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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings
Lectures by Chris Romero, updated by Erin Barley with contributions from Joan Sharp and Janette Lewis
PowerPoint Lectures for Biology, Eighth Edition
Population EcologyChapter 53Chapter 53
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Overview: Counting Sheep
• A small population of Soay sheep were introduced to Hirta Island in 1932
• They provide an ideal opportunity to study changes in population size on an isolated island with abundant food and no predators
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Figure 53.1 What causes a sheep population to fluctuate in size?
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Concept 53.1: Dynamic biological processes influence population density, dispersion, and demographics
• A population is a group of individuals of a single species living in the same general area
• Population ecology is the study of populations in relation to environment, including environmental influences on density and distribution, age structure, and population size
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Density and Dispersion
• Density is the number of individuals per unit area or volume– Density is the result of an interplay between
processes that add individuals to a population and those that remove individuals
– Immigration is the influx of new individuals from other areas
– Emigration is the movement of individuals out of a population
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Density and Dispersion
• Dispersion is the pattern of spacing among individuals within the boundaries of the population– Clumped: individuals aggregate in patches– Uniform: individuals are evenly distributed
(territoriality)– Random: position of each individual is
independent of other individuals
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Figure 52.3 Patterns of dispersion within a population’s geographic range
(b) Uniform.
(c) Random.
(a) Clumped.
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Density: A Dynamic Perspective
• In most cases, it is impractical or impossible to count all individuals in a population
• Sampling techniques can be used to estimate densities and total population sizes
• Population size can be estimated by either extrapolation from small samples, an index of population size, or the mark-recapture method
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APPLICATION
Hector’s dolphins
Figure 53.2 Determining population size using the mark-recapture method
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Births
Births and immigrationadd individuals toa population.
Immigration
Deaths and emigrationremove individualsfrom a population.
Deaths
Emigration
Figure 53.3 Population dynamics
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Demographics
• Demography is the study of the vital statistics of a population and how they change over time– Death rates and birth rates are of particular
interest to demographers
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Life Tables
• A life table is an age-specific summary of the survival pattern of a population– It is best made by following the fate of a cohort,
a group of individuals of the same age– The life table of Belding’s ground squirrels
reveals many things about this population
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Survivorship Curves
• A survivorship curve is a graphic way of representing the data in a life table– The survivorship curve for Belding’s ground
squirrels shows a relatively constant death rate
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Age (years)20 4 86
10
101
1,000
100
Num
ber o
f sur
vivo
rs (l
og s
cale
)
Males
Females
Figure 53.5 Survivorship curves for male and female Belding’s ground squirrels
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Survivorship Curves
• Survivorship curves can be classified into three general types:
– Type I: low death rates during early and middle life, then an increase among older age groups. (Humans, large mammals)
– Type II: the death rate is constant over the organism’s life span. (Squirrels)
– Type III: high death rates for the young, then a slower death rate for survivors. (Fish, clams, insects)
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1,000
100
10
10 50 100
II
III
Percentage of maximum life span
Num
ber o
f sur
vivo
rs (l
og s
cale
)
I
Figure 53.6 Idealized survivorship curves: Types I, II, and III
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Concept 53.2: Life history traits are “products of natural selection”
• An organism’s life history comprises the traits that affect its schedule of reproduction and survival:
– The age at which reproduction begins
– How often the organism reproduces
– How many offspring are produced during each reproductive cycle
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Life History Diversity
• Life histories are very diverse, two contrasting types: 1. Species that exhibit semelparity, or big-bang
reproduction, reproduce once and die • Examples: salmon, agave plant
2. Species that exhibit iteroparity, or repeated reproduction, produce offspring repeatedly
• Highly variable or unpredictable environments likely favor big-bang reproduction, while dependable environments may favor repeated reproduction
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Concept 53.3: The exponential model describes population growth in an idealized, unlimited environment
• Exponential population growth model– It is useful to study population growth in an
idealized situation– Idealized situations help us understand the
capacity of species to increase and the conditions that may facilitate this growth
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Per Capita Rate of Increase
• Population growth rate = Per capita rate of increase– If immigration and emigration are ignored, a
population’s growth rate equals birth rate minus death rate during a time interval
– N = population size r = b – d
N
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Per Capita Growth Rate
• For a population sample size of 1000 (N = 1000) there were 60 births and 10 deaths over a one year period. What is the growth rate?
A. .5 per individual per yearB. .05 per individual per yearC. .005 per individual per year
60-10/1000 = .05
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Population Growth Rate
• Per capita birth and death rates– The average # of birth (b) or deaths (m for
mortality) per individual per unit time– If there are 34 births per year in a population of
1000, • b = 0.034
– If the death rate in a population is 16 deaths per year, • m= 0.016
– Zero population growth occurs when the birth rate equals the death rate
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• Most ecologists use differential calculus to express population growth as growth rate at a particular instant in time:– per capita birth rate - per capita death rate =
rN: per capita rate of change in a population size
ΔNΔt = rN
where N = population size, t = time, and r = per capita rate of increase = birth – death
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Exponential Growth
• Exponential population growth is population increase under idealized conditions– Under these conditions, the rate of reproduction
is at its maximum, called the intrinsic rate of increase
– Equation of exponential population growth:
dNdt = rmaxN
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0 5 10 150
500
1,000
1,500
2,0001.0N=dN
dt
0.5N=dNdt
Popu
latio
n si
ze (N
)
Figure 53.10 Exponential Population Growth
• Exponential population growth results in a J-shaped curve
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Exponential Population Growth Model
• Populations with a high rN (per capita rate of increase) will have a steeper J-shaped curve than ones with a lower value
• The J-shaped curve of exponential growth characterizes some rebounding populations
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8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
01920 1940 1960 1980
Year
Elep
hant
pop
ulat
ion
1900
Figure 53.11 Exponential growth in the African elephant population of Kruger National Park
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Concept 53.4: The logistic model describes how a population grows more slowly as it nears its carrying capacity (K)• The logistical growth model
– Exponential growth cannot be sustained for long in any population
– A more realistic population model limits growth by incorporating carrying capacity
– Carrying capacity (K) is the maximum population size the environment can support• Influenced by many factors such as: available
water and food, predators, soil nutrients, suitable nesting sites
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The Logistic Growth Model
• In the logistic population growth model, the per capita rate of increase declines as carrying capacity is reached– We construct the logistic model by starting with the
exponential model and adding an expression that reduces per capita rate of increase as N approaches K
dNdt = (K − N)
Krmax N
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2,000
1,500
1,000
500
00 5 10 15
Number of generations
Popu
latio
n si
ze (N
)
Exponentialgrowth
1.0N=dNdt
1.0N=dNdt
K = 1,500
Logistic growth1,500 – N
1,500
Population growth predicted by the logistic model
• The logistic model of population growth produces a sigmoid (S-shaped) curve
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The Logistic Model and Real Populations
• The growth of laboratory populations of paramecia fits an S-shaped curve if the experimenter maintains a constant environment.
1,000
800
600
400
200
00 5 10 15
Time (days)Num
ber o
f Par
amec
ium
/mL
A Paramecium population in the lab
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The Logistic Model and Real Populations
• Some populations overshoot K before settling down to a relatively stable density
Num
ber o
f Dap
hnia
/50
mL
0
30
6090
180
150
120
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160Time (days)
(b) A Daphnia population in the lab
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The Logistic Model and Real Populations
• Some populations fluctuate greatly and make it difficult to define K– Some populations have regular cycles of boom
and bust– Some populations show an Allee effect, in which
individuals have a more difficult time surviving or reproducing if the population size is too small
– The logistic model fits few real populations but is useful for estimating possible growth
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The Logistic Model and Real Populations
• Some populations fluctuate greatly
around K: not well described by
the logisticalmodel 0
80
60
40
20
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Time (years)N
umbe
r off
emal
es
(c) A song sparrow population in its natural habitat. The population of female song sparrows nesting on Mandarte Island, British Columbia, is periodically reduced by severe winter weather, and population growth is not well described by the logistic model.
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The Logistic Model and Real Populations• Many populations undergo regular boom-and-
bust cycles
Figure 52.21 Year1850 1875 1900 1925
0
40
80
120
160
0
3
6
9
Lynx
pop
ulat
ion
size
(th
ousa
nds)
Har
e po
pula
tion
size
(th
ousa
nds)
Lynx
Snowshoe hare
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Figure 53.14 White rhinoceros mother and calf
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The Logistic Model and Life Histories
• Life history traits favored by natural selection may vary with population density and environmental conditions– K-selection, or density-dependent selection,
selects for life history traits that are sensitive to population density
– r-selection, or density-independent selection, selects for life history traits that maximize reproduction
– The concepts of K-selection and r-selection are somewhat controversial and have been criticized by ecologists as oversimplifications
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Concept 53.5: Many factors that regulate population growth are density dependent
• There are two general questions about regulation of population growth:– What environmental factors stop a population
from growing indefinitely?– Why do some populations show radical
fluctuations in size over time, while others remain stable?
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Population Change and Population Density
• In density-independent populations, birth rate and death rate do not change with population density
• In density-dependent populations, birth rates fall and death rates rise with population density
Fig. 53-15
(a) Both birth rate and death rate vary.
Population density
Density-dependentbirth rate
Equilibriumdensity
Density-dependentdeath rate
Birt
h or
dea
th ra
tepe
r cap
ita
(b) Birth rate varies; death rate is constant.
Population density
Density-dependentbirth rate
Equilibriumdensity
Density-independentdeath rate
(c) Death rate varies; birth rate is constant.
Population density
Density-dependentdeath rate
Equilibriumdensity
Density-independentbirth rate
Birt
h or
dea
th ra
tepe
r cap
ita
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Density-Dependent Population Regulation
• Density-dependent birth and death rates are an example of negative feedback that regulates population growth– They are affected by many factors, such as
competition for resources, territoriality, disease, predation, accumulation of toxic wastes, and intrinsic factors
– Example: Cheetahs are highly territorial, using chemical communication to warn other cheetahs of their boundaries
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Gannets defend their territory by pecking others
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Population Dynamics
• The study of population dynamics focuses on the complex interactions between biotic and abiotic factors that cause variation in population size– Long-term population studies have challenged
the hypothesis that populations of large mammals are relatively stable over time
– Weather can affect population size over time
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Immigration, Emigration, and Metapopulations
• Metapopulations are groups of populations linked by immigration and emigration– High levels of immigration combined with
higher survival can result in greater stability in populations
AlandIslands
EUROPE
Occupied patchUnoccupied patch5 km
˚
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Concept 53.6: The human population is no longer growing exponentially but is still increasing rapidly
• Human population growth– No population can grow indefinitely, and
humans are no exception
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The Global Human Population
• The human population increased relatively slowly until about 1650 and then began to grow exponentially
8000B.C.E.
4000B.C.E.
3000B.C.E.
2000B.C.E.
1000B.C.E.
0 1000C.E.
2000C.E.
0123456
The Plague
Hum
an p
opul
atio
n (b
illio
ns)7
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Human Population Growth Rate
• Though the global population is still growing, the rate of growth began to slow during the 1960s
2005
Projecteddata
Ann
ual p
erce
nt in
crea
se
Year1950 1975 2000 2025 2050
2.22.01.81.61.41.21.00.80.60.40.2
0
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Regional Patterns of Population Change
• To maintain population stability, a regional human population can exist in one of two configurations:– Zero population growth =
High birth rate – High death rate– Zero population growth =
Low birth rate – Low death rate
• The demographic transition is the move from the first state toward the second state
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1750 1800 1900 1950 2000 2050Year
1850
Sweden MexicoBirth rate Birth rate
Death rateDeath rate0
10
20
30
40
50
Birt
h or
dea
th ra
te p
er 1
,000
peo
ple
Figure 53.24 Demographic transition in Sweden and Mexico, 1750–2025 (data as of 2005)
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• The demographic transition is associated with an increase in the quality of health care and improved access to education, especially for women
• Most of the current global population growth is concentrated in developing countries
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Age Structure
• One important demographic factor in present and future growth trends is a country’s age structure– Age structure is the relative number of
individuals at each age– Commonly represented in pyramids– Male/female represented by color– Percent of population at each age is represented
by a horizontal bar. Young at bottom, elderly at top.
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Rapid growthAfghanistanMale Female Age AgeMale Female
Slow growthUnited States
Male Female
No growthItaly
85+80–8475–7970–74
60–6465–69
55–5950–5445–4940–4435–3930–3425–2920–2415–19
0–45–9
10–14
85+80–8475–7970–74
60–6465–69
55–5950–5445–4940–4435–3930–3425–2920–2415–19
0–45–9
10–14
10 108 866 4 422 0Percent of population Percent of population Percent of population
66 4 422 08 8 66 4 422 08 8
Figure 53.25 Age-structure pyramids for the human population of three countries (data as of 2005)
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Infant Mortality and Life Expectancy
• Infant mortality and life expectancy at birth vary greatly among developed and developing countries but do not capture the wide range of the human condition
Less indus-trialized
countries
Indus-trialized
countries
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 0
20
40
80
Life
exp
ecta
ncy
(yea
rs)
Infa
nt m
orta
lity
(dea
ths
per 1
,000
birt
hs)
Less indus-trialized
countries
Indus-trialized
countries
60
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Estimates of Global Carrying Capacity
• The carrying capacity of Earth for humans is uncertain
• The average estimate is 10–15 billion
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Limits on Human Population Size
• The ecological footprint concept summarizes the aggregate land and water area needed to sustain the people of a nation– It is one measure of how close we are to the
carrying capacity of Earth– Countries vary greatly in footprint size and
available ecological capacity
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Log (g carbon/year)13.4
9.85.8
Not analyzed
Figure 53.27 The amount of photosynthetic products that humans use around the world
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• A population of 500 experiences 55 births and 5 deaths during a one year period. What is the reproductive (growth) rate for the population during the one-year period?
A. .01/ yearB. .05/yearC. .1/yearD. 50/year
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• For a population sample size of 1000 (N = 1000) there were 60 births and 10 deaths over a one year period. If the population maintains the current growth pattern, a plot of its growth would resemble
A. exponential growthB. K-selected growthC. ZPG (zero population growth)
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You should now be able to:
1. Define and distinguish between the following sets of terms: density and dispersion; clumped dispersion, uniform dispersion, and random dispersion; life table and reproductive table; Type I, Type II, and Type III survivorship curves; semelparity and iteroparity; r-selected populations and K-selected populations
2. Explain how ecologists may estimate the density of a species
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3. Explain how limited resources and trade-offs may affect life histories
4. Compare the exponential and logistic models of population growth
5. Explain how density-dependent and density-independent factors may affect population growth
6. Explain how biotic and abiotic factors may work together to control a population’s growth