presented by: the northern trust company fran wawrzyniak, ctp june 7, 2012
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Windy City Summit CTP Review Chapter 12. Service. Expertise. Integrity. Presented by: The Northern Trust Company Fran Wawrzyniak, CTP June 7, 2012. Chapter 12. Capital Markets Fran Wawrzyniak , CTP. Studying for this Chapter. There are 7-9 questions on the exam from this chapter - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
© 2012 Northern Trust Corporation
Presented by: The Northern Trust CompanyFran Wawrzyniak, CTP June 7, 2012
Windy City Summit CTP Review
Chapter 12
Service Expertise Integrity
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Chapter 12
Capital Markets
Fran Wawrzyniak, CTP
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Studying for this Chapter
There are 7-9 questions on the exam from this chapterUnderstand debt vs. equity financing and key componentsCAPM calculationValuation of Long-Term Securities
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Overview of Capital Markets
Two Basic Segments:Debt – bond securities and loansEquity – common and preferred stock
Market Basics Money Markets – maturities of 1 year or lessCapital Markets – maturities greater than 1 year
Majority Long-term debt (bonds), equity securities (stock) Equity instruments have no fixed maturity date Equity instruments cease to exist when issuing firm does
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Overview of Capital Markets
Key Market ParticipantsIssuers of securities
Central Banks (debt securities) Corporations (debt and equity securities) Government-Sponsored Enterprises – GSEs (debt securities) Municipalities (debt securities) Mutual Fund Cos. (debt and equity securities)
Investors Represent the demand side of the markets Purchase and hold securities
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Overview of Capital Markets
Investment Banking and Brokerage Firms“Middlemen” to complete transactionsInvestment bankers – assist issuers in design and placement of
issuancesOrigination desks – evaluate, price and manage placementSecurities traders – maintain secondary markets for equity and debt
instruments Regulators Other Participants
Rating agencies (Chapter 13), attorneys, printing companies and data service providers
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Division of Capital Markets
Primary •Offer newly issued debt/equity•New issues increase stock outstanding or indebtedness
Secondary •Trade existing debt/equity •Established exchanges – physical location with trading hours•OTC markets – electronic interchange•Once a security is issued in the primary market, any subsequent trades happen in the secondary market
Private •Direct placement sold to limited number of investors•May be exempt from registration with SEC•Lower cost, less restrictive, quicker
Overview of Capital Markets
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Debt Financing
Medium- and Long-Term Borrowing Term Loan
Fixed maturity, term greater than 1 year Paid in single payment or installments Usually for a specific purpose Secured by asset being financed and term is tied to asset’s useful
life Illiquid
Medium- or Intermediate-Term Notes Terms from 2-10 years Payments are interest only Marketable securities
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Long-Term BondsTerms of 10-30 yearsMost are coupon bonds with regular interest payments at fixed
(coupon) rate Indenture = contract
Describes bond issue Lists collateral Specifies covenants States terms Sets schedule of payments, maturity and provisions Multiple types:
Debt Financing
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Debt Financing
Long-Term Bonds Mortgage Bonds
Include substantial covenants· Assets· Right to issue additional bonds· Use of junior mortgages· Sinking-funds· Reporting requirements· Restrictions of key fin’l ratios· Prepayment terms· Dividend policy
Unsecured (Debenture) Bonds Claims against assets or cash flows Based on issuer reputation Treasury, corporate or municipal
Convertible Bonds Debt securities that can be
converted into stock Stock Purchase Warrants
Options to buy stock at stated price until stated date
Can be traded in the market Municipal Bonds
General obligation paid from tax revenue
Revenue bonds paid from revenue of public project (stadium)
Zero-Coupon Bonds No cash value until maturity
High-Yield Bonds
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Debt Financing
Other Bonds
Income •Pay interest only if company has profit
Collateral Trust •Backed by securities of other companies owned by issuer
Equipment Trust •Secured by movable equipment
Index •Interest rate tied to an economic index
Economic Development
•Issued by underdeveloped countries or organizations like IMF (International Monetary Fund).
Tax Increment (TIF) •Used for local financing•All or portion of property taxes provide financing
Tender Option •Bondholder can redeem bond once over term or on a specific date•Redemption at par value
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Debt Financing International Bond Market
Foreign Bonds - Sold in a particular country by foreign borrower, denominated in currency of country of issue and regulated by country of issue
Eurobonds Sold in many countries outside of country of borrower and issued by
international syndicate Bond denominated in USD $ issued in India by a UK company Issuers can choose country with preferred regulatory rules
Global Bonds - Sold in and out of borrowers country, typically offered in major currency
Multicurrency Bonds Issued as currency options which allow investors to choose from select
currencies Currency cocktail bonds that are denominated in standard basket of
several currencies
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Debt Financing Other Forms of Debt Capital
Floating- (Adjustable-) Rate Debit Stable market value, matches current rates Take advantage of falling rates, match debt maturity to asset maturity
Project Financing Large projects such as power plants, stadiums Complex structure Lenders paid from project cash flows
Securitization Accounts receivable/inventory serve as collateral “Mortgage Backed Securities”
Off-Balance Sheet Financing Joint ventures, factoring, operating leases ASC Topic 840-10-15 (Chapter 13)
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Debt Financing Debt Contract Provisions
Bond Indentures and Covenants Indenture = contract to protect bondholders from risk or increase
value of equity holders Violation can make debit immediately due
Representations and Warranties Existing conditions at the time the loan agreement is executed
Events of Default Caused by breach of terms or conditions of debit agreement
MAC Clause (Material Adverse Change) Lets lender refuse funding or declare default if a MAC has
occurred
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Debt Contract ProvisionsCall Provision
Issuer has right to call issue for redemption prior to maturity Valuable since issue can be redeemed if interest rates fall or other
financing becomes attractiveSinking Fund
Bonds are not amortized and a lump sum is due at maturity Requires company to repurchase portion of outstanding issue
each year, effectually amortizing itRefinancing Defeasance of Debt
Removes debt from balance sheet without retiring the issue Borrower places funds in escrow guaranteeing debt
Debt Financing
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Debt Contract ProvisionsPromissory NoteCollateral Liens
Lender has legal claim on assets used as collateral Lenders search liens of potential borrower to ensure collateral is
available to pledge
Debt Financing
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Debt Financing Other Factors
Credit Enhancements – reduces credit/default risk of debit, improving credit rating and lowering interest rates. Common form is Guarantee.
Guarantees Full – Party agrees to take over loan if borrower defaults Specific Project – Guarantee of loans related only to a specific project,
rather than all loans of borrower Guarantee of Payment or Collection - guarantee of payment on loan or
collection of payment if default Comfort Letter – not legally enforceable Performance
· Full – parent guarantees performance of sub· Best Efforts – Parents agrees to use best effort to get sub to
perform Personal – owner will personally repay loan of company
Bond Ratings – reflect default probability of bond issuer
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Other Factors Capital Structure Considerations – Target capital structure = best mix
of L/T debt and equity to finance firmMaturity Matching – match life of debt to life of asset financedEffects of Interest Rates and Forecasts –
General level impacts use and cost of debt Forecast impacts type of capital and provisions
Availability of Collateral – companies with large asset bases which can be used as collateral typically borrow at lower rates than other companies with same credit quality that do not.
Debt Financing
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Equity Securities Common Stock - Balance Sheet Accounts
Par Value - arbitrary amount representing minimum shareholders would need to put up in the event of bankruptcy. Usually $1 or $0
Retained Earnings Net earnings of a corporation since inception less dividends paid to
shareholders Accounting entry, not an available pool of funds
Additional Paid-in-Capital (APIC) Difference at issue of par value and issue price
Book Value per Share – common stockholder equity ÷ # shares outstanding Market Value per Share – current trading price of stock Treasury Stock
Stock issued and later reacquired and can be held in treasury, reissued, or retired
No dividends, no votes. Issued , not outstanding
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Equity SecuritiesTypes of Common Stock
Class A and B: Classes used to limit voting rights, dividends, resale, differentiate returns.
Tracking Stock: separate stock created to “track” the finances of a piece of business . Has a unique ticker symbol.
Preferred Stock Major provisions
Stockholders have priority claim to earnings and assets before common Always has par value Dividend is fixed and is accumulated in arrears Can be convertible
Evaluation: steadier income than common, 70% of dividend can be excluded from Federal tax
Particular uses
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Equity Securities Hybrid Securities
Convertibles: Bonds or preferred stock that can be exchanged for common stock
Disadvantages:· Stock price increases, then better off issuing regular debt· Coupon rate lost if bonds converted to stock· If stock price does not increase, then locked into debt issue
Warrants: Company issued options that give owner right to buy stated number of
shares at a specific price for a period of time. Often listed on major exchanges. Represent additional equity for issuer Detachable – can be traded separate from bond Can dilute the stockholder’s equity and EPS
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Equity Securities International Equity Market
Represents ownership of public corporations traded globally Depository Receipts (DRs)
Negotiable instruments that trade on a local exchange that represent stock ownership in a foreign company
Benefits: Increase global trade More opportunity to raise global capital Reduce market inefficiencies
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Managing Capital Market Investments Objectives of Capital Market Investments
Risk preferenceReturn objectives Liquidity needsFuture needs Tax IssuesLegal/regulatory factors
Asset Allocation DecisionMix of fixed income and equity securitiesDepends on objectives for portfolioThe longer the portfolio maturity, the higher tolerance of risk, the
more equity used
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Managing Capital Market Investments Long-Term, Fixed Income Portfolio Management
Duration Measure of risk Weighted average time to receipt al future cash flows for a bond
investment Can provide estimate of how a bond will respond to rate changes Example: If interest rates rise 100 bps or 1%, then the price of a
bond with a duration of 4.0 years will fall by 4%
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Long-Term, Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementInterest Rate Risk
Risk from changes in market value when general level of market rates changes
Higher duration = higher interest rate riskFixed/Floating Ratio
Ratio of fixed rate debt to floating rate debt Too narrow of an indicator to be effective
Foreign Currency Denominated Investments Must consider the fluctuating F/X rats on the overall portfolio Use of derivatives can mitigate risk
Managing Capital Market Investments
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Long-Term, Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementUsing Derivatives – Chapter 9Asset-Liability Management
Issue for portfolio that uses borrowed funds in overall strategy Issue for banks that fund investments with deposits or borrowed
funds – may have a maturity mismatch Equity Portfolio Management
Define and measure investment riskBenefits of diversificationCapital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Managing Capital Market Investments
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Managing Capital Market Investments
CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
rE = rRF + (rM – rRF) βi
rE = Required rate of return on stockholder’s equity
rRF = Expected rate of return on the risk free asset (T-Bill)
rM = Expected rate of return on the market portfolio (S&P 500)
Βi = Beta value for stock i
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Managing Capital Market Investments
CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
Example 1:
Risk free rate of return is 2.0% and expected rate of return on the stock market is 8.0%. Apple Computer has a beta of 1.5.
rE = Expected Rate of Return
rRF =.02
rM = .08
βi = 1.5
rE = rRF + (rM – rRF) βi
= .02 + (.08 - .02)(1.5) = .110 or 11.0%
11.0% is the required rate of return for Apple, which is greater than the rate of return for the market, because Apple is more risky than the market.
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CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
Example 2:
Risk free rate of return is 2.0% and expected rate of return on the stock market is 8.0%. Beta for H.J. Heinz is 0.6
rE = Expected Rate of Return
rRF =.02
rM = .08
βi = .06
rE = rRF + (rM – rRF) βi
= .02 + (.08 - .02)(.06) = .056 or 5.6%
The rate of return on Heinz is less than the market since the risk is less than the market.
Managing Capital Market Investments
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Managing Capital Market Investments Determining Portfolio Risk and Return
Use weighted averages of returns and betas of individual stocks
Example: Portfolio contains 70% Apple stock and 30% Heinz stock.
Portfolio β = (% of Apple stock x Apple β) + (% of Heinz stock x Heinz β)
= (.70 x 1.5) = (.30 x .60) = 1.23
Portfolio Return = (% of Apple Stock x Apple Return) + (% of Heinz stock x Heinz Return) - there was an error in the material
= (0.70 x 0.11) + (0.30 x 0.56) = .0938 or 9.38%
Note: The same return is achieved when using the CAPM of portfolio:
rE = rRF + (rM – rRF) βi
= .02 + (.08 - .02)(1.23) = .0938 or 9.38%
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Valuation of Long-Term Securities The market value of an asset is the present value of the anticipated
future cash flows discounted using a rate equal to the risk. It is calculated using the Present Value formula:
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Valuation of Long-Term Securities Bond or Fixed Income Valuation
YTM – Yield to Maturity – The interest rate the market demands over the remaining life of the bond at a particular point in time
YTC – Yield to Call – the yield the bond would provide if the issuer called it prior to maturity. Typically lower than YTM.
YTW – Yield to Worst – The worst case scenario of possible YTC values calculated, or lowest possible yield without an actual default.
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Valuation of Long-Term Securities Bond or Fixed Income Valuation
Preferred Stock Valuation:
Assume a $50 par value stock pays a 6.6% annual dividend and the market requires an 8.0% return on the stock.
Preferred Stock Dividend = Preferred Stock Dividend Rate x Par Value
= .066 x $50 = $3.30
Price of Preferred Stock = Preferred Stock Annual Dividend Required Rate of Return
= $3.30 / .08 = $41.25
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Valuation of Long-Term Securities
Common Stock ValuationThe price an investor will pay is the present value of the future
dividend stream discounted by the cost of equity:
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Common Stock Valuation (continued) Assumptions must be made about the dividend stream Assume the dividends will grow at a constant rate:
Valuation of Long-Term Securities
Substituting this into the Common Stock Valuation equation results in:
Substitute the next dividend as D1, results in the following reduced equation:
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Valuation of Long-Term Securities
Common Stock Valuation (continued)
Example:
Next Dividend (D0) = $2.00
Estimated growth rate (g) = 6%
Return on stock (ks) = 13%
= $2.00 (1 + .06) = $2.12 = $30.29 (0.13 – 0.06) 0.07
=
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Top 15 Stock Exchanges
Rank Exchange Country1 New York Stock Exchange United States
2 Tokyo Stock Exchange Japan
3 NASDAQ United States
4 Euronext Belgium, France, Netherlands, Portugal
5 London Stock Exchange United Kingdom
6 Shanghai Stock Exchange China
7 Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hong Kong
8 Toronto Stock Exchange Canada
9 BM&F Bovespa Brazil
10 Bombay Stock Exchange India
11 BME Spanish Exchange Spain
12 Frankfurt Stock Exchange Germany
13 Australian Securities Exchange Australia
14 National Stock Exchange of India India
15 SIX Swiss Exchange Switzerland