paul levy's presentation on state of center city, 2015

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  • Today: releasing 2 major documents

  • State of Center City: 2015Comprehensive look at all aspects of downtown marketplace

  • Detailed profiles: 48 major projects, 2014-2018

  • Thanks!!!Research, graphics & communications teamCasandra DominguezLinda HarrisAbigail SaggiAmy YenchikGarrett HinckenDavid KanthorClaire SummersBonnie ThompsonRJ WhiteRichard Way

  • Geography: 6% of the Citys land area

  • Largest most dense employment node in city & region293,700 salaried employees, 4,000 self-employed

  • Very diversified economy39% office21% eds & meds14% public sector10% entertainment/hospitality

  • Place that provides job opportunities at all skill levels

  • Well-served by a regional transit system brings294,000 riders/day into downtown

  • Distributing them to multiple locations across downtown+ 42 bus routes deliver passengers across Center City

  • Residents from every city neighborhood & across the regionCome to work each day in Center City

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  • 140,000 suburban

    120,000 neighborhood

    28,000 Center CityWho works downtown: 52% city; 48% suburban residents

  • Fastest growing residential section of Philadelphia+26% in core, +16% overall since 2000

  • 61% of residents get to work without a car;39% in core walk to work

  • Proximity to work is the prime attraction of downtown livingCenter City is rich with cultural amenities

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  • 2d largest concentration of arts & cultural institutionsBehind only Midtown Manhattan

  • Widely dispersed, with 3 major clusters

  • Other major live/work attraction growth in quality retail & dining

  • Center City largest employment sector: 38.8% of jobs

  • Two major buildings underway

  • Occupancy rates are rising

  • Occupancy rates up; but supply identical to 1990;New development offset by conversions to housing

  • Philadelphia has done well in Eds, Meds & hospitalityBut has been losing office jobs

  • Modest to minimal rent growth

  • Despite huge competitive downtown advantagesCBD premium is well below comparable cities

  • Rents affordable but far below comparable citiesMajor implications for tax base & school district

  • A commercial tax base that needs to grow Pew Charitable Trusts

  • Space available to accommodate growth

  • Suburban firms are locating downtown to be near talent & start-ups are beginning to occupy traditional office space

  • Positive trend: 4,000 independent workers; Un-tethered salaried workers

  • Driving demand for 209,000 sf of coworking space

  • 2nd largest employment sector: health care & education: 21%

  • 15.6% citywide growth in last decade

  • Four major health care institutions expanding downtown

  • Rising admissions & net patient revenues

  • 14 major colleges & universities in Center City33,861 students downtown; 82,324 adjacent = 116,1851. Academy of Vocal Arts 2. Art Institute of Philadelphia 3. Community College of Philadelphia4. Curtis Institute of Music 5. Metropolitan Career Center 6. Moore College of Art & Design 7. Peirce College 8. Pennsylvania Academy of Fine Arts9. Temple University, CC10. Temple University, School of Podiatric Medicine*11. Thomas Jefferson Univer.12. University of the Arts 13. Drexel University14. Drexel College of Medicine

  • 116,000 students drive demand for retail, restaurants & apartments + attractive to employers

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  • Colleges & universities attract18-24 year olds to Philadelphia

  • University Citys great strength in health-care & education

  • Those institutions are driving the next economyUniversity of Pennsylvania leading the wayMore than $900 million in research expenditures

  • Continued strong leisure tourism

  • Resumed uptrend in international tourism

  • Growing diversification of vistors

  • Convention Center drew over 1 million in 2014

  • Projecting 1.2 million in 2015

  • Room supply increased; occupancy rates rebounded from recession

  • ADR is flat; below competitors

  • On-going revival of Chestnut Street

  • Chestnut St pedestrian volumes catching up to Walnut St

  • Continuous growth in fine dining restaurants439 2005 2010 2014

    400350300

    65 in 1992

  • Flourishing of sidewalk cafes

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  • 1995 = zero

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  • 369 sidewalk cafes summer of 2014

  • Market East development is under way

  • Full square block development

  • 322 units of housing

  • Retail walkway through to Chestnut Street

  • Brickstones development on 1100 ChestnutRetail, residential & new workspace

  • Connection to Midtown Village

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  • Impact on day & evening volumes

  • Transformation of the Gallery on Market East

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  • More detail in new appendix

  • 1,983 new units of all types in 2014 (2,168 in 2014)1,358 apartments; 183 condominiums442 single family homesFor sale units up from 18% of supply in 2013 to 32% of supply, 2014

  • 2014 west of Broad in the core; for-sale in extended

  • Location: 2015-2018: Significant growth East of Broad Street

  • Steady increase in residents who can commute without a car

  • Steady increase in bicycle commuters

  • Walk, bike & transit scores higher than northeast peers

  • New supply of for-sale housing supported by strong demandVolume of all sales in 2014 equal to volume in 2013Average sales price up 6%2012-2013, 18% drop in days on market; 14% drop, 2013-2014Extended neighborhoods 39% less expensive than core

  • Rental rates rising along with new supply

  • Strong demographic/household demand to support supply

  • Philadelphia has long done well with college gradsDue to national demographics, there are more of them + empty nesters

    20-34 = 45%20-34 = 47%

    Empty nesters

  • Center City has one of highest concentration of educated workers in city & region

  • Well educated residents: 76% in core; 47% in extended: BA43% in core have advanced/professional degrees

  • Knowledge workers drive the new economy

  • Much higher percentage of single person households & renters

  • Area remains racially diverse with substantial supply of affordable housing

  • Challenges to be addressed: schools ..

  • More dynamic job growth

  • Both closely connected

  • Despite challenges, optimism about Center CityExceeds optimism about the city as a whole

  • Center City managed place 365 days per year1991: CCD 1.0 clean & safe

  • Customer Satisfaction Survey: 83% of survey respondents See CCD personnel every time or most of the timeThey are in Center City

    2,700 respondents

  • 69% of survey respondents Say Center City much cleaner than rest of the city

  • 81.4% feel safe most of the time or always

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  • Substantial long-term trend: 1995-2014

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  • Serious crimes declined from 18.2 to 9.6/day Even as population & activity increased downtown

  • More police, more lighting

  • CCD 2.0: 1997Landscaping, directional signs, lighting

  • Building faade lighting

  • Each year we maintain those investments

  • Improve sidewalks & deteriorated facades

  • CCD 3.0: 2008, Park renovation & managementCaf Cret on the Parkway

  • Collins Park, 1700 block Chestnut Street

  • 2012: Sister Cities Park

  • Dilworth Park, 2014; $125 million in investment

  • $ 44 million in CCD resources leveraged $88 million = $132 million since 1997

  • 80.5% workers & residents have visited CCD parks;81.6% see as very positive addition

  • Enhancing Competitiveness: 2013

  • Enhancing Competitiveness: 2014

  • Detailed profiles: 48 major projects, 2014-2018

  • 18.4 million square feet of development

  • Spread throughout the downtown

  • 29 projects to be completed in 2015 & 20162 biggest: Comcast & Gallery in 2017

  • News in Center City is very good

  • Across country, diverse, transit-oriented & walkable placesHeld up better in the Great Recession True for Philadelphia

  • What could be better?As the national economy came out of RecessionPhiladelphia job growth flattened

  • Suburbs are again growning more jobs than Philadelphia

  • Philadelphia has done well in Eds, Meds & hospitalityBut has been losing office jobs

  • Job growth

    Every 500,000 square feet of occupied office space:Provides 3,333 office jobs, 5 building engineering, 18 cleaning and 12 security positions. Supports 11,000 hotel rooms filled with business travelers. Generates $2.8 million in retail demand. Adds 2,333 riders to SEPTA.

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  • 2011 Regional Job Share120,000 non- Center City Phila. residents commute into Center City188,000 Philadelphia residents (37% of workforce)Reverse commute to suburbs each dayGrowing % annually since 2002By contrast only 15.3% of NYC residents commute to suburbs27%

  • Educational requirements in the suburbs are no different from those in the cityThey simply have more jobs

  • Excessively dependent on wage & business taxes68% of municipal tax revenues wage + BIRT

  • Philadelphia commenced tax reduction in 1996Suspended in 2009

  • Both 2003 & 2009 Tax Commissions: shift burden from taxing what moves (wages & business revenues) to taxing what is fixed & stable: land & improvements20152025Both RE tax

  • News in Center City is very good; can be even better

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