsreductions, with liability assigned for possible future carbon releaseinto the atmosphere.2

Assigning liability is not only a precondition for credit fungibility,but is also a key issue for ‘permanence’ (Sedjo and Marland, 2003).Carbon sequestered in the terrestrial biosphere is not permanentlyremoved from the atmosphere and is at constant risk of being returned

through deforestation, whether intentional or not. Reductions inemissions thus do not represent a permanent change in the cumulativeflux of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, and this applies also toindustrial emissions sources (Herzog et al., 2003; Dutschke andAngelsen, 2008). In this commentary, I adopt the viewpoint ofWatsonet al. (2000) that reductions in fossil fuel emissions can be regarded asleading to more permanent reductions in cumulative flows to theatmosphere in contrast to reductions in deforestation. Forests ascarbon sinks face a wider range of economic, political, and naturalfactors, which contribute to a higher risk of carbon reversal, than othersources.

Liability can simply be defined as having a high probability of beingheld responsible and potentially penalised for carbon release fromdeforestation of a particular area. But under a national approach toreducing greenhouse gas emissions the concern is less aboutpermanence of specific forest areas but instead whether a particularcountry continues to maintain changes in emissions below anestablished reference level, e.g. one defined as ‘business-as-usual’(Dutschke and Angelsen, 2008). This is the definition used in thiscommentary with important implications for the design of incentivesin more individual-specific contracts for ensuring permanent REDD+.Such contracts are more likely in a project-based REDD+ approach orone that combines projects with a national framework.

The forerunner to any future REDD+ system is Kyoto's CleanDevelopment Mechanism in which a limited number of afforestation/reforestation projects have been implemented. Carbon credits createdin such projects, located in non-Annex I, i.e. developing, countries, canbe used to offset emissions in Annex I, i.e. ‘industrialised’, countries.

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572 C. Palmer / Ecological Economics 70 (2011) 571–576

Liability for the loss of climate benefits in these projects is transferredto those purchasing carbon credits from project developers or ownersonce the credits have been created (UNFCCC, 2005). Since liability formaintaining emissions below the 1990 reference levels agreed inKyoto rests with Annex I countries, they remain liable should carboncredits prove to be non-permanent as a result of deforestation by otheractors. In other words, should a project developer decide to deforestafter selling its credits, it can no longer be held liable for any potentiallosses.3 Instead, the credit-buying country would be held liable forlosses andwould need to buy replacement credits elsewhere.4 If it failsto do so, and is unable to meet its emissions reduction commitment ina given compliance period, it can be penalised. Sanctions include theimposition of stricter emissions targets in successive complianceperiods or exclusion from Kyoto's trading mechanisms. Since non-Annex I countries did not sign up to emissions reductions targets theycannot be held liable and hence, punished in case of carbon reversalfrom CDM projects on their territories.

This commentary first explores the likely shape and form of afuture REDD+ system and its implications for liability in the event offuture deforestation. While it is unlikely to copy the project-basednature of the CDM and its associated liability regime, the latter hasimplications for some of the policy options currently being consideredfor implementing REDD+. These options are discussed according towhether REDD+ carbon rights are defined at the government orindividual level before the final section concludes.

2. REDD+ Property Rights, Liability and Permanence

Despite current uncertainty about the precise form of the futureREDD+ regime(s), some basic institutional features have emergedboth in the literature and in ongoing international discussions amongresearchers, practitioners and other stakeholders (see Wertz-Kanaounnikoff and Angelsen, 2009), revolving around the idea of atwo-tier or ‘nested’ accounting framework (Pedroni et al., 2009).

First, industrialised countries such as, but not necessarily exclu-sively, those grouped under Annex I in the Kyoto Protocol, will paycountries such as Brazil, Guyana and Indonesia for REDD+. Financecontinues to be a matter of discussion (political and otherwise) but itis likely to be initially based on voluntary funding mechanisms,utilising monies provided by both public and private sectors. In thelong-run, there may be opportunities to tap into nascent carbonmarkets, which could potentially involve the creation of fullyfungible REDD+ credits.5 Second, policy frameworks within individ-ual REDD+ host countries can either be utilised (if existing already)or would need to be created in order to effect changes indeforestation and land-use patterns on the ground. This couldinvolve the purchase of REDD+ credits by REDD+ host governmentsfrom landowners or farmers participating in REDD+ activities. Thesecould then be sold by REDD+ host governments to other countrieseither in voluntary transactions or via regulated carbon markets.

3 Given that project developers or owners may continue to hold other forestownership and use rights after selling their carbon credits they could continue toinfluence the probability of future carbon release. In principle, carbon credit sellersneed not be the right holder to forestland and resources, although separating theserights may complicate already complex and often insecure, i.e. de facto open access,property rights arrangements in many tropical forest areas (Sunderlin et al., 2009).

4 Under the CDM temporary credits are issued, which must be renewed or replacedby permanent credits after their expiry. Temporary crediting, however, limitsfungibility because credits need to be replaced when they expire unlike normal,permanent carbon credits (Neeff and Ascui, 2009).

5 Neeff and Ascui (2009) assess the potential availability of funding for REDD+according to a range of proposed institutional frameworks. They conclude that aregulatory (as opposed to voluntary) commitment at the global scale and with someinvolvement of carbon markets (thus potentially creating fungible credits and not justrelying on funds alone), would be needed for a REDD+ mechanism to achieveemissions reductions on a globally-significant scale. There is also the possibility for thedomestic trading of REDD+ credits in countries such as Brazil (I thank one of thereviewers for highlighting this point).

While an international system has yet to emerge, there are anumber of bilateral transactions occurring at that level, for example,between Norway and respectively, Brazil, Guyana, and Indonesia6,along with numerous project-level pilot programmes (see Sills et al.,2009). However, irrespective of the level at which transactions andpolicy take place, REDD+ credits require the creation of propertyrights that relate to the reduction of emissions and sequestrationpotential of a particular activity (Streck, 2009). As noted rightsholders could be national governments at the first tier but could alsobe individual landowners, farmers, communities or concessionaires(hereafter termed ‘individuals’) at the second tier who can then tradethese rights as carbon credits.

And what of liability for carbon reversal from deforestation? Asnoted in the Introduction, carbon credit buyer liability (and hence thepossibility of being sanctioned) under the CDM resulted from theconstraint of only buyers having national commitments in emissionsreductions. In a future international REDD+ system, liability couldpotentially be shared between REDD+ host governments andgovernment buyers, which is more likely if the former assumeemissions targets say in a post-2012 cap-and-trade system (Eliasch,2008). While this is by nomeans certain to happen, liability could alsobe assigned to REDD+ host governments more implicitly, forexample, within bilateral contracts, or with the adoption ofapproaches such as ‘compensated reductions’. Developed by theEnvironmental Defense Fund and the Instituto de Pesquisa Ambientalda Amazônia (IPAM), it proposes that non-permanence in one period,i.e. the inability of a REDD+host country to meet an agreed emissionstarget against a historical reference point, could be punished by beingrolled into the next as an additional commitment (see Santilli et al.,2005). Thus, liability for non-permanence would rest, at leastpartially, with a country such as Brazil or Indonesia.

At the national level, it should therefore be possible to bring REDD+host countries on board with regards to sharing liability for non-permanence. At this level, particularly if countries adopt a nestedapproach, there is a wide range of policy options which REDD+ hostcountries could potentially adopt in order to operationalise REDD+.

3. Policy Options Under REDD+

Policies for REDD+ could be designed on the basis of maintainingchanges in emissions or carbon stocks against some agreed referencelevel. Broadly speaking, policies either address the drivers ofdeforestation, e.g. by reducing agricultural profitability, increasecarbon values of standing forest and enable forest users to capturethese, e.g. using payments for environmental services (PES), orregulate land use (Angelsen, 2009). Some of these policies, e.g.regulation, could, if effective, lead to the creation of REDD+ credits tobe held by governments. Others such as PES, involving ground-levelactivities or projects could involve the creation of REDD+ credits to beheld by individuals.7

Cross-sectoral policies, including institutional reforms, are alsonecessary, first to ensure that the forest sector is not targeted inisolation and second, to complement other policies.8 For example,corruption and rent-seeking are widespread in the natural-resourcesectors of many tropical forest countries (see Palmer, 2005). Indeed,

6 For example, the Norwegian government has committed to providing almost US$1 billion to Brazil's Amazon Fund over 10 years (Moutinho et al., 2009; Tollefson,2009). Note that Norway is not using this contract to offset its own emissions,although if it were then Norway would have to bear losses in case of Brazilian non-compliance with the contract and obtain compensatory credits elsewhere.

7 While defined as a ‘project-based’ approach, this refers to scale of activity ratherthan level of governance since many PES schemes are in fact established at thenational level, e.g. pagos por servicios ambientales (PSA) in Costa Rica (see Pagiola,2008).

8 Note that cross-sectoral policies do not tackle the underlying demand foragricultural and forest products except where they, in the absence of leakage, mightlead to output price increases thus dampening demand.

Page 3: Property rights and liability for deforestation under REDD+: Implications for ‘permanence’ in policy design

Table 1Policy approaches, carbon credit holders and liability for deforestation under REDD+.Source: Author.

REDD+ policy approach Carbon creditholder

Permanence strategies Relative degree of separationbetween carbon credit holderand liability for carbon reversal

Need for separate REDD+compensation mechanism

Types Examples

Institutional reform Improving law enforcement, governance Government(national orregional)

Temporary crediting,risk pooling, creditbuffers, insurance,shared liability

Lower NoRegulation of land use Protected areas, land zoning Yes/noReduce price receivedfor output producedfrom deforestationactivity

Taxes and export tariffs on agriculturaloutput or forest products, cessation ofroad-building programmes

Yes/no

Increase cost of inputsto deforestationactivities

Reduction or elimination of subsidies foragricultural capital, and credit subsidiesfor land clearance

No

Increase in value of and opportunitiesfor labour off-farm

No

Reduce cost ofalternative to forest asinput to deforestationactivity

Provision of alternative energy supplies,alternative timber supplies and otherforest products, agricultural extension

No

Increase carbon value ofstanding forest

Payments for environmental services Landowners,farmers,communities,concessionaires

Temporary crediting,risk pooling, creditbuffers, insurance,(shared liability)

Higher NoJoint production activities (e.g. eco-tourism, ICDPs, Reduced-Impact Loggingand certified timber)

No

9 For example, the Asian Development Bank funded an extensive project of

573C. Palmer / Ecological Economics 70 (2011) 571–576

the recent finding that government officials in Liberia were bribed bycarbon investors to secure carbon rights to a forest concession atbelow-market values suggests that corruption is already playing anunwelcome role in REDD+ policy (Financial Times, 2010). Initiativesto improve governance are therefore necessary to tackle possibleabuses of the system.

Table 1 lists potential REDD+ policies that might be deployed inorder of the relative degree of separation between the carbon rightsholder andwhere liability could lie in the event of carbon reversal. Thefirstfive rowsof policies at the top of the table have the smallest degreeof separation, and can only be implemented at the national or regionallevel with carbon rights created by and allocated to the REDD+ hostgovernment.With these policies, liability could also be assigned to thegovernment, i.e. the same entity responsible for creating REDD+credits. Thus, the REDD+ carbon rights holder of the first degreewould held liable for their permanence. If the REDD+ host countrydecides to participate in a future international carbon market or avoluntary, bilateral initiative, it could sell REDD+ credits to anothercountry while still being held liable should carbon reversal occur.

Policies contained in the bottom row of Table 1, including PES,would have rights allocated to individuals, and can only be deployedusing either a project-based or nested approach. For these policies,assigning liability in the event of carbon reversal is more problematic.If a REDD+ system is based on the idea of states and not individualsbeing held liable for permanence, then the former would need todevolve liability to the latter for otherwise an individual as the carbonrights holder could sell REDD+ credits without being held responsiblefor any losses. The REDD+ credit buyer, which in a two-tier systemcould be the REDD+ host government, would instead be held liableanalogous to Annex I countries participating in the CDM. As discussedbelow, however, devolving liability might be constrained undercertain conditions. That said, policies utilising government-assignedREDD+ rights are more likely to be considered and implemented inthe short-run than those that involve the creation of rights forindividuals. Hence, these are discussed first before moving to aconsideration of the implications of liability for REDD+ permanencefor policies utilising individually-assigned rights.

community mapping of customary territories inside Lore Lindu National Park inIndonesia between 1998 and 2003 (see Mappatoba, 2004).10 Attempting to reform destructive subsidy regimes is often politically difficult,particularly if they have been used to enhance rural development in the past. Vestedinterests that have previously benefited from government largesse may lobby tomaintain the status quo. Such reform also needs to be sufficiently broad enough interms of activities or areas affected in order to prevent carbon leakage.

3.1. Policies Utilising Government-Assigned REDD+ Rights

A country could receive REDD+ incentives in the form of tradablecarbon without needing to pass these rights on to individuals holding

entitlement over forest resources (Streck, 2009). Governmentsholding rights can then implement a range of policies whilepotentially holding liability for carbon reversals. From Table 1, policiesinclude raising the costs of inputs to deforestation activities andreducing the value of output from these activities, to regulating landuse, and improving law enforcement. Although carbon rights do nothave to be assigned at an individual level, some of these policies mayrequire knowledge of pre-existing property rights to the benefits offorest land and use. This is to enable effective policy targetingof individuals most likely to lose their benefits as a consequence ofREDD+policy implementation. Equitable compensationmechanisms,financed with REDD+ monies received by governments, should thenbe designed to compensate these individuals for lost earnings andincome from deforestation activities deemed legal or at least‘legitimate’, e.g. where pre-existing rights are not formalised.

Policies requiring compensation for curtailing pre-existing rightscould include some of those in which participation by individuals isinvoluntary. For example, regulatory approaches such the creation ofnewprotected areas, asobserved inBrazil (Nepstadet al., 2009), but alsothe withdrawal of permits from firms planning to develop forest areas.The challenge then is for governments to ensure that it can identifywhowould have the right to be compensated. Where the pre-existing rightsto forest benefits are unclear, there are risks for individuals. For example,creating new protected areas may exclude farmers or communities ifthey prove to be effective. Processes such as community forestmappingare therefore needed to account for pre-existing rights beforeimplementing a compensation programme.9 These should form partof the ‘readiness’ phase of REDD+ implementation in countries whereproperty rights to forest resources are unclear and/or not formalised.

Important policy options not requiring compensation include theelimination of subsidies for inputs10, measures to improve lawenforcement and preventing new road-building in forest areas.Regarding the latter, roads provide easier access to forest areas whilereducing costs of transporting products to market. Compensation may,

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12 The widespread existence of common property regimes in tropical forest areas(see Agrawal et al., 2008) implies that serious consideration be given to the creation ofcommon property carbon rights.13 Missing or constrained markets for land and other inputs, such as for credit andcapital are widespread in developing countries (Groom and Palmer, 2010). Identifying

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however, be justifiedwith closing existing roads and notwhen trying toprevent new road-building. Improving law enforcement involvesgovernments strengthening their de jure rights to keep forest standing,for example, by improving legal systems and the monitoring ofindividual compliance with the law. But in situations of weak propertyrights such as in Indonesia there is a need to consider de facto propertyrights claims (Engel et al., 2006; Engel and Palmer, 2008). Instead ofstrengthening their own de jure rights, governments could alternativelyseek to improve individual compliance with existing land-use restric-tions, i.e. limiting deforestation, via the payment of subsidies toindividuals (see e.g. Wunder, 2009). Subsidies could either representcompensation to an individual who chooses to forgo his de factoproperty rights to forest conversion, or a payment for the individual'sforest carbon credits.11 Unlike the former, the latter would require thecreation of de jure forest carbon property rights at the individual level(see below). In either case, policy participation would be voluntaryin contrast to say the withdrawal of forest conversion permits bygovernments.

Other policies in which governments hold carbon credits can becharacterised as being voluntary. Increasing agricultural productivity,for example, could involve the targeting of REDD+ monies towardsmarketing and agricultural extension programmes (Rudel, 2009).Similarly, REDD+ could subsidise alternative energy sources forindividuals who harvest forests for biomass energy or could beutilised to increase the scope and value of their off-farm labouropportunities. But identifying appropriate and sustainable alterna-tives has to contend with missing and constrained markets includingthose for forest products and land, potentially raising the transactionscosts of policy implementation (Groom and Palmer, 2010). Never-theless, the voluntary nature of these policies, also a characteristic ofPES and joint-production activities, implies that resources do not haveto be directed towards implementing and managing compensationschemes.

3.2. Policies Utilising Individually-Assigned REDD+ Rights

Should a country authorise individuals to participate in carbontrading then title over the carbon rights needs to be established,which requires a clear legislative framework defining principles ofownership for emission reductions. The creation of new carbon rightswill also affect the rights of those already using forest resources evenwhere these are ill-defined or informal. One widely-discussed policyinstrument that utilises individually-created property rights is PES.This can be conceptualised as a voluntary direct incentive toindividuals to reduce deforestation, and increase carbon stocks(Wunder, 2009).

Increasing forest carbon values and enabling their capture can alsobe undertaken via the joint production of private and public goods,e.g. reduced-impact logging and eco-tourism (Ferraro and Kiss, 2002).Unlike PES for REDD+ these activities benefit from relatively maturemarkets where property rights for ‘sustainable forest use’ are alreadybeing traded. Forest carbon rights would still need to be established,although these could be potentially bundled with existing rights. Jointproducts could be marketed as ‘REDD+ friendly’ and priced at ahigher premium than usual. One limitation is that the market demandfor such products may only account for a small proportion of thepotential demand for REDD+ carbon. Markets also need to beidentified in which consumers are willing to pay price premiums forsustainable production, which might be problematic. For example,

11 The type and size of such a subsidy depends on whether it represents acompensation to the landowner for forgoing the profits from deforestation or anincentive payment for enabling the capture of the forest carbon externality. These willnot necessarily be equivalent, although both would to some extent represent arecognition of an individual's de facto claims to the standing forest. Subsidies might,however, be more effective if accompanied by steps to formalise individuals' pre-existing de facto rights to forest conversion.

while markets for certified timber have grown rapidly in recent yearsthere is, in fact, relatively little evidence that buyers are willing to payhigher prices for certified wood products over extended periods oftime (UNECE, 2006). Alternatively, additional REDD+ paymentscould be made to participants.

Clearly-defined and enforced property rights to forest land andresources are a precondition both for effective implementation of PESand joint-production activities, which will not hold in many REDD+host countries (Streck, 2009; Sunderlin et al., 2009). For example,clearer and better-enforced community forest rights in Papua NewGuinea might have made it more difficult for this country'sgovernment to weaken them further with recent legislation to protectresource-extraction firms from litigation in the event of environmen-tal damages on community-owned land (Mongabay, 2010). Essen-tially a state capture of property rights from local people, this type oflegislation weakens the ability of non-government actors to hold suchfirms liable should they deforest any land included in a REDD+programme. In doing so, REDD+permanencemay bemore difficult toensure.

Unclear or contested tenure implies that these policies will notonly struggle to be effective but may also struggle to be efficient orequitable. While rights do not need to be either individual12 or fullyformalised to secure participation in trading systems, the project-based approach will favour those with formalised rights (Vatn andAngelsen, 2009). Attempts to clarify tenure and enforce propertyrights via institutional reform will inevitably increase policy (transac-tions) costs.13 Formalising and enforcing rights, if effective, may alsoexclude the poor, i.e. those least likely to hold de facto rights to landand forest resources, from access to both REDD+ and forest-usebenefits.

The poor, particularly those with relatively few assets, are also lesslikely to participate in project-level activities if liability for carbonreversal is devolved from the government to the individual. Yetincentives at the individual-seller level, whether a local community orconcessionaire, are needed to ensure permanence. Contracts betweengovernments, e.g. as a REDD+ credit buyer, and individuals wouldfirst need to incentivise due care, e.g. to minimise the risk of naturalhazards such as fires, and second, prevent opportunistic forestconversion by individuals. But enrolling poorer individuals in aREDD+ scheme implies limited liability in contracts. In practice, thiscould mean the exclusion of disincentives to deforest, such assanctions, from contracts in order to ensure incentive compatibility,i.e. to ensure that poorer individuals actually participate. Liabilitycouldwell be further reducedwhere there are problems of incompletecontract enforcement, a not uncommon situation in some REDD+host countries (see MacKenzie et al., 2010).

While conditional benefits should be offered to individuals,conditionality simply means that they only lose the right to futurepayments with buyers bearing the cost of possible carbon losses to theatmosphere.14 Credit buffers, risk pools and insurance allow for somemitigation of risk. Yet property rights still need to be clearly definedand allocated for these strategies to be effective. For example, sinceone of the principles of insurance is that one can only insure what oneowns, it will only be effective if buyers have purchased clearly-defined

and overcoming these, along with the need to monitor, verify and reward emissionsreductions at the individual level, will further increase costs as will the implementa-tion of a national framework to minimise the risk of carbon leakage from project-levelactivities.14 If payments are only made at the end of a monitoring period, for instance, thebuyer could withhold the following payment but would not be in a legal position toclaim back any payments made in previous monitoring periods unless some liabilityhas been assigned to the seller.

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REDD+ rights. However, in the absence of assigning liability forcarbon reversal such strategies do not give direct incentives toindividuals to protect forest carbon rights.15

4. Conclusion

A range of policies could be implemented for REDD+, with a two-tiered (or nested) accounting approach providing greatest flexibilityfor policy makers. While none of the policies detailed in thiscommentary are particularly new or innovative, REDD+ couldpotentially provide more financial investment for forest conservationand rehabilitation than has ever been seen in the past. For REDD+ toprovide more permanent climate benefits, however, policy designfirst requires the creation and allocation of new forest carbon propertyrights. In doing so, there is a need to assign liability in the event ofcarbon reversal from deforestation. Since international climate policy,potentially including REDD+, tends to be agreed and implemented bynational governments, states will ultimately be held liable formaintaining emissions reductions below pre-agreed reference levels.If found liable, credible sanctioning mechanisms are required. Afailure to implement such a system in an effective and equitablemanner may contribute to a lack of permanence while givingdisincentives to further financial investment in REDD+. Note thatassigning liability is only an issue for carbon credit fungibility wherecredits are traded in carbon markets. Nevertheless, even voluntaryarrangements need liability assigned in such a way as to reduceincentives to deforest.

The liability problem is most acute for project-level activities. Ifindividuals, particularly the poor, cannot be directly sanctioned fordeforestation instead only having their future benefit streamsremoved, e.g. those supplied from PES, then there may be higherrisks of non-permanence. Policy innovation, perhaps in the form of apolicy mix, is necessary to somehow implicitly share liability betweenthe state and individuals. For example, a co-management framework,in which state authorities and individuals share both themanagementof and the benefits from forest resources (Carlsson and Berkes, 2005),could be combined with REDD+ payments. This would first requirethe incorporation of individually-assigned REDD+ rights into pre-existing property rights frameworks. REDD+ payments could then bepaid to local actors as an incentive to protect more forest than wouldotherwise be protected in a co-management scheme alone.16 Inretaining liability for permanent REDD+, the state would have anincentive to carefully monitor and enforce contracts. Violations byindividuals could be penalised through the withdrawal of some oftheir forest-use rights institutionalised under co-management inaddition to the curtailment of REDD+ payments. Thus, in the event ofnon-permanence, an enforced reduction in local forest uses mightensure that the government maintains emissions reductions belowthe national reference level.

Individually-assigned carbon rights in projects will play arelatively minor role in REDD+ policy in the short-run. Instead,national-level initiatives are likely to dominate with liability poten-tially being taken on by REDD+ host governments. While thesepreclude the need to establish carbon rights for individuals, pre-existing property rights to forest land and resources may need to beconsidered for some regulatory instruments such as protected areas.

15 These strategies are often embedded in carbon standards used to verify offsetquality, which tend to be reflected in the credit price. Risk pooling may, however, besubject to intentional carbon reversals, i.e. due to strategic behaviour by sellers. Onesolution is the system established by the Voluntary Carbon Standard (VCS) in whichcredits stored in a project risk buffer can be sold ex post (VCS, 2008). Analogous toperformance bonds, this approach provides incentives to project owners to implementpermanence measures, e.g. to prevent forest fires. However, note that the ‘projectowners’ may not be the same people who actually participate in the project.16 This naturally requires knowledge of local reference levels for deforestation andforest degradation (see Engel et al., 2010).

Knowledge of these are required for possible compensation toaffected individuals in the event of negative impacts from policyimplementation. Again, policy innovation is necessary. For example,protected areas can go hand-in-hand with integrated conservationand development projects (ICDPs) with the latter providing alterna-tive income streams for those excluded from forest areas (Brandonand Wells, 2009). In establishing such schemes, property rights couldbe mapped with compensation paid out from government REDD+funds ex post.

Acknowledgements

The writing of this commentary has benefited from useful discus-sions and comments from Saraly Andrade de Sa, Jan Börner, MarkusOhndorf, and Sven Wunder, along with a number of insightfulcomments and suggestions made by the two anonymous reviewers.

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