paul levy's presentation on state of center city, 2015
TRANSCRIPT
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Today: releasing 2 major documents
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State of Center City: 2015Comprehensive look at all aspects of downtown marketplace
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Detailed profiles: 48 major projects, 2014-2018
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Thanks!!!Research, graphics & communications teamCasandra DominguezLinda HarrisAbigail SaggiAmy YenchikGarrett HinckenDavid KanthorClaire SummersBonnie ThompsonRJ WhiteRichard Way
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Geography: 6% of the Citys land area
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Largest most dense employment node in city & region293,700 salaried employees, 4,000 self-employed
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Very diversified economy39% office21% eds & meds14% public sector10% entertainment/hospitality
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Place that provides job opportunities at all skill levels
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Well-served by a regional transit system brings294,000 riders/day into downtown
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Distributing them to multiple locations across downtown+ 42 bus routes deliver passengers across Center City
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Residents from every city neighborhood & across the regionCome to work each day in Center City
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140,000 suburban
120,000 neighborhood
28,000 Center CityWho works downtown: 52% city; 48% suburban residents
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Fastest growing residential section of Philadelphia+26% in core, +16% overall since 2000
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61% of residents get to work without a car;39% in core walk to work
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Proximity to work is the prime attraction of downtown livingCenter City is rich with cultural amenities
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2d largest concentration of arts & cultural institutionsBehind only Midtown Manhattan
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Widely dispersed, with 3 major clusters
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Other major live/work attraction growth in quality retail & dining
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Center City largest employment sector: 38.8% of jobs
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Two major buildings underway
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Occupancy rates are rising
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Occupancy rates up; but supply identical to 1990;New development offset by conversions to housing
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Philadelphia has done well in Eds, Meds & hospitalityBut has been losing office jobs
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Modest to minimal rent growth
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Despite huge competitive downtown advantagesCBD premium is well below comparable cities
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Rents affordable but far below comparable citiesMajor implications for tax base & school district
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A commercial tax base that needs to grow Pew Charitable Trusts
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Space available to accommodate growth
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Suburban firms are locating downtown to be near talent & start-ups are beginning to occupy traditional office space
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Positive trend: 4,000 independent workers; Un-tethered salaried workers
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Driving demand for 209,000 sf of coworking space
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2nd largest employment sector: health care & education: 21%
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15.6% citywide growth in last decade
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Four major health care institutions expanding downtown
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Rising admissions & net patient revenues
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14 major colleges & universities in Center City33,861 students downtown; 82,324 adjacent = 116,1851. Academy of Vocal Arts 2. Art Institute of Philadelphia 3. Community College of Philadelphia4. Curtis Institute of Music 5. Metropolitan Career Center 6. Moore College of Art & Design 7. Peirce College 8. Pennsylvania Academy of Fine Arts9. Temple University, CC10. Temple University, School of Podiatric Medicine*11. Thomas Jefferson Univer.12. University of the Arts 13. Drexel University14. Drexel College of Medicine
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116,000 students drive demand for retail, restaurants & apartments + attractive to employers
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Colleges & universities attract18-24 year olds to Philadelphia
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University Citys great strength in health-care & education
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Those institutions are driving the next economyUniversity of Pennsylvania leading the wayMore than $900 million in research expenditures
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Continued strong leisure tourism
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Resumed uptrend in international tourism
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Growing diversification of vistors
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Convention Center drew over 1 million in 2014
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Projecting 1.2 million in 2015
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Room supply increased; occupancy rates rebounded from recession
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ADR is flat; below competitors
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On-going revival of Chestnut Street
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Chestnut St pedestrian volumes catching up to Walnut St
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Continuous growth in fine dining restaurants439 2005 2010 2014
400350300
65 in 1992
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Flourishing of sidewalk cafes
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1995 = zero
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369 sidewalk cafes summer of 2014
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Market East development is under way
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Full square block development
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322 units of housing
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Retail walkway through to Chestnut Street
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Brickstones development on 1100 ChestnutRetail, residential & new workspace
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Connection to Midtown Village
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Impact on day & evening volumes
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Transformation of the Gallery on Market East
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More detail in new appendix
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1,983 new units of all types in 2014 (2,168 in 2014)1,358 apartments; 183 condominiums442 single family homesFor sale units up from 18% of supply in 2013 to 32% of supply, 2014
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2014 west of Broad in the core; for-sale in extended
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Location: 2015-2018: Significant growth East of Broad Street
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Steady increase in residents who can commute without a car
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Steady increase in bicycle commuters
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Walk, bike & transit scores higher than northeast peers
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New supply of for-sale housing supported by strong demandVolume of all sales in 2014 equal to volume in 2013Average sales price up 6%2012-2013, 18% drop in days on market; 14% drop, 2013-2014Extended neighborhoods 39% less expensive than core
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Rental rates rising along with new supply
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Strong demographic/household demand to support supply
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Philadelphia has long done well with college gradsDue to national demographics, there are more of them + empty nesters
20-34 = 45%20-34 = 47%
Empty nesters
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Center City has one of highest concentration of educated workers in city & region
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Well educated residents: 76% in core; 47% in extended: BA43% in core have advanced/professional degrees
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Knowledge workers drive the new economy
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Much higher percentage of single person households & renters
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Area remains racially diverse with substantial supply of affordable housing
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Challenges to be addressed: schools ..
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More dynamic job growth
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Both closely connected
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Despite challenges, optimism about Center CityExceeds optimism about the city as a whole
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Center City managed place 365 days per year1991: CCD 1.0 clean & safe
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Customer Satisfaction Survey: 83% of survey respondents See CCD personnel every time or most of the timeThey are in Center City
2,700 respondents
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69% of survey respondents Say Center City much cleaner than rest of the city
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81.4% feel safe most of the time or always
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Substantial long-term trend: 1995-2014
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Serious crimes declined from 18.2 to 9.6/day Even as population & activity increased downtown
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More police, more lighting
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CCD 2.0: 1997Landscaping, directional signs, lighting
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Building faade lighting
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Each year we maintain those investments
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Improve sidewalks & deteriorated facades
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CCD 3.0: 2008, Park renovation & managementCaf Cret on the Parkway
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Collins Park, 1700 block Chestnut Street
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2012: Sister Cities Park
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Dilworth Park, 2014; $125 million in investment
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$ 44 million in CCD resources leveraged $88 million = $132 million since 1997
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80.5% workers & residents have visited CCD parks;81.6% see as very positive addition
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Enhancing Competitiveness: 2013
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Enhancing Competitiveness: 2014
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Detailed profiles: 48 major projects, 2014-2018
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18.4 million square feet of development
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Spread throughout the downtown
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29 projects to be completed in 2015 & 20162 biggest: Comcast & Gallery in 2017
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News in Center City is very good
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Across country, diverse, transit-oriented & walkable placesHeld up better in the Great Recession True for Philadelphia
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What could be better?As the national economy came out of RecessionPhiladelphia job growth flattened
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Suburbs are again growning more jobs than Philadelphia
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Philadelphia has done well in Eds, Meds & hospitalityBut has been losing office jobs
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Job growth
Every 500,000 square feet of occupied office space:Provides 3,333 office jobs, 5 building engineering, 18 cleaning and 12 security positions. Supports 11,000 hotel rooms filled with business travelers. Generates $2.8 million in retail demand. Adds 2,333 riders to SEPTA.
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2011 Regional Job Share120,000 non- Center City Phila. residents commute into Center City188,000 Philadelphia residents (37% of workforce)Reverse commute to suburbs each dayGrowing % annually since 2002By contrast only 15.3% of NYC residents commute to suburbs27%
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Educational requirements in the suburbs are no different from those in the cityThey simply have more jobs
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Excessively dependent on wage & business taxes68% of municipal tax revenues wage + BIRT
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Philadelphia commenced tax reduction in 1996Suspended in 2009
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Both 2003 & 2009 Tax Commissions: shift burden from taxing what moves (wages & business revenues) to taxing what is fixed & stable: land & improvements20152025Both RE tax
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News in Center City is very good; can be even better
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