presentation – 1 q04 results
TRANSCRIPT
Visit our website:
www.braskem.com.br
Presentation of
1Q04 Results
2
This presentation includes forward looking statements. Such information is notmerely based on historical fact but also reflects management’s objectives andexpectations. The words "anticipate", “wish", "expect", “foresee", “intend", "plan","predict", “forecast", “aim" and similar words, written and/or spoken, are intendedto identify affirmations which, necessarily, involve known and unknown risks.
Known risks include uncertainties which include, but are not limited to price and
product competition, market acceptance of products, the actions of competitors,
regulatory approval, currency type and fluctuations, regularity in the sourcing of
raw materials and in operations, among others. This presentation is based on
events up to March 31, 2004 and Braskem is not liable to update the contents in
the light of new information and/or future events.
Braskem takes no responsibility for transactions or investment decisions made on
the basis of information contained in this presentation.
Disclaimer – Forward-Looking Statements
3
Braskem – 1Q04 Highlights
Braskem maintained its market leadership at ~ 40% for PE, PP andPVC resins;
Exports amounted to US$ 133 MM;
EBITDA reached a record level of R$529 MM in 1Q04, with a Marginover Net Revenues of 25%;
Synergies captured totaled R$ 310 MM, or 94% of the estimatedtotal;
Scheduled operating shutdown of the Raw Materials Center II(Aromatics II and Oleofins II) at the Basic Petrochemical Unit inCamaçari, with a duration of 35 days; the next scheduled shutdown isto occur in six years’ time;
Simultaneous scheduled shutdowns at the Polyolefins, Vinyls andBusiness Development Units located both in Camaçari and Alagoasstates;
4
Braskem – 1Q04 Highlights
New products launched: Braskem Symbios® (BOPP) and BraskemFlexus®;
Capital Expenditures: capacity expansion proceeded for both theproduction of PVC (+50 kton/year – new capacity available in the2nd half of 2005) and PP (+100 kton/year; new capacity available inthe 2nd half of 2004);
Trikem was successfully merged into Braskem: “free-float” reached36% and paid in Capital R$ 2.2 Billion;
Re-profiling of Braskem’s debt concluded: short-term debt on 3/31/04was reduced to 32% of total gross debt; Cash & Cash Equivalentssurpassed R$ 2 billion and the net debt/EBITDA ratio was 3.42;
The average price of ARA Naphtha during the period = apprx.US$ 323/ton– about R$ 933/ton (against R$ 1,114/ton in 1Q03);
On 4/1/2004 Board of Directors approved a public offer of aboutR$ 900 MM in new Pref. “A” shares, depending upon marketconditions.
5
Braskem – Industrial Performance
223,271 229,165 (3%)
388,875 382,974 2%
113,049 107,532
163,635 156,688
94,750 103,844
1Q04 (A)
1Q03 (B)
Chg (A)/(B)
Production - Ton
5%
4%
(9%)
ETHYLENE
PP
PE
PVC
Total Thermoplastics
Main Products
Note: Scheduled shutdown for maintenance and inspection at the Camaçari and PVC Alagoas units carried out in 1Q04
6
Average Capacity Utilization
Braskem - Industrial Performance
1Q04Main Products
ETHYLENE
Total Thermoplastics
PP
PE
PVC
94%
82%
81%
71%
85%
1Q03
94%
77%
89%
84%
76%
Note: Scheduled shutdown for maintenance and inspection at the Camaçari and PVC Alagoas units carried out in 1Q04
7
Braskem – Sales Performance
ETHYLENE* (1)
PP
PE
PVC
Total Thermoplastics
212,982
399,165
107,249
164,660
108,811
Main Products 1Q04
230,251
400,568
111,716
164,033
110,679
1Q03
Sales Volume - Tons
Chg(A)/(B)
(7%)
0%
(4%)
0%
(2%)
(A) (B)
(1) In 1Q04, 105,000 tons (49%) were sold /transferred to Braskem’s Business Units. This amount was 102,000
tons in (45%) in 1Q03.
* Scheduled shutdown for maintenance and inspection at the Camaçari and PVC Alagoas units carried out in 1Q04
8
North
America
36%
Europe
20%
Asia
24%
South
America
20%
Braskem - Exports
Exports Market – 1Q04
Exports(US$ Million)
137 133
1Q03 1Q04
-3%
Exports/Net Revenue
(%)
2118
1Q03 1Q04
9
Net Revenue
Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
Net Financial Result (2)
Net Income
1Q031Q04 Var (A/B)(A) (B)(R$ Million)
Gross Margin
2,292
(1,823)
469
450
(87)
131
20%25%
2,141
(1,585)
556
529
(368)
10
(7%)
(13%)
19%
18%
322%
(93%)
-
20%26% -
Operating Income (1) 358393 10%
Operating Margin 16%18% -
Equity Income 2951 76%
Braskem - Income Statement
(2) The impact of the net exchange variation on financial income was a negative R$ 75 million in 1Q04, while it was positive
in 1Q03 by R$ 193 million.
(1) Before financial income
10
Business Units
Braskem - Net Revenue per BUs
R$ Million
1,758
688
575
383
113
383
2,141
(A)
1,819
777
594
329
119
473
2,292
1Q03 (B)
(3%)
(12%)
16%
(5%)
(19%)
(7%)
Chg (A)/(B)
1Q04
(3%)
Domestic Market
Basic Petrochemical
Polyolefins
Vynils
Business Dev.
Exports
Total Net Revenue
Note: Scheduled shutdown for maintenance and inspection at the Camaçari and PVC Alagoas units carried out in 1Q04
11
Braskem – Cost of Goods Sold
COGS 1Q04
R$ 1,585 Million
Other Variable Costs
18.5%
Naphtha65.1%
Others1.2%Services
2.6%
Depreciation5.0%
Wages & Benefits3.0%
Materials1.1%
Electricenergy3.6%
Naphtha price(R$/t)
6,200
6,400
6,600
6,800
7,000
Dez 2002 Mar 2003
1,114
933
300
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1Q03 1Q04
- 16%
12
Braskem – Changes in EBITDA (R$ Million)
1Q03
450
529
Reduction of Prices
187
Fixed and Variable Costs
(19)
OtherOperat.
Rev./Exp.
0
Sales Volume
1Q04
(90)
13
Braskem – Evolution of EBITDA and Operating Income(1)
Operating income (1)
(R$ Million)
(1) Before financial income
EBITDA
(R$ Million)EBITDA
(US$ Million)
1Q03 1Q04
450
529+18%
1Q03 1Q04
129
183+41%
1Q03 1Q04
450
529+18%
1Q03 1Q04
129
183+41%
1Q03 1Q04
358
393+10%
14
129
136
157
159
183
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04
EBITDA EVOLUTION
(US$ million)
450
405
461 461
529
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04
EBITDA EVOLUTION
(R$ million)
Braskem - Steady EBITDA Growth
15
Braskem – Competitive EBITDA Margin
Source: Thomson Financial Investor Relations
* Average EBITDA margins from the following companies : Dow, DuPont, Solvay, Lyondell, Nova Chemicals and GeorgiaGulf based on public earnings data from 1Q04 and 4Q03. In 1Q03 includes Basf, Eastman and Reliance in addition to
those already mentioned, except Nova Chemicals.
EBITDA MarginPetrochemicals (%)
Industry Average (*)
1Q03 1Q04
25
14
20
12
4Q03
18
11
16
Braskem – Participation in Subsidiaries and Affiliated Companies
(R$ Thousand)
Participation in Related CO´s 1Q04 1Q03
Equity Income from Subsidiaries (694) 69
Equity Income from Affiliates 52,089 29,125
. Copesul 38,727 13,964
. Politeno 8,316 10,666
. Petroflex 4,099 4,554
. Other 946 (59)
Foreign Exchange Variation (1,111) 8,210
Other 845 47,716
SubTotal (before amortizations) 51,129 85,121
Amortization of Goodwill (38,186) (65,160)
TOTAL 12,943 19,961
17
Braskem – Consolidation of Depreciation and Amortization
(R$ Thousand)
Depreciations and Amortizations 1Q04 1Q03
1. Depreciation/Amortization
(COGS) 78,499 68,749
2. Amortization of Deffered Assets and
Depreciation of non Operational Assets
(Expenses) 70,515 43,796
3. Amortization of Goodwill
(Participation in Related CO`s) 38,186 65,160
TOTAL (1 + 2 + 3) 187,200 177,706
18
Braskem - Financial Income and FX Rate Effects
* Includes updating of tax provisions, financial expenses with suppliers, mark-to-market and hedge position and others.
R$ Million
Net FX Rate Variation
Net Financial
Income
Financial Expenses
CPMF / IOF / IR
Interest
Interest/Monetary Restatement/Vendor
Others*
FX Rate Variation
Financial Revenues
1Q03
(280)
193
(87)
(36)
(24)
(51)
33
(84)
(286)
(3)
277
1Q04
(75)
(293)
(368)
(414)
(18)
46
43
2
(284)
(35)
(77)
Others 1
Fin. Income before Exchange Rate Variation
0
FX Rate Variation
19
Braskem – Reduction of Financial Leverage with Improving Liquidity Levels
* LTM – last twelve months.
1,085
2,079
Cash, investments and Mkt. Sec. (R$ million)
Dec 2003 Mar 2004
+ 92%
Net Debt/EBITDA (LTM*)
3.52
Dec 2003 Mar 2004
3.42
-3%
20
Braskem – Debt Amortization Schedule
Profile Compatible with Cash Generation and Cash Balance/Investments/Mkt.Sec.
(in R$ million)
16.6%
2005
8.9%
27.2%
9.5%
2006 2007 2008
780
Subordinated debentures, with principal and
interest due in July, 2007, fully subscribed by the
controlling shareholder.
2014
8.6%
Mar/04 to Dec/04
29.1%
Mar/04Cash, Banks
MKTBLE Securities
1,5152,455 1,397 752 802 7292,079
Gross Debt: 8,430
Net Debt: 6,351
21
1. 75 % Financing Not Linkedto ExportsUSD 256 MM
2. 60% Financing Linked to ExportsUSD 150 MM
Total : US$ 406 MM
Braskem — Management of the Exchange Rate Risk
IGP-M
2%
CDI
18%TJLP
14%
66%
US$
Hedge1. Hedge/Investments USD 327 MM
2. Export credits USD 148 MM
Total : US$ 475 MM
POSITION ON 03/31/04
Overhedge : USD 69 MM
0
100
FINANCING LINKED TO EXPORTS
60%
60 %0
100
FINANCING NOT LINKED TO EXPORTS
60%
75 %
Hedge Policy
Level of hedging protection.
Breakdown of Gross Debt by Index (Mar/04)
Trade Finance
18%
22
* LTM – last 12 months.
+18%2,758
-4%
450
529
1Q03 1Q04
2,886
3.52
D = -R$ 121
Dec 2003 Mar 2004
3.42
1Q03 1Q04
1,085
2,079-3%
Dec 2003 Mar 2004
+ 92%
10
1Q03
131
1Q04
10
1Q03
131
1Q04
Gross Revenues (R$ million) EBITDA (R$ million)
Net Income (R$ million)
Net Debt / EBITDA (LTM*)
Evolution of Cash, Banksand Markt. Securities
(R$ million)
Braskem – 1Q04 Performance
23
Braskem – Synergies Captured
* Gains on recurring and annualized bases
Synergies *(R$ Million)
94% of the goal already reached!
Goal = 330
240
Jun/03 Sep/03
260
Dec/03
285
208
Mar/03
(2004)310
Mar/04
24
Petrochemical Cyle: Utilization Rate in the U.S.
Source: Chemical Market Associates Inc. (―CMAI‖)
2003 Main Products
PP
HDPE
PVC
2004* 2005*
LDPE
LLDPE
* Estimated
Data from CMAI from April 20, 2004
81% 86% 88%
92% 94% 96%
89% 91% 93%
81% 87% 90%
87% 91% 94%
25
(Naphtha vs LDPE)
Source: Bloomberg, updated to 04/30/2004
Evolution of LDPE/ Naphtha Prices
100 = January 03, 2003
N aphtha
118
LD P E
139
60
80
100
120
140
160
Jan-0
3
Feb-0
3
Mar-
03
Apr-
03
May-0
3
Jun-0
3
Jul-03
Aug-0
3
Sep-0
3
Oct-
03
Nov-0
3
Dec-0
3
Jan-0
4
Feb-0
4
Mar-
04
Apr-
04
Naphtha LDPE
Petrochemical Cycle : Evolution of International Prices
26
Source: Bloomberg e CMAI, updated to 04/30/2004
Prices in US$/ton
HDPE
840
PP
840
PVC
893
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
Jan-03 Feb-03 M ar-03 Apr-03 M ay-03 Jun-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Apr-04
HDPE - US$ PP - US$ PVC - US$
Petrochemical Cycle : Evolution of International Prices
27
Profitability of the U.S. Petrochemical Industry
Cash Cost Margin
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
19
82
In
dex =
10
0Petrochemical Cycle: Evolution of Margins
Source: Nexant – Chem Systems
10 YEARS7 YEARS
Actual Forecast
9 YEARS
28
Braskem - Value Creation Opportunities
Leader in the Latin American thermoplastics market;
Integrated operations allowing capture of synergies and competitive costs;
Consolidated businesses and superior margins;
Expansion of PVC (+50 kton/year) and PP (+100 kton/year) production capacities being implemented;
Programs in the areas of Innovation and Technology, Business Competitiveness and Supply Chain Management, focused on the creation of value;
Adoption of 100% tag along rights for all shareholders;
Potential of growth in sales volumes and profitability in the upcoming years.
A Brazilian world-class petrochemical company!
Visit our website:
www.braskem.com.br
Presentation of
1Q04 Results